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The Intention Economy:
   What Happens When
 Customers Get Real Power



     6 April 2008, MinneWebCon
                                 1
Case #1: The Ballad of Mona Shaw

               • 13 August 2007: Comcast fails to show
                 up for an install
               • 15 August: Comcast comes, fails to
                 finish the job, cuts off service
               • 17 August: Mona & hubby visit
                 Comcast, get told to sit outside — while
                 everybody leaves
               • 20 August: Mona takes her hammer to
                 Comcast and trashes the place.




                                                      2
Case #2 Rob Beschizza vs. Comcast




             • InWired on 8 January 2008, Rob writes,
               “Comcast CEO Roberts Pitches CES on 100
               Mbps Cable and Project Infinity”
             • InWired on 25 January 2008, Rob writes,
               “Comcast, Please Stop Bugging Me For
               Money I Don't Owe You”
                                                    3
Mona & Rob have the same
  problem, and it isn’t Comcast.




It’s that they’re both coming from subordinate positions.
      It’s a problem we all have. Even now, in 2009.
                                                            4
Consider the online shopping
             “experience”




                    Doc’s wife, in 1996:
“Why can’t I take my shopping cart from one site to another?”
                                                                5
Consider “Terms of ‘Service’” that
also haven’t changed since 1996:
You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network
congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary
lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments,
or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to
bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the
remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night.
We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and
oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails,
even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose
other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of
drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn
thing you can do about it.
    Accept.



   Why even bother reading something you have to accept,
        and which give all advantages to the seller?
                                                                                                                      6
What’s broken online is now
a model for brick & mortar business




                                      7
Loyalty cards
   are the Green Stamps of our time.




What’s broken online is that you have to become a “member” and “sign in”
                              to buy anything.
       In the old brick & mortar world you didn’t have to do that.
                   Now you do. With too few exceptions.
                                                                       8
There are three reasons
we shop at Trader Joe’s.




         Good food.
      No loyalty cards.
        No coupons.
                           9
There are reasons why loyalty programs
 make sense — at least to themselves.

                    “Personalization.”
                 “Better data collection.”
                  “Increasing switching
                           costs.”
                 But it’s still a big PITA.



                                              10
Case in point: the Harvard Coop




         Nice place. Loved shopping there.
Until I got tired of paying +10% for not belonging.
                                                      11
Joining any loyalty program
     is a pain in the butt.




I failed the first few times I tried filling it out.
                                                       12
Now I’m a member. Which
means I have to care about this:
                  Why should I have to
                    fill all this junk out?
                  … over and over, for
                    every “relationship”?
                  Because they aren’t my
                    “relationshps.”
                    They’re my data in
                    somebody else’s base.

                                          13
Another failure:
Donating money to WMBR.


                  What I like




                                14
How? Where?




              15
Umm…




       16
So, how about…




                 17
Okay, I give up.




                   18
And another: WUMB




                    19
You are what you can’t eat.




                              20
Aye, we hardly knew ye.




                          21
The problem in all these cases is
Customer Relationship Management




           It’s not really about relating.
  It’s about marketing. It’s to you, not with you.
                                                     22
CRM is a $12 Billion business…




           … that doesn’t work.
        Except by its own metrics.
         Which barely include you.
 Which is why Mona obeyed Howard Beale.   23
The problem is that most big business still
thinks the best customer is a captive one.




  That’s why they “acquire,” “manage,” “control” and otherwise
              “own” creatures they call “consumers.”
                       And that’s why…
                                                                 24
A “free market” is still
           “your choice of captor.”




Even though the Net is now in the middle of everything.
                                                          25
In the future a free customer will prove
   more valuable than a captive one.




            But how do we get there?
           If proof is in the pudding…
           What do we need to bake?      26
We need to bake up Vendor
   Relationship Management




That’s how each of us manages relations with them…
 at least as well as they think they’re relating to us.

                                                          27
VRM is the reciprocal of CRM.


        VRM
                                CRM




It will provide ways for customers to drive vendors...
           And not just to be driven by them.
            With VRM we can relate for real.
                                                         28
VRM is an open source project.




There are already over hall a million open source code
             bases out there to work with.
 We’re using some of those, and making a few more.
                                                         29
We have an active
   and growing community




— with hotbeds in Europe & North America
                                           30
31
With VRM, the individual is the point of
 integration for his or her own data.




… and the point of origination for what’s done with it.
                                                          32
Here is some
of what we want VRM to do.




                             33
Manage our own health care data.




       This is a tall order, and very long term.
But there are some great people working on, for example,
            personal health records (PHRs).

                                                           34
Issue a “personal RFP”
       to whole markets, on the fly.




For example, send a message saying you need a 200w 220->110
                           converter
             in Amsterdam on a Sunday afternoon…
   — without giving any more than the required information.
                                                              35
Assert useful Terms of Service.
                      That are ours instead of theirs.

You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network
congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary
lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments,
or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to
bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the
remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night.
We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and
oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails,
even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose
other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of
drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn
thing you can do about it.
    Accept.



                                                                                                                      36
Have governance of and by
— and not just for — the people




     One example of GRM at work.
                                   37
Create a new business model
                for free media.




                    Free media include…
               Non-commercial broadcasting
                       Blogs, podcasts
                           Music…
Anything that’s either free on purpose or too easy to “steal.”

                                                                 38
The VRM model is called PayChoice.
     It will be based on the ability of individuals to…
                     pay as much as they want
                      for whatever they want
                        whenever they want
                        wherever they want
             on their terms as well as those of sellers.
           Here’s where we plan to see it first:




                                                           39
VRM will inform CRM.




 Listeners and viewers will bear their end of the
          relationship burden with stations.
Relationship can be enlarged to mean far more, and
        include far more, than “membership”.
                                                     40
Relating will have its own symbol:
                    We call it the “r-button.”
                             It says,
                         “I want to pay…
                     what I want.” And/or,
                       “I want to relate…
                          on my terms…
                      and not just yours.”
                     “This is my code’s way
                of letting your code know that.
               Even if you’re not listening. Yet.”
                 Its one way VRM meets CRM.

                                                     41
The r-button
can represent different states:
       For example…
       Intention to buy (and/or to relate).
       Intention to sell, but also to relate on
           your (the buyer’s) terms, as well as
           your own.
       Existing relationship — which can be
           viewed and unpacked on either side.
       Among others. This is still wide open.

                                                  42
Here are a few ways it might look:




       (Note: These are old drafts.)
                                       43
Back to the title question:




What happens when customers get real power?


                                              44
Customers will get their own
             pricing guns.




         They won’t be able to price everything.
But the seller won’t be the only one holding these things.

                                                        45
Customers and Vendors will
  both get to wear matching rings.




                    Or magnets.
Whatever we call them, “relationship” will be a fact…
          … rather than marketing jive.
                                                        46
The Intention Economy
              will get real.



  It will be based on what customers actually want.
Rather than the “attention economy” of guessing what
                     customers want.
        … or “driving” customers to want stuff.
                                                   47
The advertising bubble
                will burst.



No, advertising won’t go away. We’ll always need some.
 It just won’t be the communications method of first
                         resort.
    Or the only business model that comes to mind.
                                                     48
Some perspective.




                    49
50
51
Live Web
                                  Ubiquity                     Giant Zero


Graphical
browsers
                RSS

  ISPs
                 Open
                source
                                                                                 Dunno
  Early open
  protocols
                Web
 TCP/IP                                  NOW                                   Whatever

      Free
    software
        1980s            1990s   2000s         2010s   20XXs          2XXXs   XXXXs




                                                                                      52
Let’s talk.


http://projectvrm.org
   doc@searls.com




                        53

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The Intention Economy: What Happens When Customers Get Real Power

  • 1. The Intention Economy: What Happens When Customers Get Real Power 6 April 2008, MinneWebCon 1
  • 2. Case #1: The Ballad of Mona Shaw • 13 August 2007: Comcast fails to show up for an install • 15 August: Comcast comes, fails to finish the job, cuts off service • 17 August: Mona & hubby visit Comcast, get told to sit outside — while everybody leaves • 20 August: Mona takes her hammer to Comcast and trashes the place. 2
  • 3. Case #2 Rob Beschizza vs. Comcast • InWired on 8 January 2008, Rob writes, “Comcast CEO Roberts Pitches CES on 100 Mbps Cable and Project Infinity” • InWired on 25 January 2008, Rob writes, “Comcast, Please Stop Bugging Me For Money I Don't Owe You” 3
  • 4. Mona & Rob have the same problem, and it isn’t Comcast. It’s that they’re both coming from subordinate positions. It’s a problem we all have. Even now, in 2009. 4
  • 5. Consider the online shopping “experience” Doc’s wife, in 1996: “Why can’t I take my shopping cart from one site to another?” 5
  • 6. Consider “Terms of ‘Service’” that also haven’t changed since 1996: You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments, or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night. We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails, even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn thing you can do about it. Accept. Why even bother reading something you have to accept, and which give all advantages to the seller? 6
  • 7. What’s broken online is now a model for brick & mortar business 7
  • 8. Loyalty cards are the Green Stamps of our time. What’s broken online is that you have to become a “member” and “sign in” to buy anything. In the old brick & mortar world you didn’t have to do that. Now you do. With too few exceptions. 8
  • 9. There are three reasons we shop at Trader Joe’s. Good food. No loyalty cards. No coupons. 9
  • 10. There are reasons why loyalty programs make sense — at least to themselves. “Personalization.” “Better data collection.” “Increasing switching costs.” But it’s still a big PITA. 10
  • 11. Case in point: the Harvard Coop Nice place. Loved shopping there. Until I got tired of paying +10% for not belonging. 11
  • 12. Joining any loyalty program is a pain in the butt. I failed the first few times I tried filling it out. 12
  • 13. Now I’m a member. Which means I have to care about this: Why should I have to fill all this junk out? … over and over, for every “relationship”? Because they aren’t my “relationshps.” They’re my data in somebody else’s base. 13
  • 14. Another failure: Donating money to WMBR. What I like 14
  • 16. Umm… 16
  • 18. Okay, I give up. 18
  • 20. You are what you can’t eat. 20
  • 21. Aye, we hardly knew ye. 21
  • 22. The problem in all these cases is Customer Relationship Management It’s not really about relating. It’s about marketing. It’s to you, not with you. 22
  • 23. CRM is a $12 Billion business… … that doesn’t work. Except by its own metrics. Which barely include you. Which is why Mona obeyed Howard Beale. 23
  • 24. The problem is that most big business still thinks the best customer is a captive one. That’s why they “acquire,” “manage,” “control” and otherwise “own” creatures they call “consumers.” And that’s why… 24
  • 25. A “free market” is still “your choice of captor.” Even though the Net is now in the middle of everything. 25
  • 26. In the future a free customer will prove more valuable than a captive one. But how do we get there? If proof is in the pudding… What do we need to bake? 26
  • 27. We need to bake up Vendor Relationship Management That’s how each of us manages relations with them… at least as well as they think they’re relating to us. 27
  • 28. VRM is the reciprocal of CRM. VRM CRM It will provide ways for customers to drive vendors... And not just to be driven by them. With VRM we can relate for real. 28
  • 29. VRM is an open source project. There are already over hall a million open source code bases out there to work with. We’re using some of those, and making a few more. 29
  • 30. We have an active and growing community — with hotbeds in Europe & North America 30
  • 31. 31
  • 32. With VRM, the individual is the point of integration for his or her own data. … and the point of origination for what’s done with it. 32
  • 33. Here is some of what we want VRM to do. 33
  • 34. Manage our own health care data. This is a tall order, and very long term. But there are some great people working on, for example, personal health records (PHRs). 34
  • 35. Issue a “personal RFP” to whole markets, on the fly. For example, send a message saying you need a 200w 220->110 converter in Amsterdam on a Sunday afternoon… — without giving any more than the required information. 35
  • 36. Assert useful Terms of Service. That are ours instead of theirs. You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments, or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night. We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails, even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn thing you can do about it. Accept. 36
  • 37. Have governance of and by — and not just for — the people One example of GRM at work. 37
  • 38. Create a new business model for free media. Free media include… Non-commercial broadcasting Blogs, podcasts Music… Anything that’s either free on purpose or too easy to “steal.” 38
  • 39. The VRM model is called PayChoice. It will be based on the ability of individuals to… pay as much as they want for whatever they want whenever they want wherever they want on their terms as well as those of sellers. Here’s where we plan to see it first: 39
  • 40. VRM will inform CRM. Listeners and viewers will bear their end of the relationship burden with stations. Relationship can be enlarged to mean far more, and include far more, than “membership”. 40
  • 41. Relating will have its own symbol: We call it the “r-button.” It says, “I want to pay… what I want.” And/or, “I want to relate… on my terms… and not just yours.” “This is my code’s way of letting your code know that. Even if you’re not listening. Yet.” Its one way VRM meets CRM. 41
  • 42. The r-button can represent different states: For example… Intention to buy (and/or to relate). Intention to sell, but also to relate on your (the buyer’s) terms, as well as your own. Existing relationship — which can be viewed and unpacked on either side. Among others. This is still wide open. 42
  • 43. Here are a few ways it might look: (Note: These are old drafts.) 43
  • 44. Back to the title question: What happens when customers get real power? 44
  • 45. Customers will get their own pricing guns. They won’t be able to price everything. But the seller won’t be the only one holding these things. 45
  • 46. Customers and Vendors will both get to wear matching rings. Or magnets. Whatever we call them, “relationship” will be a fact… … rather than marketing jive. 46
  • 47. The Intention Economy will get real. It will be based on what customers actually want. Rather than the “attention economy” of guessing what customers want. … or “driving” customers to want stuff. 47
  • 48. The advertising bubble will burst. No, advertising won’t go away. We’ll always need some. It just won’t be the communications method of first resort. Or the only business model that comes to mind. 48
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  • 51. 51
  • 52. Live Web Ubiquity Giant Zero Graphical browsers RSS ISPs Open source Dunno Early open protocols Web TCP/IP NOW Whatever Free software 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 20XXs 2XXXs XXXXs 52