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Oil Industry Overview

          Misha Jain
 4 years in HPCL Refinery as
   Maintenance Engineer
Agenda
•   Oil Value Chain
•   Oil Value Chain Economics (US)
•   Petrol Pricing in India
•   Petrol Prices across the world
•   Global Oil Scenario
•   Top 10 Proven Oil Reserves
•   World’s Largest Oil & Gas Companies
•   Indian Oil Scenario
•   Refinery Process Overview
•   Nelson Complexity Index
•   Refinery Products
•   How a Refinery looks like??
Oil Value Chain

                UPSTREAM

  Exploration                    Production




           DOWNSTREAM
Refining        Petrochemicals      Distribution
Oil Value Chain Economics (US)
• Over 75% of an integrated oil company's net
  margins are in the upstream.
• Crude oil costs contribute nearly 60% to pump
  prices.
• Severance and gasoline taxes cost consumers
  nearly 26% of pump prices.
• Company net margins for refining and
  marketing are 10% of pump price.
Petrol Pricing in India
                                                                              % of Pump
Components of Pump Price                                                      Price
Actual Crude Oil E&P Cost                     15.57 Rs/litre                          23.28
E&P Margin                                    16.98 Rs/litre                          25.39
Crude Price                                   32.55 Rs/litre   115 $/barrel           48.67
GRM                                            2.26 Rs/litre     8 $/barrel            3.39
Petrol Basic Price                            34.81 Rs/litre                          52.05
Excise Duty (Fixed)                           14.35 Rs/litre                          21.46
Edu Cess (3% of Excise)                        0.43 Rs/litre                           0.64
Dealer commission                              1.05 Rs/litre                           1.57
VAT (15% of Basic+Excise)                      7.60 Rs/litre                          11.36
Crude Oil Custom duty                          1.10 Rs/litre                           1.64
Petrol Custom                                  1.54 Rs/litre                           2.30
Transportation Charge                          6.00 Rs/litre                           8.97
Pump Price                                    66.88 Rs/litre                         100.00

Assumptions:
1 barrel =                                  158.99 litres
INR USD Rate                                    45.00
E&P Margin is 75% of Full Margins of integrated company
Crude Price
• Price drivers are:
  – Demand Supply gap     Demand
                           driven   Speculation
  – Speculation                       driven
GRM
• Gross Refining Margin = Selling Price of the
  basket of products – Cost of Crude (per barrel)
Petrol Prices across the world
Global Oil Scenario
                      (in          (in                                                (in
          (in MMT)          Prodn        Capacity as a % (in MMTPA)          Plant
                     MMTPA)       MMTPA)                                             MMTPA)

                          % of                                                         Oil
         Proven Oil Oil         Refining        of Domestic      Crude
                         reserv                                           Efficency Consumpti
          Reserves Prodn        capacity        Production     Throughput
                           es                                                          on

World      171000     3929     2.30    4414        89.01           3744      84.82    3928


OPEC       130000     1758     1.35


India        775        34     4.39    180         18.89            160      88.89    130

        Source: Basic Statistics of Indian Petroleum & Natural Gas 2008-09
Top 10 Proven Oil Reserves




         Source: Wikipedia
Indian Oil Scenario
                                   Upstream                 Downstream
                                 Oil Production           Refining capacity
                                  (in MMTPA)                (in MMTPA)
          World                       3929                      4414
           India                      33.5                       180
      ONGC (+MRPL)                   25.363                     9.69
            OIL                       3.46                         0
      Joint Ventures                  4.674                        0
            RIL                         0                         62
          ESSAR                         0                       10.5
    IOCL (+CPCL, BRPL)                  0                       60.2
     BPCL (+NRL, KRL)                   0                       22.5
           HPCL                         0                         13


Source: Basic Statistics of Indian Petroleum & Natural Gas 2008-09
Refinery Process Overview
Gasoline/Petrol/MS



                  Diesel



                 Kerosene                ATF



                                        Boilers

               Residual Fuel
Crude Oil
                                       Tankers

                Lubricants



               Asphalt / Tar



             Petroleum Coke           Electrodes



            Benzene, Toulene, X   Plastic, Chem, Phar
                  ylene                    ma
Nelson Complexity Index
• A measure of the secondary conversion capacity
  of a refinery relative to the primary distillation
  capacity.

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Oil Industry Overview: Refining Process, Global Reserves, Pricing Factors

  • 1. Oil Industry Overview Misha Jain 4 years in HPCL Refinery as Maintenance Engineer
  • 2. Agenda • Oil Value Chain • Oil Value Chain Economics (US) • Petrol Pricing in India • Petrol Prices across the world • Global Oil Scenario • Top 10 Proven Oil Reserves • World’s Largest Oil & Gas Companies • Indian Oil Scenario • Refinery Process Overview • Nelson Complexity Index • Refinery Products • How a Refinery looks like??
  • 3. Oil Value Chain UPSTREAM Exploration Production DOWNSTREAM Refining Petrochemicals Distribution
  • 4. Oil Value Chain Economics (US) • Over 75% of an integrated oil company's net margins are in the upstream. • Crude oil costs contribute nearly 60% to pump prices. • Severance and gasoline taxes cost consumers nearly 26% of pump prices. • Company net margins for refining and marketing are 10% of pump price.
  • 5. Petrol Pricing in India % of Pump Components of Pump Price Price Actual Crude Oil E&P Cost 15.57 Rs/litre 23.28 E&P Margin 16.98 Rs/litre 25.39 Crude Price 32.55 Rs/litre 115 $/barrel 48.67 GRM 2.26 Rs/litre 8 $/barrel 3.39 Petrol Basic Price 34.81 Rs/litre 52.05 Excise Duty (Fixed) 14.35 Rs/litre 21.46 Edu Cess (3% of Excise) 0.43 Rs/litre 0.64 Dealer commission 1.05 Rs/litre 1.57 VAT (15% of Basic+Excise) 7.60 Rs/litre 11.36 Crude Oil Custom duty 1.10 Rs/litre 1.64 Petrol Custom 1.54 Rs/litre 2.30 Transportation Charge 6.00 Rs/litre 8.97 Pump Price 66.88 Rs/litre 100.00 Assumptions: 1 barrel = 158.99 litres INR USD Rate 45.00 E&P Margin is 75% of Full Margins of integrated company
  • 6. Crude Price • Price drivers are: – Demand Supply gap Demand driven Speculation – Speculation driven
  • 7. GRM • Gross Refining Margin = Selling Price of the basket of products – Cost of Crude (per barrel)
  • 9. Global Oil Scenario (in (in (in (in MMT) Prodn Capacity as a % (in MMTPA) Plant MMTPA) MMTPA) MMTPA) % of Oil Proven Oil Oil Refining of Domestic Crude reserv Efficency Consumpti Reserves Prodn capacity Production Throughput es on World 171000 3929 2.30 4414 89.01 3744 84.82 3928 OPEC 130000 1758 1.35 India 775 34 4.39 180 18.89 160 88.89 130 Source: Basic Statistics of Indian Petroleum & Natural Gas 2008-09
  • 10. Top 10 Proven Oil Reserves Source: Wikipedia
  • 11.
  • 12. Indian Oil Scenario Upstream Downstream Oil Production Refining capacity (in MMTPA) (in MMTPA) World 3929 4414 India 33.5 180 ONGC (+MRPL) 25.363 9.69 OIL 3.46 0 Joint Ventures 4.674 0 RIL 0 62 ESSAR 0 10.5 IOCL (+CPCL, BRPL) 0 60.2 BPCL (+NRL, KRL) 0 22.5 HPCL 0 13 Source: Basic Statistics of Indian Petroleum & Natural Gas 2008-09
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Gasoline/Petrol/MS Diesel Kerosene ATF Boilers Residual Fuel Crude Oil Tankers Lubricants Asphalt / Tar Petroleum Coke Electrodes Benzene, Toulene, X Plastic, Chem, Phar ylene ma
  • 17. Nelson Complexity Index • A measure of the secondary conversion capacity of a refinery relative to the primary distillation capacity.