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12 - 1© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
12 Inventory
Management
PowerPoint presentation to accompany
Heizer and Render
Operations Management, 10e
Principles of Operations Management, 8e
PowerPoint slides by Jeff Heyl
12 - 2© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Outline
 Global Company Profile:
Amazon.com
 The Importance of Inventory
 Functions of Inventory
 Types of Inventory
12 - 3© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Outline – Continued
 Managing Inventory
 ABC Analysis
 Record Accuracy
 Cycle Counting
 Control of Service Inventories
 Inventory Models
 Independent vs. Dependent Demand
 Holding, Ordering, and Setup Costs
12 - 4© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Outline – Continued
 Inventory Models for Independent
Demand
 The Basic Economic Order Quantity
(EOQ) Model
 Minimizing Costs
 Reorder Points
 Production Order Quantity Model
 Quantity Discount Models
12 - 5© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Outline – Continued
 Probabilistic Models and Safety
Stock
 Other Probabilistic Models
 Single-Period Model
 Fixed-Period (P) Systems
12 - 6© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Learning Objectives
When you complete this chapter you
should be able to:
1. Conduct an ABC analysis
2. Explain and use cycle counting
3. Explain and use the EOQ model for
independent inventory demand
4. Compute a reorder point and safety
stock
12 - 7© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Learning Objectives
When you complete this chapter you
should be able to:
5. Apply the production order quantity
model
6. Explain and use the quantity
discount model
7. Understand service levels and
probabilistic inventory models
12 - 8© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Amazon.com
 Amazon.com started as a “virtual”
retailer – no inventory, no
warehouses, no overhead; just
computers taking orders to be filled
by others
 Growth has forced Amazon.com to
become a world leader in
warehousing and inventory
management
12 - 9© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Amazon.com
1. Each order is assigned by computer to
the closest distribution center that has
the product(s)
2. A “flow meister” at each distribution
center assigns work crews
3. Lights indicate products that are to be
picked and the light is reset
4. Items are placed in crates on a conveyor,
bar code scanners scan each item 15
times to virtually eliminate errors
12 - 10© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Amazon.com
5. Crates arrive at central point where items
are boxed and labeled with new bar code
6. Gift wrapping is done by hand at 30
packages per hour
7. Completed boxes are packed, taped,
weighed and labeled before leaving
warehouse in a truck
8. Order arrives at customer within 2 - 3
days
12 - 11© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Inventory Management
The objective of inventory
management is to strike a balance
between inventory investment and
customer service
12 - 12© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Importance of Inventory
 One of the most expensive assets
of many companies representing as
much as 50% of total invested
capital
 Operations managers must balance
inventory investment and customer
service
12 - 13© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Functions of Inventory
1. To decouple or separate various
parts of the production process
2. To decouple the firm from
fluctuations in demand and
provide a stock of goods that will
provide a selection for customers
3. To take advantage of quantity
discounts
4. To hedge against inflation
12 - 14© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Types of Inventory
 Raw material
 Purchased but not processed
 Work-in-process
 Undergone some change but not completed
 A function of cycle time for a product
 Maintenance/repair/operating (MRO)
 Necessary to keep machinery and
processes productive
 Finished goods
 Completed product awaiting shipment
12 - 15© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
The Material Flow Cycle
Figure 12.1
Input Wait for Wait to Move Wait in queue Setup Run Output
inspection be moved time for operator time time
Cycle time
95% 5%
12 - 16© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Managing Inventory
1. How inventory items can be
classified
2. How accurate inventory records
can be maintained
12 - 17© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
ABC Analysis
 Divides inventory into three classes
based on annual dollar volume
 Class A - high annual dollar volume
 Class B - medium annual dollar
volume
 Class C - low annual dollar volume
 Used to establish policies that focus
on the few critical parts and not the
many trivial ones
12 - 18© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
ABC Analysis
Item
Stock
Number
Percent of
Number of
Items
Stocked
Annual
Volume
(units) x
Unit
Cost =
Annual
Dollar
Volume
Percent of
Annual
Dollar
Volume Class
#10286 20% 1,000 $ 90.00 $ 90,000 38.8% A
#11526 500 154.00 77,000 33.2% A
#12760 1,550 17.00 26,350 11.3% B
#10867 30% 350 42.86 15,001 6.4% B
#10500 1,000 12.50 12,500 5.4% B
72%
23%
12 - 19© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
ABC Analysis
Item
Stock
Number
Percent of
Number of
Items
Stocked
Annual
Volume
(units) x
Unit
Cost =
Annual
Dollar
Volume
Percent of
Annual
Dollar
Volume Class
#12572 600 $ 14.17 $ 8,502 3.7% C
#14075 2,000 .60 1,200 .5% C
#01036 50% 100 8.50 850 .4% C
#01307 1,200 .42 504 .2% C
#10572 250 .60 150 .1% C
8,550 $232,057 100.0%
5%
12 - 20© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
C Items
ABC Analysis
A Items
B Items
Percentofannualdollarusage
80 –
70 –
60 –
50 –
40 –
30 –
20 –
10 –
0 – | | | | | | | | | |
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Percent of inventory items
Figure 12.2
12 - 21© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
ABC Analysis
 Other criteria than annual dollar
volume may be used
 Anticipated engineering changes
 Delivery problems
 Quality problems
 High unit cost
12 - 22© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
ABC Analysis
 Policies employed may include
 More emphasis on supplier
development for A items
 Tighter physical inventory control for
A items
 More care in forecasting A items
12 - 23© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Record Accuracy
 Accurate records are a critical
ingredient in production and inventory
systems
 Allows organization to focus on what
is needed
 Necessary to make precise decisions
about ordering, scheduling, and
shipping
 Incoming and outgoing record
keeping must be accurate
 Stockrooms should be secure
12 - 24© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Cycle Counting
 Items are counted and records updated
on a periodic basis
 Often used with ABC analysis
to determine cycle
 Has several advantages
1. Eliminates shutdowns and interruptions
2. Eliminates annual inventory adjustment
3. Trained personnel audit inventory accuracy
4. Allows causes of errors to be identified and
corrected
5. Maintains accurate inventory records
12 - 25© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Cycle Counting Example
5,000 items in inventory, 500 A items, 1,750 B items, 2,750 C
items
Policy is to count A items every month (20 working days), B
items every quarter (60 days), and C items every six months
(120 days)
Item
Class Quantity Cycle Counting Policy
Number of Items
Counted per Day
A 500 Each month 500/20 = 25/day
B 1,750 Each quarter 1,750/60 = 29/day
C 2,750 Every 6 months 2,750/120 = 23/day
77/day
12 - 26© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Control of Service
Inventories
 Can be a critical component
of profitability
 Losses may come from
shrinkage or pilferage
 Applicable techniques include
1. Good personnel selection, training, and
discipline
2. Tight control on incoming shipments
3. Effective control on all goods leaving
facility
12 - 27© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Independent Versus
Dependent Demand
 Independent demand - the
demand for item is independent
of the demand for any other
item in inventory
 Dependent demand - the
demand for item is dependent
upon the demand for some
other item in the inventory
12 - 28© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Holding, Ordering, and
Setup Costs
 Holding costs - the costs of holding
or “carrying” inventory over time
 Ordering costs - the costs of
placing an order and receiving
goods
 Setup costs - cost to prepare a
machine or process for
manufacturing an order
12 - 29© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Holding Costs
Category
Cost (and range)
as a Percent of
Inventory Value
Housing costs (building rent or
depreciation, operating costs, taxes,
insurance)
6% (3 - 10%)
Material handling costs (equipment lease or
depreciation, power, operating cost)
3% (1 - 3.5%)
Labor cost 3% (3 - 5%)
Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes,
and insurance on inventory)
11% (6 - 24%)
Pilferage, space, and obsolescence 3% (2 - 5%)
Overall carrying cost 26%
Table 12.1
12 - 30© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Holding Costs
Category
Cost (and range)
as a Percent of
Inventory Value
Housing costs (building rent or
depreciation, operating costs, taxes,
insurance)
6% (3 - 10%)
Material handling costs (equipment lease or
depreciation, power, operating cost)
3% (1 - 3.5%)
Labor cost 3% (3 - 5%)
Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes,
and insurance on inventory)
11% (6 - 24%)
Pilferage, space, and obsolescence 3% (2 - 5%)
Overall carrying cost 26%
Table 12.1
12 - 31© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Inventory Models for
Independent Demand
1. Basic economic order quantity
2. Production order quantity
3. Quantity discount model
Need to determine when and how
much to order
12 - 32© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Basic EOQ Model
1. Demand is known, constant, and
independent
2. Lead time is known and constant
3. Receipt of inventory is instantaneous and
complete
4. Quantity discounts are not possible
5. Only variable costs are setup and holding
6. Stockouts can be completely avoided
Important assumptions
12 - 33© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Inventory Usage Over Time
Figure 12.3
Order
quantity = Q
(maximum
inventory
level)
Usage rate Average
inventory
on hand
Q
2
Minimum
inventory
Inventorylevel
Time
0
12 - 34© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Minimizing Costs
Objective is to minimize total costs
Table 12.4(c)
Annualcost
Order quantity
Total cost of
holding and
setup (order)
Holding cost
Setup (or order)
cost
Minimum
total cost
Optimal order
quantity (Q*)
12 - 35© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
The EOQ Model
Q = Number of pieces per order
Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)
D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item
S = Setup or ordering cost for each order
H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year
Annual setup cost = (Number of orders placed per year)
x (Setup or order cost per order)
Annual demand
Number of units in each order
Setup or order
cost per order
=
Annual setup cost = S
D
Q
= (S)D
Q
12 - 36© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
The EOQ Model
Q = Number of pieces per order
Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)
D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item
S = Setup or ordering cost for each order
H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year
Annual holding cost = (Average inventory level)
x (Holding cost per unit per year)
Order quantity
2
= (Holding cost per unit per year)
= (H)Q
2
Annual setup cost = S
D
Q
Annual holding cost = H
Q
2
12 - 37© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
The EOQ Model
Q = Number of pieces per order
Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)
D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item
S = Setup or ordering cost for each order
H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year
Optimal order quantity is found when annual setup cost
equals annual holding cost
Annual setup cost = S
D
Q
Annual holding cost = H
Q
2
D
Q
S = H
Q
2
Solving for Q*
2DS = Q2H
Q2 = 2DS/H
Q* = 2DS/H
12 - 38© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
An EOQ Example
Determine optimal number of needles to order
D = 1,000 units
S = $10 per order
H = $.50 per unit per year
Q* =
2DS
H
Q* =
2(1,000)(10)
0.50
= 40,000 = 200 units
12 - 39© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
An EOQ Example
Determine optimal number of needles to order
D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units
S = $10 per order
H = $.50 per unit per year
= N = =
Expected
number of
orders
Demand
Order quantity
D
Q*
N = = 5 orders per year
1,000
200
12 - 40© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
An EOQ Example
Determine optimal number of needles to order
D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units
S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year
H = $.50 per unit per year
= T =
Expected
time between
orders
Number of working
days per year
N
T = = 50 days between orders
250
5
12 - 41© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
An EOQ Example
Determine optimal number of needles to order
D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units
S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year
H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days
Total annual cost = Setup cost + Holding cost
TC = S + H
D
Q
Q
2
TC = ($10) + ($.50)
1,000
200
200
2
TC = (5)($10) + (100)($.50) = $50 + $50 = $100
12 - 42© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Robust Model
 The EOQ model is robust
 It works even if all parameters
and assumptions are not met
 The total cost curve is relatively
flat in the area of the EOQ
12 - 43© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
An EOQ Example
Management underestimated demand by 50%
D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units
S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year
H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days
TC = S + H
D
Q
Q
2
TC = ($10) + ($.50) = $75 + $50 = $125
1,500
200
200
2
1,500 units
Total annual cost increases by only 25%
12 - 44© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
An EOQ Example
Actual EOQ for new demand is 244.9 units
D = 1,000 units Q* = 244.9 units
S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year
H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days
TC = S + H
D
Q
Q
2
TC = ($10) + ($.50)
1,500
244.9
244.9
2
1,500 units
TC = $61.24 + $61.24 = $122.48
Only 2% less
than the total
cost of $125
when the
order quantity
was 200
12 - 45© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Reorder Points
 EOQ answers the “how much” question
 The reorder point (ROP) tells “when” to
order
ROP =
Lead time for a
new order in days
Demand
per day
= d x L
d =
D
Number of working days in a year
12 - 46© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Reorder Point Curve
Q*
ROP
(units)
Inventorylevel(units)
Time (days)
Figure 12.5
Lead time = L
Slope = units/day = d
Resupply takes place as order arrives
12 - 47© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Reorder Point Example
Demand = 8,000 iPods per year
250 working day year
Lead time for orders is 3 working days
ROP = d x L
d =
D
Number of working days in a year
= 8,000/250 = 32 units
= 32 units per day x 3 days = 96 units
12 - 48© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Model
 Used when inventory builds up
over a period of time after an
order is placed
 Used when units are produced
and sold simultaneously
12 - 49© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Model
Inventorylevel
Time
Demand part of cycle
with no production
Part of inventory cycle during
which production (and usage)
is taking place
t
Maximum
inventory
Figure 12.6
12 - 50© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Model
Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate
H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate
t = Length of the production run in days
= (Average inventory level) x
Annual inventory
holding cost
Holding cost
per unit per year
= (Maximum inventory level)/2
Annual inventory
level
= –
Maximum
inventory level
Total produced during
the production run
Total used during
the production run
= pt – dt
12 - 51© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Model
Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate
H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate
t = Length of the production run in days
= –
Maximum
inventory level
Total produced during
the production run
Total used during
the production run
= pt – dt
However, Q = total produced = pt ; thus t = Q/p
Maximum
inventory level = p – d = Q 1 –
Q
p
Q
p
d
p
Holding cost = (H) = 1 – H
d
p
Q
2
Maximum inventory level
2
12 - 52© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Model
Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate
H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate
D = Annual demand
Q2 =
2DS
H[1 - (d/p)]
Q* =
2DS
H[1 - (d/p)]p
Setup cost = (D/Q)S
Holding cost = HQ[1 - (d/p)]1
2
(D/Q)S = HQ[1 - (d/p)]
1
2
12 - 53© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Example
D = 1,000 units p = 8 units per day
S = $10 d = 4 units per day
H = $0.50 per unit per year
Q* =
2DS
H[1 - (d/p)]
= 282.8 or 283 hubcaps
Q* = = 80,000
2(1,000)(10)
0.50[1 - (4/8)]
12 - 54© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Production Order Quantity
Model
When annual data are used the equation becomes
Q* =
2DS
annual demand rate
annual production rate
H 1 –
Note:
d = 4 = =
D
Number of days the plant is in operation
1,000
250
12 - 55© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Models
 Reduced prices are often available when
larger quantities are purchased
 Trade-off is between reduced product cost
and increased holding cost
Total cost = Setup cost + Holding cost + Product cost
TC = S + H + PD
D
Q
Q
2
12 - 56© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Models
Discount
Number Discount Quantity Discount (%)
Discount
Price (P)
1 0 to 999 no discount $5.00
2 1,000 to 1,999 4 $4.80
3 2,000 and over 5 $4.75
Table 12.2
A typical quantity discount schedule
12 - 57© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Models
1. For each discount, calculate Q*
2. If Q* for a discount doesn’t qualify,
choose the smallest possible order size
to get the discount
3. Compute the total cost for each Q* or
adjusted value from Step 2
4. Select the Q* that gives the lowest total
cost
Steps in analyzing a quantity discount
12 - 58© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Models
1,000 2,000
Totalcost$
0
Order quantity
Q* for discount 2 is below the allowable range at point a
and must be adjusted upward to 1,000 units at point b
a
b
1st price
break
2nd price
break
Total cost
curve for
discount 1
Total cost curve for discount 2
Total cost curve for discount 3
Figure 12.7
12 - 59© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Example
Calculate Q* for every discount Q* =
2DS
IP
Q1* = = 700 cars/order
2(5,000)(49)
(.2)(5.00)
Q2* = = 714 cars/order
2(5,000)(49)
(.2)(4.80)
Q3* = = 718 cars/order
2(5,000)(49)
(.2)(4.75)
12 - 60© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Example
Calculate Q* for every discount Q* =
2DS
IP
Q1* = = 700 cars/order
2(5,000)(49)
(.2)(5.00)
Q2* = = 714 cars/order
2(5,000)(49)
(.2)(4.80)
Q3* = = 718 cars/order
2(5,000)(49)
(.2)(4.75)
1,000 — adjusted
2,000 — adjusted
12 - 61© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Quantity Discount Example
Discount
Number
Unit
Price
Order
Quantity
Annual
Product
Cost
Annual
Ordering
Cost
Annual
Holding
Cost Total
1 $5.00 700 $25,000 $350 $350 $25,700
2 $4.80 1,000 $24,000 $245 $480 $24,725
3 $4.75 2,000 $23.750 $122.50 $950 $24,822.50
Table 12.3
Choose the price and quantity that gives
the lowest total cost
Buy 1,000 units at $4.80 per unit
12 - 62© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Models and
Safety Stock
 Used when demand is not constant
or certain
 Use safety stock to achieve a desired
service level and avoid stockouts
ROP = d x L + ss
Annual stockout costs = the sum of the units short
x the probability x the stockout cost/unit
x the number of orders per year
12 - 63© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Safety Stock Example
Number of Units Probability
30 .2
40 .2
ROP  50 .3
60 .2
70 .1
1.0
ROP = 50 units Stockout cost = $40 per frame
Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year
12 - 64© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Safety Stock Example
ROP = 50 units Stockout cost = $40 per frame
Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year
Safety
Stock
Additional
Holding Cost Stockout Cost
Total
Cost
20 (20)($5) = $100 $0 $100
10 (10)($5) = $ 50 (10)(.1)($40)(6) = $240 $290
0 $ 0 (10)(.2)($40)(6) + (20)(.1)($40)(6) = $960 $960
A safety stock of 20 frames gives the lowest total cost
ROP = 50 + 20 = 70 frames
12 - 65© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Safety stock 16.5 units
ROP 
Place
order
Probabilistic DemandInventorylevel
Time
0
Minimum demand during lead time
Maximum demand during lead time
Mean demand during lead time
Normal distribution probability of
demand during lead time
Expected demand during lead time (350 kits)
ROP = 350 + safety stock of 16.5 = 366.5
Receive
order
Lead
time
Figure 12.8
12 - 66© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Demand
Use prescribed service levels to set safety
stock when the cost of stockouts cannot be
determined
ROP = demand during lead time + ZsdLT
where Z = number of standard deviations
sdLT = standard deviation of demand
during lead time
12 - 67© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Demand
Safety
stock
Probability of
no stockout
95% of the time
Mean
demand
350
ROP = ? kits Quantity
Number of
standard deviations
0 z
Risk of a stockout
(5% of area of
normal curve)
12 - 68© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Example
Average demand = m = 350 kits
Standard deviation of demand during lead time = sdLT = 10 kits
5% stockout policy (service level = 95%)
Using Appendix I, for an area under the curve
of 95%, the Z = 1.65
Safety stock = ZsdLT = 1.65(10) = 16.5 kits
Reorder point = expected demand during lead time
+ safety stock
= 350 kits + 16.5 kits of safety stock
= 366.5 or 367 kits
12 - 69© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Other Probabilistic Models
1. When demand is variable and lead
time is constant
2. When lead time is variable and
demand is constant
3. When both demand and lead time
are variable
When data on demand during lead time is
not available, there are other models
available
12 - 70© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Other Probabilistic Models
Demand is variable and lead time is constant
ROP = (average daily demand
x lead time in days) + ZsdLT
where sd = standard deviation of demand per day
sdLT = sd lead time
12 - 71© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Example
Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 15
Standard deviation = 5
Lead time is constant at 2 days
90% service level desired
Z for 90% = 1.28
From Appendix I
ROP = (15 units x 2 days) + ZsdLT
= 30 + 1.28(5)( 2)
= 30 + 9.02 = 39.02 ≈ 39
Safety stock is about 9 iPods
12 - 72© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Other Probabilistic Models
Lead time is variable and demand is constant
ROP = (daily demand x average lead
time in days)
= Z x (daily demand) x sLT
where sLT = standard deviation of lead time in days
12 - 73© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Example
Daily demand (constant) = 10
Average lead time = 6 days
Standard deviation of lead time = sLT = 3
98% service level desired
Z for 98% = 2.055
From Appendix I
ROP = (10 units x 6 days) + 2.055(10 units)(3)
= 60 + 61.65 = 121.65
Reorder point is about 122 cameras
12 - 74© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Other Probabilistic Models
Both demand and lead time are variable
ROP = (average daily demand
x average lead time) + ZsdLT
where sd = standard deviation of demand per day
sLT = standard deviation of lead time in days
sdLT = (average lead time x sd
2)
+ (average daily demand)2 x sLT
2
12 - 75© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Probabilistic Example
Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 150
Standard deviation = sd = 16
Average lead time 5 days (normally distributed)
Standard deviation = sLT = 1 day
95% service level desired Z for 95% = 1.65
From Appendix I
ROP = (150 packs x 5 days) + 1.65sdLT
= (150 x 5) + 1.65 (5 days x 162) + (1502 x 12)
= 750 + 1.65(154) = 1,004 packs
12 - 76© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Single Period Model
 Only one order is placed for a product
 Units have little or no value at the end of
the sales period
Cs = Cost of shortage = Sales price/unit – Cost/unit
Co = Cost of overage = Cost/unit – Salvage value
Service level =
Cs
Cs + Co
12 - 77© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Single Period Example
Average demand = m = 120 papers/day
Standard deviation = s = 15 papers
Cs = cost of shortage = $1.25 - $.70 = $.55
Co = cost of overage = $.70 - $.30 = $.40
Service level =
Cs
Cs + Co
.55
.55 + .40
.55
.95
=
= = .578
Service
level
57.8%
Optimal stocking level
m = 120
12 - 78© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Single Period Example
From Appendix I, for the area .578, Z  .20
The optimal stocking level
= 120 copies + (.20)(s)
= 120 + (.20)(15) = 120 + 3 = 123 papers
The stockout risk = 1 – service level
= 1 – .578 = .422 = 42.2%
12 - 79© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Fixed-Period (P) Systems
 Orders placed at the end of a fixed period
 Inventory counted only at end of period
 Order brings inventory up to target level
 Only relevant costs are ordering and holding
 Lead times are known and constant
 Items are independent from one another
12 - 80© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Fixed-Period (P) SystemsOn-handinventory
Time
Q1
Q2
Target quantity (T)
P
Q3
Q4
P
P
Figure 12.9
12 - 81© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Fixed-Period (P) Example
Order amount (Q) = Target (T) - On-
hand inventory - Earlier orders not yet
received + Back orders
Q = 50 - 0 - 0 + 3 = 53 jackets
3 jackets are back ordered No jackets are in stock
It is time to place an order Target value = 50
12 - 82© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
Fixed-Period Systems
 Inventory is only counted at each
review period
 May be scheduled at convenient times
 Appropriate in routine situations
 May result in stockouts between
periods
 May require increased safety stock
12 - 83© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying,
recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher.
Printed in the United States of America.

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Heizer om10 ch12

  • 1. 12 - 1© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 12 Inventory Management PowerPoint presentation to accompany Heizer and Render Operations Management, 10e Principles of Operations Management, 8e PowerPoint slides by Jeff Heyl
  • 2. 12 - 2© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Outline  Global Company Profile: Amazon.com  The Importance of Inventory  Functions of Inventory  Types of Inventory
  • 3. 12 - 3© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Outline – Continued  Managing Inventory  ABC Analysis  Record Accuracy  Cycle Counting  Control of Service Inventories  Inventory Models  Independent vs. Dependent Demand  Holding, Ordering, and Setup Costs
  • 4. 12 - 4© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Outline – Continued  Inventory Models for Independent Demand  The Basic Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Model  Minimizing Costs  Reorder Points  Production Order Quantity Model  Quantity Discount Models
  • 5. 12 - 5© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Outline – Continued  Probabilistic Models and Safety Stock  Other Probabilistic Models  Single-Period Model  Fixed-Period (P) Systems
  • 6. 12 - 6© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Learning Objectives When you complete this chapter you should be able to: 1. Conduct an ABC analysis 2. Explain and use cycle counting 3. Explain and use the EOQ model for independent inventory demand 4. Compute a reorder point and safety stock
  • 7. 12 - 7© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Learning Objectives When you complete this chapter you should be able to: 5. Apply the production order quantity model 6. Explain and use the quantity discount model 7. Understand service levels and probabilistic inventory models
  • 8. 12 - 8© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Amazon.com  Amazon.com started as a “virtual” retailer – no inventory, no warehouses, no overhead; just computers taking orders to be filled by others  Growth has forced Amazon.com to become a world leader in warehousing and inventory management
  • 9. 12 - 9© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Amazon.com 1. Each order is assigned by computer to the closest distribution center that has the product(s) 2. A “flow meister” at each distribution center assigns work crews 3. Lights indicate products that are to be picked and the light is reset 4. Items are placed in crates on a conveyor, bar code scanners scan each item 15 times to virtually eliminate errors
  • 10. 12 - 10© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Amazon.com 5. Crates arrive at central point where items are boxed and labeled with new bar code 6. Gift wrapping is done by hand at 30 packages per hour 7. Completed boxes are packed, taped, weighed and labeled before leaving warehouse in a truck 8. Order arrives at customer within 2 - 3 days
  • 11. 12 - 11© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Inventory Management The objective of inventory management is to strike a balance between inventory investment and customer service
  • 12. 12 - 12© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Importance of Inventory  One of the most expensive assets of many companies representing as much as 50% of total invested capital  Operations managers must balance inventory investment and customer service
  • 13. 12 - 13© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Functions of Inventory 1. To decouple or separate various parts of the production process 2. To decouple the firm from fluctuations in demand and provide a stock of goods that will provide a selection for customers 3. To take advantage of quantity discounts 4. To hedge against inflation
  • 14. 12 - 14© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Types of Inventory  Raw material  Purchased but not processed  Work-in-process  Undergone some change but not completed  A function of cycle time for a product  Maintenance/repair/operating (MRO)  Necessary to keep machinery and processes productive  Finished goods  Completed product awaiting shipment
  • 15. 12 - 15© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The Material Flow Cycle Figure 12.1 Input Wait for Wait to Move Wait in queue Setup Run Output inspection be moved time for operator time time Cycle time 95% 5%
  • 16. 12 - 16© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Managing Inventory 1. How inventory items can be classified 2. How accurate inventory records can be maintained
  • 17. 12 - 17© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall ABC Analysis  Divides inventory into three classes based on annual dollar volume  Class A - high annual dollar volume  Class B - medium annual dollar volume  Class C - low annual dollar volume  Used to establish policies that focus on the few critical parts and not the many trivial ones
  • 18. 12 - 18© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall ABC Analysis Item Stock Number Percent of Number of Items Stocked Annual Volume (units) x Unit Cost = Annual Dollar Volume Percent of Annual Dollar Volume Class #10286 20% 1,000 $ 90.00 $ 90,000 38.8% A #11526 500 154.00 77,000 33.2% A #12760 1,550 17.00 26,350 11.3% B #10867 30% 350 42.86 15,001 6.4% B #10500 1,000 12.50 12,500 5.4% B 72% 23%
  • 19. 12 - 19© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall ABC Analysis Item Stock Number Percent of Number of Items Stocked Annual Volume (units) x Unit Cost = Annual Dollar Volume Percent of Annual Dollar Volume Class #12572 600 $ 14.17 $ 8,502 3.7% C #14075 2,000 .60 1,200 .5% C #01036 50% 100 8.50 850 .4% C #01307 1,200 .42 504 .2% C #10572 250 .60 150 .1% C 8,550 $232,057 100.0% 5%
  • 20. 12 - 20© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall C Items ABC Analysis A Items B Items Percentofannualdollarusage 80 – 70 – 60 – 50 – 40 – 30 – 20 – 10 – 0 – | | | | | | | | | | 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent of inventory items Figure 12.2
  • 21. 12 - 21© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall ABC Analysis  Other criteria than annual dollar volume may be used  Anticipated engineering changes  Delivery problems  Quality problems  High unit cost
  • 22. 12 - 22© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall ABC Analysis  Policies employed may include  More emphasis on supplier development for A items  Tighter physical inventory control for A items  More care in forecasting A items
  • 23. 12 - 23© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Record Accuracy  Accurate records are a critical ingredient in production and inventory systems  Allows organization to focus on what is needed  Necessary to make precise decisions about ordering, scheduling, and shipping  Incoming and outgoing record keeping must be accurate  Stockrooms should be secure
  • 24. 12 - 24© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Cycle Counting  Items are counted and records updated on a periodic basis  Often used with ABC analysis to determine cycle  Has several advantages 1. Eliminates shutdowns and interruptions 2. Eliminates annual inventory adjustment 3. Trained personnel audit inventory accuracy 4. Allows causes of errors to be identified and corrected 5. Maintains accurate inventory records
  • 25. 12 - 25© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Cycle Counting Example 5,000 items in inventory, 500 A items, 1,750 B items, 2,750 C items Policy is to count A items every month (20 working days), B items every quarter (60 days), and C items every six months (120 days) Item Class Quantity Cycle Counting Policy Number of Items Counted per Day A 500 Each month 500/20 = 25/day B 1,750 Each quarter 1,750/60 = 29/day C 2,750 Every 6 months 2,750/120 = 23/day 77/day
  • 26. 12 - 26© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Control of Service Inventories  Can be a critical component of profitability  Losses may come from shrinkage or pilferage  Applicable techniques include 1. Good personnel selection, training, and discipline 2. Tight control on incoming shipments 3. Effective control on all goods leaving facility
  • 27. 12 - 27© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Independent Versus Dependent Demand  Independent demand - the demand for item is independent of the demand for any other item in inventory  Dependent demand - the demand for item is dependent upon the demand for some other item in the inventory
  • 28. 12 - 28© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Holding, Ordering, and Setup Costs  Holding costs - the costs of holding or “carrying” inventory over time  Ordering costs - the costs of placing an order and receiving goods  Setup costs - cost to prepare a machine or process for manufacturing an order
  • 29. 12 - 29© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Holding Costs Category Cost (and range) as a Percent of Inventory Value Housing costs (building rent or depreciation, operating costs, taxes, insurance) 6% (3 - 10%) Material handling costs (equipment lease or depreciation, power, operating cost) 3% (1 - 3.5%) Labor cost 3% (3 - 5%) Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes, and insurance on inventory) 11% (6 - 24%) Pilferage, space, and obsolescence 3% (2 - 5%) Overall carrying cost 26% Table 12.1
  • 30. 12 - 30© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Holding Costs Category Cost (and range) as a Percent of Inventory Value Housing costs (building rent or depreciation, operating costs, taxes, insurance) 6% (3 - 10%) Material handling costs (equipment lease or depreciation, power, operating cost) 3% (1 - 3.5%) Labor cost 3% (3 - 5%) Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes, and insurance on inventory) 11% (6 - 24%) Pilferage, space, and obsolescence 3% (2 - 5%) Overall carrying cost 26% Table 12.1
  • 31. 12 - 31© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Inventory Models for Independent Demand 1. Basic economic order quantity 2. Production order quantity 3. Quantity discount model Need to determine when and how much to order
  • 32. 12 - 32© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Basic EOQ Model 1. Demand is known, constant, and independent 2. Lead time is known and constant 3. Receipt of inventory is instantaneous and complete 4. Quantity discounts are not possible 5. Only variable costs are setup and holding 6. Stockouts can be completely avoided Important assumptions
  • 33. 12 - 33© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Inventory Usage Over Time Figure 12.3 Order quantity = Q (maximum inventory level) Usage rate Average inventory on hand Q 2 Minimum inventory Inventorylevel Time 0
  • 34. 12 - 34© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Minimizing Costs Objective is to minimize total costs Table 12.4(c) Annualcost Order quantity Total cost of holding and setup (order) Holding cost Setup (or order) cost Minimum total cost Optimal order quantity (Q*)
  • 35. 12 - 35© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The EOQ Model Q = Number of pieces per order Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item S = Setup or ordering cost for each order H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year Annual setup cost = (Number of orders placed per year) x (Setup or order cost per order) Annual demand Number of units in each order Setup or order cost per order = Annual setup cost = S D Q = (S)D Q
  • 36. 12 - 36© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The EOQ Model Q = Number of pieces per order Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item S = Setup or ordering cost for each order H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year Annual holding cost = (Average inventory level) x (Holding cost per unit per year) Order quantity 2 = (Holding cost per unit per year) = (H)Q 2 Annual setup cost = S D Q Annual holding cost = H Q 2
  • 37. 12 - 37© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The EOQ Model Q = Number of pieces per order Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) D = Annual demand in units for the inventory item S = Setup or ordering cost for each order H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year Optimal order quantity is found when annual setup cost equals annual holding cost Annual setup cost = S D Q Annual holding cost = H Q 2 D Q S = H Q 2 Solving for Q* 2DS = Q2H Q2 = 2DS/H Q* = 2DS/H
  • 38. 12 - 38© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall An EOQ Example Determine optimal number of needles to order D = 1,000 units S = $10 per order H = $.50 per unit per year Q* = 2DS H Q* = 2(1,000)(10) 0.50 = 40,000 = 200 units
  • 39. 12 - 39© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall An EOQ Example Determine optimal number of needles to order D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order H = $.50 per unit per year = N = = Expected number of orders Demand Order quantity D Q* N = = 5 orders per year 1,000 200
  • 40. 12 - 40© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall An EOQ Example Determine optimal number of needles to order D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit per year = T = Expected time between orders Number of working days per year N T = = 50 days between orders 250 5
  • 41. 12 - 41© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall An EOQ Example Determine optimal number of needles to order D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days Total annual cost = Setup cost + Holding cost TC = S + H D Q Q 2 TC = ($10) + ($.50) 1,000 200 200 2 TC = (5)($10) + (100)($.50) = $50 + $50 = $100
  • 42. 12 - 42© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Robust Model  The EOQ model is robust  It works even if all parameters and assumptions are not met  The total cost curve is relatively flat in the area of the EOQ
  • 43. 12 - 43© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall An EOQ Example Management underestimated demand by 50% D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days TC = S + H D Q Q 2 TC = ($10) + ($.50) = $75 + $50 = $125 1,500 200 200 2 1,500 units Total annual cost increases by only 25%
  • 44. 12 - 44© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall An EOQ Example Actual EOQ for new demand is 244.9 units D = 1,000 units Q* = 244.9 units S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days TC = S + H D Q Q 2 TC = ($10) + ($.50) 1,500 244.9 244.9 2 1,500 units TC = $61.24 + $61.24 = $122.48 Only 2% less than the total cost of $125 when the order quantity was 200
  • 45. 12 - 45© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Reorder Points  EOQ answers the “how much” question  The reorder point (ROP) tells “when” to order ROP = Lead time for a new order in days Demand per day = d x L d = D Number of working days in a year
  • 46. 12 - 46© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Reorder Point Curve Q* ROP (units) Inventorylevel(units) Time (days) Figure 12.5 Lead time = L Slope = units/day = d Resupply takes place as order arrives
  • 47. 12 - 47© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Reorder Point Example Demand = 8,000 iPods per year 250 working day year Lead time for orders is 3 working days ROP = d x L d = D Number of working days in a year = 8,000/250 = 32 units = 32 units per day x 3 days = 96 units
  • 48. 12 - 48© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Model  Used when inventory builds up over a period of time after an order is placed  Used when units are produced and sold simultaneously
  • 49. 12 - 49© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Model Inventorylevel Time Demand part of cycle with no production Part of inventory cycle during which production (and usage) is taking place t Maximum inventory Figure 12.6
  • 50. 12 - 50© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Model Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate t = Length of the production run in days = (Average inventory level) x Annual inventory holding cost Holding cost per unit per year = (Maximum inventory level)/2 Annual inventory level = – Maximum inventory level Total produced during the production run Total used during the production run = pt – dt
  • 51. 12 - 51© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Model Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate t = Length of the production run in days = – Maximum inventory level Total produced during the production run Total used during the production run = pt – dt However, Q = total produced = pt ; thus t = Q/p Maximum inventory level = p – d = Q 1 – Q p Q p d p Holding cost = (H) = 1 – H d p Q 2 Maximum inventory level 2
  • 52. 12 - 52© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Model Q = Number of pieces per order p = Daily production rate H = Holding cost per unit per year d = Daily demand/usage rate D = Annual demand Q2 = 2DS H[1 - (d/p)] Q* = 2DS H[1 - (d/p)]p Setup cost = (D/Q)S Holding cost = HQ[1 - (d/p)]1 2 (D/Q)S = HQ[1 - (d/p)] 1 2
  • 53. 12 - 53© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Example D = 1,000 units p = 8 units per day S = $10 d = 4 units per day H = $0.50 per unit per year Q* = 2DS H[1 - (d/p)] = 282.8 or 283 hubcaps Q* = = 80,000 2(1,000)(10) 0.50[1 - (4/8)]
  • 54. 12 - 54© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Production Order Quantity Model When annual data are used the equation becomes Q* = 2DS annual demand rate annual production rate H 1 – Note: d = 4 = = D Number of days the plant is in operation 1,000 250
  • 55. 12 - 55© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Models  Reduced prices are often available when larger quantities are purchased  Trade-off is between reduced product cost and increased holding cost Total cost = Setup cost + Holding cost + Product cost TC = S + H + PD D Q Q 2
  • 56. 12 - 56© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Models Discount Number Discount Quantity Discount (%) Discount Price (P) 1 0 to 999 no discount $5.00 2 1,000 to 1,999 4 $4.80 3 2,000 and over 5 $4.75 Table 12.2 A typical quantity discount schedule
  • 57. 12 - 57© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Models 1. For each discount, calculate Q* 2. If Q* for a discount doesn’t qualify, choose the smallest possible order size to get the discount 3. Compute the total cost for each Q* or adjusted value from Step 2 4. Select the Q* that gives the lowest total cost Steps in analyzing a quantity discount
  • 58. 12 - 58© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Models 1,000 2,000 Totalcost$ 0 Order quantity Q* for discount 2 is below the allowable range at point a and must be adjusted upward to 1,000 units at point b a b 1st price break 2nd price break Total cost curve for discount 1 Total cost curve for discount 2 Total cost curve for discount 3 Figure 12.7
  • 59. 12 - 59© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Example Calculate Q* for every discount Q* = 2DS IP Q1* = = 700 cars/order 2(5,000)(49) (.2)(5.00) Q2* = = 714 cars/order 2(5,000)(49) (.2)(4.80) Q3* = = 718 cars/order 2(5,000)(49) (.2)(4.75)
  • 60. 12 - 60© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Example Calculate Q* for every discount Q* = 2DS IP Q1* = = 700 cars/order 2(5,000)(49) (.2)(5.00) Q2* = = 714 cars/order 2(5,000)(49) (.2)(4.80) Q3* = = 718 cars/order 2(5,000)(49) (.2)(4.75) 1,000 — adjusted 2,000 — adjusted
  • 61. 12 - 61© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Quantity Discount Example Discount Number Unit Price Order Quantity Annual Product Cost Annual Ordering Cost Annual Holding Cost Total 1 $5.00 700 $25,000 $350 $350 $25,700 2 $4.80 1,000 $24,000 $245 $480 $24,725 3 $4.75 2,000 $23.750 $122.50 $950 $24,822.50 Table 12.3 Choose the price and quantity that gives the lowest total cost Buy 1,000 units at $4.80 per unit
  • 62. 12 - 62© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Models and Safety Stock  Used when demand is not constant or certain  Use safety stock to achieve a desired service level and avoid stockouts ROP = d x L + ss Annual stockout costs = the sum of the units short x the probability x the stockout cost/unit x the number of orders per year
  • 63. 12 - 63© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Safety Stock Example Number of Units Probability 30 .2 40 .2 ROP  50 .3 60 .2 70 .1 1.0 ROP = 50 units Stockout cost = $40 per frame Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year
  • 64. 12 - 64© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Safety Stock Example ROP = 50 units Stockout cost = $40 per frame Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per frame per year Safety Stock Additional Holding Cost Stockout Cost Total Cost 20 (20)($5) = $100 $0 $100 10 (10)($5) = $ 50 (10)(.1)($40)(6) = $240 $290 0 $ 0 (10)(.2)($40)(6) + (20)(.1)($40)(6) = $960 $960 A safety stock of 20 frames gives the lowest total cost ROP = 50 + 20 = 70 frames
  • 65. 12 - 65© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Safety stock 16.5 units ROP  Place order Probabilistic DemandInventorylevel Time 0 Minimum demand during lead time Maximum demand during lead time Mean demand during lead time Normal distribution probability of demand during lead time Expected demand during lead time (350 kits) ROP = 350 + safety stock of 16.5 = 366.5 Receive order Lead time Figure 12.8
  • 66. 12 - 66© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Demand Use prescribed service levels to set safety stock when the cost of stockouts cannot be determined ROP = demand during lead time + ZsdLT where Z = number of standard deviations sdLT = standard deviation of demand during lead time
  • 67. 12 - 67© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Demand Safety stock Probability of no stockout 95% of the time Mean demand 350 ROP = ? kits Quantity Number of standard deviations 0 z Risk of a stockout (5% of area of normal curve)
  • 68. 12 - 68© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Example Average demand = m = 350 kits Standard deviation of demand during lead time = sdLT = 10 kits 5% stockout policy (service level = 95%) Using Appendix I, for an area under the curve of 95%, the Z = 1.65 Safety stock = ZsdLT = 1.65(10) = 16.5 kits Reorder point = expected demand during lead time + safety stock = 350 kits + 16.5 kits of safety stock = 366.5 or 367 kits
  • 69. 12 - 69© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Other Probabilistic Models 1. When demand is variable and lead time is constant 2. When lead time is variable and demand is constant 3. When both demand and lead time are variable When data on demand during lead time is not available, there are other models available
  • 70. 12 - 70© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Other Probabilistic Models Demand is variable and lead time is constant ROP = (average daily demand x lead time in days) + ZsdLT where sd = standard deviation of demand per day sdLT = sd lead time
  • 71. 12 - 71© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Example Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 15 Standard deviation = 5 Lead time is constant at 2 days 90% service level desired Z for 90% = 1.28 From Appendix I ROP = (15 units x 2 days) + ZsdLT = 30 + 1.28(5)( 2) = 30 + 9.02 = 39.02 ≈ 39 Safety stock is about 9 iPods
  • 72. 12 - 72© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Other Probabilistic Models Lead time is variable and demand is constant ROP = (daily demand x average lead time in days) = Z x (daily demand) x sLT where sLT = standard deviation of lead time in days
  • 73. 12 - 73© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Example Daily demand (constant) = 10 Average lead time = 6 days Standard deviation of lead time = sLT = 3 98% service level desired Z for 98% = 2.055 From Appendix I ROP = (10 units x 6 days) + 2.055(10 units)(3) = 60 + 61.65 = 121.65 Reorder point is about 122 cameras
  • 74. 12 - 74© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Other Probabilistic Models Both demand and lead time are variable ROP = (average daily demand x average lead time) + ZsdLT where sd = standard deviation of demand per day sLT = standard deviation of lead time in days sdLT = (average lead time x sd 2) + (average daily demand)2 x sLT 2
  • 75. 12 - 75© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Probabilistic Example Average daily demand (normally distributed) = 150 Standard deviation = sd = 16 Average lead time 5 days (normally distributed) Standard deviation = sLT = 1 day 95% service level desired Z for 95% = 1.65 From Appendix I ROP = (150 packs x 5 days) + 1.65sdLT = (150 x 5) + 1.65 (5 days x 162) + (1502 x 12) = 750 + 1.65(154) = 1,004 packs
  • 76. 12 - 76© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Single Period Model  Only one order is placed for a product  Units have little or no value at the end of the sales period Cs = Cost of shortage = Sales price/unit – Cost/unit Co = Cost of overage = Cost/unit – Salvage value Service level = Cs Cs + Co
  • 77. 12 - 77© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Single Period Example Average demand = m = 120 papers/day Standard deviation = s = 15 papers Cs = cost of shortage = $1.25 - $.70 = $.55 Co = cost of overage = $.70 - $.30 = $.40 Service level = Cs Cs + Co .55 .55 + .40 .55 .95 = = = .578 Service level 57.8% Optimal stocking level m = 120
  • 78. 12 - 78© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Single Period Example From Appendix I, for the area .578, Z  .20 The optimal stocking level = 120 copies + (.20)(s) = 120 + (.20)(15) = 120 + 3 = 123 papers The stockout risk = 1 – service level = 1 – .578 = .422 = 42.2%
  • 79. 12 - 79© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Fixed-Period (P) Systems  Orders placed at the end of a fixed period  Inventory counted only at end of period  Order brings inventory up to target level  Only relevant costs are ordering and holding  Lead times are known and constant  Items are independent from one another
  • 80. 12 - 80© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Fixed-Period (P) SystemsOn-handinventory Time Q1 Q2 Target quantity (T) P Q3 Q4 P P Figure 12.9
  • 81. 12 - 81© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Fixed-Period (P) Example Order amount (Q) = Target (T) - On- hand inventory - Earlier orders not yet received + Back orders Q = 50 - 0 - 0 + 3 = 53 jackets 3 jackets are back ordered No jackets are in stock It is time to place an order Target value = 50
  • 82. 12 - 82© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Fixed-Period Systems  Inventory is only counted at each review period  May be scheduled at convenient times  Appropriate in routine situations  May result in stockouts between periods  May require increased safety stock
  • 83. 12 - 83© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America.