Nanosatellite industry overview updated aug 2015

Nanosatellite Industry Overview
August 2015 Update
Pariente - Nanosatellite Industry
Overview
Aug 20151

Content of the Presentation
• Introduction
• Trends and Hot Topics
• Imaging nanosatellites and big data
• Is This a valid business?
• Myths Vs. Facts
Overview
Aug 20152

Cut to the Chase
• COTS in LEO has proven to be eminently capable …
yet end-users exhibit strong reluctance to use it.
• Community has not learned the lesson of PC vs. Mac
• Perfect is the enemy of Good Enough … If you aim for
perfect in nanosats, you will miss the cost-
effective solution
• Like PCs, CubeSats are disposable (plan to 3-5
years missions)
Andrew E. Kalman, President & CTO, Pumpkin, Inc.
Director, SSDL, Stanford University, July 2012
Overview
Aug 20153

Introduction (1)
• Satellites are categorized by their weight
according to the following key:
– Less than 1 kg: Pico satellite
– Less than 10 kg: Nano satellite
– Less than 100 kg: Micro satellite
• Recently NASA AMES changed the scale
– Less than 5kg: Pico satellite
– Less than 50kg: Nano satellite
– Less than 200 kg: Micro satellite
Credit: NASA
Overview
Aug 20154

Introduction (2)
• Nanosatellite Market growing rapidly
– Cubesats: Conception in 2000
– First missions launched in 2003
– 10-20 projects in 2004
– >300 projects ongoing now (estimate)
– Since 2013, >70 launched per year
– SpaceWorks’ 2014 Projection estimated
between 140 and 143 nano/microsatellites
across all sectors would launch globally in 2014;
158 nano/microsatellites were actually
launched.
• In 2014, 106 commercial
nano/microsatellites (1-50 kg) launched
Overview
Aug 20155

Past Launches
Overview
Aug 20156

Past Launches
Overview
Aug 20157

CubeSatShop – The “AMAZON” of the Industry
Overview
Aug 20158

A satellite inside a satellite inside a satellite
Overview
Aug 20159

Zero2infinity - Bloostar
Overview
10 Aug 2015

Trends and Hot Topics
Overview
Aug 201511

CubeSat Generations
• 1st : Modern Sputniks
• 2nd : Utility of the 3U is demonstrated
• 3rd : More power, attitude control &
determination, propulsion
• 4th : Constellations are here !
• 5th : AI collaborative entities
• 6th : Megaconstellations
Overview
Aug 201512

Trends / Hot Topics
• Earth Imaging/video
• EDAC enabled OBC’s
• >20Krad TID
• ~80W Power systems
• ~100Mbps Comms
• AIS/ADS-B
• Propulsion (gas and plasma)
• Constellations !!
Overview
Aug 201513

SMDC-ONE
Overview
Aug 201514

Proximity operations
Overview
Aug 201515

Focus on ADCS
iADCS-100 from BST MAI-400 from MAI
Main sensor: STR
Main actuators: RW
Accuracy: <0.1 deg 3 sigma
Automatic pointing: Yes
Main sensor: ES+SS
Main actuators: RW
XACT from BCT
Main sensor: STR
Main actuators: RW
Overview
Aug 201516

Focus on Propulsion
Overview
Aug 201517

Water Propulsion
Overview
Aug 201518

Enabling Technologies:
PhoneSat
Overview
Aug 201519

New Assembly scheme - Monarch
Overview
Aug 201520

Imagine Satellites and Big Data
What (On earth) can be done with
Yottabyte of data ??
Aug 2015
Overview
21

The World is about to change
• Three major satellite constellations will be fully
operational within three to five years
– SkyBox (24 satellites: Video + images)
– Planet Labs (100-200 satellites: images including IR)
– Spire (60-100 Satellites: images for weather forcast)
• Live video streaming called Urthecast (2 cameras 4K
each, color) will be operational within months
• Fully Operational, these constellations, along with
Urthecast will generate about 2.98 Exabytes of data per
day (That’s about 1.08 Zettabytes per year)
– 480 Mbyte/sec * 6 hours/day * 24 (SkyBox) * 100 (Planet
Labs) * 60 (Spire) * 2 (Urthecast)
Aug 2015
Overview
22

Yottabyte ??? What is Yottabyte
Yottabyte (1024)
= 1024 Zettabytes (1021)
= 1048576 Exabytes (1018)
= 1073741824 Petabytes (1015)
= 1099511627776 Terabytes (1012)
= 1125899906842624 Gigabytes (109)
= 1152921504606846976 Megabytes (106)
= 1180591620717411303424 Kilobytes (103)
= 1,208,925,819,614,629,174,706,176 bytes
interesting fact: 2 Petabytes would store the entire
contents of ALL US academic libraries
Aug 2015
Overview
23

Removing barriers
Overview
Aug 201524

Using all kinds of Frequencies
Overview
Aug 201525

X-band 100Mbps transmitter
Overview
Aug 201526

Miniature Ka-band Transmitter
Aug 2015
Overview
27
Credit: CANOPUS

Patch Antennas
Overview
Aug 201528
Credit: AntDevCo, ClydeSpace
14 dbi, 68 g, 7x7 cm
8 dbi, 50 g, 6.7 cm

Miniature Deployable High Gain
Antenna - Boeing
Overview
Aug 201529

Miniature Deployable High Gain
Antenna - Boeing
Overview
Aug 201530

Another method to deploy
Aug 2015
Overview
31
Credit: CANOPUS

Why deploy if you can…. Inflate ?
Credit: MIT
Overview
Aug 201532

Ka !! The ISARA Project (NASA)
• 100 Mbps communication in Ka
• 35 db antenna gain
• Unique “PopUp” Feed
Overview
Aug 201533

MarCO Ka Antenna
Aug 2015
Overview
34
"InSight MarCO Transparent" by NASA/JPL-Caltech-

Expandable Antennas
Overview
35 Aug 2015

AeroCube-OCSD:
1.5U Optical communication
Overview
Aug 201536

RainCube – 35GHz SAR
Aug 2015
Overview
37
"Radar in Cubesat "by NASA/JPL

Livestream Video from Space
Overview
Aug 201538
•panchromatic high-definition video, in clips up to 90 seconds
long with 30 frames per second at a resolution of 1.1 meters

TUBSAT - LAPAN
Aug 2015
Overview
39

Transforming imagery into unlimited business value
Aug 2015
Overview
40
• Agriculture Health Monitoring,
• Humanitarian Aid,
• Insurance Modeling,
• Oil Storage Monitoring,
• Natural Disaster Response,
• Oil & Gas Infrastructure Monitoring,
• Financial Trading Intelligence,
• Mining Operations Monitoring,
• Carbon Monitoring,
• Maritime Monitoring

Is this a valid Business ?
Overview
Aug 201541

2013 – The year it became a business !
Summary of 02/2014 SpaceWorks report
• Commercial companies will contribute over one
fourth of all nano/microsatellites launched in
2014
– This is a significant increase from 2013, where
the commercial sector contributed only 11%
– The continued emergence and growth of
commercial companies (see table) will result in
an even greater increase in 2015, with the
sector contributing 60% of all
nano/microsatellites launched
• Many companies have publicly revealed their
near-term intentions regarding future launches
of nano/microsatellites and the satellites’ wide
spectrum of revenue generating applications
• Other companies have been more reserved,
revealing only small details of their plans
Precise quantities aside, strong evidence suggests the commercial sector will
have a meaningful and enduring impact on the nano/microsatellite industry
Overview
Aug 201542

New Space is a fact
Overview
Aug 201543

Planet Labs
Overview
Aug 201544

Flock-1 Launch 02/2014
>100 satellites launched !!
Credit: NASA
Overview
Aug 201545

SPIRE – Satellites on Demand
Overview
Aug 201546

Launch 11/2013
3 ArduSats in space, more will be launched this year
Credit: NASA
Overview
Aug 201547

ADS-B
Yellow indicates
Ground based
ADS-B – No oceanic cover !!
Overview
Aug 201548

STEM Education
• Near space experiments
• Space Camp
• Lectures
Aug 2015
Overview
49

The First Israeli Nanosatellite !
Aug 2015
Overview
50
Launched on 19/06/2014 with a
record breaking 37 satellites
cluster launch. Still working 

The First Israeli Nanosat Launch
Aug 2015
Overview
51

Myths Vs. Facts
Overview
Aug 201552

Myth: Nanosatellites are not reliable, Their success rate
is less than 50%
Fact: Success rate of Nanosatellite projects for the last
five years is stable >80%
• Nanosatellites Industry is complex, and incorporates
industrial, research and academic institutes
• Discussing “Nanosatellites Reliability” without taking
into account who manufactured the satellites is like
discussing “automobile reliability” while comparing
BMW to TATA
Myth #1: Nanosatellites Reliability
Overview
Aug 201553

Are COTS Reliable enough ?
Excluding the three large launch campaigns in 2013-2014 the success rate is 80%
Overview
82%
91%
93%
99%
92%
95% 95%
99%
16.00
21.71
27.40
47.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
55.00
60.00
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2003-2014 2007-2014 2009-2014 2013-2014
Overall Succes rate
Success in Space
#/year
Aug 201554

Myth: COTS are not reliable, They are the cause for failures
Fact: Components are very reliable, the problem is
workmanship
• Two thirds of the projects are done by amateurs with no
experience in space standards AIT
• Technical analysis presented @2011 small sat conference
showed most failures are related to workmanship
• Flagship schools build “real” missions that work (90%
success) -
• Components are getting better all the time
– This is a competitive market with several leading manufacturers
pushing for constant quality improvement of products
Myth #2: Components Reliability
Overview
Aug 201555

Most satellites are being built by amateurs
Attack of the CubeSats: A Statistical Look: Michael Swartwout – Saint Louis University
Overview
Aug 201556

Myth: Nanosatellites that reach space last for several
months and than die
Fact: There are nanosatellites that launched more than
a decade ago and are still operational
• COTS are now RAD tolerant up to 20 Krad
• Computers are Latchup and SEU protected
• Low cost allow redundancy
– Several items in a satellite
– Several satellites (mission redundancy)
Myth #3: Nanosatellites don’t last long in space
Overview
Aug 201557

• Satellites active since 2003
– Cute-1
– CubeSat XI-IV
– RS-22
– Cubesat XI-V
– GeneSat-1
– Cute-1.7 + APD II
– Delfi-C3
– SEEDS II
– PRISM
– SwissCube
– BEESAT
– ITUpSAT1
Average mission lifetime > 40 months
Mission Lifetime for Nanosatellites
*source of data: Cubesat page at the AMSAT web page
Overview
Aug 201558

Future Trends
Overview
Aug 201559

Market Forecast
Overview
Aug 201560

Nano/Micro satellite Future programs
Credit: SpaceWorks Nano/Microsatellite Market AssessmentPariente - Nanosatellite Industry
Overview
Aug 201561

Analysis per sector
Overview
Aug 201562

2014 Market assessment conclusions
• The civil sector remains strong, but the eruption
of commercial companies and start-up activities
will continue to influence the nano/microsatellite
market; future launches suggest this trend will
continue
• Recent multi-million and multi-billion dollar
investments in various ventures confirm the
commercial sector’s continued interest in the
nano/microsatellite and small satellite industries.
Overview
Aug 201563

• 4rd Generation is here !
– Since 2012 success rate is more than 90%
• Commercial companies will dominate the CubeSat market
– EDU project will decrease to 25% of the market
• Workmanship is the main cause for failures
– Communication system failures are often due to bad wiring and
not transmitter or receiver failures
– Power system failures mostly occur due to connection loss
between solar panels and batteries
• Quality of subsystem is constantly improving
– Number of manufacturers is rising, especially in Europe
– Economical constraints derived meticulous QA
– Competitiveness in the market manifests in the form of better
quality products
• High-End customers require High-End products
– Space QA is now part of the production line
Summary
Overview
Aug 201564

Retrospect
• 2000 - Small Satellites in Triumph and Tribulation: A Year of Paradoxes
• 2001 - Small Satellites - Coming of Age
• 2002 - "Breakthrough Technologies" - The Foundation of the Future
• 2003 - Access to Space: Getting There is More Than Half the Battle
• 2004 - Small Satellites: Complementary or Disruptive Technology?
• 2005 - Small Satellite Standards: Key to the Future?2014 - The
Commerce of Small Satellites
• 2006 - The First Twenty Years: Where we've been, Where we're going
• 2007 - It's the Mission that Matters
Aug 2015
Overview
65

Retrospect
• 2008 - Big Business
• 2009 - Elements of New Space Systems
• 2010 - Connecting the Dots: Bringing Visionaries, System
Implementers & Mission Sponsors Together
• 2011 - 25 Years of Progress: Endless Prospects for the
Future
• 2012 - Enhancing Global Awareness through Small
Satellites
• 2013 - Small Satellite Constellations: Strength in Numbers
• 2014 - The Commerce of Small Satellites
• 2015 – All systems go
Aug 2015
Overview
66

What about EDU Projects ?
They just became smaller
Femto-sats
PocketQubes
WREN
By STADOKO UG
Overview
Aug 201567

Thank you
Overview
Aug 201568

Sources of Information
• 25 Years of Small Satellites
– Siegfried Janson – The Aerospace Corporation
• Attack of the CubeSats: A Statistical Look
– Michael Swartwout – Saint Louis University
• Recent CubeSat Launch Experiences on U.S. Launch Vehicles
– Jordi Puig-Suari, Roland Coelho – California Polytechnic State University; Scott Williams, Victor Aguero, Kyle
Leveque, Bryan Klofas – SRI International
• Distant Horizons: Smallsat Evolution in the Mid-to-Far Term
– Matt Bille, Paul Kolodziejski, Tom Hunsaker – Booz Allen Hamilton
• Nine Years and Counting – A Nanosatellite Designer's Perspective
– Andrew E. Kalman , President & CTO, Pumpkin, Inc. Director, SSDL, Stanford University
• Propulsion Solutions for CubeSats
– W. Dan Williams, Busek Co. Inc
• Beyond CubeSats: Operational, Responsive, Nanosatellite Missions
– Jeroen Rotteveel, ISIS- Innovative Solutions in Space
• Reliability of University-Class Spacecraft: A Statistical Look
– Prof Michael Swartwout – Saint Louis University, March 2012
• The Future of CubeSat Data Communications, 26 October 2012
– Bryan Klofas KF6ZEO, SRI International
• Nano/Microsatellite Market Assessment, February 2015
– Mr. Dominic DePasquale , Director of Washington D.C. Operations, Dr. John Bradford, President, SpaceWorks
Engineering
Overview
Aug 201569

Nanosatellite industry overview updated aug 2015

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