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Aceee Ally Webinar Laitner Jan 2010
1. John A. “Skip” Laitner Director of Economic and Social Analysis American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) ACEEE Ally Webinar Washington, DC January 19, 2010 Exploring the Macroeconomic Benefits of Smart Climate and Energy Policies: The Role of Productive Investment in Economic Activity * From the October 2009 ACEEE report , Climate Change Policy as an Economic Re-development Opportunity: The Role of Productive Investments in Mitigating Greenhouse Gas Emissions . See, http://www.aceee.org/press/e098pr.htm . *
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6. ACEEE Analysis of Climate Legislation: Net Savings from Efficiency Investments* Assuming a 76% reduction in GHG Emissions by 2050 *see: http://www.aceee.org/press/e098pr.htm .
7. ACEEE Analysis of Climate Legislation: Net Jobs from Efficiency Investments* Assuming a 76% reduction in GHG Emissions by 2050 *see: http://www.aceee.org/press/e098pr.htm .
8. Key Insight #1: Purposeful Effort is Required if We are to Respond to the Climate Imperative Standard Technology Performance, Productivity and Returns Time Some might say this is about where we are on the curve at the moment
9. Key Insight #1: Purposeful Effort is Required if We are to Respond to the Climate Imperative Cumulative Investment and Purposeful Effort Transformation Standard Technology Smart Grid/ Smart Infrastructure and other ICT-Enabled Technology Performance, Productivity and Returns But, new metrics are required to help us understand the full range of opportunities, and to evaluate and verify their impact
10. Key Insight #2: Efficiency Investments Are Almost Always Less Expensive
11. Key Insight #3: Productive Investments Generate a Net Positive Return The Standard “Big MACC “based on left axis with only cost of CO 2 perspective The “Big MACC” based on right axis reflecting amortized energy costs The Marginal Abatement Cost Curve in 2030
12. Key Insight #4: Energy Productivity Shifts Spending To Greater Labor and GDP Impacts Source: 2007 IMPLAN data set for the U.S. economy (2009).
13. Changes in the 2050 Resource Costs from the Adoption of U.S. Climate Policies Source: Diagnostic Assessment of Case #5 in http://www.aceee.org/press/e098pr.htm . Assuming a 76% reduction in GHG Emissions by 2050 Enabled by ICT, smart-grid, smart Infrastructure, new materials, new technologies, and innovative behaviors 2,256 171 31 -926 1,532 Reference Case Energy Bill Annual Investment Payments Annual Policy and Program Costs Changed Energy Bill Expenditures Including Carbon Charge Policy Case Resource Costs Resource Costs in 2050 (Billion 2007 $)
14. Key Insight #5: The Energy Efficiency Resource Is Larger than Generally Believed Actual Historical Consumption Source: DOE 1980 Policy Analysis, AEO 2009, and a 2009 ACEEE report, “The Positive Economics of Climate Change Policies: What the Historical Evidence Can Tell Us,” see: http://www.aceee.org/press/e095pr.htm . Enabled by ICT, smart-grid, smart Infrastructure, new materials, new technologies, and innovative behaviors Enabled by Smart Policies Primary Energy (Quads)
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18. The difficulty lies not with the new ideas, but in escaping the old ones. . . . John Maynard Keynes
19. Contact Information John A. “Skip” Laitner Director, Economic and Social Analysis American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) 529 14 th Street NW, Suite 600 Washington, DC 20045 o: (202) 507-4029 Email: jslaitner@aceee.org For more information and updates visit: http://www.aceee.org
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