This presentation by Gavin Giovannoni looks at the new treatment paradigm for MS. It includes: arguments for early treatment in multiple sclerosis, the effect of MS on quality of life and whether highly-effective treatments stabilise MS.
It was presented at the MS Trust Annual Conference in November 2013.
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The new treatment paradigm for MS
1. The new treatment paradigm for MS:
treat-2-target of NEDA
Zero Tolerance = ZeTo
Gavin Giovannoni
Barts and The London
2. Disclosures
Professor Giovannoni has received personal compensation for participating on
Advisory Boards in relation to clinical trial design, trial steering committees and
data and safety monitoring committees from: Abbvie, Bayer-Schering Healthcare,
Biogen-Idec, Canbex, Eisai, Elan, Fiveprime, Genzyme, Genentech, GSK, GW
Pharma, Ironwood, Merck-Serono,
Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis,
Synthon BV, Teva, UCB Pharma and Vertex Pharmaceuticals.
Regarding www.ms-res.org survey results in this presentation: please note that no
personal identifiers were collected as part of these surveys and that by
completing the surveys participants consented for their anonymous data to be
analysed and presented by Professor Giovannoni.
Professor Giovannoni would like to acknowledge and thank Biogen-Idec,
Genzyme and Merck-Serono for making available data slides on natalizumab,
alemtuzumab and oral cladribine for this presentation.
8. 21-year long-term follow-up of IFNb-1b study
time from study randomization to death
Early treatment (3 years) with IFNb-1b was associated with a 47% reduction
in the risk of dying over 21 years compared with initial placebo treatment
IFNB-1b 250 µg
Placebo
HR=0.532 (95% CI: 0.314–0.902)
46.8% reduction in hazard ratio
Log rank, P=0.0173
At risk:
IFNB-1b 250 µg
Placebo
124
123
124
120
121
117
118
109
104
88
Goodin et al Neurology. 2012 Apr 24;78(17):1315-22.
10. Theoretical model: treat early and effectively
Time is brain
Natural course
of disease
Disability
Later
treatment
Treatment
at diagnosis
Disease
Onset
Later
intervention
Intervention
at diagnosis
Time
13. Untreated MS is a devastating disease
Cognitive Dysfunction
•Prevalence: 43% to 65%1,2
•Affects employment, activities
of daily living,
and social functioning2
Life Shortening
•5- to 11-year decrease in
life expectancy3-7
•2- to 7-fold increase in suicide
risk5,8
•∼50% MS patients die of
disease-related causes5,6,8
QOL
QOL
EDSS and utility* have shown a
EDSS and utility* have shown a
significant inverse relationship99
significant inverse relationship
MS has a negative
MS has a negative
impact on…
impact on…
Healthcare costs
Healthcare costs
Bulk of cost attributed to services
Bulk of cost attributed to services
(28.5%) and long-term sick leave and
(28.5%) and long-term sick leave and
early retirement (30%)§,14
early retirement (30%)§,14
Mortality
Mortality
Mortality ratio of patients with MS
Mortality ratio of patients with MS
exceeds CV disease,†,10 stroke,‡,11 and
exceeds CV disease,†,10 stroke,‡,11 and
early breast cancer12
early breast cancer12
Employment
Employment
∼50% of patients with MS are
∼50% of patients with MS are
unemployed as of EDSS 3.0 and/or
unemployed as of EDSS 3.0 and/or
after 10 years from diagnosis13
after 10 years from diagnosis13
Relationships
Relationships
Compared with general population, patients
Compared with general population, patients
with MS have a higher probability of
with MS have a higher probability of
separating/divorcing and doing so sooner13
separating/divorcing and doing so sooner13
*In this study, utility measures were derived from EQ-5D using the EuroQoL instrument;
†
in patients with type 2 diabetes; ‡in patients with valvular heart disease in Olmsted County,
Minnesota; §MS patients with EDSS ≥6.
EDSS=Expanded Disability Status Scale; QOL=quality of life; CV=cardiovascular;
EQ-5D=European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions.
1. Rao SM et al. Neurology. 1991;41:685-691; 2. Rao SM et al. Neurology. 1991;41:692-696; 3. Sadovnick AD et al. Neurology. 1992;42:991-994;
4. Ebers GC. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2001;71:16-19; 5. Torkildsen G et al. Mult Scler. 2008;14:1191-1198; 6. Smestad C et al. Mult Scler.
2009;15:1263-1270; 7. Kingwell E et al. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2012;83:61-66; 8. Sadovnick AD et al. Neurology. 1991;41:1193-1196;
9. Orme M et al. Value Heath. 2007;10:54-60; 10. De Marco R et al. Diabetes Care. 1999;22:756-761; 11. Petty DW et al. Mayo Clin Proc.
2005;80:1001-1008; 12. Hooning MJ et al. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2006;64:1081-1091; 13. Pfleger CC et al. Mult Scler. 2010;16:121-126;
14. Beg J et al. Eur J Health Econ. 2006;7(suppl 2):S75-S85.
14. Consequences of Increasing EDSS Scores:
Loss of Employment1
Proportion of Patients ≤65 Years Old
Working (%)
Work Capacity by Disability Level
Austria
Belgium
Germany
Italy
Netherlands
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
~10 yrs2
20
10
0
0.0/1.0 2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
6.5
7.0 8.0/9.0
EDSS Score
The proportion of patients employed or on long-term sick leave is calculated as a percentage of patients aged 65 or younger.
1. Kobelt G et al. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2006;77:918-926;
2. Pfleger CC et al. Mult Scler. 2010;16:121-126.
14
14
15. The effect of MS on quality of life
a
EDSS and utility show a significant inverse relationship
1,b
Utility
• MS is one of the most common
causes of neurological disability
in young adults2
• Natural history studies indicate
that it takes a median time of 8,
20, and 30 years to reach the
irreversible disability levels of
EDSS 4, 6, and 7, respectively3
EDSS Status
Utility measures are derived from EQ-5D using the EuroQoL instrument.
Error bars depict 95% confidence intervals. Half points on EDSS are not shown on graph axis,
except at EDSS 6.5.
a
b
1. Adapted from Orme M et al. Value In Health. 2007;10:54-60. 2. WHO and MSIF. http://apps.who.int/bookorders/anglais/detart1.jsp?sesslan=1&codlan=1
15
&codcol=15&codcch=747. Accessed October 6, 2010. 3. Confavreaux, Compston. 2005. 4. Compston A, Coles A. Lancet 2008
17. What prognostic group does the Mser fall Into?
Good Prognosis:
Poor Prognosis:
•Younger age at onset1,2
•Older age of onset1,2
•Female sex1-3
•Male sex1-3
•Optic neuritis4
•“Multifocal” onset4
•Isolated sensory symptoms4
•Efferent systems affected (motor,
cerebellar, bladder)4
•Complete recovery from first attack5
•Long interval to second relapse
4
•No disability after 5 years4
•Normal MRI / low lesion load4
•CSF negative for oligoclonal bands2,6
•Incomplete recovery from first
attack5
•High relapse rate in the first 2–5
years4
•Substantial disability after 5 years4
•Abnormal MRI with large lesion
load4
•CSF positive for oligoclonal bands2,6
CSF=cerebrospinal fluid
1. Scalfari A et al. J Neurol Neurosurg Pschiatry 2013;00:1-9; 2. Fernandez O. J Neurol Sci 2013;331:10-3; 3. Damasceno A et al. J Neurol Sci
2013;324:29-33; 4. Miller D et al. Lancet Neurol 2005:4;281-8; 5. Confavreux C et al. Brain 2003;126:770-82; 6. Villar LM et al. J Clin Invest
2005;115:187-94.
17
18. Baseline Number of Brain Lesions
Predicts Progression to EDSS Score ≥3.0
Queen Square Study
The data presented for years 5, 10, 14, and 20 were obtained from different publications based on the same longitudinal study.
The exact relationship between MRI findings and the clinical status of the patient is unknown.
Fisniku LK et al. Brain. 2008;131:808-817; Morrissey SP et al. Brain. 1993;116:135-146; O’Riordan JI et al. Brain. 1998;121:495-503;
Brex PA et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:158-164.
19. What is benign MS?
163 patients with “benign” MS
(disease duration >15 years and EDSS <3.5):
45% cognitive impairment
49% fatigue
54% depression
20. Impact of MS: cognitive functioning in the
CIS stage
Cognitive test performance in an exploratory study*
60%
Patients
failing ≥ 2
cognitive
tests
40%
57%
20%
Deficits were found mainly in
memory, speed of information
processing, attention and
executive functioning
7%
0%
p < 0.0001
-20%
CIS Patients
n = 40
20
Healthy Controls
n = 30
Feuillet et al. Mult Scler. 2007.
21. Theoretical model: treat early and effectively
Time is brain
Natural course
of disease
Disability
Later
treatment
Treatment
at diagnosis
Disease
Onset
Later
intervention
Intervention
at diagnosis
Time
23. Survival in MS: a randomized cohort study 21 years
after the start of the pivotal IFN-1b trial
Goodin et al. Neurology 2012;78:1315-1322.
24. % Risk Relative to Low Exposure
Establishing long-term efficacy: use of recursive partitioning
and propensity score adjustment to estimate outcome in MS
100
Long-term follow-up 16 years
IFN-beta exposure 80% vs. 20%
80
60
40
20
0
Any Negative
EDSS=6
SPMS
Wheelchair
Goodin et al. PLoS One. 2011;6(11):e22444.
25. STRATA: Patients Had Stable EDSS Scores for up to 5 years
Cessation/
Treatment Gap*
Original Placebo
Original Natalizumab
Mean EDSS Score
Original Placebo – Now on Natalizumab
n = 380 707
381 707
280 552
385 709
274 569
1 Year
*P<0.0001
Kappos L et al. Presented at ECTRIMS; October 10–13, 2012; Lyon, France P520.
25
230 479
205 462
194 427
2 Years
3 Years
4 Years
174 393
5 Years
26. TOP: Earlier Natalizumab Treatment Favors
Annualized Relapse Rate Outcomes
P<0.0001
P<0.0001
<3.0
≥3.0
0
Baseline EDSS Score
1
≥2
Prior DMTs Used
P values from a negative binomial regression model adjusted for gender, baseline EDSS score (<3.0 vs ≥3.0l), relapse status in the prior
year (≤1 vs >1), prior DMT use (<3 vs ≥3), disease duration (<8 vs ≥8 years), and treatment duration (≥3 vs <3 years), except for the factor
of interest. Error bars represent 95% CIs.
DMT=disease-modifying therapy; CI=confidence interval.
Wiendl et al. Presented at ENS; June 8–11, 2013; Barcelona, Spain,. P372.
26
27. Mean Annualized Relapse Rate
TOP: Earlier Natalizumab Treatment Favors
Annualized Relapse Rate Outcomes
0.50
P<0.0001
0.40
0.45
0.40
0.35
P<0.0001
0.30
0.25
0.24
0.23
0.16
0.28
0.18
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
0 DMT
1 DMT
0 DMT
≥2 DMTs
1 DMT
≥2 DMTs
≥2 Relapses
1 Relapse
Baseline Relapse and Treatment History
P values from a negative binomial regression model adjusted for gender, baseline EDSS score (<3.0vs ≥3.0l), relapse status in the prior
year (≤1 vs >1), prior DMT use (<3 vs ≥3), disease duration (≥8 vs <8 years), and treatment duration (≥3 vs <3 years), except for the
factor of interest. Error bars are 95% CIs.
Wiendl et al. Presented at ENS; June 8–11, 2013; Barcelona, Spain. P372.
27
34. Relapse on IFNβ Therapy Increases Risk of
Sustained Disability Progression
HR of EDSS Increase in Patients with No Relapses, 1 Relapse, and 2 or
More Relapses During the First 2 Years of IFN Treatment
HR
No relapses (reference=1)
SE
P Value
95% CI
1
One relapse
3.41
1.47
0.005
1.46–7.98
Two or more relapses
4.37
1.74
0.000
1.90–9.57
EDSS Progression
Survival Probability
1.00
No Relapses
One Relapse
Two or More Relapses
0.75
0.50
0.25
HR=hazard ratio; SE=standard error
0
0
20
40
60
Analysis Time (Months)
80
Bosca et al. Mult Scler. 2008;14:636-639.
40. Predictors of long-term outcome in
MSers treated with interferon beta-1a
Bermel et al. Ann Neuol 2012.
41. MRI to monitor treatment response to IFNβ: a meta-analysis
One New T2 Lesion
Study or Subgroup
Kinkel 2008
Pozzilli 2005
Prosperini 2009
Sormani 2011
Total (95% CI) 2.69 (0.72, 10.04)
0.01
Odds Ratio
IV, Random, 95% CI
0.1
1
10
Disease Less Likely Disease More Likely
100
Two or More New T2 Lesions
Study or Subgroup
Kinkel 2008
Prosperini 2009
Total (95% CI) 9.86 (2.33, 41.70)
Odds Ratio
IV, Random, 95% CI
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
Favors Experimental Favors Control
Dobson et al. Submitted 2013.
42. MRI to monitor treatment response to IFNβ: a meta-analysis
One New Gd+ Lesion
Odds Ratio
IV, Random, 95% CI
Study or Subgroup
Kinkel 2008
Pozzilli 2005
Tomassini 2006
Total (95% CI) 3.34 (1.36, 8.22)
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
Disease Less Likely Disease More Likely
Two or More New Gd+ Lesions
Odds Ratio
IV, Random, 95% CI
Study or Subgroup
Kinkel 2008
Rio 2008
Total (95% CI) 5.46 (2.48, 12.04)
0.01
0.1
Disease Less Likely
1
10
100
Disease More Likely
Dobson et al. Submitted 2013.
44. Strongest predictor of disability progression on
IFNβ therapy is progression itself
Disease activity during 2 years of treatment and prediction of disability progression* at 6 years
Sensitivity (%)
(CI)
Specificity (%)
(CI)
A. An increase of at least one EDSS step confirmed at 6 months
85 (64–95)
93 (86–97)
B. Occurrence of any relapse
80 (58–92)
51 (41–61)
C. Occurrence of two or more relapses
45 (26–66)
81 (72–82)
D. A decrease in relapse rate less than 30% compared with 2 years
before therapy
40 (22–61)
86 (77–91)
E. A decrease in relapse rate less than 50% compared with 2 years
before therapy
40 (–61)
81 (72–88)
F. No decrease or identical relapse rate compared with 2 years
before therapy
35 (18–57)
88 (79–93)
G. Definition A or B
90 (70–97)
48 (38–58)
H. Definition A or E
85 (64–95)
76 (66–83)
I.
Definition A and B
75 (53–89)
97 (91–99)
J.
Definition A and E
40 (22–61)
99 (94–99)
Group
*EDSS score ≥6.0 or increase in at least 3 EDSS steps.
Río J et al. Ann Neurol. 2006;59:344-352.
45. Relationship between early clinical characteristics and long term disability
outcomes: 16 year cohort study (follow-up) of the pivotal interferon-beta-1b trial
Goodin et al. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2012 Mar;83(3):282-7.
47. STRATA: Patients Had Stable EDSS Scores for up to 5 years
Cessation/
Treatment Gap*
Original Placebo
Original Natalizumab
Mean EDSS Score
Original Placebo – Now on Natalizumab
n = 380 707
381 707
280 552
385 709
274 569
1 Year
*P<0.0001
Kappos L et al. Presented at ECTRIMS; October 10–13, 2012; Lyon, France P520.
47
230 479
205 462
194 427
2 Years
3 Years
4 Years
174 393
5 Years
48. Alemtuzumab Clinical Development Program vs. High-dose SC IFNB-1a
CAMMS2231
(completed)
CARE-MS I2
(completed)
CARE-MS II3
(completed)
Extension4,5,a
(ongoing)
2
3
3
3
Active RRMS,
treatment-naïve
Active RRMS,
treatment-naïve
Active RRMS,
relapsed on prior therapy
RRMS patients enrolled
into phase 2 and 3
studies
334
581
840
1322
3
2
2
4
Inclusion
criteria
EDSS ≤3
Onset ≤3 yrs
Enhancing lesion
EDSS ≤3
Onset ≤5 yrs
EDSS ≤5
Onset ≤10 yrs
CAMMS223,
CARE-MS I & II
patients
Treatment
arms
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
Alemtuzumab 24 mg
SC IFNB-1a 44 µg
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
—
SC IFNB-1a 44 µg
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
Alemtuzumab 24 mgb
SC IFNB-1a 44 µg
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
(Re-treatment as needed
after 2 fixed courses)
Relapse rate
SAD
Long-term safety and
efficacy outcomes
Phase
Patient
population
Patients, n
Study
duration, yrs
Co-primary
outcomes
Relapse rate
Sustained accumulation of disability (SAD)
Enrolling patients from all 3 studies; b Exploratory arm, discontinued enrollment early
CARE-MS=Comparison of Alemtuzumab and Rebif® Efficacy in Multiple Sclerosis; EDSS=Expanded Disability Status Scale; SC IFNB=subcutaneous
interferon beta
1. Coles AJ et al. N Engl J Med 2008;359:1786-801; 2. Cohen JA et al. Lancet 2012;380:1819-28; 3. Coles AJ et al. Lancet 2012;380:1829-39; 4. Brinar V
et al. ENS 2011. P912; 5. Fox E et al. AAN 2013. S41.001.
Rebif® is a registered trademark of EMD Serono, Inc.
a
48
49. Demographics and Baseline Clinical Characteristics in
Treatment-naïve Patients
CAMMS2231-2,a
CARE-MS I3,b
Pooled CAMMS223 and
CARE-MS I1-3
SC IFNB-1a
44 μg
N=111
Alemtuzumab
12 mg
N=112
SC IFNB-1a
44 μg
N=187
Alemtuzumab
12 mg
N=376
SC IFNB-1a
44 μg
N=294
Alemtuzumab
12 mg
N=483
32.8 (8.8)
31.9 (8.0)
33.2 (8.5)
33.0 (8.0)
33.1 (8.6)
32.9 (8.0)
64
64
65
65
65
65
Time since first relapse,
years, mean (SD)
1.6 (1.0)
1.4 (0.84)
2.0 (1.3)
2.1 (1.4)
1.8 (1.2)
1.9 (1.3)
EDSS, mean (SD)
1.9 (0.8)
1.9 (0.7)
2.0 (0.8)
2.0 (0.8)
1.9 (0.8)
2.0 (0.8)
No. of relapses in prior year,
mean (SD)
1.6 (0.8)
1.7 (0.9)
1.8 (0.8)
1.8 (0.8)
1.8 (0.8)
1.8 (0.8)
Patients with Gd-enhancing
lesions,%
100
100
51
46
69.7
58.6
Age, years mean (SD)
Gender, % female
• CARE-MS I and CAMMS223 were pooled to increase the sample size for
subpopulation analyses
−
Similar study designs, eligibility rules, baseline demographic characteristics, assessment
schedules, and definitions of the co-primary efficacy endpoints
Gd=gadolinium; SD=standard deviation
a
Inclusion criteria included EDSS ≤3, onset of symptoms within 3 years, ≥2 relapses in the previous 2 years, and ≥1 Gd-enhancing lesion.
b
Inclusion criteria included EDSS ≤3, disease duration ≤ 5 years, ≥2 relapses in the previous 2 years and ≥1 relapse in the previous year;
1. Coles AJ et al. N Engl J Med 2008;259:1786-801; 2. Data on file, Genzyme Corporation; 3. Cohen JA et al. Lancet 2012;380:1819-28.
49
50. Alemtuzumab Significantly Reduced Annualized Relapse Rate vs.
SC IFNB-1a in Treatment-naïve Patients
Annualized Relapse Rate
0.6
69% Risk reduction
vs. SC IFNB-1a
p<0.001
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.36
0.2
0.1
0
0.11
N=111
N=112
SC IFNB-1a 44 µg
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
Annualized Relapse Rate
CAMMS223
(Co-primary endpoint)1
0.6
CARE-MS I
(Co-primary endpoint)2
54.9% Risk reduction
vs. SC IFNB-1a
p<0.0001
0.5
0.4
0.39
0.3
0.2
0.18
0.1
0
N=187
N=376
• Alemtuzumab provided superior reduction in annualized relapse rate:
– 69% reduction beyond SC IFNB-1a at 3 years in CAMMS2231
– ~55% reduction beyond SC IFNB-1a at 2 years in CARE-MS I2
1. Coles AJ et al. N Engl J Med 2008;259:1786-801; 2. Cohen JA et al. Lancet 2012;380:1819-28.
50
51. Alemtuzumab Reduced the Risk of 6-month Sustained
Accumulation of Disability in Treatment-naïve Patients
Treatment-naïve: CARE-MS I1
(Co-primary Endpoint)
25
20
30% Risk reduction
vs. SC IFNB-1a
p=0.22
15
11.1%
SC IFNB-1a 44 μg
10
8.0%
5
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
Patients with SAD (%)
Patients with SAD (%)
25
Pooled Treatment-naïve2,a
(Post Hoc Analysis)
20
50% Risk reduction
vs. SC IFNB-1a
p=0.0029
15
13.9%
SC IFNB-1a 44 μg
10
7.1%
5
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
0
0
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Follow-up Month
21
24
0
3
6
9
12 15 18
Follow-up Month
21
24
• In CARE-MS I, fewer SC IFNB-1a patients accumulated disability than expected, which
may have reduced the ability to detect a significant treatment effect1
• In a pooled analysis of treatment-naïve patients, alemtuzumab reduced risk of 6-month
SADb by 50% vs. SC IFNB-1a2
CARE-MS I and CAMMS223 pooled data; b Sustained accumulation of disability (SAD) is defined as a ≥1 point increase in Expanded Disability
Status Scale (EDSS) lasting ≥6 months (or ≥1.5 point increase if baseline EDSS=0).
1. Cohen JA et al. Lancet 2012;380:1819-28; 2. Data on file, Genzyme Corporation.
a
51
52. Treatment-naïve Patients Were More Likely to be Disease ActivityFree with Alemtuzumab vs. SC IFNB-1a
Treatment-naïve: CARE-MS I1,2
(Tertiary Endpoints)
SC IFNB-1a 44 µg
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
p<0.0001
p=0.0388
OR=1.75
p=0.0064
CDA-freea
MRI Activity-freeb
MS Disease Activityfreec
• Alemtuzumab-treated patients were ~2 times more likely to be free of overall MS
disease activity compared with SC IFNB-1a–treated patients over 2 years1,2
Clinical disease activity (CDA)-free: Absence of relapse or SAD; bMRI activity-free: absence of new Gd-enhancing lesion or new or enlarging T 2
hyperintense lesion; cMS disease activity-free: Absence of CDA or MRI activity.
OR=odds ratio;
1. Giovannoni G et al. ENS 2012; 2. Cohen JA et al. Lancet 2012;380:1819-28.
a
52
53. Baseline Demographics and Clinical Characteristics of
Alemtuzumab-treated Patients
Pooled treatment-naïve
(CAMMS223 and CARE-MS I)
N=4831-3
Age, years
Mean (SD)
Gender
Female, %
32.9 (8.03)
Patients Who Relapsed on Prior
Therapy (CARE-MS II)
N=4264
34.8 (8.4)
64.6
66.0
Years since initial episode
Mean (SD)
1.9 (1.30)
4.5 (2.7)
EDSS
Mean (SD)
2.0 (0.80)
2.7 (1.3)
No. of relapses in prior year
Mean (SD)
1.8 (0.80)
1.7 (0.86)
−
34
28
36
34
4
58.6
42.4
Prior therapy, %
SC IFNB-1a (22 or 44 μg)
IM IFNB-1a
SC IFNB-1b
Glatiramer acetate
Natalizumab
Patients with Gd-enhancing lesions,
%
• As expected, baseline EDSS and duration of disease were higher for patients who
relapsed on prior compared with treatment-naïve patients
1. Coles AJ et al. N Engl J Med 2008;259:1786-801; 2. Data on file, Genzyme Corporation; 3. Cohen JA et al. Lancet 2012;380:1819-28; 4. Coles AJ
et al. Lancet 2012;380(9856):1829-39.
53
54. Alemtuzumab Significantly Reduced Clinical Disease Activity in
Patients Who Relapsed on Prior Therapy
ARR Years 0–2: CARE-MS II1
(Co-primary Endpoint)
Risk reduction: 49.4%
p<0.0001
6-Month Sustained Accumulation of
Disability: CARE-MS II
(Co-primary Endpoint)
HR: 0.58
42% Risk reduction
p=0.0084
21.1%
12.7%
SC IFNB-1a Alemtuzumab
44 µg
12 mg
(n=202)
(n=426)
• Alemtuzumab significantly reduced relapse rate and risk of 6-month SADa by an additional
49.4% and 42% beyond SC IFNB-1a, respectively, in patients who relapsed on prior
therapy1
• Benefits on clinical disease activity were similar regardless of type, duration, or number of
prior treatments2,b
Six-month SAD defined as EDSS score increase ≥1.0 point for ≥6 months (or ≥1.5 points when baseline EDSS = 0); bNumber of events among
patients who received prior natalizumab is too small to draw meaningful conclusions.
CI=confidence interval; HR=hazard ratio
1. Coles AJ et al. Lancet 2012;380:1829-39; 2. Freedman MS et al. AAN 2013, P07.111.
a
54
55. Patients Who Relapsed on Prior Therapy Were More Likely to Be
Disease Activity-free with Alemtuzumab vs. SC IFNB-1a
Relapsed on Prior Therapy: CARE-MS II
(Tertiary Endpoints)1,2
p<0.0001
p<0.0001
OR=3.03
p<0.0001
• Alemtuzumab-treated patients were 3 times more likely to be free of overall
MS disease activity compared with SC IFNB-1a–treated patients over 2 years
Clinical disease activity-free: absence of relapse or SAD; MRI activity-free: absence of new Gd-enhancing lesion or new or enlarging T 2 hyperintense
lesions; MS disease activity-free: absence of clinical disease activity and MRI activity; SAD: Increase of ≥1.0 EDSS point for ≥6 months (or ≥1.5 points if
baseline EDSS = 0).
SC IFNB-1a=subcutaneous interferon beta-1a
1. Hartung HP et al AAN 2013; P07.093; 2. Coles AJ et al. Lancet 2012;380:1829-39.
55
56. Alemtuzumab Improved Pre-existing Disability vs.
SC IFNB-1a in Patients Who Relapsed on Prior Therapy
Sustained Reduction of Disabilitya
Relapsed on Prior Therapy: CARE-MS II1,2
HR: 2.57
p=0.0002
HR: 3.00
p=0.0001
HR: 3.02
p=0.0003
SC IFNB-1a 44 µg
Alemtuzumab 12 mg
SRD Timeframeb
(Tertiary Endpoint)
(Post Hoc Analyses)
• Alemtuzumab-treated patients were 2.5–3 times more likely to have disability
improvement sustained over intervals of up to 1 year vs. SC IFNB-1a
SRD defined as a reduction from baselilne of ≥1 EDSS point for ≥6, 9, OR 12 months; assessed in patients with baseline EDSS score ≥ 2.
Includes events that initiated in the core studies and continued into the extension.
1. Coles AJ et al. Lancet 2012;380:1829-39 ; 2. Data on file, Genzyme Corporation.
a
b
56
57. CARE-MS Extension Study Designed to Evaluate Long-term
Outcomes with Alemtuzumab
CARE-MS I or II
Pivotal Studies
Extension Study (Safety & Efficacy Follow-up)
Received
alemtuzumab
(Month 0 and 12)
Monitor for MS
activity through
extension trial
Month 48
Received
SC IFNB-1a
Administer
2 annual
alemtuzumab
treatment
courses
Relapse
or 2 active MRI
lesions?
Yes
May receive optional
retreatment course(s)
not sooner than
12 months after the
previous course
No
• Extension study treatments used alemtuzumab 12 mg IV
• ~80% of patients did not receive re-treatment or other DMT during Year 3
• <2% of patients received another DMT during Year 3
Fox E et al. AAN 2013, S41.001.
57
58. CARE-MS Extension: Majority of Patients Treated with Alemtuzumab
Remained Relapse-free at Year 3
Relapse-free Patients
Relapsed on Prior Therapy
(CARE-MS II)
%Patients
Treatment-naïve
(CARE-MS I)
N=376
N=349
N=425
N=387
• Relapse reduction with alemtuzumab treatment was durable; majority of
patients remained relapse-free through Year 3
Fox E et al. AAN 2013, S41.001.
58
59. CARE-MS Extension: Majority of Patients Experienced Further
Benefits on Disability Through Year 3
Relapsed on Prior Treatment
(CARE-MS II)
Remained stable Years 2-3
Improved Years 2-3
EDSS change (baseline to Year 2)
•
The majority of patients who relapsed on prior therapy and whose EDSS score
improved or remained stable in the core studies (Years 0–2) remained stable or
improved further through Year 3
•
Results were consistent with observations in treatment-naïve patients in CARE-MS I
Data shown are for alemtuzumab 12-mg groups.
Hartung HP et al. ECTRIMS 2013, P592.
59
60. Summary of Recommended Risk Mitigation Strategies for
Alemtuzumab in the EU
Identified Risks
Infusion-associated
reactions (IARs)
Mitigation Strategies
Timing
Corticosteroids
Immediately prior to
alemtuzumab administration
Antihistamines and/or
antipyretics (optional)
Prior to alemtuzumab
administration
Oral prophylaxis for herpes
infection
Starting on the first day of
each treatment course
HPV screening
Annually for female patients
Active or inactive (“latent”)
tuberculosis infection
evaluation
Before initiation of therapy
Immune
thrombocytopenia
(ITP) and other
cytopenias
Complete blood count with
differential
Prior to initiating
alemtuzumab treatment
Monthly until 48 months after
last infusion.a
Nephropathies,
including anti-GBM
disease
Serum creatinine
Prior to initiating
alemtuzumab treatment
Monthly until 48 months after
last infusiona
Urinalysis with microscopy
Prior to initiating
alemtuzumab treatment
Monthly until 48 months after
last infusiona
Thyroid disorders
Thyroid function tests (such as
TSH)
Prior to initiating
alemtuzumab treatment
Every 3 months until 48
months after last infusiona
Serious infections
After 48 months, testing should be performed based on clinical findings suggestive of the adverse event.
LEMTRADA EU Summary of Product Characteristics, September 2013.
a
On each of the first 3 days of
any treatment course
Continuing for a minimum of
1 month following treatment
with alemtuzumab
60
62. What is your treatment philosophy?
maintenance-escalation vs. induction
survival analysis
an
safe
rt
“sta
t h”
moo
ds
“hit hard and early ”
63. What is your team’s treatment philosophy?
maintenance-escalation vs. induction
survival analysis
r
“sta
an
safe
t
t h”
moo
ds
“hit hard and early ”
e r at
ge n i s
s
rode
neu ypothe
a
is
h
MS isease
d
ive
MS is an autoimmune
disease hypothesis
15-20 year
experiment
65. Treat-2-Target Proposed NEDA Treatment Algorithm for
Relapsing MS
High
Efficacy
Intermediate
Efficacy
Moderate
Efficacy
X
M
NEDA=no evidence of disease activity.
N
Y
66. Emerging concepts in MS
NEDA - no evidence of disease activity
Biochemical relapse-free survival
1.0
Adjuvant (n = 50)
Survival
0.8
0.6
0.4
Salvage (n = 118)
p = 0.002
0.2
0.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Time since radiotherapy (years)
T2T; treat-2-target
Hagan M, et al. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2004; 59:329−340.
8
9
10
67. No evidence of disease activity: NEDA
Treat-2-target
No evidence of disease activity defined as:1,2
× No relapses
× No sustained disability progression
× No MRI activity
×
No new or enlarging T2 lesions
×
No Gd-enhancing lesions
Should brain volume loss and CSF neurofilament levels be
included in our definition for ‘no evidence of disease activity’?
Gd, gadolinium.
1. Havrdova E, et al. Lancet Neurol 2009; 8:254–260; 2. Giovannoni G, et al. Lancet Neurol 2011; 10:329–337.
68. Treatment objectives in relapsing MS
Treat Early
Freedom from
disease
activity/disease
activity free
Reduced ongoing
damage
68
T2T - NEDA
Zero Tolerance
69. Treatment objectives in relapsing MS
Treat Early
Freedom from
disease
activity/disease
activity free
CNS Repair
Reduced ongoing
damage
69
Functional
T2T - NEDA
Improvement
Maintain reserve
Zero Tolerance
capacity
Healthy
ageing
72. Conclusions
• MS is a bad disease
• Mortality, disability, unemployment, divorce, cognitive impairment, etc.
• Early aggressive treatment is the only realistic option of offering a cure
• Now an established treatment option, which has become safer.
• NEDA, T2T and DAF are entering the neurology lexicon
• Zero tolerance or ZeTo
• We need an acceptable working definition of an MS cure
• NEDA x 15 years?
• Induction therapies (alemtuzumab, cladribine)
• Improved risk mitigation tools
• Is it fair to make MSers wait 20 years for the outcome of an ongoing
experiment?
• Alemtuzumab, natalizumab, cladribine extension studies.
Slide 1: Title
Good afternoon, I would like to thank Biogen-Idec the sponsors and Hans-Peter for giving me the opportunity to speak on a topic I feel passionate about. Early highly-effective treatment.
Slide 2: Disclosures
My disclosure. Please note I have been, and remain, actively involved with the natalizumab development programme.
Slide 3: Silence Disease from the start
I would like to remind you of the concept of MS being like an iceberg with the clinical manifestations above the water representing a small fraction of disease pathology and it is simply not good enough to only focus on clinical outcomes that we can see. The new paradigm is to try and melt the iceberg completely.
Slide 4: Case study
To make the data more relevant to you I would to layer it around a patient of mine to illustrative several decisions I made in practice and to review the emerging body of evidence that I use to support those decisions.
I have been looking after this patient since late 2007. She presented at age 17, in her final year of school, with an episode of myelitis and was diagnosed a year later, when she had an episode of optic neuritis. She had a positive MRI and was started on interferon-beta.
Slide 5: Case study
Over the next 5 years she went to have 4 documented relapses, some of the quite disabling. To her credit she graduated from University and managed to get into a graduate training programme and got a job in a marketing company in London.
As a result of disease activity she became depressed, developed bladder dysfunction and reduced mobility. As a result of these problems and a disabling attack she missed 3 months of work and split-up with her partner.
Slide 6: MS is a devastating disease
I would like to remind you how devastating MS can be for an individual. Not only does it cause cognitive impairment and in some cases a frank dementia, it shortens your life it, has a major impact on QoL, employment and relationships. All this comes with a massive price tag for society.
Slide 7: Employment
In this European study 50% of Msers are unemployed by the time they reach an EDSS of 3.5; a level of disability that is not associated with overt physical disability. More shocking is the median time to unemployment is ~10 years; with an average age of onset of 30 years this means that 50% of MSers are unemployed by the age of 40.
Slide 8: Case study
It is clear that this patient was a interferon-beta non-responder. As she had only had one disabling attack in the last 12 months, according to our local guidelines, we had to recommend a switch to glatiramer acetate.
Slide 9: MRI lesion load
This is her MRI at the time showing a moderate to high supratentorial lesion load and lesions in the posterior fossa.
Slide 10: Case study
Unfortunately, before she could start GA she had a spinal cord relapse with Lhermitte's, weakness of the left arm, sensory loss and deafferentation of the hand.
Slide 11: Cervical MRI
This is her scan with an acute lesion at the C2/3 level with expansion of the cord.
Slide 12: EU Guidelines
As she fulfilled the EU guidelines as having rapidly evolving severe RRMS were able to offer her natalizumab.
Slide 13: Case study
After discussion about the risks and benefits she chose to go onto natalizumab.
Slide 14: Treat-2-Target
I have adopted the rheumatology strategy of treat-2-target of no evidence of disease activity and have developed an algorithm to this effect. My big concern is that Msers with highly active disease pend too much time cycling through moderate and intermediately effective treatment before accessing highly-effective therapies such as natalizumab.
Slide 15: Early treatment
I think it is important to keep in mind that all the evidence suggests the sooner we silence disease activity the better the long-term outcome.
Slide 16: Natalizumab outcomes
On natalizumab ~37% of Msers in the AFFIRM trial will rendered disease activity free compared to only 7% on placebo, when compared to baseline. This analysis however does exclude disease activity that may occur within the first few months before natalizumab starts to work.
Slide 17: Re-baseling
When you rebaseline using the 12 month scan you can see that 70% of natalizumab-treated Msers are disease-activity free in year 2 and 65% in the highly-active subgroup. It is important to note how few in the highly active group are disease activity free in year 2.
Slide 18: QoL
Is this clinically meaningful? This shows the impact of natalizumab on QoL in the AFFIRM pivotal study and a similar result from 'real-life' data in the Swedish registry.
Slide 19: Switching
This real life data from Italy indicate that outcome in terms of having no evidence of disease activity is better if you escalate from a 1st-line treatment to natalizumab compared to switching between IFNbeta or GA.
In relation to my patient this would support our decision to escalate her therapy to a highly-active treatment rather than cycle her through another moderately effective 1st-line therapy.
Slide 20: Case study
Soon after starting natalizumab she noticed and improvement in her functioning; not only did she get back to her baseline prior to her cervical cord relapse, but she noticed an improvement in her other disabilities. There was as also a major improvement in her QoL with her moving to a new job and finding a new partner.
Slide 21: Improvement post natalizumab
Her improvement is not surprising considering natalizumab resulted in sustained improvement across multiple domains in the AFFIRM study; including the EDSS, upper limb function, walking, vision and cognition.
Slide 22: Improvement
She also reported improvement her bladder function and a reduction in her fatigue levels that have both reported post-natalizumab.
Slide 23: Case study
Relapses; natalizumab is not 100% effective at suppressing relapses what do we tell her about impact of relapse on natalizumab?
Slide 24: Recovery from relapses
In the AFFIRM study you are 67% more likely to make a complete recovery from relapses compared to placebo. However, this is not the whole story.
Slide 25: Relapses on natalizumab
Although relapses on natalizumab are less severe, you can see on the for both a 0.5 or 1.0 increase you are more likely to recover on natalizumab compared to placebo if your baseline EDSS is less than 3.0; once you have an EDSS of 3.0 or greater there was no difference between natalizumab or placebo treated subjects.
Slide 26: Early treatment
This simply reinforces the early highly-effective treatment paradigm; once you have acquired damage you obviously lose your reserve and ability to recover.
Slide 27: Risk stratification
When data emerged that your risk of getting PML were very low if you tested JCV seropositive she opted for testing.
Slide 28: Case study
Unfortunately, she tested positive.
Slide 29: Risk stratification
And she had been on natalizumab for longer than 2 years her risk of getting PML was ~1 in 190.
Slide 30: Case study
We therefore offered her the option of switching to fingolimod. To our surprise she said no. As she had done so well on the drug, which she claimed "had given her life back" she was willing to take the risk of getting PML.
Slide 31: JCV titre
Recent data has indicated that Msers who develop PML have high titres of antibody against the JC virus.
Slide 32: Biogen JCV titre data
And Biogen-Idec presented preliminary data at ENS this year showing that in MSers who had never been exposed to previous immunosuppression the risk of PML appears to rise with the anti-JCV titre.
I must point out that the PML risk estimates over time, based on anti-JCV antibody index, continues to be evaluated.
Slide 33: Case study
Unfortunately, Unilabs who do our JCV assay reported her index as being above 20.
Slide 34: PML Risk
Which puts her risk at being higher than what I had previously quoted her.
Slide 35: Case study
Despite the risk of PML being even higher she is determined to stay on natalizumab and she has agreed to go onto our 3 monthly scans to monitor for MRI changes of early or asymptomatic PML.
Slide 36: Asymptomatic
We now know that if you detect PML early, in the asymptomatic phase, and treat it Mser do better than those who present with symptoms.
Slide 37: When to start natalizumab
Finally when to start using natalizumab
Slide 38: Case study
The question is would this patient have done better if she had been started on natalizumab earlier in the course of her disease; after she was diagnosed or as soon as she failed interfon beta rather than having to wait to have 7 relapse that have left he with fixed disability?
Slide 39: Natalizumab extension studies
It is clear from the natalizumab extension studied that those who acquired disability from being on placebo for 2 years before starting natalizumab never catch up.
Slide 40: Baseline EDSS
In the TOP study those with lower baseline EDSS, fewer prior DMTs, whether or not they had or two or more relapses favored, earlier treatment with regard to ARR as the outcome.
Slide 41: Stabilized EDSS
However, natalizumab stabilized the EDSS scores in the TOP study in patients with an EDSS lower or higher than 3.0.
Slide 42: Case study
My personal opinion is that if this patient had started natalizumab earlier she would not be having to live with her current disabilities.
Slide 43: Early treatment paradigm
I am therefore a strong proponent of given patients the choice of early highly-effective treatment to try and delay or possibly prevent the secondary progressive phase of the disease.
Slide 44: Treatment objectives
Treat early and treat-2-target of no evidence of disease activity to prevent ongoing damage. If possible you should have zero tolerance of ongoing disease activity. If treated early Mser can expect functional improvement and more importantly they
Slide ??: Case study
What about her MRI?
Slide ??: MRI lesion load
Slide ??: Brain atrophy
Worryingly, these are her serial scans showing progressive brain atrophy. Please note the gradual enlargement over time of the size of her 3rd ventricle.
Slide ??: Natalizumab brain atrophy
Natalizumab
As disability progresses, quality of life as measured by the EQ-52 worsens dramatically.1 The goal is to prevent this degree of disability.
MS does not just cause symptoms. It has a large impact on society (eg, increases unemployment rate and divorce rate).2,3
In a 2004 study, 2 out of 3 patients with RRMS were unemployed due to the disease6
Life expectancy is only modestly shortened, but as disability progresses, MS patients live with a significant burden: symptoms, unemployment, and a burden on marriage/social relationships.1-4
Queen Square Study: Prognostic Significance of MRI in CIS: Rate of Progression to EDSS ≥3
A greater number of lesions present at the first demyelinating event is associated with a greater risk of progressing to an EDSS score ≥3.
Patients presented to the National Hospital at Queen Square or Moorfields Eye Hospital between 1984 and 1987. Isolated syndromes were presumed to be demyelinating CNS events reaching a peak within 14 days after the onset of symptoms in patients aged 10-50 years with no history suggesting demyelination.
The data presented for years 5, 10, and 14 were obtained from different publications based on the same longitudinal study. Over the course of MS, the risk of progression to an EDSS score ≥3 was related to the number of lesions at baseline. At 5 years, progression to an EDSS score ≥3 was reported in 0%, 13%, 30%, and 56% of patients with 0, 1-3, 4-10, and >10 lesions, respectively. At 10 years, the respective rates of progression to a score ≥3 were 0%, 26%, 27%, and 75%. At 14 years, the respective rates of progression to an EDSS score ≥3 were 0%, 28%, 47%, and 71%. The risk of progression of patients to an EDSS score ≥3 is especially pronounced in patients with >10 lesions at presentation with a first demyelinating event.
Morrissey SP, Miller DH, Kendall BE et al. The significance of brain magnetic resonance imaging abnormalities at presentation with clinically isolated syndromes suggestive of multiple sclerosis. A 5-year follow-up study. Brain. 1993;116:135-146; O’Riordan JI, Thompson AJ, Kingsley DP et al. The prognostic value of brain MRI in clinically isolated syndromes of the CNS. A 10-year follow-up. Brain. 1998;121:495-503; Brex PA, Ciccarelli O, O’Riordan JI et al. A longitudinal study of abnormalities on MRI and disability from multiple sclerosis. N Engl J Med. 2002;346:158-164.
*40 untreated CIS patients who fulfilled the McDonald dissemination in space criterion compared to a cohort of 30 matched healthy controls. An extensive battery of neuropsychological tests was used to explore verbal and non-verbal memory, attention, concentration, speed of information processing, language and abstract reasoning. Cognitive impairment was present when at least 2 different neuropsychological tests were failed
This exploratory study illustrated that even at the first event, MS can actually affect patients’ cognitive abilities. Significantly more patients with a first event failed 2 or more cognitive tests, compared with healthy patients. These deficits were found in memory, speed of information processing, and attention.
This early damage further supports the need for early treatment.
Those patients initially treated with natalizumab did not show any disease progression over the course of the 124-week Phase 3 feeder studies.
Key Point:
Based on a subanalysis of Tysabri data in which patients were segmented according to baseline criteria, these findings suggest a better response (lower ARR) when treatment is initiated earlier in the course of disease, as defined baseline EDSS (less than 3) and prior DMT use (0 or 1).
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Note that 60 % patients do not experience measurable residual disability, so the relationship between relapses and disability progression is not strong
Those patients initially treated with natalizumab did not show any disease progression over the course of the 124-week Phase 3 feeder studies.
The alemtuzumab clinical development program for MS uniquely studied treatment-naïve populations to specifically test the benefit:risk of alemtuzumab treatment in early, active RRMS
Post hoc analyses of various treatment-naïve subgroups were requested by EMA as part of the marketing application review
CARE-MS I and CAMMS223 were pooled to increase the sample size for subpopulation analyses
Similar study designs, eligibility rules, baseline demographic characteristics, assessment schedules, and definitions of the co-primary efficacy endpoints
Efficacy outcomes in individual studies were directionally similar, but not always statistically significant
Efficacy is presented in this section for the treatment-naïve pool (CAMMS223 and CARE-MS I)
Alemtuzumab significantly reduced ARR in treatment-naïve patients in both phase 2 and phase 3 clinical trials
Proportion of patients who were relapse-free was significantly improved by alemtuzumab vs. SC IFNB-1a in both phase 2 and CARE-MS I clinical trials
Results were consistent with Phase 2 study results where risk of SAD was significantly reduced with alemtuzumab vs. SC IFNB-1a (67%; p<0.0001) [Coles AJ et al. Neurology 2012;78:1069–1078]
In CARE-MS II, baseline characteristics were balanced across treatment arms (data not shown)
On the co-primary relapse endpoint, alemtuzumab treatment led to a 49% reduction in the relapse rate over and above the treatment effect of Rebif, a highly statistically significant result.
The superior efficacy was apparent early and was sustained, with a large and highly significant difference between groups in both the first year and the second year, considered individually.
Reference:
Coles AJ, Twyman CL, Arnold DL, Cohen JA, Confavreux C, Fox EJ, Hartung H-P, Havrdova E, Selmaj KW, Weiner HL, Miller T, Fisher E, Sandbrink R, Lake SL, Margolin DH, Oyuela P, Panzara MA, Compston DAS; for the CARE-MS II Investigators. Alemtuzumab for patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis after disease-modifying therapy: a randomised controlled phase 3 trial. Lancet. 2012; 380(9856):1829-1839.
24 mg patients: 32 (21%) of 155
Corresponding values for IFNB-1a group at Year 2:
IFNB-1aCARE-MS ICARE-MS II
% Relapse-Free: 59% 47%
% SAD-Free: 89% 79%
Mean change EDSS: -0.14 0.24