Presentation at Twentieth Fobana 2006
20. ATLANA
Host: Bangladesh Association of Georgia
Date: Labor Day Weekend, September 1-3, 2006
Venue: Cobb Galleria Centre, Atlanta, GA
Convener: Jashim Uddin
Member Secretary: Mohammed Arefin Babulhttp://www.fobanaonline.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=126&Itemid=61
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation | April 2024
Climate change and bangladesh 2050
1. Climate changeClimate change
and Bangladeshand Bangladesh
20502050 Naima ZakariaNaima Zakaria
Co-executive Director AT-Large (Co-executive Director AT-Large ( www.changebangladesh.comwww.changebangladesh.com
2. How does climate change affectHow does climate change affect
Bangladesh?Bangladesh?
understanding the basicsunderstanding the basics
What the ministries and groups are doingWhat the ministries and groups are doing
about climate change in Bangladeshabout climate change in Bangladesh
beside from just talking?beside from just talking?
what must be in North America our actionwhat must be in North America our action
agenda as U.S. residents, citizens, andagenda as U.S. residents, citizens, and
as expatriates on environmental refugeesas expatriates on environmental refugees
from Bangladeshfrom Bangladesh
3. Focus on affectFocus on affect
30 million (world bank figure) environmental30 million (world bank figure) environmental
refugees in the next 50 years in Bangladeshrefugees in the next 50 years in Bangladesh
oceans rise even 1 foot, 15% of the totaloceans rise even 1 foot, 15% of the total
landmass of Bangladesh,landmass of Bangladesh, significant amountssignificant amounts
of land in the Bay of Bengal are going toof land in the Bay of Bengal are going to
disappeardisappear
The glaciers will disappear,The glaciers will disappear, leaving all of theleaving all of the
subcontinent's major rivers dry.These rivers,subcontinent's major rivers dry.These rivers,
provide the vast majority of water to India,provide the vast majority of water to India,
Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh. (And glacialPakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh. (And glacial
water also feeds China)water also feeds China)
40 percent of the world's population is40 percent of the world's population is
dependent on water from the Himalayas.dependent on water from the Himalayas. TheThe
retreat of the Himalayan glaciers is not aretreat of the Himalayan glaciers is not a
prediction; it's happening.prediction; it's happening. The only question isThe only question is
when the effects will start to kick in. But I wouldwhen the effects will start to kick in. But I would
say that even if it takes 100 years for the watersay that even if it takes 100 years for the water
supply to crash, it's not too early to start doingsupply to crash, it's not too early to start doing
something about it.something about it.
But here's the irony: in the short run, the rapidlyBut here's the irony: in the short run, the rapidly
melting glaciers may actually cause flooding inmelting glaciers may actually cause flooding in
the plains.the plains.
the whole weather pattern could change ifthe whole weather pattern could change if
ocean currents change as a result of risingocean currents change as a result of rising
water temperatures. The monsoon couldwater temperatures. The monsoon could
disappear entirely (or it could double indisappear entirely (or it could double in
intensity!). There's not much to say about thisintensity!). There's not much to say about this
-- because no one really knows -- except that it-- because no one really knows -- except that it
reminds us how little we really know aboutreminds us how little we really know about
what is happening.what is happening.
First thing first…The basics: Understanding Climate ChangeFirst thing first…The basics: Understanding Climate Change
Bangladesh is a LDC country the size of Wisconsin, bursting with aBangladesh is a LDC country the size of Wisconsin, bursting with a
population nearly half that of the United Statespopulation nearly half that of the United States
4. Actors explain climate change through song and danceActors explain climate change through song and dance
What the ministries and groups are doing about climateWhat the ministries and groups are doing about climate
change in Bangladesh beside from just talking?change in Bangladesh beside from just talking?
Groups are trying to do advocacy by
performing arts.
The GoB plans are difficult to
understand which tell me there is little
planned for 2050. We expatriates have
a role to play here.
' www.nccbd.org‘ The site have
developed by the network named
“Network on Climate Change,
Bangladesh ( NCC,B )”. Civil society is
lukewarm active on this issue
5. Urban areas and what can we do about Dhaka leviesUrban areas and what can we do about Dhaka levies
What about our capital and other urban areas?What about our capital and other urban areas?
6. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that “the balance of
evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate”. The exact magnitude of
the changes in the global climate is still uncertain and subject of worldwide scientific studies. It
is broadly recognized that Bangladesh is very vulnerable to these changes. Indeed, it has
internationally been argued that Bangladesh, as a country, may suffer the most severe impacts
from climate change.
Bangladesh is highly vulnerable but why, because it is low-lying, located on the Bay of Bengal in
the delta of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna and densely populated. Its national
economy strongly depends on agriculture and natural resources that are sensitive to climate
change and sea level rise.
What can we do about the coming challenges?
International opinion on climateInternational opinion on climate
changechange
7. Fig. 2: Interactions of Six Factors of “Survival Hexagon”
Making sense of it all and finding solution
We can organize
We can advocate
We can lobby northern
governments, Congress in the
United States
We can set up EPZ style
economics zones where we
stand to lose land, help the local
Economy.
We can move public policy
in the direction that helps people
Come out of poverty and buy their
way out.
You can encourage your kids
to take up career paths consistent
to what is needed for Bangladesh.
8. Identifying the strategic adaptations that should be considered by policy makersIdentifying the strategic adaptations that should be considered by policy makers
and planners to strengthen the capacity of Bangladesh to deal with climate change.and planners to strengthen the capacity of Bangladesh to deal with climate change.
Focus is on anticipatory, rather than on reactive adaptation. An anticipatoryFocus is on anticipatory, rather than on reactive adaptation. An anticipatory
approach is favored over a reactive response because impacts of climate changeapproach is favored over a reactive response because impacts of climate change
are found that (i) are gradual, long-term and may be irreversible; (ii) increase theare found that (i) are gradual, long-term and may be irreversible; (ii) increase the
intensity of extreme events, such as cyclones and floods; (iii) affect the long-termintensity of extreme events, such as cyclones and floods; (iii) affect the long-term
performance of planning decisions and investments.performance of planning decisions and investments.
Strategic adaptations are formulated in line with the key impacts and the keyStrategic adaptations are formulated in line with the key impacts and the key
challenges that are summarized hereafter. Strategic adaptation to climate changechallenges that are summarized hereafter. Strategic adaptation to climate change
should produce a coordinated response, supported by all stakeholders, on threeshould produce a coordinated response, supported by all stakeholders, on three
different levels:different levels:
1. Planning and natural resources management, including the participation of1. Planning and natural resources management, including the participation of
different stakeholders in the decision-making processdifferent stakeholders in the decision-making process
2. Information needs, management and dissemination2. Information needs, management and dissemination
3. International positioning and representation3. International positioning and representation
Thus, strategic adaptation relates to a coordinated institutional response, enhancingThus, strategic adaptation relates to a coordinated institutional response, enhancing
integrated planning, information management and international activities. Theseintegrated planning, information management and international activities. These
directions are considered crucial in the effort to reduce Bangladesh' vulnerability todirections are considered crucial in the effort to reduce Bangladesh' vulnerability to
climate change. Not only do they prepare and are they needed for theclimate change. Not only do they prepare and are they needed for the
implementation of more operational actions, but they would also significantlyimplementation of more operational actions, but they would also significantly
contribute to an increased awareness, which in itself is a core strategic adaptation.contribute to an increased awareness, which in itself is a core strategic adaptation.
Policy makers dilemmaPolicy makers dilemma
9. Effects of sea level riseEffects of sea level rise The rise of global seaThe rise of global sea
level by the end of AD 2050 would mean thatlevel by the end of AD 2050 would mean that
there is a high risk of coastal inundation bythere is a high risk of coastal inundation by
sea water. In the case of Bangladesh thesea water. In the case of Bangladesh the
projected 1.44m rise of sea level wouldprojected 1.44m rise of sea level would
inundate 16% of the populated land, displaceinundate 16% of the populated land, displace
13% of the population and lose 10% of the GDP.13% of the population and lose 10% of the GDP.
The effect of sea level rise is more critical,The effect of sea level rise is more critical,
since the Bengal delta is subsiding. 13% wesince the Bengal delta is subsiding. 13% we
are talking about 34 million people in 2050!are talking about 34 million people in 2050!
Future planning based on facts
10. In the United States The National AssessmentIn the United States The National Assessment
on Climate Change (NACC) was a massiveon Climate Change (NACC) was a massive
multidisciplinary effort to study and portray inmultidisciplinary effort to study and portray in
regional detail the potential effects of human-regional detail the potential effects of human-
inducedinduced global warmingglobal warming on theon the United StatesUnited States ..
The project was articulated into some 20The project was articulated into some 20
regional studies - each involving dozens ofregional studies - each involving dozens of
scientific and academic experts as well asscientific and academic experts as well as
representatives of industry and environmentalrepresentatives of industry and environmental
groups. The final reports synthesizing regionalgroups. The final reports synthesizing regional
and national findings were published inand national findings were published in
November 2000, titled "National Assessment ofNovember 2000, titled "National Assessment of
the Potential Consequences of Climatethe Potential Consequences of Climate
Variability and Change."Variability and Change."
Where are BD policy makers that will affect 34m people?
United states prepares for climate change
12. Expatriate Bangladeshi and American-BangladeshiExpatriate Bangladeshi and American-Bangladeshi
community has the potential to make a difference incommunity has the potential to make a difference in
the lives of our countrymen/women.the lives of our countrymen/women.
Will we heed the callWill we heed the call ? Start a dialogue with us at? Start a dialogue with us at
CBd.CBd.
check outcheck out www.changebangladesh.comwww.changebangladesh.com
Brainstorm with us = prepare + participate +Brainstorm with us = prepare + participate +
disseminatedisseminate
What can you do?
13. Thank you !Thank you !
check out www.changebangladesh.comcheck out www.changebangladesh.com
Become a lifetime memberBecome a lifetime member
naima@changebangladesh.comnaima@changebangladesh.com
Questions ?Questions ?