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5G in Africa - Prospects and strategic decisions

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5G in Africa - Prospects and strategic decisions

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This presentation was given at the IP Gala, Cairo on 22 April 2019, an event sponsored by Huawei. It looks at the market context for the implementation of 5G, the kinds of business cases that might support it and strategic network decisions that have to be made.

This presentation was given at the IP Gala, Cairo on 22 April 2019, an event sponsored by Huawei. It looks at the market context for the implementation of 5G, the kinds of business cases that might support it and strategic network decisions that have to be made.

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5G in Africa - Prospects and strategic decisions

  1. 1. IP Gala,Cairo Russell Southwood, CEO, Balancing Act www.balancingact-africa.com
  2. 2. What consumers are looking to do in the next five years?  App store purchases will exceed US$122 bn in 2019 (source: AppAnnie)  Range of predictions that there will be increases in mobile screen time, falls in watching traditional TV  Video: Higher levels of content, UGC/social content and more video advertising  Mobile gaming revenues will be 60% of total gaming revenues (source: AppAnnie)  Live streaming of events  Cloud apps, taking burden away from local device  4G: 21%; 3G: 48% (Source: GSMA)
  3. 3. 5G Adoption
  4. 4. What corporate customers are looking to do in the next five years?  Wanting faster speeds and more reliability to run all applications.  Cloud computing – Distributed applications use and remote working  Using IoT for smart ecosystems – Checking the status of key machinery, goods in transit, etc  Video and teleconferencing technology – Better apps that will reduce airline costs  Network slicing – Possible for a business to practically own their own 5G network to control smart ecosystems and overall comms costs
  5. 5. Industry transition from analog to digital - where it has happened and where it will happen next?  Going IP in different parts of the network – International -> national – local – consumer  Long history of IP calling at international level (from peer-to-peer like Skype or things like MPLS)  Increasing use of IP over fibre at national and local levels  4G implementation has ramped up fibre capacity implementation to BTS level  Consumer: India by end 2017, 218 million 4G handsets, of which 74% are VoLTE enabled. Slower elsewhere…  Virtualised services like subscriber data and billing  BUT MNO networks are a patchwork of: different vendor equipment, different analog and digital standards, etc  Digital/Analog/digital paths slow potential speeds and increase operating errors Cisco:” Multiplicity of protocols and states hinder network economics” SRV6 promises ultra low latency  Comcast using SRV6 for video transport  All services using one protocol, multiple services on same network
  6. 6. What does the network need to be? Faster – Every prediction - whether for consumer or business – shows people wanting better speeds. More reliable - easier to spot and fix faults Simpler – Less different standards, more universal treatment of IP traffic flows More secure for both corporate and consumers
  7. 7. The MENA Context - 5G take-up and launches to 2025
  8. 8. How fast in MENA?
  9. 9. How fast by country launches? * What will happen in Egypt?
  10. 10. Strategic network choices: standalone 5G vs Hybrid/NSA networks  Non-standalone (NSA) or hybrid networks depend upon using 4G network capabilities for things like talking to cell towers.  MNOs have tended to consider NSA because of desire to lower short-term risks and perceived costs of standalone  Obviously full advantages of 5G are not available without standalone. Latter will support future use cases of 5G but NSA networks will not.  Although the trend in adoption is towards NSA at the moment, long-term everyone will need to go standalone later on
  11. 11. Clarifying 5G uses  High speed broadband, including delivering to the local level potentially cheaper than fibre. Speed gains likely to be constrained by NSA networks. Broadband everywhere.  5G technologies such as 5G New Radio (NR) — combined with technologies such as cloud, software-defined networking (SDN), and network slicing — will be key enablers for the smart everything (eg factory, city health) of the future.  Transport and automated vehicles: Not just self-driving cars but a more connected transport ecosystem. 5G standard will connect vehicles with surroundings, other drivers, and infrastructure.  IoT: Critical control of remote devices.
  12. 12. Questions to answer before making a business case What are your assumptions about increased data use over the next five years? How fast will it increase? Do you need additional revenues? Will the 5G business case services be relevant to your local circumstances? If not now, when will you make the transition to standalone networks? How do your sunk costs compare to the efficiencies that standalone might deliver? If you decide to go NSA, how will you compete with a standalone operator?

Notes de l'éditeur

  • You can only define what a network should do by thinking about how it might be used over 5-10 years.

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