Chrono-Spatial Intelligence in Global Systems Science and Social Media: Predictions for Proactive Political Decision Making
Niki Lambropoulos, London South Bank University, UK
Habib Fardoun, King Abdulaziz University of Saudi Arabia
Daniyal M. Alghazzawi, King Abdulaziz University of Saudi Arabia
http://2016.hci.international/
Friday, 22 July 2016
08:00 – 10:00
S159: Serendipity Engineering via Creative Context-Aware Learning in Social Media
Room: Pier 7
http://2016.hci.international/index.php?module=pagesmith&id=163#2
Chrono-Spatial Intelligence in Global Systems Science HCII 2016
1. Chrono - Spatial Intelligence
Time - Space Intelligence
Chrono-Spatial Intelligence in Global Systems Science and Social Media:
Predictions for Proactive Political Decision Making
Niki Lambropoulos, London South Bank University, UK
Habib Fardoun, King Abdulaziz University of Saudi Arabia
Daniyal M. Alghazzawi, King Abdulaziz University of Saudi Arabia
2. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Agenda
• Global Systems Science
– Social Media
• Human Patterns
• Chrono-Spatial Intelligence
• Proactive Decision Making
• Serendipity Engineering
• Conclusions
3.
4. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
How to Make Big Choices in Life?
5. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Global Systems Science (GSS)
Global Systems Science (GSS) is to
• provide scientific evidence
• support policy-making, public action and civic society
• collectively engage in societal action
(https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/global-
systems-science)
6. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Social * Political
Change our patterns
Think Big
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Human Beings + Social Media
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Time is culturally experienced
TIME
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Co-Incidences
Small Events Converging into Bigger Actions
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Time & Space Connections
What?
• Series of fortunate and unfortunate events
• Social media such as Twitter, Facebook, information on Web
• Homogeneity or other in correlations and associations
• Hints or possible undesirable movements
How?
• optimization methods for training forecast algorithms
• distributed forecast
• knowledge management on the cloud
• streaming media visualisation
• lines of actions behind appearance of events and unexpected actions
• processes for specific motives and patterns
Why?
• predictions, aid or prevention for effective and efficient proactive actions
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1.0 2.0 3.0
• Web 1.0 was revolved around top-down Information
and E-commerce
• Web 2.0 moved beyond static pages allowing users to
interact and collaborate utilising Social Media
collaborative platforms
• Web 3.0 is about enhancing the
‘intelligence’ of the Web underlying
architecture, so the user and the
machine can recognise behavioural
patterns modify them and re-create
the virtual environment based upon
users’ own goals and dreams
13. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
1. Individual
2. We, Communities
3. We, the Ecosystem
SPACE
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Inter-Connectedness
Chance favours the connected mind.
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Threads of Our Selves Online
1.Personality traits
2.Behaviour
16. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Detect the Patterns
http://radio-weblogs.com/0105910/images/newman_internet.gif http://dgeiu3fz282x5.cloudfront.net/g/l/l-86932.jpg
17. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Understand the Patterns
Humans imitate
for themselves
& systems
• Behaviours
• Ways of
working
• Processes
• Organisational
structures
• <Other/>
20. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Chrono-Spatial Intelligence (CSI)
Social Media Research Platform
Three dimensions on effect:
• Form: level, slop, variance & cyclicity
• Permanence: continuous or discontinuous
• Immediacy: immediate or delayed
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CSI Social Media Research
Context: events, people, time and locations can generate visible pathways, connections
Methods
• Time series design
• Big data Analysis
• Specific Focus Groups and Interviews
• Sequential Analysis (in series)
• Natural Language Processing
• Social Network Analysis
Analysis
• Data visualisation, semantic annotations, analytics
• Forecasting algorithms
– timelines on past, present and future actions and activities
– spatial intelligence for locations
– individuals and groups
– Information hubs
– Identification of context conditions
– peak points in data analysis
– abnormalities
• Proactive Decision Making
– Forecasting
– Serendipity Engineering
22. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Politics & Serendipity
Deal with Uncertainty or Conflicting Evidence
• Proactive decision making
– Serendipity Engineering
• Big Data Analysis for
– integration and visualisation,
– cascading / escalating effects in social networks
– indicator-based and event-based surveillance
23. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
Serendipity
Serendipity is the process through which we
discover unknown unknowns.
Understanding it as an emergent property of
social networks, enables us to treat it as a
strategy for organizing people and sharing
ideas.
24. HCI International, Toronto, Canada, 17 - 22 July 2016 http://2016.hci.international
CSI & Serendipity Engineering
• Deal with randomness, interaction, chaos and complexity
• Create innovative aspects and directions
• Engineer accidental intentions by controlling
– directions for people flow
– concepts, ideas and their relationships
– structural holes for organisations
– benefits and problems
– restrictive or enhancing actions
– abnormalities
• Proactive Decision Making
• Deus Ex Machina
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Conclusions
Chrono-Spatial Intelligence (CSI)
• Identify fortunate and unfortunate series of events
• Locate important ideas and individuals/groups
• Recognise apparent or hidden connections
• Be proactive in political decision making
CSI in strategic thinking
• Enable Big Data Social Media Research
• Engineer Serendipity to form new avenues
• Lower financial and human cost and resources
• Bring the right people to the right place at the right time
Future research
• CSI Platform implementation
Notes de l'éditeur
Is it possible to go back in time and see how we made our choices and how to make the future big choices in life?
http://www.speareducation.com/spear-review/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/choices.jpg
Hidden Significance of Small Choices
The Social and Political aspect of our lives in evident in our behavioural patterns. With social media this is possible with big scale analysis
We can track ourselves online and identify personality traits and behavioural patterns
http://www.hongkiat.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/no-more-trace-kay.jpg
We are now able to detect the patterns
Humans imitate behaviours, ways of working, processes, even organisational structures
We identify our patterns, we can change them, as in education.
If we want to study and understand an event then a Chrono-Spatial Intelligence Social Media Research Platform can help us. There are trhee dimensions to identify and analyse:
When a problem appears someone will be there as Deus Ex machina, to save the hero and the world.