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The case for Gold in the 21 st  century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
The Makings of A Disorderly World The Best of Times ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
The Makings of A Disorderly World The Blow-Off Phase ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
The Makings of A Disorderly World What was the Inflection Point ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Household Debt 1974 – 2009 ($ billions)   The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Business Debt (non-financial) 1974 – 2009 ($ billions)   The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Private Sector Debt  1974 – 2009 ($ billions) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Private Sector Debt and GDP 1974 – 2009 The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Public Debt  1974 – 2009 ($ billions) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Public Debt  1974 – 2009 (as a % of GDP) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
Sovereign Debt in the rest of the World National Debt as a % of GDP *IMF Sources: CIA World Factbook, The Economist, OECD, IMF and SA Bullion Research The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world 2010 2014 U.S. 95 107 Japan 200 234 Germany 77 91 Britain 100 88 France 90 90 Italy 120 129 Top 10 richest 106 114 - 150*
The US Picture Today ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
Commentary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US GDP Quarterly Growth 2000 – 2009 (% annualized) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US House Prices Index 2000 – 2009 (Case-Shiller Composite 20) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Unemployment Rate 2000 – 2009 (U-3 Series, official rate) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
US Public Debt per capita 1974 – 2009 ($) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
The Curse of Cheap Money ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
What choices does the US have? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
Private  Sector  Deleveraging Private  Sector  Demand For Credit  is Low  or negative Treasury is the only  source of  credit  demand growth The US Liquidity Trap and the escape hatch Demand in  Real  Economy via  tax cuts The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world Set off by asset  price defiation Despite FFR at zero Fiscal Stimulus Fed prints money Quantitive  Easing  Reflation  Expectations  of Inflation Spend  not hoard
2-3%  nominal GDP Growth High  Unemployment &  Low  Consumer  Spending growth Increasing  Government Share  of Economy The US Post Reflation Low short  yields The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world Down from  5-7% Lower  profit growth Up from 4-6 %  to 10-15% Decreased  Weath Practising  austerity Weaker structure  of Economy  govt-backed  leverage replacing  private-backed  leverage Weakening Dollar The story  is in the long  bonds
Has Gold taken notice of the disorder Performance of gold (% change in US $) Source: London Bullion Market Association and SA Bullion Research The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world In US dollar 2001 2.5 2002 24.7 2003 19.6 2004 5.2 2005 18.2 2006 22.8 2007 31.4 2008 5.8 2009 to date 10.8 Average (p.a.) 16.3 Median (p.a.) 18.9
Gold Performance  1/1/2000 – to date (US$) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
Gold Performance  1/1/2000 – to date (Rand) The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
In Good Times Gold is a Commodity In Bad Times Gold is a Currency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
The Case for Gold ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
What about Cash? Cash is King?... Or is it? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Case for Gold in the  21 st  Century An orderly currency in a  disorderly world
How to include physical Gold Bullion  as a currency in an Investment Portfolio
Physical gold bullion Where the smart money is moving ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
Investment qualities of gold High levels of liquidity ,[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
Investment qualities of gold Market risk and Portfolio diversification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
Investment Qualities of Gold  Credit/Counterparty risk overview ,[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
Paper gold vs Physical gold ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
Owning physical gold in South Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
The Bullion Krugerrand  Legal Tender gold currency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
Taxation of Krugerrands ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
The role of SA Bullion  Creating an investment proposition in physical gold   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
The role of SA Bullion  Supply constraints of Bullion Krugerrands ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
The role of SA Bullion  Reducing all transactional costs to a minimum   ,[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
The role of SA Bullion Providing a value-added custody service ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
South African Investors Choices for holding cash ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How to include physical  gold bullion  as a currency in an Investment  Portfolio
The BullionGold Facility  & Financial Advisor Support
Product Definition ,[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
The Shortcomings of the Retail Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
Product Rationale ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
Fee Structure : Upfront Fees ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support 1.5% 3.5%
Fee Structure : Ongoing Fees ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
Fee Structure : Redemption Fees Cash Redemptions Perfect Liquidity - No fee applies No time restiction applies Physical Redemptions Perfect Liquidity – No fee applies in respect of redemptions after 3 years Redemptions within 3 years from date of acquisition subject to an early redemption fee (max 6% excl. VAT) The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
Large Transactions  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
Reporting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
The Investment Proposition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.sabullion.co.za The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
The Investment Proposition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support
Def  n :   the process of adding value to a metal, mineral or commodity. Gold  Beneficiation   Chain :   Role Gold Mining  Companies Rand Refinery Limited & SA Mint  SA Bullion SA Bullion Financial Advisor  Extraction Manufacturing  Wholesale/Retail Distribution & Sales  Regulated  By:  The SA Bullion Gold Beneficiation Chain The BullionGold  Facility  and Financial Advisor  Support Copyright 2009 Department of  Minerals & Energy  South African Reserve Bank Financial Services Board South Africa

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SA Bullion IFA Presentation

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  • 2. The case for Gold in the 21 st century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
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  • 7. US Household Debt 1974 – 2009 ($ billions)   The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 8. US Business Debt (non-financial) 1974 – 2009 ($ billions)   The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 9. US Private Sector Debt 1974 – 2009 ($ billions) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 10. US Private Sector Debt and GDP 1974 – 2009 The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 11. US Public Debt 1974 – 2009 ($ billions) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 12. US Public Debt 1974 – 2009 (as a % of GDP) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 13. Sovereign Debt in the rest of the World National Debt as a % of GDP *IMF Sources: CIA World Factbook, The Economist, OECD, IMF and SA Bullion Research The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world 2010 2014 U.S. 95 107 Japan 200 234 Germany 77 91 Britain 100 88 France 90 90 Italy 120 129 Top 10 richest 106 114 - 150*
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  • 16. US GDP Quarterly Growth 2000 – 2009 (% annualized) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 17. US House Prices Index 2000 – 2009 (Case-Shiller Composite 20) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 18. US Unemployment Rate 2000 – 2009 (U-3 Series, official rate) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 19. US Public Debt per capita 1974 – 2009 ($) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
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  • 22. Private Sector Deleveraging Private Sector Demand For Credit is Low or negative Treasury is the only source of credit demand growth The US Liquidity Trap and the escape hatch Demand in Real Economy via tax cuts The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world Set off by asset price defiation Despite FFR at zero Fiscal Stimulus Fed prints money Quantitive Easing Reflation Expectations of Inflation Spend not hoard
  • 23. 2-3% nominal GDP Growth High Unemployment & Low Consumer Spending growth Increasing Government Share of Economy The US Post Reflation Low short yields The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world Down from 5-7% Lower profit growth Up from 4-6 % to 10-15% Decreased Weath Practising austerity Weaker structure of Economy govt-backed leverage replacing private-backed leverage Weakening Dollar The story is in the long bonds
  • 24. Has Gold taken notice of the disorder Performance of gold (% change in US $) Source: London Bullion Market Association and SA Bullion Research The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world In US dollar 2001 2.5 2002 24.7 2003 19.6 2004 5.2 2005 18.2 2006 22.8 2007 31.4 2008 5.8 2009 to date 10.8 Average (p.a.) 16.3 Median (p.a.) 18.9
  • 25. Gold Performance 1/1/2000 – to date (US$) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
  • 26. Gold Performance 1/1/2000 – to date (Rand) The Case for Gold in the 21 st Century An orderly currency in a disorderly world
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  • 30. How to include physical Gold Bullion as a currency in an Investment Portfolio
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  • 44. The BullionGold Facility & Financial Advisor Support
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  • 48. The BullionGold Facility and Financial Advisor Support
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  • 58. Fee Structure : Redemption Fees Cash Redemptions Perfect Liquidity - No fee applies No time restiction applies Physical Redemptions Perfect Liquidity – No fee applies in respect of redemptions after 3 years Redemptions within 3 years from date of acquisition subject to an early redemption fee (max 6% excl. VAT) The BullionGold Facility and Financial Advisor Support
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  • 63. Def n : the process of adding value to a metal, mineral or commodity. Gold Beneficiation Chain : Role Gold Mining Companies Rand Refinery Limited & SA Mint SA Bullion SA Bullion Financial Advisor Extraction Manufacturing Wholesale/Retail Distribution & Sales Regulated By: The SA Bullion Gold Beneficiation Chain The BullionGold Facility and Financial Advisor Support Copyright 2009 Department of Minerals & Energy South African Reserve Bank Financial Services Board South Africa