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Brazil
Infrastructure Investment Opportunities
Tokyo, 1.3.2011



Guilherme Walder Mora Ramalho
Infrastructure Advisor
Executive Office of the President of Brazil
PAC – Growth Acceleration Program
 In 2007 – PAC 1
 ! To accelerate the pace of economic growth
 ! To increase employment and income rates
 ! To decrease social and regional inequalities
 ! To overcome infrastructure bottlenecks

 In 2009, a new goal
 ! To reduce the impact of the international economic crisis –
   countercyclical policy

 In 2011, a new stage: PAC 2 – 2011-2014
GROWTH ACCELERATION
PROGRAM – PAC 1, 2007-2010

         Infrastructure projects in three areas      US$ billion


       Area          2007-2010      After 2010     TOTAL
     LOGISTICS               54.5           28.9          83.3
     POWER G&T              171.7          429.4        601.1
  SOCIAL AND URBAN          146.8           18.0        164.9

     TOTAL                373.0          476.3       849.3
GROWTH ACCELERATION
PROGRAM – PAC 2, 2011-2014
         Preliminary investment forecast
                                                       US$ billion


       Area          2011-2014      After 2014       TOTAL
     LOGISTICS               59.4            2.6            61.9
     POWER G&T              262.3          356.2          618.5
  SOCIAL AND URBAN          221.0                -        221.0

     TOTAL                542.6          358.8         901.4
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES:
POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION
HIGHWAYS
RAILROADS
AIRPORTS
PORTS
URBAN MOBILITY
HOUSING AND SANITATION
ELECTRIC POWER
GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEM – GENERAL FEATURES


Installed Capacity – 105,066 MW




• Number of Customers – 64.6 million
• Energy Production – 463.2 TWh / year –
  60% of South America
• Peak – 67,632 MW
• Transmission Lines – 96,207 km ! 230kV
                                           Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy
ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION
Priority to competitive, renewable sources with low
    carbon emission
•   Annual tenders to contract energy in the regulated
    contracts environment
    •   Hydroelectric power plants – energy to be delivered at the fifth
        year after the tender
    •   Thermal power plants and others – energy to be delivered at the
        third year after the tender


• Tenders planned
2011-14            54 HPP – 47,870 MW – US$ 57.9 billion
ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES

! From 2011 to 2014
     !71 Wind Power Plants – 1.803 MW
     !3 Biomass TPP – 224 MW


        TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 5.5 billion
TRANSMISSION LINES

! Large Interconnections – 22.765 km
! Regional Lines – 13.921 km




        TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 14 billion
Alternative Energy Sources
                                                   Wind Power
                                                             Aratua 1                  Araras                    Coqueiros
                                                      Areia Branca                         Buriti                     Quixaba
                                                    Miassaba 3                             Cajucoco                       Garças
                                                                                                                        Lagoa Seca
                                                                                                                  Vento do Oeste
             Morro dos ventos I, III, IV, VI, IX
                                                                                                               Dunas do Paracuru
                                                                                                                   Taíba Águia
                 Rei dos Ventos 1, 3                                                                              Taíba Andorinha
                                                                                                                       Icarai I e II
                        Eurus VI
                                                                                                                            Colonia
                Cabeco Preto                                                                                               Embuaca
           Mangue Seco 1, 2 , 3 e 5                                                          Barra dos Coqueiros

                                                                                            Planaltina            Faisa I, II, III, IV e V
                              Mar e Terra                                                   Porto Seguro
                               Santa Clara I                                                Rio Verde
                                                                  Guirapa                                                   Icarai
                                          Guanambi
                                                                    Igapora
        Sangradouro 3                       Candiba                  Serra do salto
                                               Alvorada                        Ilheus
    Sangradouro 2
                                                  Pedra do Reino                   Pindai             Santa Clara II, III, IV, V e VI
      Osório 2
                                                            Seabra
                                                            Macaubas                            Nossa Senhora da Conceição
  Fazenda Rosário 3                                          Pajeu do vento                 Licinio de Almeida
                                                                  Coxilha Negra V           Novo Horizonte
                                                               Coxilha Negra VI
PAC 2                                                    Coxilha Negra VII
                                                   Fazenda Rosário
Alternative Energy Sources
                                                                  Biomass
                                               UTE Unid. Bio. Morro Vermelho
              UTE São João da Boa Vista         UTE Boa Vista                UTE Ben Bioenergia         UTE Unid. Bio. Água Emendada
                    UTE Quirinópolis (1ª etapa)
                                                                                                                 UTE Baia Formosa
                      UTE Quirinópolis (BC)
                                                                                                                    UTE Porto das Águas
                          UTE Angélica
                                                                                                                               UTE Jataí
                 UTE Rio Brilhante F. I e II
                                                                                                                           UTE Cachoeira Dourada
         UTE Unid. Bio. Alto Taquari                                                                                    UTE Codora
     UTE Chapadão Agroenergia                                                                                          UTE Paraúna
         UTE Ferrari                                                                                                      UTE Caçu I
 UTE Santa Isabel BC
    UTE Santa Luzia I                                                                                             UTE Lagoa da Prata F. I e II
                                                                      ‘                                                   UTE CBB
    UTE Costa Pinto BC
UTE Unid. Bio. Costa Rica                                                                                        UTE Vale do Tijuco
  UTE São Fernando                                                                                             UTE Vale do São Simão
       UTE Bonfim                                                                                           UTE São José BC
                         UTE Iacanga                                                                               UTE Bevap
                                                                                              UTE Noble
UTE Ipaussu Bioenergia                                            ‘
                          UTE Decasa                                                                  UTE São João Biogás
         UTE Pioneiros II BC                                                   UTE Interlagos
                                                                                UTE Cocal II            UTE São Luiz

   UTE Santa Cruz AB F.I e II                                                   UTE Biopav II
                                                                            UTE Flórida Paulista BC
     UTE Clealco- Queiroz UTE Colorado BC
                                                                          UTE Barra Bioenergia
                         UTE Noroeste Paulista                                                                                   PAC 2
                                                                  UTE Rafard BC
                                                                                                                                PAC 1
                         UTE Destilaria Andrade              UTE Quatá BC
                                                                                                                                PAC 1 com conclusão
                                       UTE Ester          UTE Conquista do Pontal                                                 original após 2010
OIL AND GAS
Exploration, Production and Natural Gas Transport Infrastructure
PRODUCTION AND EXPLORATION

Increase oil and gas production
Seismic assessment, drilling, plataform production



! To explore the reserves and enlarge national production,
  including the new Pre-Salt discoveries
! Value chain: naval industry, mecanic engineering, steel, chemical,
  precision engineering among other

                            US$ 418,5 billion
                    2011-2014 – US$ 110.4 billion
                     after 2014 – US$ 308 billion
PRODUCTION AND EXPLORATION – Pre-Salt
 Reserves around 10.6 a 16 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe)
                   Total Pre-salt área: 149 mil km²
                                                           Jubarte – Parque das Baleias                                                                                  (
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  SÃO PAULO         Abaré e Iguaçu                                                                                                         (
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         !!!                                 Azulão                                               Guará
REFINEMENT, PETROCHEMESTRY and FERTILIZER

                                              Refinaria Premium I                         Refinaria Clara Camarão


                                                          Refinaria Premium II                             Refinaria Abreu e Lima


                                                                    Petroquímica Suape – PTA
                                                                                                                       FAFEN-SE
                                                               Petroquímica Suape – PET POY                         Sulfato de amônio



                                                  Fabrica de Amônia

                                                                                                             Complexo Químico
                                                                                                                  UFN-4
                       Fábrica de Fertilizantes
                          Nitrogenados III
                                                                                                Complexo Petroquímico do Rio




                                           US$ 76.6 billion
 PAC 2                               2011-2014 – US$ 41,8 billion
 PAC 1
 PAC 1 com conclusão                  Pós 2014 – US$ 34,71 billion
 original após 2010
HIGHWAYS
PAC 2 – 2011 – 2014 - HIGHWAYS

      Preliminary investment forecast

          Total - US$ 29 billion

          Type of investment     Km
        Construction            8.000
        Maintenance            55.000
        Projects               12.600
FEDERAL HIGHWAY CONCESSION PROGRAM

                                                       Central-South Region –
                                                        54% of Brazil’s GDP
Length: 2,212.4 km
 • BR-040/Distrito Federal-Goiás-Minas Gerais – 937 km
 • BR-116/Minas Gerais – 817 km
 • BR-101/Espírito Santo – 458.4 km
                                              GO
Total Investment: US$5.5 billion
                                                         DF               BR-116
                                                                                   BR-101
                                              BR-040
                                                                      Governador
                                                                                   ES
                                                                       Valadares
       Concession bidding                      MG
                                                                Belo
                                                              Horizonte                 Vitória
         1nd Half, 2011
CONCESSION MODEL
Internal Rate of Return: 8.0% per year
  • Reference value used on the 3rd Phase of the Federal Highway Concession
    Program

Term of Concession: 25 years
Annual tariff adjustment according to inflation variation
Investments described in the Highway Usage Program
  • Constructions required (recovery, duplication, lighting, and others)
  • Constructions conditioned to the volume of traffic (to expand capacity)
  • Performance Parameters: paving, safety, signage, lighting, user assistance,
    and others.

Focus on service quality
Concessionaire performs the necessary investments in the most efficient way to
meet the Performance Parameters

*Allows the participation of Brazilian or foreign companies, financial institutions,
pensions funds and private equity funds, separately or in consortiums
BR-040/DISTRITO FEDERAL-GOIÁS-
 MINAS GERAIS
                                 Connects the federal capital, Brasília, to two
                           important cities: Belo Horizonte and Rio de Janeiro


    Length: 937 km                                     GO

    Toll Plazas: 12                                          DF

    Basic Tariff                                   BR-040
                 • US$ per 100 Km: 2.1
                                                            MG
                 • Toll*: US$ 1.4                                   Belo
                                                                  Horizonte
    Total Investment: US$1.8 billion
              Concession bidding
                1nd Half, 2011

*Prices on January, 2007
BR-116/MINAS GERAIS
                                Important South-Southeast connection with
                                                            the Northeast

     Length: 817 km
     Toll Plazas: 8                                        BR-116

     Basic Tariff
                  • US$ per 100 Km: 3.1                             Governador
                  • Toll*: US$ 3.5               MG                  Valadares

     Total Investment: US$2.3 billion
              Concession bidding
                1nd Half, 2011

*Prices on January, 2007
BR-101/ESPÍRITO SANTO
       Connecting corridor linking RJ, SP and BA states, tourism
     hubs with high traffic volume. Crucial to cargo transportation


Length: 458.4 km
Toll Plazas: 7                                 BR-101

Basic Tariff
      • US$ per 100 Km: 3.7
Total Investment: US$1.4 billion
                                                ES      Vitória

    Concession bidding
      1nd Half, 2011
RAILROADS
PAC 2 – 2011–2014 – RAILROADS

     Preliminary investment forecast

         Total - US$ 26 billion

         Type of investment    Km
       Construction           4.700
       Studies                2.985
       High Speed Train       1.991
RAILROAD CONCESSION PROGRAM


   Participation in bidding processes
     • North-South Railroad
     • East-West Integration Railroad
     • High-Speed Rail
NEW CONCESSION AND USAGE MODEL FOR NEW
RAILROADS – In study by the Government
Separation of Infrastructure and Operations:
  • VALEC is a public company which is the concessionaire for the
    North-South, East-West Integration and Midwest Integration
    Railroads

  • Infrastructure management would continue to be under
    VALEC’s responsibility, and totally separated from the
    operation

  • The operation concessionaire (logistics operator) would
    acquire the right-of-way to use a preset number of tracks

  • Goal is to optimize the usage of the railroad and reduce costs
    due to the efficiency gains
Port of Vila do Conde /PA

                                               Port of Itaqui/MA




                            São Francisco Waterway

              Palmas/TO
        Figueirópolis/TO

           Anápolis/ GO
                                                     Ilhéus/BA

Estrela D’Oeste/SP



                                        Port of Itaguaí/RJ

                           Port of Santos/SP
NORTH-SOUTH RAILROAD – SOUTH SECTION
                                                                                    Port of Itaqui / MA
                                                              Açailândia
                                              Aguiarnópolis
                                               Araguaína
                                                 Palmas
                                                Alvorad
                                                   a     Uruaç
                                                           u
                                                        Anápolis


 • 33% of Brazilian agricultural production           Santa Fé do
                                                          Sul

                                                                                     Açailândia
 • 72% of agricultural land                                                          Aguiarnópolis
 • Large mineral reserves                           Araguaína

 • Outflow of the agro-industrial and                  Palmas
   mineral production to four ports Peru                                               North Section


                                                                                    South Section
                                                 Uruaçu
 Length: 1,525 km                                                               Anápolis

   Bidding for the logistic operator
            1st Half, 2011                                                 Estrela D’Oeste (SP)
                                                                                  Section to be Concessed
                                                                                  Concessed Section
EAST-WEST INTEGRATION RAILROAD


• Outflow of the agricultural                         Port of Vila do Conde / PA
  and mineral production                                                  Port of Itaqui / MA
• Waterway integration


                                        Figueirópolis (TO)

Length: 1,527 km                                                               Ilhéus (BA)



    Bidding for the logistic operator
                                                                     Port of Itaguaí / RJ
             1st Half, 2011
                                                    Port of Santos / SP
HIGH-SPEED RAILS PLANNED
                                                                                                             36 million inhabitants
                                                                                         Resende



                                                                              Taubaté
                                                        São José dos Campos




                           Metropolitan Region of Campinas
                                                                                    Volta Redonda

                               Metropolitan Region of São Paulo
                                                                                             Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro




                                                                     Campinas - São Paulo - Rio de Janeiro – 511 km
Market Potential
 • Metropolitan Region of São Paulo: 19 million inhabitants
 • Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro: 12 million inhabitants                                     Concession bidding
 • Metropolitan Region of Campinas: 2.5 million inhabitants
                                                                                                           1st Half, 2011

Economic Importance
 • Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo States concentrate 45 % of Brazil’s GDP
 • São Paulo is Latin America's biggest financial center, concentrating 70% of the stock market
 • Rio de Janeiro is the biggest Brazilian tourism hub
HIGH-SPEED RAIL – HSR
Project scope
 • Estimated investment: US$19.7 billion
 • Deadline for operation start: 2016

Concessionaire responsible for the design, construction, operation and
maintenance, complying with technical performance parameters;
Auction to be open to all existing technologies
Compulsory technology transfer
Public sector participation: own capital and financing
Documentation available at www.tavbrasil.gov.br
 • Technical studies on demand, alignment, geology, operation and economic-financial
   modeling completed and available
WORLD CUP 2014 – HOST CITIES

                                          Fortaleza
                                                         Natal
          Manaus
                                                          Recife

                   Cuiabá
                                                     Salvador

                                   Brasília

                                              Belo Horizonte
                       São Paulo               Rio de Janeiro
                   Curitiba



                              Porto Alegre
RESPONSIBILITY ASSIGNMENT MATRIX
  Issue                                Responsible
Ports
Passenger Terminals                    Federal Government

Airports
Passenger Terminals and Lanes          Federal Government

Stadiums
Construction, reform and maintenance   States and Municipalities
                                                                     Federal
                                                                   Government
Urban Mobility                         States and Municipalities    financing


Hotels                                 Private sector
AIRPORTS
AIRPORTS
 Guidelines
 To provide airports a structure suitable for:
    • Ensuring quality care and users’ comfort
    • Meet the projected increased demand

 Improving the conditions for operational safety:
    • Lane, yard, control tower
    • Technological upgrade of the operating systems


 Total: 25 airports
AIRPORTS
Historical Demand
  1997 : 0.3 passengers carried per capita (163.8 million)
  2008 : 0.6 passengers carried per capita (189.6 million)
  6 milions of new passengers in 2009
   After 2003: growth of 10% on passengers carried per capita

                                                                               10% py                128
Number of passengers: Million boardings + landings + connections
                                                                                        111 113
                                                                                 102    13   13       13
                                                                      96         12
                        4% py                                         13
                                                               82                                            80%
                                                                                                             59%
                                      74           75   71     11
                           68                      9
           63      63       10
                                       9                10
  55       10       9                                                                                115
  11                                                                                    98   100
                                                                      83         90
                                      65           66          71
           53      54       58                          61
  44



   97       98      99     00         01           02   03     04      05         06    07   08       09
                                   International                    Domestic

                                                                                                  Fonte: EMBRATUR
WORLD CUP HOST CITIES AIRPORTS
US$ Million, Preliminary

                  Airport   Investment

          Belo Horizonte     240,4
          Brasília           440,2
          Cuiabá              51,5
          Curitiba            42,8
          Fortaleza          164,4
          Manaus             192,6
          Natal              334,6
          Porto Alegre       203,4
          Recife              11,6
          Rio de Janeiro     404,3
          Salvador            26,5
          São Paulo         1153,8
                                            Considering Guarulhos
          Total             3.266,2      (US$720 million) and Viracopos
                                               (US$ 410 million)
AIRPORTS
PORTS
PORTS - World Cup

 • Complementary investments to PAC
 • Focus on passengers terminals
 • Host cities with projected deficit in number of beds
PORTS CONSTRUCTION AND MODERNIZATION
US$ 2.9 billion
! Build and modernize docks, piers, terminals, improve aquatic and land access
! Debureaucratization of port operations
! Passengers Terminals for the World Cup 2014


!   Reduced logistics costs
!   Better operational efficiency
!   Increased competitiveness
!   Encourage private investments

                 48 PROJECTS – 21 PORTS - US$ 2.9 billion

                                   Ventures                Quantity
                   Dredging                                  12
                   Port Infrastructure                       24
                   Logistics Intelligence Systems             5
                   Passengers Terminals – World Cup 2014      7
URBAN MOBILITY
URBAN MOBILITY
 PAC 2 - Subway, LRT, BRT and bus lanes
 ! 1st Phase – US$ 6.8 billion – launched Feb 16th
    !World Cup - projects selected in December 2009
    !Federal Government Financing
    !Execution by state and city governments

 ! 2nd Phase – US$ 10.2 billion
    !Public transportation systems in major urban centers
                                   US$ billion
                         Investment
                    Union Budget      3.4
                     Financing        6.8
                      TOTAL           10.2
URBAN MOBILITY – WORLD CUP
Summary per Modal

                                               US$ Million

         Modal        Qty Project Value   Financing
         Subway        2             21            20
      Bus Terminals    3             38            36
       Monitoring      3             66            66
           VLT         2            370           312
      Bus Corridors   18          1,138         1,067
        Monorail      2           2,449           989
          BRT         20          2,735         2,098
         Total        50          6,817        4,587
URBAN MOBILITY FINANCING – WORLD CUP

  • Deadline: 4 years of grace period after signing the contract
              20 years to repay after the grace period (30
              years for public rail transport)
  • Scope: Light Rail Trains (LRTs), Monorail and Bus Rapid
        Transit (BRT)
STADIUMS
STADIUM FINANCING

Main financing characteristics:

• Amount: Up to 75% of the project value, limited to R$400 million
• Term: 3 years of grace period after signing the contract
        12 years to repay after the grace period
STADIUMS SITTUATION
                                                              Investment           Capacity          Cost per seat
                                          Intervention        (R$ million)       (thousand)         (R$ thousand)
                      Curitiba            Reform                 184.5                41                  4.5
     Privately-
                      Porto Alegre        Reform                 130.0                62                  2.1             R$ 0.87 billion
      owned
                      São Paulo           Reform                 555.0                72                  7.7

                      B. Horizonte        Reform                 426.1                70                  6.1

                      Brasília            Reform                 745.3                69                 10.8

                      Manaus              Reconstruction         515.0                44                 11.7
Government-                                                                                                               R$ 3.09 billion
   Owned              Cuiabá              Reconstruction         454.2                45                 10.1

                       R. Janeiro         Reform                  600.0               83                  7.2

                       Natal              Construction            350.0                45                7.8

                      Fortaleza           Reform                 623.0                60                 10.4
Public-private        Salvador            Reconstruction         591.7                50                 11.8             R$ 1.74 billion
 partnership
                      Recife              Construction           529.5                46                 11.5

                      Total                                     5,704.3               687                 8.3

    (*) Considering the basic design values. Including the constructions around the stadiums at São Paulo and Curitiba.
HOUSING AND SANITATION
“MINHA CASA, MINHA VIDA” PROGRAM

• 1st phase – 2009-2010 – US$30.7 billion
  • Production of 1 million homes to families with income up to
   US$2,784 – equivalent to 14% of the housing deficit
  • Subsidies for low-income families (up to US$1,670 per month)
  • Long-term government partnership with private investors
  • Establishment of a Guarantee Fund to reduce risks and costs



• 2nd phase – 2011-2014 – US$40.3 billion
  • Production of 2 million homes
SANITATION

• PAC 2
   • Water treatment
   • Sewage and waste treatment
   • Projects and studies

• To expand sewage collection and treatment system
• Improve waste treatment and reduce environmental damage


        TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 12.6 billion
Brazil
Infrastructure Investment Opportunities
Tokyo, 1.3.2011



Guilherme Walder Mora Ramalho
Infrastructure Advisor
Executive Office of the President of Brazil

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Brazil Infrastructure Investments Opportunities 2011

  • 1. Brazil Infrastructure Investment Opportunities Tokyo, 1.3.2011 Guilherme Walder Mora Ramalho Infrastructure Advisor Executive Office of the President of Brazil
  • 2. PAC – Growth Acceleration Program In 2007 – PAC 1 ! To accelerate the pace of economic growth ! To increase employment and income rates ! To decrease social and regional inequalities ! To overcome infrastructure bottlenecks In 2009, a new goal ! To reduce the impact of the international economic crisis – countercyclical policy In 2011, a new stage: PAC 2 – 2011-2014
  • 3. GROWTH ACCELERATION PROGRAM – PAC 1, 2007-2010 Infrastructure projects in three areas US$ billion Area 2007-2010 After 2010 TOTAL LOGISTICS 54.5 28.9 83.3 POWER G&T 171.7 429.4 601.1 SOCIAL AND URBAN 146.8 18.0 164.9 TOTAL 373.0 476.3 849.3
  • 4. GROWTH ACCELERATION PROGRAM – PAC 2, 2011-2014 Preliminary investment forecast US$ billion Area 2011-2014 After 2014 TOTAL LOGISTICS 59.4 2.6 61.9 POWER G&T 262.3 356.2 618.5 SOCIAL AND URBAN 221.0 - 221.0 TOTAL 542.6 358.8 901.4
  • 5. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES: POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION HIGHWAYS RAILROADS AIRPORTS PORTS URBAN MOBILITY HOUSING AND SANITATION
  • 7. ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEM – GENERAL FEATURES Installed Capacity – 105,066 MW • Number of Customers – 64.6 million • Energy Production – 463.2 TWh / year – 60% of South America • Peak – 67,632 MW • Transmission Lines – 96,207 km ! 230kV Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy
  • 8. ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION Priority to competitive, renewable sources with low carbon emission • Annual tenders to contract energy in the regulated contracts environment • Hydroelectric power plants – energy to be delivered at the fifth year after the tender • Thermal power plants and others – energy to be delivered at the third year after the tender • Tenders planned 2011-14 54 HPP – 47,870 MW – US$ 57.9 billion
  • 9. ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES ! From 2011 to 2014 !71 Wind Power Plants – 1.803 MW !3 Biomass TPP – 224 MW TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 5.5 billion
  • 10. TRANSMISSION LINES ! Large Interconnections – 22.765 km ! Regional Lines – 13.921 km TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 14 billion
  • 11. Alternative Energy Sources Wind Power Aratua 1 Araras Coqueiros Areia Branca Buriti Quixaba Miassaba 3 Cajucoco Garças Lagoa Seca Vento do Oeste Morro dos ventos I, III, IV, VI, IX Dunas do Paracuru Taíba Águia Rei dos Ventos 1, 3 Taíba Andorinha Icarai I e II Eurus VI Colonia Cabeco Preto Embuaca Mangue Seco 1, 2 , 3 e 5 Barra dos Coqueiros Planaltina Faisa I, II, III, IV e V Mar e Terra Porto Seguro Santa Clara I Rio Verde Guirapa Icarai Guanambi Igapora Sangradouro 3 Candiba Serra do salto Alvorada Ilheus Sangradouro 2 Pedra do Reino Pindai Santa Clara II, III, IV, V e VI Osório 2 Seabra Macaubas Nossa Senhora da Conceição Fazenda Rosário 3 Pajeu do vento Licinio de Almeida Coxilha Negra V Novo Horizonte Coxilha Negra VI PAC 2 Coxilha Negra VII Fazenda Rosário
  • 12. Alternative Energy Sources Biomass UTE Unid. Bio. Morro Vermelho UTE São João da Boa Vista UTE Boa Vista UTE Ben Bioenergia UTE Unid. Bio. Água Emendada UTE Quirinópolis (1ª etapa) UTE Baia Formosa UTE Quirinópolis (BC) UTE Porto das Águas UTE Angélica UTE Jataí UTE Rio Brilhante F. I e II UTE Cachoeira Dourada UTE Unid. Bio. Alto Taquari UTE Codora UTE Chapadão Agroenergia UTE Paraúna UTE Ferrari UTE Caçu I UTE Santa Isabel BC UTE Santa Luzia I UTE Lagoa da Prata F. I e II ‘ UTE CBB UTE Costa Pinto BC UTE Unid. Bio. Costa Rica UTE Vale do Tijuco UTE São Fernando UTE Vale do São Simão UTE Bonfim UTE São José BC UTE Iacanga UTE Bevap UTE Noble UTE Ipaussu Bioenergia ‘ UTE Decasa UTE São João Biogás UTE Pioneiros II BC UTE Interlagos UTE Cocal II UTE São Luiz UTE Santa Cruz AB F.I e II UTE Biopav II UTE Flórida Paulista BC UTE Clealco- Queiroz UTE Colorado BC UTE Barra Bioenergia UTE Noroeste Paulista PAC 2 UTE Rafard BC PAC 1 UTE Destilaria Andrade UTE Quatá BC PAC 1 com conclusão UTE Ester UTE Conquista do Pontal original após 2010
  • 13. OIL AND GAS Exploration, Production and Natural Gas Transport Infrastructure
  • 14. PRODUCTION AND EXPLORATION Increase oil and gas production Seismic assessment, drilling, plataform production ! To explore the reserves and enlarge national production, including the new Pre-Salt discoveries ! Value chain: naval industry, mecanic engineering, steel, chemical, precision engineering among other US$ 418,5 billion 2011-2014 – US$ 110.4 billion after 2014 – US$ 308 billion
  • 15. PRODUCTION AND EXPLORATION – Pre-Salt Reserves around 10.6 a 16 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) Total Pre-salt área: 149 mil km² Jubarte – Parque das Baleias ( ! (( !! ( ! ( ! Sep/2008 – first pre-salt production ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! C-M-101 ( ! ( (( ! !! ( ! ! ( ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ( ! ! ( ( ( ! ! ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! RIO DE JANEIRO Carioca, Iara ( ! ( ! SÃO PAULO Abaré e Iguaçu ( ! Parati ( ! (( !! ( ! ( ! (( !! ( ! ( ! ( ( (( ! ! !! Corcovado ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! Júpiter ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! Bem-Te-Vi ( ! ( ! ( (( ! !! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! Tupi, Caramba ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! Iracema ((( !!! Azulão Guará
  • 16. REFINEMENT, PETROCHEMESTRY and FERTILIZER Refinaria Premium I Refinaria Clara Camarão Refinaria Premium II Refinaria Abreu e Lima Petroquímica Suape – PTA FAFEN-SE Petroquímica Suape – PET POY Sulfato de amônio Fabrica de Amônia Complexo Químico UFN-4 Fábrica de Fertilizantes Nitrogenados III Complexo Petroquímico do Rio US$ 76.6 billion PAC 2 2011-2014 – US$ 41,8 billion PAC 1 PAC 1 com conclusão Pós 2014 – US$ 34,71 billion original após 2010
  • 18. PAC 2 – 2011 – 2014 - HIGHWAYS Preliminary investment forecast Total - US$ 29 billion Type of investment Km Construction 8.000 Maintenance 55.000 Projects 12.600
  • 19. FEDERAL HIGHWAY CONCESSION PROGRAM Central-South Region – 54% of Brazil’s GDP Length: 2,212.4 km • BR-040/Distrito Federal-Goiás-Minas Gerais – 937 km • BR-116/Minas Gerais – 817 km • BR-101/Espírito Santo – 458.4 km GO Total Investment: US$5.5 billion DF BR-116 BR-101 BR-040 Governador ES Valadares Concession bidding MG Belo Horizonte Vitória 1nd Half, 2011
  • 20. CONCESSION MODEL Internal Rate of Return: 8.0% per year • Reference value used on the 3rd Phase of the Federal Highway Concession Program Term of Concession: 25 years Annual tariff adjustment according to inflation variation Investments described in the Highway Usage Program • Constructions required (recovery, duplication, lighting, and others) • Constructions conditioned to the volume of traffic (to expand capacity) • Performance Parameters: paving, safety, signage, lighting, user assistance, and others. Focus on service quality Concessionaire performs the necessary investments in the most efficient way to meet the Performance Parameters *Allows the participation of Brazilian or foreign companies, financial institutions, pensions funds and private equity funds, separately or in consortiums
  • 21. BR-040/DISTRITO FEDERAL-GOIÁS- MINAS GERAIS Connects the federal capital, Brasília, to two important cities: Belo Horizonte and Rio de Janeiro Length: 937 km GO Toll Plazas: 12 DF Basic Tariff BR-040 • US$ per 100 Km: 2.1 MG • Toll*: US$ 1.4 Belo Horizonte Total Investment: US$1.8 billion Concession bidding 1nd Half, 2011 *Prices on January, 2007
  • 22. BR-116/MINAS GERAIS Important South-Southeast connection with the Northeast Length: 817 km Toll Plazas: 8 BR-116 Basic Tariff • US$ per 100 Km: 3.1 Governador • Toll*: US$ 3.5 MG Valadares Total Investment: US$2.3 billion Concession bidding 1nd Half, 2011 *Prices on January, 2007
  • 23. BR-101/ESPÍRITO SANTO Connecting corridor linking RJ, SP and BA states, tourism hubs with high traffic volume. Crucial to cargo transportation Length: 458.4 km Toll Plazas: 7 BR-101 Basic Tariff • US$ per 100 Km: 3.7 Total Investment: US$1.4 billion ES Vitória Concession bidding 1nd Half, 2011
  • 25. PAC 2 – 2011–2014 – RAILROADS Preliminary investment forecast Total - US$ 26 billion Type of investment Km Construction 4.700 Studies 2.985 High Speed Train 1.991
  • 26. RAILROAD CONCESSION PROGRAM Participation in bidding processes • North-South Railroad • East-West Integration Railroad • High-Speed Rail
  • 27. NEW CONCESSION AND USAGE MODEL FOR NEW RAILROADS – In study by the Government Separation of Infrastructure and Operations: • VALEC is a public company which is the concessionaire for the North-South, East-West Integration and Midwest Integration Railroads • Infrastructure management would continue to be under VALEC’s responsibility, and totally separated from the operation • The operation concessionaire (logistics operator) would acquire the right-of-way to use a preset number of tracks • Goal is to optimize the usage of the railroad and reduce costs due to the efficiency gains
  • 28. Port of Vila do Conde /PA Port of Itaqui/MA São Francisco Waterway Palmas/TO Figueirópolis/TO Anápolis/ GO Ilhéus/BA Estrela D’Oeste/SP Port of Itaguaí/RJ Port of Santos/SP
  • 29. NORTH-SOUTH RAILROAD – SOUTH SECTION Port of Itaqui / MA Açailândia Aguiarnópolis Araguaína Palmas Alvorad a Uruaç u Anápolis • 33% of Brazilian agricultural production Santa Fé do Sul Açailândia • 72% of agricultural land Aguiarnópolis • Large mineral reserves Araguaína • Outflow of the agro-industrial and Palmas mineral production to four ports Peru North Section South Section Uruaçu Length: 1,525 km Anápolis Bidding for the logistic operator 1st Half, 2011 Estrela D’Oeste (SP) Section to be Concessed Concessed Section
  • 30. EAST-WEST INTEGRATION RAILROAD • Outflow of the agricultural Port of Vila do Conde / PA and mineral production Port of Itaqui / MA • Waterway integration Figueirópolis (TO) Length: 1,527 km Ilhéus (BA) Bidding for the logistic operator Port of Itaguaí / RJ 1st Half, 2011 Port of Santos / SP
  • 31. HIGH-SPEED RAILS PLANNED 36 million inhabitants Resende Taubaté São José dos Campos Metropolitan Region of Campinas Volta Redonda Metropolitan Region of São Paulo Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro Campinas - São Paulo - Rio de Janeiro – 511 km Market Potential • Metropolitan Region of São Paulo: 19 million inhabitants • Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro: 12 million inhabitants Concession bidding • Metropolitan Region of Campinas: 2.5 million inhabitants 1st Half, 2011 Economic Importance • Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo States concentrate 45 % of Brazil’s GDP • São Paulo is Latin America's biggest financial center, concentrating 70% of the stock market • Rio de Janeiro is the biggest Brazilian tourism hub
  • 32. HIGH-SPEED RAIL – HSR Project scope • Estimated investment: US$19.7 billion • Deadline for operation start: 2016 Concessionaire responsible for the design, construction, operation and maintenance, complying with technical performance parameters; Auction to be open to all existing technologies Compulsory technology transfer Public sector participation: own capital and financing Documentation available at www.tavbrasil.gov.br • Technical studies on demand, alignment, geology, operation and economic-financial modeling completed and available
  • 33. WORLD CUP 2014 – HOST CITIES Fortaleza Natal Manaus Recife Cuiabá Salvador Brasília Belo Horizonte São Paulo Rio de Janeiro Curitiba Porto Alegre
  • 34. RESPONSIBILITY ASSIGNMENT MATRIX Issue Responsible Ports Passenger Terminals Federal Government Airports Passenger Terminals and Lanes Federal Government Stadiums Construction, reform and maintenance States and Municipalities Federal Government Urban Mobility States and Municipalities financing Hotels Private sector
  • 36. AIRPORTS Guidelines To provide airports a structure suitable for: • Ensuring quality care and users’ comfort • Meet the projected increased demand Improving the conditions for operational safety: • Lane, yard, control tower • Technological upgrade of the operating systems Total: 25 airports
  • 37. AIRPORTS Historical Demand 1997 : 0.3 passengers carried per capita (163.8 million) 2008 : 0.6 passengers carried per capita (189.6 million) 6 milions of new passengers in 2009 After 2003: growth of 10% on passengers carried per capita 10% py 128 Number of passengers: Million boardings + landings + connections 111 113 102 13 13 13 96 12 4% py 13 82 80% 59% 74 75 71 11 68 9 63 63 10 9 10 55 10 9 115 11 98 100 83 90 65 66 71 53 54 58 61 44 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 International Domestic Fonte: EMBRATUR
  • 38. WORLD CUP HOST CITIES AIRPORTS US$ Million, Preliminary Airport Investment Belo Horizonte 240,4 Brasília 440,2 Cuiabá 51,5 Curitiba 42,8 Fortaleza 164,4 Manaus 192,6 Natal 334,6 Porto Alegre 203,4 Recife 11,6 Rio de Janeiro 404,3 Salvador 26,5 São Paulo 1153,8 Considering Guarulhos Total 3.266,2 (US$720 million) and Viracopos (US$ 410 million)
  • 40. PORTS
  • 41. PORTS - World Cup • Complementary investments to PAC • Focus on passengers terminals • Host cities with projected deficit in number of beds
  • 42. PORTS CONSTRUCTION AND MODERNIZATION US$ 2.9 billion ! Build and modernize docks, piers, terminals, improve aquatic and land access ! Debureaucratization of port operations ! Passengers Terminals for the World Cup 2014 ! Reduced logistics costs ! Better operational efficiency ! Increased competitiveness ! Encourage private investments 48 PROJECTS – 21 PORTS - US$ 2.9 billion Ventures Quantity Dredging 12 Port Infrastructure 24 Logistics Intelligence Systems 5 Passengers Terminals – World Cup 2014 7
  • 44. URBAN MOBILITY PAC 2 - Subway, LRT, BRT and bus lanes ! 1st Phase – US$ 6.8 billion – launched Feb 16th !World Cup - projects selected in December 2009 !Federal Government Financing !Execution by state and city governments ! 2nd Phase – US$ 10.2 billion !Public transportation systems in major urban centers US$ billion Investment Union Budget 3.4 Financing 6.8 TOTAL 10.2
  • 45. URBAN MOBILITY – WORLD CUP Summary per Modal US$ Million Modal Qty Project Value Financing Subway 2 21 20 Bus Terminals 3 38 36 Monitoring 3 66 66 VLT 2 370 312 Bus Corridors 18 1,138 1,067 Monorail 2 2,449 989 BRT 20 2,735 2,098 Total 50 6,817 4,587
  • 46. URBAN MOBILITY FINANCING – WORLD CUP • Deadline: 4 years of grace period after signing the contract 20 years to repay after the grace period (30 years for public rail transport) • Scope: Light Rail Trains (LRTs), Monorail and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)
  • 48. STADIUM FINANCING Main financing characteristics: • Amount: Up to 75% of the project value, limited to R$400 million • Term: 3 years of grace period after signing the contract 12 years to repay after the grace period
  • 49. STADIUMS SITTUATION Investment Capacity Cost per seat Intervention (R$ million) (thousand) (R$ thousand) Curitiba Reform 184.5 41 4.5 Privately- Porto Alegre Reform 130.0 62 2.1 R$ 0.87 billion owned São Paulo Reform 555.0 72 7.7 B. Horizonte Reform 426.1 70 6.1 Brasília Reform 745.3 69 10.8 Manaus Reconstruction 515.0 44 11.7 Government- R$ 3.09 billion Owned Cuiabá Reconstruction 454.2 45 10.1 R. Janeiro Reform 600.0 83 7.2 Natal Construction 350.0 45 7.8 Fortaleza Reform 623.0 60 10.4 Public-private Salvador Reconstruction 591.7 50 11.8 R$ 1.74 billion partnership Recife Construction 529.5 46 11.5 Total 5,704.3 687 8.3 (*) Considering the basic design values. Including the constructions around the stadiums at São Paulo and Curitiba.
  • 51. “MINHA CASA, MINHA VIDA” PROGRAM • 1st phase – 2009-2010 – US$30.7 billion • Production of 1 million homes to families with income up to US$2,784 – equivalent to 14% of the housing deficit • Subsidies for low-income families (up to US$1,670 per month) • Long-term government partnership with private investors • Establishment of a Guarantee Fund to reduce risks and costs • 2nd phase – 2011-2014 – US$40.3 billion • Production of 2 million homes
  • 52. SANITATION • PAC 2 • Water treatment • Sewage and waste treatment • Projects and studies • To expand sewage collection and treatment system • Improve waste treatment and reduce environmental damage TOTAL PROJECTED INVESTMENT- US$ 12.6 billion
  • 53. Brazil Infrastructure Investment Opportunities Tokyo, 1.3.2011 Guilherme Walder Mora Ramalho Infrastructure Advisor Executive Office of the President of Brazil