1.
Saturday College Football
Expert Info
OffshoreInsiders.com

2.
Joe Duffy’s Picks
• 20-7 football
• 3 college football Wise Guys, 5 Majors
OffshoreInsiders.com

3.
Western Kentucky vs. Illinois
Total opened at 60, now 51. Weather fine, winds 10-15
Illinois edged Ball State 24-21
WKU won 31-17 to EKU
o Failed to pressure QB
WKU 0-6 SU to Big 10, last one in 2015 losing by three to Illinois
WKU QB Mike White threw for 4363 yards last year
WKU lost 1600 yard rusher Anthony Wells
WKU lost 46 percent of production
o Historically a regression, almost half the time by TD or more
o Averaged 44.7 points per game last three years
WKU new head coach in Mike Sanford, first road game
Illinois WR Mike Dudek back at WR after missing two years
Illinois freshman RB Mike Epstein rushed for 54 yards on 11 carries
Nebraska vs. Oregon
Oregon has had practice time disrupted because of hazardous air conditions

4.
UL Monroe vs. Florida State
FSU starting QB Deondre Francois, who was a Heisman contender, is out for the year
True freshman James Blackman takes over
o He is considered a major dropoff
Fade teams off a loss in a game they covered by at least 16 point is 236-178 against the spread
o Would say go with Florida State
A bubble burst angle that says to fade highly ranked teams off a loss is 73-46
o Go with ULM
o But truthfully much better later in season (higher they go harder they fall)
Georgia vs. Notre Dame
Georgia starting QB Jacob Eason is out
Highly touted true freshman Jake Fromm makes first start at UND
o Many believe Fromm is the better QB as Eason’s freshmen year had mixed success at best

5.
Oklahoma vs. Ohio State
Teams ranked 7th or better and road underdogs of more than 7 are just 6-10 against the spread
o Go with Ohio State
TCU vs. Arkansas
Arkansas opened as favorite but now TCU -3 and 59
Going with home teams off a win of 36 or more is 595-424
o 67-42 underdogs (48-61 SU)
Teams averaging more than 39.5 points per game total is less than 60, goes under 603-478
o Applies to both teams
TCU has not won on road against SEC since 1995
Arkansas RB Rawleigh Williams III who dominated TCU last year retired with neck injury
o New starter Devwah Whaley rushed for more than 600 yards
Arkansas two extra days rest but TCU had few starters play more than 20 snaps
o Such teams are only 185-191 against the spread at home
ARKANSAS +3

6.
Florida Atlantic vs. Wisconsin (-31.5, 58)
 Opened at Wisconsin -36
 FAU is in Baco Raton, so possible distraction of Hurricane Irma
 Line higher than 30, but total 58 or less actually sees favorite 194-159
o Over 213-140 at 60.3 percent
 Home teams off a win of 36 or more are 595-424 for 58.4 percent
 Also, FAU played against triple-option last week and spread offenses in C-USA, traditio
 Wisconsin ran 45 times, passing just 23 last week
 FAU gave up 416 on ground to Navy
 When a team averages 39.5 or more and total is less than 60, goes UNDER 603-478

7.
Spread 30 or higher, total 58 or less, favorite is 194-159 and over 213-140
ALABAMA over Fresno State
COLORADO over Texas State
FLORIDA STATE over UL Monroe
KANSAS STATE over Charlotte
MICHIGAN over Cincinnati
WISCONSIN over Florida Atlantic
Wake Forest vs. Boston College
BC starting center Jon Baker is out
o He’s made 27 straight starts, most on the team
o True freshman Alec Lindstrom takes over
Houston vs. Arizona
Arizona starting TB Nick Wilson is questionable
o 8 carries for 87 yards versus Northern Arizona