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LECTURE L09
THE INNOVATOR’S DILEMMA
OPPORTUNITY
THREAT
Source: (Christensen, 2000)
The Disruptive Innovation Theory
New organisation can use relatively simple,
convenient, low-cost innovations to create growth
and triumph over powerful incumbents
Source: (Christensen, 2000)
Organisations successfully tackle opportunities
When they have the resources to succeed,
when their processes facilitate what needs
to get done, and then their values allow them
to give adequate priority to that particular 

opportunity in face of all other demands that 

compete for the company’s resources
The RPV Theory
Founded in 1880 Noted for their 

pioneering technology
“You press the button,

we do the rest”
By 1975 they had 90%

of firm and 85% of 

camera sales in US
Eastman pioneered dry plate technology when 

others use wet plate
Introduced the Brownie camera in 1900
Used film rolls
Camera for $1, then sold films
The picture quality was inferior 

to begin with, but consumers 

loved the convenience
In 1935 Kodak introduced Kodachrome,

the first colour film
The picture quality was inferior 

to begin with, but consumers 

loved colours pictures
Initially available as 35 mm slides
Form the Economist article
Economist article: The last Kodak moment?
Kodak is at death’s door; Fujifilm, its old rival, is thriving. Why?
1. Where	did	Kodak	fail?	
2. What	did	Fuji	do	differently?
Kodak
Kodak knew that digital cameras would take over
In 1981, a team inside Kodak assessed the threat
The report said:
* The quality is not there
* The device is too expensive
* Consumer’s desire for print cannot be replaced
Source: Decisive
Kodak
Culture
“suffered from the mentality of perfect products,
rather than the high-tech mindset of
make it, launch it, fix it.”
One company town
No criticism, changing leadership
Failed to capitalise on pharmaceutical assets
Source: Economist
Fuji
Plan: to squeeze as much money out of the film
business as possible, to prepare for the switch to
digital and to develop new business lines
Brutal reorganisation
Launched a line of cosmetics and sold it
Source: Economist
Kodak’s Lack of Tripwire
The report said:

* The quality is not there

	 -> We will act when more than 10% of public is pleased with
digital images

* Consumer’s desire for print cannot be replaced

* The device is too expensive

	 -> We will act when more than 5% of public has some kind of
viewing system
Source: DecisiveSource: Decisive
Van Halen’s Brown M&M
They demanded M&M back stage but without the brown M&Ms
Source: Decisive
Technology is one
of the major
factors in change
Surviving Technological Change
What is it that kills successful

companies?
Surviving Technological Change
Business models of the 21st century

may not support the organisational
structure of the 20th century
The Innovators Dilemma
Should we focus improving our products to
make them higher margin, with more
performance or look at this new technology that
is low performance with low margins?
Firms that	succeed in one generation of
innovation almost inevitable become
hamstrung by their own success and thus
doomed to lose out in the next wave of
innovation
Source:	(Christensen,	2000)	
The Innovators Dilemma means
The Innovator’s Dilemma

Clayton Christensen

professor at Harvard Business School
Source:	Yang,	Harvard
Traditional Concept of 

Good Management
Focus on your best customers

Focus on your highest margin products
Reason for Failure?
If you become wildly successful 

because you do everything right, 

you're doomed
Disruptive Innovation
Disruptive Innovation
Resources, Processes and Values Theory
	
Resources (what a firm has),
processes (how a firm does it´s work), and
values (what a firm wants to do) 



collectively defines an organisation’s strengths
as well as weaknesses and blind spots
Source:	(Christensen,	2000)	
The RPV Theory
WHEN
PLATFORM
SHIFTS HAPPEN,
COMPANIES FIND
IT HARD TO MOVE
TO NEW
GENERATION OF
TECHNOLOGY
Image	Source	Page:	http://www.teach-ict.com/wp/archives/264
Only ONE established firm
managed the transition from one
generation to the next
Why did they fail?
They listened to their customers
Case Study
Betware transformed
from custom software
development to
product development
– from technology to
service
“If I’d asked my
customers what they
wanted, they’d have
said a faster horse”
- Henry Ford
We tend to view technology
based on 

past usages 

but not the future potential
The Resistance Corollary
Even outdated things that
should “disappear” don’t
due to supposed importance
The hardest things when you are trying to affect change
Steve Jobs Insult Response, WWDC 1997
Source:	Yang,	Harvard
Traditional Concept of 

Good Management
Leads successful companies to ignore
disruptive innovations with deadly
consequences
Source:	Yang,	Harvard
Traditional Concept of 

Good Management
“In the history of business, things happen only once”
- Peter Thiel
Source:	Yang,	Harvard
Traditional Concept of 

Good Management
"The next Bill Gates will not build an operating
system. The next Larry Page or Sergey Brin won’t
make a search engine. And the next Mark Zuckerberg
won’t create a social network. If you are copying these
guys, you aren’t learning from them."
- Peter Thiel
“We listen to our best customers”
The Innovation Trap
“Our customer is asking for the
new product, but we don’t have it
and its to late the enter the market”
The Innovation Trap
“Our customer are starting to ask
for our new product.”
The Innovation Trap
It is very difficult for incumbent
companies to disrupt themselves, so
usually others will do it
“Markets that do not exist
cannot be analysed”
- Clayton Christensen
Adjacent Possible
...a kind of shadow future, 

hovering on the edges of 

the present state of things, 

a map of all the ways in 

which the present can 

reinvent itself
Steven	Johnson
Next
The Broadcast Century

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