L12 The Innovators Method

Ólafur Andri Ragnarsson
Ólafur Andri RagnarssonLecturer, author, speaker à Reykjavík University
LECTURE L12
THE INNOVATOR’S METHOD
...a kind of shadow future, 

hovering on the edges of 

the present state of things, 

a map of all the ways in 

which the present can 

reinvent itself
Steven Johnson
Adjacent Possible
Why is IBM still alive and
thriving after so long, in an
industry characterised
perhaps more than any other
by innovation and change?
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Case Study
Tabulating machines

Electronic machines - Mainframes

Distributed systems - Minis and PCs

Services
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Platform Shifts
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Platform Shifts
“IBM is not a technology
company, but a company
solving business problems
using technology”

– George Colony
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Platform Shifts
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Platform Shifts
1. Maintain connection to customers
2. Less hierarchical and more open
3. Business relevant research
4. Globally integrated
5. Financial planning – get out of
commoditized business
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Platform Shifts
WHAT IS THE SECRET TO BE SUCCESSFUL
ENTREPRENEUR?
"There is no real formula."
- Peter Thiel
Author: Zero to One
Innovation
In the history of
business,
things happen only
once
Against the Norm
TRUTH IS SOMETHING
EVERYBODY
AGREE ON
MAY NOT BE RIGHT
Economist:	1100100	and	counting
Against the Norm
WHAT
GREAT BUSINESS
IS
NOBODY STARTING?
Peter Thiel
L12 The Innovators Method
Definition of Losers
PEOPLE THAT ARE

NOT GOOD ENOUGH
OR

PEOPLE JUST DOING
THE WRONG THING?
"All happy companies are different
because they found something
unique to do, all unhappy
companies are alike, because they
failed to escape the sameness that
is competition."
- Peter Thiel
The Nature of Progress
0 to 1
1 to n
Technology
doing new things
Vertical
Globalisation
copying existing things
Horizontal
Peter Thiel: Zero to One
The Nature of Progress
Looking for Opportunities
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
“Good-enough” can be great
Do what competitors won’t
Looking for Opportunities
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
Removes barriers that constrain
the ability to consume
Overshooting customers needs
Hidden beauty in undesirable or
invisible markets
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
Remove the skill required for photography
Kodak’s Brownie 

Camera
Remove the skill required to operated a computer
Apple’s iPad
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
Make computing affordable to more people
The Personal
Computer
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
Make access to telephony easier
Mobile phones
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
Make access to niche movies
Youtube Lego

Star wars
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
Make buy/selling things fast saving time
Ebay auction
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
1. Creating a Computer Game for mobile
What is the barrier for these:
4. Health Care
5. University level education
2. Making an Music Album
3. Publishing a Novel
6. Rent your house
Remove barriers that constrain the ability to
consume
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
Make the complicated simple
Don’t let the mainstream derail you
Innovate, don’t force
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
Nintendo Wii
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
Gaming for the family
Portable music players
disrupted by Apple, 2001
1000 songs in you pocket!
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
Mobile phone, 2007
Apple reinvents the phone
Targeting overshot customers or
non-consumption
“Good-enough” can be great
Sustainable innovations compete
on getting better

Disruptive innovations compete on
doing it differently
“Good-enough” can be great
Netflix
Subscribe, no late fees
Do what competitors won’t
Unattractive or uninteresting
market
Does not seek head-on collision
with established competitors
Personal Computers
Do what competitors won’t
CRM as a Service
Do what competitors won’t
THE INNOVATOR’S METHOD
Case Study
Intuit is a successful software company makers of TurboTax,
Quicken and other financial software solutions
However, by 2008 they reached a performance plateau and
market value was falling
Intuit was focusing on making things easier to use but did not
do many customer reviews
NPS was flat
The Innovation Crisis: Unprecedented Uncertainty
L12 The Innovators Method
L12 The Innovators Method
Net Promoter Score
How likely are you, on a scale of 0 (not at all likely) to 10
(extremely likely), to recommend this product or service to a
colleague or friend?
A product’s NPS is the percentage of promoters (those who
score themselves 9 or 10) minus the percentage of detractors
(scores 0–6).
Net promoter score = % promoters minus % detractors
Design for Delight
Most successful companies didn’t just offer products that were
easier to use; they offered products that delighted customers.
• Gain deep customer empathy

Understand customers better than they understand themselves
• Go broad to go narrow

Generate lots of solutions before winnowing the list
• Experiment rapidly with customers

Seek feedback early and often
Innovator’s Method
Four steps to solve high uncertainty problems and turn
insight into a successful innovation
Innovator’s Method
Step 1. Insight: savor surprises
Step 2. Problem: discover the job-to-be-done
Step 3. Solution: prototype the minimum 

awesome product
Step 4. Business model: validate the 

go-to-market strategy
Leverage the behaviors, questioning, observing,
networking, and experimenting — to search broadly for
insights about problems worth solving.
Step 1. Insight: savor surprises
What problem is nobody solving?
Innovator’s Method
Rather than starting with solutions, start by exploring the
customers’ need or problem— the functional, social, and
emotional job-to-be- done— to be sure you’re going after a
problem worth solving.
Step 2. Problem: discover the job-to-be-done
What is the customer really buying?
Innovator’s Method
People don’t want to buy a quarter-inch drill. 

They want a quarter-inch hole.
Job to be Done
L12 The Innovators Method
Instead of developing full-scale products, leverage
theoretical and virtual prototypes of multiple solution
dimensions. Then iterate on each solution to develop a
minimum viable prototype and eventually a minimum
awesome product.
Innovator’s Method
Step 3. Solution: prototype the minimum 

awesome product
Once you’ve nailed the solution, you’re ready to validate
the other components of the business model, including the
pricing strategy, the customer acquisition strategy, and the
cost structure strategy.
Innovator’s Method
Step 4. Business model: validate the 

go-to-market strategy.
NEXT
L13 The Rise of the Machine
1 sur 56

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L12 The Innovators Method

  • 2. ...a kind of shadow future, 
 hovering on the edges of 
 the present state of things, 
 a map of all the ways in 
 which the present can 
 reinvent itself Steven Johnson Adjacent Possible
  • 3. Why is IBM still alive and thriving after so long, in an industry characterised perhaps more than any other by innovation and change? Economist: 1100100 and counting Case Study
  • 4. Tabulating machines Electronic machines - Mainframes Distributed systems - Minis and PCs Services Economist: 1100100 and counting Platform Shifts
  • 6. “IBM is not a technology company, but a company solving business problems using technology”
 – George Colony Economist: 1100100 and counting Platform Shifts
  • 8. 1. Maintain connection to customers 2. Less hierarchical and more open 3. Business relevant research 4. Globally integrated 5. Financial planning – get out of commoditized business Economist: 1100100 and counting Platform Shifts
  • 9. WHAT IS THE SECRET TO BE SUCCESSFUL ENTREPRENEUR?
  • 10. "There is no real formula." - Peter Thiel Author: Zero to One
  • 11. Innovation In the history of business, things happen only once
  • 12. Against the Norm TRUTH IS SOMETHING EVERYBODY AGREE ON MAY NOT BE RIGHT
  • 16. Definition of Losers PEOPLE THAT ARE
 NOT GOOD ENOUGH OR
 PEOPLE JUST DOING THE WRONG THING?
  • 17. "All happy companies are different because they found something unique to do, all unhappy companies are alike, because they failed to escape the sameness that is competition." - Peter Thiel
  • 18. The Nature of Progress 0 to 1 1 to n Technology doing new things Vertical Globalisation copying existing things Horizontal Peter Thiel: Zero to One
  • 19. The Nature of Progress
  • 21. Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption “Good-enough” can be great Do what competitors won’t Looking for Opportunities
  • 22. Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption Removes barriers that constrain the ability to consume Overshooting customers needs Hidden beauty in undesirable or invisible markets
  • 23. Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume Remove the skill required for photography Kodak’s Brownie 
 Camera
  • 24. Remove the skill required to operated a computer Apple’s iPad Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume
  • 25. Make computing affordable to more people The Personal Computer Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume
  • 26. Make access to telephony easier Mobile phones Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume
  • 27. Make access to niche movies Youtube Lego
 Star wars Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume
  • 28. Make buy/selling things fast saving time Ebay auction Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume
  • 29. 1. Creating a Computer Game for mobile What is the barrier for these: 4. Health Care 5. University level education 2. Making an Music Album 3. Publishing a Novel 6. Rent your house Remove barriers that constrain the ability to consume
  • 30. Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption Make the complicated simple Don’t let the mainstream derail you Innovate, don’t force
  • 31. Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption
  • 32. Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption
  • 33. Nintendo Wii Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption Gaming for the family
  • 34. Portable music players disrupted by Apple, 2001 1000 songs in you pocket! Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption
  • 35. Mobile phone, 2007 Apple reinvents the phone Targeting overshot customers or non-consumption
  • 36. “Good-enough” can be great Sustainable innovations compete on getting better Disruptive innovations compete on doing it differently
  • 37. “Good-enough” can be great Netflix Subscribe, no late fees
  • 38. Do what competitors won’t Unattractive or uninteresting market Does not seek head-on collision with established competitors
  • 39. Personal Computers Do what competitors won’t
  • 40. CRM as a Service Do what competitors won’t
  • 42. Case Study Intuit is a successful software company makers of TurboTax, Quicken and other financial software solutions However, by 2008 they reached a performance plateau and market value was falling Intuit was focusing on making things easier to use but did not do many customer reviews NPS was flat
  • 43. The Innovation Crisis: Unprecedented Uncertainty
  • 46. Net Promoter Score How likely are you, on a scale of 0 (not at all likely) to 10 (extremely likely), to recommend this product or service to a colleague or friend? A product’s NPS is the percentage of promoters (those who score themselves 9 or 10) minus the percentage of detractors (scores 0–6). Net promoter score = % promoters minus % detractors
  • 47. Design for Delight Most successful companies didn’t just offer products that were easier to use; they offered products that delighted customers. • Gain deep customer empathy
 Understand customers better than they understand themselves • Go broad to go narrow
 Generate lots of solutions before winnowing the list • Experiment rapidly with customers
 Seek feedback early and often
  • 48. Innovator’s Method Four steps to solve high uncertainty problems and turn insight into a successful innovation
  • 49. Innovator’s Method Step 1. Insight: savor surprises Step 2. Problem: discover the job-to-be-done Step 3. Solution: prototype the minimum 
 awesome product Step 4. Business model: validate the 
 go-to-market strategy
  • 50. Leverage the behaviors, questioning, observing, networking, and experimenting — to search broadly for insights about problems worth solving. Step 1. Insight: savor surprises What problem is nobody solving? Innovator’s Method
  • 51. Rather than starting with solutions, start by exploring the customers’ need or problem— the functional, social, and emotional job-to-be- done— to be sure you’re going after a problem worth solving. Step 2. Problem: discover the job-to-be-done What is the customer really buying? Innovator’s Method
  • 52. People don’t want to buy a quarter-inch drill. 
 They want a quarter-inch hole. Job to be Done
  • 54. Instead of developing full-scale products, leverage theoretical and virtual prototypes of multiple solution dimensions. Then iterate on each solution to develop a minimum viable prototype and eventually a minimum awesome product. Innovator’s Method Step 3. Solution: prototype the minimum 
 awesome product
  • 55. Once you’ve nailed the solution, you’re ready to validate the other components of the business model, including the pricing strategy, the customer acquisition strategy, and the cost structure strategy. Innovator’s Method Step 4. Business model: validate the 
 go-to-market strategy.
  • 56. NEXT L13 The Rise of the Machine