The document provides an agenda for a presentation on geopolitical events and virus management by the World Health Organization and world governments. It includes topics such as inflation, stock markets, wealth, COVID cases and deaths, vaccinations, employment, GDP forecasts, and blogs on crisis management, supply chains, and preparing for future pandemics. It advocates for improved pandemic preparedness including annual audits of emergency management departments and the WHO.
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - August 27, 2022.pptx
1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
August 27, 2022
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development
4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution
5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency
Blog – Stock Market performance for the WE August 25, 2022
BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/a1067254-8ff8-4865-8c8d-c4ba4e2c5903/
WestpacWeekly2022
0822.pdf
Personal Income and
Consumption - US A.pdf
BEA - Personal
Income and Consumption.pdf
BottomLine_2022082
6.pdf
globalweekahead202
20826.pdf
20222608_S tock
Market_BMO.pdf
Housing Costs.pdf Housing slump.pdf China and GDP
outlook.pdf
GDP - US A - July
2022.pdf
Commodities -
20222608.pdf
Commodities and
Government.pdf
Mexico and
Lithium.pdf
Germany and Canada
- Hydrogen - 20222606.pdf
Insurance and H2.pdf LNG and Canada.pdf LNG and Canada
Failures.pdf
Oil Pr oduction and
OPEC.pdf
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-
with-the-stock-market-for-we-august-26-2022pptx
8. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source –
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/59bc
dce2-374d-45fa-81bb-461f507a3ef5/
Inflation - USA - BMO
- July 2022.pdf
BMO - Inflation - CPI
- Canada - July 2022.pdf
Canada -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/d
etail/c8a3a857-a963-4582-8aa6-
2e730b652b2c/
BMO - Inflation - July
2022 - Canada.pdf
9. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf
19. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT BMO - Employment -
Canada - July 2022.pdf
U.S. Nonfarm
Payrolls (July) — Conquering the Peak.pdf
20. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021
Source - https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/atlanta-feds-gdp-
model-indicates-us-economy-in-recession/2628418
24. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk
25. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures
26. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576
28. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/
29. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits
30. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0
31. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah
32. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/
33. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf
34. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-commentary-
december-2021
35. HEALTHCARE REFORM
• Moving to private / public healthcare model as part of reducing wait times
• Revising insurance payout including single pay system (This will require alignment with various systems through a
better automation model)
• Building up critical medical supplies including annual audits of supplies
• Mandatory risk and crisis management for all hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities
• Expanding spots at long-term care facilities including more oversight
• Addressing issues with drug costs
• Fixing the delivery model for healthcare including more digitalization, elimination of layers of management, etc.
• Putting the focus on patient care
• Adopting more automation through use of technology
• Increasing seats at medical and nursing schools
• Addressing issues with foreign credentials
• Mandatory reporting by hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities into the government. Audit
Analytics and Ministry of health can then set up triggers as part managing the data including outcomes.
• Here is my work on healthcare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-healthcare-crisis-pptx
36. SUMMARY
• More and more countries are lifting vaccine
mandates.
• Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
• Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at
different ways to treat diseases.
• Little has been said about the need for all levels of
government to have better crisis and risk
management policies and procedures.
• WHO governance model needs to have more
audits as part ensuring steps are taking to mitigate
future pandemics.
• Healthcare systems continue to struggle with their
operational model
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Threats – Future Pandemics and Viruses – August 27, 2022
All levels of government need to establish short-term and long-term plans to address the healthcare
delivery model.
Seniors continue to face many challenges including high cost of living and access to affordable housing.
Federal government if they were serious would raise the GIS threshold from 19K to 40K.
It is time to get serious about assisted living and retirement living for seniors. Housing costs continue to
be an issue! Little is said by all levels of government looking at their vacant/abandon properties as way
to build more affordable housing.
Little is said about how best to boost immune system through better dieting practices.
Little is said about developing more health and wellness programs for every age group as part of
encouraging a healthy lifestyle
Telling people to continue to take vaccines is no long-term solution to battling future viruses and
pandemics.
Healthcare and Labor
shortages.pdf
Healthcare
innovation.pdf
Food and
inflation.pdf
Fixing supply
chain.pdf
Robotic caregiver.pdf Homecare and
Canada.pdf
Healthcare and
Government intervention.pdf
Vaccines.pdf Vaccines - Copy.pdf N95 Masks.pdf Healthcare Global.pdf
1. COVID - https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/major-covid-relapse-could-soon-012239522.html
2. Boosting immune systems - https://www.trendyhiphop.com/top-10-best-fruits-in-the-world-
that-boost-the-immune-system/
3. Masks https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-removes-n95-respirators-
medical-device-shortage-list-signaling-sufficient-supply
4. Healthcare - https://southmuskoka.doppleronline.ca/the-health-care-crisis-is-global-hugh-
holland-commentary/
5. Nurses https://www.forbes.com/sites/saibala/2022/08/26/the-healthcare-industry-is-
crumbling-due-to-staffing-shortages/?sh=2248c5677d6e
6. Healthcare innovation - https://www.zs.com/insights/when-will-future-of-healthcare-be-
everywhere or https://calbizjournal.com/the-5-new-life-saving-healthcare-innovations-in-2022/
7. Food Inflation https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-08-26/supply-chain-latest-
drought-and-fertilizer-crisis-point-to-more-food-inflation?srnd=economics-vp
8. Supply chain https://www.thepacker.com/news/industry/supply-chain-answers-lie-technology-
nepc-panelists-say
9. Technology - https://www.printmag.com/creative-voices/who-would-want-a-robot-caregiver/
37. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies
Editor's Notes
- https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-the-stock-market-july-22-2022pptx and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-the-stock-market-for-we-august-12-2022pptx
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/16dd19f0-44e1-45e1-891b-4d75a5735140/ or https://www.bea.gov/news/2021/gross-domestic-product-second-quarter-2021-advance-estimate-and-annual-update GDP – Canada by Industry – May 2021 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-naics-may-2021 https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/9fa642af-bc82-4bf0-b2da-54f49d98ebff/