Blog – Stock Market Analysis for the weekending May 5, 2023 Summary: Overall, markets have moved higher this year, with the Canadian TSX up over 5%, S&P 500 up over 7% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq higher by over 15%, but the rally thus far may be fragile. The equity leadership in the market is narrow, with quality growth and defensive sectors leading the way. Parts of the market that are more sensitive to economic growth seem to be lagging, including cyclical sectors like energy and financials, and small-cap stocks, which tend to underperform in a slowing economy. Canadian and U.S. government bond yields have also moved lower since their recent peaks in early March, perhaps as investors seek safe-haven assets and as growth concerns rise. After a nice start to the year, markets are now facing the impact of the Fed's and Bank of Canada's rapid rate-hiking cycles: a tightening banking sector and a potentially slowing economy. We would expect market volatility to continue in the weeks ahead, especially if the economy heads into an economic downturn or the banking system requires more intervention. However, we believe that last year's 25% fall in the S&P 500 captured some of the mild recession that may lie ahead. It is important to remember that the market cycle and economic cycle are distinct, as markets tend to be forward-looking. Thus, as the economy heads towards its bottom, financial markets may start looking to a period of recovery ahead. After an extended bear-market period over the past 16 months, we believe opportunities could form in the both the equity and bond markets as the economy recovers especially given that, historically, these periods can offer outsized returns in the years ahead. Source - https://www.edwardjones.ca/ca-en/market-news-insights/stock-market-news/stock-market-weekly-update