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Analytics That Work
Tools for Creating Value and Focusing Performance
2010 Pork Management Conference
June 17, 2010
Bruce R. Limpert
Providing practices, tools and management
services with a focus on financial sustainability,
capital performance and value creation.
“Custom” Tools to Support Our Services:
CPSTool-kit™ - A proprietary web accessible
business solution that links assessments, action
plans and the key metrics to support CPS’s
value-based performance approach
Who We Are:
CPS Management Services
• A management system built on resource
“stewardship” and capital performance
• Aligning vision with strategies, capabilities, and
practices for better execution
• Focusing business processes and metrics on
creating long-term economic value
• Generating the resources for ongoing financial
success
“Value-based” Management
Our Approach:
Capital Performance –Today’s Capital Gap
Capital Use--Increased risks relative to cost and returns
ROI did not meet real cost relative to capital cushion/profit volatility
Capital Capabilities--Ability to generate new as well as
replacement capital
Size, Scalability
Working capital constraints-under funded opportunities
Capital Access--Will be performance driven
Capital Deployment/Performance vs. Profitability Cycle Management
New Conversations–Measuring What Matters
Sustainability, Command, Control & Reporting
Tackling the capital gap - beyond an incremental approach
Strategically align-match structure with business characteristics
Size, Scalability and Sustainability
The Drivers of Operating Profitability
A study of the factors affecting operating profitability found that the key factors
were:
• The firm’s competitive position in terms of market share
• The relative quality of its products and services
• The firm’s cost and asset structure
Know Your Market, Serve Your Market and Know Your Capabilities
Hawawini & Viallet
Value Drivers
Integrated Financial Metrics
P & L- Margin Performance / Trends
Operating Efficiency
Asset Utilization/ Turnover
Management Effectiveness
Invested Capital Management
Capital Utilization
-------------------------------------------------------
Operating Cash Flow
Earnings Quality, Cash Efficiency
Target Minimum Op Margin
Performance Predictability & Monitoring
Jim Collins
“How the Mighty Fall”
From-Stage 3: Denial of Risk and Peril:
What indicators should you most closely watch?
“For businesses, our analysis suggests that any deterioration in gross profit
margins, current ratio, or debt-to-equity ratios indicates an impending storm”
… yet we found little evidence of significant concern and certainly not
the paranoia they should have had about these trends.”
Other indicators-
Customer loyalty, stakeholder engagement and watching for any decline in the
proportion of the right people in key seats
Measuring Financial Performance
“Returns Family” - Indicators of Profitability
Return on Sales ROS Sales Focus
Return on Assets ROA Operations Focus
Return on Equity ROE Corporate Focus
Capital Performance
Why ROE
Owners’ return on its capital - measures resources
generated to sustain and grow as well as profitability to
shareholders
Aligns and focuses assessments, strategy, plans and
actions (decisions and execution)
Benchmark for monitoring the drivers of value creation
Managing for Capital Returns
Reversion, Persistence & Performance
M. Mauboussin -“Mauboussin on Strategy” 12/2007
Stars Fade
Laggards Gain
Measuring Financial Performance
Return on Equity Components
Return on
Equity
Asset Turnover
(Asset Productivity)
Net Profit Margin
(Operating Efficiency)
Leverage
(Debt Management)
DuPont Method - When ROE is used in its components it
becomes a system to delve from the whole to the parts, showing
an integrated perspective in an operationally relevant way
Focusing Financial Performance
ROE– Management Tool Linking FI’s to KPI’s
Return on
Equity
Asset Turnover
(Asset Management)
Net Profit Margin
(Expense Management)
Leverage
(Debt Management)
Wean-Ser - Wean Age
Br H Mort - Days in Nursery
NPSD - Market Weight
PW-Mort - Cull Rate
Nursery/ DL - Parity
ADG - Far Rate
Pigs/Lit - Fin DL
P/S/Y - Lit/Sow/ Yr
Labor Expense
Depreciation Expense
Feed Expense
Market Price
% Lean
Average Back-fat
Sort Loss
Working Capital
Current Ratio
WC/ Gross Revenue
WC/Sow
Total Equity
Term/Debt/Equity
Total Debt/Equity
Interest Exp
DiPetrie‟s – DuPont Swine Model
DuPont Family Metrics
Business Process
Revenue
Growth
Cost of
Goods
Sold
S, G & A
Sales
A/R
Inventory
Cycle
Purchases
A/P
P, P & E
Fixed
Assets
IP & Other
Strategic
Assets
Capital
Employed
Sales & Marketing
R & D / Development
Customer Services 
Order Management
Purchasing / Sourcing
Production / Processing
Warehouse / Distribution
Transportation
Financial Management
Human Resources
Information Systems
Supply Chain - Logistics
Strategic & Risk Planning
Financial Performance Assessments
Profitability Asset Utilization
Leverage
ROE
The ROE Structure of Profitability: Breaking Out the Drivers
ROE is the product of five “Drivers” (ratios)
• Operating profit margin
• Capital turnover
• Financial cost ratio
• Financial structure ratio
• Tax effect ratio
Captures the impact of the firm‟s
investing and operating decisions
Reflects the impact of the financial policy on the
firm‟s overall profitability. Their product is called
the financial leverage multiplier.
ROE Components
Operating Margin (EBIT/Sales)
Capital Turnover (Sales/ Invested Capital)
Financial Cost Ratio (EBT/EBIT)
Financial Structure Ratio (Invested Capital/Owners‘ Equity)
Tax Effect Ratio (EAT/EBT)
ROE
Sales, Net Profit & OCF Trends
Co. 1
Co. 2
Standardized Capital Cost
Co.1
Co. 2
Returns & Standard Capital Cost Trends
Co. 1
Co. 2
Shattuck Hammond
Minimum Operating Margin
Premise:
– To maintain value, assets must at least earn their cost of capital
– You must know and actively use full cost of capital
– Challenge for privately held companies
• SH MOM is a DuPont - ROE variation
• Using SH MOM, the required operating profit margin to finance the
company’s revenue growth plan can be determined – “Targeted”
• SH MOM can be used as a business planning testing tool and to guide and
track progress
Target Operating Margin Trends
Co. 1
Co. 2
Case Studies
Case 1 - Growth Strategy & Leveraging Capital
Case 2 - Vertically Integrated Production System
Case 3 - Unmasking Financial Performance
Case 1: Growth Strategy – Leveraging Capital
Situation:
Expanding a “non-core” division that
utilizes core business capacity while
justifying the required working capital
investment
Solution:
Utilized both comparative costs, returns
and target operating margins to justify
investment and working capital
commitment
Result:
While accepting a lower per unit profit a
significantly higher return was achieved
compared with the fully–owned and higher
required capital investment option
Reduced capital resource requirements 43%,
freed capital to grow “core” business and
achieved an acceptable return for capacity
use
Take Away:
Balancing ROA and profitability for
investment justification, capacity utilization
and to see value contribution
CASE 1: Growth Strategy – Leveraging Capital
ANALYTICS OVERVIEW:
Fully-Owned vs.
Contracted Difference
ROA (10-Year Returns) 17.71% - 9.56%
Net Profit Per Unit Sold + $0.0051 +13.2%
Profit & Loss Range $0.1985 $0.1963
Note: Comparative profitability and capital returns developed from standardized
industry groups to eliminate company bias
Case 2: Vertically Integrated Production System
Situation:
Determining the optimum investment
alternative for integrating swine production
into a vertical pork system
Solution:
A dual cost and return approach was
developed as part of a scenario analysis to
assess the strategic investment options
Scenarios considered- fully owned,
partially owned and outsourced
Result:
A partially owned, vertically coordinated
system was designed and implemented, its
production cost with an acceptable cost
variance was more than offset by a greater
return and significantly reduced capital
requirements
Take Always:
Capital stewardship and supply chain
competitiveness -- balancing costs with
returns
CASE 2: Vertically Integrated Production System
ANALYTICS OVERVIEW:
Strategic Investment Options: Fully-Owned Partially Owned Outsourced
Per Unit Production Capacity
% Financed 69% 73% 80%
Production Cost Index 1.0000 1.0113X 1.0255X
Op Profit Margin Index 1.41 1.16 1.00
ROA 13% 17% 20%
Asset Turnover .73 1.17 1.59
Note: Analysis utilized industry performance assumptions for comparative purposes
Case 3: Unmasking Financial Performance
Situation:
Management did not see or understand
that the actual results, while profitable,
were not generating resources to sustain
the company
Solution:
Capital performance trending reveled that
margins and cash flows were contracting
because returns did not cover the cost of
capital for the capital supplied by owners
Result:
Generated a different “team” understanding
for the actual financial results achieved
compared to traditional operating metrics
Provided a more objective and systematic
approach to planning and measurement
Take Always:
Balancing ROA and profitability for
investment justification and capacity
utilization
CASE 3: Unmasking Financial Performance
ANALYTICS OVERVIEW:
(000 „s) 1 2 3 4 5 6
Gross Profit Trend Index 1.00 1.12 1.25 .99 .99 .97
OCF-%/Sales 14.6% 13.1% 16.1% .0% 9.0% 9.3%
SHP-Min Op Margin (Target) -- 10% 14% 16% 12% 11%
Actual Margin 15% 13% 16% 2% 9% 9%
ROA 6.1% 5.2% 6.4% -4.8% 7.5% .2%
Capital Cost 4.2% 4.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.2% 7%
Difference 1.9% .7% .3% -11.2% .3% -6.8%
New Conversations–Measuring What Matters
Key Management Questions
• What do my numbers show? What do you measure?
• How are your metrics used? Strategically or tactically?
• Do they lead or guide effective decision making?
• Do they help drive planning/actions that create value?
• Do you leave meetings with the confidence that your team is in
command of the business?
• Do you have the right financial processes in place and are you
using the right tools and metrics for on-going profitability?

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Analytics that Work - Tools for Creating Value and Focusing Performance

  • 1. Analytics That Work Tools for Creating Value and Focusing Performance 2010 Pork Management Conference June 17, 2010 Bruce R. Limpert
  • 2. Providing practices, tools and management services with a focus on financial sustainability, capital performance and value creation. “Custom” Tools to Support Our Services: CPSTool-kit™ - A proprietary web accessible business solution that links assessments, action plans and the key metrics to support CPS’s value-based performance approach Who We Are: CPS Management Services
  • 3. • A management system built on resource “stewardship” and capital performance • Aligning vision with strategies, capabilities, and practices for better execution • Focusing business processes and metrics on creating long-term economic value • Generating the resources for ongoing financial success “Value-based” Management Our Approach:
  • 4. Capital Performance –Today’s Capital Gap Capital Use--Increased risks relative to cost and returns ROI did not meet real cost relative to capital cushion/profit volatility Capital Capabilities--Ability to generate new as well as replacement capital Size, Scalability Working capital constraints-under funded opportunities Capital Access--Will be performance driven Capital Deployment/Performance vs. Profitability Cycle Management New Conversations–Measuring What Matters Sustainability, Command, Control & Reporting Tackling the capital gap - beyond an incremental approach Strategically align-match structure with business characteristics Size, Scalability and Sustainability
  • 5. The Drivers of Operating Profitability A study of the factors affecting operating profitability found that the key factors were: • The firm’s competitive position in terms of market share • The relative quality of its products and services • The firm’s cost and asset structure Know Your Market, Serve Your Market and Know Your Capabilities Hawawini & Viallet
  • 6. Value Drivers Integrated Financial Metrics P & L- Margin Performance / Trends Operating Efficiency Asset Utilization/ Turnover Management Effectiveness Invested Capital Management Capital Utilization ------------------------------------------------------- Operating Cash Flow Earnings Quality, Cash Efficiency Target Minimum Op Margin Performance Predictability & Monitoring
  • 7. Jim Collins “How the Mighty Fall” From-Stage 3: Denial of Risk and Peril: What indicators should you most closely watch? “For businesses, our analysis suggests that any deterioration in gross profit margins, current ratio, or debt-to-equity ratios indicates an impending storm” … yet we found little evidence of significant concern and certainly not the paranoia they should have had about these trends.” Other indicators- Customer loyalty, stakeholder engagement and watching for any decline in the proportion of the right people in key seats
  • 8. Measuring Financial Performance “Returns Family” - Indicators of Profitability Return on Sales ROS Sales Focus Return on Assets ROA Operations Focus Return on Equity ROE Corporate Focus
  • 9. Capital Performance Why ROE Owners’ return on its capital - measures resources generated to sustain and grow as well as profitability to shareholders Aligns and focuses assessments, strategy, plans and actions (decisions and execution) Benchmark for monitoring the drivers of value creation
  • 10. Managing for Capital Returns Reversion, Persistence & Performance M. Mauboussin -“Mauboussin on Strategy” 12/2007 Stars Fade Laggards Gain
  • 11. Measuring Financial Performance Return on Equity Components Return on Equity Asset Turnover (Asset Productivity) Net Profit Margin (Operating Efficiency) Leverage (Debt Management) DuPont Method - When ROE is used in its components it becomes a system to delve from the whole to the parts, showing an integrated perspective in an operationally relevant way
  • 12. Focusing Financial Performance ROE– Management Tool Linking FI’s to KPI’s Return on Equity Asset Turnover (Asset Management) Net Profit Margin (Expense Management) Leverage (Debt Management) Wean-Ser - Wean Age Br H Mort - Days in Nursery NPSD - Market Weight PW-Mort - Cull Rate Nursery/ DL - Parity ADG - Far Rate Pigs/Lit - Fin DL P/S/Y - Lit/Sow/ Yr Labor Expense Depreciation Expense Feed Expense Market Price % Lean Average Back-fat Sort Loss Working Capital Current Ratio WC/ Gross Revenue WC/Sow Total Equity Term/Debt/Equity Total Debt/Equity Interest Exp DiPetrie‟s – DuPont Swine Model
  • 13. DuPont Family Metrics Business Process Revenue Growth Cost of Goods Sold S, G & A Sales A/R Inventory Cycle Purchases A/P P, P & E Fixed Assets IP & Other Strategic Assets Capital Employed Sales & Marketing R & D / Development Customer Services  Order Management Purchasing / Sourcing Production / Processing Warehouse / Distribution Transportation Financial Management Human Resources Information Systems Supply Chain - Logistics Strategic & Risk Planning Financial Performance Assessments Profitability Asset Utilization Leverage ROE
  • 14. The ROE Structure of Profitability: Breaking Out the Drivers ROE is the product of five “Drivers” (ratios) • Operating profit margin • Capital turnover • Financial cost ratio • Financial structure ratio • Tax effect ratio Captures the impact of the firm‟s investing and operating decisions Reflects the impact of the financial policy on the firm‟s overall profitability. Their product is called the financial leverage multiplier. ROE Components Operating Margin (EBIT/Sales) Capital Turnover (Sales/ Invested Capital) Financial Cost Ratio (EBT/EBIT) Financial Structure Ratio (Invested Capital/Owners‘ Equity) Tax Effect Ratio (EAT/EBT) ROE
  • 15. Sales, Net Profit & OCF Trends Co. 1 Co. 2
  • 17. Returns & Standard Capital Cost Trends Co. 1 Co. 2
  • 18. Shattuck Hammond Minimum Operating Margin Premise: – To maintain value, assets must at least earn their cost of capital – You must know and actively use full cost of capital – Challenge for privately held companies • SH MOM is a DuPont - ROE variation • Using SH MOM, the required operating profit margin to finance the company’s revenue growth plan can be determined – “Targeted” • SH MOM can be used as a business planning testing tool and to guide and track progress
  • 19. Target Operating Margin Trends Co. 1 Co. 2
  • 20. Case Studies Case 1 - Growth Strategy & Leveraging Capital Case 2 - Vertically Integrated Production System Case 3 - Unmasking Financial Performance
  • 21. Case 1: Growth Strategy – Leveraging Capital Situation: Expanding a “non-core” division that utilizes core business capacity while justifying the required working capital investment Solution: Utilized both comparative costs, returns and target operating margins to justify investment and working capital commitment Result: While accepting a lower per unit profit a significantly higher return was achieved compared with the fully–owned and higher required capital investment option Reduced capital resource requirements 43%, freed capital to grow “core” business and achieved an acceptable return for capacity use Take Away: Balancing ROA and profitability for investment justification, capacity utilization and to see value contribution
  • 22. CASE 1: Growth Strategy – Leveraging Capital ANALYTICS OVERVIEW: Fully-Owned vs. Contracted Difference ROA (10-Year Returns) 17.71% - 9.56% Net Profit Per Unit Sold + $0.0051 +13.2% Profit & Loss Range $0.1985 $0.1963 Note: Comparative profitability and capital returns developed from standardized industry groups to eliminate company bias
  • 23. Case 2: Vertically Integrated Production System Situation: Determining the optimum investment alternative for integrating swine production into a vertical pork system Solution: A dual cost and return approach was developed as part of a scenario analysis to assess the strategic investment options Scenarios considered- fully owned, partially owned and outsourced Result: A partially owned, vertically coordinated system was designed and implemented, its production cost with an acceptable cost variance was more than offset by a greater return and significantly reduced capital requirements Take Always: Capital stewardship and supply chain competitiveness -- balancing costs with returns
  • 24. CASE 2: Vertically Integrated Production System ANALYTICS OVERVIEW: Strategic Investment Options: Fully-Owned Partially Owned Outsourced Per Unit Production Capacity % Financed 69% 73% 80% Production Cost Index 1.0000 1.0113X 1.0255X Op Profit Margin Index 1.41 1.16 1.00 ROA 13% 17% 20% Asset Turnover .73 1.17 1.59 Note: Analysis utilized industry performance assumptions for comparative purposes
  • 25. Case 3: Unmasking Financial Performance Situation: Management did not see or understand that the actual results, while profitable, were not generating resources to sustain the company Solution: Capital performance trending reveled that margins and cash flows were contracting because returns did not cover the cost of capital for the capital supplied by owners Result: Generated a different “team” understanding for the actual financial results achieved compared to traditional operating metrics Provided a more objective and systematic approach to planning and measurement Take Always: Balancing ROA and profitability for investment justification and capacity utilization
  • 26. CASE 3: Unmasking Financial Performance ANALYTICS OVERVIEW: (000 „s) 1 2 3 4 5 6 Gross Profit Trend Index 1.00 1.12 1.25 .99 .99 .97 OCF-%/Sales 14.6% 13.1% 16.1% .0% 9.0% 9.3% SHP-Min Op Margin (Target) -- 10% 14% 16% 12% 11% Actual Margin 15% 13% 16% 2% 9% 9% ROA 6.1% 5.2% 6.4% -4.8% 7.5% .2% Capital Cost 4.2% 4.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.2% 7% Difference 1.9% .7% .3% -11.2% .3% -6.8%
  • 27. New Conversations–Measuring What Matters Key Management Questions • What do my numbers show? What do you measure? • How are your metrics used? Strategically or tactically? • Do they lead or guide effective decision making? • Do they help drive planning/actions that create value? • Do you leave meetings with the confidence that your team is in command of the business? • Do you have the right financial processes in place and are you using the right tools and metrics for on-going profitability?