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Keystone XL Project                                                                                                    Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS




                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS

     ES.1           Introduction ............................................................................................................................................1

          ES.1.1           Overview ........................................................................................................................................1
          ES.1.2           Project Description ........................................................................................................................2
          ES.1.3           Alternatives ....................................................................................................................................2
          ES.1.4           Findings .........................................................................................................................................2
     ES.2           Context ...................................................................................................................................................3

          ES.2.1           Purpose and Need ..........................................................................................................................3

          ES.2.2           Crude Oil Overview .......................................................................................................................3

          ES.2.3           Market Overview............................................................................................................................3

     ES.3           EIS Development Process .....................................................................................................................4

          ES.3.1           Presidential Permitting Process ....................................................................................................4

          ES.3.2           Supplemental EIS Process .............................................................................................................4

     ES.4           Project Description .................................................................................................................................4

          ES.4.1           Keystone XL Project ......................................................................................................................4

          ES.4.2           Changes Since the Final EIS..........................................................................................................6

          ES.4.3           Connected Actions .........................................................................................................................7

     ES.5           Environmental Analysis ..........................................................................................................................8

          ES.5.1           Soils ...............................................................................................................................................8

          ES.5.2           Water Resources ............................................................................................................................9

          ES.5.3           Threatened and Endangered Species ........................................................................................... 11

          ES.5.4           Socioeconomics and Environmental Justice ................................................................................ 13

          ES.5.5           Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Climate Change ........................................................................ 14

          ES.5.6           Potential Releases ........................................................................................................................ 16

          ES.5.7           Cumulative Effects ....................................................................................................................... 18

          ES.5.8           Environmental Impacts in Canada .............................................................................................. 18

     ES.6           Alternatives .......................................................................................................................................... 18

          ES.6.1           Scenario Screening ...................................................................................................................... 18

          ES.6.2           Market Analysis ........................................................................................................................... 19

          ES.6.3           No Action Alternative................................................................................................................... 20

          ES.6.4           Major Pipeline Route Alternatives ............................................................................................... 21

          ES.6.5           Other Alternatives Considered .................................................................................................... 22

     ES.7           Next Steps ............................................................................................................................................ 23

     ES.8           Draft Supplemental EIS Contents......................................................................................................... 23





Table of Contents                                                                     i                                                                           March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                                                        Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



          Figures
          Figure ES-1: Proposed Keystone XL Project .................................................................................................. 2

          Figure ES-2: Proposed Project Overview ........................................................................................................ 5

          Figure ES-3: Keystone XL, Typical Pipeline Construction Sequence ............................................................ 6

          Figure ES-4: Sand Hills Grassland .................................................................................................................. 7

          Figure ES-5: Comparison of Proposed Project Route to Previously Proposed Project Segment .................... 7

          Figure ES-6: Cross Section of Horizontal Directional Drilling Method ......................................................... 9

          Figure ES-7: Schematic Hydrogeologic Cross-Section along Proposed Pipeline Route ............................... 11

          Figure ES-8: American Burying Beetle......................................................................................................... 12

          Figure ES-9: Greater Sage-Grouse ................................................................................................................ 12

          Figure ES-10: Western Prairie Fringed Orchid ............................................................................................. 13

          Figure ES-11: Spill Volume Distribution by Pipeline Component ............................................................... 17

          Figure ES-12: Typical Rail Loading Facility in North Dakota ..................................................................... 21




          Tables
          Table ES-1: Effects of Potential Releases on Aquifers ................................................................................. 10

          Table ES-2: Spill Scenarios Evaluated in Draft Supplemental EIS............................................................... 16

          Table ES-3: Summary of PHMSA Database Incidents (January 2002 to July 2012).................................... 16

          Table ES-4: Summary of No Action Alternative Scenarios .......................................................................... 20

          Table ES-5: Summary of Major Pipeline Route Alternatives ....................................................................... 22





Table of Contents                                                             ii                                                                  March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                                Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



                                                                  did not allow sufficient time to prepare a thorough,
ES.1      INTRODUCTION                                            rigorous, and transparent review of an alternative
                                                                  route through Nebraska. As such, the Presidential
ES.1.1 Overview                                                   Permit was denied.
The proposed Keystone XL Pipeline is a new
875-mile pipeline infrastructure project that would               In February 2012, Keystone informed the Department
allow delivery of up to 830,000 barrels per day (bpd)             that it considered the Gulf Coast portion of the
of crude oil from Alberta, Canada, and the Bakken                 previous pipeline project (from Cushing, Oklahoma,
Shale Formation in the United States to Steele City,              to the Gulf Coast area) to have independent economic
Nebraska for onward delivery to Cushing, Oklahoma,                utility and indicated it intended to proceed with
and refineries in the Gulf Coast area 1. TransCanada              construction of that pipeline as a separate project, the
Keystone Pipeline, LP (Keystone) has applied for a                Gulf Coast Project. The Gulf Coast Project does not
Presidential Permit which, if granted, would                      require a Presidential Permit because it does not cross
authorize the proposed pipeline to cross the United               an international border. Construction on the Gulf
States-Canadian border.                                           Coast Project is underway.
For proposed petroleum pipelines that cross                       On May 4, 2012, Keystone filed a Presidential Permit
international borders of the United States, the                   application for a new Keystone XL Project. The
President, through Executive Order 13337, directs the             proposed Project has a new route and a new stated
Secretary of State to decide whether a project is in              purpose. The route in Montana and South Dakota
the “national interest” before granting a Presidential            would be largely unchanged from the route analyzed
Permit. The national interest determination by the                in August 2011. However, the newly proposed route
U.S. Department of State (the Department) involves                not only avoids the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills
consideration of many factors, including energy                   Region but also terminates at Steele City, Nebraska,
security; environmental, cultural, and economic                   and thus is approximately half the length of the
impacts; foreign policy; and compliance with                      previously proposed project analyzed in 2011. In
relevant federal regulations. Before making such a                other words, the newly proposed Project is 509 miles
decision, the Department also asks for the views of               shorter than the previously proposed project analyzed
the Departments of Energy, Defense, Transportation,               in 2011.
Homeland Security, Justice, Interior, and Commerce,               About the Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact
and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.                     Statement
Background                                                        The Department has issued this draft Supplemental
Previously, Keystone submitted an application for the             Environmental Impact Statement (draft Supplemental
same border crossing, but with a pipeline route in the            EIS) that builds on the analysis completed in August
United States that differed from the route that is                2011 (the Final Environmental Impact Statement or
currently proposed. The biggest difference in the                 Final EIS). The analysis has been revised, expanded,
previous route compared to the current one is that it             and updated to include a comprehensive review of
went through the Sand Hills Region of Nebraska as                 the new route in Nebraska as well as any significant
identified by the Nebraska Department of                          new circumstances or information that is now
Environmental Quality (NDEQ). A separate                          available on the largely unchanged route through
Environmental Impact Statement was issued in                      Montana and South Dakota.
August 2011 for that route. In November 2011, the                 In completing the draft Supplemental EIS, the
Department determined that additional information                 Department took into consideration the comments
was needed to fully evaluate the application, in                  contained in more than 400,000 e-mails, letters, and
particular, additional information about alternative              other communications submitted throughout the
routes within Nebraska that would avoid the Sand                  scoping process by public citizens, government
Hills Region. In late December 2011, Congress                     agencies, Tribal governments, and interested non-
adopted a provision of the Temporary Payroll Tax                  governmental organizations as well as over one
Cut Continuation Act that sought to require the                   million e-mails, letters, and other communications
President to make a decision on the Presidential                  submitted to the Department during its consideration
Permit for that route within 60 days. That deadline               of the previous Keystone XL application.
1
  The Gulf Coast area refers to the region from Houston,
Texas, to Lake Charles, Louisiana.


Executive Summary                                          ES-1                                                 March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                               Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



Expanded and new analyses include, among others:
economic effects of the proposed project, impacts
from potential releases or spills, impacts related to
climate change, and cumulative effects from the
proposed project in combination with other projects.
The Department re-examined and expanded the
evaluation of project alternatives, including a
reasonable route alternative and other scenarios of
crude oil transport, such as rail. The Department also
updated the analysis of the relationship of the
proposed project to crude oil markets in light of
developments since August 2011, which includes an
update to the assessment of whether the proposed
Project is likely to impact the extraction rate from the
oil sands in Canada, and thus impact greenhouse gas
(GHG) emissions associated with that extraction.
The Executive Summary on the following pages
                                                                      Figure ES-1: Proposed Keystone XL Project
briefly presents the contents of the draft
Supplemental EIS, including the purpose and need of
                                                                   ES.1.3 Alternatives
the proposed Project, key potential impacts, measures
                                                                   In addition to minor route variations and pipeline
to reduce or mitigate those impacts if a permit was
                                                                   design options, the draft Supplemental EIS considers
granted, and alternatives to the proposed Project.
                                                                   the following alternatives to the proposed Project.
ES.1.2 Project Description                                         •	 The No Action Alternative evaluates scenarios
The proposed Keystone XL Pipeline Project consists                     that are likely to occur if the proposed Project is
of a 36-inch pipeline and related facilities that would                not built, including rail and vessel-based options
allow for transport of up to 830,000 bpd of crude oil                  for transporting WCSB and Bakken crude oil to
from the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin                            the Gulf Coast.
(WCSB) in Alberta, Canada, and from the Williston                  •	 Major Route Alternatives evaluate the impacts
Basin (Bakken) region in Montana and North Dakota,                     of changing the route of the pipeline. Specific
primarily to refineries in the Gulf Coast area. There is               alternatives include the route previously
existing demand for crude oil, particularly heavy                      proposed as well as a route that parallels
crude oil at refiners in the Gulf Coast area, but the                  Interstate 90 in South Dakota before joining the
ultimate disposition of crude oil transported by the                   right-of-way (ROW) of the existing Keystone
proposed Project, and any refined products produced                    pipeline.
from that crude oil, would be determined by future
market forces.                                                     ES.1.4 Findings
This draft Supplemental EIS evaluates the 875-mile                 Chapter 4 of the draft Supplemental EIS gives
pipeline that would stretch from the U.S.-Canadian                 detailed findings about the proposed Project’s
border near Morgan, Montana, to the existing                       impacts. Among these are resources where impacts
Keystone pipeline in Steele City, Nebraska. As noted               could potentially be substantial, or that have been the
above, the draft Supplemental EIS builds on and                    focus of significant public attention and comment.
supplements the analysis completed in August in                    These key resource areas include:
2011 by specifically addressing the new route in                   •	 Soils (including sandy and erodible soils);
Nebraska as well as any significant new information
that has since become available.                                   •	 Groundwater, including aquifers such as the
                                                                       Ogallala Aquifer;
                                                                   •	 Surface water resources;
                                                                   •	 Socioeconomics, including the potential job and
                                                                       revenue benefits of the proposed Project, as well
                                                                       as concerns about environmental justice;




Executive Summary                                          ES-2	                                                March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                                 Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



•	 Lifecycle GHG emissions associated with oil                      light crudes. The refineries in that region possess one
     sands development, refining, and consumption;                  of the highest concentrations of heavy-crude refining
     and                                                            capacity of any area in the world. Gulf Coast refiners
                                                                    use both domestic crude oil produced in the United
•	 Potential releases or spills.                                    States, and crude oil imported from foreign countries
                                                                    to create various petroleum products.
ES.2      CONTEXT
                                                                    The crude oil from the WCSB is produced as a
ES.2.1 Purpose and Need                                             viscous material, known as raw bitumen, that has the
The Department must determine if the proposed                       consistency of soft asphalt. Due to its viscosity,
Project is in the national interest pursuant to                     bitumen cannot be transported by pipeline on its own.
Executive Order 13337. The Department evaluates                     It first must be mixed with a petroleum-based product
the proposed Project’s purpose and need consistent                  (called a diluent), such as naphtha or natural gas
with the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA).                  condensate, to make a less viscous liquid called
                                                                    dilbit; or it must be upgraded (partially refined) to a
According to the application submitted by Keystone,                 medium weight crude oil called “synthetic crude oil.”
the primary purpose of the proposed Project is to                   If diluents are not available, producers use synthetic
provide the infrastructure to transport heavy crude oil             crude oil as the diluent to create a product called
from the border with Canada to delivery points in the               synbit. The proposed Project is expected to carry
United States by connecting to existing pipeline                    predominantly either dilbit, synbit, or both, as well as
facilities near Steele City, Nebraska. The proposed                 synthetic crude oil and light crude oil produced from
Project is meant to respond to the market demand of                 the Bakken.
refineries for heavy crude oil. The proposed Project
would also provide transportation for light crude oil               ES.2.3 Market Overview
from the Bakken in North Dakota and Montana (as                     Refiners determine the optimal crudes to process
well as from Canada).                                               similar to other manufacturing companies that select
The proposed Project would have the capacity to                     the right raw materials to manufacture products.
deliver up to 830,000 bpd. Keystone has represented                 Refining companies pay market prices for crude oil,
that it has firm commitments to transport                           and measure their profitability based on selling their
approximately 555,000 bpd of heavy crude oil from                   product into the wholesale market. They then use that
producers in the WCSB. In addition, Keystone has                    margin (the difference between the price of crude and
represented that it has firm commitments to transport               the price of the refined products) to cover their
65,000 bpd of crude oil from the Bakken of the                      expenses and generate profits. Refiners may select a
100,000 bpd of capacity set aside on the proposed                   more expensive crude oil if that crude oil’s yield
Project for that purpose. The ultimate mixture and                  provides a greater margin than a cheaper crude oil.
quantity of crude oils transported by the proposed                  The proposed Project seeks to capitalize on the
Project over its lifetime would be determined by                    demands of refiners for a stable supply of both heavy
future market forces.                                               and light crude oil. Refineries in the Gulf Coast rely
                                                                    mostly on foreign imports, particularly from
ES.2.2 Crude Oil Overview                                           Venezuela and Mexico, as well as from other
Oil producers send a variety of crude oils to refiners              countries. However, the volume of crude exports
to produce consumer products such as gasoline,                      from Mexico is declining. The long-term contracts
diesel fuel for trucks, heating oil, and raw materials              supporting the proposed Project indicate that refiners
for plastics and medicines. Each U.S. refinery has                  see economic advantages to processing heavy WCSB
different “hardware”— equipment and capacity,                       crude oil as well as the domestically produced
metallurgy, and treating processes—and different                    Bakken light crude oil, which are both growing in
resulting mixes of finished products.                               supply and may be less expensive to transport to the
The proposed Project would primarily transport crude                refinery than imported crude oils that are shipped by
oil from the WCSB and Bakken regions. The                           tanker. A detailed analysis of the market is presented
majority of the oil from WCSB sources is considered                 in the Supplemental EIS and discussed further in the
a heavy crude oil, while Bakken crude is considered a               Market Analysis section of this Executive Summary.
light crude oil. In general, refineries in the Gulf Coast
area are designed to process a mixture of heavy and



Executive Summary                                           ES-3	                                                 March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                               Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



ES.3      EIS DEVELOPMENT PROCESS                                 occurred over a 5-month period and included
                                                                  consultation with ERM, cooperating agencies,
ES.3.1 Presidential Permitting Process                            scientists, and engineers with expertise in key areas
For proposed petroleum pipelines that cross                       of concern related to the proposed Project.
international borders of the United States, the                   This draft Supplemental EIS describes potential
President, through Executive Order 13337, directs the             impacts of the proposed Project and alternatives,
Secretary of State to decide whether a project is in              including direct, indirect, and cumulative impacts. It
the national interest. If the proposed Project is                 builds on the work done in the 2011 Final EIS,
determined to be in the national interest, it is granted          including references to that document throughout the
a Presidential Permit that authorizes the construction,           text where appropriate. The Supplemental EIS
operation, and maintenance of the facilities at the               includes an analysis of the modified route in
border between the United States and Canada. The                  Nebraska, as well as analysis of any significant new
Department’s jurisdiction does not extend to cover                circumstances or information that has become
selection of pipeline routes within the United States.            available since the August 2011 publication of the
The draft Supplemental EIS was produced consistent                Final EIS for the previously proposed project. This
with NEPA and will help inform that determination.                draft Supplemental EIS also relies, where
The National Interest Determination (or NID)                      appropriate, on the data presented and the analyses
involves consideration of many factors, including                 done in the Final EIS for the previously proposed
energy security; environmental, cultural, and                     project, because much of the proposed pipeline route
economic impacts; foreign policy; and compliance                  remains unchanged from its August 2011 publication.
with relevant federal regulations. Before making such             Finally, the draft Supplemental EIS also includes the
a decision, the Department seeks the views of the                 latest available information on the proposed Project
eight federal agencies identified in Executive Order              resulting from ongoing discussions with federal,
13337: the Departments of Energy, Defense,                        state, and local agencies.
Transportation, Homeland Security, Justice, Interior,
and Commerce, and the U.S. Environmental                          ES.4     PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Protection Agency. The Department is also soliciting
public input on the draft Supplemental EIS.                       ES.4.1 Keystone XL Project
                                                                  The proposed Project consists of a crude oil pipeline
ES.3.2 Supplemental EIS Process                                   and related facilities to transport WCSB crude oil
In September 2012, Keystone submitted an                          from an oil supply hub near Hardisty, Alberta,
Environmental Report in support of its Presidential               Canada, to existing pipeline facilities near Steele
Permit application providing an update of the impacts             City, Nebraska, for onward delivery to Cushing,
of the proposed Project and describing several                    Oklahoma, and the Gulf Coast area. The proposed
modifications to the originally proposed pipeline                 Project would also transport domestically produced
route to reduce environmental impacts, improve                    Bakken crude oil from a terminal near Baker,
constructability, and in response to agency and public            Montana, to the existing Keystone Pipeline system at
comments.                                                         Steele City, Nebraska.
To assist in preparing the draft Supplemental EIS, the            The Steele City delivery point provides access to the
Department retained an environmental consulting                   existing Keystone Cushing Extension pipeline, which
firm, Environmental Resources Management, Inc.                    delivers crude oil to Cushing, Oklahoma, where there
(ERM). ERM was selected pursuant to the                           is access to other pipeline systems and terminals,
Department’s interim guidance on the selection of                 including those serving the Gulf Coast area. The
independent third-party contractors. ERM works at                 proposed Project would consist of approximately
the sole and exclusive instruction of the Department              875 miles of new, 36-inch-diameter pipeline across
and is not permitted to communicate with Keystone                 portions of Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska
unless specifically directed to do so by Department               (an additional 329 miles of pipeline in Canada were
officials. Preparation of the draft Supplemental EIS              evaluated by the Canadian government). Figure ES-2
                                                                  depicts the proposed Project in the United States.




Executive Summary                                          ES-4                                                March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                        Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS




                      Figure ES-2: Proposed Project Overview




Executive Summary                      ES-5                                             March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                                 Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS




                        Figure ES-3: Keystone XL, Typical Pipeline Construction Sequence


Construction of the proposed Project would generally
require a 110-foot-wide, temporary ROW, and a
                                                                   ES.4.2 Changes Since the Final EIS
                                                                   The proposed pipeline route in the United States that
variety of aboveground ancillary facilities. Figure
                                                                   is the subject of this draft Supplemental EIS is similar
ES-3 illustrates the construction sequence that would
                                                                   to part of the previous project evaluated in the August
be followed for the proposed Project.
                                                                   2011 Final EIS. The newly proposed route in
If permitted, when in operation, the proposed Project              Montana and South Dakota would be largely
would maintain a 50-foot, permanent easement over                  unchanged, except for minor modifications Keystone
the pipeline. Keystone would have access to property               made to improve constructability and in response to
within the easement, but property owners would                     comments, such as landowner requests to adjust the
retain the ability to farm and conduct other activities.           route across their property. The new proposed route
The remaining aboveground ancillary facilities would               is 509 miles shorter than the previously proposed
include 20 electrically operated pump stations (two of             route; however, it would be approximately 21 miles
which would be built along existing sections of the                longer in Nebraska to avoid sensitive areas including
Keystone Cushing Extension pipeline in Kansas),                    the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region. Thus, the
44 mainline valves, and 38 permanent access roads. 2               newly proposed route is substantially different from
                                                                   the previous route analyzed in August 2011 in two
The overall proposed Project is estimated to cost
                                                                   significant ways: it avoids the NDEQ-identified Sand
approximately $3.3 billion in the United States. If
                                                                   Hills Region and it terminates at Steele City,
permitted, it would begin operation in 2015, with the
                                                                   Nebraska.
actual date dependent on the necessary permits,
approvals, and authorizations.

2
 Locations for access roads in Nebraska have not yet been
determined and are not included in this total.


Executive Summary                                           ES-6                                                 March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                           Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



                                                              In addition to the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills
                                                              Region, the proposed Project route would avoid areas
                                                              in Keya Paha County identified by the NDEQ that
                                                              have soil and topographic characteristics similar to
                                                              the Sand Hills Region, and it avoids or moves further
                                                              away from wellhead protection areas for the Villages
                                                              of Clarks and Western.

                                                              ES.4.3 Connected Actions
                                                              Connected actions are projects that would not be
                                                              constructed or operated in the absence of the
                                                              proposed Project. The three connected actions
                                                              associated with the proposed Project are described
                                                              below. While these projects would be reviewed and
         Figure ES-4: Sand Hills Grassland
                                                              acted on by other agencies as needed, the draft
As shown in Figure ES-5, the proposed Project route           Supplemental EIS also evaluates the impacts of these
in Nebraska is substantially different from the               connected actions.
previously proposed route analyzed in the 2011 Final
EIS.                                                          ES.4.3.1 The Bakken Marketlink Project
                                                              Keystone Marketlink, LLC, a wholly owned
                                                              subsidiary of TransCanada Pipelines Limited, would
                                                              construct and operate the Bakken Marketlink Project.
                                                              This project would include a 5-mile pipeline, pumps,
                                                              meters, and storage tanks to supply Bakken crude oil
                                                              to the proposed pipeline from the proposed Bakken
                                                              Marketlink pipeline system in North Dakota and
                                                              Montana. Three crude oil storage tanks would be
                                                              built near Baker, Montana, as part of this project.
                                                              This proposed project can deliver up to 100,000 bpd
                                                              of crude oil, and has commitments for approximately
                                                              65,000 bpd.

                                                              ES.4.3.2 Big Bend to Witten 230-kV Electrical
                                                                       Transmission Line
                                                              The Western Area Power Administration (Western)
                                                              has determined that providing reliable electricity for
                                                              operation of the proposed Project requires the
                                                              construction of a new 230-kilovolt (kV) transmission
                                                              line, originating at the Fort Thompson/Big Bend Dam
                                                              area in South Dakota and extending south to the
                                                              existing Witten Substation. To meet these demands,
                                                              Western would repurpose existing transmission
                                                              infrastructure and construct new infrastructure
                                                              between the Dam and a proposed Big Bend
                                                              Substation. The Basin Electric Power Cooperative
                                                              would construct a new 76-mile, 230-kV transmission
                                                              line from the Big Bend Substation to the existing
  Figure ES-5: Comparison of Proposed Project
                Witten Substation, and would operate both the
  Route to Previously Proposed Project Segment
               transmission line and the Big Bend Substation.




Executive Summary                                      ES-7                                                March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                               Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



ES.4.3.3 Electrical Distribution Lines and                        •	   Soil erosion;
         Substations
Electrical power for the proposed Project would be
                                                                  •	   Loss of topsoil;
obtained from local power providers. These power                  •	   Soil compaction;
providers would construct the necessary substations               •	   Changes in soil composition (increased
and transformers and would either use existing                         proportion of large rocks in the topsoil);
service lines or construct new service lines to deliver
electrical power to the specified point of use (e.g.,             •	 Soil mixing; and
pump stations and mainline valves), which would be                • Soil contamination.
located at intervals along the proposed Project route.
                                                                  Nearly half of the proposed Project route would cross
                                                                  soils characterized as highly erodible to either wind
ES.5      ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS                                  or water, and comments on the 2011 Final EIS
Construction of the proposed Project would disturb                expressed concern about the proposed Project’s
approximately 15,493 acres of land. After                         effects on erodible soils. Many of the stages of
construction, approximately 5,584 acres would be                  construction—notably clearing, trenching, and spoil
retained for operation of the proposed Project; this              storage—could potentially increase soil erosion. Such
includes the pipeline ROW and aboveground                         erosion, in turn, could result in loss of valuable
facilities. Construction and operation of the proposed            topsoil from its original location. The proposed
Project would result in numerous impacts to the                   Project avoids the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills
environment. The Department evaluated the impacts                 region, as well as areas in Keya Paha County,
of the proposed Project and alternatives associated               Nebraska, defined by NDEQ as having Sand Hills-
with the following types of resources and                         like soils.
consequences:
                                                                  These potential impacts would be mitigated through a
•    Geology               •	 Soils                               variety of measures. Keystone’s proposed
•    Wetlands              •	 Terrestrial vegetation              construction methods (Appendix G, CMRP)
                                                                  incorporate measures to reduce soil erosion,
•	   Fisheries             • Threatened and                       including the use of sediment barriers, trench plugs,
                                endangered species
•	   Recreation                                                   temporary slope breakers, drainage channels or
•	   Cultural resources
                           •	   Visual resources                  ditches, mulching, and inspection of these control
                                                                  methods. Specific additional methods and measures,
•	   Climate change
                           •	   Air quality
                                                                  such as the following would apply in areas of fragile
•	   Water resources
                           •	   Noise                             soils (i.e., where the soil exhibits conditions typical

•	   Land use
                           •	   Wildlife
                                                                  of the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region and is
                                                                  very susceptible to wind erosion):
•	                         •	   Socioeconomics
     Pipeline releases                                            •	 Use of photodegradable matting, sediment logs,
                                                                       or straw wattles rather than terraces (slope
The proposed Project Construction, Mitigation, and
                                                                       breakers) in steep slope or erosion-prone areas;
Reclamation Plan (CMRP) (see Appendix G)
includes procedures that Keystone would follow to                 •	 Use of native seed mixes (developed with local
reduce the likelihood and severity of, or avoid                        Natural Resource Conservation Service offices
impacts from the proposed Project.                                     and used in coordination with landowners);

The discussion below summarizes the findings of the               •	 Use of trench-line or blade-width stripping
analysis related to selected resources and                             procedures where practicable to reduce the width
consequences. These resources would either be                          of disturbance; and
substantially impacted by the proposed Project, or                •    Minor route realignments.
have been the focus of particular public attention and            Approximately 4,715 acres of prime farmland soil
comment.                                                          would be directly impacted by construction of the
                                                                  proposed pipeline. To avoid permanent impacts to
ES.5.1 Soils                                                      these soils, topsoil in non-forested agricultural areas
Construction of the proposed Project and its                      would be removed and stockpiled at the edge of the
connected actions could affect soil resources.                    ROW during excavation activities and returned
Potential impacts could include, to varying degrees:


Executive Summary                                         ES-8	                                                 March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                           Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



following completion of construction and subsurface            •	 Temporarily reduced flow in streams; and
soil preparation. Salvage depths would vary from
4 inches in shallow soils to 12 inches in highly               • Potential impacts associated with spills.
productive soils. Operation of the proposed Project            Open-cut methods would be used at most waterbody
would have minor, localized impacts on soils.                  crossings. However, impacts to surface waterbodies
                                                               would be mitigated through various means.
ES.5.2 Water Resources                                         Horizontal directional drilling (HDD) would be used
In response to public scoping comments for the                 at 14 major and sensitive waterbody crossings (see
proposed Project, the draft Supplemental EIS                   Figure ES-6). Waterbody banks would be restored to
includes a detailed assessment of impacts on                   preconstruction contours or to a stable slope.
groundwater and surface water, including shallow               Seeding, erosion control fabric, and other erosion
groundwater associated with the Ogallala Aquifer               control measures would be installed, as specified in
and the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region.                     the CMRP (Appendix G), and permit documents.
                                                               Operations Phase
ES.5.2.1 Surface Water
The proposed Project would impact waterbodies                  Surface water impacts associated with potential
across the states of Montana, South Dakota, and                releases of crude oil and other hazardous liquid spills
Nebraska. The proposed Project route would avoid               are addressed later in this Executive Summary. Other
surface water whenever possible; however, the                  potential impacts during the operations phase would
proposed Project route would still cross                       include:
approximately 1,073 waterbodies, including
                                                               •	 Channel migration or streambed degradation that
56 perennial rivers and streams, as well as                        exposes the pipeline;
approximately 25 miles of mapped floodplains.
                                                               •	 Channel incision that increases bank heights to
Construction Phase                                                 the point where slopes are destabilized,
Construction of the proposed Project could result in               ultimately widening the stream; and
temporary and permanent impacts such as:                       •	 Sedimentation within a channel that triggers
                                                                   lateral bank erosion, such as the expansion of a
•	 Stream sedimentation;                                           channel meander (curve) opposite a point bar.
•	 Changes in stream channel morphology (shape)                Mitigation measures to address these impacts would
     and stability;                                            include those specified in the CMRP (Appendix G).
                                                               Crossings would be at least 5 feet below the bottom
                                                               of all waterbodies, and would have a horizontal
                                                               buffer of at least 15 feet from either waterbody edge.




                       Figure ES-6: Cross Section of Horizontal Directional Drilling Method




Executive Summary                                      ES-9	                                                  March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                                 Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



Where an HDD method is used, the crossing depth                    Figure ES-7 provides a schematic view of these
would be up to 50 feet below the stream bed.                       groundwater resources.
Potential bank protection measures could include
installing rock, wood, or other materials keyed into               Hydrostatic Testing
the bank to provide protection from further erosion,               Water hydrostatic testing is performed to expose
or regrading the banks to reduce the bank slope.                   defective materials or welds that have missed prior
                                                                   detection, expose possible leaks, and serve as a final
ES.5.2.2 Groundwater                                               validation of the integrity of the constructed system.
The primary source of groundwater impacts from the                 Water is pumped into the sealed pipe section,
proposed Project would be potential releases of                    typically to a pressure greater that the specified pipe
petroleum during pipeline operation and, to a lesser               strength, and the pressurized segment is monitored
extent, from fuel spills from equipment. The risks                 for failure.
and impacts of these effects are discussed later in this
                                                                   Following the test, the water is removed from the
Executive Summary. Any petroleum releases from
                                                                   pipe and returned to the natural environment or
construction or operation could potentially impact
                                                                   disposed of in a regulated fashion. Water used for
groundwater where the overlying soils are permeable
                                                                   hydrostatic testing would be obtained from nearby
and the depth to groundwater is shallow. Table ES-1
                                                                   surface water resources, groundwater, or municipal
summarizes the anticipated effects of potential
                                                                   sources. Approximately 50 potential surface water
releases from the proposed Project on the aquifers
                                                                   sources have been identified along the proposed
and aquifer groups along the proposed Project route.
                                                                   Project route. Discharged water would be tested for
                                                                   water quality prior to release to ensure that it meets
                                                                   applicable water quality standards.
Table ES-1: Effects of Potential Releases on Aquifers
Aquifer               Effects
Alluvial Aquifers     Aquifer conditions in the NHPAQ in the proposed Project area indicate that shallow groundwater
and Northern          generally discharges to local surface waterbodies, and typically does not flow downward in
High Plains           significant amounts or flow horizontally over long distances. Analysis of historic spills and
Aquifer               groundwater modeling indicate that contaminant plumes from a large-scale release that reaches
(NHPAQ),              groundwater in the NHPAQ and alluvial aquifers could be expected to affect groundwater
including the         quality up to approximately 1,000 feet downgradient of the release source. This localized effect
Ogallala Aquifer      indicates that petroleum releases from the proposed Project would not extensively affect water
                      quality in this aquifer group.
Great Plains          Across most of the proposed pipeline area where the GPA is present, it is very unlikely that any
Aquifer (GPA)         releases from the proposed pipeline would affect groundwater quality in the aquifer, because the
                      aquifer is typically deeply buried beneath younger, water-bearing sediments and/or aquitard
                      units. The exception is in southern Nebraska, where the aquifer is closer to the surface. Water
                      quality in the GPA could be affected by releases in this area, but groundwater flow patterns in
                      the vicinity of the proposed Project route make such effects unlikely. Overall, it is very unlikely
                      that the proposed pipeline area would affect water quality in the GPA due to weak downward
                      gradients (downward groundwater flows) in the aquifers overlying the GPA.
Western Interior      The depth to this aquifer is several hundred feet in the proposed Project area; therefore, there is
Plains Aquifer        an extremely low probability that a petroleum release from the proposed Project would affect
                      water quality in this aquifer.
Northern Great        As with the GPA, petroleum releases from the proposed Project would only affect water quality
Plains Aquifer        in portions of the NGPAS near the ground surface. In the case of a large-scale release, these
System                impacts would typically be limited to within several hundred feet of the release source, and
(NGPAS)               would not affect groundwater within areas that provide groundwater recharge to large portions of
                      the NGPAS.
Shallow               There are 2,537 wells within 1 mile of the proposed Project, including 39 public water supply
Groundwater and       wells and 20 private wells within 100 feet of the pipeline ROW. The vast majority of these wells
Water Wells           are in Nebraska. Those wells that were in the vicinity may be affected by a petroleum release
                      from the proposed Project.




Executive Summary                                          ES-10                                                 March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                              Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS




               Figure ES-7: Schematic Hydrogeologic Cross-Section along Proposed Pipeline Route


                                                                 consideration for federal protection under ESA. In
ES.5.2.3 Floodplains                                             consultation with the USFWS, the Department
The proposed pipeline would cross mapped and
                                                                 prepared a Biological Assessment (BA) to evaluate
unmapped floodplains in Montana, South Dakota,
                                                                 the proposed Project’s potential impacts to federally
and Nebraska. In floodplain areas adjacent to
                                                                 protected and candidate species and their federally
waterbody crossings, contours would be restored to
                                                                 designated critical habitat (Appendix H). In addition,
as close to previously existing contours as practical
                                                                 13 state-listed species that are not also federally listed
and the disturbed area would be revegetated during
                                                                 species and one species under consideration for
construction of the ROW in accordance with the
                                                                 federal protection under the ESA could be impacted
CMRP (Appendix G). After construction, the
                                                                 by the proposed Project.
proposed pipeline would not obstruct flows over
designated floodplains, and any changes to                       Types of potential impacts to threatened and
topography would be minimal and thus would not                   endangered species include:
affect local flood dynamics or flood elevations.
                                                                 •	 Habitat loss, alteration, and fragmentation;
ES.5.3 Threatened and Endangered Species                         •	 Direct mortality during construction and
Consultation with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service                 operation, including collision with power lines;
(USFWS) identified 13 federally protected or                     •	 Indirect mortality due to stress or avoidance of
candidate species that could be impacted by the                      feeding, and/or reduced breeding success due to
proposed Project: eleven federally-listed threatened                 exposure to noise and/or increased human
or endangered species, as defined under the                          activity; and
Endangered Species Act (ESA), and two candidate
species for listing as threatened or endangered. In              •	 Reduced survival or reproduction due to
addition, this draft Supplemental EIS also evaluated                 decreased abundance of food or reduced cover.
the potential Project impacts on one species under



Executive Summary                                       ES-11	                                                  March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                               Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



The subsections below provide additional detail on
species that could potentially be affected by the
                                                                  ES.5.3.2 Whooping Crane
                                                                  The whooping crane (Grus Americana) is federally
proposed Project, or species that are frequent topics
                                                                  protected and is also protected under the Migratory
of concern for projects similar to or in the same
                                                                  Bird Treaty Act. Whooping cranes could be impacted
geographic region as the Project. Monitoring and
                                                                  by collisions with power lines associated with the
mitigation measures that address these impacts are
                                                                  proposed Project. The majority of the proposed
discussed thoroughly in the draft Supplemental EIS.
                                                                  Project route crosses the central flyway whooping
                                                                  crane migration corridor in South Dakota and
ES.5.3.1 American Burying Beetle
                                                                  Nebraska, and the Rainwater Basin in south central
Of the 13 federally protected or candidate species, the
                                                                  Nebraska provides whooping crane migration habitat.
American burying beetle (Nicrophorus americanus)
                                                                  With avoidance, minimization, and conservation
was the only species determined to be potentially
                                                                  measures, such as following the Whooping Crane
adversely affected by the proposed Project.
                                                                  Survey Protocol previously developed by the
                                                                  USFWS and Nebraska Game and Parks Commission,
                                                                  the proposed Project is unlikely to adversely affect
                                                                  whooping cranes, based on the low likelihood of the
                                                                  species occurring near the proposed Project route
                                                                  during construction and operations activities and
                                                                  implementation of USFWS recommended mitigation
                                                                  measures.

                                                                  ES.5.3.3 Greater Sage-Grouse
                                                                  The greater sage-grouse (Centrocerus urophasianus)
                                                                  is a federal candidate species under the ESA, a
                                                                  Bureau of Land Management sensitive species, and a
                                                                  species of conservation concern in Montana and
       Figure ES-8: American Burying Beetle                       South Dakota. Approximately 190 miles of the
Approximately 50 miles of the proposed Project                    proposed Project route would cross areas with greater
Route in Nebraska would affect American burying                   sage-grouse habitat in Montana, of which 94 miles
beetle habitat; approximately 43 miles in South                   are classified as moderate to high-quality habitat for
Dakota would affect suitable habitat for the species.             greater sage-grouse.
Consultation between the Department and USFWS
resulted in development of conservation measures
and compensatory mitigation, such as trapping and
relocating beetles, special lighting restrictions (the
beetles are attracted to light), and establishment of a
habitat conservation trust.
Even with these measures, the proposed Project could
affect, and would be likely to adversely affect the
American burying beetle, resulting in incidental takes
(unintended death of individual beetles) during
construction or operations. Keystone continues to
work with USFWS to refine conservation measures
for minimizing incidental take and to quantify
estimated incidental take and development of
compensatory mitigation through the formal
Section 7 ESA consultation process for the American
burying beetle.




                                                                          Figure ES-9: Greater Sage-Grouse


Executive Summary                                         ES-12                                                March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                              Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



The most substantial potential effects of the proposed           Keystone would implement conservation measures
Project on the greater sage grouse would be                      included in the BA (Appendix H) and would avoid
disturbance of habitat, including sagebrush, which               known western prairie fringed orchid populations;
can take up to 20 years to regenerate to                         therefore, the proposed Project would not be likely to
pre-construction cover levels, and disturbance of                adversely affect the western prairie fringed orchid.
mating and breeding behavior.
The BA (Appendix H) and greater sage-grouse
                                                                 ES.5.3.5 Small White Lady’s Slipper
                                                                 The small white lady’s slipper (Cypripedium
mitigation plans for Montana and South Dakota
                                                                 candidum), a type of perennial orchid, is a threatened
describe conservation measures that Keystone would
                                                                 species under Nebraska state law. This species may
implement to address potential impacts. After
                                                                 potentially occur within suitable habitat along the
implementation of these measures, the proposed
                                                                 proposed Project route in Nebraska. If this plant were
Project would not likely affect greater sage-grouse
                                                                 to be observed within the proposed Project route in
mating behavior, and would likely result in a low
                                                                 Nebraska, appropriate mitigation measures would be
impact on nesting greater sage-grouse. Construction
                                                                 developed and implemented in consultation with state
would likely result in an incremental loss of
                                                                 agencies.
sagebrush habitat.

ES.5.3.4 Western Prairie Fringed Orchid                          ES.5.4 Socioeconomics and Environmental
The western prairie fringed orchid (Platanthera                         Justice
leucophaea) is federally listed as threatened, state-            The draft Supplemental EIS updates the economic
listed as threatened in Nebraska, and is a species of            data contained in the Final EIS and re-evaluates the
conservation concern in South Dakota. The proposed               economic impacts of the proposed Project. In
Project would pass near known populations of                     particular, and in response to public comments, the
western prairie fringed orchid in Nebraska, and                  draft Supplemental EIS addresses local economic
through land where the orchid may potentially occur              impacts and Environmental Justice.
in South Dakota. Clearing and grading of land
associated with construction of the proposed Project             ES.5.4.1 Tribal Consultation
(including pipeline and ancillary facilities) may                Government-to-government consultation is underway
potentially disturb western prairie fringed orchids,             for the current Supplemental EIS process for the
and may introduce or expand invasive species that                proposed Project, and tribal meetings were held in
already contribute to the orchid’s decline.                      October 2012 in Montana, South Dakota, and
                                                                 Nebraska. As the lead federal agency for the
                                                                 proposed Project, the Department is continuing
                                                                 throughout the Supplemental EIS process to engage
                                                                 in consultation on the Supplemental EIS, the
                                                                 proposed Project generally, and on cultural resources
                                                                 consistent with Section 106 of the National Historic
                                                                 Preservation Act of 1986 with identified consulting
                                                                 parties, including federal agencies, state agencies,
                                                                 State Historic Preservation Offices, the Advisory
                                                                 Council on Historic Preservation, and interested
                                                                 federally recognized Native American tribes in the
                                                                 vicinity of the proposed Project.

                                                                 ES.5.4.2 Socioeconomics
                                                                 Construction
                                                                 Construction of the proposed Project would generate
                                                                 temporary, positive socioeconomic impacts as a
                                                                 result of local employment, taxes, spending by
                                                                 construction workers, and spending on construction
                                                                 goods and services. Including direct, indirect, and
  Figure ES-10: Western Prairie Fringed Orchid                   induced effects, the proposed Project would
                                                                 potentially support approximately 42,100 average


Executive Summary                                        ES-13                                                March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                             Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



annual jobs across the United States over a 1- to 2-            low-income populations, specifically as part of a
year construction period (of which, approximately               NEPA process. Within the socioeconomic analysis
3,900 would be directly employed in construction                area, 16 block groups contain minority populations
activities). This employment would potentially                  that were meaningfully greater than the surrounding
translate to approximately $2.05 billion in earnings.           state or county (reference areas), and five census
Direct expenditures such as construction and                    tracts had larger low-income populations than their
materials costs (including construction camps) would            respective reference areas. Four of these areas
total approximately $3.3 billion. Short-term revenues           contained both types of “meaningfully greater”
from sources such as sales and use taxes would total            populations.
approximately $65 million in states that levy such a
                                                                Impacts to minority and low-income populations
tax. Yields from fuel and other taxes could not be
                                                                during construction may include exposure to
calculated, but would provide some additional
                                                                construction dust and noise, disruption to traffic
economic benefit to host counties and states.
                                                                patterns, and increased competition for medical or
The proposed Project area does not have sufficient              health services in underserved populations. Such
temporary housing for the anticipated construction              impacts would generally be small and short-term.
workforce. Keystone proposes to meet the housing
                                                                Typical operation of the proposed Project is unlikely
need through a combination of local housing and
                                                                to disproportionately adversely impact the
eight construction camps. Property taxes on these
                                                                Environmental Justice populations discussed in this
camps would potentially generate the equivalent of
                                                                section. Because the risk of a potential release is
one full year of property tax revenue for seven host
                                                                roughly equal at all points along the pipeline, the
counties, totaling approximately $2 million.
                                                                risks associated with such releases would not be
Other construction-phase socioeconomic impacts                  disproportionately borne by minority or low-income
would include minor increases in demand for utilities           populations.
and public services (such as police, fire, and
emergency medical services), and temporary traffic              ES.5.5 Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
delays at public road crossings. The construction                      Climate Change
camps would provide utilities and other services for            The draft Supplemental EIS evaluates the GHG
workers, reducing demands on existing communities.              emissions associated with the proposed Project from
Operations Phase                                                several distinct perspectives. The construction and
                                                                operation of the proposed Project and its connected
Generally, the largest economic impacts of pipelines            actions (the pipeline, pump stations, electrical
occur during construction rather than operations.               transmission lines, etc.) would generate GHG
Once in place, the labor requirements for pipeline              emissions. In addition, concerns have been raised that
operations are relatively minor. Operation of the               extracting the crude oil that would be transported by
proposed Project would generate 35 permanent and                the proposed Project produces more GHG emissions
15 temporary jobs, primarily for routine inspections,           compared to other types of crude oil. Finally, climate
maintenance, and repairs. Based on this estimate,               change considerations—which are influenced by
routine operation of the proposed Pipeline would                GHG emissions—could affect the construction and
have negligible socioeconomic impacts.                          operation of the proposed Project. GHG and climate
                                                                change issues were the subject of many comments
ES.5.4.3 Environmental Justice                                  received during the public scoping process for the
As defined by the U.S. Environmental Protection                 proposed Project.
Agency, “Environmental Justice” refers to the “fair
treatment and meaningful involvement of all people              ES.5.5.1 Greenhouse Gas Emissions
regardless of race, color, national origin, or income           Construction and operation of the proposed Project
with respect to the development, implementation, and            would generate GHG emissions from several sources
enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and             or activities, as described below.
policies.” Executive Order 12898 further directs
federal agencies to identify and address, as
appropriate, disproportionately high and adverse
health or environmental effects of their programs,
policies, and activities on minority populations and



Executive Summary                                       ES-14                                                March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                                Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



Construction-Phase Sources                                         Project is unlikely to have a substantial impact on the
                                                                   rate of development in the oil sands, or on the amount
•	 Clearing of land in the proposed ROW via open                   of heavy crude oil refined in the Gulf Coast area.
     burning;
                                                                   As discussed in the market analysis, if the proposed
•	 Electricity usage and emergency generators at                   Project were denied but other proposed new and
     construction camps; and                                       expanded pipelines go forward, production could
•	 Construction vehicles, worker transports, and                   decrease by approximately 0.4 to 0.6 percent of total
     other mobile sources.                                         WCSB production by 2030. If all pipeline capacity
                                                                   were restricted, oil sands production could decrease
Operations-Phase Sources                                           by approximately 2 to 4 percent by 2030.
•	 Fugitive methane emissions at connections;                      The incremental indirect life-cycle emissions
•	 Maintenance vehicles (two or more times per                     associated with those decreases in oil sands
     year);                                                        production are estimated to be in the range of 0.07 to
                                                                   0.83 million metric tons CO2 equivalent (MMTCO2e)
•	 Aircraft used for aerial inspection (biweekly);                 annually if the proposed Project were not built, and in
     and                                                           the range of 0.35 to 5.3 MMTCO2e annually if all
•    Electrical generation for pump station power.                 pipeline projects were denied.
During the construction period, GHG emissions from                 As WCSB and Bakken crudes replace crudes from
these sources and activities would be approximately                other sources—independent of whether the proposed
240,423 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents                  Project exists—the life-cycle GHG emissions
(CO2e). Emissions during operation of the proposed                 associated with transportation fuels produced in U.S.
Project would be approximately 3.19 million metric                 refineries would likely increase. The GHG intensity
tons of CO2e per year, almost entirely due to                      of reference crudes may also increase in the future as
electrical generation needed to power the proposed                 more of the world crude supply requires extraction by
Project’s pump stations.                                           increasingly energy-intensive techniques, such as
The annual CO2e emissions from the proposed                        those used to extract oil-sands crude, although
Project is equivalent to CO2e emissions from                       regulatory pressures and technological advances
approximately 626,000 passenger vehicles operating                 could counter this trend.
for one year or 398,000 homes using electricity for
one year.                                                          ES.5.5.3 Climate Change Effects on the
                                                                            Project
ES.5.5.2 Life Cycle Analysis                                       Changes in climate have been observed both globally
Combustion of fossil fuels, including petroleum-                   and within the proposed Project study area over the
based products such as crude oil, is a major source of             past century. These changes include direct effects,
global GHG emissions, which contribute to human-                   such as increases and decreases in temperature and
induced climate change. WCSB crudes are more                       precipitation, and indirect effects, such as increases in
GHG-intensive than the other heavy crudes they                     freeze-thaw cycles, increased occurrences of flooding
would replace or displace in U.S. refineries, and emit             and drought, and wind erosion of soil, and resultant
an estimated 17 percent more GHGs on a life-cycle                  changes to the natural environment, such as
basis than the average barrel of crude oil refined in              vegetation changes.
the United States in 2005. If the proposed Project                 As part of the preparation of this draft Supplemental
were to induce growth in the rate of extraction in the             EIS, an analysis was performed to evaluate the
oil sands, then it could cause GHG emissions greater               potential impacts of climate change on the proposed
than just its direct emissions.                                    Project construction and operations. Using future
Based on information and analysis about the North                  climate scenarios developed by the
American crude transport infrastructure (particularly              Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and
the proven ability of rail to transport substantial                peer-reviewed downscaled models, the draft
quantities of crude oil profitably under current market            Supplemental EIS evaluates the range of impacts that
conditions, and to add capacity relatively rapidly) and            climate change could have on the proposed Project.
the global crude oil market, the draft Supplemental
EIS concludes that approval or denial of the proposed



Executive Summary                                         ES-15	                                                 March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                                       Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



Assuming construction of the proposed Project                            leak that escapes any containment system and enters
begins as planned in 2015, climate conditions during                     the environment. This section describes the release
the 1- to 2-year construction period would not differ                    and spill analyses included in the draft Supplemental
substantially from current conditions. During the                        EIS, including potential impacts on waterbodies and
operations period, climate change projections suggest                    mitigation measures, as identified in public scoping
the following changes:                                                   comments.

•	     Warmer winter temperatures;                                       ES.5.6.1 Spill Scenarios
•	     A shorter cool season;                                            The Potential Releases section of the draft
                                                                         Supplemental EIS addresses the risks and potential
•	     A longer duration of frost-free periods;
                                                                         impacts of crude oil releases and spills during
•	     More freeze-thaw cycles per year (which could                     construction and operation of the proposed Project.
       lead to an increased number of episodes of soil                   This risk assessment addresses both the potential
       contraction and expansion);                                       frequency of operational pipeline releases and the
•	 Warmer summer temperatures;                                           potential crude oil spill volumes associated with the
                                                                         releases, using three hypothetical spill volumes to
•	 Increased number of hot days and consecutive                          represent the range of reported spills in the Pipeline
       hot days; and                                                     and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
•	 Longer summers (which could lead to impacts                           (PHMSA) database. These spill volumes and the
       associated with heat stress and wildfire risks).                  probabilities of such volumes are shown in Table
The pipeline would be buried deep enough to avoid                        ES-2. Screening-level (i.e., general) models were
surface impacts of climate changes (freeze-thaw                          used to estimate the distance oil could move over
cycles, fires, and temperature extremes).                                land or migrate in groundwater.
                                                                         Table ES-3 summarizes hazardous liquid pipeline
ES.5.6 Potential Releases                                                incidents reported to PHMSA from January 2002
The terms “release,” “leak,” and “spill” are used                        through July 2012 and shows the breakdown of
throughout this section. These are distinct terms. A                     incidents by pipeline component. Figure ES-11
release is a loss of integrity of a pipeline (including                  summarizes the spill scenarios reported to PHMSA,
the mainline and other components); a leak is a                          by pipeline elements.
release over time; and a spill is the liquid volume of a

Table ES-2: Spill Scenarios Evaluated in Draft Supplemental EIS
Spill Volume Scenario                                                                                              Frequencya
Small: Less than 50 barrels (bbl) (2,100 gallons)                                                                        79%
Medium: 50–1,000 bbl (2,100–42,000 gallons)                                                                              17%
Large: 1,000–20,000 bbl (42,000–840,000 gallons)                                                                          4%
a
    Indicates the share of all releases reported in the PHMSA database that fit each spill volume scenario.


Table ES-3: Summary of PHMSA Database Incidents (January 2002 to July 2012)
Incident Category           Incidents       Incident Sub-Category                                                    Incidents
                                            Crude oil mainline pipe incidents                                              321
Crude oil pipeline          1,692           Crude oil pipeline, equipment incidents (not mainline pipe)                  1,027
                                            Crude oil pipeline system, unspecified elements                                344
                                            16-inch or greater diameter                                                     71
Crude oil mainline                          8-inch or 15-inch diameter                                                     154
                            321
pipe                                        Less than 8-inch diameter                                                       52
                                            Diameter not provided                                                           44
Crude oil pipeline,                         Tanks                                                                           93
equipment (not              1,027           Valves                                                                          25
mainline pipe)                              Other discrete elements (pumps, fittings, etc.)                                909



Executive Summary                                                ES-16                                                  March 2013
Keystone XL Project                                                                   Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



  Spill Scenarios
                          Pipeline, All Elements                             79%                             17%      4%


                                    Mainline Pipe                    56%                           35%              9%


                 Mainline Pipe, Diameter 16"+                 38%                       36%                 26%


                        Pipeline System, Tanks                      51%                        30%             17%


            Pipeline System, Mainline Valves                                    89%                               11%


 Pipeline System, Other Discrete Elements                                    81%                              16%     3%


                                                    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

                                 0 – 50 bbl        50 – 1,000 bbl         1,000 – 20,000 bbl

Source: PHMSA Hazardous Liquid Pipeline Incident Data 2002–2012, and PHMSA Liquid Annual Pipeline Data. 2004–2011
                          Figure ES-11: Spill Volume Distribution by Pipeline Component


                                                                    tend to pool in low areas and potentially infiltrate
ES.5.6.2 Oil Movement                                               back into the soil and to groundwater depending on
Small and Medium Spills                                             the depth to groundwater. Potential behavior in
                                                                    shallow groundwater is the same as small spills that
The potential impacts from small leaks of oil would
                                                                    reach groundwater; the spill could migrate away from
typically be confined to soil immediately surrounding
                                                                    the release site. Because of the increased volume of
the leak, and would have little effect on nearby
                                                                    oil released from the pipeline when compared to a
natural resources. These types of spills would
                                                                    small release, it is also possible that oil could pool on
generally be detected by maintenance or operations
                                                                    groundwater.
personnel and addressed through repair of the leak
and removal and remediation of impacted soil. A                     Large Spills
slow subsurface leak, characterized as a slow drip
                                                                    With a large spill, the majority of the spill volume
(e.g., gallons per year as opposed to gallons per
                                                                    would migrate away from the release site. The
minute), would infiltrate into soil and could
                                                                    potential impacts from a large spill would be similar
potentially reach a groundwater resource. If the spill
                                                                    to the impacts from the medium-sized spill, but on a
rate is faster than the soil can absorb, the oil may
                                                                    much larger scale. Once the spill reaches the surface,
surface and potentially flow away from the release
                                                                    the oil would flow following topographic gradient or
site, affecting nearby vegetation or other resources.
                                                                    lows (e.g., gullies, roadside drainage ditches,
With medium spills, a release can occur as a                        culverts, and storm sewers) and eventually to surface
subsurface or surface event depending upon the                      water features. If the release enters flowing water or
cause. Similar to a small spill, a slow subsurface                  other surface water feature, the extent of the release
release could potentially reach a groundwater                       could become very large, potentially affecting soil
resource, and if the rate of the spill is faster than the           and vegetation along miles of river and shoreline.
soil can absorb, the oil may surface. Once the                      Sinking oil can be deposited in river or stream
migrating oil leaves the release site, impacts to soil,             bottoms and become a continual source of oil as
vegetation, and surface water along the flow path                   changing water flows release the deposited oil.
might occur. Depending on how quickly it is
remediated, some of this volume of material might



Executive Summary                                           ES-17                                                   March 2013
Keystone XL Project	                                                               Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS



ES.5.6.3 Mitigation                                                included an Environmental Screening Report that
Keystone has agreed to incorporate 57 Special                      was prepared to meet the requirements of Canadian
Conditions developed by PHMSA into the proposed                    Environmental Assessment Act for the Canadian
Project and in its manual for operations, maintenance,             portion of the proposed Project.
and emergencies. The majority of the Special
                                                                   The Environmental Screening Report concluded that,
Conditions relate to reduction in the likelihood of a
                                                                   with incorporation of Keystone’s proposed measures
release occurring. Some provide mitigation that
                                                                   to avoid or minimize impacts and with Keystone’s
reduces the consequences and impact of a spill,
                                                                   acceptance of the NEB’s regulatory requirements and
should such an event occur. Examples of the types of
                                                                   recommended conditions, implementation of the
Special Conditions that PHMSA developed to reduce
                                                                   proposed Project in Canada would not likely result in
the risk of a release include, among others, measures
                                                                   significant adverse environmental effects. For the
that would better prevent corrosion, stress cracking,
                                                                   Canadian portion of the pipeline, construction began
equipment malfunctions, third-party damage, and
                                                                   on the Hardisty B Terminal in September 2010, and
operator error.
                                                                   HDD crossings of the Red Deer and South
                                                                   Saskatchewan rivers were completed in early 2012.
ES.5.7 Cumulative Effects
The cumulative effects analysis evaluates the way                  Analysis and mitigation of environmental impacts in
that the proposed Project’s impacts interact with the              Canada are ongoing by Canadian officials. For
impact of other past, present, and reasonably                      example, on September 1, 2012, the Government of
foreseeable future actions or projects. The goal of the            Alberta’s development plan for the Lower
cumulative impacts analysis is to identify situations              Athabascan oil sands region became effective. The
where sets of comparatively small individual impacts,              plan would require cancellation of about ten oil sands
taken together, constitute a larger collective impact.             leases, set aside nearly 20,000 square kilometers
                                                                   (7,700 square miles) for conservation, and set new
For the proposed Project, the draft Supplemental EIS               environmental standards for the region in an effort to
identifies actions or projects with the potential for              protect sensitive habitat, wildlife, and forest land.
cumulative impacts. The cumulative effects analysis
provides detailed evaluation of the effects of these
projects when combined with the proposed Project,
                                                                   ES.6     ALTERNATIVES
                                                                   The draft Supplemental EIS considers three broad
including impacts on resources within the United
                                                                   categories of alternatives to the proposed Project,
States, lifecycle GHG emissions of WCSB activities,
                                                                   consistent with NEPA requirements:
and impacts on resources in Canada.
                                                                   •	 No Action Alternative—which addresses
ES.5.8 Environmental Impacts in Canada                                 potential market responses that could result if the
In addition to the environmental analysis of the                       Presidential Permit is denied or the proposed
proposed Project in the United States, the Department                  Project is not otherwise implemented;
monitored and obtained information from the
                                                                   •	 Major Route Alternatives—which includes other
environmental analysis of the Canadian portion of the
                                                                       potential pipeline routes for transporting WCSB
Project. The Canadian government conducted an                          and Bakken crude oil to Steele City, Nebraska;
environmental review of the portion of the proposed                    and
Project in Canada. The Department did not conduct
an assessment of the potential impacts of the                      •	 Other Alternatives—which include minor route
Canadian portion of the proposed Project. However,                     variations, alternative pipeline designs, and
the Department has included information from the                       alternative sites for aboveground facilities.
Canadian government’s assessment in this draft
Supplemental EIS.                                                  ES.6.1 Scenario Screening
                                                                   Several alternatives exist for the transport of WCSB
The Canadian environmental analysis process began                  and Bakken crude oil to Gulf Coast refineries,
in July 2008 and involved an environmental                         including many that were not carried forward for
assessment process pursuant to the Canadian                        detailed analysis. The draft Supplemental EIS
Environmental Assessment Act. On March 11, 2010,                   provides a more detailed description of the categories
the Canadian National Energy Board (NEB) issued                    of alternatives, the alternative screening process, and
its Reasons for Decision granting Keystone’s                       the detailed alternatives identified for evaluation in
application. The NEB’s Reasons for Decision                        the draft Supplemental EIS.



Executive Summary                                         ES-18	                                                March 2013
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project
Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project

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Draft Supplemental EIS for the Keystone XL Project

  • 1. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS TABLE OF CONTENTS ES.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................1 ES.1.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................1 ES.1.2 Project Description ........................................................................................................................2 ES.1.3 Alternatives ....................................................................................................................................2 ES.1.4 Findings .........................................................................................................................................2 ES.2 Context ...................................................................................................................................................3 ES.2.1 Purpose and Need ..........................................................................................................................3 ES.2.2 Crude Oil Overview .......................................................................................................................3 ES.2.3 Market Overview............................................................................................................................3 ES.3 EIS Development Process .....................................................................................................................4 ES.3.1 Presidential Permitting Process ....................................................................................................4 ES.3.2 Supplemental EIS Process .............................................................................................................4 ES.4 Project Description .................................................................................................................................4 ES.4.1 Keystone XL Project ......................................................................................................................4 ES.4.2 Changes Since the Final EIS..........................................................................................................6 ES.4.3 Connected Actions .........................................................................................................................7 ES.5 Environmental Analysis ..........................................................................................................................8 ES.5.1 Soils ...............................................................................................................................................8 ES.5.2 Water Resources ............................................................................................................................9 ES.5.3 Threatened and Endangered Species ........................................................................................... 11 ES.5.4 Socioeconomics and Environmental Justice ................................................................................ 13 ES.5.5 Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Climate Change ........................................................................ 14 ES.5.6 Potential Releases ........................................................................................................................ 16 ES.5.7 Cumulative Effects ....................................................................................................................... 18 ES.5.8 Environmental Impacts in Canada .............................................................................................. 18 ES.6 Alternatives .......................................................................................................................................... 18 ES.6.1 Scenario Screening ...................................................................................................................... 18 ES.6.2 Market Analysis ........................................................................................................................... 19 ES.6.3 No Action Alternative................................................................................................................... 20 ES.6.4 Major Pipeline Route Alternatives ............................................................................................... 21 ES.6.5 Other Alternatives Considered .................................................................................................... 22 ES.7 Next Steps ............................................................................................................................................ 23 ES.8 Draft Supplemental EIS Contents......................................................................................................... 23 Table of Contents i March 2013
  • 2. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Figures Figure ES-1: Proposed Keystone XL Project .................................................................................................. 2 Figure ES-2: Proposed Project Overview ........................................................................................................ 5 Figure ES-3: Keystone XL, Typical Pipeline Construction Sequence ............................................................ 6 Figure ES-4: Sand Hills Grassland .................................................................................................................. 7 Figure ES-5: Comparison of Proposed Project Route to Previously Proposed Project Segment .................... 7 Figure ES-6: Cross Section of Horizontal Directional Drilling Method ......................................................... 9 Figure ES-7: Schematic Hydrogeologic Cross-Section along Proposed Pipeline Route ............................... 11 Figure ES-8: American Burying Beetle......................................................................................................... 12 Figure ES-9: Greater Sage-Grouse ................................................................................................................ 12 Figure ES-10: Western Prairie Fringed Orchid ............................................................................................. 13 Figure ES-11: Spill Volume Distribution by Pipeline Component ............................................................... 17 Figure ES-12: Typical Rail Loading Facility in North Dakota ..................................................................... 21 Tables Table ES-1: Effects of Potential Releases on Aquifers ................................................................................. 10 Table ES-2: Spill Scenarios Evaluated in Draft Supplemental EIS............................................................... 16 Table ES-3: Summary of PHMSA Database Incidents (January 2002 to July 2012).................................... 16 Table ES-4: Summary of No Action Alternative Scenarios .......................................................................... 20 Table ES-5: Summary of Major Pipeline Route Alternatives ....................................................................... 22 Table of Contents ii March 2013
  • 3. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS did not allow sufficient time to prepare a thorough, ES.1 INTRODUCTION rigorous, and transparent review of an alternative route through Nebraska. As such, the Presidential ES.1.1 Overview Permit was denied. The proposed Keystone XL Pipeline is a new 875-mile pipeline infrastructure project that would In February 2012, Keystone informed the Department allow delivery of up to 830,000 barrels per day (bpd) that it considered the Gulf Coast portion of the of crude oil from Alberta, Canada, and the Bakken previous pipeline project (from Cushing, Oklahoma, Shale Formation in the United States to Steele City, to the Gulf Coast area) to have independent economic Nebraska for onward delivery to Cushing, Oklahoma, utility and indicated it intended to proceed with and refineries in the Gulf Coast area 1. TransCanada construction of that pipeline as a separate project, the Keystone Pipeline, LP (Keystone) has applied for a Gulf Coast Project. The Gulf Coast Project does not Presidential Permit which, if granted, would require a Presidential Permit because it does not cross authorize the proposed pipeline to cross the United an international border. Construction on the Gulf States-Canadian border. Coast Project is underway. For proposed petroleum pipelines that cross On May 4, 2012, Keystone filed a Presidential Permit international borders of the United States, the application for a new Keystone XL Project. The President, through Executive Order 13337, directs the proposed Project has a new route and a new stated Secretary of State to decide whether a project is in purpose. The route in Montana and South Dakota the “national interest” before granting a Presidential would be largely unchanged from the route analyzed Permit. The national interest determination by the in August 2011. However, the newly proposed route U.S. Department of State (the Department) involves not only avoids the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills consideration of many factors, including energy Region but also terminates at Steele City, Nebraska, security; environmental, cultural, and economic and thus is approximately half the length of the impacts; foreign policy; and compliance with previously proposed project analyzed in 2011. In relevant federal regulations. Before making such a other words, the newly proposed Project is 509 miles decision, the Department also asks for the views of shorter than the previously proposed project analyzed the Departments of Energy, Defense, Transportation, in 2011. Homeland Security, Justice, Interior, and Commerce, About the Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Statement Background The Department has issued this draft Supplemental Previously, Keystone submitted an application for the Environmental Impact Statement (draft Supplemental same border crossing, but with a pipeline route in the EIS) that builds on the analysis completed in August United States that differed from the route that is 2011 (the Final Environmental Impact Statement or currently proposed. The biggest difference in the Final EIS). The analysis has been revised, expanded, previous route compared to the current one is that it and updated to include a comprehensive review of went through the Sand Hills Region of Nebraska as the new route in Nebraska as well as any significant identified by the Nebraska Department of new circumstances or information that is now Environmental Quality (NDEQ). A separate available on the largely unchanged route through Environmental Impact Statement was issued in Montana and South Dakota. August 2011 for that route. In November 2011, the In completing the draft Supplemental EIS, the Department determined that additional information Department took into consideration the comments was needed to fully evaluate the application, in contained in more than 400,000 e-mails, letters, and particular, additional information about alternative other communications submitted throughout the routes within Nebraska that would avoid the Sand scoping process by public citizens, government Hills Region. In late December 2011, Congress agencies, Tribal governments, and interested non- adopted a provision of the Temporary Payroll Tax governmental organizations as well as over one Cut Continuation Act that sought to require the million e-mails, letters, and other communications President to make a decision on the Presidential submitted to the Department during its consideration Permit for that route within 60 days. That deadline of the previous Keystone XL application. 1 The Gulf Coast area refers to the region from Houston, Texas, to Lake Charles, Louisiana. Executive Summary ES-1 March 2013
  • 4. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Expanded and new analyses include, among others: economic effects of the proposed project, impacts from potential releases or spills, impacts related to climate change, and cumulative effects from the proposed project in combination with other projects. The Department re-examined and expanded the evaluation of project alternatives, including a reasonable route alternative and other scenarios of crude oil transport, such as rail. The Department also updated the analysis of the relationship of the proposed project to crude oil markets in light of developments since August 2011, which includes an update to the assessment of whether the proposed Project is likely to impact the extraction rate from the oil sands in Canada, and thus impact greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with that extraction. The Executive Summary on the following pages Figure ES-1: Proposed Keystone XL Project briefly presents the contents of the draft Supplemental EIS, including the purpose and need of ES.1.3 Alternatives the proposed Project, key potential impacts, measures In addition to minor route variations and pipeline to reduce or mitigate those impacts if a permit was design options, the draft Supplemental EIS considers granted, and alternatives to the proposed Project. the following alternatives to the proposed Project. ES.1.2 Project Description • The No Action Alternative evaluates scenarios The proposed Keystone XL Pipeline Project consists that are likely to occur if the proposed Project is of a 36-inch pipeline and related facilities that would not built, including rail and vessel-based options allow for transport of up to 830,000 bpd of crude oil for transporting WCSB and Bakken crude oil to from the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin the Gulf Coast. (WCSB) in Alberta, Canada, and from the Williston • Major Route Alternatives evaluate the impacts Basin (Bakken) region in Montana and North Dakota, of changing the route of the pipeline. Specific primarily to refineries in the Gulf Coast area. There is alternatives include the route previously existing demand for crude oil, particularly heavy proposed as well as a route that parallels crude oil at refiners in the Gulf Coast area, but the Interstate 90 in South Dakota before joining the ultimate disposition of crude oil transported by the right-of-way (ROW) of the existing Keystone proposed Project, and any refined products produced pipeline. from that crude oil, would be determined by future market forces. ES.1.4 Findings This draft Supplemental EIS evaluates the 875-mile Chapter 4 of the draft Supplemental EIS gives pipeline that would stretch from the U.S.-Canadian detailed findings about the proposed Project’s border near Morgan, Montana, to the existing impacts. Among these are resources where impacts Keystone pipeline in Steele City, Nebraska. As noted could potentially be substantial, or that have been the above, the draft Supplemental EIS builds on and focus of significant public attention and comment. supplements the analysis completed in August in These key resource areas include: 2011 by specifically addressing the new route in • Soils (including sandy and erodible soils); Nebraska as well as any significant new information that has since become available. • Groundwater, including aquifers such as the Ogallala Aquifer; • Surface water resources; • Socioeconomics, including the potential job and revenue benefits of the proposed Project, as well as concerns about environmental justice; Executive Summary ES-2 March 2013
  • 5. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS • Lifecycle GHG emissions associated with oil light crudes. The refineries in that region possess one sands development, refining, and consumption; of the highest concentrations of heavy-crude refining and capacity of any area in the world. Gulf Coast refiners use both domestic crude oil produced in the United • Potential releases or spills. States, and crude oil imported from foreign countries to create various petroleum products. ES.2 CONTEXT The crude oil from the WCSB is produced as a ES.2.1 Purpose and Need viscous material, known as raw bitumen, that has the The Department must determine if the proposed consistency of soft asphalt. Due to its viscosity, Project is in the national interest pursuant to bitumen cannot be transported by pipeline on its own. Executive Order 13337. The Department evaluates It first must be mixed with a petroleum-based product the proposed Project’s purpose and need consistent (called a diluent), such as naphtha or natural gas with the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). condensate, to make a less viscous liquid called dilbit; or it must be upgraded (partially refined) to a According to the application submitted by Keystone, medium weight crude oil called “synthetic crude oil.” the primary purpose of the proposed Project is to If diluents are not available, producers use synthetic provide the infrastructure to transport heavy crude oil crude oil as the diluent to create a product called from the border with Canada to delivery points in the synbit. The proposed Project is expected to carry United States by connecting to existing pipeline predominantly either dilbit, synbit, or both, as well as facilities near Steele City, Nebraska. The proposed synthetic crude oil and light crude oil produced from Project is meant to respond to the market demand of the Bakken. refineries for heavy crude oil. The proposed Project would also provide transportation for light crude oil ES.2.3 Market Overview from the Bakken in North Dakota and Montana (as Refiners determine the optimal crudes to process well as from Canada). similar to other manufacturing companies that select The proposed Project would have the capacity to the right raw materials to manufacture products. deliver up to 830,000 bpd. Keystone has represented Refining companies pay market prices for crude oil, that it has firm commitments to transport and measure their profitability based on selling their approximately 555,000 bpd of heavy crude oil from product into the wholesale market. They then use that producers in the WCSB. In addition, Keystone has margin (the difference between the price of crude and represented that it has firm commitments to transport the price of the refined products) to cover their 65,000 bpd of crude oil from the Bakken of the expenses and generate profits. Refiners may select a 100,000 bpd of capacity set aside on the proposed more expensive crude oil if that crude oil’s yield Project for that purpose. The ultimate mixture and provides a greater margin than a cheaper crude oil. quantity of crude oils transported by the proposed The proposed Project seeks to capitalize on the Project over its lifetime would be determined by demands of refiners for a stable supply of both heavy future market forces. and light crude oil. Refineries in the Gulf Coast rely mostly on foreign imports, particularly from ES.2.2 Crude Oil Overview Venezuela and Mexico, as well as from other Oil producers send a variety of crude oils to refiners countries. However, the volume of crude exports to produce consumer products such as gasoline, from Mexico is declining. The long-term contracts diesel fuel for trucks, heating oil, and raw materials supporting the proposed Project indicate that refiners for plastics and medicines. Each U.S. refinery has see economic advantages to processing heavy WCSB different “hardware”— equipment and capacity, crude oil as well as the domestically produced metallurgy, and treating processes—and different Bakken light crude oil, which are both growing in resulting mixes of finished products. supply and may be less expensive to transport to the The proposed Project would primarily transport crude refinery than imported crude oils that are shipped by oil from the WCSB and Bakken regions. The tanker. A detailed analysis of the market is presented majority of the oil from WCSB sources is considered in the Supplemental EIS and discussed further in the a heavy crude oil, while Bakken crude is considered a Market Analysis section of this Executive Summary. light crude oil. In general, refineries in the Gulf Coast area are designed to process a mixture of heavy and Executive Summary ES-3 March 2013
  • 6. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS ES.3 EIS DEVELOPMENT PROCESS occurred over a 5-month period and included consultation with ERM, cooperating agencies, ES.3.1 Presidential Permitting Process scientists, and engineers with expertise in key areas For proposed petroleum pipelines that cross of concern related to the proposed Project. international borders of the United States, the This draft Supplemental EIS describes potential President, through Executive Order 13337, directs the impacts of the proposed Project and alternatives, Secretary of State to decide whether a project is in including direct, indirect, and cumulative impacts. It the national interest. If the proposed Project is builds on the work done in the 2011 Final EIS, determined to be in the national interest, it is granted including references to that document throughout the a Presidential Permit that authorizes the construction, text where appropriate. The Supplemental EIS operation, and maintenance of the facilities at the includes an analysis of the modified route in border between the United States and Canada. The Nebraska, as well as analysis of any significant new Department’s jurisdiction does not extend to cover circumstances or information that has become selection of pipeline routes within the United States. available since the August 2011 publication of the The draft Supplemental EIS was produced consistent Final EIS for the previously proposed project. This with NEPA and will help inform that determination. draft Supplemental EIS also relies, where The National Interest Determination (or NID) appropriate, on the data presented and the analyses involves consideration of many factors, including done in the Final EIS for the previously proposed energy security; environmental, cultural, and project, because much of the proposed pipeline route economic impacts; foreign policy; and compliance remains unchanged from its August 2011 publication. with relevant federal regulations. Before making such Finally, the draft Supplemental EIS also includes the a decision, the Department seeks the views of the latest available information on the proposed Project eight federal agencies identified in Executive Order resulting from ongoing discussions with federal, 13337: the Departments of Energy, Defense, state, and local agencies. Transportation, Homeland Security, Justice, Interior, and Commerce, and the U.S. Environmental ES.4 PROJECT DESCRIPTION Protection Agency. The Department is also soliciting public input on the draft Supplemental EIS. ES.4.1 Keystone XL Project The proposed Project consists of a crude oil pipeline ES.3.2 Supplemental EIS Process and related facilities to transport WCSB crude oil In September 2012, Keystone submitted an from an oil supply hub near Hardisty, Alberta, Environmental Report in support of its Presidential Canada, to existing pipeline facilities near Steele Permit application providing an update of the impacts City, Nebraska, for onward delivery to Cushing, of the proposed Project and describing several Oklahoma, and the Gulf Coast area. The proposed modifications to the originally proposed pipeline Project would also transport domestically produced route to reduce environmental impacts, improve Bakken crude oil from a terminal near Baker, constructability, and in response to agency and public Montana, to the existing Keystone Pipeline system at comments. Steele City, Nebraska. To assist in preparing the draft Supplemental EIS, the The Steele City delivery point provides access to the Department retained an environmental consulting existing Keystone Cushing Extension pipeline, which firm, Environmental Resources Management, Inc. delivers crude oil to Cushing, Oklahoma, where there (ERM). ERM was selected pursuant to the is access to other pipeline systems and terminals, Department’s interim guidance on the selection of including those serving the Gulf Coast area. The independent third-party contractors. ERM works at proposed Project would consist of approximately the sole and exclusive instruction of the Department 875 miles of new, 36-inch-diameter pipeline across and is not permitted to communicate with Keystone portions of Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska unless specifically directed to do so by Department (an additional 329 miles of pipeline in Canada were officials. Preparation of the draft Supplemental EIS evaluated by the Canadian government). Figure ES-2 depicts the proposed Project in the United States. Executive Summary ES-4 March 2013
  • 7. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Figure ES-2: Proposed Project Overview Executive Summary ES-5 March 2013
  • 8. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Figure ES-3: Keystone XL, Typical Pipeline Construction Sequence Construction of the proposed Project would generally require a 110-foot-wide, temporary ROW, and a ES.4.2 Changes Since the Final EIS The proposed pipeline route in the United States that variety of aboveground ancillary facilities. Figure is the subject of this draft Supplemental EIS is similar ES-3 illustrates the construction sequence that would to part of the previous project evaluated in the August be followed for the proposed Project. 2011 Final EIS. The newly proposed route in If permitted, when in operation, the proposed Project Montana and South Dakota would be largely would maintain a 50-foot, permanent easement over unchanged, except for minor modifications Keystone the pipeline. Keystone would have access to property made to improve constructability and in response to within the easement, but property owners would comments, such as landowner requests to adjust the retain the ability to farm and conduct other activities. route across their property. The new proposed route The remaining aboveground ancillary facilities would is 509 miles shorter than the previously proposed include 20 electrically operated pump stations (two of route; however, it would be approximately 21 miles which would be built along existing sections of the longer in Nebraska to avoid sensitive areas including Keystone Cushing Extension pipeline in Kansas), the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region. Thus, the 44 mainline valves, and 38 permanent access roads. 2 newly proposed route is substantially different from the previous route analyzed in August 2011 in two The overall proposed Project is estimated to cost significant ways: it avoids the NDEQ-identified Sand approximately $3.3 billion in the United States. If Hills Region and it terminates at Steele City, permitted, it would begin operation in 2015, with the Nebraska. actual date dependent on the necessary permits, approvals, and authorizations. 2 Locations for access roads in Nebraska have not yet been determined and are not included in this total. Executive Summary ES-6 March 2013
  • 9. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS In addition to the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region, the proposed Project route would avoid areas in Keya Paha County identified by the NDEQ that have soil and topographic characteristics similar to the Sand Hills Region, and it avoids or moves further away from wellhead protection areas for the Villages of Clarks and Western. ES.4.3 Connected Actions Connected actions are projects that would not be constructed or operated in the absence of the proposed Project. The three connected actions associated with the proposed Project are described below. While these projects would be reviewed and Figure ES-4: Sand Hills Grassland acted on by other agencies as needed, the draft As shown in Figure ES-5, the proposed Project route Supplemental EIS also evaluates the impacts of these in Nebraska is substantially different from the connected actions. previously proposed route analyzed in the 2011 Final EIS. ES.4.3.1 The Bakken Marketlink Project Keystone Marketlink, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of TransCanada Pipelines Limited, would construct and operate the Bakken Marketlink Project. This project would include a 5-mile pipeline, pumps, meters, and storage tanks to supply Bakken crude oil to the proposed pipeline from the proposed Bakken Marketlink pipeline system in North Dakota and Montana. Three crude oil storage tanks would be built near Baker, Montana, as part of this project. This proposed project can deliver up to 100,000 bpd of crude oil, and has commitments for approximately 65,000 bpd. ES.4.3.2 Big Bend to Witten 230-kV Electrical Transmission Line The Western Area Power Administration (Western) has determined that providing reliable electricity for operation of the proposed Project requires the construction of a new 230-kilovolt (kV) transmission line, originating at the Fort Thompson/Big Bend Dam area in South Dakota and extending south to the existing Witten Substation. To meet these demands, Western would repurpose existing transmission infrastructure and construct new infrastructure between the Dam and a proposed Big Bend Substation. The Basin Electric Power Cooperative would construct a new 76-mile, 230-kV transmission line from the Big Bend Substation to the existing Figure ES-5: Comparison of Proposed Project Witten Substation, and would operate both the Route to Previously Proposed Project Segment transmission line and the Big Bend Substation. Executive Summary ES-7 March 2013
  • 10. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS ES.4.3.3 Electrical Distribution Lines and • Soil erosion; Substations Electrical power for the proposed Project would be • Loss of topsoil; obtained from local power providers. These power • Soil compaction; providers would construct the necessary substations • Changes in soil composition (increased and transformers and would either use existing proportion of large rocks in the topsoil); service lines or construct new service lines to deliver electrical power to the specified point of use (e.g., • Soil mixing; and pump stations and mainline valves), which would be • Soil contamination. located at intervals along the proposed Project route. Nearly half of the proposed Project route would cross soils characterized as highly erodible to either wind ES.5 ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS or water, and comments on the 2011 Final EIS Construction of the proposed Project would disturb expressed concern about the proposed Project’s approximately 15,493 acres of land. After effects on erodible soils. Many of the stages of construction, approximately 5,584 acres would be construction—notably clearing, trenching, and spoil retained for operation of the proposed Project; this storage—could potentially increase soil erosion. Such includes the pipeline ROW and aboveground erosion, in turn, could result in loss of valuable facilities. Construction and operation of the proposed topsoil from its original location. The proposed Project would result in numerous impacts to the Project avoids the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills environment. The Department evaluated the impacts region, as well as areas in Keya Paha County, of the proposed Project and alternatives associated Nebraska, defined by NDEQ as having Sand Hills- with the following types of resources and like soils. consequences: These potential impacts would be mitigated through a • Geology • Soils variety of measures. Keystone’s proposed • Wetlands • Terrestrial vegetation construction methods (Appendix G, CMRP) incorporate measures to reduce soil erosion, • Fisheries • Threatened and including the use of sediment barriers, trench plugs, endangered species • Recreation temporary slope breakers, drainage channels or • Cultural resources • Visual resources ditches, mulching, and inspection of these control methods. Specific additional methods and measures, • Climate change • Air quality such as the following would apply in areas of fragile • Water resources • Noise soils (i.e., where the soil exhibits conditions typical • Land use • Wildlife of the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region and is very susceptible to wind erosion): • • Socioeconomics Pipeline releases • Use of photodegradable matting, sediment logs, or straw wattles rather than terraces (slope The proposed Project Construction, Mitigation, and breakers) in steep slope or erosion-prone areas; Reclamation Plan (CMRP) (see Appendix G) includes procedures that Keystone would follow to • Use of native seed mixes (developed with local reduce the likelihood and severity of, or avoid Natural Resource Conservation Service offices impacts from the proposed Project. and used in coordination with landowners); The discussion below summarizes the findings of the • Use of trench-line or blade-width stripping analysis related to selected resources and procedures where practicable to reduce the width consequences. These resources would either be of disturbance; and substantially impacted by the proposed Project, or • Minor route realignments. have been the focus of particular public attention and Approximately 4,715 acres of prime farmland soil comment. would be directly impacted by construction of the proposed pipeline. To avoid permanent impacts to ES.5.1 Soils these soils, topsoil in non-forested agricultural areas Construction of the proposed Project and its would be removed and stockpiled at the edge of the connected actions could affect soil resources. ROW during excavation activities and returned Potential impacts could include, to varying degrees: Executive Summary ES-8 March 2013
  • 11. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS following completion of construction and subsurface • Temporarily reduced flow in streams; and soil preparation. Salvage depths would vary from 4 inches in shallow soils to 12 inches in highly • Potential impacts associated with spills. productive soils. Operation of the proposed Project Open-cut methods would be used at most waterbody would have minor, localized impacts on soils. crossings. However, impacts to surface waterbodies would be mitigated through various means. ES.5.2 Water Resources Horizontal directional drilling (HDD) would be used In response to public scoping comments for the at 14 major and sensitive waterbody crossings (see proposed Project, the draft Supplemental EIS Figure ES-6). Waterbody banks would be restored to includes a detailed assessment of impacts on preconstruction contours or to a stable slope. groundwater and surface water, including shallow Seeding, erosion control fabric, and other erosion groundwater associated with the Ogallala Aquifer control measures would be installed, as specified in and the NDEQ-identified Sand Hills Region. the CMRP (Appendix G), and permit documents. Operations Phase ES.5.2.1 Surface Water The proposed Project would impact waterbodies Surface water impacts associated with potential across the states of Montana, South Dakota, and releases of crude oil and other hazardous liquid spills Nebraska. The proposed Project route would avoid are addressed later in this Executive Summary. Other surface water whenever possible; however, the potential impacts during the operations phase would proposed Project route would still cross include: approximately 1,073 waterbodies, including • Channel migration or streambed degradation that 56 perennial rivers and streams, as well as exposes the pipeline; approximately 25 miles of mapped floodplains. • Channel incision that increases bank heights to Construction Phase the point where slopes are destabilized, Construction of the proposed Project could result in ultimately widening the stream; and temporary and permanent impacts such as: • Sedimentation within a channel that triggers lateral bank erosion, such as the expansion of a • Stream sedimentation; channel meander (curve) opposite a point bar. • Changes in stream channel morphology (shape) Mitigation measures to address these impacts would and stability; include those specified in the CMRP (Appendix G). Crossings would be at least 5 feet below the bottom of all waterbodies, and would have a horizontal buffer of at least 15 feet from either waterbody edge. Figure ES-6: Cross Section of Horizontal Directional Drilling Method Executive Summary ES-9 March 2013
  • 12. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Where an HDD method is used, the crossing depth Figure ES-7 provides a schematic view of these would be up to 50 feet below the stream bed. groundwater resources. Potential bank protection measures could include installing rock, wood, or other materials keyed into Hydrostatic Testing the bank to provide protection from further erosion, Water hydrostatic testing is performed to expose or regrading the banks to reduce the bank slope. defective materials or welds that have missed prior detection, expose possible leaks, and serve as a final ES.5.2.2 Groundwater validation of the integrity of the constructed system. The primary source of groundwater impacts from the Water is pumped into the sealed pipe section, proposed Project would be potential releases of typically to a pressure greater that the specified pipe petroleum during pipeline operation and, to a lesser strength, and the pressurized segment is monitored extent, from fuel spills from equipment. The risks for failure. and impacts of these effects are discussed later in this Following the test, the water is removed from the Executive Summary. Any petroleum releases from pipe and returned to the natural environment or construction or operation could potentially impact disposed of in a regulated fashion. Water used for groundwater where the overlying soils are permeable hydrostatic testing would be obtained from nearby and the depth to groundwater is shallow. Table ES-1 surface water resources, groundwater, or municipal summarizes the anticipated effects of potential sources. Approximately 50 potential surface water releases from the proposed Project on the aquifers sources have been identified along the proposed and aquifer groups along the proposed Project route. Project route. Discharged water would be tested for water quality prior to release to ensure that it meets applicable water quality standards. Table ES-1: Effects of Potential Releases on Aquifers Aquifer Effects Alluvial Aquifers Aquifer conditions in the NHPAQ in the proposed Project area indicate that shallow groundwater and Northern generally discharges to local surface waterbodies, and typically does not flow downward in High Plains significant amounts or flow horizontally over long distances. Analysis of historic spills and Aquifer groundwater modeling indicate that contaminant plumes from a large-scale release that reaches (NHPAQ), groundwater in the NHPAQ and alluvial aquifers could be expected to affect groundwater including the quality up to approximately 1,000 feet downgradient of the release source. This localized effect Ogallala Aquifer indicates that petroleum releases from the proposed Project would not extensively affect water quality in this aquifer group. Great Plains Across most of the proposed pipeline area where the GPA is present, it is very unlikely that any Aquifer (GPA) releases from the proposed pipeline would affect groundwater quality in the aquifer, because the aquifer is typically deeply buried beneath younger, water-bearing sediments and/or aquitard units. The exception is in southern Nebraska, where the aquifer is closer to the surface. Water quality in the GPA could be affected by releases in this area, but groundwater flow patterns in the vicinity of the proposed Project route make such effects unlikely. Overall, it is very unlikely that the proposed pipeline area would affect water quality in the GPA due to weak downward gradients (downward groundwater flows) in the aquifers overlying the GPA. Western Interior The depth to this aquifer is several hundred feet in the proposed Project area; therefore, there is Plains Aquifer an extremely low probability that a petroleum release from the proposed Project would affect water quality in this aquifer. Northern Great As with the GPA, petroleum releases from the proposed Project would only affect water quality Plains Aquifer in portions of the NGPAS near the ground surface. In the case of a large-scale release, these System impacts would typically be limited to within several hundred feet of the release source, and (NGPAS) would not affect groundwater within areas that provide groundwater recharge to large portions of the NGPAS. Shallow There are 2,537 wells within 1 mile of the proposed Project, including 39 public water supply Groundwater and wells and 20 private wells within 100 feet of the pipeline ROW. The vast majority of these wells Water Wells are in Nebraska. Those wells that were in the vicinity may be affected by a petroleum release from the proposed Project. Executive Summary ES-10 March 2013
  • 13. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Figure ES-7: Schematic Hydrogeologic Cross-Section along Proposed Pipeline Route consideration for federal protection under ESA. In ES.5.2.3 Floodplains consultation with the USFWS, the Department The proposed pipeline would cross mapped and prepared a Biological Assessment (BA) to evaluate unmapped floodplains in Montana, South Dakota, the proposed Project’s potential impacts to federally and Nebraska. In floodplain areas adjacent to protected and candidate species and their federally waterbody crossings, contours would be restored to designated critical habitat (Appendix H). In addition, as close to previously existing contours as practical 13 state-listed species that are not also federally listed and the disturbed area would be revegetated during species and one species under consideration for construction of the ROW in accordance with the federal protection under the ESA could be impacted CMRP (Appendix G). After construction, the by the proposed Project. proposed pipeline would not obstruct flows over designated floodplains, and any changes to Types of potential impacts to threatened and topography would be minimal and thus would not endangered species include: affect local flood dynamics or flood elevations. • Habitat loss, alteration, and fragmentation; ES.5.3 Threatened and Endangered Species • Direct mortality during construction and Consultation with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service operation, including collision with power lines; (USFWS) identified 13 federally protected or • Indirect mortality due to stress or avoidance of candidate species that could be impacted by the feeding, and/or reduced breeding success due to proposed Project: eleven federally-listed threatened exposure to noise and/or increased human or endangered species, as defined under the activity; and Endangered Species Act (ESA), and two candidate species for listing as threatened or endangered. In • Reduced survival or reproduction due to addition, this draft Supplemental EIS also evaluated decreased abundance of food or reduced cover. the potential Project impacts on one species under Executive Summary ES-11 March 2013
  • 14. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS The subsections below provide additional detail on species that could potentially be affected by the ES.5.3.2 Whooping Crane The whooping crane (Grus Americana) is federally proposed Project, or species that are frequent topics protected and is also protected under the Migratory of concern for projects similar to or in the same Bird Treaty Act. Whooping cranes could be impacted geographic region as the Project. Monitoring and by collisions with power lines associated with the mitigation measures that address these impacts are proposed Project. The majority of the proposed discussed thoroughly in the draft Supplemental EIS. Project route crosses the central flyway whooping crane migration corridor in South Dakota and ES.5.3.1 American Burying Beetle Nebraska, and the Rainwater Basin in south central Of the 13 federally protected or candidate species, the Nebraska provides whooping crane migration habitat. American burying beetle (Nicrophorus americanus) With avoidance, minimization, and conservation was the only species determined to be potentially measures, such as following the Whooping Crane adversely affected by the proposed Project. Survey Protocol previously developed by the USFWS and Nebraska Game and Parks Commission, the proposed Project is unlikely to adversely affect whooping cranes, based on the low likelihood of the species occurring near the proposed Project route during construction and operations activities and implementation of USFWS recommended mitigation measures. ES.5.3.3 Greater Sage-Grouse The greater sage-grouse (Centrocerus urophasianus) is a federal candidate species under the ESA, a Bureau of Land Management sensitive species, and a species of conservation concern in Montana and Figure ES-8: American Burying Beetle South Dakota. Approximately 190 miles of the Approximately 50 miles of the proposed Project proposed Project route would cross areas with greater Route in Nebraska would affect American burying sage-grouse habitat in Montana, of which 94 miles beetle habitat; approximately 43 miles in South are classified as moderate to high-quality habitat for Dakota would affect suitable habitat for the species. greater sage-grouse. Consultation between the Department and USFWS resulted in development of conservation measures and compensatory mitigation, such as trapping and relocating beetles, special lighting restrictions (the beetles are attracted to light), and establishment of a habitat conservation trust. Even with these measures, the proposed Project could affect, and would be likely to adversely affect the American burying beetle, resulting in incidental takes (unintended death of individual beetles) during construction or operations. Keystone continues to work with USFWS to refine conservation measures for minimizing incidental take and to quantify estimated incidental take and development of compensatory mitigation through the formal Section 7 ESA consultation process for the American burying beetle. Figure ES-9: Greater Sage-Grouse Executive Summary ES-12 March 2013
  • 15. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS The most substantial potential effects of the proposed Keystone would implement conservation measures Project on the greater sage grouse would be included in the BA (Appendix H) and would avoid disturbance of habitat, including sagebrush, which known western prairie fringed orchid populations; can take up to 20 years to regenerate to therefore, the proposed Project would not be likely to pre-construction cover levels, and disturbance of adversely affect the western prairie fringed orchid. mating and breeding behavior. The BA (Appendix H) and greater sage-grouse ES.5.3.5 Small White Lady’s Slipper The small white lady’s slipper (Cypripedium mitigation plans for Montana and South Dakota candidum), a type of perennial orchid, is a threatened describe conservation measures that Keystone would species under Nebraska state law. This species may implement to address potential impacts. After potentially occur within suitable habitat along the implementation of these measures, the proposed proposed Project route in Nebraska. If this plant were Project would not likely affect greater sage-grouse to be observed within the proposed Project route in mating behavior, and would likely result in a low Nebraska, appropriate mitigation measures would be impact on nesting greater sage-grouse. Construction developed and implemented in consultation with state would likely result in an incremental loss of agencies. sagebrush habitat. ES.5.3.4 Western Prairie Fringed Orchid ES.5.4 Socioeconomics and Environmental The western prairie fringed orchid (Platanthera Justice leucophaea) is federally listed as threatened, state- The draft Supplemental EIS updates the economic listed as threatened in Nebraska, and is a species of data contained in the Final EIS and re-evaluates the conservation concern in South Dakota. The proposed economic impacts of the proposed Project. In Project would pass near known populations of particular, and in response to public comments, the western prairie fringed orchid in Nebraska, and draft Supplemental EIS addresses local economic through land where the orchid may potentially occur impacts and Environmental Justice. in South Dakota. Clearing and grading of land associated with construction of the proposed Project ES.5.4.1 Tribal Consultation (including pipeline and ancillary facilities) may Government-to-government consultation is underway potentially disturb western prairie fringed orchids, for the current Supplemental EIS process for the and may introduce or expand invasive species that proposed Project, and tribal meetings were held in already contribute to the orchid’s decline. October 2012 in Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska. As the lead federal agency for the proposed Project, the Department is continuing throughout the Supplemental EIS process to engage in consultation on the Supplemental EIS, the proposed Project generally, and on cultural resources consistent with Section 106 of the National Historic Preservation Act of 1986 with identified consulting parties, including federal agencies, state agencies, State Historic Preservation Offices, the Advisory Council on Historic Preservation, and interested federally recognized Native American tribes in the vicinity of the proposed Project. ES.5.4.2 Socioeconomics Construction Construction of the proposed Project would generate temporary, positive socioeconomic impacts as a result of local employment, taxes, spending by construction workers, and spending on construction goods and services. Including direct, indirect, and Figure ES-10: Western Prairie Fringed Orchid induced effects, the proposed Project would potentially support approximately 42,100 average Executive Summary ES-13 March 2013
  • 16. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS annual jobs across the United States over a 1- to 2- low-income populations, specifically as part of a year construction period (of which, approximately NEPA process. Within the socioeconomic analysis 3,900 would be directly employed in construction area, 16 block groups contain minority populations activities). This employment would potentially that were meaningfully greater than the surrounding translate to approximately $2.05 billion in earnings. state or county (reference areas), and five census Direct expenditures such as construction and tracts had larger low-income populations than their materials costs (including construction camps) would respective reference areas. Four of these areas total approximately $3.3 billion. Short-term revenues contained both types of “meaningfully greater” from sources such as sales and use taxes would total populations. approximately $65 million in states that levy such a Impacts to minority and low-income populations tax. Yields from fuel and other taxes could not be during construction may include exposure to calculated, but would provide some additional construction dust and noise, disruption to traffic economic benefit to host counties and states. patterns, and increased competition for medical or The proposed Project area does not have sufficient health services in underserved populations. Such temporary housing for the anticipated construction impacts would generally be small and short-term. workforce. Keystone proposes to meet the housing Typical operation of the proposed Project is unlikely need through a combination of local housing and to disproportionately adversely impact the eight construction camps. Property taxes on these Environmental Justice populations discussed in this camps would potentially generate the equivalent of section. Because the risk of a potential release is one full year of property tax revenue for seven host roughly equal at all points along the pipeline, the counties, totaling approximately $2 million. risks associated with such releases would not be Other construction-phase socioeconomic impacts disproportionately borne by minority or low-income would include minor increases in demand for utilities populations. and public services (such as police, fire, and emergency medical services), and temporary traffic ES.5.5 Greenhouse Gas Emissions and delays at public road crossings. The construction Climate Change camps would provide utilities and other services for The draft Supplemental EIS evaluates the GHG workers, reducing demands on existing communities. emissions associated with the proposed Project from Operations Phase several distinct perspectives. The construction and operation of the proposed Project and its connected Generally, the largest economic impacts of pipelines actions (the pipeline, pump stations, electrical occur during construction rather than operations. transmission lines, etc.) would generate GHG Once in place, the labor requirements for pipeline emissions. In addition, concerns have been raised that operations are relatively minor. Operation of the extracting the crude oil that would be transported by proposed Project would generate 35 permanent and the proposed Project produces more GHG emissions 15 temporary jobs, primarily for routine inspections, compared to other types of crude oil. Finally, climate maintenance, and repairs. Based on this estimate, change considerations—which are influenced by routine operation of the proposed Pipeline would GHG emissions—could affect the construction and have negligible socioeconomic impacts. operation of the proposed Project. GHG and climate change issues were the subject of many comments ES.5.4.3 Environmental Justice received during the public scoping process for the As defined by the U.S. Environmental Protection proposed Project. Agency, “Environmental Justice” refers to the “fair treatment and meaningful involvement of all people ES.5.5.1 Greenhouse Gas Emissions regardless of race, color, national origin, or income Construction and operation of the proposed Project with respect to the development, implementation, and would generate GHG emissions from several sources enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and or activities, as described below. policies.” Executive Order 12898 further directs federal agencies to identify and address, as appropriate, disproportionately high and adverse health or environmental effects of their programs, policies, and activities on minority populations and Executive Summary ES-14 March 2013
  • 17. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Construction-Phase Sources Project is unlikely to have a substantial impact on the rate of development in the oil sands, or on the amount • Clearing of land in the proposed ROW via open of heavy crude oil refined in the Gulf Coast area. burning; As discussed in the market analysis, if the proposed • Electricity usage and emergency generators at Project were denied but other proposed new and construction camps; and expanded pipelines go forward, production could • Construction vehicles, worker transports, and decrease by approximately 0.4 to 0.6 percent of total other mobile sources. WCSB production by 2030. If all pipeline capacity were restricted, oil sands production could decrease Operations-Phase Sources by approximately 2 to 4 percent by 2030. • Fugitive methane emissions at connections; The incremental indirect life-cycle emissions • Maintenance vehicles (two or more times per associated with those decreases in oil sands year); production are estimated to be in the range of 0.07 to 0.83 million metric tons CO2 equivalent (MMTCO2e) • Aircraft used for aerial inspection (biweekly); annually if the proposed Project were not built, and in and the range of 0.35 to 5.3 MMTCO2e annually if all • Electrical generation for pump station power. pipeline projects were denied. During the construction period, GHG emissions from As WCSB and Bakken crudes replace crudes from these sources and activities would be approximately other sources—independent of whether the proposed 240,423 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents Project exists—the life-cycle GHG emissions (CO2e). Emissions during operation of the proposed associated with transportation fuels produced in U.S. Project would be approximately 3.19 million metric refineries would likely increase. The GHG intensity tons of CO2e per year, almost entirely due to of reference crudes may also increase in the future as electrical generation needed to power the proposed more of the world crude supply requires extraction by Project’s pump stations. increasingly energy-intensive techniques, such as The annual CO2e emissions from the proposed those used to extract oil-sands crude, although Project is equivalent to CO2e emissions from regulatory pressures and technological advances approximately 626,000 passenger vehicles operating could counter this trend. for one year or 398,000 homes using electricity for one year. ES.5.5.3 Climate Change Effects on the Project ES.5.5.2 Life Cycle Analysis Changes in climate have been observed both globally Combustion of fossil fuels, including petroleum- and within the proposed Project study area over the based products such as crude oil, is a major source of past century. These changes include direct effects, global GHG emissions, which contribute to human- such as increases and decreases in temperature and induced climate change. WCSB crudes are more precipitation, and indirect effects, such as increases in GHG-intensive than the other heavy crudes they freeze-thaw cycles, increased occurrences of flooding would replace or displace in U.S. refineries, and emit and drought, and wind erosion of soil, and resultant an estimated 17 percent more GHGs on a life-cycle changes to the natural environment, such as basis than the average barrel of crude oil refined in vegetation changes. the United States in 2005. If the proposed Project As part of the preparation of this draft Supplemental were to induce growth in the rate of extraction in the EIS, an analysis was performed to evaluate the oil sands, then it could cause GHG emissions greater potential impacts of climate change on the proposed than just its direct emissions. Project construction and operations. Using future Based on information and analysis about the North climate scenarios developed by the American crude transport infrastructure (particularly Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the proven ability of rail to transport substantial peer-reviewed downscaled models, the draft quantities of crude oil profitably under current market Supplemental EIS evaluates the range of impacts that conditions, and to add capacity relatively rapidly) and climate change could have on the proposed Project. the global crude oil market, the draft Supplemental EIS concludes that approval or denial of the proposed Executive Summary ES-15 March 2013
  • 18. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Assuming construction of the proposed Project leak that escapes any containment system and enters begins as planned in 2015, climate conditions during the environment. This section describes the release the 1- to 2-year construction period would not differ and spill analyses included in the draft Supplemental substantially from current conditions. During the EIS, including potential impacts on waterbodies and operations period, climate change projections suggest mitigation measures, as identified in public scoping the following changes: comments. • Warmer winter temperatures; ES.5.6.1 Spill Scenarios • A shorter cool season; The Potential Releases section of the draft Supplemental EIS addresses the risks and potential • A longer duration of frost-free periods; impacts of crude oil releases and spills during • More freeze-thaw cycles per year (which could construction and operation of the proposed Project. lead to an increased number of episodes of soil This risk assessment addresses both the potential contraction and expansion); frequency of operational pipeline releases and the • Warmer summer temperatures; potential crude oil spill volumes associated with the releases, using three hypothetical spill volumes to • Increased number of hot days and consecutive represent the range of reported spills in the Pipeline hot days; and and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration • Longer summers (which could lead to impacts (PHMSA) database. These spill volumes and the associated with heat stress and wildfire risks). probabilities of such volumes are shown in Table The pipeline would be buried deep enough to avoid ES-2. Screening-level (i.e., general) models were surface impacts of climate changes (freeze-thaw used to estimate the distance oil could move over cycles, fires, and temperature extremes). land or migrate in groundwater. Table ES-3 summarizes hazardous liquid pipeline ES.5.6 Potential Releases incidents reported to PHMSA from January 2002 The terms “release,” “leak,” and “spill” are used through July 2012 and shows the breakdown of throughout this section. These are distinct terms. A incidents by pipeline component. Figure ES-11 release is a loss of integrity of a pipeline (including summarizes the spill scenarios reported to PHMSA, the mainline and other components); a leak is a by pipeline elements. release over time; and a spill is the liquid volume of a Table ES-2: Spill Scenarios Evaluated in Draft Supplemental EIS Spill Volume Scenario Frequencya Small: Less than 50 barrels (bbl) (2,100 gallons) 79% Medium: 50–1,000 bbl (2,100–42,000 gallons) 17% Large: 1,000–20,000 bbl (42,000–840,000 gallons) 4% a Indicates the share of all releases reported in the PHMSA database that fit each spill volume scenario. Table ES-3: Summary of PHMSA Database Incidents (January 2002 to July 2012) Incident Category Incidents Incident Sub-Category Incidents Crude oil mainline pipe incidents 321 Crude oil pipeline 1,692 Crude oil pipeline, equipment incidents (not mainline pipe) 1,027 Crude oil pipeline system, unspecified elements 344 16-inch or greater diameter 71 Crude oil mainline 8-inch or 15-inch diameter 154 321 pipe Less than 8-inch diameter 52 Diameter not provided 44 Crude oil pipeline, Tanks 93 equipment (not 1,027 Valves 25 mainline pipe) Other discrete elements (pumps, fittings, etc.) 909 Executive Summary ES-16 March 2013
  • 19. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS Spill Scenarios Pipeline, All Elements 79% 17% 4% Mainline Pipe 56% 35% 9% Mainline Pipe, Diameter 16"+ 38% 36% 26% Pipeline System, Tanks 51% 30% 17% Pipeline System, Mainline Valves 89% 11% Pipeline System, Other Discrete Elements 81% 16% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 – 50 bbl 50 – 1,000 bbl 1,000 – 20,000 bbl Source: PHMSA Hazardous Liquid Pipeline Incident Data 2002–2012, and PHMSA Liquid Annual Pipeline Data. 2004–2011 Figure ES-11: Spill Volume Distribution by Pipeline Component tend to pool in low areas and potentially infiltrate ES.5.6.2 Oil Movement back into the soil and to groundwater depending on Small and Medium Spills the depth to groundwater. Potential behavior in shallow groundwater is the same as small spills that The potential impacts from small leaks of oil would reach groundwater; the spill could migrate away from typically be confined to soil immediately surrounding the release site. Because of the increased volume of the leak, and would have little effect on nearby oil released from the pipeline when compared to a natural resources. These types of spills would small release, it is also possible that oil could pool on generally be detected by maintenance or operations groundwater. personnel and addressed through repair of the leak and removal and remediation of impacted soil. A Large Spills slow subsurface leak, characterized as a slow drip With a large spill, the majority of the spill volume (e.g., gallons per year as opposed to gallons per would migrate away from the release site. The minute), would infiltrate into soil and could potential impacts from a large spill would be similar potentially reach a groundwater resource. If the spill to the impacts from the medium-sized spill, but on a rate is faster than the soil can absorb, the oil may much larger scale. Once the spill reaches the surface, surface and potentially flow away from the release the oil would flow following topographic gradient or site, affecting nearby vegetation or other resources. lows (e.g., gullies, roadside drainage ditches, With medium spills, a release can occur as a culverts, and storm sewers) and eventually to surface subsurface or surface event depending upon the water features. If the release enters flowing water or cause. Similar to a small spill, a slow subsurface other surface water feature, the extent of the release release could potentially reach a groundwater could become very large, potentially affecting soil resource, and if the rate of the spill is faster than the and vegetation along miles of river and shoreline. soil can absorb, the oil may surface. Once the Sinking oil can be deposited in river or stream migrating oil leaves the release site, impacts to soil, bottoms and become a continual source of oil as vegetation, and surface water along the flow path changing water flows release the deposited oil. might occur. Depending on how quickly it is remediated, some of this volume of material might Executive Summary ES-17 March 2013
  • 20. Keystone XL Project Executive Summary—Draft Supplemental EIS ES.5.6.3 Mitigation included an Environmental Screening Report that Keystone has agreed to incorporate 57 Special was prepared to meet the requirements of Canadian Conditions developed by PHMSA into the proposed Environmental Assessment Act for the Canadian Project and in its manual for operations, maintenance, portion of the proposed Project. and emergencies. The majority of the Special The Environmental Screening Report concluded that, Conditions relate to reduction in the likelihood of a with incorporation of Keystone’s proposed measures release occurring. Some provide mitigation that to avoid or minimize impacts and with Keystone’s reduces the consequences and impact of a spill, acceptance of the NEB’s regulatory requirements and should such an event occur. Examples of the types of recommended conditions, implementation of the Special Conditions that PHMSA developed to reduce proposed Project in Canada would not likely result in the risk of a release include, among others, measures significant adverse environmental effects. For the that would better prevent corrosion, stress cracking, Canadian portion of the pipeline, construction began equipment malfunctions, third-party damage, and on the Hardisty B Terminal in September 2010, and operator error. HDD crossings of the Red Deer and South Saskatchewan rivers were completed in early 2012. ES.5.7 Cumulative Effects The cumulative effects analysis evaluates the way Analysis and mitigation of environmental impacts in that the proposed Project’s impacts interact with the Canada are ongoing by Canadian officials. For impact of other past, present, and reasonably example, on September 1, 2012, the Government of foreseeable future actions or projects. The goal of the Alberta’s development plan for the Lower cumulative impacts analysis is to identify situations Athabascan oil sands region became effective. The where sets of comparatively small individual impacts, plan would require cancellation of about ten oil sands taken together, constitute a larger collective impact. leases, set aside nearly 20,000 square kilometers (7,700 square miles) for conservation, and set new For the proposed Project, the draft Supplemental EIS environmental standards for the region in an effort to identifies actions or projects with the potential for protect sensitive habitat, wildlife, and forest land. cumulative impacts. The cumulative effects analysis provides detailed evaluation of the effects of these projects when combined with the proposed Project, ES.6 ALTERNATIVES The draft Supplemental EIS considers three broad including impacts on resources within the United categories of alternatives to the proposed Project, States, lifecycle GHG emissions of WCSB activities, consistent with NEPA requirements: and impacts on resources in Canada. • No Action Alternative—which addresses ES.5.8 Environmental Impacts in Canada potential market responses that could result if the In addition to the environmental analysis of the Presidential Permit is denied or the proposed proposed Project in the United States, the Department Project is not otherwise implemented; monitored and obtained information from the • Major Route Alternatives—which includes other environmental analysis of the Canadian portion of the potential pipeline routes for transporting WCSB Project. The Canadian government conducted an and Bakken crude oil to Steele City, Nebraska; environmental review of the portion of the proposed and Project in Canada. The Department did not conduct an assessment of the potential impacts of the • Other Alternatives—which include minor route Canadian portion of the proposed Project. However, variations, alternative pipeline designs, and the Department has included information from the alternative sites for aboveground facilities. Canadian government’s assessment in this draft Supplemental EIS. ES.6.1 Scenario Screening Several alternatives exist for the transport of WCSB The Canadian environmental analysis process began and Bakken crude oil to Gulf Coast refineries, in July 2008 and involved an environmental including many that were not carried forward for assessment process pursuant to the Canadian detailed analysis. The draft Supplemental EIS Environmental Assessment Act. On March 11, 2010, provides a more detailed description of the categories the Canadian National Energy Board (NEB) issued of alternatives, the alternative screening process, and its Reasons for Decision granting Keystone’s the detailed alternatives identified for evaluation in application. The NEB’s Reasons for Decision the draft Supplemental EIS. Executive Summary ES-18 March 2013