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Innovating Past Global Crisis
Ramez Naam @ramez
RAMEZ NAAM
mez@morethanhuman.org @ramez
Buy at Amazon
NASA
It was the best of times,
It was the worst of times
BEST OF TIMES
INFANT MORTALITY
Egypt 1973: 15%
Egypt 1940s: 25%
US 1900: 25%
Egypt Today: 2%
US Today: 0.7%
Lamia Hassan
LONGER LIVES
Rich Nations
World
Average Years of Life
Wikimedia Commons
Percent of World Living on $1 / Day
PovertyImages
Addicted to Growth
Aivaris Zukis
WORST OF TIMES
Dying Forests
Laitche
Geraldine Garcon Juncas
Dhy
Sam Beebe
NASA
NASA
Kansas University
Bruno de Giusti
Temperature Change since 1880 (degrees F)
Linfield College
GlobalWarmingArt.com
GlobalWarmingArt.com
GlobalWarmingArt.com
European PressPhoto Agency
Xinhua
UPI
Andrey Smirnov
Larry W. Smith
Dictionnaire-Environnement
Footprint
NASA
Addicted to Growth
Aivaris Zukis
Footprint 2
NASA
LONG HISTORY
OF
OVERCOMING LIMITS
Wayne Osborn
Wikimedia Commons
Star of the Republic Museum
Historical Society
of Canada
PHYSICAL RESOURCES ARE VAST
10,000 x
10 Seconds of Sunlight
= 1 Day of Humanity’s Energy Use
1 Hour of Sunlight
= 1 Year of Humanity’s Energy Use
0.3% of Earth’s Land Area Could
Power Humanity in 2030.
Fresh Water
Not Resource Limits
Innovation Limits
Innovations Multiply Resource Access
Moore’s Law for Solar PV
AMD
Cost of Solar Power
CROSSOVER: TODAY - 2025
Michael Dawes
Storage
Javier Gil
Storage
Bensonuka
IF WE CAN CRACK ENERGY…
DESALINATION ENERGY
Atlaslin
Bern@tUSDA
Bern@tUSDA
Innovations Reduce Resource Use
Multiplier / Reducer: Agriculture
LESS ENERGY PER CALORIE GROWN
Boeing
Not Just Land: Less Oil Use
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1972 2002 2011 2030 (projected)
BarrelsofOilPerPersonPerYear
Barrels of ...
iPhone vs. ENIAC
Michael
O’Donnell
Knowledge is a Replicator
PROBLEM SOLVED?
NO: A RACE
CONSUMPTION
VS
INNOVATION
WINNING THE RACE
R&D
EDUCATION
POVERTY REDUCTION
TECHNOLOGY ACCEPTANCE
FIX THE MARKET
FIX MARKET FAILURES
Terry Luns
Marvin Greene
Cleveland State University
Cleveland State University
Commons
Brent Durken
Decoupled Growth From Pollution
Rules Not Resources
NASA
NASA
CFC Release (thousands of tons)
Bob Baer
THINGS THE MARKET
CAN MANAGE
(A WIDER VARIETY
THAN TODAY)
EXTERNALITY
THINGS WE CARE ABOUT
THINGS THE MARKET
CAN MANAGE
(T...
(Improving the Market Algorithm)
Tax the Bad, Not the Good
(Improve the Tax Algorithm)
Income Tax Carbon Tax
David Suzuki
Pollution
NOT
an inevitable outcome of
Growth
Cleveland State University
Brent Durken
NASA
NASA
Not Limits
Policy
Design of our Economy
Pace of Innovation
What Can We Do?
1. Communicate
2. Participate
3. Innovate
4. Keep Hope
Not Exhausted, Multiplies Other
Resources
RAMEZ NAAM
mez@morethanhuman.org @ramez
Buy at Amazon
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
Innovating Past Global Crisis
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Innovating Past Global Crisis

Slides from Ramez Naam's Keynote at the World Future Society 2013 conference in Chicago: Innovating Past Global Crisis. The world is up against the largest natural resource challenges it has ever faced. At the same time, we must make room to life billions out of poverty. Between this rock and hard place, there is only one way out - innovation. We must innovate in science and technology. AND we must innovate in the market systems that have thus far failed to recognize the full value of the natural resources we depend on.

Called the best talk at World Future Society, this presentation doesn't dodge the hard reality of the challenges facing us, but leaves you with a sense of hope and motivation about our ability to tackle them.

This talk is based on the book, The Infinite Resource: The Power of Ideas on a Finite Planet: http://amzn.to/15bToAJ

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Innovating Past Global Crisis

  1. Innovating Past Global Crisis Ramez Naam @ramez
  2. RAMEZ NAAM mez@morethanhuman.org @ramez Buy at Amazon
  3. NASA It was the best of times, It was the worst of times
  4. BEST OF TIMES
  5. INFANT MORTALITY Egypt 1973: 15% Egypt 1940s: 25% US 1900: 25% Egypt Today: 2% US Today: 0.7% Lamia Hassan
  6. LONGER LIVES Rich Nations World Average Years of Life Wikimedia Commons
  7. Percent of World Living on $1 / Day PovertyImages
  8. Addicted to Growth Aivaris Zukis
  9. WORST OF TIMES
  10. Dying Forests Laitche
  11. Geraldine Garcon Juncas
  12. Dhy
  13. Sam Beebe
  14. NASA
  15. NASA
  16. Kansas University
  17. Bruno de Giusti
  18. Temperature Change since 1880 (degrees F) Linfield College
  19. GlobalWarmingArt.com
  20. GlobalWarmingArt.com
  21. GlobalWarmingArt.com
  22. European PressPhoto Agency
  23. Xinhua
  24. UPI
  25. Andrey Smirnov
  26. Larry W. Smith
  27. Dictionnaire-Environnement
  28. Footprint NASA
  29. Addicted to Growth Aivaris Zukis
  30. Footprint 2 NASA
  31. LONG HISTORY OF OVERCOMING LIMITS
  32. Wayne Osborn
  33. Wikimedia Commons
  34. Star of the Republic Museum
  35. Historical Society of Canada
  36. PHYSICAL RESOURCES ARE VAST
  37. 10,000 x
  38. 10 Seconds of Sunlight
  39. = 1 Day of Humanity’s Energy Use
  40. 1 Hour of Sunlight
  41. = 1 Year of Humanity’s Energy Use
  42. 0.3% of Earth’s Land Area Could Power Humanity in 2030.
  43. Fresh Water
  44. Not Resource Limits Innovation Limits
  45. Innovations Multiply Resource Access
  46. Moore’s Law for Solar PV AMD
  47. Cost of Solar Power CROSSOVER: TODAY - 2025 Michael Dawes
  48. Storage Javier Gil
  49. Storage Bensonuka
  50. IF WE CAN CRACK ENERGY…
  51. DESALINATION ENERGY Atlaslin
  52. Bern@tUSDA
  53. Bern@tUSDA
  54. Innovations Reduce Resource Use
  55. Multiplier / Reducer: Agriculture
  56. LESS ENERGY PER CALORIE GROWN
  57. Boeing
  58. Not Just Land: Less Oil Use 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1972 2002 2011 2030 (projected) BarrelsofOilPerPersonPerYear Barrels of Oil Per Person Per Year Colfert
  59. iPhone vs. ENIAC Michael O’Donnell
  60. Knowledge is a Replicator
  61. PROBLEM SOLVED?
  62. NO: A RACE
  63. CONSUMPTION VS INNOVATION
  64. WINNING THE RACE
  65. R&D
  66. EDUCATION
  67. POVERTY REDUCTION
  68. TECHNOLOGY ACCEPTANCE
  69. FIX THE MARKET
  70. FIX MARKET FAILURES
  71. Terry Luns
  72. Marvin Greene
  73. Cleveland State University
  74. Cleveland State University
  75. Commons
  76. Brent Durken
  77. Decoupled Growth From Pollution
  78. Rules Not Resources
  79. NASA
  80. NASA CFC Release (thousands of tons)
  81. Bob Baer
  82. THINGS THE MARKET CAN MANAGE (A WIDER VARIETY THAN TODAY) EXTERNALITY THINGS WE CARE ABOUT THINGS THE MARKET CAN MANAGE (THINGS WITH PRICES, OWNERS, BUYERS, S ELLERS)
  83. (Improving the Market Algorithm)
  84. Tax the Bad, Not the Good (Improve the Tax Algorithm)
  85. Income Tax Carbon Tax
  86. David Suzuki
  87. Pollution NOT an inevitable outcome of Growth
  88. Cleveland State University
  89. Brent Durken
  90. NASA
  91. NASA
  92. Not Limits Policy Design of our Economy Pace of Innovation
  93. What Can We Do?
  94. 1. Communicate 2. Participate 3. Innovate 4. Keep Hope
  95. Not Exhausted, Multiplies Other Resources
  96. RAMEZ NAAM mez@morethanhuman.org @ramez Buy at Amazon

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