Global Perspectives on Energy Security, Dr. Marianne Osterkorn, REEEP

1. Global Perspectives on Energy Security
Rüschlikon, 9 March 2007
The Renewable Energy and Energy
Efficiency Partnership (REEEP)
Marianne Osterkorn
International Director REEEP

2. REEEP - the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
Partnership is an international NGO registered in Austria
1. REEEP currently comprises more than 200 partners
representing 35 governments, businesses and NGOs
committed to accelerating the uptake of renewable energy
and energy efficiency.
2. REEEP is currently funded by the EU and 11 governments:
Austria, Australia, Canada, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the
Netherlands, Norway, Spain, US, and UK, the major
donor of REEEP

3. REEEP’s vision is to make energy systems sustainable
1. REEEP aims to reduce market barriers and financial obstacles
for renewables and energy efficiency and so facilitate technology
transfer
2. REEEP believes in action on the ground via project activities
that are targeted on policy improvements and innovative
finance mechanisms
3. REEEP focuses on emerging markets and developing countries
and contributes to improving access to reliable energy for the
poor

4. REEEP delivers value via Regional Secretariats
REEEP Regional Office
REEEP International Russia
REEEP Regional Office Secretariat
North America
REEEP Regional Office
Central Europe
REEEP Regional Office REEEP Regional Office
Latin America &
East Asia
Caribbean
REEEP Local Focal Point
MEDREP
REEEP Regional Office
South Asia
REEEP Regional Office
South East Asia & Pacific
REEEP Regional Office
Africa

5. The 50 REEEP projects encourage local initiatives in
40 countries
5
1
1 2
1 3 7
1
1 1
1
1
8 1 2
1
1 6
2
1
32 1 1
1 2
11
Currently 50 projects 1
1
1
Locations – 40 countries 3
7
122
• Some projects – multiple countries
1
1
6
1

6. Up to 35% of energy demand in 2030 could be absorbed
through energy efficiency measures
Global primary energy demand now and in 2030 (in Mtoe p.a.) and possible
‘efficiency savings’ according to the IEA (left) and EREC/Greenpeace (right)
20000 20000
17095
18000 18000
15347
1690
16000 16000
-10%
14000 14000
5397 - 35%
Mtoe p.a.
12000 12000
Mtoe
10000 10000
8000 8000
15405
6000 6000
11204 10440 9949
4000 4000
2000 2000
0 0
2004 2030 2003 2030
consumption efficiency savings
consumption efficiency savings
The savings of 1,690 Mtoe according to the IEA scenario would be equal to the
total current energy demand of China
Sources: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006; Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006

7. Global delivered energy consumption by end-use sector according
to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), 2003-2030
Source: Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006

8. In the EU25, energy consumption between 1990 and 2004
rose most in the transport and households sector
Other Sectors
3%
Final energy consumption of EU-25 1990/2004
in toe (Total 2004: 1.2 bn toe) Households/Services
Services
28%
1400
in 2004
Thousands
(Total: 472 mio toe)
1200
472
1000
409 Households
Agriculture
800 63%
6%
600 350
272
400 Rail transport
Air transport
2%
333 319 14%
200
94 101
0
1990 2004
Transport in 2004
Non-energy consumption Industry Transport Households/Services
(Total: 350 mio toe)
40% of energy in Europe is used in buildings.
Bringing existing buildings up to current new
build standards could save 460 mio t of CO2 p.a..,
Road transport Sources: REEEP, EURIMA
i.e. more than Europe’s total Kyoto commitment 84% Eurostat yearbook 2006-07

9. More than 50% of CO2 emissions can be avoided in 2030
Global CO2 emissions now and in 2030 (in mio t p.a.) and possible ‘efficiency
savings’ according to the IEA (left) and EREC/Greenpeace (right)
45000 45000
40420
40000 40000
6340 34545
-16%
35000 35000
mio t Co2 p.a.
mio t Co2 p.a.
30000 30000
-54%
18628
25000 25000
20000 20000
34080
15000 15000
26079
23124
10000 10000
15917
5000 5000
0 0
2004 2030 2003 2030
CO2 emissions efficiency savings
The savings of 6,340 mio t according to the IEA scenario would be equal to the
total current CO2 emissions of the United States and Canada combined
Sources: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006; Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006

10. Renewables and improved end-use efficiency can
account for 90% of avoided CO2 emissions until 2030
Global achievable savings in CO2 emissions until 2030 according to the IEA (in Gt)
The bulk of global energy and emissions savings would come from energy
efficiency improvements and an increased use of renewables in the US, the US
but also in China. Source: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006

11. REEEP International Secretariat
Vienna International Centre
Vienna, Austria
info@reeep.org
+43 1 26026 3425
www.reeep.org
www.reegle.info

12. A real impact can only be achieved by combining the
increased use of RES with accompanying EE measures
• EU RES directive defines consumption targets, i.e. Member
States may reach their goals also via EE measures
• According to the latest EC report on progress in renewable
electricity, Sweden and Poland, two countries with defined
consumption targets, stand quot;a good chance of reaching the
2010 targetquot;
• In Italy, small PV installations are eligible for quot;White Certificatesquot;
(tradable certificates for energy savings). Extraordinary large
growth of electricity consumption currently offset benefits
• In Australia, solar water heaters are given green certificates based
on the electricity consumption they displace Sources: European Commission, REEEP

13. There is a huge potential for RES in developing and
transition countries - but still a long way to go
Ratio of usage and potential of hydropower resources by continent
Africa, Asia and South America still have a high potential for the use of hydropower
Source: World Energy Council

14. There is a huge potential for RES in developing and
transition Countries - but still a long way to go
Global distribution of
decentralised PV potential
based on the predicted
status in 2050
Global distribution of onshore
and offshore wind potential
based on predicted energy
conversion efficiency in 2050
Source: WBGU

15. Source: IEA

16. development of primary energy
projection of global final energy demand
consumption under the
by sector in the energy [r]evolution scenarios
energy [r]evolution scenario
Source: EREC/Greenpeace: energy [r]evolution, January 2007