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Review of CAADP Progress
                                Babatunde Omilola
Coordinator, Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (ReSAKSS)
                                         IFPRI


                     Partnership to Cut Hunger and Poverty in Africa
            SPECIAL DISCUSSION: Next Steps for the US Food Security Initiative
                    Association of Public and Land-Grant Universities
                                    December 3, 2009
Outline
• What is CAADP?
  – Principles
  – Processes and implementation
• Where is CAADP now?
  – Agricultural growth
  – Agricultural Investments (Allocations to agriculture)
• Impacts
  – Poverty and hunger (MDG1)
• Challenges
What is CAADP?
• The Comprehensive Africa Agriculture
  Development Programme (CAADP) is the
  African Union (AU)/New Partnership for
  Africa’s Development (NEPAD) vision and
  strategy for the development of African
  agriculture.
• CAADP puts agriculture at top of priorities of
  African countries
• CAADP is African-owned and African-led
CAADP Principles
• Employ agriculture-led growth to achieve MDG1 of
  halving poverty and hunger by 2015
• Pursuit of 6% average annual sector growth at national
  level
• Allocation of 10% of national budgets to agriculture
  sector
• Exploitation of regional complementarities and
  cooperation to boost growth
• Policy efficiency, dialogue, review and accountability
  (evidence-based policymaking)
• Partnerships and alliances to include farmers,
  agribusiness, civil society
CAADP Process
• The principles are achieved through:
    – the strategic functions of CAADP,
    – the guidance and involvement of the Regional Economic Communities
      (RECs), and
    – the national roundtable process
• These activities surround four key pillars, led by Africa-based technical
  institutions:
    – Pillar 1: extending the area under sustainable land management
      (University of Zambia)
    – Pillar 2: Improving rural infrastructure and trade-related capacities for
      market access (Conference of Ministers of Agriculture of West and Central
      Africa (CMA/AOC))
    – Pillar 3: Increasing food supply and reducing hunger (University of
      KwaZulu-Natal)
    – Pillar 4: Agricultural research, technology dissemination and adoption
      (Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA))
Who Implements the CAADP process?
• African Union Commission (AUC) and New
  Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD)
• Key Regional Economic Communities (RECs)
  establish their own priorities based on the
  continent-wide Pillars
   – Economic Community of West African States
     (ECOWAS)
   – Southern African Development Community (SADC)
   – Common Market of Eastern and Southern Africa
     (COMESA)
• Countries in Africa
The National CAADP Roundtable Process & Country Status

 1. Government                                    2. REC and                         3. Country Steering
 appoints Focal                               Government launch                         and Technical
     Point(s)                                      process                               Committee
               Libya, Eritrea                             Zimbabwe, Egypt,
                                                           Mauritius, DRC




  6. Drafting of                                5. Stocktaking –
                                                                                     4. Cabinet Memo
 Country CAADP                                    Growth and
                                                                                     and Endorsement
    Compact                                   Investment Analysis
               Burkina Faso, Guinea-
               Bissau, Guinea, Kenya,                           Cape Verde, C.                   Comoros,
                  Malawi, Uganda,                              d’Ivoire, Djibouti,            Madagascar, Sudan
                       Zambia                                      Seychelles,
                                                                   Swaziland




                                                8. Donor and                             9. Regular
   7. Roundtable
                                                 Government                           Refinement and
Signing of Compact
                  Benin, Burundi, Ethiopia,
                                               Implementation                           Adjustment
                  Gambia, Ghana, Liberia,
      13            Mali, Niger, Nigeria,
   countries      Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra
                        Leone, Togo
What is the role of ReSAKSS in CAADP
                  implementation?

                             1                                               2
                                                                In order to implement goals of
               CAADP Framework created by AU,                   CAADP framework,
               targets (6% & 10%) agreed upon                   decisionmakers need evidence-
               by all African leaders.                          based knowledge on investments,
                                                                options, etc.




               6
Country CAADP compacts are signed
binding stakeholders to goals set
forth at Roundtables.




                                                                              3
ReSAKSS manages this                                            ReSAKSS, though its network of
knowledge so that                                               partners across the continent,
decisionmakers and                                              takes stock and starts analysis of
stakeholders can access and                                     growth options.



              5
utilize it. Debate and dialogue
take place in countries as they



                                                               4
consider options for                   The establishment of Country SAKSS facilitates this
implementing CAADP                     by providing country-specific information and
framework. (lead-up to                 analysis. These also serve as in-country policy and
Roundtables)                           knowledge hubs.
Tracking Progress of CAADP: ReSAKSS Website
              www.resakss.org
Users can customize
                                    the map and charts
 The ReSAKSS website allows
                                   based on the specific
 users to easily track progress
                                   information they are
            against
                                    looking for, whether
 the CAADP and MDG targets
                                      that be regional
while also accessing a wealth of
                                       information or
    knowledge and data on
                                      country-specific
  agricultural development in
                                         information
             Africa
Where are we now?
• 6 years after CAADP, has there been any progress
  toward the goals?
• The Process:
   – 13 countries and 1 region have signed CAADP compacts
• Agricultural Spending/Investment:
   – The number of countries spending at least 10% of budgets
     on agriculture has increased since 2002
• Agricultural Growth:
   – At the continent level agricultural growth has increased
     since 2002
   – The number of countries with annual agricultural growth
     rates of 6% or more has increased since 2002
Government spending on agriculture: Progress
        towards the Maputo Declaration target
    • The African continent as a whole has not met the
      10% target (current spending at 6-8 percent)
    • But, this varies by country                 Only 8
                                                                                          countries have
                           Agricultural Expenditures as a share of total (%), 2007         met the 10%
    25                                                                                        target
    20
                          CURRENT, 2007 (Unless otherwise noted)
    15
%




    10
    5
    0
           Central African…




           Madagascar**




               Ghana****
         Guinea Bissau***




               Morocco**
                Gabon***




                      Mali
                    Nigeria
                    DRC**




                   Egypt**




             Swaziland**




                Benin****
              Burundi***




                 Tunisia**




                  Chad***
               Kenya****

             Uganda****


               Tanzania**




                    Malawi
                 Sudan***




                  Zambia*


               Gambia***




                   Senegal

                    Niger*
             Cote d'Ivoire




                Lesotho**




                      Togo
              Mauritius**




               Namibia**




               Ethiopia**
                   Rwanda


                 Botswana




           Mauritania***




          Mozambique**




               Guinea***
             Cameroon**




             Zimbabwe**




            Burkina Faso*
                                         *=2006; **=2005; ***=2004; ****=2008 estimates
    Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009.
Have countries increased their spending in
      response to the 2003 Maputo Declaration?
• At the continental level,                                      Level of agricultural spending as a share of
                                                                          total spending, 2002-2007
  agricultural spending
  nearly doubled between                                    70.0%
  2000 and 2005                                             60.0%




                               % of reporting countries
• In 2003, only 3.2% of
  countries allocated 10%                                   50.0%
  or more of their budgets                                  40.0%
  to agriculture
   – This increased to 33.3%                                30.0%
     in 2006 before slightly
     falling to 25% in 2007                                 20.0%

• 9 countries increased                                     10.0%
  their allocations from
                                                             0.0%
  less than 5% spending to
  5-10% spending                                                       2002      2003      2004   2005     2006    2007
                                                               Less than 5%             5%-10%           More than 10%

                                                          Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009.
Agricultural expenditure as a share of
                    agricultural GDP
    • Measures government spending on agriculture relative to the size of that
      country's agriculture sector
    • Under this measure, more countries fall into the category of low budget
      support to agriculture
                   Agricultural expenditures as a share of agricultural GDP, 2007
    80

    60     The range is
                                                    CURRENT, 2007 (Unless otherwise noted)
           considerable
%




    40
            (1 to 60%)
    20

    0




                                                        *=2006; **=2005; ***=2008 estimates
On aggregate , Africa spends between 5-7%
                                                      Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009.
    of agricultural GDP on agriculture,
 compared to 15% in Asia during its Green
                Revolution
-36
                                                                                                     -30
                                                                                                           -24
                                                                                                                 -18
                                                                                                                       -12
                                                                                                                             -6
                                                                                                                                               12
                                                                                                                                                        18
                                                                                                                                                                                                   24




                                                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                                                      6
                                                                                                            Eritrea
                                                                                                    Gambia, The
                                                                                                       Zimbabwe
                                                                                                          Senegal




Source: WDI
                                                                                                           Tunisia
                                                                                                      Mauritania




                                     2008:
                                                                                                           Malawi
                                                                                                          Lesotho
                                                                                                                                                        2002:
                                                                                                      Cape Verde                      6% CAADP target




                   6% CAADP target
                                                                                                            Gabon
                                                                                                              Mali
                                                                                                            Kenya
                                                                                                    Cote d'Ivoire
                                                                                                          Ethiopia
                                                                                                           Zambia
                                                                                                     Madagascar
                                                                                                           Algeria
                                                                                                               CAR
                                                                                                              Chad
                                                                                                   Guinea-Bissau
                                                                                                        Botswana
                                                                                                               DRC
                                                                                                       Seychelles
                                                                                                       Swaziland
                                                                                                             Niger
                                                                                                    Burkina Faso
                                                                                                          Djibouti
                                                                                                            Sudan
                                                                                                             Egypt
                                                                                                       Cameroon




         Page 15
                                                                                                           Uganda
                                                                                                            Ghana
                                                                                                          Burundi
                                                                                                           Nigeria
                                                                                                         Comoros
                                                                                                        Mauritius
                                                                                                         Morocco
                                                                                                         Tanzania
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Agricultural GDP growth




                                                                                                           Guinea
                                                                                                     South Africa
                                                                                                              Togo
                                                                                                             Benin
                                                                                                         Namibia
                                                                                                                                                        Only 9 countries achieved 6% or more annual growth




                                     At least 20 countries achieved 6% or more annual growth




                                                                                                    Mozambique
                                                                                                     Sao Tome &…
                                                                                                           Angola
                                                                                                          Rwanda
                                                                                                Equatorial Guinea
What about poverty and hunger?

                          Burkina Faso
                           Cameroon
                          Congo, D.R.
                         C. African Rep.           Angola
                             Ethiopia             Botswana
                             Guinea                                           Algeria
                                                    Egypt
                              Kenya                                           Malawi
                                                    Ghana
                               Mali                                    Sao Tome and Principe
                                                  Mauritania
                            Morocco                                          Tanzania
                                                   Namibia
                             Senegal
                            Swaziland
                               Togo
                              Tunisia
                             Uganda



Countries on track towards                                                    Countries on track towards
 halving poverty by 2015                   Only 6 Countries on track           halving hunger by 2015
                                            towards achieving both
 Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009
                                                goals of MDG1
0
                                                                                                                  0




                     30
                          60
                               90
                                                                                                                       30
                                                                                                                            60
                                                                                                                                 90
          1989                                            1986




                                    BOT
          1994                                            1994




MAL
          2001                                            1994
          2006                                            1998




                                    BFS
          1987                                            2003
          1993                                            1992




MAU
          1996                                            1998




                                    BRD
          2000                                            2006
          1985                                            1996
          1991




                                    CAM
                                                          2001
          1999                                            1985




MOR
          2001                                            1986
          2007                                            1987
          1997                                            1988




MOZ
                                    CID
          2003                                            1993
          1992                                            1995
          1994




NIG
                                                          1998
          2005                                            2002
          1986                                            1996
                                    DJI
          1993
                                                          2002




NGR
          1996
                                                          1982
          2004
                                                          1995
          1985
                                    ETH




                                                          2000




RWD
          2000
                                                          2005




                 0
                                                                                                                  0




                     30
                          60
                               90
                                                                                                                      30
                                                                                                                            60
                                                                                                                                 90




          1991
          1995




SEN
          2001
                                    GHA




          2005
          1990


SIL
          2003
                                    GUB




          1993
SA
          1995
          2000
                                    GUI
                                                                                                                                                                                   Changes in poverty




          1995
          2001
          1992
                                    KEN




SWZ TNZ




          2000
                                                                                                                                      % population in households below $1.25/day




          1989
          1992
          1996
                                    LES




UGA




          1999
          2002
          2005
          1991
          1993
                                    MAD




          1996
ZAM




          1998
          2003
                                    MWI




          2004
                                          1988 1992 2006 1993 1991 2003 1994 2005 1993 2003 1993 1999 2005 2004
Challenges for CAADP
• Although agriculture seems to be firmly back on the
  development agenda, pledges have not translated into
  increased spending in many countries.
• The CAADP process has stalled in some countries.
• The post-compact process has only recently received
  attention (Rwanda post-compact meeting on Dec. 8-9)
• The contributions of the CAADP process to the
  achievements in agricultural growth and poverty
  reduction are not yet known fully.
• How are agricultural budgets being spent? Are they
  being spent judiciously?
• What critical M&E information is needed to enhance
  effective dialogue and policy processes at all levels?
                                   Page 18
Thank you.

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CAADP Progress: Agricultural Growth and Investments Increase but Challenges Remain

  • 1. Review of CAADP Progress Babatunde Omilola Coordinator, Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (ReSAKSS) IFPRI Partnership to Cut Hunger and Poverty in Africa SPECIAL DISCUSSION: Next Steps for the US Food Security Initiative Association of Public and Land-Grant Universities December 3, 2009
  • 2. Outline • What is CAADP? – Principles – Processes and implementation • Where is CAADP now? – Agricultural growth – Agricultural Investments (Allocations to agriculture) • Impacts – Poverty and hunger (MDG1) • Challenges
  • 3. What is CAADP? • The Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) is the African Union (AU)/New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) vision and strategy for the development of African agriculture. • CAADP puts agriculture at top of priorities of African countries • CAADP is African-owned and African-led
  • 4. CAADP Principles • Employ agriculture-led growth to achieve MDG1 of halving poverty and hunger by 2015 • Pursuit of 6% average annual sector growth at national level • Allocation of 10% of national budgets to agriculture sector • Exploitation of regional complementarities and cooperation to boost growth • Policy efficiency, dialogue, review and accountability (evidence-based policymaking) • Partnerships and alliances to include farmers, agribusiness, civil society
  • 5. CAADP Process • The principles are achieved through: – the strategic functions of CAADP, – the guidance and involvement of the Regional Economic Communities (RECs), and – the national roundtable process • These activities surround four key pillars, led by Africa-based technical institutions: – Pillar 1: extending the area under sustainable land management (University of Zambia) – Pillar 2: Improving rural infrastructure and trade-related capacities for market access (Conference of Ministers of Agriculture of West and Central Africa (CMA/AOC)) – Pillar 3: Increasing food supply and reducing hunger (University of KwaZulu-Natal) – Pillar 4: Agricultural research, technology dissemination and adoption (Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA))
  • 6. Who Implements the CAADP process? • African Union Commission (AUC) and New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) • Key Regional Economic Communities (RECs) establish their own priorities based on the continent-wide Pillars – Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) – Southern African Development Community (SADC) – Common Market of Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) • Countries in Africa
  • 7. The National CAADP Roundtable Process & Country Status 1. Government 2. REC and 3. Country Steering appoints Focal Government launch and Technical Point(s) process Committee Libya, Eritrea Zimbabwe, Egypt, Mauritius, DRC 6. Drafting of 5. Stocktaking – 4. Cabinet Memo Country CAADP Growth and and Endorsement Compact Investment Analysis Burkina Faso, Guinea- Bissau, Guinea, Kenya, Cape Verde, C. Comoros, Malawi, Uganda, d’Ivoire, Djibouti, Madagascar, Sudan Zambia Seychelles, Swaziland 8. Donor and 9. Regular 7. Roundtable Government Refinement and Signing of Compact Benin, Burundi, Ethiopia, Implementation Adjustment Gambia, Ghana, Liberia, 13 Mali, Niger, Nigeria, countries Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo
  • 8. What is the role of ReSAKSS in CAADP implementation? 1 2 In order to implement goals of CAADP Framework created by AU, CAADP framework, targets (6% & 10%) agreed upon decisionmakers need evidence- by all African leaders. based knowledge on investments, options, etc. 6 Country CAADP compacts are signed binding stakeholders to goals set forth at Roundtables. 3 ReSAKSS manages this ReSAKSS, though its network of knowledge so that partners across the continent, decisionmakers and takes stock and starts analysis of stakeholders can access and growth options. 5 utilize it. Debate and dialogue take place in countries as they 4 consider options for The establishment of Country SAKSS facilitates this implementing CAADP by providing country-specific information and framework. (lead-up to analysis. These also serve as in-country policy and Roundtables) knowledge hubs.
  • 9. Tracking Progress of CAADP: ReSAKSS Website www.resakss.org
  • 10. Users can customize the map and charts The ReSAKSS website allows based on the specific users to easily track progress information they are against looking for, whether the CAADP and MDG targets that be regional while also accessing a wealth of information or knowledge and data on country-specific agricultural development in information Africa
  • 11. Where are we now? • 6 years after CAADP, has there been any progress toward the goals? • The Process: – 13 countries and 1 region have signed CAADP compacts • Agricultural Spending/Investment: – The number of countries spending at least 10% of budgets on agriculture has increased since 2002 • Agricultural Growth: – At the continent level agricultural growth has increased since 2002 – The number of countries with annual agricultural growth rates of 6% or more has increased since 2002
  • 12. Government spending on agriculture: Progress towards the Maputo Declaration target • The African continent as a whole has not met the 10% target (current spending at 6-8 percent) • But, this varies by country Only 8 countries have Agricultural Expenditures as a share of total (%), 2007 met the 10% 25 target 20 CURRENT, 2007 (Unless otherwise noted) 15 % 10 5 0 Central African… Madagascar** Ghana**** Guinea Bissau*** Morocco** Gabon*** Mali Nigeria DRC** Egypt** Swaziland** Benin**** Burundi*** Tunisia** Chad*** Kenya**** Uganda**** Tanzania** Malawi Sudan*** Zambia* Gambia*** Senegal Niger* Cote d'Ivoire Lesotho** Togo Mauritius** Namibia** Ethiopia** Rwanda Botswana Mauritania*** Mozambique** Guinea*** Cameroon** Zimbabwe** Burkina Faso* *=2006; **=2005; ***=2004; ****=2008 estimates Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009.
  • 13. Have countries increased their spending in response to the 2003 Maputo Declaration? • At the continental level, Level of agricultural spending as a share of total spending, 2002-2007 agricultural spending nearly doubled between 70.0% 2000 and 2005 60.0% % of reporting countries • In 2003, only 3.2% of countries allocated 10% 50.0% or more of their budgets 40.0% to agriculture – This increased to 33.3% 30.0% in 2006 before slightly falling to 25% in 2007 20.0% • 9 countries increased 10.0% their allocations from 0.0% less than 5% spending to 5-10% spending 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Less than 5% 5%-10% More than 10% Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009.
  • 14. Agricultural expenditure as a share of agricultural GDP • Measures government spending on agriculture relative to the size of that country's agriculture sector • Under this measure, more countries fall into the category of low budget support to agriculture Agricultural expenditures as a share of agricultural GDP, 2007 80 60 The range is CURRENT, 2007 (Unless otherwise noted) considerable % 40 (1 to 60%) 20 0 *=2006; **=2005; ***=2008 estimates On aggregate , Africa spends between 5-7% Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009. of agricultural GDP on agriculture, compared to 15% in Asia during its Green Revolution
  • 15. -36 -30 -24 -18 -12 -6 12 18 24 0 6 Eritrea Gambia, The Zimbabwe Senegal Source: WDI Tunisia Mauritania 2008: Malawi Lesotho 2002: Cape Verde 6% CAADP target 6% CAADP target Gabon Mali Kenya Cote d'Ivoire Ethiopia Zambia Madagascar Algeria CAR Chad Guinea-Bissau Botswana DRC Seychelles Swaziland Niger Burkina Faso Djibouti Sudan Egypt Cameroon Page 15 Uganda Ghana Burundi Nigeria Comoros Mauritius Morocco Tanzania Agricultural GDP growth Guinea South Africa Togo Benin Namibia Only 9 countries achieved 6% or more annual growth At least 20 countries achieved 6% or more annual growth Mozambique Sao Tome &… Angola Rwanda Equatorial Guinea
  • 16. What about poverty and hunger? Burkina Faso Cameroon Congo, D.R. C. African Rep. Angola Ethiopia Botswana Guinea Algeria Egypt Kenya Malawi Ghana Mali Sao Tome and Principe Mauritania Morocco Tanzania Namibia Senegal Swaziland Togo Tunisia Uganda Countries on track towards Countries on track towards halving poverty by 2015 Only 6 Countries on track halving hunger by 2015 towards achieving both Source: Omilola and Lambert, 2009 goals of MDG1
  • 17. 0 0 30 60 90 30 60 90 1989 1986 BOT 1994 1994 MAL 2001 1994 2006 1998 BFS 1987 2003 1993 1992 MAU 1996 1998 BRD 2000 2006 1985 1996 1991 CAM 2001 1999 1985 MOR 2001 1986 2007 1987 1997 1988 MOZ CID 2003 1993 1992 1995 1994 NIG 1998 2005 2002 1986 1996 DJI 1993 2002 NGR 1996 1982 2004 1995 1985 ETH 2000 RWD 2000 2005 0 0 30 60 90 30 60 90 1991 1995 SEN 2001 GHA 2005 1990 SIL 2003 GUB 1993 SA 1995 2000 GUI Changes in poverty 1995 2001 1992 KEN SWZ TNZ 2000 % population in households below $1.25/day 1989 1992 1996 LES UGA 1999 2002 2005 1991 1993 MAD 1996 ZAM 1998 2003 MWI 2004 1988 1992 2006 1993 1991 2003 1994 2005 1993 2003 1993 1999 2005 2004
  • 18. Challenges for CAADP • Although agriculture seems to be firmly back on the development agenda, pledges have not translated into increased spending in many countries. • The CAADP process has stalled in some countries. • The post-compact process has only recently received attention (Rwanda post-compact meeting on Dec. 8-9) • The contributions of the CAADP process to the achievements in agricultural growth and poverty reduction are not yet known fully. • How are agricultural budgets being spent? Are they being spent judiciously? • What critical M&E information is needed to enhance effective dialogue and policy processes at all levels? Page 18