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NEW IDEAS CONFERENCE, LIMERICK. Jim Power, Chief Economist, Friends First 25th March 2009
The Irish Reality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ireland - Unemployment
Sectoral Labour Market Changes Sector Change Q4 07 to Q4 08 Agriculture F&F -2,700 Other Production -12,400 Construction -45,900 Wholesale & Retail Trade -18,200 Hotels & Restaurants -10,500 Transport, Storage etc +900 Financial & Business Services -11,600 Public Admin. & Defence +600 Education +6,300 Health +3,500 Other services +3,100 Total -86,900 Source: CSO
Irish Economy in 2009 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ireland Economic Forecast Average 2008e 2009f 2010f GDP -2.0% -4.5% -2.0% GNP -2.5% -6.6% -2.0% Consumption -2.0% -6.5% -3.0% Investment -20.0% -25.0% -10.0% Government 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% Exports 2.0% -1.0% 1.5% Imports -2.0% -5.0% -1.0% Consumer Price Inflation 4.5% -3.0% -2.0% Unemployment (average) 6.3% 12.5% 14.0% e=estimate f=forecast
LIMERICK & THE MID-WEST
INDEX OF DISPOSABLE INCOME PER PERSON ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INDEX OF DISPOSABLE INCOME PER PERSON ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INDEX OF GROSS VALUE ADDED PER PERSON ,[object Object],[object Object]
Live Register Trends
Employment by Sector SECTOR MID-WEST NATIONAL AVERAGE Agriculture F&F 7.6% 5.5% Manufacturing 17.5% 13.9% Construction 13.2% 13.2% Wholesale & Retail 15.1% 14.5% Hotels & Restaurants 5.8% 6.1% Transport etc 6.2% 5.7% Financial & Other Business Services 9.4% 13.8% Public Admin. & Defence 4.4% 5.2% Education 6.7% 6.1% Health 8.8% 10.2% Other Services 5.3% 5.8%
Vulnerability of Mid-West ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Population Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],COUNTY/CITY 2002 2006 % CHANGE State 3,917,203 4,239,84 8 +8.2% Galway 209,077 231,670 +10.8% Cork 447,829 481,295 +7.5% Waterford 101,546 107,961 +6.3% Limerick City 54,023 52,539 -2.7% Limerick County 121,281 131,516 +8.4% Limerick 175,304 184,055 +5.0%
Average House Prices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NEW Second Hand National € 301,680 € 335,762 Dublin € 347,233 € 412,152 Cork € 320,302 € 334,663 Galway € 281,177 € 310,865 Waterford € 290,357 € 301,387 Limerick € 271,161 € 263,793
Vision for Limerick City ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Public Initiatives for Limerick ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Private Sector Initiatives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What has Limerick Going For it? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Needs to be Done ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE ROAD TO NATIONAL RECOVERY!
Conditions for Recovery ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Competitiveness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategic Vision ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Final Thoughts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 

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Jim Power New Ideas Conference March 2009

  • 1. NEW IDEAS CONFERENCE, LIMERICK. Jim Power, Chief Economist, Friends First 25th March 2009
  • 2.
  • 4. Sectoral Labour Market Changes Sector Change Q4 07 to Q4 08 Agriculture F&F -2,700 Other Production -12,400 Construction -45,900 Wholesale & Retail Trade -18,200 Hotels & Restaurants -10,500 Transport, Storage etc +900 Financial & Business Services -11,600 Public Admin. & Defence +600 Education +6,300 Health +3,500 Other services +3,100 Total -86,900 Source: CSO
  • 5.
  • 6. Ireland Economic Forecast Average 2008e 2009f 2010f GDP -2.0% -4.5% -2.0% GNP -2.5% -6.6% -2.0% Consumption -2.0% -6.5% -3.0% Investment -20.0% -25.0% -10.0% Government 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% Exports 2.0% -1.0% 1.5% Imports -2.0% -5.0% -1.0% Consumer Price Inflation 4.5% -3.0% -2.0% Unemployment (average) 6.3% 12.5% 14.0% e=estimate f=forecast
  • 7. LIMERICK & THE MID-WEST
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 12. Employment by Sector SECTOR MID-WEST NATIONAL AVERAGE Agriculture F&F 7.6% 5.5% Manufacturing 17.5% 13.9% Construction 13.2% 13.2% Wholesale & Retail 15.1% 14.5% Hotels & Restaurants 5.8% 6.1% Transport etc 6.2% 5.7% Financial & Other Business Services 9.4% 13.8% Public Admin. & Defence 4.4% 5.2% Education 6.7% 6.1% Health 8.8% 10.2% Other Services 5.3% 5.8%
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. THE ROAD TO NATIONAL RECOVERY!
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.