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This presentation is made possible by the support of the American People through the United States Agency
for International Development (USAID). The contents of this presentation are the sole responsibility of Rick
Rasmussen and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government.
VC Psychology 101
1
Anatomy of a VC
Money In à
$
Money Out à
$$$$$
$$$$$
What’s in it for me?
Risk Factors
The odds are against you
Per month Per year
60 new deals 720 companies
8 for pre-screen
3 make it to dinner meeting 36 companies
Maybe one new investment 8 per year
3
Approximately 1.1% funding rate
Money In:
•  How	
  much	
  funding	
  is	
  required?	
  
–  Is	
  this	
  within	
  the	
  size	
  and	
  scope	
  of	
  my	
  fund?	
  
–  Should	
  I	
  syndicate?	
  	
  	
  With	
  whom?	
  
•  Where	
  does	
  this	
  move	
  the	
  company?	
  
–  Next	
  proof	
  points	
  
–  Timelines	
  to	
  next	
  steps	
  
–  How	
  much	
  runway	
  
–  Can	
  I	
  “stage”	
  the	
  investment	
  to	
  lower	
  risk?	
  
•  ValuaGon	
  
–  Compared	
  to	
  other	
  companies	
  in	
  the	
  field	
  
–  Compared	
  to	
  other	
  companies	
  I	
  can	
  invest	
  in	
  
–  Can	
  I	
  syndicate?	
  
–  Are	
  they	
  desperate?	
  Can	
  I	
  cut	
  a	
  bargain	
  deal?	
  
Traction is a Magic Word
•  Traction: the progress of a start-up company and the
momentum it gains as the business grows
–  Proof-points that validate your business projections
•  VCs invest in businesses – not just ideas
•  The likely success of startups is often determined by
–  Market potential of their product
–  Velocity of product development
Money Out
•  VCs only profit where there is an exit
•  What is the most likely exit?
•  Acquisition
•  How much work is required?
•  Building team
•  Getting partnerships
•  Metrics for success 6
Money out
•  Is there a market?
•  Timing, liquidity, # of other transactions
•  What are industry multiples?
•  Who would most likely buy this company?
•  Partners
•  Customers
•  Competitors
•  What’s the turn around time?
	
  
7
Risk Factors
•  What risks might stop me from an exit?
–  Team
–  Market
–  Competitor
–  Technology
–  Potential IP / Patent claims
–  Legal (incorporation, stock claims)
•  This is what due diligence is all about
–  Start to finish for due diligence can take 3 to 6 months
Team Risk
•  By far the number one risk factor
•  Most companies fail due to team issues
•  Which is better?
–  An average team with a great product?
–  A great team with a decent product?
•  Great team knows the journey, can pivot, realign strategy, etc.
•  CEO
–  Credible, honest, trustworthy
–  A motivator, a manager
–  Can make tough decisions
Market Risk
•  Market needs to develop along with the company
•  Room to grow, expand, think BIG
–  TAM, SAM, SOM
•  Looking for a $1B market
•  Risk examples:
–  Too early: market for product doesn’t exist yet
–  Too late: too many competitors, market saturated
–  Too small: won’t grow to a size that’s worth while
–  Too regional: will only grow to fill a country, can’t cross borders
Competitive Risks
•  Know all your potential competition
–  Are there competitors that can take away your lead?
•  Want to invest in #1 or #2 in market
•  Direct competition
–  Exact product
–  Better, faster cheaper
•  Indirect competition
–  Another way to solve the problem
–  Substitution 11
Technology Risks
•  Applicable for some businesses
•  Hardware:
–  Costs, manufacturability, safety, source of supply
•  Limits of physics
–  Semiconductors, industrial
•  Efficacy
–  Medical devices, pharma
•  Regulatory
–  Approval issues
–  Timing 12
IP/Legal Risks
•  Was the company incorporated properly
–  (Delaware C corp, LLC)
•  Who are prior shareholders and their rights?
–  Are they superior to yours?
•  Lawsuits pending
•  Intellectual Property (IP) ownership
–  Are there possible patent infringements?
•  What is the legal landscape (people suing each other)?
13
VC World - What’s in in for me?
•  Bragging rights
–  Want a Cool market sector
–  Want a Leader in the field
•  Promote through
conferences, blogs, etc…
•  Good reputation for better
deal flow
•  Raising next fund…
Money In à
$
$
Money Out à
$$$$$
$$$$$
What’s in it for me?
Risk Factors

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8.2 vc psychology 101.pptx

  • 1. This presentation is made possible by the support of the American People through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents of this presentation are the sole responsibility of Rick Rasmussen and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. VC Psychology 101 1
  • 2. Anatomy of a VC Money In à $ Money Out à $$$$$ $$$$$ What’s in it for me? Risk Factors
  • 3. The odds are against you Per month Per year 60 new deals 720 companies 8 for pre-screen 3 make it to dinner meeting 36 companies Maybe one new investment 8 per year 3 Approximately 1.1% funding rate
  • 4. Money In: •  How  much  funding  is  required?   –  Is  this  within  the  size  and  scope  of  my  fund?   –  Should  I  syndicate?      With  whom?   •  Where  does  this  move  the  company?   –  Next  proof  points   –  Timelines  to  next  steps   –  How  much  runway   –  Can  I  “stage”  the  investment  to  lower  risk?   •  ValuaGon   –  Compared  to  other  companies  in  the  field   –  Compared  to  other  companies  I  can  invest  in   –  Can  I  syndicate?   –  Are  they  desperate?  Can  I  cut  a  bargain  deal?  
  • 5. Traction is a Magic Word •  Traction: the progress of a start-up company and the momentum it gains as the business grows –  Proof-points that validate your business projections •  VCs invest in businesses – not just ideas •  The likely success of startups is often determined by –  Market potential of their product –  Velocity of product development
  • 6. Money Out •  VCs only profit where there is an exit •  What is the most likely exit? •  Acquisition •  How much work is required? •  Building team •  Getting partnerships •  Metrics for success 6
  • 7. Money out •  Is there a market? •  Timing, liquidity, # of other transactions •  What are industry multiples? •  Who would most likely buy this company? •  Partners •  Customers •  Competitors •  What’s the turn around time?   7
  • 8. Risk Factors •  What risks might stop me from an exit? –  Team –  Market –  Competitor –  Technology –  Potential IP / Patent claims –  Legal (incorporation, stock claims) •  This is what due diligence is all about –  Start to finish for due diligence can take 3 to 6 months
  • 9. Team Risk •  By far the number one risk factor •  Most companies fail due to team issues •  Which is better? –  An average team with a great product? –  A great team with a decent product? •  Great team knows the journey, can pivot, realign strategy, etc. •  CEO –  Credible, honest, trustworthy –  A motivator, a manager –  Can make tough decisions
  • 10. Market Risk •  Market needs to develop along with the company •  Room to grow, expand, think BIG –  TAM, SAM, SOM •  Looking for a $1B market •  Risk examples: –  Too early: market for product doesn’t exist yet –  Too late: too many competitors, market saturated –  Too small: won’t grow to a size that’s worth while –  Too regional: will only grow to fill a country, can’t cross borders
  • 11. Competitive Risks •  Know all your potential competition –  Are there competitors that can take away your lead? •  Want to invest in #1 or #2 in market •  Direct competition –  Exact product –  Better, faster cheaper •  Indirect competition –  Another way to solve the problem –  Substitution 11
  • 12. Technology Risks •  Applicable for some businesses •  Hardware: –  Costs, manufacturability, safety, source of supply •  Limits of physics –  Semiconductors, industrial •  Efficacy –  Medical devices, pharma •  Regulatory –  Approval issues –  Timing 12
  • 13. IP/Legal Risks •  Was the company incorporated properly –  (Delaware C corp, LLC) •  Who are prior shareholders and their rights? –  Are they superior to yours? •  Lawsuits pending •  Intellectual Property (IP) ownership –  Are there possible patent infringements? •  What is the legal landscape (people suing each other)? 13
  • 14. VC World - What’s in in for me? •  Bragging rights –  Want a Cool market sector –  Want a Leader in the field •  Promote through conferences, blogs, etc… •  Good reputation for better deal flow •  Raising next fund…
  • 15. Money In à $ $ Money Out à $$$$$ $$$$$ What’s in it for me? Risk Factors