John Maynard Keynes was born in 1883 in Cambridge, England to an economics professor. He was a gifted student who attended Eton and King's College at Cambridge. After college, Keynes worked for the British government during World War 1. In the 1930s, he developed his theory of Keynesian economics, which argued that government intervention is needed to increase aggregate demand and stabilize the economy. Keynesian economics influenced governments to take a more active role in stimulating their economies and helped lessen the impact of the Great Depression. However, Keynesian policies faced limitations with high government spending leading to inflation and unemployment in the postwar period.
1. John Maynard Keynes
Keynesian economics
Abdul Ruhulla
Financial University under the Government
of the Russian Federation
(1883-1946)
2. The Early J. M. Keynes
Born in 1883 in Cambridge, England
Son of John Neville Keynes
Neville was a professor of Economics and Logic at Cambridge Univ.,
and wrote on Economic Methodology
Won a scholarship to Eton
Boy Genius
Won prizes for his work in the classics, mathematics, history, English
essays
Wrote papers on contemporary social problems, participated in crew
and debate, acted, read everything
Became an expert in medieval latin poetry
Part of Eton’s social elite
Won a scholarship to King’s College, Cambridge
3. Keynes as a College Student
President of the Student Union
President of the University Liberal Club
Rowed, studied philosophy, played bridge, visited
art galleries, collected rare books, went to the
theatre
Became a member of the “Apostles”, a secret and
highly exclusive Cambridge intellectual society
Became a member of the literary set called “the
Bloomsbury Group.”
4. Keynes After College
Studied economics for perhaps 1 year, but did poorly
on his exams.
Took a civil service exam and took a job at the India
Office for 2 years.
1908, his father managed to get him a job as a
lecturer at King’s College. Later he became a Fellow.
1911, he became editor of the Economic Journal.
Worked at the Treasury during WWI.
1921, he published A Treatise on Probability. This was
his dissertation. It won him a fellowship at King’s
College, Cambridge.
Marries Lydia Lopokova.
5. Keynes, Inter-war Years
Keynes wrote the Economic Consequences of the Peace
(1919), regarding reparation payments
Best Seller
Made him a public celebrity
1923, Tract on Monetary Reform (against returning to the
pre-war gold standard)
Economic Consequences of Mr. Churchill (1925, warned of
depression)
1930, Treatise On Money
Makes millions in the stock market, commodity, and forex
markets.
1936, General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
1937, he has a serious heart attack
7. Keynesian Economics
Based on the idea of the need for
state regulation of the economy.
No more self-adjustments
For the prosperity of the
economy:
All have to spend as much money
as possible;
The state should stimulate
aggregate demand growth even
by the budget deficit, debt and
unsecured issue of money.
9. Business cycle During Great Depression
He outlined the limitations
of Microeconomics theory.
Due to unemployment and
poverty, the demand for
good and services dropped.
Many workers were
unwilling to accept lower
wages.
10. Keynesian Economics Impact
Aid in the formation of the 20th Century’s economy
Consequences of the Great Depression were lessened
Government took an active role in the country's economy
(Departure from neoclassical theories)
11.
12. Intro to Macroeconomic Theory
High unemployment rate greatly influenced
the development of macroeconomics
Challenged the established neoclassical
economics
Introduced important concepts such as:
Consumption
Multiplier
Marginal efficiency of capital
Liquidity preference
Government's responsibility is to
Reach and maintain full employment
Regulate markets and free trade
END OF
NEOCLASSICAL
THEORIES!
such as Laissez-faire
14. Three Ranges of Aggregate Supply
1. Keynesian Range - Horizontal at low output
2. Intermediate Range - Upward sloping
3. Classical Range - Vertical at Physical Capacity
Price
level
Real domestic output, GDP
AS
Qf
14
Keynesian
Range
Intermediate
Range
Classical
Range
15. Consumption Function
C0
Yd
C
c = mpc = C/Yd = marginal propensity to consume
C
Yd
C = C0 + mpc x Yd
M = 1/(1-mpc)
C = Consumer spending
A = Autonomous consumption
YD = Real disposable income
M - multiplier
Shows the relationship
between
real disposable
income and consumer
spending, the latter
variable being what
Keynes considered the
most important
determinant of short-
term demand in an
economy.
16. d
Planned
expenditure
exceeds
real GDP
Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars per year)
Aggregateplannedexpenditure
(trillionsof1992dollars/year)
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
0 2 4 6 8 10
a
b c
e
f
Real GDP exceeds
planned expenditure
45
o
line
Equilibrium
expenditure
I
G
C0
Total Expenditure
C+I+G
Income-Expenditure
model
Explains fluctuations in
production of goods
and services and
spending. The model
basically states that
we produce as many
goods as will sell on
the market and
fluctuations in
production and
expenditure are tied to
keep an economy
stable.
17. The General Theory
Microeconomics and macroeconomics do not operate
on the same basis. One cannot assume that what is
true for the economic agent at the level of the
individual consumer or firm is true in aggregate. This
amounts to the fallacy of composition.
In microeconomics, relative price effects dominate.
This is not true in macroeconomics. In
macroeconomics, income effects dominate, making
income more important in determining aggregate
economic behavior.
18. The General Theory
Therefore, consumption depends primarily
upon income, not interest rates.
C C(r), but rather C = C(Y)
“People don’t change their standard of living simply
because the interest rate changes a few points.”
19. The General Theory
Money plays a key role in the economy. The use of
money leads to uncertainty, and makes “piercing the
veil” impossible. A money economy is fundamentally
different from a barter economy. The classical
dichotomy cannot hold.
Interest rates are established in the money market.
People may rationally hoard money, holding money for
purposes other then making transactions.
Equilibrium is not AD = AS. It is a state that persists.
20. Why did the Keynesian theory didn't work?
Government spend too much money
on post-WWII events. (Examples:
Vietnam war, sending the first man
to the moon)
The Keynesian solution stopped
working
Unemployment became worst
It created Inflation
In conclusion Keynesian theories
work best on economics
catastrophes