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Moneyball - Attributing Success
Russell McAthy - @therustybear
Or “L’Arte Di
Vincere” in Italy!
Basic principles of Baseball in 3 images
The Field Bases Runs
What is Moneyball?
“The process of quantifying the impact of multiple marketing exposures
and touch-points preceding a desired outcome”
What is the problem?
We are the problem
What is the problem?
Lets Talk
about
models
Core Attribution
Models
Online &
Offline
(“Digital to
Store”)
Online
Only
The best model
for your
business is
based on how
you are going to
use it…..
You have to
understand what
success looks
like before you
can succeed
Lets get clever...
● Sequence
● Recency
● Channel
Relationships
● Impression
Relationships
Someone used more than one device to visit our website..
Custom Unique Identifiers
System Single Sign-on matchback
Tracking Multiple Devices
Device-id / Signal Recognition
How do we stitch sessions into becoming users /
customers?
Live / Post Date / When?
Be aware of filter bubbles - they’ll get you!
All Website Visitors Visitors we have
joined with multiple
sessions
Visitors we have
joined with multiple
devices
Utilising the whole team
How do you keep management happy?
The Customer Consideration Funnel by @therustybear
Pre-SalesPost-SalesSale Made
Acquisition
Driving high quality traffic to the
right content
CTR, CPC, Impressions, Visits...
Behaviour Creating an optimal user journey
Bounce Rate, Content Category
Engagement, Micro-Transactions...
Conversion
Improve call to actions and an
intuitive purchase path
ARPB, CPA, Revenue...
Satisfaction
Driving customer happiness and
improving continuous
engagement
Single Login / remembering
preferences / Single Customer View
Loyalty
Increasing LTV, give a reason for
for customers to be loyal
Repeat Purchase Rate, Multi-channel
Behavior, LTV
Advocacy
Creating an environment where
advocates are naturally created
Social Sharing, MGM Conversion,
Referring %
We can do this
for post sales
too!
How do we use
the insights
gleaned from
analysis to
create data
driven
decisions?
How do we use
the insights
gleaned from
analysis to
create data
driven
decisions?
Onsite
● Landing Pages
● Content Consumption
● Micro Conversions
● Previous Purchases
Marketing
● Historical Channel Mix
● Paid Keyword Use
● Paid/Free Channels
● Brand/Marketing/Product
Data Driven Actions
● Customised/Dynamic Landing Pages
● Data driven campaigns / bidding based on value of prospect
● Navigational changes based on previous activity
● Marketing Segmentation based on historical activity
Lets start to ask the right questions
How do I find my
“Whales”
How do I stop getting
x customer
How do I find my
“Whales”
What channel is best
to drive higher ARPU
How do I get
customers who have
high LTV
Where do I get more
customers who
recommend friends
What budget do I
need to get more
customers that are of
x persona
How do I stop getting
x customer
Lets start to ask the right questions
A Single Customer View - what’s possible?
71% of marketers plan to implement big data analytics
into their marketing strategies within the next two years
The biggest opportunity in digital is the utilisation of
data to drive action.
Not capturing data at scale right now is the largest
mistake marketers are making!
A Single Customer View - what’s possible?
A Single Customer View - what’s possible?
Adding value to the Brand -> Customer Relationship
Creating a platform for a Single Customer TRUE View
Did someone
say...
“What about
privacy?”
Lets think a bit differently...
Website Content
Navigational
Value attribution
Marketing E-Com Corporate
Attribution is the process of forming a clearer understanding
Thanks for Listening
Russell McAthy
Director of Strategy
@therustybear
rmcathy@blueglass.co.uk

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Marketing Attribution - Moneyball - @therustybear #Emetrics #EmetricsMI #biddableworld

  • 1. Moneyball - Attributing Success Russell McAthy - @therustybear Or “L’Arte Di Vincere” in Italy!
  • 2. Basic principles of Baseball in 3 images The Field Bases Runs
  • 4. “The process of quantifying the impact of multiple marketing exposures and touch-points preceding a desired outcome” What is the problem?
  • 5. We are the problem What is the problem?
  • 8. The best model for your business is based on how you are going to use it….. You have to understand what success looks like before you can succeed
  • 9. Lets get clever... ● Sequence ● Recency ● Channel Relationships ● Impression Relationships
  • 10. Someone used more than one device to visit our website..
  • 11. Custom Unique Identifiers System Single Sign-on matchback Tracking Multiple Devices Device-id / Signal Recognition How do we stitch sessions into becoming users / customers? Live / Post Date / When?
  • 12. Be aware of filter bubbles - they’ll get you! All Website Visitors Visitors we have joined with multiple sessions Visitors we have joined with multiple devices
  • 14. How do you keep management happy?
  • 15. The Customer Consideration Funnel by @therustybear Pre-SalesPost-SalesSale Made Acquisition Driving high quality traffic to the right content CTR, CPC, Impressions, Visits... Behaviour Creating an optimal user journey Bounce Rate, Content Category Engagement, Micro-Transactions... Conversion Improve call to actions and an intuitive purchase path ARPB, CPA, Revenue... Satisfaction Driving customer happiness and improving continuous engagement Single Login / remembering preferences / Single Customer View Loyalty Increasing LTV, give a reason for for customers to be loyal Repeat Purchase Rate, Multi-channel Behavior, LTV Advocacy Creating an environment where advocates are naturally created Social Sharing, MGM Conversion, Referring %
  • 16. We can do this for post sales too!
  • 17. How do we use the insights gleaned from analysis to create data driven decisions?
  • 18. How do we use the insights gleaned from analysis to create data driven decisions? Onsite ● Landing Pages ● Content Consumption ● Micro Conversions ● Previous Purchases Marketing ● Historical Channel Mix ● Paid Keyword Use ● Paid/Free Channels ● Brand/Marketing/Product Data Driven Actions ● Customised/Dynamic Landing Pages ● Data driven campaigns / bidding based on value of prospect ● Navigational changes based on previous activity ● Marketing Segmentation based on historical activity
  • 19. Lets start to ask the right questions
  • 20. How do I find my “Whales” How do I stop getting x customer How do I find my “Whales” What channel is best to drive higher ARPU How do I get customers who have high LTV Where do I get more customers who recommend friends What budget do I need to get more customers that are of x persona How do I stop getting x customer Lets start to ask the right questions
  • 21. A Single Customer View - what’s possible?
  • 22. 71% of marketers plan to implement big data analytics into their marketing strategies within the next two years The biggest opportunity in digital is the utilisation of data to drive action. Not capturing data at scale right now is the largest mistake marketers are making! A Single Customer View - what’s possible?
  • 23. A Single Customer View - what’s possible?
  • 24. Adding value to the Brand -> Customer Relationship
  • 25. Creating a platform for a Single Customer TRUE View
  • 27. Lets think a bit differently...
  • 29. Attribution is the process of forming a clearer understanding
  • 30. Thanks for Listening Russell McAthy Director of Strategy @therustybear rmcathy@blueglass.co.uk