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Ira Sohn Contest 2012
     Andrew Diaz
Disclaimer
2

        Please note that this presentation and the information contained herein represents my own personal
         views and not the views of Prudential Financial, Prudential Capital Group or any affiliates.


        The information contained in this presentation is based solely on publicly available information


        This presentation and the information contained herein is not a recommendation or solicitation to
         buy or sell any securities.


        This presentation contains historical and anticipated operating performance, as well as discussions
         on access to capital markets, market conditions and the values of assets and liabilities of certain
         companies. Actual results may vary materially from the estimates and projected results contained
         herein.




                                                                            Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
WebMD Health Corp (“WebMD”)
3



                                             WebMD is a provider of health information
      Recent stock                           services online to:
    price: $21.431                              Consumers

                                                Physicians
      Ticker:
    “WBMD”                                      Employers and Health Plans
    (1) As of close 05/15/2012



                                             Market Value of Equity ~$1.1 billion
                                             Enterprise Value of ~$0.9 billion


         Pro Forma for 5.77 million shares purchased @ $26 per for an aggregate cash use of $150 million on 4/10/12. Source: Company
         10Q filed on 5/10/12

                                                                                              Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Strong Collection of Online Brands
4




                                Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Investment Highlights
5


    Secular Winner
      Favorable long-term trends for online pharma ad spending

          Projected to grow at 13% CAGR to ~$2 billion by 2015

    Strong Competitive Advantages
      110 million unique users; 2.6 million physicians

      #1 player with ~40% market share

    Strong Catalysts for Realization Within 6 – 12 Months
         Poison pill expires on November 1, 2012
         Upsize to existing $86 million share repurchase program
         Normalization of ad spending
    Source: WebMD 10-K for the year ended 12/31/11, eMarketer April 2011
                                                                           Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Why Does it Trade at ~$22 Today?
6


     Failed Sales Process
     Temporary decline in pharmaceutical ad spending during 2012
        FDA regulations for online advertising TBD
        Patent expirations (e.g. Lipitor ~$10 billion)
                  $70

                  $60

                  $50
                                                                                                                        Failed Sales Process
                  $40

                  $30

                  $20                                               Icahn Reveals ~8% Stake

                  $10

                   $0




                                                    WebMD 5 Year Stock Price

     Source: Yahoo! Finance, SEC Schedule 13D filed on 10/11/2011
                                                                                              Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Public Portal
7

        ~110 million users / ~10 billion page views
        User is already engaged in researching ADHD




                                                Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Physicians Portal
8

        ~2.6 million physicians




                                   Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Private Portal
9


          Company Name




                         Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Pharmaceutical Ad Spending
10




           North American Market of $28 billion is roughly 1/3 of
            promotional spending in the world
           Online spending is anticipated to reach ~$2 billion by 2015

     Source: eMarketer, April 2011 & CSD Promotion Database
                                                              Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Pharma Relying Less on Sales Reps
11

         Secular decline of U.S. sales reps
            105K peaked in 2005, ~75K by 2015

            Physician Payments Sunshine Act, 2013




 Source: IMS Health, The Global Use of Medicines: Outlook Through 2015 & Wall Street Journal, Drugs Reps Soften Their Sales Pitches
                                                                                          Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Long-Term Shift Towards Online Advertising
12


                  2011 Market Size                          2020 Projected Market Size

    ~$28 billion Total Advertising                   ~$14 billion Total Advertising
    ~$1 billion market size                          ~$4 billion market size
      2011 % Online Advertising of Total Budget        2020 % Online Advertising of Total Budget
                              3.6%



                                                                                             29%




                                                                 71%
                      96.4%




     Source: CSD Promotion Database
                                                                   Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Historical Financials
13


                                            WebMD Health Corp
                                           2007         2008      2009       2010              2011          LTM 3/30
        Public Portal Advertising         $238,022 $284,416      $347,570   $446,969        $477,325          $454,738
        % Growth                                        19.5%      22.2%       28.6%              6.8%             -4.7%

        Unique Monthly Users (Millions)           51       51         61            83                85              110
        % Growth                                         0.0%      19.6%       36.1%              2.4%            29.4%

        Revenues Per User                   $4.67       $5.58      $5.70       $5.39             $5.62             $4.13
        EBITDA Per User                     $1.08       $1.46      $1.84       $2.09             $2.13             $1.41

        Private Portal Services            $81,210     $89,046    $90,966    $87,500          $81,450          $79,375
        % Growth                                         9.6%       2.2%       -3.8%             -6.9%             -2.5%

        Total Revenues                    $319,232 $373,462      $438,536   $534,469        $558,775          $534,113
        % Growth                                        17.0%      17.4%       21.9%              4.5%             -4.4%


           ~15% Revenue CAGR since 2007


     Source: Company 10Ks and 10Qs
                                                                             Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Historical Financials Cont’d
14

                                                                WebMD Health Corp
                                                             2007           2008            2009       2010            2011          LTM 3/30
                    A
          EBITDA                                              54,969        74,255          112,274    173,618         181,238         154,631
          % Margin                                             17.2%         19.9%           25.6%      32.5%            32.4%            29.0%

          Less Capex                                         (19,041)      (24,265)         (17,886)   (32,254)        (20,911)         (19,439)
          Less Work ing Capital B                            (34,317)         2,298           8,444    (12,893)           8,052          15,042
          Free Cash Flow                                        1,611       52,288          102,832    128,471         168,379         150,234
          Less Interest Expense                              (25,887)      (26,428)         (23,515)   (11,453)        (20,645)         (23,340)
          Cash EarningsC                                     (24,276)       25,860           79,317    117,018         147,734         126,894
          ROIC D                                                    4%            5%           15%         25%               27%

          (A) Defined as operating income + D&A + non-cash stock based comp
          (B) Defined as change in AR + Prepaid - Accrued - Deferred Revenue
          (C) Excludes taxes due to the Company's NOLs
          (D) Defined as EBIT T axed @ 35% / (T otal Assets - Current Liabilities - Cash)


         ~12% Free Cash Flow Yield
         ~5.8x LTM EBITDA and ~7.8x NTM EBITDA
     Source: Company 10Ks and 10Qs
                                                                                                         Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Attractive Valuation With Limited Downside
15

              Conservative DCF ~$31 per share
                 ~$530 million revenues per year & 20% EBITDA margin

                 Market share falls from ~40% to ~20% while industry
                  grows at a 13% CAGR
                 12% Cost of Capital and 2% Terminal Growth
                                                                                                     Relevant Comps
     Company                              WebMD (WBMD)                          Epocrates (EPOC)                         HealthStream (HSTM)
                                                                          Epocrates provides healthcare
                                    WebMD is a provider of health                                                 HealthStream provides learning and
                                                                       information services primarily in the
     Description                  information services to consumers,                                             research solutions for the healthcare
                                                                       mobile space to 1.4 million physician
                                      physicians and employers.                                                                industry.
                                                                                    members.
     LTM Revenues (000s)                      $534,113                              $111,700                                      $87,234
     LTM EBITDA (000s )                       $154,631                               $9,503                                       $17,865
                       A
     EV / LTM EBITDA                             5.8x                                 11.7x                                        25.5x
                           A
     EV / LTM Revenues                          1.7x                                  1.0x                                          5.2x
     5 Year Revenue CAGR                        15%                                   15%                                           19%
     (A) As of close 05/15/2012



       Source: Company 10Ks and 10Qs
                                                                                                      Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
Additional Upside Opportunities
16



           ~$250 million NPV of Federal NOLs
              ~$5 per share
              May remain in CoC according to management


           Monetize Mobile Growth
              11.5 million consumer app downloads
              2.0 million physician app downloads


           International Opportunities
              French and German physician sites


     Source: WebMD 10-K for the year ended 12/31/11, WebMD Conference Call Transcripts
                                                                                         Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent

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Ira sohn contest 2012 andrew diaz web md

  • 1. asdf Ira Sohn Contest 2012 Andrew Diaz
  • 2. Disclaimer 2   Please note that this presentation and the information contained herein represents my own personal views and not the views of Prudential Financial, Prudential Capital Group or any affiliates.   The information contained in this presentation is based solely on publicly available information   This presentation and the information contained herein is not a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.   This presentation contains historical and anticipated operating performance, as well as discussions on access to capital markets, market conditions and the values of assets and liabilities of certain companies. Actual results may vary materially from the estimates and projected results contained herein. Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 3. WebMD Health Corp (“WebMD”) 3   WebMD is a provider of health information   Recent stock services online to: price: $21.431   Consumers   Physicians   Ticker: “WBMD”   Employers and Health Plans (1) As of close 05/15/2012   Market Value of Equity ~$1.1 billion   Enterprise Value of ~$0.9 billion Pro Forma for 5.77 million shares purchased @ $26 per for an aggregate cash use of $150 million on 4/10/12. Source: Company 10Q filed on 5/10/12 Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 4. Strong Collection of Online Brands 4 Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 5. Investment Highlights 5 Secular Winner   Favorable long-term trends for online pharma ad spending   Projected to grow at 13% CAGR to ~$2 billion by 2015 Strong Competitive Advantages   110 million unique users; 2.6 million physicians   #1 player with ~40% market share Strong Catalysts for Realization Within 6 – 12 Months   Poison pill expires on November 1, 2012   Upsize to existing $86 million share repurchase program   Normalization of ad spending Source: WebMD 10-K for the year ended 12/31/11, eMarketer April 2011 Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 6. Why Does it Trade at ~$22 Today? 6   Failed Sales Process   Temporary decline in pharmaceutical ad spending during 2012   FDA regulations for online advertising TBD   Patent expirations (e.g. Lipitor ~$10 billion) $70 $60 $50 Failed Sales Process $40 $30 $20 Icahn Reveals ~8% Stake $10 $0 WebMD 5 Year Stock Price Source: Yahoo! Finance, SEC Schedule 13D filed on 10/11/2011 Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 7. Public Portal 7   ~110 million users / ~10 billion page views   User is already engaged in researching ADHD Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 8. Physicians Portal 8   ~2.6 million physicians Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 9. Private Portal 9 Company Name Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 10. Pharmaceutical Ad Spending 10   North American Market of $28 billion is roughly 1/3 of promotional spending in the world   Online spending is anticipated to reach ~$2 billion by 2015 Source: eMarketer, April 2011 & CSD Promotion Database Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 11. Pharma Relying Less on Sales Reps 11   Secular decline of U.S. sales reps   105K peaked in 2005, ~75K by 2015   Physician Payments Sunshine Act, 2013 Source: IMS Health, The Global Use of Medicines: Outlook Through 2015 & Wall Street Journal, Drugs Reps Soften Their Sales Pitches Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 12. Long-Term Shift Towards Online Advertising 12 2011 Market Size 2020 Projected Market Size   ~$28 billion Total Advertising   ~$14 billion Total Advertising   ~$1 billion market size   ~$4 billion market size 2011 % Online Advertising of Total Budget 2020 % Online Advertising of Total Budget 3.6% 29% 71% 96.4% Source: CSD Promotion Database Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 13. Historical Financials 13 WebMD Health Corp 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LTM 3/30 Public Portal Advertising $238,022 $284,416 $347,570 $446,969 $477,325 $454,738 % Growth 19.5% 22.2% 28.6% 6.8% -4.7% Unique Monthly Users (Millions) 51 51 61 83 85 110 % Growth 0.0% 19.6% 36.1% 2.4% 29.4% Revenues Per User $4.67 $5.58 $5.70 $5.39 $5.62 $4.13 EBITDA Per User $1.08 $1.46 $1.84 $2.09 $2.13 $1.41 Private Portal Services $81,210 $89,046 $90,966 $87,500 $81,450 $79,375 % Growth 9.6% 2.2% -3.8% -6.9% -2.5% Total Revenues $319,232 $373,462 $438,536 $534,469 $558,775 $534,113 % Growth 17.0% 17.4% 21.9% 4.5% -4.4%   ~15% Revenue CAGR since 2007 Source: Company 10Ks and 10Qs Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 14. Historical Financials Cont’d 14 WebMD Health Corp 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LTM 3/30 A EBITDA 54,969 74,255 112,274 173,618 181,238 154,631 % Margin 17.2% 19.9% 25.6% 32.5% 32.4% 29.0% Less Capex (19,041) (24,265) (17,886) (32,254) (20,911) (19,439) Less Work ing Capital B (34,317) 2,298 8,444 (12,893) 8,052 15,042 Free Cash Flow 1,611 52,288 102,832 128,471 168,379 150,234 Less Interest Expense (25,887) (26,428) (23,515) (11,453) (20,645) (23,340) Cash EarningsC (24,276) 25,860 79,317 117,018 147,734 126,894 ROIC D 4% 5% 15% 25% 27% (A) Defined as operating income + D&A + non-cash stock based comp (B) Defined as change in AR + Prepaid - Accrued - Deferred Revenue (C) Excludes taxes due to the Company's NOLs (D) Defined as EBIT T axed @ 35% / (T otal Assets - Current Liabilities - Cash)   ~12% Free Cash Flow Yield   ~5.8x LTM EBITDA and ~7.8x NTM EBITDA Source: Company 10Ks and 10Qs Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 15. Attractive Valuation With Limited Downside 15   Conservative DCF ~$31 per share   ~$530 million revenues per year & 20% EBITDA margin   Market share falls from ~40% to ~20% while industry grows at a 13% CAGR   12% Cost of Capital and 2% Terminal Growth Relevant Comps Company WebMD (WBMD) Epocrates (EPOC) HealthStream (HSTM) Epocrates provides healthcare WebMD is a provider of health HealthStream provides learning and information services primarily in the Description information services to consumers, research solutions for the healthcare mobile space to 1.4 million physician physicians and employers. industry. members. LTM Revenues (000s) $534,113 $111,700 $87,234 LTM EBITDA (000s ) $154,631 $9,503 $17,865 A EV / LTM EBITDA 5.8x 11.7x 25.5x A EV / LTM Revenues 1.7x 1.0x 5.2x 5 Year Revenue CAGR 15% 15% 19% (A) As of close 05/15/2012 Source: Company 10Ks and 10Qs Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent
  • 16. Additional Upside Opportunities 16   ~$250 million NPV of Federal NOLs   ~$5 per share   May remain in CoC according to management   Monetize Mobile Growth   11.5 million consumer app downloads   2.0 million physician app downloads   International Opportunities   French and German physician sites Source: WebMD 10-K for the year ended 12/31/11, WebMD Conference Call Transcripts Not for Further Distribution Without My Express Consent