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2011 Current Reality Tree
Examination Of Current Situations
Theory Of ConstraintsTheory Of Constraints
The Author
• Consultant for Agile & Process
Improvement
2
Sebastian Schneider
Consultant for Agile & Process
Improvement
• Kugler Maag Cie GmbH
• http://www.sebastian-schneider.eu
• http://de.slideshare.net/schneseb
• http://prezi.com/user/SebastianSchneider/
• http://facebook.com/Sebastian.Schneider.eu
• https://twitter.com/SeSchneider
Sebastian Schneider
Necessary-Cause-Logic
3
Cause A Effect BAssumption
Sebastian Schneider
Battery
is empty
The engine
doesn’t startAssumption: The engine does not start
because the battery is empty
Nomenclature
4
Cause
Sebastian Schneider
Effect
Intermediate
Effect
Predicted Effect
5
Stove doesn’t
work
Stove doesn’t
work
Washing machine
doesn’t work
Sebastian Schneider
No electricity
No electricity
Additional Cause
6
Stove doesn’t
work
Stove doesn’t
work
Sebastian Schneider
No electricity
No electricity No power cord
Insufficient Cause
7
Stove doesn’t
work
Stove doesn’t
work
Sebastian Schneider
No electricity
No electricity Electric system
How To Start?
• Define the system for observation
• List all negative symptoms that you observe (UDE)
• Check the tree
• Identify Root Causes
8
• Identify Root Causes
• Rework the tree
• Identify “core causes”
Sebastian Schneider
Define The System For Observation
• Define within your group the system you
want to observe
• Examples
– “Our sales area does not lead to any
sales”
– “Our engineering department is not
9
– “Our engineering department is not
able to document the code”
• “is – is not”
Sebastian Schneider
List all negative symptoms (UDE)
• Group work
– Whiteboard
– All team members
– Brainstorming
• Tips
– Write SMART if possible
10
– Write SMART if possible
• Specific, Measurable, Accepted,
Relevant, Time limited
– Write active
– Write in present
• Example:
– “Currently we sell not the estimated
50.000 products per month”
Sebastian Schneider
Find round about 3-7
Undesirable Effects
for your system
Check I
• UDE‘s
– Are they sufficient?
– Are they detailed enough?
– Do they have all needed information?
• Example:
– UDE: “We do not reach our desired
11
– UDE: “We do not reach our desired
recommendation rate of 70% per
training”
– Ask if this is really the root cause, it
might be that
• “The participants are not
requested to rate the training”
Sebastian Schneider
Check every UDE
regarding granularity
and root cause
Check II
• New intermediate effects
– Look for new elements that are not
UDE’s but add additional useful
information to the tree
– In general they are not “good” or
“bad”
12
• Example:
– “The feedback form is available” is a
general statement
– It does not state any problem but
helps to understand the logic
Sebastian Schneider
Check if you need and
find intermediate
effects
Root Causes
• Check if the root causes are really root
causes and have no predecessor
• This causes are either out of your control
(preconditions) or can be influenced by
you
13
Sebastian Schneider
Rework
• Do rework with all the stakeholder
• Generate common understanding and
committing
• You can use the “5-Why-Method”
14
• Check if all UDE’s are really UDE’s, that
intermediate effects are really
intermediate effects, …
Sebastian Schneider
Core Driver
• Count in- and outputs
• Identify the core driver of your current
reality tree
• The core driver are quite similar to the
constraint in the ToC.
15
constraint in the ToC.
Sebastian Schneider

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Current Reality Tree

  • 1. 2011 Current Reality Tree Examination Of Current Situations Theory Of ConstraintsTheory Of Constraints
  • 2. The Author • Consultant for Agile & Process Improvement 2 Sebastian Schneider Consultant for Agile & Process Improvement • Kugler Maag Cie GmbH • http://www.sebastian-schneider.eu • http://de.slideshare.net/schneseb • http://prezi.com/user/SebastianSchneider/ • http://facebook.com/Sebastian.Schneider.eu • https://twitter.com/SeSchneider Sebastian Schneider
  • 3. Necessary-Cause-Logic 3 Cause A Effect BAssumption Sebastian Schneider Battery is empty The engine doesn’t startAssumption: The engine does not start because the battery is empty
  • 5. Predicted Effect 5 Stove doesn’t work Stove doesn’t work Washing machine doesn’t work Sebastian Schneider No electricity No electricity
  • 6. Additional Cause 6 Stove doesn’t work Stove doesn’t work Sebastian Schneider No electricity No electricity No power cord
  • 7. Insufficient Cause 7 Stove doesn’t work Stove doesn’t work Sebastian Schneider No electricity No electricity Electric system
  • 8. How To Start? • Define the system for observation • List all negative symptoms that you observe (UDE) • Check the tree • Identify Root Causes 8 • Identify Root Causes • Rework the tree • Identify “core causes” Sebastian Schneider
  • 9. Define The System For Observation • Define within your group the system you want to observe • Examples – “Our sales area does not lead to any sales” – “Our engineering department is not 9 – “Our engineering department is not able to document the code” • “is – is not” Sebastian Schneider
  • 10. List all negative symptoms (UDE) • Group work – Whiteboard – All team members – Brainstorming • Tips – Write SMART if possible 10 – Write SMART if possible • Specific, Measurable, Accepted, Relevant, Time limited – Write active – Write in present • Example: – “Currently we sell not the estimated 50.000 products per month” Sebastian Schneider Find round about 3-7 Undesirable Effects for your system
  • 11. Check I • UDE‘s – Are they sufficient? – Are they detailed enough? – Do they have all needed information? • Example: – UDE: “We do not reach our desired 11 – UDE: “We do not reach our desired recommendation rate of 70% per training” – Ask if this is really the root cause, it might be that • “The participants are not requested to rate the training” Sebastian Schneider Check every UDE regarding granularity and root cause
  • 12. Check II • New intermediate effects – Look for new elements that are not UDE’s but add additional useful information to the tree – In general they are not “good” or “bad” 12 • Example: – “The feedback form is available” is a general statement – It does not state any problem but helps to understand the logic Sebastian Schneider Check if you need and find intermediate effects
  • 13. Root Causes • Check if the root causes are really root causes and have no predecessor • This causes are either out of your control (preconditions) or can be influenced by you 13 Sebastian Schneider
  • 14. Rework • Do rework with all the stakeholder • Generate common understanding and committing • You can use the “5-Why-Method” 14 • Check if all UDE’s are really UDE’s, that intermediate effects are really intermediate effects, … Sebastian Schneider
  • 15. Core Driver • Count in- and outputs • Identify the core driver of your current reality tree • The core driver are quite similar to the constraint in the ToC. 15 constraint in the ToC. Sebastian Schneider