SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Download to read offline
OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT
                                                                                                                                              2Q09


ECONOMY                                                                                               BEAT ON THE STREET
The unemployment rate for the Ottawa-Gatineau region rose four tenths of a percentage
                                                                                                      “Interest from tenants remains consistent, as
point in May to reach 5.9%. Although the local economy lost approximately 3,800 jobs,                 does their frustration due to lack of product.
this employment decrease was the smallest number seen year-to-date, and unemployment                  As a result, tenants are having to
is well below the national unemployment rate of 8.4%. There were encouraging signs in                 compromise. This will lead to a constant
the high-tech sector, which added approximately 1,500 jobs to employ 54,600 people in                 level of velocity throughout the industrial
May, although overall employment is down by around 7,000 year-over-year. The business,                market for the remainder of 2009.”
building, and other support services segment, which includes employment agencies and
call centres, has experienced some troubles as well and has seen its workforce decrease by            – Peter Earwaker, Senior Sales
10,000 jobs to currently employ around 18,600 workers. The public administration sector               Representative
continues to be the shining light for the region and has added around 5,000 jobs over the

                                                                                                      ECONOMIC INDICATORS
course of 2009.

                                                                                                                                    2007      2008    2009F
OVERVIEW                                                                                              GDP Growth                    2.6%     1.2%     0.2%
After a strong first quarter, a slight weakening in certain areas of the industrial market            CPI Growth                    1.9%     2.2%     0.5%
                                                                                                      Unemployment                  5.2%     4.8%     5.8%
occurred this quarter. After a substantial decline last quarter, vacancy in the second quarter

                                                                                                      Employment                    1.3%     2.8%     -0.4%
rose to 4.4%, an increase of six tenths of a percentage point. Overall vacant space increased
                                                                                                      Growth
to approximately 991,000 square feet (sf); however, this is still the second lowest vacancy rate

                                                                                                      Source: Conference Board of Canada
the market has achieved in the past six quarters. In a rare occurrence, it was weakening in
the eastern sub-markets rather than softening in the western sub-markets that led to the
vacancy increase this quarter.                                                                        MARKET FORECAST
                                                                                                      LEASING ACTIVITY should remain
                                                                                                      consistent throughout the second half
Leasing activity remains consistent in the overall industrial market, with 142,000 sf this quarter,

                                                                                                      of 2009.
a figure almost identical to the first quarter. Leasing activity also continues to remain fairly
evenly split between the eastern and western sub-markets. In both the western and eastern
                                                                                                      DIRECT ABSORPTION headed into
                                                                                                      negative territory this quarter and will
sections of the city the majority of the leasing activity was centered within one building. The

                                                                                                      most likely remain there in the second
remaining transactions were distributed among numerous other properties and were generally
                                                                                                      half of 2009 as up to 200,000 sf is
under 5,000 sf.
Since overall demand was not strong enough to counteract the additional space that came on            forecasted to come on the market.
the market this quarter the result was an overall negative absorption of approximately 69,000         CONSTRUCTION continues on two
                                                                                                      properties, due to be delivered next
                                                                                                      quarter and in early 2010.
sf. With the western sub-markets remaining fairly flat, it was the eastern sub-markets that
generated all of the negative absorption.


OUTLOOK
Looking ahead to the second half of 2009, the vacancy rate should remain fairly stable, but           OVERALL RENT VS. VACANCY RATE
                                                                                                                             Rent          Vac ancy
                                                                                                                $8                                      8%
there is a risk of vacancy ticking upwards. Approximately 80,000 sf is currently being
listed to become available over the last six months of the year, with approximately 80% of
that space located in the western sub-market of Kanata. Something else that will also have                      $7                                      6%
                                                                                                       psf/yr




an immediate impact on vacancy rates as well as absorption figures is the 133,000 sf
former Hospital Linen Services premises. These buildings were removed from the market                           $6                                      4%

                                                                                                                $5                                      2%
last quarter, but were not leased. It is almost a certainty that these buildings will be
coming back on the market by the end of the year.
                                                                                                                $4                                      0%
                                                                                                                     1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09



OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09                                                                                                                           1
WEST OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09




                                  Overall Rental vs. Vacancy Rate                        Overall Available Space vs. Leasing Activity

                                               Rent         Vacancy                                                  Available Spac e   Leasing Activity
                  $10                                                     10.0%
                                                                                                              820
                            $9                                            8.0%
                                                                                                              620




                                                                                               sf ( '00 0 )
         psf/yr




                            $8                                            6.0%                                420

                            $7                                            4.0%                                220
                                                                                                               20
                            $6                                            2.0%
                                                                                                                     1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09
                                       1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09


 Although it was not as steep as last quarter’s decline, the vacancy              The amount of available space located in the western sub-markets
  rate in the overall western sub-markets nudged downwards to                       declined slightly this quarter to approximately 659,000 sf. The vast
  reach 7.5%, a one tenth of a percentage point difference from last                majority of that space continues to be located in Kanata, with close
  quarter.                                                                          to 416,000 sf available in this sub-market.
 Mirroring the small amount of change in the vacancy rate, overall                Leasing activity continues to be consistent with close to 76,000 sf,
  rental rates held fairly steady, with current average asking rates                about 8,000 sf higher than last quarter. As with the first quarter,
  sitting at $7.51 per square foot (psf), which is two cents higher than            that leasing activity was located in twelve properties, and once again
  last quarter.                                                                     the largest block of activity was located in Kanata with around
                                                                                    41,000 sf in one property.


        Available Space Trends Overall vs. Sublease                                                                          Absorption

                                                  Overall      Sublease
                                                                                                              150
                                 800
                                 650                                                                          100
                  s f (' 00 0)




                                 500
                                                                                            sf ('0 00 )




                                                                                                               50
                                 350
                                                                                                                0
                                 200
                                  50                                                                           -50
                                        1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09
                                                                                                              -100   1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

 There was a slight increase in the amount of sublet space available              Although absorption did drop off substantially from last quarter, the
  in the western sub-markets, rising by approximately 3,500 sf to                   western sub-markets remained in positive territory with around
  reach just over 60,000 sf. This increase was the result of one new                7,500 sf.
  listing coming on the market.                                                    It is expected that absorption will drop back down into the negative
 In the short term, little change is expected in the sublet market.                through the latter half of 2009, as approximately 66,000 sf is
  Around 56,000 sf of the total amount of space available for                       expected to come on the market. As things currently stand, it is not
  sublease is located in one property. It is proving to be difficult to             anticipated that demand will be strong enough to counteract this
  find a suitable tenant for this location and this space does not                  additional space becoming available.
  revert back to the landlord until 2013.




                                                                                                                                                           2
EAST OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09




                             Overall Rental vs. Vacancy Rate                     Overall Available Space vs. Leasing Activity

                                      Rent         Vacancy                                                            Available Space   Leasing Activity
                        $9                                        5.0%
                                                                  4.0%                                          500
                        $8
                                                                  3.0%                                          400




                                                                                                  sf ('0 00 )
           ps f/yr




                        $7                                                                                      300
                                                                  2.0%
                                                                                                                200
                        $6
                                                                  1.0%                                          100
                        $5                                        0.0%                                           0
                              1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09                                                            1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09


 After five consecutive quarters of vacancy declines, vacancy rose in     The amount of square footage available in the eastern sub-markets
  the eastern sub-markets to 2.4%, an increase of a full percentage         increased by approximately 140,000 sf to reach 332,000 sf. This
  point from last quarter.                                                  increase was not the result of one or two large blocks of space
 With this minimal increase in vacancy came a slight contraction in        coming on the market; instead, every sub-market in the eastern sub-
  overall asking rental rates. Rates fell by 17 cents from last quarter     markets reported an increase in vacant space.
  to reach $8.00 psf. Decreases in rental rates were seen in almost        Leasing activity remained fairly consistent, only decreasing by 7,000
  all of the sub-markets that posted negative absorption this quarter,      sf this quarter to reach just over 66,000 sf. As was the situation in
  which could be a reflection of the type of space that came on the         the western sub-markets, the leasing activity was not evenly
  market this quarter.                                                      distributed among the various sub-markets, as 46,000 sf was located
                                                                            in one property.

        Available Space Trends Overall vs. Sublease                                                                          Absorption

                                             Overall   Sublease                                200

                        600                                                                    125
                        500
                                                                                                50
                                                                                 sf ('0 0 0)




                        400
          sf ('0 0 0)




                        300                                                                     -25
                        200
                        100                                                                    -100
                          0
                                                                                               -175
                               1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09
                                                                                                                 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

 The amount of sublet space available in the eastern sub-markets          Absorption headed into negative territory this quarter at close to
  rose for the fourth straight quarter to reach 76,000 sf, its steepest     77,000 sf. Although there was a new 41,000 sf building completed
  increase over this same time period.                                      this quarter, the building came on the market with 26,000 sf still
 This increase in available sublet space comes from a handful of           vacant. As a result only, 15,000 sf counted towards positive
  properties that have new space available for sublease this quarter,       absorption.
  rather than just one new block of space.                                 All sub-markets except for two reported negative absorption this
                                                                            quarter, and the outlook does not appear favourable in the short
                                                                            term. Although only 14,000 sf is currently listed to become
                                                                            available over the next six months, it is assumed that the 133,000 sf
                                                                            former Hospital Linen Services premises will be coming back on the
                                                                            market after being removed last quarter due to a change in the
                                                                            brokerage handling the listing.




                                                                                                                                                           3
OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09



MARKET/SUBMARKET STATISTICS
                                                                       Overall            Direct             YTD                       YTD                              YTD                 Average
                                                       No. of         Vacancy           Vacancy           Leasing         Under Construction                          Overall                Rental
Market/Submarket                   Inventory           Bldgs.            Rate              Rate            Activity Construction Completions                       Absorption                  Rate
West Ottawa Submarkets
Kanata                             3,379,000                57           12.3%             12.3%           71,417                      0                    0          219,227                 $6.89
Bell’s Corners                       363,842                12            1.4%              1.4%                0                      0                    0                 0                  N/A
Morrison/Queensview                  415,519                 9            4.4%              4.4%            8,100                      0                    0           (1,285)                $7.50
Woodward/Carling                     540,800                23            7.2%              7.2%            7,746                      0                    0          (30,988)                  N/A
Ottawa Centre                        833,814                29            3.1%              3.1%            8,870                      0                    0          (12,330)                $7.19
Ottawa South                         695,111                11            3.6%              3.6%           11,682                      0                    0           (7,734)                $7.50
West Merivale                        554,593                27            2.6%              2.6%            7,030                      0                    0          (12,962)                $9.00
East Merivale                        587,403                26            3.2%              2.6%            5,960                      0                    0             3,245                $9.38
Colonnade                            786,560                27           12.1%              4.9%            7,100                      0                    0          (24,417)               $10.69
Rideau Heights                       622,918                28            0.3%              0.3%           16,080                      0                    0             7,965               $11.55
East Ottawa Submarkets
South Walkley                        441,680               15              6.2%              6.2%               0                  0                     0             (27,434)                $9.00
Ottawa Business Park               1,321,259               30              0.9%              0.9%          10,280                  0                     0              (9,145)               $10.01
Coventry/Belfast                   1,886,526               51              2.2%              2.1%           2,915                  0                     0              (1,266)                $7.75
Cyrville                           2,190,942               60              1.8%              0.9%           9,038                  0                     0              (3,732)                $7.50
Sheffield                          3,276,043               63              0.7%              0.6%           8,510                  0                     0             124,101                 $7.75
Sheffield/Lancaster                1,170,820               20              1.0%              1.0%          35,898                  0                     0               15,479                $7.44
Stevenage/Belgreen                 1,854,224               52              5.9%              3.3%          26,386             45,000                41,215              (2,548)                $7.81
South Gloucester/Albion              409,334               16              5.4%              5.4%               0                  0                     0                    0                  N/A
Queensway                            639,185               22              1.7%              1.7%               0            122,500                     0              (6,301)                $8.07
Orleans                              458,369               13              7.4%              7.4%          46,000                  0                     0             (22,950)                $7.30
Total                             22,427,942              591              4.4%              3.8%         283,012            208,715                41,215             206,925                 $7.71

*Rental rates reflect $psf/year




MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
 SIGNIFICANT 2Q09 NEW LEASE TRANSACTIONS
 BUILDING                             SUBMARKET                                TENANT                                                           SQ FT                                     BLDG CLASS
 1155 Rainbow Street                  Queensway                                University of Ottawa                                          19,200                                       Warehouse



 SIGNIFICANT 2Q09 SALE TRANSACTIONS
 BUILDING                             SUBMARKET                                BUYER                                                            SQ FT                               PURCHASE PRICE
 2455 Don Reid Drive                  Ottawa Business Park                     Kaysush Investments Ltd.                                      38,500                                       $3,200,000



 SIGNIFICANT 2Q09 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS
 BUILDING                             SUBMARKET                                MAJOR TENANT                                                     SQ FT                             COMPLETION DATE
 3020 Hawthorne Road                  Stevenage/Belgreen                       Motion Specialties                                            41,215                                               06/09



 SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
 BUILDING                             SUBMARKET                                MAJOR TENANT                                                     SQ FT                             COMPLETION DATE
 1155 Rainbow Street                  Queensway Business Park                  University of Ottawa                                         122,500                                               04/10
 1071 Ages Drive                      Stevenage/Belgreen                       Contract Furniture Source                                     45,000                                               07/09




                                      For industry-leading intelligence to support your real estate and   This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by
                                      business decisions, go to Cushman & Wakefield’s Knowledge           Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman &
                                                                                                          Wakefield Ottawa accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No
                                      Center at www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge                        warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness
                                                                                                          of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions,
                                      Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa                                          change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special
                                      99 Bank Street Suite 700                                            listing conditions imposed by our principals.
                                      Ottawa, ON K1P 1K6
                                                                                                          ©2009 Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa All rights reserved.
                                      (613) 236-7777

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013
10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013 10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013
10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013
Abi Aeera
 
Jason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.Final
Jason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.FinalJason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.Final
Jason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.Final
Ajax Experience 2009
 
Fertility Plus IATF
Fertility Plus IATFFertility Plus IATF
Fertility Plus IATF
AgriPoint
 
2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章
2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章
2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章
park101
 
New book ch 1, sect 1
New book ch 1, sect 1New book ch 1, sect 1
New book ch 1, sect 1
charsh
 
Faults Model
Faults ModelFaults Model
Faults Model
charsh
 
Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009
Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009
Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009
Ajax Experience 2009
 
Merial Eprinex
Merial EprinexMerial Eprinex
Merial Eprinex
AgriPoint
 
Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010
Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010
Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010
lldclldc
 

Viewers also liked (19)

Pacer chicago style
Pacer chicago stylePacer chicago style
Pacer chicago style
 
10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013
10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013 10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013
10102012 konsep permenhub ttg standar biaya 2013
 
Amazing Javita Weight Loss Testimonials of 2013-2014
Amazing Javita Weight Loss Testimonials of 2013-2014Amazing Javita Weight Loss Testimonials of 2013-2014
Amazing Javita Weight Loss Testimonials of 2013-2014
 
Jason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.Final
Jason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.FinalJason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.Final
Jason.O Keefe.Genuitec.Presentation.Final
 
Fertility Plus IATF
Fertility Plus IATFFertility Plus IATF
Fertility Plus IATF
 
Transmedia and Augmented Reality
Transmedia and Augmented RealityTransmedia and Augmented Reality
Transmedia and Augmented Reality
 
Ignite Talk - Jeff Axup - How to design a tablet computer to upset the curr...
Ignite Talk - Jeff Axup - How to design a  tablet computer to  upset the curr...Ignite Talk - Jeff Axup - How to design a  tablet computer to  upset the curr...
Ignite Talk - Jeff Axup - How to design a tablet computer to upset the curr...
 
Kwnyc newsletter 2015_q1_4 (1)
Kwnyc newsletter 2015_q1_4 (1)Kwnyc newsletter 2015_q1_4 (1)
Kwnyc newsletter 2015_q1_4 (1)
 
2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章
2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章
2009南科未婚聯誼活動簡章
 
Take my breath away - Roxette PPS by Sonia Medeiros
Take my breath away - Roxette PPS by Sonia Medeiros Take my breath away - Roxette PPS by Sonia Medeiros
Take my breath away - Roxette PPS by Sonia Medeiros
 
Aplicaciones moviles
Aplicaciones movilesAplicaciones moviles
Aplicaciones moviles
 
New book ch 1, sect 1
New book ch 1, sect 1New book ch 1, sect 1
New book ch 1, sect 1
 
Faults Model
Faults ModelFaults Model
Faults Model
 
Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009
Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009
Ted Husted Presentation Testing Ajax Applications Ae2009
 
Merial Eprinex
Merial EprinexMerial Eprinex
Merial Eprinex
 
Brasil II - PPS by Sonia Medeiros
Brasil II - PPS  by Sonia MedeirosBrasil II - PPS  by Sonia Medeiros
Brasil II - PPS by Sonia Medeiros
 
Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010
Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010
Taylor De Jongh Qualifications Mar 2010
 
150321 bagian isi
150321 bagian isi150321 bagian isi
150321 bagian isi
 
S4 tarea4 gania
S4 tarea4 ganiaS4 tarea4 gania
S4 tarea4 gania
 

More from scottbrooker

Accounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector Final
Accounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector FinalAccounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector Final
Accounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector Final
scottbrooker
 
LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009
LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009
LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009
scottbrooker
 

More from scottbrooker (19)

C&W Sustainability Services Brochure 2011
C&W Sustainability Services Brochure 2011C&W Sustainability Services Brochure 2011
C&W Sustainability Services Brochure 2011
 
2011 Green Building Index - US National Overview
2011 Green Building Index - US National Overview2011 Green Building Index - US National Overview
2011 Green Building Index - US National Overview
 
2011 Q2 Green Viewpoint
2011 Q2 Green Viewpoint2011 Q2 Green Viewpoint
2011 Q2 Green Viewpoint
 
Sustainability - Is It Really Influencing Investment Decisions
Sustainability - Is It Really Influencing Investment DecisionsSustainability - Is It Really Influencing Investment Decisions
Sustainability - Is It Really Influencing Investment Decisions
 
Press Release 240111
Press Release 240111Press Release 240111
Press Release 240111
 
Green Viewpoint Q3-2010
Green Viewpoint Q3-2010Green Viewpoint Q3-2010
Green Viewpoint Q3-2010
 
Mid Year Outlook 2010
Mid Year Outlook 2010Mid Year Outlook 2010
Mid Year Outlook 2010
 
Green Building Index Profile Report: Midtown NY
Green Building Index Profile Report: Midtown NYGreen Building Index Profile Report: Midtown NY
Green Building Index Profile Report: Midtown NY
 
The Economics of Sustainability in the Comemrcial Real Estate Sector
The Economics of Sustainability in the Comemrcial Real Estate SectorThe Economics of Sustainability in the Comemrcial Real Estate Sector
The Economics of Sustainability in the Comemrcial Real Estate Sector
 
Accounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector Final
Accounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector FinalAccounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector Final
Accounting For GHG Emissions In The Commercial Building Sector Final
 
LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009
LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009
LEED Canada Buildings Review 2002-2009
 
UN Environmental Program SBCI Call To Action
UN Environmental Program SBCI Call To ActionUN Environmental Program SBCI Call To Action
UN Environmental Program SBCI Call To Action
 
Green Lease Guide Final 05 Feb10
Green Lease Guide Final 05 Feb10Green Lease Guide Final 05 Feb10
Green Lease Guide Final 05 Feb10
 
Making a Sustainable Difference
Making a Sustainable DifferenceMaking a Sustainable Difference
Making a Sustainable Difference
 
Ottawa Green Real Estate
Ottawa Green Real EstateOttawa Green Real Estate
Ottawa Green Real Estate
 
Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa January Listing Report
Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa January Listing ReportCushman & Wakefield Ottawa January Listing Report
Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa January Listing Report
 
Climate Change: Risks & Opportunities in the Canadian Commercial Real Est...
Climate Change: Risks & Opportunities in the Canadian Commercial Real Est...Climate Change: Risks & Opportunities in the Canadian Commercial Real Est...
Climate Change: Risks & Opportunities in the Canadian Commercial Real Est...
 
High Performance Green Building: What is it worth?
High Performance Green Building: What is it worth?High Performance Green Building: What is it worth?
High Performance Green Building: What is it worth?
 
C&W Ottawa October 2009 Listing Report
C&W Ottawa October 2009 Listing ReportC&W Ottawa October 2009 Listing Report
C&W Ottawa October 2009 Listing Report
 

Q2 2009 Industrial Marketbeat Report

  • 1. OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09 ECONOMY BEAT ON THE STREET The unemployment rate for the Ottawa-Gatineau region rose four tenths of a percentage “Interest from tenants remains consistent, as point in May to reach 5.9%. Although the local economy lost approximately 3,800 jobs, does their frustration due to lack of product. this employment decrease was the smallest number seen year-to-date, and unemployment As a result, tenants are having to is well below the national unemployment rate of 8.4%. There were encouraging signs in compromise. This will lead to a constant the high-tech sector, which added approximately 1,500 jobs to employ 54,600 people in level of velocity throughout the industrial May, although overall employment is down by around 7,000 year-over-year. The business, market for the remainder of 2009.” building, and other support services segment, which includes employment agencies and call centres, has experienced some troubles as well and has seen its workforce decrease by – Peter Earwaker, Senior Sales 10,000 jobs to currently employ around 18,600 workers. The public administration sector Representative continues to be the shining light for the region and has added around 5,000 jobs over the ECONOMIC INDICATORS course of 2009. 2007 2008 2009F OVERVIEW GDP Growth 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% After a strong first quarter, a slight weakening in certain areas of the industrial market CPI Growth 1.9% 2.2% 0.5% Unemployment 5.2% 4.8% 5.8% occurred this quarter. After a substantial decline last quarter, vacancy in the second quarter Employment 1.3% 2.8% -0.4% rose to 4.4%, an increase of six tenths of a percentage point. Overall vacant space increased Growth to approximately 991,000 square feet (sf); however, this is still the second lowest vacancy rate Source: Conference Board of Canada the market has achieved in the past six quarters. In a rare occurrence, it was weakening in the eastern sub-markets rather than softening in the western sub-markets that led to the vacancy increase this quarter. MARKET FORECAST LEASING ACTIVITY should remain consistent throughout the second half Leasing activity remains consistent in the overall industrial market, with 142,000 sf this quarter, of 2009. a figure almost identical to the first quarter. Leasing activity also continues to remain fairly evenly split between the eastern and western sub-markets. In both the western and eastern DIRECT ABSORPTION headed into negative territory this quarter and will sections of the city the majority of the leasing activity was centered within one building. The most likely remain there in the second remaining transactions were distributed among numerous other properties and were generally half of 2009 as up to 200,000 sf is under 5,000 sf. Since overall demand was not strong enough to counteract the additional space that came on forecasted to come on the market. the market this quarter the result was an overall negative absorption of approximately 69,000 CONSTRUCTION continues on two properties, due to be delivered next quarter and in early 2010. sf. With the western sub-markets remaining fairly flat, it was the eastern sub-markets that generated all of the negative absorption. OUTLOOK Looking ahead to the second half of 2009, the vacancy rate should remain fairly stable, but OVERALL RENT VS. VACANCY RATE Rent Vac ancy $8 8% there is a risk of vacancy ticking upwards. Approximately 80,000 sf is currently being listed to become available over the last six months of the year, with approximately 80% of that space located in the western sub-market of Kanata. Something else that will also have $7 6% psf/yr an immediate impact on vacancy rates as well as absorption figures is the 133,000 sf former Hospital Linen Services premises. These buildings were removed from the market $6 4% $5 2% last quarter, but were not leased. It is almost a certainty that these buildings will be coming back on the market by the end of the year. $4 0% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09 1
  • 2. WEST OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09 Overall Rental vs. Vacancy Rate Overall Available Space vs. Leasing Activity Rent Vacancy Available Spac e Leasing Activity $10 10.0% 820 $9 8.0% 620 sf ( '00 0 ) psf/yr $8 6.0% 420 $7 4.0% 220 20 $6 2.0% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09  Although it was not as steep as last quarter’s decline, the vacancy  The amount of available space located in the western sub-markets rate in the overall western sub-markets nudged downwards to declined slightly this quarter to approximately 659,000 sf. The vast reach 7.5%, a one tenth of a percentage point difference from last majority of that space continues to be located in Kanata, with close quarter. to 416,000 sf available in this sub-market.  Mirroring the small amount of change in the vacancy rate, overall  Leasing activity continues to be consistent with close to 76,000 sf, rental rates held fairly steady, with current average asking rates about 8,000 sf higher than last quarter. As with the first quarter, sitting at $7.51 per square foot (psf), which is two cents higher than that leasing activity was located in twelve properties, and once again last quarter. the largest block of activity was located in Kanata with around 41,000 sf in one property. Available Space Trends Overall vs. Sublease Absorption Overall Sublease 150 800 650 100 s f (' 00 0) 500 sf ('0 00 ) 50 350 0 200 50 -50 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 -100 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09  There was a slight increase in the amount of sublet space available  Although absorption did drop off substantially from last quarter, the in the western sub-markets, rising by approximately 3,500 sf to western sub-markets remained in positive territory with around reach just over 60,000 sf. This increase was the result of one new 7,500 sf. listing coming on the market.  It is expected that absorption will drop back down into the negative  In the short term, little change is expected in the sublet market. through the latter half of 2009, as approximately 66,000 sf is Around 56,000 sf of the total amount of space available for expected to come on the market. As things currently stand, it is not sublease is located in one property. It is proving to be difficult to anticipated that demand will be strong enough to counteract this find a suitable tenant for this location and this space does not additional space becoming available. revert back to the landlord until 2013. 2
  • 3. EAST OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09 Overall Rental vs. Vacancy Rate Overall Available Space vs. Leasing Activity Rent Vacancy Available Space Leasing Activity $9 5.0% 4.0% 500 $8 3.0% 400 sf ('0 00 ) ps f/yr $7 300 2.0% 200 $6 1.0% 100 $5 0.0% 0 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09  After five consecutive quarters of vacancy declines, vacancy rose in  The amount of square footage available in the eastern sub-markets the eastern sub-markets to 2.4%, an increase of a full percentage increased by approximately 140,000 sf to reach 332,000 sf. This point from last quarter. increase was not the result of one or two large blocks of space  With this minimal increase in vacancy came a slight contraction in coming on the market; instead, every sub-market in the eastern sub- overall asking rental rates. Rates fell by 17 cents from last quarter markets reported an increase in vacant space. to reach $8.00 psf. Decreases in rental rates were seen in almost  Leasing activity remained fairly consistent, only decreasing by 7,000 all of the sub-markets that posted negative absorption this quarter, sf this quarter to reach just over 66,000 sf. As was the situation in which could be a reflection of the type of space that came on the the western sub-markets, the leasing activity was not evenly market this quarter. distributed among the various sub-markets, as 46,000 sf was located in one property. Available Space Trends Overall vs. Sublease Absorption Overall Sublease 200 600 125 500 50 sf ('0 0 0) 400 sf ('0 0 0) 300 -25 200 100 -100 0 -175 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09  The amount of sublet space available in the eastern sub-markets  Absorption headed into negative territory this quarter at close to rose for the fourth straight quarter to reach 76,000 sf, its steepest 77,000 sf. Although there was a new 41,000 sf building completed increase over this same time period. this quarter, the building came on the market with 26,000 sf still  This increase in available sublet space comes from a handful of vacant. As a result only, 15,000 sf counted towards positive properties that have new space available for sublease this quarter, absorption. rather than just one new block of space.  All sub-markets except for two reported negative absorption this quarter, and the outlook does not appear favourable in the short term. Although only 14,000 sf is currently listed to become available over the next six months, it is assumed that the 133,000 sf former Hospital Linen Services premises will be coming back on the market after being removed last quarter due to a change in the brokerage handling the listing. 3
  • 4. OTTAWA INDUSTRIAL REPORT 2Q09 MARKET/SUBMARKET STATISTICS Overall Direct YTD YTD YTD Average No. of Vacancy Vacancy Leasing Under Construction Overall Rental Market/Submarket Inventory Bldgs. Rate Rate Activity Construction Completions Absorption Rate West Ottawa Submarkets Kanata 3,379,000 57 12.3% 12.3% 71,417 0 0 219,227 $6.89 Bell’s Corners 363,842 12 1.4% 1.4% 0 0 0 0 N/A Morrison/Queensview 415,519 9 4.4% 4.4% 8,100 0 0 (1,285) $7.50 Woodward/Carling 540,800 23 7.2% 7.2% 7,746 0 0 (30,988) N/A Ottawa Centre 833,814 29 3.1% 3.1% 8,870 0 0 (12,330) $7.19 Ottawa South 695,111 11 3.6% 3.6% 11,682 0 0 (7,734) $7.50 West Merivale 554,593 27 2.6% 2.6% 7,030 0 0 (12,962) $9.00 East Merivale 587,403 26 3.2% 2.6% 5,960 0 0 3,245 $9.38 Colonnade 786,560 27 12.1% 4.9% 7,100 0 0 (24,417) $10.69 Rideau Heights 622,918 28 0.3% 0.3% 16,080 0 0 7,965 $11.55 East Ottawa Submarkets South Walkley 441,680 15 6.2% 6.2% 0 0 0 (27,434) $9.00 Ottawa Business Park 1,321,259 30 0.9% 0.9% 10,280 0 0 (9,145) $10.01 Coventry/Belfast 1,886,526 51 2.2% 2.1% 2,915 0 0 (1,266) $7.75 Cyrville 2,190,942 60 1.8% 0.9% 9,038 0 0 (3,732) $7.50 Sheffield 3,276,043 63 0.7% 0.6% 8,510 0 0 124,101 $7.75 Sheffield/Lancaster 1,170,820 20 1.0% 1.0% 35,898 0 0 15,479 $7.44 Stevenage/Belgreen 1,854,224 52 5.9% 3.3% 26,386 45,000 41,215 (2,548) $7.81 South Gloucester/Albion 409,334 16 5.4% 5.4% 0 0 0 0 N/A Queensway 639,185 22 1.7% 1.7% 0 122,500 0 (6,301) $8.07 Orleans 458,369 13 7.4% 7.4% 46,000 0 0 (22,950) $7.30 Total 22,427,942 591 4.4% 3.8% 283,012 208,715 41,215 206,925 $7.71 *Rental rates reflect $psf/year MARKET HIGHLIGHTS SIGNIFICANT 2Q09 NEW LEASE TRANSACTIONS BUILDING SUBMARKET TENANT SQ FT BLDG CLASS 1155 Rainbow Street Queensway University of Ottawa 19,200 Warehouse SIGNIFICANT 2Q09 SALE TRANSACTIONS BUILDING SUBMARKET BUYER SQ FT PURCHASE PRICE 2455 Don Reid Drive Ottawa Business Park Kaysush Investments Ltd. 38,500 $3,200,000 SIGNIFICANT 2Q09 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS BUILDING SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT SQ FT COMPLETION DATE 3020 Hawthorne Road Stevenage/Belgreen Motion Specialties 41,215 06/09 SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION BUILDING SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT SQ FT COMPLETION DATE 1155 Rainbow Street Queensway Business Park University of Ottawa 122,500 04/10 1071 Ages Drive Stevenage/Belgreen Contract Furniture Source 45,000 07/09 For industry-leading intelligence to support your real estate and This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by business decisions, go to Cushman & Wakefield’s Knowledge Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No Center at www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special 99 Bank Street Suite 700 listing conditions imposed by our principals. Ottawa, ON K1P 1K6 ©2009 Cushman & Wakefield Ottawa All rights reserved. (613) 236-7777