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The Coca-Cola Company Corporate Valuation
Overview
   The Coca-Cola Company
   SWOT & Porter’s 5 Forces
   DuPont Analysis
   Ratio Analysis
   Analysis of Firm Risk
   WACC
   Gordon Dividend Model
   Recommendations
The Coca-Cola Company
From 1886 to 2011
CSD Market Share - 2010
SWOT Analysis: Strengths

   Strong brand identity
   Highest Market Share in CSD
   Large distribution network
   Various product lines
   Globalization
SWOT Analysis: Weaknesses

   Brand failures
   Product recalls
   Destocking of products
SWOT Analysis: Opportunities
   Potential growth outside US
   Increased bottled water
    consumption
   Acquisition of CCE
   New product penetration
   NARTD market growth
    (Non-alcoholic ready-to-drink)
SWOT Analysis: Threats


    Porter’s Five Forces
Porter’s 5 Forces: New Entrants

   Brand Loyalty
   Advertising Ability
   Access to Distribution Channels
   Supplier Availability
Porter’s 5 Forces: Substitute
Products
   Pepsi
   Gatorade
   Budweiser
   Coffee/ Tea Brands
Porter’s 5 Forces:
Bargaining Power of Buyers
   Fast Food Chains
   Vending Machines
   Convenience Stores
   Super Markets
Porter’s 5 Forces: Bargaining
Power of Suppliers
   Low Cost of Raw Materials
   High Volumes of Raw Materials
   Low Switching Costs
Porter’s 5 Forces: Competitor
Rivalry
   Advertising/ Marketing Strategies
   Differentiated Products
   Consumer Control
   Expansion Opportunities
Ratio Analysis - DuPont

   Helps to determine the financial strength of
    a company
   Examines trends and causes of ROE
   ROE is calculated as:
    Net Profit Margin (NPM) × Asset Turnover Ratio
    (AT) × Equity Multiplier Ratio (EM)
Ratio Analysis - DuPont
Ratio Analysis - DuPont

   The components of ROE:
     Net Profit   Margin – operating efficiency
       Net Income ÷   Sales
     Asset   Turnover – asset use efficiency
       Sales ÷ Total Assets

     Equity   Multiplier – financial leverage
       Total Assets ÷Total Equity
Ratio Analysis - DuPont
Ratio Analysis - DuPont
Ratio Analysis - DuPont
Total Debt Ratio & D/E Ratio
Net Working Capital &
Current Ratio
Analysis of Firm Risk

      Calculation of Altman Z-Score
        Z  > 2.99= Strong
         2.99 > Z > 1.81= “Grey Zone”

         Z < 1.81= Weak
Z   =    1.2( WC÷TA) +    1.4(RE÷TA) +      3.3(EBIT÷TA) +   0.6(MVE÷TL) +      0.999(Sales÷TA)




4.07     1.2(3,071,000÷   1.4(49,278,000÷   3.3(8,449,000÷   0.6(153,043,480÷   0.999(35,119,000÷
         72,921,000) +    72,921,000) +     72,921,000) +    41,604,000) +      72,921,000)
Analysis of Firm Risk


WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)


WACC Variables


WACC Calculation


Gordon Dividend Model

Stock Price (Constant required rate of return)

Lower than expected growth (5.4%)    ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.054 / 0.0899 − 0.054 = $55.20
Lower than expected growth (6.0%)    ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.060 / 0.0899 − 0.060 = $66.64
Expected growth (6.4%)               ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0899 − 0.064 = $77.23
Higher than expected growth (7.4%)   ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.074 / 0.0899 − 0.074 = $126.99
Stock Price (Constant growth rate at 6.4%)

Lower cost of capital (7.99%)        ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0799 − 0.064 = $125.81
Expected cost of capital (8.99%)     ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0899 − 0.064 = $77.23
Higher cost of capital (9.40%)       ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0940 − 0.064 = $66.68
Higher cost of capital (9.99%)       ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0999 − 0.064 = $55.72
Conclusion/ Recommendations

   Risks: Emerging Competition, Changing
    Consumer Preferences, Exchange Rate
    Fluctuations
   Buy Coca-Cola Stock at Current Market
    Value ($66.31)
   Hold Coca-Cola Stock if GR lower than 6%
    or Expected Cost of Capital is above 9.45%
   Coca-Cola is fairly stable and would be an
    excellent Long-Term Investment
Questions?



 The Coca-Cola Company Corporate Valuation

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Coca-Cola Corporate Valuation

  • 1. The Coca-Cola Company Corporate Valuation
  • 2. Overview  The Coca-Cola Company  SWOT & Porter’s 5 Forces  DuPont Analysis  Ratio Analysis  Analysis of Firm Risk  WACC  Gordon Dividend Model  Recommendations
  • 5. SWOT Analysis: Strengths  Strong brand identity  Highest Market Share in CSD  Large distribution network  Various product lines  Globalization
  • 6. SWOT Analysis: Weaknesses  Brand failures  Product recalls  Destocking of products
  • 7. SWOT Analysis: Opportunities  Potential growth outside US  Increased bottled water consumption  Acquisition of CCE  New product penetration  NARTD market growth (Non-alcoholic ready-to-drink)
  • 8. SWOT Analysis: Threats Porter’s Five Forces
  • 9. Porter’s 5 Forces: New Entrants  Brand Loyalty  Advertising Ability  Access to Distribution Channels  Supplier Availability
  • 10. Porter’s 5 Forces: Substitute Products  Pepsi  Gatorade  Budweiser  Coffee/ Tea Brands
  • 11. Porter’s 5 Forces: Bargaining Power of Buyers  Fast Food Chains  Vending Machines  Convenience Stores  Super Markets
  • 12. Porter’s 5 Forces: Bargaining Power of Suppliers  Low Cost of Raw Materials  High Volumes of Raw Materials  Low Switching Costs
  • 13. Porter’s 5 Forces: Competitor Rivalry  Advertising/ Marketing Strategies  Differentiated Products  Consumer Control  Expansion Opportunities
  • 14. Ratio Analysis - DuPont  Helps to determine the financial strength of a company  Examines trends and causes of ROE  ROE is calculated as: Net Profit Margin (NPM) × Asset Turnover Ratio (AT) × Equity Multiplier Ratio (EM)
  • 16. Ratio Analysis - DuPont  The components of ROE:  Net Profit Margin – operating efficiency  Net Income ÷ Sales  Asset Turnover – asset use efficiency  Sales ÷ Total Assets  Equity Multiplier – financial leverage  Total Assets ÷Total Equity
  • 20. Total Debt Ratio & D/E Ratio
  • 21. Net Working Capital & Current Ratio
  • 22. Analysis of Firm Risk  Calculation of Altman Z-Score Z > 2.99= Strong  2.99 > Z > 1.81= “Grey Zone”  Z < 1.81= Weak Z = 1.2( WC÷TA) + 1.4(RE÷TA) + 3.3(EBIT÷TA) + 0.6(MVE÷TL) + 0.999(Sales÷TA) 4.07 1.2(3,071,000÷ 1.4(49,278,000÷ 3.3(8,449,000÷ 0.6(153,043,480÷ 0.999(35,119,000÷ 72,921,000) + 72,921,000) + 72,921,000) + 41,604,000) + 72,921,000)
  • 23. Analysis of Firm Risk 
  • 24. WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) 
  • 27. Gordon Dividend Model Stock Price (Constant required rate of return) Lower than expected growth (5.4%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.054 / 0.0899 − 0.054 = $55.20 Lower than expected growth (6.0%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.060 / 0.0899 − 0.060 = $66.64 Expected growth (6.4%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0899 − 0.064 = $77.23 Higher than expected growth (7.4%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.074 / 0.0899 − 0.074 = $126.99 Stock Price (Constant growth rate at 6.4%) Lower cost of capital (7.99%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0799 − 0.064 = $125.81 Expected cost of capital (8.99%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0899 − 0.064 = $77.23 Higher cost of capital (9.40%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0940 − 0.064 = $66.68 Higher cost of capital (9.99%) ������������ = ������0 = 1.88 1 + 0.064 / 0.0999 − 0.064 = $55.72
  • 28. Conclusion/ Recommendations  Risks: Emerging Competition, Changing Consumer Preferences, Exchange Rate Fluctuations  Buy Coca-Cola Stock at Current Market Value ($66.31)  Hold Coca-Cola Stock if GR lower than 6% or Expected Cost of Capital is above 9.45%  Coca-Cola is fairly stable and would be an excellent Long-Term Investment
  • 29. Questions? The Coca-Cola Company Corporate Valuation