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Forecasting your search results Estimating Traffic and Conversions By:  Graeme Benstead-Hume
Why estimate keyword traffic
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Estimating Search Volume
Google Adwords Keyword Tool ‘ Candy’ 11.1m Global Monthly Searches 673k Local Monthly Searches Low Competition
[object Object]
Google  Insights
Other  uses  for Google Insights Add a seasonal touch to your keyword strategy Read long term trends to identify future  opportunities Justify recent changes in traffic volume
[object Object],[object Object]
Click Through Rate Studies ,[object Object]
Putting it all  together
[object Object],[object Object],March Weighting  March Search Volume ÷ Total Avg. Search Volume CTR at position 1 Estimated monthly search  volume 0.89 0.364 x x =2140
[object Object],[object Object],Estimated monthly  traffic Average conversion rate 0.02 x =42!
[object Object],[object Object],Estimated monthly conversions Average Revenue / Conversion £50 x =£2100
What else can I do with forecasting? Impress your friends and family with tales of the future! Choose which terms to focus budget on! Calculate ROI!
Actually… how accurate is this? We also use real life data once we have it to add weights to search volume estimates. Based on our latest studies we are looking at around a 20% error margin.
What next? Talk to me Stay Tuned
Thank you!

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Forecasting Search Traffic

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. First we need to know how many people are searching for our target search term. Some tools are more accurate than others.
  2. Some clever Math types took some leaked search data and estimated Click Through Rates for various positions on Google.