4. What is your perspective of yourself?
What is your perspective of the world?
What is the worlds perspective of you?
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
15. “If we don’t change direction
soon, we’ll end up where
we’re heading”
There are few signs that the
urgently needed change in
direction in global energy trends is
underway. Although the recovery
in the world economy since 2009
has been uneven, and future
economic prospects remain
uncertain, global primary energy
demand rebounded by
a remarkable 5% in 2010, pushing
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH to a new high.
CO2 emissions
24. 2. Waste water - heat
pumps – heat to district
3. Sorted waste – biofuel heating system – cooling
for district heating and to district cooling of
electricity production offices
1. Sludge – biogas –
cooking/cars
The Hammarby Model – system approach on
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
City level
25. How can we go from one state to another?
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
29. How can we go from one state to another
We have to know
what we are heading for and….
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
30. How can we go from one state to another
Technology
which are the barriers Economy
Management
Peoples mindsets
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
31. Backcasting scenario
Future
Future
Now
Future
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
35. Central sources
Hydropower
Wind power
CHP plants
District heating
District cooling Local sources
Local CHP
PV cells
Wind
Electric grid Solar heater
Heatpumps
Gas
New business models
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
37. Short circuit economies?
Hydro Power plant
solar
PV cells wind
District area
City
Cogeneration plant
District Heating
Bio-transport Power Grid
Micro Bio-
Fuelled CHP
Waste water
Waste Water
treatment plant
Wood chips
”Bio forest” soil
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
38. Can we predict technology development?
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
39. First flight of the Wright Flyer I, 17 December
1903, Orville piloting, Wilbur running at
wingtip.
The distance over
the ground was
measured to be
852 feet (260 m);
the time of the
flight was 59
seconds.
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
40. What on earth can
this be used for?
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
41. Who would have imagined this?
Airbus A380
Provides seating for 525 people in standard three-class configuration
or up to 853 people in all economy class configuration
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
43. Solar Impulse
Aerodynamics
The wingspan of Solar Impulse is 80 metres, slightly wider than the
wingspan of an Airbus A380. The ultra-light structure must use
customised carbon fibres.
Energy
Photovoltaic cells will generate electricity during the day, which will
serve both to propel the plane and to recharge the batteries to allow
flight at night.
Propulsion
The average power provided to the engines will be on the order of 12
hp, comparable to that of the Wright Flyer
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
44. What will happen in the next 100 years?
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
45. Long and short term scenarios
Systems thinking and wider perspective
And..
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
46. New ways to teach and learn
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial
Ecology/KTH
47. A successful organisation is like a child
Determined Trying Adaptive
Curious Brave
Searching Challenging
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
48. Beware of modern colonialists
colonizing the future
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
49. To solve the small challanges
you need to face the great challanges
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
50. And to think out of the box
Ronald Wennersten/Industrial Ecology/KTH
