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Statistics=t1..ppt
1.
Chap 19-1 Statistics for
Business and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Statistics "…our world has three different forms of lie: the white lie, telling a lie and … statistics" Unknown member of the London Royal Scientific Society
2.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-2 “… statistics knows everything…” Ilf and Petrov, “12 Chairs” Topic 1. METHODOLOGICAL PRINCIPLES OF STATISTICS • The subject and object of statistics • The categories and concepts in statistics STATISTICS + !? = ?
3.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-3 Statistics can be said to have begun in ancient civilization, going back at least to the 5th century BC, but it was not until the 18th century that it started to draw more heavily from calculus and probability theory. Statistics continues to be an area of active research, for example on the problem of how to analyze Big data. The term statistics is ultimately derived from the New Latin statisticum collegium ("council of state") and the Italian word statista ("statesman" or "politician"). The German Statistik, first introduced by Gottfried Achenwall (1749), originally designated the analysis of data about the state, signifying the "science of state" (then called political arithmetic in English). It acquired the meaning of the collection and classification of data generally in the early 19th century.
4.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-4 Carl Friedrich Gauss, mathematician who developed the method of least squares in 1809. The German “statistik”, first introduced by Gottfried Achenwall (1749). Sir William Petty, a 17th-century economist who used early statistical methods to analyze demographic data.
5.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-5 The modern statistics: It encompasses the collection, presentation and characterization of information to assist both data analysis and the decision-making process It studies quantitative side of mass social- economic phenomena in interconnection with their quantitative characteristics in specific conditions of place and time
6.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-6 The global task: interconnection the levels of generalization of statistics data and the organizational structure of economics ( or the social and economic problems)
7.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-7 Problem: statistical support for management decision The goal: teach students to understand the essence of the problem using their associative thinking and to justify the correctness of their decisions Task: choose methods of data collection and information processing for a specific situation
8.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-8 1.1. The subject and object of statistics The main idea of Statistics The simple structure Basic contents of this discipline 1. economics quantitative method + 2. mathematics of analysis of = 3. statistics phenomena or process
9.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-9 In our country and analytical practice of other countries the contents of statistics is considered both the method of accounting and the method of analysis. The basic problems of the method of accounting are data searching, data collection and levels of measurement. The basic problems of the method of analyses are to select a method for a specific purpose, to explain this result.
10.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-10 Statistics studies the quantitative aspect of mass socio- economic phenomena and their qualitative characteristics. It studies their structure and distribution, location in space, direction and speed of change over time, trends and the regularities, the density of interconnections and interdependence. The object of this subject is society, phenomena and processes of public life. The subject of statistics is quantitative and qualitative interconnections of mass phenomena at specific place and time.
11.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-11 The peculiarities of the subject are: - the description of a quantitative aspects of these phenomena taking into account the place and time in which they occurred, - the identification and measurement of regularities of mass phenomena and processes.
12.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-12 1.2. The categories and concepts in statistics The theoretical basis of statistics includes categories and concepts of the economic theory. The law of large numbers – when considering a large mass of phenomena occasional deviation is not taken into account. Variables are characteristics of items or individuals and are what you analyze when you use a statistical method.
13.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-13 Statisticians classify variables as either being categorical or numerical and further classify numerical variables as having either discrete or continuous values. There are four widely recognized levels of measurement: nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio scales. A population consists of all the items or individuals about which you want to draw a conclusion. A parameter is a numerical measure that describes a characteristic of a population.
14.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-14 Types of regularities Statistical regularity is consistency and order in mass processes or phenomena. This consistency manifests itself only in statistical population. Types of regularities: - the regularity of development (dynamics) of the phenomena; - the regularity of structural changes; - the regularity of distribution of population elements; - the regularity of phenomena interdependence.
15.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-15 Statistical population Statistical population is a certain set of elements that are combined by the conditions of their development and existence. The peculiarities of the statistical population are - qualitative homogeneity, - the change of a sign within certain limits.
16.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-16 The homogeneous population Statistics studies homogeneous population. The homogeneous population is a population whose elements have similar properties and belong to the same type. For example, the data on employment of workers and equipment utilization can not be combined into a single set.
17.
Statistics for Business
and Economics, 6e © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chap 19-17 Statisticians will become the heroes of the 21st century Open Data Institute CEO Gavin Starks