1. The Lean Startup#leanstartup Eric Ries (@ericries) http://StartupLessonsLearned.com

2. Most Startups Fail

3. Most Startups Fail

4. Most Startups Fail

5. Most Startups Fail But it doesn’t have to be that way. We can do better. This talk is about how.

6. What is a startup? A startup is a human institution designed to deliver a new product or service under conditions of extreme uncertainty. Nothing to do with size of company, sector of the economy, or industry

7. The Pivot What do successful startups have in common? They started out as digital cash for PDAs, but evolved into online payments for eBay. They started building BASIC interpreters, but evolved into the world's largest operating systems monopoly. They were shocked to discover their online games company was actually a photo-sharing site. Pivot: change directions but stay grounded in what we’ve learned. http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com/2009/06/pivot-dont-jump-to-new-vision.html

8. Speed Wins if we can reduce the time between major iterations we can increase our odds of success

9. A Tale of Two Startups

10. Startup #1

11. Stealth Startup Circa 2001

12. All about the team

13. A good plan? Start a company with a compelling long-term vision. Raise plenty of capital. Hire the absolute best and the brightest. Hire an experienced management team with tons of startup experience. Focus on quality. Build a world-class technology platform. Build buzz in the press and blogosphere.

14. Achieving Failure Company failed utterly, $40MM and five years of pain. Crippled by “shadow beliefs” that destroyed the effort of all those smart people.

15. Shadow Belief #1 We know what customers want.

16. Shadow Belief #2 We can accurately predict the future.

17. Shadow Belief #3 Advancing the plan is progress.

18. A good plan? Start a company with a compelling long-term vision. Raise plenty of capital. Hire the absolute best and the brightest. Hire an experienced management team with tons of startup experience. Focus on quality. Build a world-class technology platform. Build buzz in the press and blogosphere.

19. Startup #2

20. IMVU

21. IMVU

22. New plan Shipped in six months – a horribly buggy beta product Charged from day one Shipped multiple times a day (by 2008, on average 50 times a day) No PR, no launch Results: 2007 revenues of $10MM

23. Lean Startups Go Faster Commodity technology stack, highly leveraged (free/open source, user-generated content, SEM). Customer development – find out what customers want before you build it. Agile (lean) product development – but tuned to the startup condition.

25. Rapid hypothesis testing about market, pricing, customers, …

26. Extreme low cost, low burn, tight focus

27. Measurable gates for investorshttp://bit.ly/FourSteps

29. These examples are drawn from software startups, but increasingly:

30. All products require software

32. Agile Product Development Unit of Progress: A line of Working Code “Product Owner” or in-house customer Problem: known Solution: unknown

33. Product Development at Lean Startup Unit of Progress: Validated Learning About Customers ($$$) Customer Development Hypotheses, Experiments, Insights Problem: unknown Data, Feedback, Insights Solution: unknown

34. Minimize TOTAL time through the loop IDEAS LEARN BUILD DATA CODE MEASURE

35. How to build a Lean Startup Let’s talk about some specifics. Continuous deployment Minimum Viable Product Five why’s

36. Continuous Deployment IDEAS LEARN BUILD Learn Faster Customer Development Five Whys Build Faster Continuous Deployment Small Batches Continuous Integration Refactoring DATA CODE MEASURE Measure Faster Split Testing Actionable Metrics Net Promoter Score SEM

38. At IMVU time from check-in to production = 20 minutes

39. Tell a good change from a bad change (quickly)

40. Revert a bad change quickly

41. And “shut down the line”

42. Work in small batches

43. At IMVU, a large batch = 3 days worth of work

45. Everyone has a complete sandbox

46. Continuous Integration Server (BuildBot)

47. All tests must pass or “shut down the line”

48. Automatic feedback if the team is going too fast

49. Incremental deploy

50. Monitor cluster and business metrics in real-time

51. Reject changes that move metrics out-of-bounds

52. Alerting & Predictive monitoring (Nagios)

53. Monitor all metrics that stakeholders care about

54. If any metric goes out-of-bounds, wake somebody up

57. Possible Approaches “Maximize chances of success” Build a great product with many features that increase the odds that customers will want it Problem: no feedback until the end, might be too late to adjust “Release early, release often” Get as much feedback as possible, as soon as possible Problem: run around in circles, chasing what customers think they want

58. Minimum Viable Product The minimum set of features needed to learn from earlyvangelists – visionary early adopters Avoid building products that nobody wants Maximize the learning per dollar spent Get the facts before it’s too late Probably much more minimum than you think!

59. Minimum Viable Product Visionary customers can “fill in the gaps” on missing features, if the product solves a real problem Allows us to achieve a big vision in small increments without going in circles Requires a commitment to iteration

60. Fears False negative: “customers would have liked the full product, but the MVP sucks, so we abandoned the vision” Visionary complex: “but customers don’t know what they want!” Too busy to learn: “it would be faster to just build it right, all this measuring distracts from delighting customers”

61. Five Whys IDEAS Code Faster Learn Faster BUILD LEARN Continuous Deployment Five Whys Root Cause Analysis CODE DATA Measure Faster MEASURE Rapid Split Tests

63. Ask “why” five times when something unexpected happens.

64. Make proportional investments in prevention at all five levels of the hierarchy.

66. Get Started Today You are ready to do this, no matter who you are what job you have what stage of company you’re in Get started now, today.

68. http://StartupLessonsLearned.com/

69. Getting in touch (#leanstartup)

70. http://twitter.com/ericries

71. eric@theleanstartup.com

72. Upcoming events

73. Web 2.0 Expo New York Nov 16-19

74. MIT Enterprise Forum Nov 19

76. Rapid Split Tests IDEAS Code Faster Learn Faster BUILD LEARN Continuous Deployment Five Whys Root Cause Analysis CODE DATA Measure Faster MEASURE Rapid Split Tests

77. Split-testing all the time A/B testing is key to validating your hypotheses Has to be simple enough for everyone to use and understand it Make creating a split-test no more than one line of code: if( setup_experiment(...) == "control" ) { // do it the old way } else { // do it the new way }

78. The AAA’s of Metrics Actionable Accessible Auditable

79. Measure the Macro Always look at cohort-based metrics over time Split-test the small, measure the large