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Health sector 2016 budget performance

AN OVERVIEW OF 2016 HEALTH SECTOR
BUDGET PERFORMANCE

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Health sector 2016 budget performance

  1. 1. StatiSense AN OVERVIEW OF 2016 HEALTH SECTOR BUDGET PERFORMANCE
  2. 2. NO. BUDGET COMPONENTS AMOUNT PERCENTAGE 1 Debt Services 1,475,320,000,000 24.34% 2 Statutory Transfer 351,370,000,000 5.80% 3 Recurrent Expenditures 2,646,389,236,196 43.66% 4 Capital Expenditures 1,587,598,122,031 26.20% TOTAL BUDGET 6,060,677,358,227 2 0 1 6 A P P R O P R I A T E D B U D G E T
  3. 3. NO. ITEM PROJECTION ACTUAL 1 Average Oil Production (mbpd) 2.2 1.93 2 Average Oil Price Benchmark ($) 38 42.9 3 Non-Oil Revenue Baseline Customs Collections, Company Income Tax, Value Added Tax, FGN Independent Revenue 4 Exchange Rate ($) 197 305 5 Inflation (%) 9.81 18.39 We Spend more Dollar than we EARN 2 0 1 6 B U D G E T A S S U M P T I O N S August 2016
  4. 4. 2016 BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS: OIL PRODUCTION 2,241,692 2,181,416 2,082,924 2,149,252 2,041,405 1,954,875 1,985,317 1,688,380 1,768,844 1,654,366 1,502,083 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 2,200,000 2,400,000 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Projected: Average Oil Production (mbpd) = 2.2 Actual: Average Oil Production (mbpd) = 1.93 Oil Production (mbpd) Source: NNPC
  5. 5. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 4-Jan-16 4-Feb-16 4-Mar-16 4-Apr-16 4-May-16 4-Jun-16 4-Jul-16 4-Aug-16 4-Sep-16 4-Oct-16 4-Nov-16 4-Dec-16 Projected: Average Oil Price Benchmark ($) = 38 Actual: Average Oil Price Benchmark ($) = 42.9 2016 BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS: OIL PRICE Oil Price Benchmark ($) Source: http://www.investing.com
  6. 6. B U D G E T S H O R T F A L L S NO. ITEM PROJECTION ACTUAL 1 Average Oil Production (mbpd) 2.2 1.93 2 Average Oil Price Benchmark ($) 38 42.9 3 Non-Oil Revenue Baseline Customs Collections, Company Income Tax, Value Added Tax, FGN Independent Revenue 4 Exchange Rate ($) 197 305 5 Inflation (%) 9.81 18.39 Projected Actual Oil (mbpd) Oil Price ($) 2.2 1.93 38 42.9 $83.6m $82.8m Without considering other unmet projections, clearly there is shortfall in Nigeria’s financial projection, which automatically leads to the variableness in funding the 2016 Budget!
  7. 7. CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 1,587,598,122,031 RELEASED 635,770,642,465 RELEASEDHEALTH (CAPITAL) 28,650,342,987 RELEASED 18,472,539,524 % RELEASED 40% % 64% October 21, 2016 COMPONENT TOTAL % Recurrent Expenditures 221,412,548,087 89% Capital Expenditures 28,650,342,987 11% Total Budget 250,062,891,075 HEALTH BUDGET 4% of National Budget 2 0 1 6 C A P I TA L B U D G E T R E L E A S E S Source: Budget Office
  8. 8. HEALTH AGENCY BUDGETED RELEASED % National Primary Health Care Development 15,694,635,719 12,673,590,715 80.75% Federal Medical Centre, Nasarawa State 131,452,712 105,458,068 80.23% Federal Ministry of Health - Hqtrs 5,214,252,356 2,506,093,423 48.06% Other Agencies 80,957,470 33,908,482 41.88 What about BUDGET IMPLEMENTATION? 2 0 1 6 C A P I TA L B U D G E T R E L E A S E S
  9. 9. YEAR NATIONAL (Trillion) HEALTH (Billion) CAPITAL (Billion) IMPLEMENTED (Billion) IMPLEMENTED % 2015 4,493.36 259.75 22.68 16.45 72.52% 2014 4,695.19 264.46 49.52 20.47 41.34% 2013 4,987.22 282.50 60.05 34.78 57.93% 2012 4,749.10 282.77 60.92 45.00 73.87% 2011 4,484.74 257.87 38.79 32.17 82.93% PAST BUDGET IMPLEMENTATION REPORTS Average of 65.72% Implementation over the last 5 years Source: Budget Office
  10. 10. NATIONAL BUDGET HEALTH BUDGET CAPITAL BUDGET IMPLEMENTED 4,493,363,957,158 259,751,742,847 22,676,000,000 16,445,053,729 5.78% 8.73% 72.52% 8% N259.75bn N16.45bn N6.23bn Health Budget Health Capital Budget Implemented Budget Unimplemented N22.68bn 5.78% 8.73% 72.52% 27.45% National Budget 2015 BUDGET IMPLEMENTATION REPORTS
  11. 11. Budget Enactment Budget Implementation Budget Monitoring & Auditing Executive & Legislature Executive & Legislature Executive & Legislature 2014 Audit Report  Drugs were haphazardly arranged in the store, instead of arranging them according to each programme.  Most of the drugs like malaria; Narcotics, Mosquito nets, etc. were left in the store undistributed even though they were almost at their expiring dates. “The Permanent Secretary failed to respond to my audit observations sent to him” – Auditor-General of the Federation MINISTRY OF HEALTH AUDIT REPORTS
  12. 12. 2 Quarterly Budget Releases and project by project Implementation Reports; 3 Adopt conservative assumptions in drafting the MTEF & FSP document; 4 Access and use the Health Ministry Audit Reports for oversight functions. 1 Improved budgetary allocation to Health, especially to Capital Expenditures; I N C O N C L U S I O N …
  13. 13. Analyst: Wale Micaiah e: walegate@yahoo.com m: 08078001800 w: www.statisense.com Freely share, freely use and freely acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah

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AN OVERVIEW OF 2016 HEALTH SECTOR BUDGET PERFORMANCE

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