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Disruption & Opportunity
  in the News Business
                Steve Buttry
  Industrial College of the Armed Forces
               April 9, 2012
Read more about it
•   stevebuttry.wordpress.com
•   slideshare.net/stevebuttry
•   @stevebuttry
•   jxpaton.wordpress.com
•   stephenbuttry@gmail.com
Your media use
•   Mobile (tablet, phone)
•   Computer (laptop, notebook, desktop)
•   Broadcast (TV, radio)
•   Print
    (newspaper, magazine, book, newsletter)
In past 6 years
• Lost a lifetime’s growth in print ads
• Newspapers’ print advertising fell from
  $47.4M (2005) to $20.7M (2011)
• Inflation-adjusted decline: 62%
• Fell to 1983 level in raw dollars
• 1954 level adjusted for inflation
This change is tectonic, not cyclical
Clay Shirky:

 “Nothing will work,
but everything might.”
Matt Welch:
“Never has there been more journalism
produced or consumed, never has it been
easier to find or create or curate news
items, and yet this moment is being
portrayed by self-interested insiders as a
tale of decline and despair.”
John Paton:

 “You don’t tinker or tweak a
broken model. You start again
           anew.”
Digital First principles
• Digital First & print last
• Put the digital people in charge
• Engage the community
• Core competencies: Local content & local
  sales
• If it’s not core: reduce it, stop it, sell it or
  outsource it
Foundation to build on:
•   Strong brands
•   Local content
•   Local sales force
•   Journalistic integrity
Engagement = value
     • Computers & archives for
       community use
     • Open news meetings
     • Blog network
     • Classes
     • Digital audience 5x print
     • From loss to profit
Jim Brady:

“There's no silver bullet.
 There's just shrapnel.”
Why “give it away”?
• Wall Street Journal, Arkansas Democrat-
  Gazette have longtime paywalls
• NY Times introduced “meter” last year
• LA Times, Gannett adopting paywalls
• “Gate” or “meter” allows some free
  visits, doesn’t count social or search
Why “give it away”?
• We never charged for content
• If paywalls “work,” benefit is marginal
• You need to spend that money & energy
  developing a model for the future
• Paywalls attempt to protect a failing
  model
• Only newspapers are trying paywalls
John Paton:

“’You’re gonna miss us when we’re
  gone’ is not much of a business
              model.”
Paid content opportunities?
• Premium content (specialized)
• Unique, high-value content
• Membership (get more than content for
  your payment)
• Mobile, tablet subscriptions
• Even if people will pay, can you make
  more money w/ larger free audience?
Mobile Opportunity
•   83% of U.S. adults have cellphones
•   57% have smartphones
•   28% have media tablet
•   28% considering tablet purchase in next
    6 months

Source: Reynolds Journalism Institute 2012 study
Mobile-first strategy
•   Text alerts
•   Email
•   Applications (phones & tablets)
•   Social media (tweets, check-ins, tips)
•   Location-based news, info & commerce
•   Easy-to-use mobile websites
•   Device-flexible (not device-agnostic)
•   Games (phones, iPads great for games)
Read more about it
•   stevebuttry.wordpress.com
•   slideshare.net/stevebuttry
•   @stevebuttry
•   jxpaton.wordpress.com
•   stephenbuttry@gmail.com

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Disruption and Opportunity in the News Business

  • 1. Disruption & Opportunity in the News Business Steve Buttry Industrial College of the Armed Forces April 9, 2012
  • 2. Read more about it • stevebuttry.wordpress.com • slideshare.net/stevebuttry • @stevebuttry • jxpaton.wordpress.com • stephenbuttry@gmail.com
  • 3. Your media use • Mobile (tablet, phone) • Computer (laptop, notebook, desktop) • Broadcast (TV, radio) • Print (newspaper, magazine, book, newsletter)
  • 4. In past 6 years • Lost a lifetime’s growth in print ads • Newspapers’ print advertising fell from $47.4M (2005) to $20.7M (2011) • Inflation-adjusted decline: 62% • Fell to 1983 level in raw dollars • 1954 level adjusted for inflation
  • 5. This change is tectonic, not cyclical
  • 6.
  • 7. Clay Shirky: “Nothing will work, but everything might.”
  • 8.
  • 9. Matt Welch: “Never has there been more journalism produced or consumed, never has it been easier to find or create or curate news items, and yet this moment is being portrayed by self-interested insiders as a tale of decline and despair.”
  • 10.
  • 11. John Paton: “You don’t tinker or tweak a broken model. You start again anew.”
  • 12. Digital First principles • Digital First & print last • Put the digital people in charge • Engage the community • Core competencies: Local content & local sales • If it’s not core: reduce it, stop it, sell it or outsource it
  • 13. Foundation to build on: • Strong brands • Local content • Local sales force • Journalistic integrity
  • 14. Engagement = value • Computers & archives for community use • Open news meetings • Blog network • Classes • Digital audience 5x print • From loss to profit
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Jim Brady: “There's no silver bullet. There's just shrapnel.”
  • 18.
  • 19. Why “give it away”? • Wall Street Journal, Arkansas Democrat- Gazette have longtime paywalls • NY Times introduced “meter” last year • LA Times, Gannett adopting paywalls • “Gate” or “meter” allows some free visits, doesn’t count social or search
  • 20. Why “give it away”? • We never charged for content • If paywalls “work,” benefit is marginal • You need to spend that money & energy developing a model for the future • Paywalls attempt to protect a failing model • Only newspapers are trying paywalls
  • 21. John Paton: “’You’re gonna miss us when we’re gone’ is not much of a business model.”
  • 22. Paid content opportunities? • Premium content (specialized) • Unique, high-value content • Membership (get more than content for your payment) • Mobile, tablet subscriptions • Even if people will pay, can you make more money w/ larger free audience?
  • 23.
  • 24. Mobile Opportunity • 83% of U.S. adults have cellphones • 57% have smartphones • 28% have media tablet • 28% considering tablet purchase in next 6 months Source: Reynolds Journalism Institute 2012 study
  • 25. Mobile-first strategy • Text alerts • Email • Applications (phones & tablets) • Social media (tweets, check-ins, tips) • Location-based news, info & commerce • Easy-to-use mobile websites • Device-flexible (not device-agnostic) • Games (phones, iPads great for games)
  • 26.
  • 27. Read more about it • stevebuttry.wordpress.com • slideshare.net/stevebuttry • @stevebuttry • jxpaton.wordpress.com • stephenbuttry@gmail.com

Editor's Notes

  1. I’ll explain the origins of Bryce Canyon (not erosion, but tectonic upheaval), and explain the tectonic shifts going on in the media business.