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Aaj Ka View
                                                           14th October 2011


                 US Unemployment claims at 404K against expected of 406K.
                 Slovakia approves EFSF bailout fund.
                 Crude Oil Inventory rises to 1.3M barrels against expected of 0.4M barrels.
                 S&P downgrades Spain to Aa- from Aa rating.

           S&P downgrades Spain on the basis of heightened risks to Spain's growth prospects
           due to high unemployment, tighter financial conditions, the still high level of private
           sector debt, and the likely economic slowdown in Europe.

           US Unemployment claims came at 404K against previous of 405K and expectations
           were 406K. Slovakia also approved EFSF bailout package for the euro zone debt
           crisis as it was the last nation in European Union to approve it.

           Bullions:
           Gold:
           Gold traded range bound as profit booking was done at higher levels. Prices on MCX
           rose as dollar strengthen against rupee after high import fuel cost causing a concern
           and increasing inflation.

           Silver:
           Silver found resistance at higher levels as profit booking was seen.

           Intraday View:
           Bullions are expected to trade side ways as profit booking is seen at higher levels
           with US Retail sales m/m and Core Retail sales m/m are due later in the day.

           Energy:
           Crude Oil:
           Crude Oil Inventories surplus came at 1.3M barrels against expected of 0.4M barrels
           thought prices should have come down but Gasoline came at -4.10M against
           previous of -1.10M and Distillates came at -2.90M against previous of -0.70M,
           resulting into positive for crude oil.

           Natural Gas:
           Natural gas storage came at 112B against prior of 97B and expected of 103B.

           Intraday View:
           Crude Oil is expected to trade lower as profit booking is seen at higher levels with
           strong resistance.

           Base Metals:
           Base Metals were trading at lower levels after profit booking at higher levels. China
           inflation also exceeds more than 6% for the fourth month as weakening global
           recovery threatens growth of the second largest economy.

           Intraday View:
           Base metals are expected to trade sideways as buying can be done at lower levels.



                                                                                             1
Equities       Commodities        Wealth              Mutual Funds           Insurance
Aaj Ka View
                                                             14th October 2011



                                          US Economic Indicator

                                            US Economic Data
             Time                            Data                           Prior      Expected
           6.00 pm                 Core Retail Sales m/m                    0.1%          0.2%
           6.00 pm                      Retail Sales m/m                    0.0%          0.5%
           6.00 pm                     Import Prices m/m                   -0.4%          -0.3%
           7.25 pm              Prelim Consumer Sentiments                  59.4           60.2

           7.25 pm              Prelim Inflation Expectations               3.3%
           7.30 pm                Business Inventory m/m                    0.4%          0.4%
           11.30 pm               Federal Budget Balance                   -134.2B        -65.0B



                                         Day Trader, Vultures Pick.



    Commodity          S2       S1        Prev. Close       R1      R2                 Trend

       Gold           26545    26670        26749        26870     27050    Buy on dips

       Silver         52000    52500        52914        53450     53950    Buy on dips

       Crude          4070     4110          4182          4180    4240     Sell on rise ….

           NG          168      171         174.10         177      181     Sell on rise ….

      Copper           358      363         363.50         371      376     Buy on dips …

       Nickel          890      905         912.30         930      945     Buy on dips….

       Zinc           92.50    93.80         94.30         95.8     97      Buy on dips….

       Lead           97.30    98.20         99.05         100.5   101.10 Buy on dips….

     Aluminum         106.10   107.50       107.85      109.40 110.30 Sell on rise ….




                                                                                                  2
Equities        Commodities       Wealth                Mutual Funds           Insurance
Aaj Ka View
                                                                       14th October 2011




           Report by: -

           Sumeet Bagadia        (Head - Commodity & Currency Research)          sumeet.bagadia@destimoney.com

           Mohit Kothari          (Research Associate)                           mohit.kothari@destimoney.com




           For private circulation only                                Website: www.destimoney.com


      Disclaimer

           In the preparation of the material contained in this document, Destimoney* has used information that
           is publicly available, as also data developed in-house. Some of the material used in the document
           may have been obtained from members/persons other than Destimoney and which may have been
           made available to Destimoney. Information gathered & material used in this document is believed to
           be from reliable sources. Destimoney has not independently verified all the information and opinions
           given in this material. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to
           the accuracy, authenticity, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained in this
           material. For data reference to any third party in this material no such party will assume any liability for
           the same. Destimoney does not in any way through this material solicit or offer for purchase or sale of
           any financial services, commodities, products dealt in this material. Destimoney and any of its officers,
           directors, personnel and employees, shall not be liable for any loss or damage of any nature,
           including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any
           loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. The recipient alone shall
           be fully responsible, and/or liable for any decision taken on the basis of this material. All recipients of
           this material before dealing and/or transacting in any of the products advised, opined or referred to in
           this material shall make their own investigation, seek appropriate professional advice and make their
           own independent decision. This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or
           entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or
           regulation or which would subject Destimoney or its affiliates to any registration requirement within
           such jurisdiction or country. This information does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an
           offer to buy any financial products to any person in any jurisdiction where it is unlawful to make such
           an offer or solicitation. No part of this material may be duplicated in whole or in part in any form and /
           or redistributed without the prior written consent of Destimoney. This material is strictly confidential to
           the recipient and should not be reproduced or disseminated to anyone else.

           Names such as Teji Mandi, Maal Lav, Maal Le or similar others for market calls and products are
           merely names coined internally and are not universally defined, and shall not be construed to be
           indicative of past or potential performance. Recipients of research reports shall always independently
           verify reliability and suitability of the reports and opinions before investing.

           *"Destimoney" means any company using the name “Destimoney” as part of its name.




                                                                                                                 3
Equities        Commodities             Wealth                   Mutual Funds                Insurance

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Aaj Ka View 14.10.11

  • 1. Aaj Ka View 14th October 2011  US Unemployment claims at 404K against expected of 406K.  Slovakia approves EFSF bailout fund.  Crude Oil Inventory rises to 1.3M barrels against expected of 0.4M barrels.  S&P downgrades Spain to Aa- from Aa rating. S&P downgrades Spain on the basis of heightened risks to Spain's growth prospects due to high unemployment, tighter financial conditions, the still high level of private sector debt, and the likely economic slowdown in Europe. US Unemployment claims came at 404K against previous of 405K and expectations were 406K. Slovakia also approved EFSF bailout package for the euro zone debt crisis as it was the last nation in European Union to approve it. Bullions: Gold: Gold traded range bound as profit booking was done at higher levels. Prices on MCX rose as dollar strengthen against rupee after high import fuel cost causing a concern and increasing inflation. Silver: Silver found resistance at higher levels as profit booking was seen. Intraday View: Bullions are expected to trade side ways as profit booking is seen at higher levels with US Retail sales m/m and Core Retail sales m/m are due later in the day. Energy: Crude Oil: Crude Oil Inventories surplus came at 1.3M barrels against expected of 0.4M barrels thought prices should have come down but Gasoline came at -4.10M against previous of -1.10M and Distillates came at -2.90M against previous of -0.70M, resulting into positive for crude oil. Natural Gas: Natural gas storage came at 112B against prior of 97B and expected of 103B. Intraday View: Crude Oil is expected to trade lower as profit booking is seen at higher levels with strong resistance. Base Metals: Base Metals were trading at lower levels after profit booking at higher levels. China inflation also exceeds more than 6% for the fourth month as weakening global recovery threatens growth of the second largest economy. Intraday View: Base metals are expected to trade sideways as buying can be done at lower levels. 1 Equities Commodities Wealth Mutual Funds Insurance
  • 2. Aaj Ka View 14th October 2011 US Economic Indicator US Economic Data Time Data Prior Expected 6.00 pm Core Retail Sales m/m 0.1% 0.2% 6.00 pm Retail Sales m/m 0.0% 0.5% 6.00 pm Import Prices m/m -0.4% -0.3% 7.25 pm Prelim Consumer Sentiments 59.4 60.2 7.25 pm Prelim Inflation Expectations 3.3% 7.30 pm Business Inventory m/m 0.4% 0.4% 11.30 pm Federal Budget Balance -134.2B -65.0B Day Trader, Vultures Pick. Commodity S2 S1 Prev. Close R1 R2 Trend Gold 26545 26670 26749 26870 27050 Buy on dips Silver 52000 52500 52914 53450 53950 Buy on dips Crude 4070 4110 4182 4180 4240 Sell on rise …. NG 168 171 174.10 177 181 Sell on rise …. Copper 358 363 363.50 371 376 Buy on dips … Nickel 890 905 912.30 930 945 Buy on dips…. Zinc 92.50 93.80 94.30 95.8 97 Buy on dips…. Lead 97.30 98.20 99.05 100.5 101.10 Buy on dips…. Aluminum 106.10 107.50 107.85 109.40 110.30 Sell on rise …. 2 Equities Commodities Wealth Mutual Funds Insurance
  • 3. Aaj Ka View 14th October 2011 Report by: - Sumeet Bagadia (Head - Commodity & Currency Research) sumeet.bagadia@destimoney.com Mohit Kothari (Research Associate) mohit.kothari@destimoney.com For private circulation only Website: www.destimoney.com Disclaimer In the preparation of the material contained in this document, Destimoney* has used information that is publicly available, as also data developed in-house. Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than Destimoney and which may have been made available to Destimoney. Information gathered & material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. Destimoney has not independently verified all the information and opinions given in this material. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, authenticity, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained in this material. For data reference to any third party in this material no such party will assume any liability for the same. Destimoney does not in any way through this material solicit or offer for purchase or sale of any financial services, commodities, products dealt in this material. Destimoney and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not be liable for any loss or damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible, and/or liable for any decision taken on the basis of this material. All recipients of this material before dealing and/or transacting in any of the products advised, opined or referred to in this material shall make their own investigation, seek appropriate professional advice and make their own independent decision. This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject Destimoney or its affiliates to any registration requirement within such jurisdiction or country. This information does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any financial products to any person in any jurisdiction where it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation. No part of this material may be duplicated in whole or in part in any form and / or redistributed without the prior written consent of Destimoney. This material is strictly confidential to the recipient and should not be reproduced or disseminated to anyone else. Names such as Teji Mandi, Maal Lav, Maal Le or similar others for market calls and products are merely names coined internally and are not universally defined, and shall not be construed to be indicative of past or potential performance. Recipients of research reports shall always independently verify reliability and suitability of the reports and opinions before investing. *"Destimoney" means any company using the name “Destimoney” as part of its name. 3 Equities Commodities Wealth Mutual Funds Insurance