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TOPIC – Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank Ltd.
Name – Ashwin Kulkarni
2
Sr.
No.
Title Page
No.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6
2. COMPANY PROFILE 7
3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 16
4. METHODOLOGY OF STUDY 17
5. ECONOMY ANALYSIS 18
6. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS 21
7. PROFILE OF ICICI BANK 30
8. DATA ANLYSIS 36
9. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS 51
10. BIBLIOGRAPHY 53
3
Acknowledgment
It gives me great pleasure to express my gratitude towards all the individuals
who have directly or indirectly helped me in completing this project. First of all, I am
extremely grateful to Mr. Mayank Saxsena, Branch Manager, Anand Rathi Securities
Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune, for providing me summer project in stock
market for sixty days. I would also like to express my sincere gratitude to Mr. Vikrant
Darak, for his invaluable guidance during the project period which helps me in
completing this project.
I wish to express my sincere thanks to our Director Dr. Sharad Joshi and my
project guide Prof. Mahesh Halale for providing me valuable guidance and inputs
which help to complete this project in true sense.
I also extend my thanks to all the staff of Anand Rathi Securities Limited,
Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune, for their support, which helped me a lot in completing
this project.
This project report is a collective effort of all and I sincerely remember and
acknowledge all o them for their excellent help and assistance throughout the project.
- Ashwin R. Kulkarni
4
INTRODUCTION
The stock market is the most volatile market and is difficult to understand as
the weather. Though this does not mean that the markets cannot be predicted but it
only means that trends may change without warning, as with weather. The stock
markets are characterized by almost all factors, again starting right from weather and
ending at the political environment. Effects of one market also causes a spillover
into the other and an external cause in one market can lead to the reaction in another
market. For instance, it’s been proved that a delayed monsoon in India will create
the problems of flooding in the European countries, effecting adversely economies
of both the regions. The pulse of the market also depends upon timely exit and entry.
For arriving at a correct conclusion reasonable data is required to understand the
mechanics of the stock and the industry – vis-à-vis global and local in which the
company operates. While a practical long-term view will help reduce risks, marrying
the stock on the other hand may totally increase risks.
By going through the Industry Reports, Financials the investor can arm
himself with reasonable information about the stocks, which are being tracked by the
investor. However, for consistent monitoring of stocks, it is imperative that the
investor has limited exposure to the stocks, which are being capable of being tracked
by him – a too big a portfolio will divert attention and ultimately harm investor
interests.
5
In the present project an attempt is made to study the importance of
fundamental analysis for investors.
SHARES: -
The companies Act 1956 defines Shares as “a share in the capital of a
company and includes stock except where distinction between stock and share is
expressed or implied. A share is regarded as property, which can be bought and sold
like any other property. It also consists of other rights given by Articles of
Association of company.
EQUITY OR ORDINARY SHARES: -
These are those shares, which do not enjoy any special rights in respect of
payment of dividend or repayment of capital. The return of capital to equity
shareholders is not guaranteed. Also when the company is wound up, capital of equity
shareholders is lastly paid, only after all other claims have been paid in full. That is
why equity is also called as “The Risk Bearing or Venture Capital.”
There are two sources of return on equity shares: -
1. Dividend: -When companies earn sufficient profit, then Board of Directors
declares for all shares.
2. Capital Gain: -Which arises from an increase in the market price of shares,
which is generally associated with growth in per share earning.
6
Benefits of Investments in Equity shares: -
1. You can earn good rate of dividend or can make better profit on market
fluctuation.
2. Bonus issue: - These are given as free gift to existing shareholders either fully
or partly paid up out of accumulated profits.
3. Existing shareholders can get “Right issue” in case of further issue of capital
by company.
4. Equity shareholders have “Right to vote” in annual general meeting and other
rights like call meeting, winding up of the company.
5. Shareholders get free copy of Annual Report in which details of all business
conducted in last year is mentioned.
6. A share is “Transferable Property”. It can be transferred or transmitted by
shareholder to any other person.
7. Tax Exemption: -As per Income Tax Act, Dividend is not taxable in the
hands of shareholders similarly Long Term Capital Gain on shares is
exempted up to March 2007.
8. Liquidity: -Because of large market for share investor can convert his
investments into liquid money easily.
7
What is Fundamental analysis?
Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect
the well being of the economy, industry groups, and companies. As with most
analysis, the goal is to derive a forecast and profit from future price movements. At
the company level, fundamental analysis may involve examination of financial data,
management, business concept and competition. At the industry level, there might be
an examination of supply and demand forces for the products offered. For the national
economy, fundamental analysis might focus on economic data to assess the present
and future growth of the economy. To forecast future stock prices, fundamental
analysis combines economic, industry, and company analysis to derive a stock's
current fair value and forecast future value. If fair value is not equal to the current
stock price, fundamental analysts believe that the stock is either over or under valued
and the market price will ultimately gravitate towards fair value. Fundamentalists do
not heed the advice of the random walkers and believe that markets are weak-form
efficient. By believing that prices do not accurately reflect all available information,
fundamental analysts look to capitalize on perceived price discrepancies.
Fundamental analysis is a method used to determine the value of a stock by
analyzing the financial data that is 'fundamental' to the company. That means that
fundamental analysis takes into consideration only those variables that are directly
related to the company itself, such as its earnings, its dividends, and its sales.
Fundamental analysis does not look at the overall state of the market nor does it
include behavioral variables in its methodology. It focuses exclusively on the
company's business in order to determine whether or not the stock should be bought
or sold.
8
In India many traditional people are very risk averse. They are not aware of
the investment opportunities in the stock market. They consider stock market as a
game of gambling. But the original scenario is quite different. There is no doubt that
there are speculators who try to hike the price of a stock artificially. Investing in
equities involves high risk and the return on it totally depends on the company’s
performance. But investing in the right stock at the right price and holding for a
longer time horizon would surely be a better investment.
The reason behind choosing this project is that it provides hands on experience
with what goes on in the stock market on a day to day basis. The field of equity
research is very vast and one has to look into various aspects of the functioning of the
company to get to any conclusion about the possible performance of the company in
the market. Investors like warren buffet made a fortune out of investments in the stock
market, which is quiet impossible without proper research about the companies. The
field of equity research is full of challenges.
The project is done with Anand Rathi Securities Limited a very well known
company in the field of stock broking and capital market services sector. This project
gave me a chance to get valuable insights from a hoard of vastly experienced people
in this field and to get various approaches each one adopts to evaluate various
companies. The duration of the project was two months. These two months were not
only limited to learning and devoting time towards equity research but it also
provided an insight on what various services such broking houses provide and what
efforts are required to manage such organizations.
9
ANAND RATHI
Group Profile
10
Group Overview
Set up in 1994,2000 people
Anand Rathi Securities Limited
• Wealth Management
• Investment Banking
• Member – BSE
• Depository Participant – CDSL
11
AR Insurance Brokers
Insurance Broking
AR Middle East DMCC
Member- Dubai
Gold &
Commodities
Exchange
Anand Rathi International
International
Operations
Navratan Commodities
Member- NCDEX,
MCX & NMCE
Navratan Capital &
Securities
Member- NSE
Depository
Participant-NSDL
Rathi Global Finance
NBFC
Anand Rathi
Securities Limited
AR Venture Funds
Management
Real Estate Private
Equity Fund
12
Business Overview
Wealth Management Investment Banking &
Corporate Finance
Brokerage &
Distribution
Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata,
Bangalore, Chennai,
Hyderabad, Dubai,
Bangkok and Singapore
Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai,
Kolkata, Bangalore,
Hyderabad
Present at 300 + locations
across India
• Institutions
• Private Clients
• Priority Clients
• M & A
• IPO’s Buybacks,
Offers, Placements
• Debt Raising,
Syndication and
Restructuring
• Equities
• Derivatives
• Bonds
• Mutual Funds
• Commodities
• Insurance
13
Wealth Management
Value Adds Products
Comprehensive Product Range
⇒ Strong alternative
investment expertise
Equities
⇒ Stocks, PMS, Derivatives,
Mutual Funds
Risk Management Skills
⇒ Sophisticated asset
allocation &
risk modeling
Fixed Income
⇒ Bonds, Mutual Fund
Proprietary global economic &
investment strategy research
⇒ Focusing on long term
dynamics & trends
Commodities & Precious
Metals
Client Centric Model Life & General Insurance
Ranked amongst South Asia’s
top 5 private banks by Asia
Money 2006 polls
⇒ Clients with more than Us
$ 20 million in assets
Real Estate Private Equity
Fund
Currencies
Structured Products & Capital
Guaranteed Notes
Alternative & Non-correlated
Investments
14
Investment Banking & Corporate Finance
Value Adds Products
Comprehensive Services Equity Capital market
⇒ IPO/Rights/Secondary
issues
⇒ Delisting & Open Offers
⇒ Block Deals & Private
Equity
⇒ Management Buy-outs
Deep Industry & Sector
Knowledge
Advisory
⇒ Business Sale/Disposal
⇒ M&A/ JV’s/ Strategic
Alliances
⇒ Valuations
Local Strength
⇒ Underpinned by network
of national offices
Debt Advisory
⇒ Rupee & Foreign
Currency
⇒ Debt Raising/
Negotiation
⇒ Debt Restructuring
⇒ Creditor Settlement/
OTS
Truly Independent Advice
⇒ Not tied to any product,
market or bank
Strong Distribution Capability
Resources to draw together a
seasoned team of professionals
15
Brokerage & Distribution
Reaching out nationwide
Specialist teams providing best-of-breed research, execution and settlement
through branches nationwide
Licenses
⇒ Member, BSE+NSE [Cash & Derivatives]
⇒ Depository Participant [CDSL & NSDL]
⇒ Member, NCDEX, MCX, NMCE [Commodities Exchanges]
⇒ Insurance Brokerage [IRDA]
⇒ Member, Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange [DGCX]
⇒ MF Distribution [AMFI]
Cutting-edge technology support providing real-time access to clients through
a private broadband satellite network, leased links and the internet.
16
Brokerage & Distribution
Products Clients Size
Equities
Derivatives
Commodities
IPO’s
Mutual Funds
Life & Non-Life
Insurance
Depository Services
Bonds
Value-add Services
- backed by independent
research team
- real-time support to clients
Institutional
clients most
leading Mutual
Funds, Banks
and Insurance
Companies
Individuals,
Families &
Corporates
across India
Non-Resident
Indians
Daily
turnover in
excess of Rs
4 bn
1,00,000+
clients
nationwide
Leading
distributor of
IPO’s
17
Key Locations
Mumbai
Corporate Office
JK Somani Bldg, British Hotel Lane, Bombay Samachar Marg,
Mumbai-400023
Web Address: www.rathi.com
Brokerage & Retail Head Office
B-2, Shubham Centre, 5th
Floor, Cardinal Gracious road, Chakala,
Andheri [E], Mumbai-400099
New Delhi
911/912 Ansal Bhavan, 16
Kasturba Gandhi Marg,
New Delhi-110001
Ahmedabad
2nd
Floor, Parth, Swastik,
Char Rastha, Near Pizza
Hut, Off C.G. Road,
Navrangpura-380009
Banglore
307, Prestige Central Point,
Cunningham Road,
Banglore-560051
Chennai
8A, Ega Trade Centre, 8th
Floor, New No. 318, Old
No. 809, Poonamalee High
Road, Kilpauk,
Chennai- 600010
Kolkata
202, Central Plaza,
2/6 Sarat Bose Road,
Kolkata-700020
Hyderabad
6-3-346/1, Scotia Bank
Bldg., Road No. 1, Banjara
Hills,
Hyderabad-500034
Dubai
A R Middle East DMCC
M-14, AI Attar Grand
Khalid
Bin Waleed St., P.O. Box
120830
Dubai, U.A.E.
Bangkok
Anand Rathi Advisors
[Thailand] Co. Ltd.
24, Prime Office Building,
Sukhumvit Soi 21, Asoke
Road, Klong Toey Nur,
Wattana, Bangkok,
Thailand
18
OBJECTIVE OF STUDY
TO STUDY THE CONCEPTS AND TECHNIQUES OF
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS.
TO STUDY THE GROWTH TREND IN BANKING SECTOR AND IN
PARTICULARLY OF ICICI BANK.
TO EVALUATE THE PERFORMANCE OF ICICI BANK IN INDIAN
STOCK MARKET WITH RESPECT TO ITS FINANCIAL
PERFORMANCE.
19
In order to fulfill the above objectives, the project was undertaken in Anand
Rathi Securities Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune from 1st
June 2007 to 31st
July,
2007 and the information is collected through:
Primary Sources:
The primary data was collected specifically on project hand. One can obtain
information from dealers, salesmen, branch managers etc. The entire study was
conducted in Anand Rathi Kalyani Nagar branch, Pune, which consisted of
information on understanding the level of awareness regarding the concepts and
techniques of fundamental analysis. Data was also collected through observation
during the training period of two months from 1st June to 31st
July, 2007.
Secondary Sources:
Secondary data is already collected by someone else. This data is not collected
for solving present problem. This information is relevant and can be used for our
purpose. The information was drawn from published journals by Reserve Bank of
India, in house magazines of the bank, capital market magazine. Information was also
gathered from news papers and related magazines. Besides data was also collected
from the internet.
Limitations:
The study was restricted only to ICICI Bank and hence may not be applicable
to other banks.
The information available on the internet, journals, magazines, brochures was
limited.
The employees in the branch had a busy schedule therefore there was delay in
getting concepts clear.
20
During 2006-07, the Indian economy exhibited acceleration in growth, led by
manufacturing and services sector activities. The sustained high growth since 2003-04
has been supported by increased in domestic savings and investment. Robust growth
during 2006-07, however, was accompanied by inflationary pressures on account of
rising capacity utilization, strong growth in monetary and credit aggregates, demand-
supply gaps in domestic production of food grains and oil seeds, and firm global
commodity prices.
Real GDP growth accelerated from 9.0% during 2005-06 to 9.4% during
2006-07. The growth, thus, averaged 8.6% p.a. during the four period ended 2006-07.
Real GDP growth during the Tenth Five Year Plan period averaged 7.6% p.a., the
highest in any plan period. Acceleration in the growth rate during 2006-07 was
attributable to buoyancy in the industrial and service sector which exhibited double-
digit growth (11.0% each). Higher growth in the industry and services sector more
than offset the deceleration in the agriculture sector. Growth in the agricultural sector
decelerated from 6.0% in 2005-06 to 2.7% in 2006-07, partly on account of uneven
rainfall during the south-west monsoon and partly due to the base effect.
7.5
9 9.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
Growth Rate
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
Year
GDP Growth %
21
Macro Perspective
Monetary Developments
Money supply increased by 21.3% (Rs. 5, 80,733 crore) as compared with
17.0% (Rs. 3, 96,878 crore) during 2005-06. Amongst the major components, time
deposits exhibited growth of 23.2% (Rs. 4,41,913) during 2006-07 as compared with
15.3% (Rs. 2,53,056 crore) during 2005-06. Higher growth in time deposits could be
attributed to factors such as higher interest rates on bank deposits and availability of
tax benefits under section 80C for bank deposits.
On the sources side, growth of bank credit remains high, although there was
some moderation. Demand for bank credit was largely broad based with agriculture,
industry and personal loans absorbing 14%, 36% and 24% respectively, offering
incremental expansion in overall non-food credit during 2006-07. 7
Inflation
Headline inflation firmed up from 4.0%, year on year, April 1st
, 2006 to 5.9%
on March 31st
, 2007 with an intra-year high of 6.7% on January 27th
, 2007 and a low
of 3.7% on April 15th
, 2006. Both demand and supply side factors added to
inflationary in pressure during 2006-07. Demand pressures emanated from, high
investments and consumption demand, strong growth in credit and monetary
aggregates, and elevated assets price. Supply side pressures emerged from demand-
supply gaps in domestic production of major food grains has exhibited stagnation over
the past few years.
Inflation Trend
6.00%
5.00%
4.50%
6.25%
6.75%
6.00% 6.25% 6.25% 6.05%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
29/04/05
9/6/2006
26/10/06
6/1/2007
31/01/07
17/02/07
3/3/2007
30/03/07
14/04/07
Year
Inflation(%)
22
Balance of Payments
India’s balance of payments in 2006-07 reflected a number of positive
features, merchandise trade continue to exhibit robust growth during 2006-07,
although there was some loss of pace from a strong growth of 2005-06. The higher
growth of imports vis-à-vis experts lead to a persistent rise in trade deficit, on the
balance of payments basis. Nonetheless the current account deficits as per cent of
GDP remain unchanged (1.1% of GDP) from the previous year since the widening of
the merchandise trade deficit was offset to a large extent by the continuing buoyancy
in net invisibles surplus.
Net capital inflows to India remained buoyant (4.9% of GDP), fart exceeding
the current account deficit. Higher capital flows could be attributed to the
strengthening of micro economic fundamentals, greater investor confidence and
ample global liquidity. Net FDI inflows from abroad US$ 19.4 billion exceeded FII
inflows (net) during 2006-07 aggregating US$ 3.2 billion the debt flows (net) at US$
25.0 billion were led by external commercial borrowings reflecting strong investment
demand. Net capital flows, after financing the current account deficit, led to accretion
of US$ 36.6 billion, excluding valuation changes, to foreign exchange reserves during
2006-07.
Financial Market
Financial markets remained orderly during 2006-07, barring some episodes of
volatility, especially during the second half of March, 2007. Capital inflows and
movements in Government cash balances continued to be the key drivers of liquidity
conditions and overnight interest rates. Interest rates in the various market segments
hardened during the year, broadly in tandem with the pre-emptive monetary
tightening measures taken by the Reserve Bank of India. By and large, the exchange
rate of the Indian rupee exhibited two-way movement with respect to the main reserve
currencies during 2006-07. The stock market remained buoyant with the benchmark
indices reaching record highs during 2006-07 amidst intermittent corrections. The
primary segment of capital market exhibited buoyant conditions.
23
Currently (2007), overall, banking in India is considered as fairly mature in
terms of supply, product range and reach-even though reach in rural India still
remains a challenge for the private sector and foreign banks. Even in terms of quality
of assets and capital adequacy, Indian banks are considered to have clean, strong and
transparent balance sheets-as compared to other banks in comparable economies in its
region. The Reserve Bank of India is an autonomous body, with minimal pressure
from the government. The stated policy of the Bank on the Indian Rupee is to manage
volatility-without any stated exchange rate-and this has mostly been true.
With the growth in the Indian economy expected to be strong for quite some
time-especially in its services sector, the demand for banking services-especially retail
banking, mortgages and investment services are expected to be strong. M&As,
takeovers, asset sales and much more action (as it is unraveling in China) will happen
on this front in India.
In March 2006, the Reserve Bank of India allowed Warburg Pincus to increase
its stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (a private sector bank) to 10%. This is the first time
an investor has been allowed to hold more than 5% in a private sector bank since the
RBI announced norms in 2005 that any stake exceeding 5% in the private sector
banks would need to be vetted by them.
24
Banks Working In India
25
The Indian Banking sector comprises of 88 scheduled commercial banks of which 28
are public sector banks, 18 old private sector banks, 11 new private sector banks and
31 foreign banks as on March 31, 2007. In addition, there are 102 regional rural banks
and 1,864 urban Co-operative Banks. They have a combined network of over 53,000
branches and 17,000 ATM’s. According to a report by ICRA Limited, a rating
agency, the public sector banks hold over 75% of assets of the banking industry, with
the private and foreign banks holding 18.2% and 6.5% respectively.
Private Sector Banks:
At December 31, 2006, private sector banks accounted for approximately
19.9% of aggregate deposits and 20.2% of gross bank credit outstanding of the
scheduled commercial banks. Their network of 6,567 branches accounted for 9.4% of
the total branch network of scheduled commercial banks in the country. At December
31, 2006, ICICI Bank accounted for approximately 8.3% of aggregate deposits and
8.8% of non-food credit outstanding of the scheduled commercial banks.
26
Banking on strong fundamentals
Pvt.S.Bs P.S.Bs Total
Particulars 200706(3) 200606(3)
Var.
(%)
200706(3) 200606(3)
Var.
(%)
200706(3) 200606(3)
Var.
(%)
Interest
Earned
16055.83 10776.04 49 47819.67 35751.43 34 63875.50 46527.47 37
Interest
expended
11327.53 6940.99 63 31596.31 21383.75 48 42923.84 28324.74 52
Net Interest
Income
4728.30 3835.05 23 16223.36 14367.68 13 20951.66 18202.73 15
Other
Income
3323.12 1975.45 68 4748.95 3723.41 28 8072.07 5698.86 42
Net total
income
8051.42 5810.50 39 20972.31 18091.09 16 29023.73 23901.59 21
Operating
expenses
4308.93 3265.91 32 11087.41 9976.99 11 15396.34 13242.90 16
Operating
profit
3742.49 2544.59 47 9884.90 8114.10 22 13627.39 10658.69 28
Provisions 1197.88 759.14 58 1791.35 2605.11 -31 2989.23 3364.25 -11
Profit
before Tax
2544.61 1785.45 43 8093.55 5508.99 47 10638.16 7294.44 46
Tax
provisions
673.74 396.86 70 2355.15 1565.03 50 3028.89 1961.89 54
Net Profit 1870.87 1388.59 35 5738.40 3943.96 45 7609.27 5332.55 43
Figures are in Rs. crore
For aggregates 26 P.S.U. Banks & Pvt. S. Bs are taken into consideration.
27
CRR:
CRR stands for the cash reserve ratio. These are the specified proportion of
deposits that a bank has to maintain with the RBI. Last week, RBI announced a 50
basis points hike in CRR in two phases of 25 basis points each in February and early
march.
Impact of CRR change:
When there is a change in the CRR, the first impact is seen in the banks. For
banks, the rise in CRR would mean that a larger proportion of funds will be with RBI,
while a fall in rate will mean a lower proportion will be with the apex bank.
How is the impact on banks evaluated?
There are specific angles that one has to consider while evaluating the impact
of CRR on banks. In time of boom, like is the currently, lending will give a higher
rate of return to banks. Hence, if they have to keep a large proportion of their funds
away from lending and in the form of deposits, it is a loss of opportunity for them.
This will bring down their earnings.
An increase in CRR would also mean that money is sucked out of the system.
This would mean that funds are hard to come by and hence banks will have to pay
more to depositors in order to induce them to keep their funds banks. This will push
up the cost of funds for banks. Due to this banks will also have to raise lending rates
in order to meet the increased cost while maintaining their margins.
The market will analyze banks on the basis of their margins, and whether they
will be able to maintain this going forward. A CRR rise in it self means tougher
condition for banks but what is important is that they should also be able to keep pace
with this entire situation. That is the key to the way in which the bank stocks will
perform in the market.
28
Movement in key policy rates in India
Effective Rate Reverse Repo
Rate
Repo Rate Cash Reserve
Ratio
March 31,2004 4.50% 6.00% 4.50%
September 19,2004 4.50% 6.00% 4.75%
October 02,2004 4.50% 6.00% 5.00%
October 27,2004 4.75% 6.00% 5.00%
April 29,2005 5.00% 6.00% 5.00%
October 26,2005 5.25% 6.25% 5.00%
January 24,2006 5.50% 6.50% 5.00%
June 9,2006 5.75% 6.75% 5.00%
July 25,2006 6.00% 7.00% 5.00%
October 31,2006 6.00% 7.25% 5.00%
December 23,2006 6.00% 7.25% 5.25%
January 6,2007 6.00% 7.25% 5.50%
January 31,2007 6.00% 7.50% 5.50%
February 17,2007 6.00% 7.50% 5.75%
March 03,2007 6.00% 7.50% 6.00%
March 30,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.00%
April 14,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.25%
April 28,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.50%
Note: With effect from 29.10.2004, the nomenclature of repo & reverse repo was
changed in keeping with international usage. Now reverse repo indicates absorption of
liquidity & repo signifies injection of liquidity. Prior to 29.10.2004, repo indicated
absorption of liquidity while reverse repo meant injection of liquidity.
29
Deposit and Lending Rates
Deposit Rate March,05 March,06 March,07
Public Sector Banks
Upto 1 year 2.75-6.00 2.25-6.50 2.75-8.75
More than 1 year & upto 3
yrs. 4.75-6.50 5.75-6.75 7.25-9.50
More than 3 yrs 5.25-7.00 6.00-7.25 7.50-9.50
Private Sector Banks
Upto 1 year 3.00-6.25 3.50-7.25 3.00-9.00
More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs 5.25-7.25 5.50-7.75 6.75-9.75
More than 3 yrs 5.75-7.00 6.00-7.75 7.75-9.60
Foreign Banks
Upto 1 year 3.00-6.25 3.00-6.15 3.00-9.50
More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs 3.50-6.50 4.00-6.50 3.50-9.50
More than 3 yrs 3.50-7.00 5.50-6.50 4.05-9.50
Benchmark Prime Lending
Rates
Public Sector Banks 10.25-11.25 10.25-11.25 12.25-12.75
Private Sector Banks 11.00-13.50 11.00-14.00 12.00-16.50
Foreign Banks 10.00-14.50 10.00-14.50 10.00-15.50
Actual Lending Rate
Public Sector Banks 2.75-16.00 4.00-16.50 4.00-17.00
Private Sector Banks 3.15-22.00 3.15-20.50 3.15-25.50
Foreign Banks 3.55-23.50 4.75-26.00 5.00-26.50
30
Key Points:
Supply Liquidity is controlled by THE Reserve Bank of India.
Demand India is a growing economy and demand for credit is high
though it could be cyclical.
Barriers to Entry Licensing requirement, investment in technology and branch
network.
Bargaining power High during periods of tight liquidity. Trade unions in
of suppliers public sector banks can be anti reforms. Depositors
may invest elsewhere if interest rate falls.
Bargaining power For good creditworthy borrowers bargaining power is
of customers high due to the availability of large number of banks.
Competition High- There is public sector banks, private sector
and foreign banks along with non banking finance.
Financial Year’07:
⇒ Incremental credit/deposit ratio on a steady decline:
With most banks having run out of excess statutory liquidity ratio (SLR)
holdings, the gap in credit and deposit growth is slowly going to close as
banks are witnessing currently. The incremental credit/deposit ratio has
steadily declined from 120% to 75% at present.
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
70%
72%
5-Apr 5-Jun 5-Aug 5-Oct 5-Dec 6-Feb 6-Apr 6-Jun 6-Aug
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
CD Ratio Incremental CD Ratio
31
⇒ Retail Credit- Spiraling Ahead:
FY’07 witnessed banks shedding their surplus investment portfolio and
trading the same for a larger proportion of advance portfolio. At the same
time, pick up in incremental capex lending led to a record growth of 31%
(yoy) and increased the average credit deposit ratio to 65%.
Retail Credit
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
(%)Y-O-Y
0
20
40
60
80
(%)
Growth [LHS] % of total credit [RHS]
⇒ Mortgage Loans- The Growth Driver
Mortgage loans comprised nearly 53% of total retail credit in FY07. Despite
the rise in lending rates, the fiscal benefits accorded to them kept mortgage
loans relatively attractive. Bank also leveraged on the home loan portfolio to
comply with their priority sector norms.
Mortgage Loans
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
(%)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
(%)
% of total credit [LHS] % of total loans [RHS]
32
Overview:
ICICI Bank is India’s second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,4456.58
billion (US$ 79 billion) at March 31, 2007 and profit after tax of Rs. 31.10 billion for
fiscal 2007. ICICI Bank is the most valuable bank in India in terms of market
capitalization and is ranked among top five companies in terms of free float market
capitalization. The bank has a network of about 950 branches and 3,300 ATMs in
India and presence in 17 countries. ICICI Bank offers wide range of banking products
and financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery
channels and through its specialized subsidiaries and affiliate’s in the areas of
investment banking, life and non- life insurance, venture capital and asset
management. The Bank currently has subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and
Canada, branches in Singapore, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka and Dubai
International Finance Centre and representative offices in the United States, United
Arab Emirates, China, South Africa and Bangladesh, Thailand, Malaysia and
Indonesia. Its UK subsidiary has established a branch in Belgium.
ICICI Bank’s equity shares are listed in India on Bombay Stock Exchange and
the National Stock Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Shares
(ADRs) are listed on New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
33
History:
ICICI Bank was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Limited, an Indian
financial institution, and was its wholly owned subsidiary. ICICI’s shareholding in
ICICI Bank was reduced to 46% through a public offering of shares in India in fiscal
1998, an equity offering in the form of ADRs listed on NYSE IN FISCAL 2000,
ICICI Bank’s acquisition OF Bank of Madura Limited in an all-stock amalgamation
in fiscal 2001, and se4condary market sales by ICICI to institutional investors in fiscal
2201 and 2002. ICICI was formed in 1955 at the initiative of World Bank, the
Government of India an Indian industry. The principal objective was to create a
development financial institution for providing medium-term and long term project
financing to Indian businesses.
After consideration of various corporate structuring alternatives in the context
of emerging competitive scenario in the Indian banking industry and the move
towards universal banking, the managements of ICICI and ICICI Bank formed the
view that the merger of ICICI with ICICI Bank would be the optimal strategic
alternative for both entities, and would create the optimal legal structure for the ICICI
group’s universal and banking strategy.
In October 2001, the Board of Directors of ICICI and ICICI Bank approved
the merger of ICICI and two of its wholly owned retail finance subsidiaries, ICICI
Personal Financial Services and ICICI Capital Services Limited, with ICICI Bank.
The merger was approved by shareholders of ICICI and ICICI Bank in January 2002,
by the High Court of Gujarat at Ahmedabad in March 2002, and by the High Court of
Judicature at Mumbai and the Reserve Bank of India in April 2002.
Sangli Bank has merged with ICICI Bank effective April 19, 2007 as per the
order of Reserve Bank of India dated April 18, 2007. Pursuant to the merger of
Sangli Bank with ICICI Bank Limited, the shareholders of Sangli Bank were allotted
34,55,008 equity shares of Rs. 10 each on May 28, 2007.
34
SUBSIDIARIES/JOINT VENTURE/ ASSOCIATES
ICICI Venture Funds Management
Company Ltd.
Manages funds that provide venture
capital to start-up companies and
undertake private equity investments.
ICICI Primary Dealership Ltd. Engaged in equity underwriting,
brokerage and primary dealership in
government securities.
ICICI Securities Ltd. Leading Investment Banking
Organization.
First Source Solutions Ltd. Leading third party BPO service
provider.
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Company Ltd.
Retail market share of about 28% in new
business by private sector life insurance
companies during FY 2007.
ICICI Lombard General Insurance
Company Ltd.
Market share of about 34% in gross
written premium among the private sector
general insurance companies during
FY2007.
ICICI Prudential Asset Management
Company
Among the top two mutual funds in India
in terms of total funds under management
in the Indian Mutual Fund Industry for
FY07 with a market share of over 11%.
(Source: AMFI)
35
Domestic Subsidiaries
ICICI Brokerage Services Limited.
ICICI Distribution Finance Private Limited.
ICICI Home Finance Company Limited.
ICICI Investment Management Company Limited.
ICICI Trusteeship Services Limited.
Prudential ICICI Trust Limited.
International Subsidiaries
ICICI Bank Canada.
ICICI Bank Eurasia Limited Liability Company.
ICICI International Limited.
ICICI Securities Holding Inc*.
ICICI Securities Inc*.
ICICI Bank UK Limited.
36
Background of ICICI Bank
As on June 30, 2007 FY’08
CMP: - 955.45 Target Price: - 1,710
Incorporation Year 1994
Managing Director K. V. Kamath
Registered Office
Landmark, Race Course
Circle, Alakapuri,
Vadodra-390007,
Gujrat
Telephone 91-265-2339923/25/27/28
Fax 91-265-2339926
Website www.icicibank.com
Face Value [Rs] 10
BSE Code 532174
BSE Group A
NSE Code ICICIBANK
Bloomberg ICICIBC IN
Reuters ICBK.BO
ISIN Demat INE090A01013
Market Lot 1
Listing BSE, NSE, NYSE
Financial Year End 03
Book Closure Month Jun/Jul
AGM Month Jul
37
SHARE HOLDING PATTERN
Share holding pattern as on:
31/03/2006 31/03/2007
Face Value 10.00 10.00
No. of Shares % Holding No. of Shares % Holding
Promoters Holding
Sub Total - - - -
Non Promoter’s Holding
Institutional Investors
Banks, Fin. Inst.,
Insurance
109664301 17.27 107789571 16.5
FII’s 399746652 44.71 405033806 45.04
Sub Total 554119342 61.98 552358029 61.42
Other Investors
Private Corporate
Bodies
45010772 5.03 46685349 5.19
NRI’s/OCB’S/Foreign 48971 0.01 48971 0.01
Government 1250 - 1250 -
Others 238530478 26.68 238530478 26.68
Sub Total 283591471 31.72 285266048 31.88
General Public 56292130 6.30 61642595 6.85
Grand Total 894002943 100.00 899266672 100.00
38
Performance with major indices:
The performance of ICICI Bank Price in stock market with three major indices
is given below. Performance with-
• Sensex - Sensitive Index for 30 Major Stocks replicates
the movement of market.
• NIFTY- National Index for 50 major stocks.
• Bank nifty - Replicates the movement in price of stock of
various banks.
NIFTY & ICICI Bank Price
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2007/062007/052007/042007/032007/022007/012006/122006/112006/102006/092006/082006/07
Peroid
NIFTY
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
ICICIBankPrice
NIFTY
ICICI Bank Price
Bank and Sensex
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2007/062007/052007/042007/032007/022007/012006/122006/112006/102006/092006/082006/07
Period
Sensex
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
ICICI Bank Price
Sensex
ICICI Bank Price
39
Bank Nifty & ICICI Bank Price
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2007/062007/052007/042007/032007/022007/012006/122006/112006/102006/092006/082006/07
Period
BankNifty
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
ICICIBankPrice
Bank Nifty
ICICI Bank Price
ICICI Bank Price Movement over a period of one year:
Price Movement for One Year
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Period
Price
40
STRATEGY
Business Composition
ICICI’s loan book is predominantly composed of retail assets as it feels retail
finance offers significant risk diversification benefits with the credit risk being spread
over a large number of relatively small individual loans. The growth of its retrial
finance portfolio has been the principal driver of its portfolio diversification strategy.
Retail loans constituted 65.2% total loans for FY07 compared to 62.9% for FY06 and
60.9% for FY05.
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
Percentage
2005 2006 2007
Financial Year
Movement of Advances
Retail
Corporate
41
Compared to its peers ICICI Bank’s CASA ratio (current account/saving account) is
relatively lower. As of FY07 ICICI bank had a CASA ratio of 21.8% compared to
SBI 48.5%, UTI 39.9% and HDFC bank 57.7%.
Total Outstanding Retail Finance
Portfolio
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
March,2005 March,2006 March,2007
Year
Percentage
Home
Automobile
Businesses
Two-Wheeler
Personal
Credit Cards
Against Securities
and others
42
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
Percentage
2005 2006 2007
Year
Outstanding Deposits
Current Account Savings Time
Cost of Deposits
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2005 2006 2007
Financial Year
Percentage
Savings
Time
43
Enhancing its strong corporate franchise
ICICI is seeking to build a global corporate and investment banking franchise
focused on Indian companies, covering advisory, origination, structuring, execution
and syndication. Their corporate lending activities will focus corporate finance and
working capital lending to highly rated corporation emerging global competitiveness
of the Indian industry offer growth opportunities in the area of project financing.
Growing its International Presence
ICICI intends to grow its international business based on leveraging home
country links for international expansion by capturing market share in select
international markets. The focus areas are supporting Indian companies in rising
corporate and project finance overseas for their investment in India and abroad.
Personal financial services (including remittance and deposit products) for non-
resident Indians are another area of focus.
Penetrating Rural India
ICICI offers a comprehensive suite of products for all customer segments
operating in the rural areas-corporate, small and medium enterprises and finally the
individual traders and farmers. Future growth of India is depended on rural India.
There is tremendous opportunity for the banking sector in rural India and ICICI to win
big share of the same.
44
Insurance and Asset Management Business
ICICI has a joint venture partnership both in Life as well as non life Insurance
business it holds 74% interest in both the JV the balance being held by foreign
partners. It is the largest private sector life as well as non-life insurance company in
India, with a retail market share of approximately 28% and 34% for respectively in
the private sector and an overall market share of approximately 10% and 12% based
on new business premiums during FY07.
ICICI 51% interest in its joint venture partnership with Prudential Plc of the
United Kingdom for the asset management business. It is among the two largest
mutual funds in India, with total assets under management approximately Rs. 379
billion and a market share of approximately 11.6% for FY07.
Other Income-Fee based avenues
ICICI earns fee income from their commercial banking services to retail
customers, including retail loan processing fees, credit card and debit card fees,
transaction banking fees and fees from distribution of third party products. Its focus is
on meeting the working capital requirements, deposit accounts and other banking
products and services of small and medium enterprises.
45
FINANCIALS
Profit & Loss Statement:
[Rs. in billion]
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
NII 28.39 41.87 66.36 88.06
Non-Interest Income 27.05 40.55 59.44 77.27
- Fee Income 20.98 32.59 50.12 67
- Others 6.07 7.96 9.02 1029
Core Operating Income 55.44 82.42 125.49 164.77
Operating Expenses 25.17 35.47 49.79 62.5
Other DMA1 Expenses 8.85 11.77 15.24 18.27
Lease Depreciation 2.97 2.77 1.88 1.61
Core Operating Profit 22.45 37.63 58.59 80.67
Treasury Income 7.11 9.28 10.14 11.41
Operating Profit 29.56 46.91 68.73 92.08
Provisions 14.29 15.94 14.95 15.17
Profit Before Tax 25.27 30.17 53.78 76.91
Tax 5.22 5.57 5.38 5.43
PAT 20.05 25.60 48.40 71.48
Note: The projected Profit & Loss statement for the period Mar-08 is prepared with
the help of Compounded Annual Growth Rate formulae. [Base year is Mar-05].
46
Balance Sheet: Assets
[Rs. In billion]
Balance Sheet: Liabilities
[Rs. in billion]
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
Net Worth 125.50 222.06 243.13 303.13
- Equity Capital 7.37 8.90 8.99 9.03
- Reserves 118.13 213.16 234.14 294.10
Preference 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50
Deposits 998.91 1,650.83 2,305.10 3,046.18
Borrowings 224.05 354.77 598.24 727.78
eICICI
Borrowings
193.48 131.90 108.37 89.33
Other Liabilities 131.87 150.83 188.24 211.96
Total Liabilities 1,676.59 2,513.89 3,446.58 4381.88
Note: The projected Balance Sheet for the year Mar-08 is prepared with the help of
Compounded Annual Growth Rate formulae. [Base year is Mar-05].
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
Cash balances with banks &
SLR
474.12 618.14 1044.89 1359.72
- Cash & bank balances 129.30 170.40 371.21 527.60
- SLR Investments 344.82 510.74 673.68 842.17
Advances 914.05 1,461.63 1,958.66 2510.89
Other Investments 160.05 204.73 238.90 273.01
Fixed & Other Assets 128.37 166.39 204.13 238.26
Total Assets 1,676.59 2,513.89 3,446.58 4381.88
47
Dividend:
Dividend is that portion of total profit earned by the company which is
distributed among shareholders of the company and is declared by the Board of
directors.
Year Month Dividend [%]
2007 April 100
2006 April 85
2005 May 85
2004 April 75
2003 April 75
2002 May -
2002 January 20
2001 April 20
Dividend
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2001 2002 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Year
Percentage
Dividend
Interpretation:
In case of ICICI Bank, the bank has given good dividends to its shareholders
over a period of 7 years. It indicates that the bank is earning handsome profit over the
years which it passes on to its shareholders.
48
Capital Adequacy Ratio:
A bank’s capital ratio is the ratio of qualifying capital to risk adjusted
[or weighted] assets. The RBI has set the minimum capital adequacy ratio at 10% as
on March, 2002 for all banks. A ratio below the minimum indicates that the bank is
not adequately capitalized to expand its operations. The ratio ensures that the bank do
not expand their business without having adequate capital.
March 31, 2006 March 31, 2007
Rs. bn % Rs. bn %
Total Capital 278.43 13.35 338.96 11.69
- Tier Ι 191.82 9.20 215.03 7.42
- Tier ΙΙ 86.61 4.15 123.93 4.27
Risk Weighted Assets 2,058.94 2,899.93
Interpretation:
The above statistics indicates that ICICI Bank is aggressively
expanding their business to increase its operations year-on-year basis. The bank has
less capital adequacy ratio in 2007 in spite of increase capital as compared to 2006
due to the pressure of cash reserve ratio and repo rate.
Non-Performing Asset ratio:
The net non-performing asset to loans (advances) ratio is used as a
major of the overall quality of the bank’s loan book. Net NPA’s are calculated by
reducing cumulative valance of provisions outstanding at a period end form gross
NPA’s..
Asset Quality and Provisioning:
[Rs. in billion]
Mar-31,2006 Mar-31,2007
Gross NPA’s 29.63 48.50
Less: Cumulative w/offs &
provisions
18.88 28.31
Net NPA’s 10.75 20.19
Net NPA Ratio 0.71% 0.98%
Interpretation:
NPA’s of ICICI Bank has increased from 0.71% in 2006 to 0.98% in
2007 which is a serious concern for the bank. The higher ratio reflects rising bad
quality of loans.
49
Earning Per Share:
It is widely used ratio to measure the profit available to the equity
shareholders on a per share basis. EPS is calculated on the basis of current profit and
not on the basis of retained profits.
Earning Per Share
13.49
18.31
22.43
28.41
53.82
64.29
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Year
EPS
Interpretation:
The EPS of bank is increasing year-on-year basis and the projected EPS is
calculated on the basis of projected profit after tax for year Mar-08. The increasing
EPS indicates the increasing trend of profits per share.
Return on Equity:
The return on equity measures the profitability of equity funds invested in the
firm. It is regarded as a very important measure it reflects the productivity of the
ownership (or risk) capital employed in the firm.
Return on Equity
18.30%
21.80%
17.90%
16.40%
13.40%
11.22%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Year
(%)
50
Price Earnings ratio:
P/E Ratio indicates the price currently being paid in the market for each rupee
of EPS. It measures the expectation of the investors. A high P/E Ratio may indicate
the possibility of increase in EPS. A low P/E Ratio may indicate that there is no
possibility of any increase in EPS and the investors will be reluctant to invest in such
shares.
Price Earning Ratio
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Year
PE
PE
Interpretation:
P/E Ratio of ICICI Bank has a declining trend from 2004 to 2008, a low P/E
Ratio is considered as one of the important criteria from the point of view of
investors.
Peer Comparison
Company SBI HDFC UTI ICICI
NII 160,542 37,098 15,671 66,358
NP 45,413 11,415 6590 31,102
ROE 15.4 19.3 21 13.4
EPS 86.3 35.74 23.4 34.5
P/E 11.5 26.6 20.9 24.8
P/ABV 2.0 4.8 4.4 3.5
51
Key Ratios:
Given below are some of the key ratios for evaluating the banks performance
and their performance over a period of 3 years.
Key Ratios
Mar-07 Mar-06 Mar-05
Credit-Deposit (%) 86.46 89.68 91.74
Investment / Deposit (%) 41.15 46.07 55.52
Cash / Deposit (%) 6.99 5.77 7
Interest Expended / Interest Earned
(%) 71.14 67.09 69.83
Other Income / Total Income (%) 23.24 26.14 27.33
Operating Expenses / Total Income (%) 25.78 30.24 25.49
Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 7.7 6.8 6.39
Interest Expended / Total Funds (%) 5.48 4.56 4.46
Net Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 2.22 2.24 1.93
Non Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 2.33 2.41 2.4
Operating Expenses / Total Funds (%) 2.59 2.79 2.24
Profit before Provisions / Total Funds
(%) 1.97 1.86 2.09
Net Profit / Total funds (%) 1.04 1.21 1.36
RONW (%) 13.37 14.62 19.51
Projected Market Price for FY08:
The projected market price can be calculated as-
Market Price = P/E Ratio for FY07 * Projected EPS for FY08
= 26.60 * 64.29
= Rs. 1710
.
Note: It is a projected price which is based on various factors and mostly on EPS and
P/E Ratio. Variations may be there to attain this price, no assurance of target price
achievement. P/E Ratio has taken as constant of FY07
52
Concerns for ICICI Bank
• Their banking and trading activities are particularly vulnerable to interest rate
risk and volatility in interest rates could adversely affect their net interest
margin, the value of their fixed income portfolio, their income from treasury
operations, the quality of their loan portfolio and their financial performance.
• Their rapid retail expansion in India and their rural initiative expose them to
increased risk that may adversely affect their business.
• The failure of their restructured loans to perform as expected or a significant
increase in the level of restructured loans in their portfolio could affect their
business.
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
Percenatge
2005 2006 2007
Financial Year
Gross NPAs
Retail
Corporate
53
LIMITATIONS
Fundamental analysis has some limitation involved in it. This limitation can be
explained as under:
Time Constrain:
Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be
extraordinarily time-consuming. Time-consuming models often produce valuations
that are contradictory to the current price prevailing on the exchange.
Company Specific:
Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of
each company. For this reason, a different technique and model is required for
different industries and different companies. This can be quite time-consuming
process, which can limit the amount of research that can be performed.
The sales and inventory ratio may be very important for the cement sector
company but these ratios are not very useful for the banking sector.
Inadequacies of Data:
While making analysis one has to often wrestle with inadequate data. While
deliberate falsification of data may be rare, subtle misrepresentation and concealment
are common.
Future Uncertainties:
Future changes are largely unpredictable; more so when the economic and
business environment is buffeted by frequent winds of change. In an environment
characterized by discontinuities, the past record is a poor guide to future performance.
Irrational Market Behaviour:
The market itself presents a major obstacle while making analysis on account
of neglect or prejudice, undervaluation may persist for extended periods; likewise,
overvaluations arising from unsatisfied optimism and misplaced enthusiasm may
endure for unreasonable lengths of time.
54
CONCLUSION
Fundamental analysis holds that no investment decision should be
without processing and analyzing all relevant information. It strength lies in the fact
the information analyzed is real as opposed to hunches or assumptions. On the other
hand, while fundamental analysis deals with tangible fact, it does not tend to ignore
the fact that human beings do not always act rationally. Market prices do sometimes
deviate from fundamentals. Prices rise or fall due to insider trading, speculation,
rumor, and a host of other factors.
This is true to an extent but strength of fundamental analysis is that an
investment decision is arrived at after analyzing information and making logical
assumptions and deductions. Furthermore, fundamental analysis ensures that one does
not recklessly buy or sell shares- especially buy.
Fundamental analysis can be valuable, but it should be approached with
caution. If you are reading research written by a sell-side analyst, it is important to be
familiar with the analyst behind the report. We all have personal biases, and every
analyst has some sort of bias. There is nothing wrong with this, and the research can
still be of great value.
The analysis carried out at Anand Rathi Securities Limited on the ICICI Bank,
their profit and loss account, balance sheet and ratios. I shall suggest the investors to
invest in ICICI Bank than the other banks as a value investment.
Reasons:
Largest private sector bank in India, second largest in entire banking
industry.
Strong increase in profit year-on-year basis.
Increasing EPS indicate good earnings.
Increase in sharing profit with shareholders in form of dividend.
ICICI Bank is expanding its footholds on international level also; its
insurance and asset management business are also performing well.
The bank also expanding their business in rural area.
55
Bibliography
Books:
⇒ Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management- Prasanna Chandra.
News Papers:
⇒ Economic Times
⇒ Business Standard
Magazines:
⇒ Capital Market
⇒ Dalal Street
⇒ Bank Quest
Websites:
⇒ www.intra.rathi.com
⇒ www.icicibank.com
⇒ www.rbi.org.in
⇒ www.moneycontrol.com
⇒ www.equitymaster.com
⇒ www.nseindia.com

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Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank

  • 1. TOPIC – Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank Ltd. Name – Ashwin Kulkarni
  • 2. 2 Sr. No. Title Page No. 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6 2. COMPANY PROFILE 7 3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 16 4. METHODOLOGY OF STUDY 17 5. ECONOMY ANALYSIS 18 6. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS 21 7. PROFILE OF ICICI BANK 30 8. DATA ANLYSIS 36 9. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS 51 10. BIBLIOGRAPHY 53
  • 3. 3 Acknowledgment It gives me great pleasure to express my gratitude towards all the individuals who have directly or indirectly helped me in completing this project. First of all, I am extremely grateful to Mr. Mayank Saxsena, Branch Manager, Anand Rathi Securities Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune, for providing me summer project in stock market for sixty days. I would also like to express my sincere gratitude to Mr. Vikrant Darak, for his invaluable guidance during the project period which helps me in completing this project. I wish to express my sincere thanks to our Director Dr. Sharad Joshi and my project guide Prof. Mahesh Halale for providing me valuable guidance and inputs which help to complete this project in true sense. I also extend my thanks to all the staff of Anand Rathi Securities Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune, for their support, which helped me a lot in completing this project. This project report is a collective effort of all and I sincerely remember and acknowledge all o them for their excellent help and assistance throughout the project. - Ashwin R. Kulkarni
  • 4. 4 INTRODUCTION The stock market is the most volatile market and is difficult to understand as the weather. Though this does not mean that the markets cannot be predicted but it only means that trends may change without warning, as with weather. The stock markets are characterized by almost all factors, again starting right from weather and ending at the political environment. Effects of one market also causes a spillover into the other and an external cause in one market can lead to the reaction in another market. For instance, it’s been proved that a delayed monsoon in India will create the problems of flooding in the European countries, effecting adversely economies of both the regions. The pulse of the market also depends upon timely exit and entry. For arriving at a correct conclusion reasonable data is required to understand the mechanics of the stock and the industry – vis-à-vis global and local in which the company operates. While a practical long-term view will help reduce risks, marrying the stock on the other hand may totally increase risks. By going through the Industry Reports, Financials the investor can arm himself with reasonable information about the stocks, which are being tracked by the investor. However, for consistent monitoring of stocks, it is imperative that the investor has limited exposure to the stocks, which are being capable of being tracked by him – a too big a portfolio will divert attention and ultimately harm investor interests.
  • 5. 5 In the present project an attempt is made to study the importance of fundamental analysis for investors. SHARES: - The companies Act 1956 defines Shares as “a share in the capital of a company and includes stock except where distinction between stock and share is expressed or implied. A share is regarded as property, which can be bought and sold like any other property. It also consists of other rights given by Articles of Association of company. EQUITY OR ORDINARY SHARES: - These are those shares, which do not enjoy any special rights in respect of payment of dividend or repayment of capital. The return of capital to equity shareholders is not guaranteed. Also when the company is wound up, capital of equity shareholders is lastly paid, only after all other claims have been paid in full. That is why equity is also called as “The Risk Bearing or Venture Capital.” There are two sources of return on equity shares: - 1. Dividend: -When companies earn sufficient profit, then Board of Directors declares for all shares. 2. Capital Gain: -Which arises from an increase in the market price of shares, which is generally associated with growth in per share earning.
  • 6. 6 Benefits of Investments in Equity shares: - 1. You can earn good rate of dividend or can make better profit on market fluctuation. 2. Bonus issue: - These are given as free gift to existing shareholders either fully or partly paid up out of accumulated profits. 3. Existing shareholders can get “Right issue” in case of further issue of capital by company. 4. Equity shareholders have “Right to vote” in annual general meeting and other rights like call meeting, winding up of the company. 5. Shareholders get free copy of Annual Report in which details of all business conducted in last year is mentioned. 6. A share is “Transferable Property”. It can be transferred or transmitted by shareholder to any other person. 7. Tax Exemption: -As per Income Tax Act, Dividend is not taxable in the hands of shareholders similarly Long Term Capital Gain on shares is exempted up to March 2007. 8. Liquidity: -Because of large market for share investor can convert his investments into liquid money easily.
  • 7. 7 What is Fundamental analysis? Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect the well being of the economy, industry groups, and companies. As with most analysis, the goal is to derive a forecast and profit from future price movements. At the company level, fundamental analysis may involve examination of financial data, management, business concept and competition. At the industry level, there might be an examination of supply and demand forces for the products offered. For the national economy, fundamental analysis might focus on economic data to assess the present and future growth of the economy. To forecast future stock prices, fundamental analysis combines economic, industry, and company analysis to derive a stock's current fair value and forecast future value. If fair value is not equal to the current stock price, fundamental analysts believe that the stock is either over or under valued and the market price will ultimately gravitate towards fair value. Fundamentalists do not heed the advice of the random walkers and believe that markets are weak-form efficient. By believing that prices do not accurately reflect all available information, fundamental analysts look to capitalize on perceived price discrepancies. Fundamental analysis is a method used to determine the value of a stock by analyzing the financial data that is 'fundamental' to the company. That means that fundamental analysis takes into consideration only those variables that are directly related to the company itself, such as its earnings, its dividends, and its sales. Fundamental analysis does not look at the overall state of the market nor does it include behavioral variables in its methodology. It focuses exclusively on the company's business in order to determine whether or not the stock should be bought or sold.
  • 8. 8 In India many traditional people are very risk averse. They are not aware of the investment opportunities in the stock market. They consider stock market as a game of gambling. But the original scenario is quite different. There is no doubt that there are speculators who try to hike the price of a stock artificially. Investing in equities involves high risk and the return on it totally depends on the company’s performance. But investing in the right stock at the right price and holding for a longer time horizon would surely be a better investment. The reason behind choosing this project is that it provides hands on experience with what goes on in the stock market on a day to day basis. The field of equity research is very vast and one has to look into various aspects of the functioning of the company to get to any conclusion about the possible performance of the company in the market. Investors like warren buffet made a fortune out of investments in the stock market, which is quiet impossible without proper research about the companies. The field of equity research is full of challenges. The project is done with Anand Rathi Securities Limited a very well known company in the field of stock broking and capital market services sector. This project gave me a chance to get valuable insights from a hoard of vastly experienced people in this field and to get various approaches each one adopts to evaluate various companies. The duration of the project was two months. These two months were not only limited to learning and devoting time towards equity research but it also provided an insight on what various services such broking houses provide and what efforts are required to manage such organizations.
  • 10. 10 Group Overview Set up in 1994,2000 people Anand Rathi Securities Limited • Wealth Management • Investment Banking • Member – BSE • Depository Participant – CDSL
  • 11. 11 AR Insurance Brokers Insurance Broking AR Middle East DMCC Member- Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange Anand Rathi International International Operations Navratan Commodities Member- NCDEX, MCX & NMCE Navratan Capital & Securities Member- NSE Depository Participant-NSDL Rathi Global Finance NBFC Anand Rathi Securities Limited AR Venture Funds Management Real Estate Private Equity Fund
  • 12. 12 Business Overview Wealth Management Investment Banking & Corporate Finance Brokerage & Distribution Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, Dubai, Bangkok and Singapore Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata, Bangalore, Hyderabad Present at 300 + locations across India • Institutions • Private Clients • Priority Clients • M & A • IPO’s Buybacks, Offers, Placements • Debt Raising, Syndication and Restructuring • Equities • Derivatives • Bonds • Mutual Funds • Commodities • Insurance
  • 13. 13 Wealth Management Value Adds Products Comprehensive Product Range ⇒ Strong alternative investment expertise Equities ⇒ Stocks, PMS, Derivatives, Mutual Funds Risk Management Skills ⇒ Sophisticated asset allocation & risk modeling Fixed Income ⇒ Bonds, Mutual Fund Proprietary global economic & investment strategy research ⇒ Focusing on long term dynamics & trends Commodities & Precious Metals Client Centric Model Life & General Insurance Ranked amongst South Asia’s top 5 private banks by Asia Money 2006 polls ⇒ Clients with more than Us $ 20 million in assets Real Estate Private Equity Fund Currencies Structured Products & Capital Guaranteed Notes Alternative & Non-correlated Investments
  • 14. 14 Investment Banking & Corporate Finance Value Adds Products Comprehensive Services Equity Capital market ⇒ IPO/Rights/Secondary issues ⇒ Delisting & Open Offers ⇒ Block Deals & Private Equity ⇒ Management Buy-outs Deep Industry & Sector Knowledge Advisory ⇒ Business Sale/Disposal ⇒ M&A/ JV’s/ Strategic Alliances ⇒ Valuations Local Strength ⇒ Underpinned by network of national offices Debt Advisory ⇒ Rupee & Foreign Currency ⇒ Debt Raising/ Negotiation ⇒ Debt Restructuring ⇒ Creditor Settlement/ OTS Truly Independent Advice ⇒ Not tied to any product, market or bank Strong Distribution Capability Resources to draw together a seasoned team of professionals
  • 15. 15 Brokerage & Distribution Reaching out nationwide Specialist teams providing best-of-breed research, execution and settlement through branches nationwide Licenses ⇒ Member, BSE+NSE [Cash & Derivatives] ⇒ Depository Participant [CDSL & NSDL] ⇒ Member, NCDEX, MCX, NMCE [Commodities Exchanges] ⇒ Insurance Brokerage [IRDA] ⇒ Member, Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange [DGCX] ⇒ MF Distribution [AMFI] Cutting-edge technology support providing real-time access to clients through a private broadband satellite network, leased links and the internet.
  • 16. 16 Brokerage & Distribution Products Clients Size Equities Derivatives Commodities IPO’s Mutual Funds Life & Non-Life Insurance Depository Services Bonds Value-add Services - backed by independent research team - real-time support to clients Institutional clients most leading Mutual Funds, Banks and Insurance Companies Individuals, Families & Corporates across India Non-Resident Indians Daily turnover in excess of Rs 4 bn 1,00,000+ clients nationwide Leading distributor of IPO’s
  • 17. 17 Key Locations Mumbai Corporate Office JK Somani Bldg, British Hotel Lane, Bombay Samachar Marg, Mumbai-400023 Web Address: www.rathi.com Brokerage & Retail Head Office B-2, Shubham Centre, 5th Floor, Cardinal Gracious road, Chakala, Andheri [E], Mumbai-400099 New Delhi 911/912 Ansal Bhavan, 16 Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi-110001 Ahmedabad 2nd Floor, Parth, Swastik, Char Rastha, Near Pizza Hut, Off C.G. Road, Navrangpura-380009 Banglore 307, Prestige Central Point, Cunningham Road, Banglore-560051 Chennai 8A, Ega Trade Centre, 8th Floor, New No. 318, Old No. 809, Poonamalee High Road, Kilpauk, Chennai- 600010 Kolkata 202, Central Plaza, 2/6 Sarat Bose Road, Kolkata-700020 Hyderabad 6-3-346/1, Scotia Bank Bldg., Road No. 1, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad-500034 Dubai A R Middle East DMCC M-14, AI Attar Grand Khalid Bin Waleed St., P.O. Box 120830 Dubai, U.A.E. Bangkok Anand Rathi Advisors [Thailand] Co. Ltd. 24, Prime Office Building, Sukhumvit Soi 21, Asoke Road, Klong Toey Nur, Wattana, Bangkok, Thailand
  • 18. 18 OBJECTIVE OF STUDY TO STUDY THE CONCEPTS AND TECHNIQUES OF FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS. TO STUDY THE GROWTH TREND IN BANKING SECTOR AND IN PARTICULARLY OF ICICI BANK. TO EVALUATE THE PERFORMANCE OF ICICI BANK IN INDIAN STOCK MARKET WITH RESPECT TO ITS FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE.
  • 19. 19 In order to fulfill the above objectives, the project was undertaken in Anand Rathi Securities Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune from 1st June 2007 to 31st July, 2007 and the information is collected through: Primary Sources: The primary data was collected specifically on project hand. One can obtain information from dealers, salesmen, branch managers etc. The entire study was conducted in Anand Rathi Kalyani Nagar branch, Pune, which consisted of information on understanding the level of awareness regarding the concepts and techniques of fundamental analysis. Data was also collected through observation during the training period of two months from 1st June to 31st July, 2007. Secondary Sources: Secondary data is already collected by someone else. This data is not collected for solving present problem. This information is relevant and can be used for our purpose. The information was drawn from published journals by Reserve Bank of India, in house magazines of the bank, capital market magazine. Information was also gathered from news papers and related magazines. Besides data was also collected from the internet. Limitations: The study was restricted only to ICICI Bank and hence may not be applicable to other banks. The information available on the internet, journals, magazines, brochures was limited. The employees in the branch had a busy schedule therefore there was delay in getting concepts clear.
  • 20. 20 During 2006-07, the Indian economy exhibited acceleration in growth, led by manufacturing and services sector activities. The sustained high growth since 2003-04 has been supported by increased in domestic savings and investment. Robust growth during 2006-07, however, was accompanied by inflationary pressures on account of rising capacity utilization, strong growth in monetary and credit aggregates, demand- supply gaps in domestic production of food grains and oil seeds, and firm global commodity prices. Real GDP growth accelerated from 9.0% during 2005-06 to 9.4% during 2006-07. The growth, thus, averaged 8.6% p.a. during the four period ended 2006-07. Real GDP growth during the Tenth Five Year Plan period averaged 7.6% p.a., the highest in any plan period. Acceleration in the growth rate during 2006-07 was attributable to buoyancy in the industrial and service sector which exhibited double- digit growth (11.0% each). Higher growth in the industry and services sector more than offset the deceleration in the agriculture sector. Growth in the agricultural sector decelerated from 6.0% in 2005-06 to 2.7% in 2006-07, partly on account of uneven rainfall during the south-west monsoon and partly due to the base effect. 7.5 9 9.4 0 2 4 6 8 10 Growth Rate 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 Year GDP Growth %
  • 21. 21 Macro Perspective Monetary Developments Money supply increased by 21.3% (Rs. 5, 80,733 crore) as compared with 17.0% (Rs. 3, 96,878 crore) during 2005-06. Amongst the major components, time deposits exhibited growth of 23.2% (Rs. 4,41,913) during 2006-07 as compared with 15.3% (Rs. 2,53,056 crore) during 2005-06. Higher growth in time deposits could be attributed to factors such as higher interest rates on bank deposits and availability of tax benefits under section 80C for bank deposits. On the sources side, growth of bank credit remains high, although there was some moderation. Demand for bank credit was largely broad based with agriculture, industry and personal loans absorbing 14%, 36% and 24% respectively, offering incremental expansion in overall non-food credit during 2006-07. 7 Inflation Headline inflation firmed up from 4.0%, year on year, April 1st , 2006 to 5.9% on March 31st , 2007 with an intra-year high of 6.7% on January 27th , 2007 and a low of 3.7% on April 15th , 2006. Both demand and supply side factors added to inflationary in pressure during 2006-07. Demand pressures emanated from, high investments and consumption demand, strong growth in credit and monetary aggregates, and elevated assets price. Supply side pressures emerged from demand- supply gaps in domestic production of major food grains has exhibited stagnation over the past few years. Inflation Trend 6.00% 5.00% 4.50% 6.25% 6.75% 6.00% 6.25% 6.25% 6.05% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 29/04/05 9/6/2006 26/10/06 6/1/2007 31/01/07 17/02/07 3/3/2007 30/03/07 14/04/07 Year Inflation(%)
  • 22. 22 Balance of Payments India’s balance of payments in 2006-07 reflected a number of positive features, merchandise trade continue to exhibit robust growth during 2006-07, although there was some loss of pace from a strong growth of 2005-06. The higher growth of imports vis-à-vis experts lead to a persistent rise in trade deficit, on the balance of payments basis. Nonetheless the current account deficits as per cent of GDP remain unchanged (1.1% of GDP) from the previous year since the widening of the merchandise trade deficit was offset to a large extent by the continuing buoyancy in net invisibles surplus. Net capital inflows to India remained buoyant (4.9% of GDP), fart exceeding the current account deficit. Higher capital flows could be attributed to the strengthening of micro economic fundamentals, greater investor confidence and ample global liquidity. Net FDI inflows from abroad US$ 19.4 billion exceeded FII inflows (net) during 2006-07 aggregating US$ 3.2 billion the debt flows (net) at US$ 25.0 billion were led by external commercial borrowings reflecting strong investment demand. Net capital flows, after financing the current account deficit, led to accretion of US$ 36.6 billion, excluding valuation changes, to foreign exchange reserves during 2006-07. Financial Market Financial markets remained orderly during 2006-07, barring some episodes of volatility, especially during the second half of March, 2007. Capital inflows and movements in Government cash balances continued to be the key drivers of liquidity conditions and overnight interest rates. Interest rates in the various market segments hardened during the year, broadly in tandem with the pre-emptive monetary tightening measures taken by the Reserve Bank of India. By and large, the exchange rate of the Indian rupee exhibited two-way movement with respect to the main reserve currencies during 2006-07. The stock market remained buoyant with the benchmark indices reaching record highs during 2006-07 amidst intermittent corrections. The primary segment of capital market exhibited buoyant conditions.
  • 23. 23 Currently (2007), overall, banking in India is considered as fairly mature in terms of supply, product range and reach-even though reach in rural India still remains a challenge for the private sector and foreign banks. Even in terms of quality of assets and capital adequacy, Indian banks are considered to have clean, strong and transparent balance sheets-as compared to other banks in comparable economies in its region. The Reserve Bank of India is an autonomous body, with minimal pressure from the government. The stated policy of the Bank on the Indian Rupee is to manage volatility-without any stated exchange rate-and this has mostly been true. With the growth in the Indian economy expected to be strong for quite some time-especially in its services sector, the demand for banking services-especially retail banking, mortgages and investment services are expected to be strong. M&As, takeovers, asset sales and much more action (as it is unraveling in China) will happen on this front in India. In March 2006, the Reserve Bank of India allowed Warburg Pincus to increase its stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (a private sector bank) to 10%. This is the first time an investor has been allowed to hold more than 5% in a private sector bank since the RBI announced norms in 2005 that any stake exceeding 5% in the private sector banks would need to be vetted by them.
  • 25. 25 The Indian Banking sector comprises of 88 scheduled commercial banks of which 28 are public sector banks, 18 old private sector banks, 11 new private sector banks and 31 foreign banks as on March 31, 2007. In addition, there are 102 regional rural banks and 1,864 urban Co-operative Banks. They have a combined network of over 53,000 branches and 17,000 ATM’s. According to a report by ICRA Limited, a rating agency, the public sector banks hold over 75% of assets of the banking industry, with the private and foreign banks holding 18.2% and 6.5% respectively. Private Sector Banks: At December 31, 2006, private sector banks accounted for approximately 19.9% of aggregate deposits and 20.2% of gross bank credit outstanding of the scheduled commercial banks. Their network of 6,567 branches accounted for 9.4% of the total branch network of scheduled commercial banks in the country. At December 31, 2006, ICICI Bank accounted for approximately 8.3% of aggregate deposits and 8.8% of non-food credit outstanding of the scheduled commercial banks.
  • 26. 26 Banking on strong fundamentals Pvt.S.Bs P.S.Bs Total Particulars 200706(3) 200606(3) Var. (%) 200706(3) 200606(3) Var. (%) 200706(3) 200606(3) Var. (%) Interest Earned 16055.83 10776.04 49 47819.67 35751.43 34 63875.50 46527.47 37 Interest expended 11327.53 6940.99 63 31596.31 21383.75 48 42923.84 28324.74 52 Net Interest Income 4728.30 3835.05 23 16223.36 14367.68 13 20951.66 18202.73 15 Other Income 3323.12 1975.45 68 4748.95 3723.41 28 8072.07 5698.86 42 Net total income 8051.42 5810.50 39 20972.31 18091.09 16 29023.73 23901.59 21 Operating expenses 4308.93 3265.91 32 11087.41 9976.99 11 15396.34 13242.90 16 Operating profit 3742.49 2544.59 47 9884.90 8114.10 22 13627.39 10658.69 28 Provisions 1197.88 759.14 58 1791.35 2605.11 -31 2989.23 3364.25 -11 Profit before Tax 2544.61 1785.45 43 8093.55 5508.99 47 10638.16 7294.44 46 Tax provisions 673.74 396.86 70 2355.15 1565.03 50 3028.89 1961.89 54 Net Profit 1870.87 1388.59 35 5738.40 3943.96 45 7609.27 5332.55 43 Figures are in Rs. crore For aggregates 26 P.S.U. Banks & Pvt. S. Bs are taken into consideration.
  • 27. 27 CRR: CRR stands for the cash reserve ratio. These are the specified proportion of deposits that a bank has to maintain with the RBI. Last week, RBI announced a 50 basis points hike in CRR in two phases of 25 basis points each in February and early march. Impact of CRR change: When there is a change in the CRR, the first impact is seen in the banks. For banks, the rise in CRR would mean that a larger proportion of funds will be with RBI, while a fall in rate will mean a lower proportion will be with the apex bank. How is the impact on banks evaluated? There are specific angles that one has to consider while evaluating the impact of CRR on banks. In time of boom, like is the currently, lending will give a higher rate of return to banks. Hence, if they have to keep a large proportion of their funds away from lending and in the form of deposits, it is a loss of opportunity for them. This will bring down their earnings. An increase in CRR would also mean that money is sucked out of the system. This would mean that funds are hard to come by and hence banks will have to pay more to depositors in order to induce them to keep their funds banks. This will push up the cost of funds for banks. Due to this banks will also have to raise lending rates in order to meet the increased cost while maintaining their margins. The market will analyze banks on the basis of their margins, and whether they will be able to maintain this going forward. A CRR rise in it self means tougher condition for banks but what is important is that they should also be able to keep pace with this entire situation. That is the key to the way in which the bank stocks will perform in the market.
  • 28. 28 Movement in key policy rates in India Effective Rate Reverse Repo Rate Repo Rate Cash Reserve Ratio March 31,2004 4.50% 6.00% 4.50% September 19,2004 4.50% 6.00% 4.75% October 02,2004 4.50% 6.00% 5.00% October 27,2004 4.75% 6.00% 5.00% April 29,2005 5.00% 6.00% 5.00% October 26,2005 5.25% 6.25% 5.00% January 24,2006 5.50% 6.50% 5.00% June 9,2006 5.75% 6.75% 5.00% July 25,2006 6.00% 7.00% 5.00% October 31,2006 6.00% 7.25% 5.00% December 23,2006 6.00% 7.25% 5.25% January 6,2007 6.00% 7.25% 5.50% January 31,2007 6.00% 7.50% 5.50% February 17,2007 6.00% 7.50% 5.75% March 03,2007 6.00% 7.50% 6.00% March 30,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.00% April 14,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.25% April 28,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.50% Note: With effect from 29.10.2004, the nomenclature of repo & reverse repo was changed in keeping with international usage. Now reverse repo indicates absorption of liquidity & repo signifies injection of liquidity. Prior to 29.10.2004, repo indicated absorption of liquidity while reverse repo meant injection of liquidity.
  • 29. 29 Deposit and Lending Rates Deposit Rate March,05 March,06 March,07 Public Sector Banks Upto 1 year 2.75-6.00 2.25-6.50 2.75-8.75 More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs. 4.75-6.50 5.75-6.75 7.25-9.50 More than 3 yrs 5.25-7.00 6.00-7.25 7.50-9.50 Private Sector Banks Upto 1 year 3.00-6.25 3.50-7.25 3.00-9.00 More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs 5.25-7.25 5.50-7.75 6.75-9.75 More than 3 yrs 5.75-7.00 6.00-7.75 7.75-9.60 Foreign Banks Upto 1 year 3.00-6.25 3.00-6.15 3.00-9.50 More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs 3.50-6.50 4.00-6.50 3.50-9.50 More than 3 yrs 3.50-7.00 5.50-6.50 4.05-9.50 Benchmark Prime Lending Rates Public Sector Banks 10.25-11.25 10.25-11.25 12.25-12.75 Private Sector Banks 11.00-13.50 11.00-14.00 12.00-16.50 Foreign Banks 10.00-14.50 10.00-14.50 10.00-15.50 Actual Lending Rate Public Sector Banks 2.75-16.00 4.00-16.50 4.00-17.00 Private Sector Banks 3.15-22.00 3.15-20.50 3.15-25.50 Foreign Banks 3.55-23.50 4.75-26.00 5.00-26.50
  • 30. 30 Key Points: Supply Liquidity is controlled by THE Reserve Bank of India. Demand India is a growing economy and demand for credit is high though it could be cyclical. Barriers to Entry Licensing requirement, investment in technology and branch network. Bargaining power High during periods of tight liquidity. Trade unions in of suppliers public sector banks can be anti reforms. Depositors may invest elsewhere if interest rate falls. Bargaining power For good creditworthy borrowers bargaining power is of customers high due to the availability of large number of banks. Competition High- There is public sector banks, private sector and foreign banks along with non banking finance. Financial Year’07: ⇒ Incremental credit/deposit ratio on a steady decline: With most banks having run out of excess statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) holdings, the gap in credit and deposit growth is slowly going to close as banks are witnessing currently. The incremental credit/deposit ratio has steadily declined from 120% to 75% at present. 58% 60% 62% 64% 66% 68% 70% 72% 5-Apr 5-Jun 5-Aug 5-Oct 5-Dec 6-Feb 6-Apr 6-Jun 6-Aug 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% CD Ratio Incremental CD Ratio
  • 31. 31 ⇒ Retail Credit- Spiraling Ahead: FY’07 witnessed banks shedding their surplus investment portfolio and trading the same for a larger proportion of advance portfolio. At the same time, pick up in incremental capex lending led to a record growth of 31% (yoy) and increased the average credit deposit ratio to 65%. Retail Credit 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year (%)Y-O-Y 0 20 40 60 80 (%) Growth [LHS] % of total credit [RHS] ⇒ Mortgage Loans- The Growth Driver Mortgage loans comprised nearly 53% of total retail credit in FY07. Despite the rise in lending rates, the fiscal benefits accorded to them kept mortgage loans relatively attractive. Bank also leveraged on the home loan portfolio to comply with their priority sector norms. Mortgage Loans 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year (%) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 (%) % of total credit [LHS] % of total loans [RHS]
  • 32. 32 Overview: ICICI Bank is India’s second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,4456.58 billion (US$ 79 billion) at March 31, 2007 and profit after tax of Rs. 31.10 billion for fiscal 2007. ICICI Bank is the most valuable bank in India in terms of market capitalization and is ranked among top five companies in terms of free float market capitalization. The bank has a network of about 950 branches and 3,300 ATMs in India and presence in 17 countries. ICICI Bank offers wide range of banking products and financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery channels and through its specialized subsidiaries and affiliate’s in the areas of investment banking, life and non- life insurance, venture capital and asset management. The Bank currently has subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and Canada, branches in Singapore, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka and Dubai International Finance Centre and representative offices in the United States, United Arab Emirates, China, South Africa and Bangladesh, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Its UK subsidiary has established a branch in Belgium. ICICI Bank’s equity shares are listed in India on Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Shares (ADRs) are listed on New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
  • 33. 33 History: ICICI Bank was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Limited, an Indian financial institution, and was its wholly owned subsidiary. ICICI’s shareholding in ICICI Bank was reduced to 46% through a public offering of shares in India in fiscal 1998, an equity offering in the form of ADRs listed on NYSE IN FISCAL 2000, ICICI Bank’s acquisition OF Bank of Madura Limited in an all-stock amalgamation in fiscal 2001, and se4condary market sales by ICICI to institutional investors in fiscal 2201 and 2002. ICICI was formed in 1955 at the initiative of World Bank, the Government of India an Indian industry. The principal objective was to create a development financial institution for providing medium-term and long term project financing to Indian businesses. After consideration of various corporate structuring alternatives in the context of emerging competitive scenario in the Indian banking industry and the move towards universal banking, the managements of ICICI and ICICI Bank formed the view that the merger of ICICI with ICICI Bank would be the optimal strategic alternative for both entities, and would create the optimal legal structure for the ICICI group’s universal and banking strategy. In October 2001, the Board of Directors of ICICI and ICICI Bank approved the merger of ICICI and two of its wholly owned retail finance subsidiaries, ICICI Personal Financial Services and ICICI Capital Services Limited, with ICICI Bank. The merger was approved by shareholders of ICICI and ICICI Bank in January 2002, by the High Court of Gujarat at Ahmedabad in March 2002, and by the High Court of Judicature at Mumbai and the Reserve Bank of India in April 2002. Sangli Bank has merged with ICICI Bank effective April 19, 2007 as per the order of Reserve Bank of India dated April 18, 2007. Pursuant to the merger of Sangli Bank with ICICI Bank Limited, the shareholders of Sangli Bank were allotted 34,55,008 equity shares of Rs. 10 each on May 28, 2007.
  • 34. 34 SUBSIDIARIES/JOINT VENTURE/ ASSOCIATES ICICI Venture Funds Management Company Ltd. Manages funds that provide venture capital to start-up companies and undertake private equity investments. ICICI Primary Dealership Ltd. Engaged in equity underwriting, brokerage and primary dealership in government securities. ICICI Securities Ltd. Leading Investment Banking Organization. First Source Solutions Ltd. Leading third party BPO service provider. ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd. Retail market share of about 28% in new business by private sector life insurance companies during FY 2007. ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. Market share of about 34% in gross written premium among the private sector general insurance companies during FY2007. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Among the top two mutual funds in India in terms of total funds under management in the Indian Mutual Fund Industry for FY07 with a market share of over 11%. (Source: AMFI)
  • 35. 35 Domestic Subsidiaries ICICI Brokerage Services Limited. ICICI Distribution Finance Private Limited. ICICI Home Finance Company Limited. ICICI Investment Management Company Limited. ICICI Trusteeship Services Limited. Prudential ICICI Trust Limited. International Subsidiaries ICICI Bank Canada. ICICI Bank Eurasia Limited Liability Company. ICICI International Limited. ICICI Securities Holding Inc*. ICICI Securities Inc*. ICICI Bank UK Limited.
  • 36. 36 Background of ICICI Bank As on June 30, 2007 FY’08 CMP: - 955.45 Target Price: - 1,710 Incorporation Year 1994 Managing Director K. V. Kamath Registered Office Landmark, Race Course Circle, Alakapuri, Vadodra-390007, Gujrat Telephone 91-265-2339923/25/27/28 Fax 91-265-2339926 Website www.icicibank.com Face Value [Rs] 10 BSE Code 532174 BSE Group A NSE Code ICICIBANK Bloomberg ICICIBC IN Reuters ICBK.BO ISIN Demat INE090A01013 Market Lot 1 Listing BSE, NSE, NYSE Financial Year End 03 Book Closure Month Jun/Jul AGM Month Jul
  • 37. 37 SHARE HOLDING PATTERN Share holding pattern as on: 31/03/2006 31/03/2007 Face Value 10.00 10.00 No. of Shares % Holding No. of Shares % Holding Promoters Holding Sub Total - - - - Non Promoter’s Holding Institutional Investors Banks, Fin. Inst., Insurance 109664301 17.27 107789571 16.5 FII’s 399746652 44.71 405033806 45.04 Sub Total 554119342 61.98 552358029 61.42 Other Investors Private Corporate Bodies 45010772 5.03 46685349 5.19 NRI’s/OCB’S/Foreign 48971 0.01 48971 0.01 Government 1250 - 1250 - Others 238530478 26.68 238530478 26.68 Sub Total 283591471 31.72 285266048 31.88 General Public 56292130 6.30 61642595 6.85 Grand Total 894002943 100.00 899266672 100.00
  • 38. 38 Performance with major indices: The performance of ICICI Bank Price in stock market with three major indices is given below. Performance with- • Sensex - Sensitive Index for 30 Major Stocks replicates the movement of market. • NIFTY- National Index for 50 major stocks. • Bank nifty - Replicates the movement in price of stock of various banks. NIFTY & ICICI Bank Price 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2007/062007/052007/042007/032007/022007/012006/122006/112006/102006/092006/082006/07 Peroid NIFTY 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 ICICIBankPrice NIFTY ICICI Bank Price Bank and Sensex 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 2007/062007/052007/042007/032007/022007/012006/122006/112006/102006/092006/082006/07 Period Sensex 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 ICICI Bank Price Sensex ICICI Bank Price
  • 39. 39 Bank Nifty & ICICI Bank Price 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 2007/062007/052007/042007/032007/022007/012006/122006/112006/102006/092006/082006/07 Period BankNifty 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 ICICIBankPrice Bank Nifty ICICI Bank Price ICICI Bank Price Movement over a period of one year: Price Movement for One Year 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Period Price
  • 40. 40 STRATEGY Business Composition ICICI’s loan book is predominantly composed of retail assets as it feels retail finance offers significant risk diversification benefits with the credit risk being spread over a large number of relatively small individual loans. The growth of its retrial finance portfolio has been the principal driver of its portfolio diversification strategy. Retail loans constituted 65.2% total loans for FY07 compared to 62.9% for FY06 and 60.9% for FY05. 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% Percentage 2005 2006 2007 Financial Year Movement of Advances Retail Corporate
  • 41. 41 Compared to its peers ICICI Bank’s CASA ratio (current account/saving account) is relatively lower. As of FY07 ICICI bank had a CASA ratio of 21.8% compared to SBI 48.5%, UTI 39.9% and HDFC bank 57.7%. Total Outstanding Retail Finance Portfolio 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 March,2005 March,2006 March,2007 Year Percentage Home Automobile Businesses Two-Wheeler Personal Credit Cards Against Securities and others
  • 42. 42 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% Percentage 2005 2006 2007 Year Outstanding Deposits Current Account Savings Time Cost of Deposits 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2005 2006 2007 Financial Year Percentage Savings Time
  • 43. 43 Enhancing its strong corporate franchise ICICI is seeking to build a global corporate and investment banking franchise focused on Indian companies, covering advisory, origination, structuring, execution and syndication. Their corporate lending activities will focus corporate finance and working capital lending to highly rated corporation emerging global competitiveness of the Indian industry offer growth opportunities in the area of project financing. Growing its International Presence ICICI intends to grow its international business based on leveraging home country links for international expansion by capturing market share in select international markets. The focus areas are supporting Indian companies in rising corporate and project finance overseas for their investment in India and abroad. Personal financial services (including remittance and deposit products) for non- resident Indians are another area of focus. Penetrating Rural India ICICI offers a comprehensive suite of products for all customer segments operating in the rural areas-corporate, small and medium enterprises and finally the individual traders and farmers. Future growth of India is depended on rural India. There is tremendous opportunity for the banking sector in rural India and ICICI to win big share of the same.
  • 44. 44 Insurance and Asset Management Business ICICI has a joint venture partnership both in Life as well as non life Insurance business it holds 74% interest in both the JV the balance being held by foreign partners. It is the largest private sector life as well as non-life insurance company in India, with a retail market share of approximately 28% and 34% for respectively in the private sector and an overall market share of approximately 10% and 12% based on new business premiums during FY07. ICICI 51% interest in its joint venture partnership with Prudential Plc of the United Kingdom for the asset management business. It is among the two largest mutual funds in India, with total assets under management approximately Rs. 379 billion and a market share of approximately 11.6% for FY07. Other Income-Fee based avenues ICICI earns fee income from their commercial banking services to retail customers, including retail loan processing fees, credit card and debit card fees, transaction banking fees and fees from distribution of third party products. Its focus is on meeting the working capital requirements, deposit accounts and other banking products and services of small and medium enterprises.
  • 45. 45 FINANCIALS Profit & Loss Statement: [Rs. in billion] Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 NII 28.39 41.87 66.36 88.06 Non-Interest Income 27.05 40.55 59.44 77.27 - Fee Income 20.98 32.59 50.12 67 - Others 6.07 7.96 9.02 1029 Core Operating Income 55.44 82.42 125.49 164.77 Operating Expenses 25.17 35.47 49.79 62.5 Other DMA1 Expenses 8.85 11.77 15.24 18.27 Lease Depreciation 2.97 2.77 1.88 1.61 Core Operating Profit 22.45 37.63 58.59 80.67 Treasury Income 7.11 9.28 10.14 11.41 Operating Profit 29.56 46.91 68.73 92.08 Provisions 14.29 15.94 14.95 15.17 Profit Before Tax 25.27 30.17 53.78 76.91 Tax 5.22 5.57 5.38 5.43 PAT 20.05 25.60 48.40 71.48 Note: The projected Profit & Loss statement for the period Mar-08 is prepared with the help of Compounded Annual Growth Rate formulae. [Base year is Mar-05].
  • 46. 46 Balance Sheet: Assets [Rs. In billion] Balance Sheet: Liabilities [Rs. in billion] Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Net Worth 125.50 222.06 243.13 303.13 - Equity Capital 7.37 8.90 8.99 9.03 - Reserves 118.13 213.16 234.14 294.10 Preference 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Deposits 998.91 1,650.83 2,305.10 3,046.18 Borrowings 224.05 354.77 598.24 727.78 eICICI Borrowings 193.48 131.90 108.37 89.33 Other Liabilities 131.87 150.83 188.24 211.96 Total Liabilities 1,676.59 2,513.89 3,446.58 4381.88 Note: The projected Balance Sheet for the year Mar-08 is prepared with the help of Compounded Annual Growth Rate formulae. [Base year is Mar-05]. Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Cash balances with banks & SLR 474.12 618.14 1044.89 1359.72 - Cash & bank balances 129.30 170.40 371.21 527.60 - SLR Investments 344.82 510.74 673.68 842.17 Advances 914.05 1,461.63 1,958.66 2510.89 Other Investments 160.05 204.73 238.90 273.01 Fixed & Other Assets 128.37 166.39 204.13 238.26 Total Assets 1,676.59 2,513.89 3,446.58 4381.88
  • 47. 47 Dividend: Dividend is that portion of total profit earned by the company which is distributed among shareholders of the company and is declared by the Board of directors. Year Month Dividend [%] 2007 April 100 2006 April 85 2005 May 85 2004 April 75 2003 April 75 2002 May - 2002 January 20 2001 April 20 Dividend 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2001 2002 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Percentage Dividend Interpretation: In case of ICICI Bank, the bank has given good dividends to its shareholders over a period of 7 years. It indicates that the bank is earning handsome profit over the years which it passes on to its shareholders.
  • 48. 48 Capital Adequacy Ratio: A bank’s capital ratio is the ratio of qualifying capital to risk adjusted [or weighted] assets. The RBI has set the minimum capital adequacy ratio at 10% as on March, 2002 for all banks. A ratio below the minimum indicates that the bank is not adequately capitalized to expand its operations. The ratio ensures that the bank do not expand their business without having adequate capital. March 31, 2006 March 31, 2007 Rs. bn % Rs. bn % Total Capital 278.43 13.35 338.96 11.69 - Tier Ι 191.82 9.20 215.03 7.42 - Tier ΙΙ 86.61 4.15 123.93 4.27 Risk Weighted Assets 2,058.94 2,899.93 Interpretation: The above statistics indicates that ICICI Bank is aggressively expanding their business to increase its operations year-on-year basis. The bank has less capital adequacy ratio in 2007 in spite of increase capital as compared to 2006 due to the pressure of cash reserve ratio and repo rate. Non-Performing Asset ratio: The net non-performing asset to loans (advances) ratio is used as a major of the overall quality of the bank’s loan book. Net NPA’s are calculated by reducing cumulative valance of provisions outstanding at a period end form gross NPA’s.. Asset Quality and Provisioning: [Rs. in billion] Mar-31,2006 Mar-31,2007 Gross NPA’s 29.63 48.50 Less: Cumulative w/offs & provisions 18.88 28.31 Net NPA’s 10.75 20.19 Net NPA Ratio 0.71% 0.98% Interpretation: NPA’s of ICICI Bank has increased from 0.71% in 2006 to 0.98% in 2007 which is a serious concern for the bank. The higher ratio reflects rising bad quality of loans.
  • 49. 49 Earning Per Share: It is widely used ratio to measure the profit available to the equity shareholders on a per share basis. EPS is calculated on the basis of current profit and not on the basis of retained profits. Earning Per Share 13.49 18.31 22.43 28.41 53.82 64.29 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year EPS Interpretation: The EPS of bank is increasing year-on-year basis and the projected EPS is calculated on the basis of projected profit after tax for year Mar-08. The increasing EPS indicates the increasing trend of profits per share. Return on Equity: The return on equity measures the profitability of equity funds invested in the firm. It is regarded as a very important measure it reflects the productivity of the ownership (or risk) capital employed in the firm. Return on Equity 18.30% 21.80% 17.90% 16.40% 13.40% 11.22% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year (%)
  • 50. 50 Price Earnings ratio: P/E Ratio indicates the price currently being paid in the market for each rupee of EPS. It measures the expectation of the investors. A high P/E Ratio may indicate the possibility of increase in EPS. A low P/E Ratio may indicate that there is no possibility of any increase in EPS and the investors will be reluctant to invest in such shares. Price Earning Ratio 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year PE PE Interpretation: P/E Ratio of ICICI Bank has a declining trend from 2004 to 2008, a low P/E Ratio is considered as one of the important criteria from the point of view of investors. Peer Comparison Company SBI HDFC UTI ICICI NII 160,542 37,098 15,671 66,358 NP 45,413 11,415 6590 31,102 ROE 15.4 19.3 21 13.4 EPS 86.3 35.74 23.4 34.5 P/E 11.5 26.6 20.9 24.8 P/ABV 2.0 4.8 4.4 3.5
  • 51. 51 Key Ratios: Given below are some of the key ratios for evaluating the banks performance and their performance over a period of 3 years. Key Ratios Mar-07 Mar-06 Mar-05 Credit-Deposit (%) 86.46 89.68 91.74 Investment / Deposit (%) 41.15 46.07 55.52 Cash / Deposit (%) 6.99 5.77 7 Interest Expended / Interest Earned (%) 71.14 67.09 69.83 Other Income / Total Income (%) 23.24 26.14 27.33 Operating Expenses / Total Income (%) 25.78 30.24 25.49 Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 7.7 6.8 6.39 Interest Expended / Total Funds (%) 5.48 4.56 4.46 Net Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 2.22 2.24 1.93 Non Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 2.33 2.41 2.4 Operating Expenses / Total Funds (%) 2.59 2.79 2.24 Profit before Provisions / Total Funds (%) 1.97 1.86 2.09 Net Profit / Total funds (%) 1.04 1.21 1.36 RONW (%) 13.37 14.62 19.51 Projected Market Price for FY08: The projected market price can be calculated as- Market Price = P/E Ratio for FY07 * Projected EPS for FY08 = 26.60 * 64.29 = Rs. 1710 . Note: It is a projected price which is based on various factors and mostly on EPS and P/E Ratio. Variations may be there to attain this price, no assurance of target price achievement. P/E Ratio has taken as constant of FY07
  • 52. 52 Concerns for ICICI Bank • Their banking and trading activities are particularly vulnerable to interest rate risk and volatility in interest rates could adversely affect their net interest margin, the value of their fixed income portfolio, their income from treasury operations, the quality of their loan portfolio and their financial performance. • Their rapid retail expansion in India and their rural initiative expose them to increased risk that may adversely affect their business. • The failure of their restructured loans to perform as expected or a significant increase in the level of restructured loans in their portfolio could affect their business. 0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% Percenatge 2005 2006 2007 Financial Year Gross NPAs Retail Corporate
  • 53. 53 LIMITATIONS Fundamental analysis has some limitation involved in it. This limitation can be explained as under: Time Constrain: Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be extraordinarily time-consuming. Time-consuming models often produce valuations that are contradictory to the current price prevailing on the exchange. Company Specific: Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of each company. For this reason, a different technique and model is required for different industries and different companies. This can be quite time-consuming process, which can limit the amount of research that can be performed. The sales and inventory ratio may be very important for the cement sector company but these ratios are not very useful for the banking sector. Inadequacies of Data: While making analysis one has to often wrestle with inadequate data. While deliberate falsification of data may be rare, subtle misrepresentation and concealment are common. Future Uncertainties: Future changes are largely unpredictable; more so when the economic and business environment is buffeted by frequent winds of change. In an environment characterized by discontinuities, the past record is a poor guide to future performance. Irrational Market Behaviour: The market itself presents a major obstacle while making analysis on account of neglect or prejudice, undervaluation may persist for extended periods; likewise, overvaluations arising from unsatisfied optimism and misplaced enthusiasm may endure for unreasonable lengths of time.
  • 54. 54 CONCLUSION Fundamental analysis holds that no investment decision should be without processing and analyzing all relevant information. It strength lies in the fact the information analyzed is real as opposed to hunches or assumptions. On the other hand, while fundamental analysis deals with tangible fact, it does not tend to ignore the fact that human beings do not always act rationally. Market prices do sometimes deviate from fundamentals. Prices rise or fall due to insider trading, speculation, rumor, and a host of other factors. This is true to an extent but strength of fundamental analysis is that an investment decision is arrived at after analyzing information and making logical assumptions and deductions. Furthermore, fundamental analysis ensures that one does not recklessly buy or sell shares- especially buy. Fundamental analysis can be valuable, but it should be approached with caution. If you are reading research written by a sell-side analyst, it is important to be familiar with the analyst behind the report. We all have personal biases, and every analyst has some sort of bias. There is nothing wrong with this, and the research can still be of great value. The analysis carried out at Anand Rathi Securities Limited on the ICICI Bank, their profit and loss account, balance sheet and ratios. I shall suggest the investors to invest in ICICI Bank than the other banks as a value investment. Reasons: Largest private sector bank in India, second largest in entire banking industry. Strong increase in profit year-on-year basis. Increasing EPS indicate good earnings. Increase in sharing profit with shareholders in form of dividend. ICICI Bank is expanding its footholds on international level also; its insurance and asset management business are also performing well. The bank also expanding their business in rural area.
  • 55. 55 Bibliography Books: ⇒ Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management- Prasanna Chandra. News Papers: ⇒ Economic Times ⇒ Business Standard Magazines: ⇒ Capital Market ⇒ Dalal Street ⇒ Bank Quest Websites: ⇒ www.intra.rathi.com ⇒ www.icicibank.com ⇒ www.rbi.org.in ⇒ www.moneycontrol.com ⇒ www.equitymaster.com ⇒ www.nseindia.com