This talk was given by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute to visiting International Honours Progam Students, Massey University. 11 February 2009
Is This As Good As It Gets? Key issues facing humanity and New Zealand in creating a sustainable future
1. Is This As Good As It Gets ? sustainablefuture.info
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9. King T ā whiao 's whare at Te Kuiti, Māori King 1860-1894
10. Julius Vogel ( 1835-1899) Immigration and Works Scheme 1870 A development plan designed to revive the economy and provide the pre-conditions of economic growth, included roads in the North, railways in the South …“do more to put an end to hostilities and to confirm peaceful relations, than an army of ten thousand men’… “ We considered it very desirable, in a young country, that wealth should not be in the hands of a few capitalists…[who]…would leave the country, and enjoy elsewhere the wealth so accumulated.”
13. 2008 10 billion years 2008 - 2058 50 Years Project 2058: Into the Future Big Bang
14. Project 2058: Into the Future 1 3 2030 2058 Scenarios Possible Probable Possible 2008 2 4
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16. Project 2058: Four Futures Fail Fail Fail Scenario Matrix … the World does manage its opportunities and threats … the World does not manage its opportunities and threats New Zealand does manage its strengths and weaknesses and.. New Zealand does not manage its strengths and weaknesses and…
20. Local Hot Spot: Agriculture Air Soil Impacts (Who pays for pollution, loss of diversity, loss of options) Quantity (Value Add) Quality (Assurance) Water
21. Local Hot Spot: Constitution Māori Māori Pakeha STAGE ONE STAGE TWO STAGE THREE New Zealanders Pakeha Māori
25. 2008 2058 2008 In 2008, 3 billion make $2 or less per day. In 2058, it may be 6 billion. The developed countries and China grow old – while Africa remains young . 2008 2058 Global Hot Spot: People
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27. New Zealand needs a ‘National Strategy’ to optimise our future, to align our industry, to reinforce our national brand and to be an example of what is possible - not because we have to, but because we want what it can deliver
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image.
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image.
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image.
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image.
Permission of the Alexander Turnbull Library, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image. First – page 104, Second – page 113, went to England to float two of the required loans - http://www.adb.online.anu.edu.au/biogs/A060356b.htm He was responsible for the establishment of the Government Life Insurance Office and the Public Trust, thus launching a tradition of state involvement for which New Zealand is noted. http://www.encyclopedia.com/doc/1O48-VogelSirJulius.html Also- NZ minister to make an official visit to the United States – in this case to establish a regular steamer between NZ and San Franscio – page 116
The strategic thinker finds strategic knowledge in the complex and chaotic data stream of everyday living
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image.
Sustainable Future methodology, Version 2, Page 17
Manapouri – Aluminium smelter. Pictures property of W. McGuinness, with two exceptions. Black and White images in foreground: The Minister of Justice, Mr Riddiford, with Mr R C Nelson and Mr D McCurdy 26 May 1970 Reference number: EP/1970/2278/9-F Christine Foxall of the Royal Forest and Bird Society, Wellington [ca 3 February 1970] Reference number: EP/1970/0489/26A-F Permission of the Alexander Turnbull Library, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of these images.
Also featured in Think Piece 6: While AgResearch Fiddled. Complete sources available here: http://www.sustainablefuture.info/Site/Publications/Think_Pieces.aspx
Also featured in Sustainable Future Think Piece 5: Hard Work.
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image. About 1.5 billion in 1900 Implications for food and water – long term global social conflict seems inevitable without serious food and water policies To summaries the developed countries and China grow old – while Africa remains young.
Permission of Sustainable Future, Wellington, New Zealand, must be obtained before any re-use of this image. The total spent on the military world wide is about $1 trillion – page 4, State of the Future, 2008