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INDIA SOLAR MAP
Jasmeet Khurana
BRIDGE TO INDIA
September 2013
Jasmeet.khurana@bridgetoindia.com
Key highlights
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 2
Disclaimer
© 2013 BRIDGE TO INDIA Energy Pvt. Ltd.
All rights reserved
April 2013, New Delhi
All products are owned by BRIDGETO INDIA and are protected by Indian copyright and
international copyright/intellectual property laws under applicable treaties and/or
conventions.
BRIDGE TO INDIA retains exclusive and sole ownership of each report disseminated under this
agreement. The user cannot
engage in any unauthorized use, reproduction, distribution, publication or electronic
transmission of this product or the information/forecasts therein without the express written
permission of BRIDGE TO INDIA. No part of this product may be used or reproduced in any
manner or in any form or by any means without mentioning its original source.
BRIDGE TO INDIA makes no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the ownership, accuracy,
or adequacy of the content of this product. BRIDGE TO INDIA shall not be liable for any
indirect, incidental, consequential, or punitive damages or for lost revenues or profits, whether
or not advised of the possibility of such damages or losses and regardless of the theory of
liability.
For further enquiries, please contact:
Mr. Jasmeet Khurana
jasmeet.khurana@bridgetoindia.com
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 3
THE INDIA SOLAR MAP – AN OVERVIEW
The India Solar Map is an all-in-one map that depicts the trends of
the Indian solar market through simple and well-designed
graphics. We want this map to be a key ready reckoner for the solar
industry in India. We would like companies to retain and refer to
this map in order to understand the market developments and
make sound strategic decisions based on the insights from this
map.
BRIDGE TO INDIA interacts with various stakeholders in the market
on a regular basis to maintain a comprehensive project database.
We also have in-house market models in place. We have checked
our numbers with the respective companies in order to avoid any
misrepresentation. Wherever information was incomplete or
unavailable we have worked with assumptions that have been spelt
out in the map itself.
We would also request companies to help us achieve absolute
accuracy by cooperating with us and sharing the details of their
projects. This will help us work towards providing a reliable and
truly representative picture of the industry for all to benefit from.
We would continue with the ‘India Solar Map’ as a part of the
portfolio of products we offer.
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA
project database
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 4
State policies have been the primary drivers
for projects commissioned till date
• 1.8 GW of projects
have been
commissioned as of
August 2013
• Gujarat, Rajasthan
and Maharashtra and
are the top 3 states
with the highest
commissioned
projects
• There are 12 state
solar policies in place
up till date
• With a considerable
number of LOIs
signed, Andhra
Pradesh, Tamil Nadu
and Punjab will see
the most number of
projects
commissioned in the
near future
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 5
Around 42% modules used in India are thin film
• First solar has the
highest market share
in the module market
• In crystalline
modules, Canadian
solar has the highest
market share
• 5 out of top ten
suppliers are Chinese
• No Indian
manufacturer in top 5
• Vikram solar is the
only Indian
manufacturer to
feature in the top 10
• About only 18%
market is catered by
the domestic
manufacturers
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 6
40% of the market share is occupied by the top three
EPC companies
• Moserbaer has done
the maximum EPC in
India
• Several new
companies have
forayed into the EPC
space and are doing
relatively well. For
example, Rays
experts, Chemtrols
solar and Cirus solar.
• 40% of the market
share is occupied by
the top 3 EPC
providers
• Lanco has provided
EPC to 75 MW
Mahagenco project
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 7
Many project developers in India are doing EPC in-house
• Welspun Urja, as a
project developer, has
the maximum number
of projects in India
• Moserbaer and Lanco
are ranked in top 3
under own EPC as
well
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 8
Around 50% of the market share is distributed between
SMA and Bonfiglioli
• SMA continues to
occupy the largest
market share in India
while Bonfiglioli is
catching up fast.
• ABB has managed to
gain a significant
market share in the
last couple of years
• Schneider started
operations recently
and has managed to
build a 6% share.
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 9
In the next one year more than 700MW will be developed
under state policies other than that of Gujarat
• 1.1 GW of solar PV
capacity addition is
expected in the next
one year
• Most of this capacity
addition would be
under state policies
and projects based on
RPOs
• Going forward, no
major installations
are expected under
the National Solar
Mission and Gujarat
solar policy
• Many new projects are
expected to come up
in the states of Tamil
Nadu and Andhra
Pradesh
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 10
Tariffs have fallen by 63% in the last 3 years
*Leveliz
ed tariff 
offered 
in Tamil 
Nadu 
has 
been 
calculat
ed 
consider
ing 5% 
escalati
on for 
10 
years. 
Discoun
t rate of 
15% has 
been 
assume
d
Tariffs 
offered 
in Tamil 
Nadu 
might 
change 
based 
on the 
consulta
tion 
paper 
release
d by 
TERC
Averag
e tariff 
offered  
under 
various 
policies 
are not 
weighte
d 
average
s
Tariffs 
offered 
in 
Gujarat 
are 
levelize
d
*Leveliz
ed tariff 
offered 
in Tamil 
Nadu 
has 
been 
calculat
ed 
consider
ing 5% 
escalati
on for 
10 
years. 
Discoun
t rate of 
15% has 
been 
assume
d
Tariffs 
offered 
in Tamil 
Nadu 
might 
change 
based 
on the 
consulta
tion 
paper 
release
d by 
TERC
Averag
e tariff 
offered  
under 
various 
policies 
are not 
weighte
d 
average
s
Tariffs 
offered 
in 
Gujarat 
are 
levelize
d
• The lowest bid was
reported in
Rajasthan and
Andhra Pradesh for
about INR 6.5
• Gujarat is still
offering the highest
levelized tariff in
the country
• Average tariff for
projects in the year
2013 has been INR
7.7
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database
* Levelized tariff has been calculated considering 5% escalation for 10 years.
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 11
Average project sizes in India have been increasing over
time
• The average project
size has been
increasing steadily
• More projects are
being developed in the
20-25 MW range as
well as some in the 50
MW range
• Some PV projects of
100 MW have also
been announced
recently
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 12
2.3GW solar installations are expected in the commercial
parity space in the next 4 years
• The RPO driven
market is expected to
steadily increase
• The grid parity
commercial market
will also increase as
parity is reached in
more states
• The telecom market
and the diesel parity
market are both
dependent on the
price of diesel and the
adoption of solar is
expected to increase
considerably in the
coming years
Key takeaway
©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA market model
© BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013
Contact
www.bridgetoindia.com
Follow us on facebook.com/bridgetoindia
Jasmeet.khurana@bridgetoindia.com
We are happy to support
you in all further queries.
Thank you for your attention

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BRIDGE TO INDIA: The India Solar Map

  • 1. www.bridgetoindia.com INDIA SOLAR MAP Jasmeet Khurana BRIDGE TO INDIA September 2013 Jasmeet.khurana@bridgetoindia.com Key highlights
  • 2. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 2 Disclaimer © 2013 BRIDGE TO INDIA Energy Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved April 2013, New Delhi All products are owned by BRIDGETO INDIA and are protected by Indian copyright and international copyright/intellectual property laws under applicable treaties and/or conventions. BRIDGE TO INDIA retains exclusive and sole ownership of each report disseminated under this agreement. The user cannot engage in any unauthorized use, reproduction, distribution, publication or electronic transmission of this product or the information/forecasts therein without the express written permission of BRIDGE TO INDIA. No part of this product may be used or reproduced in any manner or in any form or by any means without mentioning its original source. BRIDGE TO INDIA makes no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the ownership, accuracy, or adequacy of the content of this product. BRIDGE TO INDIA shall not be liable for any indirect, incidental, consequential, or punitive damages or for lost revenues or profits, whether or not advised of the possibility of such damages or losses and regardless of the theory of liability. For further enquiries, please contact: Mr. Jasmeet Khurana jasmeet.khurana@bridgetoindia.com
  • 3. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 3 THE INDIA SOLAR MAP – AN OVERVIEW The India Solar Map is an all-in-one map that depicts the trends of the Indian solar market through simple and well-designed graphics. We want this map to be a key ready reckoner for the solar industry in India. We would like companies to retain and refer to this map in order to understand the market developments and make sound strategic decisions based on the insights from this map. BRIDGE TO INDIA interacts with various stakeholders in the market on a regular basis to maintain a comprehensive project database. We also have in-house market models in place. We have checked our numbers with the respective companies in order to avoid any misrepresentation. Wherever information was incomplete or unavailable we have worked with assumptions that have been spelt out in the map itself. We would also request companies to help us achieve absolute accuracy by cooperating with us and sharing the details of their projects. This will help us work towards providing a reliable and truly representative picture of the industry for all to benefit from. We would continue with the ‘India Solar Map’ as a part of the portfolio of products we offer. ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database
  • 4. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 4 State policies have been the primary drivers for projects commissioned till date • 1.8 GW of projects have been commissioned as of August 2013 • Gujarat, Rajasthan and Maharashtra and are the top 3 states with the highest commissioned projects • There are 12 state solar policies in place up till date • With a considerable number of LOIs signed, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Punjab will see the most number of projects commissioned in the near future Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
  • 5. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 5 Around 42% modules used in India are thin film • First solar has the highest market share in the module market • In crystalline modules, Canadian solar has the highest market share • 5 out of top ten suppliers are Chinese • No Indian manufacturer in top 5 • Vikram solar is the only Indian manufacturer to feature in the top 10 • About only 18% market is catered by the domestic manufacturers Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
  • 6. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 6 40% of the market share is occupied by the top three EPC companies • Moserbaer has done the maximum EPC in India • Several new companies have forayed into the EPC space and are doing relatively well. For example, Rays experts, Chemtrols solar and Cirus solar. • 40% of the market share is occupied by the top 3 EPC providers • Lanco has provided EPC to 75 MW Mahagenco project Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
  • 7. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 7 Many project developers in India are doing EPC in-house • Welspun Urja, as a project developer, has the maximum number of projects in India • Moserbaer and Lanco are ranked in top 3 under own EPC as well Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
  • 8. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 8 Around 50% of the market share is distributed between SMA and Bonfiglioli • SMA continues to occupy the largest market share in India while Bonfiglioli is catching up fast. • ABB has managed to gain a significant market share in the last couple of years • Schneider started operations recently and has managed to build a 6% share. Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database and industry interviews
  • 9. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 9 In the next one year more than 700MW will be developed under state policies other than that of Gujarat • 1.1 GW of solar PV capacity addition is expected in the next one year • Most of this capacity addition would be under state policies and projects based on RPOs • Going forward, no major installations are expected under the National Solar Mission and Gujarat solar policy • Many new projects are expected to come up in the states of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013
  • 10. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 10 Tariffs have fallen by 63% in the last 3 years *Leveliz ed tariff  offered  in Tamil  Nadu  has  been  calculat ed  consider ing 5%  escalati on for  10  years.  Discoun t rate of  15% has  been  assume d Tariffs  offered  in Tamil  Nadu  might  change  based  on the  consulta tion  paper  release d by  TERC Averag e tariff  offered   under  various  policies  are not  weighte d  average s Tariffs  offered  in  Gujarat  are  levelize d *Leveliz ed tariff  offered  in Tamil  Nadu  has  been  calculat ed  consider ing 5%  escalati on for  10  years.  Discoun t rate of  15% has  been  assume d Tariffs  offered  in Tamil  Nadu  might  change  based  on the  consulta tion  paper  release d by  TERC Averag e tariff  offered   under  various  policies  are not  weighte d  average s Tariffs  offered  in  Gujarat  are  levelize d • The lowest bid was reported in Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh for about INR 6.5 • Gujarat is still offering the highest levelized tariff in the country • Average tariff for projects in the year 2013 has been INR 7.7 Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database * Levelized tariff has been calculated considering 5% escalation for 10 years.
  • 11. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 11 Average project sizes in India have been increasing over time • The average project size has been increasing steadily • More projects are being developed in the 20-25 MW range as well as some in the 50 MW range • Some PV projects of 100 MW have also been announced recently Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA project database
  • 12. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 12 2.3GW solar installations are expected in the commercial parity space in the next 4 years • The RPO driven market is expected to steadily increase • The grid parity commercial market will also increase as parity is reached in more states • The telecom market and the diesel parity market are both dependent on the price of diesel and the adoption of solar is expected to increase considerably in the coming years Key takeaway ©BRIDGETOINDIA,2013 Source: BRIDGE TO INDIA market model
  • 13. © BRIDGE TO INDIA, 2013 Contact www.bridgetoindia.com Follow us on facebook.com/bridgetoindia Jasmeet.khurana@bridgetoindia.com We are happy to support you in all further queries. Thank you for your attention