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China’s AI Supremacy & Beyond
China and the new world order
Alex Barrera (alex@thealeph.com)
Octobre 2020
INDEX
1. Current cutting edge in AI
2. AI & Politics
3. AI building blocks
4. China’s AI focus
5. Decoupling
6. Post Covid-19 world order
1
HELLO MY NAME IS...
http://www.slideshare.net/thealeph Alex Barrera (@abarrera) 2
1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI
3
1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI
4
1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI
5
1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI
200 

million CCTV*
* In 2019 6
2. AI & POLITICS
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella China’s Politburo
7
2. AI & POLITICS
AIDP
New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan (2017)
Made in China 2025
(2015)
TOP DOWN
(AI Dual-Use)
8
2. AI & POLITICS
9
2. AI & POLITICS
10
2. AI & POLITICS
From Discovery to Implementation
11
2. AI & POLITICS
From Discovery to Implementation
12
2. AI & POLITICS
From Discovery to Implementation
13
Source: Who Is Winning the AI Race Report.Center for Data Innovation,Aug 2019.
2. AI & POLITICS
From Expertise to Data
14
Investment bans (CIFUS)
Export restrictions
(Entity List)
2. AI & POLITICS
15
2. AI & POLITICS
Chinese Investments in America
16
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Talent
17
Source: America’s Got AI Talent: US’Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers.MarcoPolo, Jun 2020
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
18
Source: America’s Got AI Talent: US’Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers.MarcoPolo, Jun 2020
Talent
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
These proposals include the potential suspension of the OPT program,
which allows foreign students to work in the United States for 1-3 years
following graduation, as well as legislation that would ban visas
for Chinese graduate students in any STEM field”
“ America’s Got AI Talent: US’ Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers
MarcoPolo, Jun 2020
19
Talent
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Software Frameworks & Platforms
Source: Which Deep Learning Framework is Growing Fastest? Jeff Hale,Apr.2019.
1.9 M Developers
(84.000 enterprises)*
*Estimates by Baidu.Wave Summit 2020.(http://research.baidu.com/Blog/index-view?id=137)
20
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Semiconductors
21
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
22
Semiconductors
Source: AI Chips: What They Are and Why They Matter.CSET.Apr 2020
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
23
Semiconductors
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
24
Semiconductors
Source: AI Chips: What They Are and Why They Matter.CSET.Apr 2020
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
25
Semiconductors
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
Quantum Communication, Cryptology, Algorithm and Computation Patent Families
by Category and Publication Year
26
Source: Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report.Patinformatics.2018
Quantum Computing
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
27
Source: Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report.Patinformatics.2018
Quantum Communication, Cryptology, Algorithm and Computation Patent Families
by Priority Country and Publication Year
Quantum Computing
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
28
Source: Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report.Patinformatics.2018
Quantum Communication, Cryptology, Algorithm and Computation Patent Families
by Top Universities and Category
Quantum Computing
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS
29
Quantum Computing
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Edge AI
48% local deployment
44% cloud AI deployment
13% edge*
By 2024, 50% of computer vision and speech recognition models
will run on the edge.*
*2019 AI Report IDC China
“
30
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Standards
China Standards 2035
Artificial Intelligence
Cloud computing
Smart cities (IoT, 5G)
Robotics
Blockchain
31
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Funding
32
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Funding
33
3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Funding
34
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI
35
Focus on physical
Hardware heavy
Image + Audio + Text
Mobile first
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI
36
Focus on physical
Hardware heavy
Image + Audio + Text
Mobile first
PRIVACY?
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI
37
20 - 42 

million dead

(1958 - 1962)

1 - 3 million dead

(1966 - 1976)
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI
38
KFC Hangzhou,Pay with Face Voice Interfaces Segway Robotics unmanned food delivery,Beijing
Public Service AI
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Surveillance AI
39
Leaked drone footage from alleged Uighur or other minorities,
Xinjiang.2019
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Surveillance AI
40
March,2013
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Surveillance AI
41
City Brain Test,Alibaba iFlytek 206 System -AI assistant for courts
Public Service AI
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles
42
Qilu Transportation’s highway in Jinan,China.2018
Baidu Autonomous car testing,China.2018
New infrastructure vs. legacy
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles
43
Source: How China will help fuel the revolution in autonomous vehicles.McKinsey & Co. Jan 2019.
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles
44
Source: How China will help fuel the revolution in autonomous vehicles.McKinsey & Co. Jan 2019.
20 million miles
(many more in simulation)
VISAS?
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles
45
Wing Loong Military UAV Drone,2017. Swarming drone system (48 cells),Oct 2020.
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics
46
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics
47
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics
48
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics
49
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics
50
 Patrol robot,temperatures and disinfect wards
at a hospital in Shenyang,China
Ares Robot bought by Megvii Technology Circular inspection robot,Jiangsu
4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Others
51
Source: 2019 AI Report IDC China
5. DECOUPLING
Losing intelligence insight
China AI isn’t JUST China
Source: Late-stage deals in China headline Asian funding in August.Tech In Asia.Sep 2020
52
5. DECOUPLING
Global startups 

vs. 

local Incumbents
53
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Accelerated robotization
Source: Wuhan, JD Logistics is using a fleet of autonomous robots.2020 Source: Disinfection robots in a technological company in Qingdao.2020
54
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Enterprise adoption
Myth of big data in China
55
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Enterprise adoption
No enterprise software
Lack of normalised data
56
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER
Source: 2019 AI Report IDC China 57
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER
INCREASED
PARANOIA
58
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER
Source: The New York Times.Sep 2020
Control
AI’s Dual-Use will increase
59
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Exporting AI
In Malaysia, the government is working with Yitu, a Chinese AI start-up, to
bring facial-recognition technology to Kuala Lumpur’s police as a complement to
Alibaba’s City Brain platform.
Chinese companies also bid to outfit every one of Singapore’s 110,000
lampposts with facial-recognition cameras.
In South Asia, the Chinese government has supplied surveillance equipment to
Sri Lanka. On the old Silk Road, the Chinese company Dahua is lining the streets
of Mongolia’s capital with AI-assisted surveillance cameras.
Farther west, in Serbia, Huawei is helping set up a “safe-city system,” complete
with facial-recognition cameras and joint patrols conducted by Serbian and
Chinese police aimed at helping Chinese tourists to feel safe.
[…] Today, Kenya, Uganda, and Mauritius are outfitting major cities with
Chinese-made surveillance networks.”
“
Source: The Panopticon Is Already Here.The Atlantic.Sep 2020. 60
6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER
Source: Unfavorable Views of China Reach Historic Highs in Many Countries,Pew Research,Oct 2020
Global perception
61
CHINA’S AI SUPREMACY?
Source: 2019 AI Report IDC China
62
http://www.slideshare.net/thealeph Alex Barrera (@abarrera)
THANK YOU
Alex Barrera
alex@thealeph.com
REFERENCES FOR FURTHER READING
64
POLITICS
“Unfavorable Views of China Reach Historic Highs in Many Countries”, Pew Research, Oct 2020
“China’s Global Image Plummets After Coronavirus”, Foreign Policy, Oct 2020
“AI Superpowers”, Kai-Fu Lee, Sep 2018
SEMICONDUCTORS
“TSMC falls into line with US export controls on Huawei”, Financial Times, Jun 2020
“AI Chips: What They Are and Why They Matter”, CSET. Apr 2020
“Can China Become the World Leader in Semiconductors?” The Diplomat, Sep 2020
AI TALENT
“Lack of quality data, tech talent hinder wider AI adoption in China”, SCMP, Dec 2019
“2019 Artificial Intelligence Report”, IDC China, 2019
“Who Benefits From American AI Research in China?”, Marcopolo, Oct 2019
“America’s Got AI Talent: US’ Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers”, MarcoPolo, Jun 2020
The Global AI Talent Tracker, MarcoPolo, 2020
“Who Is Winning the AI Race: China, the EU or the United States? Report” Center for Data Innovation, Aug 2019
AI DUAL USE
“Understanding China’s AI Strategy: Clues to Chinese Strategic Thinking on Artificial Intelligence and National
Security”, Center for a New American Security. Feb 2019
“U.S. at Risk of Being Outpaced by China, a New Intel Committee Report Finds”, Foreign Policy, Sep 2020
REFERENCES FOR FURTHER READING
65
“Why is Trump funding quantum computing research — but cutting other science budgets?”, Washington Post, Mar 2020
“Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report” Patinformatics, 2018
QUANTUM COMPUTING
AI SURVEILLANCE
“The Panopticon Is Already Here.” The Atlantic. Sep 2020
ROBOTICS
“World Robotics Report 2020” International Federation of Robotics (IFR), 2020
“Kai-Fu Lee on how covid spurs China’s great robotic leap forward”, The Economist, Jun 2020

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China's Rise to AI Leadership & the New Global Order

  • 1. China’s AI Supremacy & Beyond China and the new world order Alex Barrera (alex@thealeph.com) Octobre 2020
  • 2. INDEX 1. Current cutting edge in AI 2. AI & Politics 3. AI building blocks 4. China’s AI focus 5. Decoupling 6. Post Covid-19 world order 1
  • 3. HELLO MY NAME IS... http://www.slideshare.net/thealeph Alex Barrera (@abarrera) 2
  • 4. 1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI 3
  • 5. 1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI 4
  • 6. 1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI 5
  • 7. 1. CURRENT CUTTING EDGE IN AI 200 million CCTV* * In 2019 6
  • 8. 2. AI & POLITICS Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella China’s Politburo 7
  • 9. 2. AI & POLITICS AIDP New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan (2017) Made in China 2025 (2015) TOP DOWN (AI Dual-Use) 8
  • 10. 2. AI & POLITICS 9
  • 11. 2. AI & POLITICS 10
  • 12. 2. AI & POLITICS From Discovery to Implementation 11
  • 13. 2. AI & POLITICS From Discovery to Implementation 12
  • 14. 2. AI & POLITICS From Discovery to Implementation 13 Source: Who Is Winning the AI Race Report.Center for Data Innovation,Aug 2019.
  • 15. 2. AI & POLITICS From Expertise to Data 14
  • 16. Investment bans (CIFUS) Export restrictions (Entity List) 2. AI & POLITICS 15
  • 17. 2. AI & POLITICS Chinese Investments in America 16
  • 18. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Talent 17 Source: America’s Got AI Talent: US’Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers.MarcoPolo, Jun 2020
  • 19. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 18 Source: America’s Got AI Talent: US’Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers.MarcoPolo, Jun 2020 Talent
  • 20. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS These proposals include the potential suspension of the OPT program, which allows foreign students to work in the United States for 1-3 years following graduation, as well as legislation that would ban visas for Chinese graduate students in any STEM field” “ America’s Got AI Talent: US’ Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers MarcoPolo, Jun 2020 19 Talent
  • 21. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Software Frameworks & Platforms Source: Which Deep Learning Framework is Growing Fastest? Jeff Hale,Apr.2019. 1.9 M Developers (84.000 enterprises)* *Estimates by Baidu.Wave Summit 2020.(http://research.baidu.com/Blog/index-view?id=137) 20
  • 22. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Semiconductors 21
  • 23. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 22 Semiconductors Source: AI Chips: What They Are and Why They Matter.CSET.Apr 2020
  • 24. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 23 Semiconductors
  • 25. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 24 Semiconductors Source: AI Chips: What They Are and Why They Matter.CSET.Apr 2020
  • 26. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 25 Semiconductors
  • 27. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Quantum Communication, Cryptology, Algorithm and Computation Patent Families by Category and Publication Year 26 Source: Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report.Patinformatics.2018 Quantum Computing
  • 28. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 27 Source: Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report.Patinformatics.2018 Quantum Communication, Cryptology, Algorithm and Computation Patent Families by Priority Country and Publication Year Quantum Computing
  • 29. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 28 Source: Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report.Patinformatics.2018 Quantum Communication, Cryptology, Algorithm and Computation Patent Families by Top Universities and Category Quantum Computing
  • 30. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS 29 Quantum Computing
  • 31. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Edge AI 48% local deployment 44% cloud AI deployment 13% edge* By 2024, 50% of computer vision and speech recognition models will run on the edge.* *2019 AI Report IDC China “ 30
  • 32. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Standards China Standards 2035 Artificial Intelligence Cloud computing Smart cities (IoT, 5G) Robotics Blockchain 31
  • 33. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Funding 32
  • 34. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Funding 33
  • 35. 3. AI BUILDING BLOCKS Funding 34
  • 36. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI 35 Focus on physical Hardware heavy Image + Audio + Text Mobile first
  • 37. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI 36 Focus on physical Hardware heavy Image + Audio + Text Mobile first PRIVACY?
  • 38. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI 37 20 - 42 million dead (1958 - 1962) 1 - 3 million dead (1966 - 1976)
  • 39. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Perception AI 38 KFC Hangzhou,Pay with Face Voice Interfaces Segway Robotics unmanned food delivery,Beijing Public Service AI
  • 40. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Surveillance AI 39 Leaked drone footage from alleged Uighur or other minorities, Xinjiang.2019
  • 41. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Surveillance AI 40 March,2013
  • 42. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Surveillance AI 41 City Brain Test,Alibaba iFlytek 206 System -AI assistant for courts Public Service AI
  • 43. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles 42 Qilu Transportation’s highway in Jinan,China.2018 Baidu Autonomous car testing,China.2018 New infrastructure vs. legacy
  • 44. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles 43 Source: How China will help fuel the revolution in autonomous vehicles.McKinsey & Co. Jan 2019.
  • 45. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles 44 Source: How China will help fuel the revolution in autonomous vehicles.McKinsey & Co. Jan 2019. 20 million miles (many more in simulation) VISAS?
  • 46. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Autonomous Vehicles 45 Wing Loong Military UAV Drone,2017. Swarming drone system (48 cells),Oct 2020.
  • 47. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics 46
  • 48. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics 47
  • 49. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics 48
  • 50. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics 49
  • 51. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Robotics 50  Patrol robot,temperatures and disinfect wards at a hospital in Shenyang,China Ares Robot bought by Megvii Technology Circular inspection robot,Jiangsu
  • 52. 4. CHINA’S AI FOCUS Others 51 Source: 2019 AI Report IDC China
  • 53. 5. DECOUPLING Losing intelligence insight China AI isn’t JUST China Source: Late-stage deals in China headline Asian funding in August.Tech In Asia.Sep 2020 52
  • 54. 5. DECOUPLING Global startups vs. local Incumbents 53
  • 55. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Accelerated robotization Source: Wuhan, JD Logistics is using a fleet of autonomous robots.2020 Source: Disinfection robots in a technological company in Qingdao.2020 54
  • 56. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Enterprise adoption Myth of big data in China 55
  • 57. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Enterprise adoption No enterprise software Lack of normalised data 56
  • 58. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Source: 2019 AI Report IDC China 57
  • 59. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER INCREASED PARANOIA 58
  • 60. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Source: The New York Times.Sep 2020 Control AI’s Dual-Use will increase 59
  • 61. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Exporting AI In Malaysia, the government is working with Yitu, a Chinese AI start-up, to bring facial-recognition technology to Kuala Lumpur’s police as a complement to Alibaba’s City Brain platform. Chinese companies also bid to outfit every one of Singapore’s 110,000 lampposts with facial-recognition cameras. In South Asia, the Chinese government has supplied surveillance equipment to Sri Lanka. On the old Silk Road, the Chinese company Dahua is lining the streets of Mongolia’s capital with AI-assisted surveillance cameras. Farther west, in Serbia, Huawei is helping set up a “safe-city system,” complete with facial-recognition cameras and joint patrols conducted by Serbian and Chinese police aimed at helping Chinese tourists to feel safe. […] Today, Kenya, Uganda, and Mauritius are outfitting major cities with Chinese-made surveillance networks.” “ Source: The Panopticon Is Already Here.The Atlantic.Sep 2020. 60
  • 62. 6. POST COVID-19 WORLD ORDER Source: Unfavorable Views of China Reach Historic Highs in Many Countries,Pew Research,Oct 2020 Global perception 61
  • 63. CHINA’S AI SUPREMACY? Source: 2019 AI Report IDC China 62
  • 64. http://www.slideshare.net/thealeph Alex Barrera (@abarrera) THANK YOU Alex Barrera alex@thealeph.com
  • 65. REFERENCES FOR FURTHER READING 64 POLITICS “Unfavorable Views of China Reach Historic Highs in Many Countries”, Pew Research, Oct 2020 “China’s Global Image Plummets After Coronavirus”, Foreign Policy, Oct 2020 “AI Superpowers”, Kai-Fu Lee, Sep 2018 SEMICONDUCTORS “TSMC falls into line with US export controls on Huawei”, Financial Times, Jun 2020 “AI Chips: What They Are and Why They Matter”, CSET. Apr 2020 “Can China Become the World Leader in Semiconductors?” The Diplomat, Sep 2020 AI TALENT “Lack of quality data, tech talent hinder wider AI adoption in China”, SCMP, Dec 2019 “2019 Artificial Intelligence Report”, IDC China, 2019 “Who Benefits From American AI Research in China?”, Marcopolo, Oct 2019 “America’s Got AI Talent: US’ Big Lead in AI Research Is Built on Importing Researchers”, MarcoPolo, Jun 2020 The Global AI Talent Tracker, MarcoPolo, 2020 “Who Is Winning the AI Race: China, the EU or the United States? Report” Center for Data Innovation, Aug 2019 AI DUAL USE “Understanding China’s AI Strategy: Clues to Chinese Strategic Thinking on Artificial Intelligence and National Security”, Center for a New American Security. Feb 2019 “U.S. at Risk of Being Outpaced by China, a New Intel Committee Report Finds”, Foreign Policy, Sep 2020
  • 66. REFERENCES FOR FURTHER READING 65 “Why is Trump funding quantum computing research — but cutting other science budgets?”, Washington Post, Mar 2020 “Quantum Computing Applications: A Patent Landscape Report” Patinformatics, 2018 QUANTUM COMPUTING AI SURVEILLANCE “The Panopticon Is Already Here.” The Atlantic. Sep 2020 ROBOTICS “World Robotics Report 2020” International Federation of Robotics (IFR), 2020 “Kai-Fu Lee on how covid spurs China’s great robotic leap forward”, The Economist, Jun 2020