The Third Wave of International Student Mobility & Global Competitiveness of Asian Universities
1. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
The Third Wave of International Student Mobility &
Global Competitiveness of Asian Universities
Friday, June 7, 2019
Institute of Contemporary Asian Studies (ICAS), Temple University, Tokyo
2. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
“T-shaped”
Scholar-Practitioner
• International student mobility and its
implications for university global
engagement strategies and national
policies
• Over a decade of working in New York
City and San Francisco Bay Area
• Presented ~150 sessions at
professional conferences
• Quoted ~300 times in global media
publications
Engineering & Management
Data-Informed Strategies
HigherEducation
AppliedResearch
3. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
138% growth in internationally mobile students
between 2001 and 2016 (2.2 m. to 5.1 m.)
Consider complexity and unpredictability
Examine source and destination country patterns
Recognize diversity of student segments
Ensure future sustainability of growth
4. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
• 2001-2008
• Terrorist attack of
9/11
• 2.2 m. – 3.3 m.
(+50% or 1.1 m.)
Wave I
• 2008-2016
• Global financial
recession
• 3.3 m. – 5.1 m.
(+55% or 1.8 m.)
Wave II
• 2016-2024
• New political
order
• 5.1m – 7.9m?
(+55% or 2.8 m.)
Wave III
Adapted from Choudaha, Rahul (2017). Three waves of international student mobility. Studies in Higher Education. https://bit.ly/3Waves
5. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Diversity of student segments
Source: Choudaha, R., Orosz, K. & Chang, L. (2012). Not All International Students are the Same. World Education Services.
Academic Preparedness
FinancialResources
LowHigh
Low High
STRIVERS
Advancement
HIGHFLIERS
Reputation
EXPLORERS
Experience
STRUGGLERS
Immigration
6. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Shifts in destination countries
2001 2008 2016
% Change (2001-
2008)
% Change (2008-
2016)
USA 475,168 624,474 971,417 31% 56%
UK 225,722 341,791 432,001 51% 26%
Australia 120,987 230,635 335,512 91% 45%
Canada 42,711 93,479 189,478 119% 103%
Italy 29,228 68,306 92,655 134% 36%
Netherlands 16,589 30,052 89,920 81% 199%
Japan 63,637 126,568 143,457 99% 13%
China .. 51,038 137,527 .. 169%
Malaysia 16,480 41,310 124,133 151% 200%
Turkey 16,656 20,219 87,903 21% 335%
Saudi Arabia .. 18,725 79,854 .. 326%
UAE .. .. 77,463 .. ..
Total 2,178,710 3,321,596 5,085,893 52% 53%
Source: Author’s analysis based on UIS.Stat
7. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Shifts in source countries
2001 2008 2016
% Change (2001-
2008)
% Change (2008-
2016)
China 176,473 458,100 866,072 160% 89%
Germany 56,852 83,235 119,088 46% 43%
France 51,911 46,978 90,543 -10% 93%
S. Korea 72,232 117,533 104,992 63% -11%
India 78,509 186,033 301,406 137% 62%
Kazakhstan 23,620 46,804 90,187 98% 93%
Nigeria 23,391 41,299 95,731 77% 132%
Saudi Arabia 11,291 24,930 90,178 121% 262%
Viet Nam 9,828 36,076 82,159 267% 128%
Ukraine 19,929 31,659 77,263 59% 144%
Bangladesh 10,275 17,344 61,430 69% 254%
Total 2,178,710 3,321,596 5,085,893 52% 53%Source: Author’s analysis based on UIS.Stat
8. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
International Student Mobility Forecast by Income-level of Source Countries
Analysis by Rahul Choudaha based on UNESCO data
Wave I Wave II Wave III
Upper-Middle Income
High Income
Lower-Middle Income
Low Income
9. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Increasing cost of education
“Increases to student fees and tuition prompt outrage
among student groups” The New School Free Press, Apr
18, 2019
“International students not here to balance Dalhousie’s
budget” The Coast, Apr 11, 2019
“Poor English, few jobs: Are Australian universities using
international students as 'cash cows’?” ABC, Nov 18,
2018
“Int'l students complain of higher tuition rise than
Koreans” Korea Times, Apr 14, 2019
12. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
UK and Australia gains; US looses
Bologna Declaration (1999)
Excellence Initiatives in Asia
Student need: ease of visa and pathways to immigration
Institutional context: research
Wave I (2001-2008)
13. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Excellence Initiatives
“Japan is recognised for having been actively engaged in
world-class university policy through a series of
governmental projects and excellence initiatives: for
example,
21st Century Centres of Excellence (2002-09)
Global Centres of Excellence (2007-14),
Global 30 (2009-15)
Top Global University Project (2014 onward).”
Source: Akiyoshi Yonezawa (2019) A new national role for universities, but little funding. University World News
14. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
US gains with proactive recruitment
Intensive English Programs boom
Rise of English-Medium Programs
Student need: academic support
Institutional context: financial
Wave II (2008-2016)
15. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
English-Medium Instruction
Barrier to the improvement of EMI programmes is a
misperception that English language proficiency is the
defining factor for success
Proposes less emphasis on language and greater
attention to pedagogical and intercultural skills
development
Annette Bradford (2018) It's not all about English! The problem of language foregrounding in English-medium programmes in Japan, Journal of Multilingual and
Multicultural Development, DOI: 10.1080/01434632.2018.1551402
16. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Threat to sustainability of mobility
US and UK and (Australia?) to loose
Decline in Intensive English Programs
Rising competitiveness of new destinations
Student need: value for money
Institutional context: innovation
Wave III (2016-2024)
17. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Program mobility to
complement student
mobility
Georgia Tech's online Master of Science in
Computer Science (OMS CS) launched in
2013 cost ~$6,600
18. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Sustainability of international mobility in the Third Wave
hinges on innovating to deliver “value for money”
Consider complexity and unpredictability
Examine source and destination country patterns
Recognize diversity of student segments
Ensure future sustainability of growth
19. Rahul Choudaha, Ph.D.
Discussion Questions
To what extent government policies in Japan are aligned
with the institutional practices?
How are Japanese universities enhancing their
competitiveness and offering “value for money” for
international students?
What are the lessons learned from English-Medium
Instruction Programs? Any differences by bachelor’s and
master’s programs?
Editor's Notes
International student mobility driven by Upper-middle income countries
Lower-middle income countries are increasing but still lags behind High income countries
World Bank Regions (GNI per capita)
Low income countries
$1,005 or less
Nepal, Afghanistan
Lower middle-income countries
$1,006 and $3,955
India, Philippines, Vietnam, Sri Lanka
Upper middle-income countries
3,956 and $12,235
China, Turkey, Russia, Mexico, Malaysia
High income countries
$12,236 or more
UK, US, Australia, Canada, Japan