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How	
  good	
  are	
  you	
  working	
  with	
  intelligent	
  
machines?	
  	
  
Victoria	
  G.	
  Axelrod	
  	
  
Organiza(on	
  strategist	
  
• 	
  people	
  wrangler	
  
• 	
  author	
  
• 	
  educator,	
  and	
  	
  
• 	
  former	
  senior	
  
execu(ve	
  	
  
• 	
  Speakers	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
on	
  mute.	
  
• 	
  Par(cipate	
  
• 	
  Have	
  fun	
  
Presenter
Scribe	
  
Producer	
  
Facilitator	
  
Intro	
  
Poll	
  
Discussion	
  
Eval.	
  
Survey	
  
5	
  min.	
  
Raise	
  your	
  
awareness	
  
on	
  the	
  
impact	
  of	
  
technology	
  
on	
  the	
  
future	
  of	
  
your	
  work.	
  
Grove	
  Consul(ng	
  Templates	
  
“Are	
  you	
  good	
  at	
  working	
  with	
  intelligent	
  
machines	
  or	
  not?	
  Are	
  your	
  skills	
  a	
  
complement	
  to	
  the	
  skills	
  of	
  the	
  computer,	
  or	
  
is	
  the	
  computer	
  doing	
  beMer	
  without	
  you?”	
  
Overview	
  -­‐	
  	
  Key	
  Points	
  
Social	
  DisrupCon	
  	
  -­‐	
  Some	
  data/research	
  
• 	
  how	
  work	
  gets	
  done	
  within	
  companies	
  	
  
• 	
  loss	
  of	
  jobs/ac(vi(es	
  and	
  changing	
  nature	
  of	
  work	
  
• 	
  augmented	
  rather	
  than	
  fully	
  replaced	
  
	
  Systems	
  Thinking	
  and	
  IntenConal	
  Networks	
  –	
  ExplanaCon	
  and	
  
Examples	
  
• 	
  enhanced	
  decision	
  making	
  
• 	
  become	
  informed	
  and	
  engaged	
  in	
  use	
  or	
  understanding	
  of	
  
network	
  analysis	
  at	
  scale	
  (individual,	
  group/project,	
  organiza(onal)	
  
as	
  automa(on	
  transforms	
  work.	
  
Ethics	
  
• 	
  social	
  research	
  without	
  our	
  knowledge	
  
Oxford	
  University	
  report	
  2011	
  and	
  McKinsey	
  research	
  	
  
Key	
  findings	
  Oxford:	
  
• 	
  	
  47%	
  of	
  all	
  US	
  jobs	
  were	
  at	
  risk	
  from	
  automa(on	
  
Key	
  findings	
  McKinsey:	
  
• 	
  	
  Less	
  than	
  5%	
  of	
  of	
  jobs	
  can	
  be	
  fully	
  automated	
  
• 	
  	
  Below	
  the	
  job	
  or	
  occupa(on	
  level	
  to	
  work	
  ac(vi(es	
  45%	
  of	
  work	
  
is	
  automatable	
  by	
  current	
  technologies.	
  Included	
  were	
  high	
  wage,	
  
high	
  skilled	
  jobs.	
  
hMp://bits.blogs.ny(mes.com/2015/11/06/automa(on-­‐will-­‐
change-­‐jobs-­‐more-­‐than-­‐kill-­‐them/?_r=0	
  
…	
  while	
  sophis(cated	
  algorithms	
  and	
  developments	
  in	
  Mobile	
  Robo(cs	
  
(MR),	
  building	
  upon	
  with	
  big	
  data,	
  now	
  allow	
  many	
  non-­‐rou(ne	
  tasks	
  to	
  
be	
  auto-­‐mated,	
  occupa(ons	
  that	
  involve	
  	
  
complex	
  percep(on	
  and	
  manipula(on	
  tasks,	
  
crea(ve	
  intelligence	
  tasks,	
  and	
  social	
  intelligence	
  tasks	
  are	
  unlikely	
  to	
  be	
  
subs(tuted	
  by	
  computer	
  capital	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  decade	
  or	
  two.	
  	
  
The	
  probability	
  of	
  an	
  occupa(on	
  being	
  automated	
  can	
  thus	
  be	
  described	
  
as	
  a	
  func(on	
  of	
  these	
  task	
  characteris(cs	
  …	
  
hMp://www.oxfordmar(n.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/
The_Future_of_Employment.pdf	
  
More	
  specifically,	
  our	
  research	
  suggests	
  that	
  as	
  many	
  as	
  45	
  percent	
  of	
  the	
  ac(vi(es	
  
individuals	
  are	
  paid	
  to	
  perform	
  can	
  be	
  automated	
  by	
  adap(ng	
  currently	
  demonstrated	
  
technologies.4	
  In	
  the	
  United	
  States,	
  these	
  ac(vi(es	
  represent	
  about	
  $2	
  trillion	
  in	
  annual	
  
wages.	
  Although	
  we	
  ofen	
  think	
  of	
  automa(on	
  primarily	
  affec(ng	
  low-­‐skill,	
  low-­‐wage	
  
roles,	
  we	
  discovered	
  that	
  even	
  the	
  highest-­‐paid	
  occupa(ons	
  in	
  the	
  economy,	
  such	
  as	
  
financial	
  managers,	
  physicians,	
  and	
  senior	
  execu(ves,	
  including	
  CEOs,	
  have	
  a	
  significant	
  
amount	
  of	
  ac(vity	
  that	
  can	
  be	
  automated.	
  
The	
  Four	
  Fundamentals:	
  
1.  Automa(on	
  of	
  ac(vi(es	
  
2.  Redefini(on	
  of	
  jobs	
  and	
  
business	
  ac(vi(es	
  
3.  Impact	
  on	
  high-­‐wage	
  
occupa(ons	
  
4.  Future	
  of	
  crea(vity	
  –	
  4%	
  
and	
  meaning	
  –	
  29%	
  (emo(on)	
  
We	
  will	
  stop	
  now	
  for	
  some	
  discussion	
  in	
  
your	
  small	
  groups.	
  
Answer	
  this	
  Q.	
  
What	
  part	
  of	
  your	
  job	
  do	
  you	
  believe	
  is	
  the	
  
easiest	
  to	
  automate?	
  
Thank	
  You!	
  
Victoria	
  G.	
  Axelrod	
  	
  
Principal,	
  Axelrod	
  Becker	
  Consul(ng	
  
445	
  East	
  86th	
  Street	
  
New	
  York,	
  NY	
  10028	
  
212-­‐369-­‐2885	
  
vaxelrod@axelrodbecker.com	
  
www.axelrodbecker.com	
  	
  
Blog:	
  21st	
  Century	
  Organiza(on	
  
hMp://c21org.typepad.com	
  

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Online course 6 14 2017

  • 1. How  good  are  you  working  with  intelligent   machines?    
  • 2. Victoria  G.  Axelrod     Organiza(on  strategist   •   people  wrangler   •   author   •   educator,  and     •   former  senior   execu(ve    
  • 3. •   Speakers             on  mute.   •   Par(cipate   •   Have  fun   Presenter Scribe   Producer   Facilitator   Intro   Poll   Discussion   Eval.   Survey   5  min.   Raise  your   awareness   on  the   impact  of   technology   on  the   future  of   your  work.   Grove  Consul(ng  Templates  
  • 4. “Are  you  good  at  working  with  intelligent   machines  or  not?  Are  your  skills  a   complement  to  the  skills  of  the  computer,  or   is  the  computer  doing  beMer  without  you?”  
  • 5.
  • 6. Overview  -­‐    Key  Points   Social  DisrupCon    -­‐  Some  data/research   •   how  work  gets  done  within  companies     •   loss  of  jobs/ac(vi(es  and  changing  nature  of  work   •   augmented  rather  than  fully  replaced    Systems  Thinking  and  IntenConal  Networks  –  ExplanaCon  and   Examples   •   enhanced  decision  making   •   become  informed  and  engaged  in  use  or  understanding  of   network  analysis  at  scale  (individual,  group/project,  organiza(onal)   as  automa(on  transforms  work.   Ethics   •   social  research  without  our  knowledge  
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Oxford  University  report  2011  and  McKinsey  research     Key  findings  Oxford:   •     47%  of  all  US  jobs  were  at  risk  from  automa(on   Key  findings  McKinsey:   •     Less  than  5%  of  of  jobs  can  be  fully  automated   •     Below  the  job  or  occupa(on  level  to  work  ac(vi(es  45%  of  work   is  automatable  by  current  technologies.  Included  were  high  wage,   high  skilled  jobs.   hMp://bits.blogs.ny(mes.com/2015/11/06/automa(on-­‐will-­‐ change-­‐jobs-­‐more-­‐than-­‐kill-­‐them/?_r=0  
  • 10. …  while  sophis(cated  algorithms  and  developments  in  Mobile  Robo(cs   (MR),  building  upon  with  big  data,  now  allow  many  non-­‐rou(ne  tasks  to   be  auto-­‐mated,  occupa(ons  that  involve     complex  percep(on  and  manipula(on  tasks,   crea(ve  intelligence  tasks,  and  social  intelligence  tasks  are  unlikely  to  be   subs(tuted  by  computer  capital  over  the  next  decade  or  two.     The  probability  of  an  occupa(on  being  automated  can  thus  be  described   as  a  func(on  of  these  task  characteris(cs  …   hMp://www.oxfordmar(n.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/ The_Future_of_Employment.pdf  
  • 11. More  specifically,  our  research  suggests  that  as  many  as  45  percent  of  the  ac(vi(es   individuals  are  paid  to  perform  can  be  automated  by  adap(ng  currently  demonstrated   technologies.4  In  the  United  States,  these  ac(vi(es  represent  about  $2  trillion  in  annual   wages.  Although  we  ofen  think  of  automa(on  primarily  affec(ng  low-­‐skill,  low-­‐wage   roles,  we  discovered  that  even  the  highest-­‐paid  occupa(ons  in  the  economy,  such  as   financial  managers,  physicians,  and  senior  execu(ves,  including  CEOs,  have  a  significant   amount  of  ac(vity  that  can  be  automated.  
  • 12. The  Four  Fundamentals:   1.  Automa(on  of  ac(vi(es   2.  Redefini(on  of  jobs  and   business  ac(vi(es   3.  Impact  on  high-­‐wage   occupa(ons   4.  Future  of  crea(vity  –  4%   and  meaning  –  29%  (emo(on)  
  • 13. We  will  stop  now  for  some  discussion  in   your  small  groups.   Answer  this  Q.   What  part  of  your  job  do  you  believe  is  the   easiest  to  automate?  
  • 14.
  • 15. Thank  You!   Victoria  G.  Axelrod     Principal,  Axelrod  Becker  Consul(ng   445  East  86th  Street   New  York,  NY  10028   212-­‐369-­‐2885   vaxelrod@axelrodbecker.com   www.axelrodbecker.com     Blog:  21st  Century  Organiza(on   hMp://c21org.typepad.com