This Frost & Sullivan whitepaper produced for Convergence India provides an overview of trends that are driving the country's telecom and media industries. For those who want a quick guide how the telecom industry is shaping up with consolidation, key market shares, technology evolution, OTT revolution, this can be useful.
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Industry Outlook on India's telecom and broadcast industries, 2018
1. Outlook for IndianTelecom and
Broadcast Industry
Connectivity and Convergence to Advance with the Help of Adoption of
New AgeTechnologies in India
An Exclusive Whitepaper by Frost & Sullivan - Knowledge Partner at
March 07-09, 2018 – Pragati Maidan, New Delhi
3. 3
www.frost.com
With the investment environment more friendly towards smaller technology start-ups,
larger incumbents in the sector are looking inwards and considering consolidation, while
private companies are considering going public.
Technology spending will receive a boost in 2018 and 2019. Corporates are finding ways
to separate their business imperatives, and modern day business requirements cannot be
driven without investment in new-age technologies. Hence, there is higher consideration
for cloud based services, cyber security, software defined networking, artificial intelligence,
machine learning and over the top applications. Technologies that enable efficient and
effective utilization of resources and leverage user data to redefine services and offerings
are gaining traction.
This Frost & Sullivan whitepaper analyzes latest market trends and captures the industry
outlook for the telecom and media industries. Frost & Sullivan is proud to be the
Knowledge Partner for the 26th Convergence India exhibition, trade show, and
conference. For years, the show has brought together several international technology
companies as well as end users in India who work together to adapt modern day
requirements of digital and connected environments.
Vidya S. Nath
Senior Research Director, Digital Media Practice,
Frost & Sullivan
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Introduction
With a population of 1.342 billion, India’s diverse economic, political, cultural and social environment offers
immense opportunities for the media and ICT industries.Though the average broadband speed is 4.9 Mbps,
much lower than world average, and penetration of mobile and fixed broadband services is still under 30%,
network infrastructure is rapidly improving and this will in turn boost data services. Continued focus on
Digital India and BharatNet programs will aid in inclusive growth of the market.
India is the world’s second largest TV market, with nearly 190 million TV households (Cable, Direct to Home
{DTH}, and terrestrial).Yet, there is room to grow as TV penetration is at 76%, out of which only 66% of the
households have a pay TV subscription. Despite being a mature market, Pay TV Services continues to rapidly
grow, driven by higher adoption of HD services.
Exhibit 1: Key Market Indicators, India, 2016
Note: Per capita income is for FY 2017 as per IMF data.Average Broadband speed is for Q1 2017
Source: Frost & Sullivan,Yral Social Media Report 2016
Image Source: www.narendramodi.in and Art of Living
Key market Indicators, India, 2016 >60% of the population are above 15 years
1.342
Population (Bn)
1,709.39
GDP per capita
(USD)
27 34
45.08
27 34
1,611.4
Per Capita
Income(USD)
74.04
Adult Literacy Rate
(%)
Penetration (%)
27.34
7.45
17.9
27.34
• TV Households
(HH) 76.0
• Satellite TV 37.0
• Pay TV 66.4
• Digital TV 51.6
Media 10.3
• Mobile 87.18
• Mobile Broadband
29.2
• Fixed Broadband
1 3
65 years and
over
55-64 years 25-54 years 15-24 years 0-14 years
• Active Social
1.3
4.9
Average Broadband Speed (Mbps)
Digital India Soft Power Inclusive Growth
Digital India: Digital Infrastructure to
be the backbone of development
Promotion of International Yoga
day and building diplomatic and
cultural relations
Economic and social inclusion
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The Indian Telecom Industry: Preparing for the Next Inflection Point
“In the last one and a half years, telecom operators have realized that data consumption is the game changer
for their business.Traditional telecom networks are designed for voice and related traffic with some elements
of data in it. But now with the proliferation of data traffic, the approach to building and managing the networks
will differ. Operators have started acquiring systems and know-how to understand the data services delivery
and experience.They have started investing in software to provide high end automation and analytics that
will in turn help them to improve quality of services and monetize data more effectively.”
Manish Varma, Head of Nokia Software, India Market
Till 2015 telecom bore the burden of a legacy infrastructure that was designed for voice as the dominant
service. Data services were just considered as value addition. Soon it became imperative to analyze how
networks behave with data-intensive traffic, and to address challenges related to customer acquisition and
retention.With the proliferation in the number of data based applications, there is a constant need for new
tools and solutions for analyzing this paradigm.
Exhibit 02: Network Technology Adoption, India, 2015-2025
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Thus, telecom operators integrate new age technologies such as automation, robotics, Machine Learning
(ML),Artificial Intelligence (AI), network virtualization, software defined networks (SDN) and self-optimising
networks (SON) to address the current challenges as well as make the networks future-proof. Telecom
operators have embraced these technologies at various levels of maturity and will expand their adoption
based on the demands of the existing systems and development of advanced service capabilities.
• Real time machine
learning and artificial
intelligence
• 5G Commercialization
• 5G adoption with
established use cases
• Advanced Machine
Learning(ML) and AI
• Software Defined
Telecom Networks:
Cloudification of both• Predictive Analytics Cloudification of both
VoLTE and traditional
voice
• Self-Organising
Networks for 5G
Predictive Analytics
• Robotic Process
Automation (RPA)
• Virtualise Voice over
LTE (VoLTE)
• Multi-standard networks
• Considering Software
Defined Networks as a
solution for increased
d ff d b l
• Uni standards/ Bi-
standard Networks
Ad i f IT Cl d • 5G Roll-out
• Dynamic Orchestration
• Basic Machine Learning
and Artificial Intelligence
(AI)
data traffic and viability
for 5G transition
• Considering shifting
networks to cloud native
rather than just
cloudification
• Adoption of IT Cloud
(More virtualization than
cloud)
• Self-Organising
Networks (SON): First
St (AI)cloudification
• SON for 4G
• Virtual Network
Functions Orchestration
(VNF)
Step
9. Outlook for 2018 to 2025
Consolidation to Come a Full Circle
After 2000, the telecom competitive landscape consisted of seven telecom operators. However, the market
landscape presented challenges - intense competitive pricing, expensive licenses of 2G and 3G spectrum, and
accelerating infrastructure costs, driving several operators to consider mergers. Eventually, the entry of
Reliance Jio in 2016 served as a tipping point to trigger a major consolidation process in the telecom industry.
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“Transformation to a full cloud network has become the consensus among
operators worldwide. Almost all operators have started or planned to start
deploying SDN and NFV. Especially in a disruptive market like India, operators
are forced to rethink and rearchitect network technology, business process and
partnership models. SDN and NFV will give us new ways to design, build and
operate networks, especially the core network, which will have capabilities of
quick delivery & short time to market, openness for service innovation, stateless
design for enhanced application reliability, and simplified operation and
maintenance for improving operational efficiency.”
Nitin Jain, CISO (Chief Information & Security Officer) - ZTE Telecom India Ltd.
“On the adoption of cloud, we
expect that in the course of
next two years the operators
will be able to implement
telecom cloud where both
data driven VoLTE and
traditional voice will be
virtualized.”
Manish Varma, Head of
Nokia Software, India Market
“We believe that Digital is the
way forward for most of the
carriers and enterprises in
India and this will be mostly
done by adopting a cloud
architecture which will
support upcoming technologies
like 5G, IoT, AI etc.”
Abhinav Verma, Marketing
Expert, Huawei
Cloud becomes central to telecom architecture
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New Avenues for Revenue
• Enterprises seek much more than just data connectivity services today, and that has in turn
forced telecom operators to revisit their value proposition for offering IoT based services.
Over the forecast period, several of them will evolve into stronger system integrators,
business consultants, and perhaps even IT service providers. Opportunities are abound in
healthcare, IT, cloud, energy management, automotive and education sectors.
• Small and Medium scale enterprises (SME) demand plug and play services for digitization
of their work flows and operations. There will be simplification of business models to target
this segment and several off-the-shelf services. Telecom operators will need to widen their
partnership with technology providers to ensure that this segment is optimally captured.
• The Government and public sector will be the primary drivers for growth of data services.
Telecom operators are considering Government’s smart city initiatives and home
automation as new revenue streams, along with inclusive programs around e-governance,
m-health, and remote education among others.
“I expect that in the next two to three years, telecom operators in India will continue to invest in improving
the capabilities and capacities of the networks in order to cater to exponential increase in data.”
Nitin Bansal, Managing Director & Head of Network Solutions, Ericsson - South East Asia, Oceania and India.
5G is the harbinger of a new era of customer experience over mobile networks. In theory, 5G can achieve
the IoT reality.Telecom operators are preparing their networks to address the demands of 5G capabilities.
However, 5G is likely to gain prevalence from 2022 onwards.
Exhibit 06: Implications of 5G, India, 2017
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Fibre Focus - From Wireless to Wired
It is well established that the growth of broadband services in India is predominantly driven by wireless
connections. Fixed broadband continues to grow but at a lower rate. That said, the industry and the
Government realize digital ubiquity cannot be completely achieved unless the country achieves a mass base
of fixed line services.
3G/4G Towards 5G 5G
Enhanced
Broadband
Browsing, social
media, music,
video
Fixed Wireless Access (obtaining a at
home fiber like experience with a dongle),
interactive live concerts and sport events
4K/8K videos, mobile
AR/VR gaming,
immersive media
Internet of Things
(IoT)
Connected
Devices
Remote monitoring and control
Remote operation, and
maintenance
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The budget for the year 2018-19 has focussed on developing the connectivity layer in rural India to enable
inclusive growth and promote research and development for 5G and digital technologies.
Exhibit 8: Budget Allocations for Telecom Industry, India, 2018
Source: Economic Times and Frost & Sullivan
The other major driver for connecting rural India is the BharatNet Program launched by the Government
of India. Under phase I of the program, one lakh gram panchayats have been provided hi-speed broadband
connectivity with high-speed optic fiber networks.This envisages delivery of high-speed broadband services
in over 2.5 lakh villages benefitting more than 200 million rural Indians.The phase 2 of this project, which is
expected to be completed by end of 2018, will connect 1.5 lakhs more gram panchayats.The Government is
planning to lease the optic fiber lines to telecom operators who have already made advance payments.
The Government of India is also looking to install Wi-Fi hotspots in more than 1,000 gram panchayats across
the country, under its ambitious project called DigitalVillage.This is to provide internet connectivity for mass
use and to enable delivery of services like health and education in far-flung areas.
“2018 will be a hallmark year for the digital era, where India will deploy projects that will become global
best practices. We will be one of the key contributors to the global knowledge pool. We will also see
acceleration of fibre and IP backhaul deployment in India driven by both private and public service providers.”
Sanjay Kaul, Managing Director, Service Provider Business, Cisco India & SAARC
All ti f INR10 000 in 2018 19 f
Department of Telecom will support establishment of
indigenous 5G centers with IIT Chennai.
5G
Allocation of INR10,000 crore in 2018-19 for
creation and augmentation of Bharat Net. The
government has also proposed to set up 5 lakh Wi-
Fi hotspots which will provide broadband access to
five crore rural citizens
INR 3,073 crore has been allocated for the
Department of Science and Technology (DST) to
invest in research training, and skilling in digital
technologies like robotics, AI, digital
Encouraging
New Age
Rural Focus
technologies like robotics, AI, digital
manufacturing, big data intelligence, quantum
communications and art of the things.
g
Technologies
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From the age of a single TV and single broadcaster in the early 90s, the broadcast industry in India has now
shifted to multi-broadcaster, multi-platform and multi-device ecosystem. The major drivers have been the
rapid evolution of cable and satellite industry, growth of Internet, proliferation of video viewing devices and
improved purchasing power of people.This has in turn resulted in the emergence of new business models,
increased competition, changing regulations, and above all a significant shift in consumer preferences.
Digitization of Pay TV Services
Digitization of TV services in India was planned in a phased manner covering metropolitan cities followed by
Tier 2,Tier 3 and then the rest of India. Unfortunately the implementation date was revised several times
over the last seven years owing to poor infrastructure as well an inadequate number of Set Top Boxes (STBs).
With the final deadline of complete digitization behind us by almost a year, on one hand, there are attempts
by the Ministry of Information and Broadcasting (MIB) to push any remaining households towards STB
adoption by issuing warnings. On the other hand, pay TV operators are gradually upgrading the consumer
premise equipment with modern STBs that support advanced formats as well as HD.
“We observed three major trends in 2017. HD subscriptions are increasing since the prices of HD TVs are
going down and even the lower middle class is able to afford HD TV and services.The DAS phase 4 digitization
in Tier 2 and 3 cities has helped us acquire customers with low ARPU. The revenue from HD services
activation has been neutralized by the lower ARPU from DAS 4 customers.The third major trend was the
launch of national and international OTT platforms.Though it has not disturbed our subscribers, it has created
a space in the minds of our subscribers that there is an alternate way of watching TV. In the current situation,
broadcasters are expected to create good quality content and also invest in technology. Since there are
multiple platforms where content is harnessed, there is immense opportunity to increase subscriber base."
Rajiv Dalmia, CFO, Dish TV India Ltd.
Rural India Woes
• Although a majority of Multiple System Operators (MSO) and Local Cable Operators (LCO) claim 40%
seeding in the final phase, there is a general lack of readiness in rural areas in terms of customer service
as well as infrastructure support for technical difficulties.
• Demonetization in 2016 dampened the speed of seeding boxes as people in the rural areas were not
equipped to make digital payments.
• There has been widespread migration to DTH with cheaper packages (starting at INR 99 per month) as
well as free options such as Doordarshan’s FreeDish in many parts of India.
• As rural consumers complain about the affordability of services as well as the upfront cost towards the
STB, local operators are offering STBs at monthly instalments.
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Exhibit 10: Evolution of Video Viewing Landscape, 2000-2025
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Digitization and emergence of OTT services have resulted in the advent of new opportunities to improve
penetration and expand monetization capabilities.All stakeholders want to provide quality content on multiple
platforms, understand the user behaviour and monetize the content and experience.The stakeholders in the
broadcast industry are leveraging new age technologies to enable this transformation.
OTT Video Adoption
“In India there is a rapidly increasing number of content creation companies building their own OTT
platforms to improve their ad revenues and Bollywood has recognized the opportunity as well. With the
rising demand, Limelight significantly expanded its local capacity in India as well as offers global private
network to companies who want to deliver their content to large audience of expats who want to watch
broadcast quality Indian content online.We have seen in our research that people in India use smartphones
more often than any other device to watch online videos and 61.9% of viewers will give up and leave the site
after a video buffers twice. Whether it’s online videos, websites, mobile applications, music, software, or
games, it needs to reach customers quickly, reliably, and securely for consistent and high quality online
experiences that keep them coming back.”
Steve Miller-Jones, Senior Director of Product Management at Limelight Networks
2000 2018 2025
Video Viewing
Experience
One way viewing InteractiveViewing PersonalisedViewing
Viewership
Position
At Home with family
At home with family/isolated/
On the go
At home with
family/isolated/On the go
Platform Television
Television/Internet
Browser/App
Applications on all devices
including TV
Device Television/ Computer
Television/Computer/Smartpho
ne
Smartphone/Targeted TV
Content Any content
Content survival based on
audience rating
Content based on individual
preferences
Consumer Passive Interactive Part of theViewing Experience
Content
Influencers
Content Producers Content Producer/Consumer Consumer
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On Impact of Audience Measurement
“We saw an unprecedented growth in video streaming in 2017 and all signs are that 2018 too will be a big,
growth year.The large ad-supported streaming services likeVOOT are already seeing great traction on video
advertising and the upcoming industry-wide common digital measurement service from BARC will provide
further impetus to this growth.”
Gaurav Gandhi, Chief Operating Officer,Viacom18 Digital Ventures
For most leading broadcast networks in India, over-the-top distribution is the primary focus for growth for
the next three years.They are firming up their strategies around content production (linear TV content and
original content), geographic expansion (regional and international), platform expansion, and partnerships
across the ecosystem to leverage the strengths of one another.
Exhibit 11: Strategies of Market Participants, India, 2017
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Technology Adoption Trends
Advanced technologies are used in enhancing user experience, automating production workflows, monetizing
content, and ensuring privacy and security of content in the multi-device, multi-platform and multi-delivery
environment.
Harnessing the content on
O i i C
Harnessing the content on
LinearTV for other
platforms
Regional Content Focus
Original Content
Production
Sports Content: Obtaining
rights and providing
exhilarating viewer
International Operations Glocal Content
exhilarating viewer
experience
Telecom bundling OEMs an Other Bundling
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Cloud Adoption
“We are seeing a new trend where TV networks are purely being created for digital consumption instead of traditional
broadcast. Also, the demand for content has increased significantly with the launch of new OTT platforms, and TV
networks are seeing a whole new set of distribution outlets ie. virtual MVPDs. Another interesting trend is CXOs
leveraging technologies like cloud for its scalability and flexibility to effect personalization and targeting.” Srinivasan
KA, Co-founder,Amagi
"India is uniquely characterized by a phenomenal amount
of quality content. In the digital era, content distribution
has undergone significant transformation. With SVOD
becoming more popular, legacy archive systems are not
always fit-for-purpose and broadcasters are beginning to
adopt on-premise cloud stacks for easily scalable content
management and archiving. Though there are
apprehensions in expanding cloud services to other
workflows in India, operators are adopting cloud for many
media operations with the increasing need for effective
and efficient utilization of resources."
Peter Ennis, Senior Vice President, Global Services, Delivery
and Customer Support at Avid Technology
“In India, we’ve seen a real inflection point over the last
twelve months in some of the industries that are slower to
adopt.We see many of these enterprises quickly learn and
realize the business benefits and flexibility that the cloud
brings, and then move fast to build a 12-to-24-month
migration plan. In the media and entertainment space,
NDTV, Viacom, Hotstar, ABP News, and Sony Pictures
Networks have started utilizing the benefits of cloud. Every
imaginable business segment is using AWS in a very
meaningful way. The cloud is such a strong value proposition
for customers that there really isn’t a customer segment
that won’t derive benefit from moving to the cloud.”
Bikram Bedi, Head of India for Amazon Internet Services Pvt.
Ltd.
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Providing broadband services becomes an important part of value added services for MSOs, and therefore
they pursue it themselves or will partner with internet service providers over the forecast period.
OTT Providers: Catch up with the Trend
Consolidation in OTT market is expected in the next three years to pave way for higher content repository
and distribution capabilities.Though advertising video on demand (AVOD) is here to stay, subscription video
on demand (SVOD) will gain traction to provide high quality content and improve ARPU.
Broadcasters: Partnerships and Collaborations are the Key
Content is still the king but experience is the differentiator. There will be several new partnerships and
collaborations in 2018 and 2019 trying to match the consumers’ digital experience requirements.
Content Protection
“Access to TV content in India is unquestionably on the rise.With an increasing access to high-value content, it
is absolutely fundamental to ensure it is secure from illicit access. Measures like forensic watermarking protect
studios from sharp revenue losses and, equally as important, protect the livelihoods of those working in the
creative industry. Collaboration between content owners and local governments is also critical.Working together
to deploy the best protection tools that minimize content theft and educating the public on the grave effects of
piracy will help elevate India’s profile as a leader in the war against tech-savvy pirates.”
Chrys Poulain, Sales Director, NexGuard
“With today’s advanced cardless security options, Indian cable operators are able to escape traditional CA
system and one-way network restrictions without compromising security.A cardless system can provide flexible
levels of security essential to multi-screen service models that would be virtually impossible to achieve with
legacy systems.”
Steve Oetegenn, President,Verimatrix