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The Derivatives HEDGING WITH FUTURES SKOOL COMPUTER EDUCATION
TYPES OF TRADERS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
HEDGING EXAMPLES ,[object Object],[object Object]
ARBITRAGE EXAMPLE ,[object Object],[object Object]
1. GOLD: AN ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. GOLD: ANOTHER ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE FUTURES PRICE OF GOLD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INTRODUCTION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FUTURES CONTRACTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE ELEMENTS OF STANDARDIZATION OF FUTURES CONTRACTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IMM 3-MONTH EURODOLLAR FUTURES CONTRACT EXAMPLE OF FUTURES CONTRACT STANDARDIZED TERMS Cash settled Delivery: The second London bank business day immediately preceding the third Wednesday of the contract month Last trading day: 7:20 a.m. – 2:00 p.m. (Chicago time), Mon. – Fri, except on the last trading day of an expiration contract, when trading closes at 9:30 a.m. (3:30 p.m. London time).  The contract also trades on the Globex   system Trading Hours: March, June, September, December; Serial Months, Spot Month Contract Months No limit Daily Price Limit: Eurodollar time deposit having a principal of $1 million with a 3-month maturity Trading Unit:
HENRY HUB NATURE GAS FUTURES EXAMPLE OF FUTURES CONTRACT STANDARDIZED TERMS Pipeline specifications in effect at the time of deliver Quality Specifications No earlier than the first calendar day of the delivery month and must be completed no later than the last calendar day of the delivery month.  Delivery Period: Sabine Pipe Line Co.’s Henry Hub in LA.  Seller is responsible for movement of gas through the Hub; the buyer from the  Hub.  Hub fee paid by the seller. Delivery Three business days prior to the first calendar month day of the delivery month Last trading day: 10:00 a.m. – 3:10 p.m. (NY time), Mon. – Fri, for any open outcry session.  After-hours trading is conducted via NYMEX ACCESS   electronic trading system from 4:00 – 7:00 p.m.,  Monday through Thursday Trading Hours: 36 consecutive months commencing with the next calendar month Contract Months $1.50 per MMBtu ($15,000 per contract) for first 2 months.  Initial back month limits of $0.15 per MMBtu rise to $0.3 per MMBtu if the previous day’s settlement price in any back month is at $0.15 limit Daily Price Limit: Dollars and cents per MMBtu Price Quotation: 10,000 million British Thermal Units (MMBtu) Trading Unit:
THE ASSET ,[object Object]
CONTRACT SIZE ,[object Object]
DELIVERY ARRANGEMENTS ,[object Object]
PRICE QUOTES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LIMIT UP/DOWN ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
POSITION LIMITS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MARGINS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MARGINS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MARGINS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MARGINS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CLEARNING HOUSE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EXAMPLE OF A FUTURES TRADE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DAILY MARK-TO-MARKET EXAMPLE
A POSSIBLE OUTCOME Daily Cumulative Margin Futures Gain Gain Account Margin Price (Loss) (Loss) Balance Call Day (US$) (US$) (US$) (US$) (US$) 400.00 4,000 5-Jun 397.00 (600) (600) 3,400 0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13-Jun 393.30 (420) (1,340) 2,660 1,340 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19-Jun 387.00 (1,140) (2,600) 2,740 1,260 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26-Jun 392.30 260 (1,540) 5,060 0 + = 4,000 3,000 + = 4,000 <
OTHER KEY POINTS ABOUT FUTURES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DELIVERY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SOME TERMINOLOGY FOR FUTURES: NEWSPAPER QUOTES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FUTURES-SPOT CONVERGENCE ,[object Object],[object Object]
FUTURES-SPOT CONVERGENCE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
HEDGING WITH FUTURES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BASIS RISK ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LONG HEDGE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SHORT HEDGE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BASIS RISK:  DIFFERENT MATURITIES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BASIS RISK:  DIFFERENT MATURITIES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BASIS RISK:  DIFFERENT MATURITIES  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BASIS RISK:  DIFFERENT ASSETS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BASIS RISK:  DIFFERENT ASSETS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OPTIMAL HEDGE RATIO ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OPTIMAL HEDGE RATIO Proportion of the exposure that should optimally be hedged is where   S   is the standard deviation of   S , the change in the spot price during the hedging period,   F  is the standard deviation of   F , the change in the futures price during the hedging period    is the coefficient of correlation between   S  and   F .
ROLLING THE HEDGE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ROLLING THE HEDGE ,[object Object],[object Object]
ROLLING THE HEDGE  Another Possibility ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ROLLING THE HEDGE  Another Possibility ,[object Object],[object Object]
ROLLING THE HEDGE  Another Possibility
ROLLING THE HEDGE  Another Possibility

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002 Hedging With Futures

  • 1. The Derivatives HEDGING WITH FUTURES SKOOL COMPUTER EDUCATION
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. IMM 3-MONTH EURODOLLAR FUTURES CONTRACT EXAMPLE OF FUTURES CONTRACT STANDARDIZED TERMS Cash settled Delivery: The second London bank business day immediately preceding the third Wednesday of the contract month Last trading day: 7:20 a.m. – 2:00 p.m. (Chicago time), Mon. – Fri, except on the last trading day of an expiration contract, when trading closes at 9:30 a.m. (3:30 p.m. London time). The contract also trades on the Globex  system Trading Hours: March, June, September, December; Serial Months, Spot Month Contract Months No limit Daily Price Limit: Eurodollar time deposit having a principal of $1 million with a 3-month maturity Trading Unit:
  • 12. HENRY HUB NATURE GAS FUTURES EXAMPLE OF FUTURES CONTRACT STANDARDIZED TERMS Pipeline specifications in effect at the time of deliver Quality Specifications No earlier than the first calendar day of the delivery month and must be completed no later than the last calendar day of the delivery month. Delivery Period: Sabine Pipe Line Co.’s Henry Hub in LA. Seller is responsible for movement of gas through the Hub; the buyer from the Hub. Hub fee paid by the seller. Delivery Three business days prior to the first calendar month day of the delivery month Last trading day: 10:00 a.m. – 3:10 p.m. (NY time), Mon. – Fri, for any open outcry session. After-hours trading is conducted via NYMEX ACCESS  electronic trading system from 4:00 – 7:00 p.m., Monday through Thursday Trading Hours: 36 consecutive months commencing with the next calendar month Contract Months $1.50 per MMBtu ($15,000 per contract) for first 2 months. Initial back month limits of $0.15 per MMBtu rise to $0.3 per MMBtu if the previous day’s settlement price in any back month is at $0.15 limit Daily Price Limit: Dollars and cents per MMBtu Price Quotation: 10,000 million British Thermal Units (MMBtu) Trading Unit:
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  • 26. A POSSIBLE OUTCOME Daily Cumulative Margin Futures Gain Gain Account Margin Price (Loss) (Loss) Balance Call Day (US$) (US$) (US$) (US$) (US$) 400.00 4,000 5-Jun 397.00 (600) (600) 3,400 0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13-Jun 393.30 (420) (1,340) 2,660 1,340 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19-Jun 387.00 (1,140) (2,600) 2,740 1,260 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26-Jun 392.30 260 (1,540) 5,060 0 + = 4,000 3,000 + = 4,000 <
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  • 42. OPTIMAL HEDGE RATIO Proportion of the exposure that should optimally be hedged is where  S is the standard deviation of  S , the change in the spot price during the hedging period,  F is the standard deviation of  F , the change in the futures price during the hedging period  is the coefficient of correlation between  S and  F .
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  • 47. ROLLING THE HEDGE Another Possibility
  • 48. ROLLING THE HEDGE Another Possibility