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BUSINESS

                       ASIA
            ISSUE NO.7, Fall 2012




ASIA
In Reform
THE BAJ TEAM




EXECUTIVE BOARD                                 EDITORIAL
    Editor-in-Chief            Zhi-Yen Low                                 Erica Boorstein
    Director of Design          Yanbin Feng                              Jonathan Dawson
    Co-Presidents                  Jill Seong                                   Kevin Hua
                                Stella Zhang                                 Denis Hurley
    Director of Marketing      Mingxia Zhu                                      Ajay Kailas
    Director of Finance      Madeline Culkin                               Mingming Koh
                                                                                Ken-Ji Low
                                                 University of Indonesia     Maria Marcia
DESIGN ASSOCIATES                                                            Advai Pathak
                                 An-Chi Dai
                                                                               Jiting Wang
                                 Arthur Teng


Cover Photo Source:                             CONTACT US:
http://www.catholicbridge.com/                  BusinessAsia.Journal@gmail.com
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/                      www.cubusinessasia.com



2     Business Asia
EDITOR’S LETTER



                      2
                             012 has been a year brimming with uncertainty- with European
                             leaders struggling with mounting national debt, the recent U.S.
                             Presidential Elections, and China’s leadership transition. Our
                      previous issue welcomed the Year of the Dragon, bearing bright hopes
                      and expectations for the future of Asian economies. Today, the seventh
                      issue of the Business Asia Journal welcomes the new leaders that aspire
                      to guide us there.
                      	        These are challenging times to be a leader. The growth of
                      powerhouse economies China and India is beginning to falter, exposing
                      deep structural fault lines within their governments. For all their
                      newfound wealth, these economic giants are now experiencing acute
                      growing pains. Our writers touch on current reform efforts in India, and
                      the effects of technological development in Indian cities. China grew
                      at breakneck speed for a decade, but growing dissent and an urgent
                      need for financial reforms threatens future stability. China partly owes
                      its economic decline to its One Child Policy-inflicted demographic
                      imbalances and rapidly aging populace. The burgeoning Chinese fast-
                      food industry is set to perpetrate widespread socio-cultural changes
                      and increased obesity rates throughout the country, whereas the recent
                      Sino-Japan territorial dispute has also cast dark clouds over an already
                      fragile global economy.
                      	        The future is not all gloomy, however. Our writers point to South
                      East Asia as an alternative investment destination, with Indonesia leading
                      the region’s growth with its high domestic demand. Also of huge growth
                      potential is the field of microinsurance in Asia, of which large regions
                      still remain untapped. Both of these articles highlight the potential to
                      translate economic growth into the alleviation of poverty. Additionally,
                      Tata Motors’ acquisition of Jaguar continues the trend of strategic direct
We would like to      investment in the developed west by emerging third world markets.
thank the following   Western fashion capitals are looking eastward, with influential Asian
                      designers taking center stage at major global fashion weeks. Developed
sponsors for their    countries now face a changing landscape in their smartphone markets
generous support:     due to the recent onslaught of intellectual property battles.
                      	        Business Asia has matured as a publication since its inception
                      four years ago. I would like to express my deep gratitude to the Editorial,
                      Design and Marketing teams for investing so much time and effort in
                      the production of this publication. Also, a very special thank you goes
                      to our former Editor-in-Chief, Yun Qi Mok, for all of her dedication,
                      mentorship, and for believing in me.
                      	        Finally, thank you to you, dear readers, for your continued
                      support. We value your opinion greatly, and would like to hear your
                      thoughts. If you have any comments, suggestions, or would like
                      to contribute to future issues of our magazine, please contact us at
                      BusinessAsia.Journal@gmail.com.

                      Sincerely,
                      Zhi-Yen Low
                      Editor-in-Chief


                                                                                   Fall 2012    3
TABLE OF CONTENTS



    India: Going Forward
                                       12   2    The BAJ Team

                           in Reform        3    Editor’s Letter

                                            POLITICAL ECONOMY

                                            6    The Microinsurance
                                                 Revolution
                                                 by Maria Marcia Tj.
                                                 A brief history and education



                                       18
                                                 on the field of micro finance and
         Hu’s out, Xi’s In:                      its significant role in reducing
                                                 poverty
Times Ahead for Xi Jinping
                                            9    A Case for Structural
                                                 Reform
                                                 by Advai Pathak
                                                 China’s demographic imbalances
                                                 and rapidly aging population
                                                 has serious repercussions for its
                                                 economic growth

                                            12   India: Going Forward in
                                                 Reform
                                                 by Mingming Koh
                                                 An overview of the Indian
                                                 Congress Party’s proposed



                                        9
                                                 economic reforms

A Case                                      16   Sino-Japan Islands Dispute: A
                                                 Potential Threat to Economies
for                                              by Jiting Wang
                                                 Territorial conflict over the
Structural                                       Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands creates
                                                 protests and friction between
Reform                                           China & Japan




   4     Business Asia
TABLE OF CONTENTS


18   Hu’s out, Xi’s In: Tough Times Ahead
     for Xi Jinping
                                             33   Asian Designers are the Future
                                                  of Fashion
     by Zhi-Yen Low                               by Erica Boorstein
     As newly anointed chief of China’s           Western fashion capitals looking
     Communist Party, Xi Jinping has tough        eastward for up and coming Asian
     reform challenges ahead                      designers

GENERAL BUSINESS                                                  TECHNOLOGY

21   Looking Beyond Chinese                  35   iLitigate
                                                  by Denis Hurley
     Borders: A G.E.M. Within                     Samsung, Apple, and the
     Southeast Asia                               Wave of IP Suits Changing the
     by Ken-Ji Low                                Smartphone Market Landscape
     Exploring South East Asia as an
     alternative strategic investment
     destination
                                                                      INTERVIEW
24   Cyberabad
     by Ajay Kailas                          38   Interview with Sean Hu
                                                  by Stella Zhang
     An inside look into the growth and           Sitting down with Sean Hu, Managing
     flourishing of India’s Silicon Valley        Partner of Bionest Partners to hear his
                                                  insights on U.S. healthcare consulting
26   Revival of the Big Cat
     by Advai Pathak
     Exploring cross-border M&A’s through
     Tata Motor’s acquisition of Jaguar


LIFESTYLE

30   Super-Sized China: Burgeoning
     Chinese Fast Food Industry
     by Kevin Hua
     Socio-cultural changes and the
     growing fast-food industry are major
     contributors to Chinese obesity rates




                                                                          Fall 2012   5
POLITICAL ECONOMY




    The Microinsurance
    by Maria Marcia Tj. | University of Indonesia         Revolution
    I magine this. You’re a farmer in
      Rajasthan, a northern Indian
    state near the Thar desert. You
                                          	       We all have heard the term
                                          What is microinsurance?

                                          microfinance – especially after
                                                                               ance serves as a safety net. With
                                                                               microinsurance, they don’t have
                                                                               to worry about falling into abject
    have been taught a new technique      Muhammad Yunus and Grameen           poverty when they try new tech-
    of irrigation that can conserve wa-   Bank received Nobel Peace Prize      niques to increase their income.
    ter and boost crop yield. Would you   in 2006 for their efforts to cre-    	       The International Asso-
    implement the new technique?          ate economic and social develop-     ciation of Insurance Supervisors
    	        As an undergraduate busi-    ment by pioneering microfinance      (IAIS) defines microinsurance as
    ness school student, I thought        in India. Lasting peace can be       “protection of low income people
    the answer to be simple and log-      achieved through the eradication     against specific perils in exchange
    ical: Yes –since increased yield      of poverty and microfinance is       for regular premium payments
    would also mean increased in-         one of the many ways to do that.     proportionate to the likelihood
    come. On the other hand, that         	       For the Rajasthan farm-      and the cost of the risk involved.”
    may not be the logical answer         ers, microfinance is a helping       	       The main challenge here
    for low income individuals. Why?      hand for them to buy new seeds       is low income individuals. How
    Farmers are risk averse – crop        or equipment. But what about         do we sell insurance to someone
    failures for them would mean          the crop failures? This is where     who has never heard of the con-
    a disaster that could push their      microinsurance comes in. For the     cept? How do we convince them
    families into abject poverty.         Rajasthan farmers, microinsur-       to pay for something they cannot



6       Business Asia
see, touch, or feel? More impor-       claims handling processes that         in the world, cover 80% of the
tantly, how do we make money           can prevent misunderstandings.         global microinsurance market,
out of policies with the premi-                                               sixty percent of which is in In-
um at just a few dollars a year?                                              dia. However, the growth of cov-
	        Low income individuals do                                            ered risk in Asia is not limited to
                                       The reach of microinsurance

manage their risk. They save, re-      	      Approximately 83% of            these two countries. In The Phil-
                                       in areas of Asia

duce expenses (sometimes even by
withdrawing their children from
school), borrow emergency cred-
it from relative or money-lenders,
                                            Approximately 83% of people
and sell whatever assets they have.         l
                                            ­iving in Asia are classified as low
These existing risk management
practices work, but they make low           i
                                            ­ncome, making Asia the center of
income people very risk averse
and thus, may halter development.
                                            m
                                            ­ icroinsurance development.
	        Insurance is not high on
their list of risk management artil-
lery, but that may be because of the   people living in Asia are classified   ippines, 14.2 million low income
underdeveloped state of insurance      as low income1, making Asia the        individuals have microinsurance.
culture. Nevertheless, supplying       center of microinsurance devel-        Bangladesh and Pakistan are also
something that is new and perhaps      opment. In 2011, there were 350        showing significant growth, while
not trusted requires investments       to 400 million insurance holders       Cambodia, Indonesia, and Sri Lan-
in market education about wheth-       covered in Asia.2 China and India,     ka are beginning their journey.
er such a product is necessary.        the two most populous countries        	       According to Microin-
	        To make money out of mi-                                             surance Compendium Report,
croinsurance, simplicity is a must.                                           there are several reasons why
The small premiums and claims                                                 Asia is ahead on the microin-
                                                                              surance trend: large and dense
                                       1 World Research Institute – The

require low transaction costs for
                                                                              populations, interest from pub-
                                       Next Billion (2007)

both the insured and the insur-
ers. Low transaction costs means                                              lic and private insurers, proper
                                       2 Microinsurance Compendium,

efficient products, policies, and                                             distribution channels and active
                                                                              government support, for example
                                       Protecting the Poor Volume 2.


                                                                              through subsidies. The countries
                                       Published by ILO and Munich Re


                                                                              in Asia that offer the greatest im-
                                       Foundation (2012)


                                                                              mediate potential for microinsur-
The World Economic Pyramid (2006)
                                                                              ance are India, Indonesia, China,
                                                                              The Philippines, and Vietnam.
                                                                              	       India has well-developed
                                                                              microfinance institutions, so mi-
                                                                              crofinance and microinsurance are
                                                                              often sold as a one package deal. In
                                                                              Indonesia, there are state restric-
                                                                              tions that impede market develop-
                                                                              ment for microinsurance, but pilot
                                                                              schemes are already underway.
                                                                              There is also potential for Takaful
                                                                              (Islamic) insurance in the country.
                                                                              Microtakaful, also called Sharia
                                                                              microinsurance, can increase the
                                                                              reach of insurance to low income
                                                                              groups, who may hesitate to buy
                                                                              conventional insurance out of re-
Source: Thematic Research Highlights by Generation Investment
Management, 2007



                                                                                                      Fall 2012      7
nels. These new products are
                                                                                 helping microinsurance to reach
    Estimated Outreach of Microinsurance in the World
                                                                                 more people than ever before.
                                                                                 	       Microinsurance coverage
                                                                                 is growing substantially over the
                                                                                 years and the demand is too. To-
                                                                                 tal demand is growing more than
                                                                                 10% every year, with premium
                                                                                 increases outstripping those in
                                                                                 developed markets. Commercial
                                                                                 insurers have also seen the mas-
                                                                                 sive opportunity of microinsur-
                                                                                 ance and entered the low-income
                                                                                 market, creating economies of
                                                                                 scale. At least 33 of the 50 largest
                                                                                 commercial insurance companies
                                                                                 in the world now offer microin-
                                                                                 surance, up from only seven in
    Source: Microinsurance Compendium, Protecting the poor Volume

                                                                                 2005. The MicroInsurance Centre
    2. Published by ILO and Munich Re

    ligious considerations. China, like     ance. In 2009, the number grew       estimates there will be one bil-
    Indonesia, has state restrictions       to 135 million people. As of this   lion policyholders in the world by
    that may hinder the market devel-       year, nearly 500 million people     2019. With the number currently
    opment of microinsurance – but          are covered by microinsurance.      at 500 million policyholders, that
    in the short term. In The Philip-       	 Technology            develop-    number looks quite achievable.
    pines, there are concessions in         ment is one of the factors that     	        The goal of microinsur-
    place for microinsurance. Compa-        support the growth of microin-      ance is to end the poverty cycle,
    nies are also lobbying government       surance. Cell-phone providers       but it cannot possibly lift poverty
    to exempt microinsurance from           and local minimarket chains,        by itself. However, it is a valuable
    taxes. In Vietnam, income distri-       despite being non-traditional,      tool to break the cycle and the po-
    bution is weighted to the urban         can be intermediaries for mi-       tential growth of microinsurance
    poor rather than the rural poor.        croinsurance, making it easy to     business is massive. This may just
    	       For microinsurance to           reach by low income individuals.    be that one area of promising busi-
    grow, it needs to be tailored to        	       Climate change, popula-     ness to get into without having to
    the countries’ specific needs,          tion growth, and rapid urbaniza-    choose between charity and profit.
    situations, and opportunities.          tions have the greatest impact
                                            on the lives of low income peo-
                                            ple, who have the least ability
                                            to adapt. These increased un-
    Potential Growth of

    	        In 2007, four billion peo-     certainties have positive im-
    Microinsurance

    ple in the world are classified as      pact on insurance culture in
    low income. They have combined          developing countries, helping
    annual purchasing power of USD          microinsurance market to grow.
    5 trillion. They are eligible for mi-   	       According to the Micro-
    croinsurance and severely under-        insurance Compendium Report,
    served. According to Lloyds Mi-         there have been many innovations
    croinsurance Report in 2009, 1.5        in the field of microinsurance
    billion of low income individuals       over the past years. New prod-
    want and are able to pay; but are       ucts covering a variety of risks
    without access to microinsurance.       have been piloted and distribut-
    In 2007, there were 78 million          ed to poor households through
    people covered by microinsur-           an increasing diversity of chan-




8      Business Asia
POLITICAL ECONOMY




A CASE FOR                                                                          CHINA’S
                                                                                    UNSTOPPABLE

STRUCTURAL REFORM                                                                   ECONOMIC GROWTH

Advai Pathak, Cornell University ‘15, School of Industrial and Labor Relations




A
         merican hysteria regard-      lem China must confront is its          facing neighbouring BRIC India),
         ing her seemingly irre-       rapidly changing demography.            China’s demographic changes are
         versible decline seems to     	        Introduced in 1979 under       now having widespread secondary
inevitably reach fever-pitch when      Deng Xioaping after years of offi-      effects.
China is introduced into conver-       cial policy waffling by the Chinese     	        The population structure
sation. China’s unstoppable eco-       government, the One Child Poli-         has drastically become extremely
nomic growth over the past two         cy has had significant and drastic      top heavy as a result of the unnat-
decades has led to almost univer-      effects. It was instituted to steady    ural and sudden changes in birth
sal acceptance of its assured path     China’s ballooning population in        rates imposed by the One Child
towards hegemonic status. Yet, un-     an age of concern over its ability to   Policy. Whereas the American
derlying China’s sparkling growth      effectively feed itself and has been    fertility rate remains around 2.1
figures are significant structural     estimated to have reduced China’s       (considered an acceptable replace-
issues that threaten its future suc-   population by 300 million people        ment rate to maintain a stable
cess. Aside from its shocking level    over its first two decades. Though      population), China’s has dropped
of state debt and the sheer number     in general it has been considered       to a national average of 1.56. At
of political demonstrations na-        successful (bearing in mind the         this level, China’s babies are failing
tionwide, the most serious prob-       enormous population challenges          to replace their parents, leading to


                                                                                                      Fall 2012     9
POLITICAL ECONOMY




a steady decline in population. By      a comprehensive pension plan and
2060, China’s population is pro-        the incomplete program currently
jected to drop below 1 billion.         in place has an unfunded liability
	         The most obvious issue        worth about 150% of its GDP al-        China’s growth over
raised by these statistics is that      ready. In keeping with traditional
China’s population is ageing and        Confucian values of filial piety,      the past half century is
it is doing so at an unprecedented      China’s younger generations will
rate. Its current median age is 34.5,   be expected to save and provide
                                                                               certainly remarkable.
close to America’s 37 and that of       for their elders but this will place   How it manages that
other wealthy countries in general.     them under enormous pressure.
However, because of their contrast-     China’s youth is facing what has       growth and whether
ing fertility rates, China is ageing    become known as the “4-2-1 Phe-
much more rapidly than America.         nomenon” - 4 grandparents and
                                                                               it is able to sustain
By 2050, China’s median age will        2 parents being provided for by        its growth will be the
be 49 compared to America’s 40, a       just a single worker. The level of
level of demographic change that        support afforded by the state in       story of the next 50
is entirely unprecedented. An age-      support of pensioners will rapid-
ing population isn’t dangerous in       ly become a very serious issue for
                                                                               years.
and of itself. Many countries that      young Chinese in years to come.        es, currently appreciating between
are currently in the post-industri-     	       China’s second major con-      10-20%. Employers are finding
al stage of demographic transition      cern is that its workforce is pro-     the labor market an increasingly
also face the same issues. However,     jected to shrink drastically over      competitive arena and are being
China’s issues arise from the fact      the next half century. Having re-      forced to respond to higher wage
that it hasn’t the resources to sup-    lied on mass urbanization to pro-      demands. In addition, the gov-
port its ageing population in the       vide for its enormous labor force      ernment has increased minimum
same way that Germany and Japan         over past decades, China will now      wage restrictions but workers re-
do. The biggest fear demographers       have to deal with a decreasing re-     main restless and discontented.
have regarding China is that it will    serve of able bodies to call upon.     Labor strikes and violence have
age before it has the wealth to sup-    One consequence of this decreas-       increased over the past decade as
port its old. China currently lacks     ing labor supply is increasing wag-    workers have sought higher-pay-



10   Business Asia
ing and less monotonous work.           costs of labor, fierce competition    conductors, will require an ex-
The Chinese youth have far high-        amongst employers, and the threat     tremely high level of precision and
er aspirations than their parents       of a discontented workforce, ro-      intelligence. They will also need
did; jobs in the service industry       botic production is an increas-       to be flexible - the electronics in-
are seen as far more desirable than     ingly attractive option. Although     dustry is constantly evolving and
those in manufacturing. These           the upfront costs of robots are       changing. Unlike in car manufac-
calls for progression to better,        daunting to many Chinese man-         ture, robots used in the electronics
more advanced jobs will only in-        ufacturers, their performance has     industry will need to be as highly
crease as social pressures to pro-      been proven in Europe and the         advanced as their creations. Chi-
vide for ageing families continue       Americas over the past decades        na faces significant challenges if it
to increase.                            and their initial capital outlaw is   is to continue on its path towards
	        With a future consisting of    usually repaid within 3-5 years.      economic hegemonic power. Im-
fewer, better-paid workers, China       Managers who have already ad-         plementation of automated man-
will need to provide an infrastruc-     opted automated production are        ufacturing across industries is one
ture for greater productivity per       now reaping the rewards. Auto-        strategy that might prove fruitful.
worker. This will come into con-        mated plants need far fewer work-     However, to effectively address its
flict with its current growth model     ers whose work is mostly to su-       demographic concerns the gov-
driven by low-wage manufacture,         pervise the machines. By driving      ernment will need to implement
investment, and exports. Due to         down labor costs so dramatically,     strong national measures. One
rising labor costs, outsourcing         these factories have boosted prof-    would be the loosening of the One
manufacturing has already begun         it margins spectacularly. By tak-     Child Policy’s strict enforcement.
shifting to lower cost countries        ing on some of the more tedious       Creating exemptions like allowing
like Vietnam and Cambodia. Al-          and unappealing tasks Chinese         rural families a second child would
though China has acknowledged           workers have been complaining         increase the national fertility rate
that it seeks to shift towards an       about, robots also certainly alle-    by a reasonable margin. The gov-
economy based on greater domes-         viate some work-related pressure.     ernment also needs to formulate a
tic consumption, it is still far from   Greater productivity afforded by      plan to care for pensioners within
attaining that goal. Average in-        robotic manufacturing will also       its budgetary means. To succeed,
come per head remains far lower         allow greater numbers of Chinese      this plan will also have to take into
than in developed countries and,        to seek jobs in other pressing sec-   consideration the future strain
short of drastic wage increases,        tors like nursing and healthcare.     on a smaller workforce facing the
this seems set to remain the case       	        The main area of concern     dual pressure of having to pro-
for some time.                          that leads most analysts to favor     vide for ageing parents while also
	        As a result of these fac-      the irreplaceability of the Chinese   being encouraged by the national
tors, Chinese manufacturers are         worker is in the electronics indus-   government to increase domestic
beginning to seriously consider         try, a key area of Chinese manu-      consumption. China’s growth over
automated manufacturing plants.         facturing. Unlike industrial robots   the past half century is certainly
Employers are struggling to re-         used in say, Detroit for automobile   remarkable. How it manages that
cruit workers and exports remain        manufacture, those building and       growth and whether it is able to
slow in the current state of glob-      assembling precise components of      sustain its growth will be the story
al economy. In the midst of rising      cell phones, computers, and semi-     of the next 50 years.


                                                                                                     Fall 2012    11
Activists protest over a government decision to open up India’s retail market to foreign companies.




                           India:
                           	 Going Forw
By Mingming Koh,
                       Cornell University ‘15, College of Arts and Sciences




                       T
                               he myth of India’s seemingly inexhaustible economic potential
                               has begun to wane. As the Indian economy faces its most severe
                               slowdown, fear and uncertainty has abounded amongst foreign
                       investors in India as well as within Indian corporations. Accustomed
                       to an annual growth rate of 10%, today’s rate of 5% seems meager
                       in comparison – even though 5% already represents an extremely
                       impressive achievement, especially in present circumstances – and
                       those with vested interests in the Indian economy are beginning to
                       fear for their future prospects.

                       	        Such sentiments have reverberated all the way to the upper
                       echelons of the Indian political machine, as the Indian Congress Party
                       revealed its latest – and most drastic – series of economic reforms
                       aimed at hauling the Indian economy back on track. This set of reforms
                       touch on previously taboo regions such as opening up the multi-brand
                       retail sector to foreign investment, slashing diesel subsidies by a huge
                       margin, and finally permitting foreigners to hold a stake in key Indian
                       corporations and industries. Experts widely agree that such reform
                       measures are long overdue, but anyone familiar with the economic
                       history of the Indian growth machine should be familiar with the
                       process of achieving reform in the world’s largest democratic system:
                       reform is never considered – let alone carried out – until a crisis arises
                       and the situation begs it. The boom of the Indian economy has allowed
                       its policy makers to remain in a voluntary state of oblivion with regards
                       to the loopholes within the economy. However, the current slowdown
 Source: latimes.com   has forced India’s leaders out of their denial as the economy struggles
                       to meet the huge expectations that have been thrust upon it.

                       	       Unfortunately, not everyone agrees with the extent of the reform
                       measures – some even question the fundamental need for reform. A
                       key ally of the Indian Congress party, the Trinamool Congress headed
                       by Sonia Gandhi, withdrew its support from the government in
                       protest against the proposed reforms. Although this move does not
                       threaten the power or stability of the Indian government, it highlights




ward in Reform
                                                                                     Fall 2012      13
POLITICAL ECONOMY

                                                                              that plague the economy from
                                                                              within, India has been and still
                                                                              is embroiled in deep societal
                                                                              conflicts     that     continuously
                                                                              threaten to disrupt her economy.
                                                                              Racial and religious conflicts are
                                                                              still an extremely potent fault
                                                                              line within the Indian society, as
                                                                              evidenced by an exodus of tens
                                                                              of thousands of northeastern
                                                                              immigrants working in major
                                                                              cities. This exodus was sparked
                                                                              by an ongoing conflict between
                                                                              Muslims and the indigenous Bobo
                                                                              tribe in the northeastern state
                                                                              of Assam. This incident of mass
                                                                              hysteria only begins to underline
                                                                              the complicated and sensitive
                                                                              issue of ethnic tensions in Indian
                                                                              society. Up to this point, the
Manmohan Singh, India’s Prime Minister and key advocate of reform
                                                                              Indian government has managed
                                                                              to suppress and quell – often only
     the existence of key forces within     abruptly captured the full and    temporarily and superficially –
     the Indian politics and society that   panicked attention of the now     such conflicts, but it has become
     oppose the much-needed reform.         disillusioned government.         increasingly difficult to forcefully
     Such opposition forces are far         	                                 separate Indian society and
     from novel in the Indian political                                       economy to avoid the negative
     arena. Previous attempts at              Apart from structural           spillover effects of an ethnically
     economic reforms have often been                                         divided society.
                                              problems that plague
     compromised, and in some cases                                           	 While            the    economic
     even completely derailed by forces       the economy from
                                                                              reforms that have been proposed
     deeply interested in preserving          within, India has been          are certainly welcome, more
     the status quo. Manmohan Singh,          and still is embroiled in       needs to be done in order to
     India’s Prime Minister and key           deep societal conflicts         truly guarantee the continued
     advocate of economic reform,             that continuously               upsurge of the Indian economy.
     has often been criticized as weak-                                       Fundamental and structural
                                              threaten to disrupt her
     willed and overly compromising.                                          issues need to be resolved in
     As a result, his earlier attempts        economy.
                                                                              order to clear the path for the
     at reform, though well-meaning,                                          economy to reach its full potential.
     have had little success as he gave                                       Fortunately, most of these larger
     way to said forces. This time,         These reforms are certainly       problems       are     concentrated
     however, it seems unlikely the         promising and steer the Indian    within the Indian society. Indian
     opposition forces are going to         economy toward in a lauded        politics have actually achieved
     get their way. Sonia Gandhi has        direction. However, some are      a remarkable level of modernity
     thrown the weight of the ruling        doubtful of their effectiveness   given its status as a developing
     party behind these economic            in guaranteeing the continued     country. As the world’s largest
     reforms as incontestable signs of      growth of the Indian economy.     democracy, the Indian political
     serious economic slowdown have         Apart from structural problems    system is believed by many to be


    14    Business Asia
capable of supporting a much
more advanced and sophisticated
economy. The giant head start of
Indian politics on her economy is
an important factor in the analysis
of India’s economic potential, but
India’s social problems constantly
impede this gap from being
bridged.
	       Solving India’s social
problems is a Herculean task
and nobody expects a simple set
of reform measures to become
a panacea. Manmohan Singh
and Sonia Gandhi are definitely



  Solving India’s
  social problems is a
  Herculean task and
  nobody expects a
  simple set of reform
  measures to become a
  panacea.


moving in the correct direction,
with the correct understanding of
the necessary chronological chain
of policy events for improving
India’s situation in general:
reforming the economy first,
then tackling wider social issues
later with the enhanced resources      A Walmart Retail store in India
from stable economic growth. The
validity and effectiveness of this
                                      	      At this point in time,        economic reforms is the correct
path has similarly been recognized
                                      we applaud Manmohan Singh            thing to do. Whilst we undertake
by the Chinese leadership, who
                                      for taking on a tougher attitude     that task, it is important not to
are funneling the majority of the
                                      in pushing through economic          conveniently forget that successful
nation’s resources into economic
                                      reforms. It is certainly not easy,   economic reform is by no means
growth for the ultimate goal of
                                      especially with a population         the ultimate goal – there is much
improving the Chinese society.
                                      of 1.2 billion and the very real     more to be done to push India into
This step-by-step approach to
                                      worry of severe stagflation. But     the class of developed nations.
national advancement requires,
                                      going forward, adopting genuine
above all, time and patience.



                                                                                                Fall 2012    15
POLITICAL ECONOMY




Sino-Japan Islands Dispute:
                           A Potential Threat to Economies
Jiting Wang, Cornell University ‘16, College of Engineering


T     he recent territorial dispute
      between China and Japan
over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Is-
                                       tween China and Japan is hurt-
                                       ing the Japanese economy. Last
                                       month, large scaled anti-Japanese
                                                                                  affected by the recent anti-Jap-
                                                                                  anese sentiment. Japanese auto
                                                                                  brands have long taken a consid-
lands in the East China Sea has        protests broke out in several ma-          erable share of the Chinese auto
drawn the world’s attention to         jor Chinese cities, causing prop-          market because of their low prices
East Asia. Since the 1970s, both       erty damage and closure of many            in comparison to their European
countries have made bold sov-          Japanese-owned businesses. Ac-             and American competitors. How-
ereignty claims over the islands,      cording to Bloomberg, Fast Re-             ever, Toyota, Honda and Nissan
located equidistant from Taiwan        tailing has closed 42 of its Uniqlo        have recently reported decreasing
and Ryukyus. With Japan’s most         stores in China, and Aeon shut             numbers of dealerships in some
recent attempt to “buy over the        30 of its 35 outlets in Guangdong          provinces and have consequent-
islands”, it was no surprise that a    and Shandong. Electronic man-              ly closed their plants in these re-
huge uproar was triggered across       ufacturers Panasonic and Sony              gions.
China. While most agree that an        shut down several of their pro-            	       Scholars and experts
imminent war is unlikely to break      duction plants in China as the             around the world are now voic-
out between the two Asian giants,      recent strikes have damaged their          ing concerns regarding the pos-
there have been concerns that the      facilities. The auto manufacturing         sible economic consequences of
Sino-Japan tension, if aggravated,     industry is another sector of the          the dispute between China and
could cause irrevocable damage         Japanese economy that is hugely            Japan. One widely debated ques-
to the already fragile global econ-
omy. Meanwhile, top Japanese
automakers including Toyota,
Honda and Mazda have already
seen a 2% drop in their car sales
in China because of the recent
boycott against Japanese prod-
ucts by the Chinese. As China’s
Vice Minister of Commerce Jiang
puts it, “the battle over the own-
ership of the island chain will
inevitably have a negative im-
pact on the Sino-Japan economic
ties,” it seems that the possibility
of a potential damage on the two
countries’ economies is real.
	         In the mean time, signs
                                        Two Japanese activists landed on an island at the centre of a bitter dispute with
are showing that the conflict be-       China on September 18.




16   Business Asia
tion is that whether the impact on    put themselves at a disadvantage      the implication on their econo-
two of the world’s largest econo-     on the global stage as their close    mies will be short-lived. Despite
mies will be destructive and long     rivals in Europe will take the        drawing wide international atten-
lasting. Assessing the current sit-   chance to catch up very soon. As      tion, the recent boycott that hap-
uation, I think the answer is no.     the Japanese car sales decreased      pened in China is more a reflec-
                                      in the past few months, Europe-       tion of public anger rather than
Severing Trade Hurts Both Na-         an automakers have quickly tak-       an attitude adopted by the state.
tions                                 en up larger shares of the Chinese    The impact of such movement
	        First of all, as China and   auto market. Based on market          driven by public sentiment is sel-
Japan are both obtaining mutu-        research conducted by the China       dom long lasting. Similar boy-
al benefits from their economic       Association of Automobile Man-        cotts have previously taken place
relationship, it is unlikely that     ufacturers, sales of car brands       in China in 2005, when disputes
either party will choose to hurt      from other foreign countries such     over the content in a Japanese his-
its opponent at its own expense.      as Germany, US, South Korea and       tory textbook led to a nationwide
With the global economy still in      France are up 25%, 19%, 12%, 4%       demonstration in China. Never-
gloom, China and Japan now rely       respectively in the same period. It   theless, China’s imports from Ja-
on each other for their economic      is logical to deduce that the same    pan surged over 15%, almost tri-


                                         One widely debated question is that
growths more than ever before.


                                         whether the impact on two of the world’s
Currently, China is Japan’s largest



                                         largest economies will be destructive and long
export market while Japan is Chi-
na’s largest importer. The value


                                         lasting.
of the bilateral trade between the
two countries amounts to $350
billion, accounting for almost 5%
of each country’s annual GDP.
Jeopardizing their economic ties,
especially given the current eco-     situation is likely to happen in   pling the previous growth rates.
nomic situation, is unsound for       other sectors of exports if China  Public sentiment will eventually
both countries. As demand in          and Japan decide to restrict trade calm down and commercial ac-
Europe drops due to the present       with each other.                   tivities between countries will ul-
debt crisis, China and Japan need                                        timately return to normal in the
each other to sustain their devel-    Limited Effect on the Economy end.
opment.                               	       As China and Japan are 	            Although the current
	        Furthermore, by sever-       not likely to really play out “the territorial dispute between Chi-
ing trades China and Japan will       economic card” on each other, na and Japan may not cause any
                                                                         serious threat on the countries’
                                                                         economies, the world is still wait-
                                                                         ing for leaders from both sides to
                                                                         come up with an agreement as
                                                                         soon as possible. With the Euro-
                                                                         pean debt crisis and the downfall
                                                                         of the global economy as a whole,
                                                                         the world needs the Asian pow-
                                                                         ers to help us out of the econom-
                                                                         ic quagmire the world is stuck in
                                                                         right now.




                                                                                                 Fall 2012    17
POLITICAL ECONOMY




Hu’s out, Xi’s In:
Tough Times Ahead
for Xi Jinping
By Zhi-Yen Low,
Cornell University ‘14, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences




18   Business Asia
T
        o echoing applause and ac-
        clamation in the Great Hall
        of the People, the world’s
second-largest economy was
handed over to seven dark-suit-
ed men upon a red carpet before
a 2200-strong crowd of delegates.
Now at the helm of China’s ruling
Communist Party and economic
reforms is Mr Xi Jinping, who will
head the new Politburo Standing
Committee, the nation’s peak deci-
sion-making body, for the next five
years. The moment inked a mile-
stone in the party’s history, being
only the second peaceful transi-
tion to take place since it came to
power more than fifty years ago.
	        The November 15th de-
cision announced that on top of
stepping down as the Communist
Party’s general secretary, Mr Hu
                                   reform are pressing him to reduce       down to them, despite a decade
Jintao would also be relinquish-
                                   the privileges of state-owned en-       long spurt of economic growth.
ing his role as the head of China’s
                                   terprises, which include meager         China has prospered greatly under
army in favor of Mr Xi. Despite
                                   interest rates on loans from state      Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao’s pursuit
holding China’s two most signifi-
                                   banks and government-directed           of prosperity, but the disparity be-
cant positions of power, ironically,
                                   investments. With the capital fire-     tween the rich and the poor has
it seems likely that Mr Xi may not
                                   power of government safes behind        dramatically widened under what
wield much in the way of control
                                   them, state-owned enterprises           some see as a paternalistic leader-
at all. His two predecessors, Mr
                                   dominate China’s economic land-         ship approach. Ordinary Chinese
Hu and Mr Jiang, still maintain a
                                   scape by taking over private com-       watch frustrated as the authori-
significant clout over the remain-
                                   panies that can no longer put up a      tarian governance fill the pockets
ing six members of the Politburo
                                   fight. As a result, the hard-earned     of the country’s party members,
committee. The selection process
                                   savings of citizens are being fun-      2.7 million millionaires, and 251
of China’s incoming leaders still
                                   nelled into a massively inefficient     billionaires, while 13 percent of
remains shrouded in mystery, but
                                   public sector. Extensive financial      China’s 1.3 billion population still
ultimately, it is Mr Xi that faces the
                                   reforms will be needed to cor-          lives on below $1.25 USD a day.
uprising of angry voices calling for
                                   rect these social inefficiencies for    Land should be given out to farm-
change from below.
                                   a more competitive playing field        ers in order to empower to boost
                                   among public and private sector         productivity.
Calls for Reform                   firms.                                  	        The issues surrounding
	      Deng Xiaoping first led 	           Land grabs by local offi-       wealth are especially sensitive
China on the path to prosperi-     cials are also fuelling discontent      now, due to the scandal and po-
ty when he ascended to power in among throngs of farmers and an            litical purge of former Chongqing
1978 with his vision for economic expanding middle class, who feel         party head and Politburo member,
reform. Today, Mr Xi’s term begins that too little of the country’s new-   Bo Xilai, who has been accused
in tumultuous times- advocates of found wealth has been trickling          of corruption, abuse of power,



                                                                                                 Fall 2012    19
and abetment in the cover-up of a of microblogs, blocking search          tainable growth, Mr Xi needs to
murder. More recently, media re-  terms, and monitoring users’ ac-        cope with these challenges he in-
ports put together by foreign and counts to bottle up public dissent.     herited from his predecessors.
Chinese journalists from public   Today, dissatisfaction and com-         China is no longer the same blaz-
sources suggest that the families plaints proliferate across the coun-    ing economic powerhouse it was
of Xi and Wen have amassed vast   try via China’s relatively new social   in the past- its stellar growth is
amounts of wealth, sparking a na- media pipelines. Reports and im-        starting to lose steam. Implement-
tional uproar. In his speech afterages are shared instantly. To cope      ing any broad changes to the po-
being appointed, Mr Xi only al-   with these public protests, party       litical system will require a very
luded very briefly to corruption as
                                  leaders have taken to respond-          bold leadership and strong back-
one of challenges that the countrying to public discourse without         ing from his Politburo Commit-
faces, apart from becoming “di-   the connotations that come with         tee members. For starters, Mr Xi
vorced from the people”. The latter
                                  traditional propaganda, in or-          should start loosening the Com-
challenge is certainly true, as mi-
                                  der to steer online conversations       munist Party’s vise-like grip on
croblogs, such as Sina Weibo, haveand opinions to safer waters. Zhu       the economy. Its state capitalism
been mushrooming across the na-   Huaxin, the managing editor of          model, at the heart of the Chinese
tion, spouting cynicism about the Online Public Sentiment journal,        economy, may have propelled the
government’s concerted propa-     asserts that each member of the         country to unprecedented growth
ganda surrounding the leadership  Communist Party understands             under Deng Xiaoping’s rule. How-
transition.                       the magnitude of consequences           ever, for China to continue thriv-
                                  that result from social change, yet     ing, Mr Xi needs to gain the sup-
“The Emperor Wears on official occasions, media only
                                  reports good news. “Ordinary
                                                                          port of his people, and to do that,
                                                                          he has to begin his own reforms
No Clothes”                       people like us all know the emper-      from the ground up.
	     In the past, Chinese gov- or is not wearing any clothes”.
ernment officials used censorship 	       Given the current unsus-




20   Business Asia
GENERAL BUSINESS




LOOKING BEYOND
CHINESE BORDERS
                                                                  KEN-JI LOW ‘14, COLLEGE OF ARTS
 A G.E.M. WITHIN SOUTHEAST ASIA                                   & SCIENCES, CORNELL UNIVERSITY

An Overview of the Southeast Asian                        Looking beyond China and into Its
Economy                                                   ‘Backyard’

S
      outheast Asia, with a population of 610 mil-        Slowing economic growth and inflationary pressures
      lion, makes up one of the fastest growing Global    in China have created difficulties for its policymakers.
      Emerging Markets (G.E.M.) today. The region is      Inflationary pressures in China’s real estate market
a collection of 10 countries - Malaysia, Singapore, In-   have resulted in the implementation of government
donesia, Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia, Thailand,        restraints. While there has been some success in re-
Laos, Myanmar and Brunei, 4 of which are among            ducing the rise in housing prices, China’s economy
the only 13 countries that have sustained economic        has begun to lose momentum. Its GDP growth had
growth of over 7% over the last 25 years (including       already slowed to 9.2% at the end of last year from
China and Brazil). This sustained economic growth         its double-digit growth of 10.1% in 2011, as exports
has raised countries like Malaysia from an agricul-       continued to slump amid weaker demand from both
tural and commodity-based low-income economy to           Europe and the US.
a successful middle-income economy.                       	       Rising local wages have also made it harder
	        Like many emerging economies, strong eco-        for Chinese exporters to compete with cheap labor
nomic performances have helped support advances           in other emerging economies. China’s continued fix-
in education, healthcare, infrastructure etc. Some        ations on control over some of its largest enterprises
countries have been very successful in translating        have received much criticism as strikes among work-
rapid economic growth into meaningful reductions          ers become increasingly common. It is a well known
in poverty. For example, in countries like Malay-         fact in economic theory that a state capitalist system
sia, economic growth has been accompanied by a            does little to encourage innovation. While govern-
near-eradication of hardcore poverty, which fell from     ment directed investments can be vital for research
6.9% in 1984 to 0.9% in 2010. In human development        and development, it is very difficult for state officials
terms, there are no countries in Southeast Asia where     to value assets and allocate resources efficiently. Con-
the development picture is as poor as that found in       stant support from the government will inevitably
Sub-Saharan Africa. All these collectively are strong     debilitate firms’ innovation.
indicators of growing political and economic stability    	       China’s current growth figures fell to 7.4%
within the region.                                        in the third quarter and are now at its lowest levels
                                                          since the beginning of 2009. Analysts have forecast-
                                                          ed slowing growth in China down to 7.7% this year


                                                                                                       Fall 2012      21
GENERAL BUSINESS




(from 8.2% in May). Furthermore, the risks to China     ture are already taking measures to strengthen do-
from Europe are large. Given China’s exposure to Eu-    mestic demand.
rope, its growth rate could experience an abrupt drop   	       The overall outlook for the region remains
if the Euro area experiences a sharp recession. The     largely positive. Economies like Indonesia are like-
channels of contagion would be felt mainly through      ly to lead the region’s growth to maintain its strong
trade with knock-on effects to domestic demand. It is   momentum owing to Indonesia’s high domestic de-
estimated that China’s growth would fall by 4%.         mand. Malaysia is also set to face robust growth pros-
	        China’s signs of economic slowdown and in-     pects in the medium term due to its positive start and
flationary pressure may work well in Southeast Asia’s   its government’s persistence of its Economic Trans-
favor. Investors have been turning towards the re-      formation Program (ETP).
gion, once dubbed as ‘China’s backyard’. Growth of
the 6 major Southeast Asian economies, Indonesia,       S.E.A. FOCUS: MALAYSIA’S ETP
Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet
Nam is projected to be about 5.6% through 2016,         AND INDONESIA’S MP3EI
which is a solid growth performance in comparison       	       Malaysia has achieved significant econom-
to other sluggish economies.                            ic progress since its independence in 1957. Amid a
	        Traditionally, the region has been heavily     constantly changing global economy, the Malaysian
reliant on external demand. However, we are likely      government has realized the need for a fundamental-
to see a change as the regional economy moves to-       ly new economic model in order to achieve its goal to
wards more balanced growth. The regional economy        become a high income nation by World Bank stan-
will rely more on domestic demand which should in-      dards. It founded the Economic Transformation Pro-
crease economic resilience to external shocks. Coun-    gram as an initiative to turn its economy into a high
tries like Indonesia and Philippines that are making    income economy by the year 2020. Consistent with
significant investments in transport and infrastruc-    the regions’ need to move towards balanced growth
                                                        and greater reliance on domestic demand, the ETP is


22   Business Asia
designed to focus on key growth engines which cap-       formation at every stage from the agriculture indus-
italize on some of Malaysia’s competitive advantages.    try to knowledge based and science based sectors.
The model will rely heavily on the private sector-led    Acceleration of economic growth will be driven by
growth. Successful implementation of the ETP will        all the nation’s components i.e. State Owned Enter-
see Malaysia’s economy undergo significant changes       prises, local, and foreign companies.
to resemble other developed nations.
	        The ETP has been regarded as a bold approach    EVALUATION
to grow the economy. The model will essentially be       	         While the outlook for the region appears to be
led by the private sector with the government pri-       very positive, investors should still be mindful of sev-
marily playing the role of facilitator. Approximately    eral factors. The economic disparities between each
92% of the funding will come from the private sector     country within Southeast Asia remain very wide,
with the public sector serving as a catalyst to spark    each with vastly different political structures, making
private sector participation. Progress of the ETP is     it difficult to integrate as a trading bloc. At this stage,
closely monitored by the Performance Management          it is still questionable whether the region can truly
Delivery Unit (PEMANDU), an agency under the             rival an economic powerhouse like China in terms
Prime Minister Department of Malaysia.                   of size and importance. However, government initia-
	        The Indonesian government is not far behind     tives like Malaysia’s ETP and Indonesia’s MP3EI sug-
with its MP3EI program. The central idea behind the      gest that potential growth within the Southeast Asian
MP3EI is to accelerate economic transformation and       region is imminent. With China’s stellar growth start-
expand growth to all regions as well as to ensure that   ing to dwindle, perhaps investors should begin to set
Indonesia is locally integrated and globally connect-    their sights further southeast of familiar Chinese ter-
ed. Additionally, innovation and technology are set      ritory.
to be developed in an effort to push economic trans-




                                                                                                     Fall 2012     23
GENERAL BUSINESS


 Ajay Kailas, Cornell University ‘13, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences




                                                       Cyberabad



I  ndia has been primarily recog-
   nized as a third world country
by various development indexes.
                                       ly, since it is located at the inter-
                                       section of North and South India,
                                       it has a host of different cultures
                                                                               	        Even the formerly qui-
                                                                               et Gachibowli district has been
                                                                               transformed entirely-Gachibowli
However, for the past few decades      and food, with Hyderabadi Biry-         is now a central business district
India has been trying to change        ani being one of the most famous        as it is home to ICICI’s headquar-
this label and has been developing     dishes in the city. Hyderabad has       ters (the country’s largest office
at an alarming rate. Greater focus     many places of interest such as         building), UBS, Bank of Ameri-
on infrastructure and proper uti-      Chowmahalla Palace, Charminar,          ca, and Wells Fargo. Rent in the
lization of the country’s educated     museums, gorgeous malls, and            area used to be 25-30 rupees per
labor force has helped steer the       multiples galleries.                    square foot. Now, current residen-
country in the right direction. No-    	       It was during the 2000s         tial prices have reached as high as
ticing this drive, many large infor-   when Hyderabad underwent a              3000-4000 rupees per square foot.
mation technology firms such as        drastic change: the Information
have made their way to heart of a      Technology revolution. Countless        Above: the Buddha Monolith stands in
few Indian cities.                     companies streamed in to set up         the center of Hussain Sagar, the city lake.
	       One example of such a          their operations in the city. Names
city is Hyderabad--the capital of      such as Microsoft, Oracle, Yahoo!,      Below: Hyderabad Information Tech-
the state of Andhra Pradesh. Hy-       Dell, and IBM have established          nology Engineering Consultancy City in
derabad is a sprawling area which      call centers, business processing       Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India.
houses 6.8 million people, making      outsourcing firms, and central
it India’s 4th most populous city.     corporations. By providing stable
Hyderabad is a major hub for ed-       jobs for the highly educated pop-
ucation as it is home to thirteen      ulation, the economy received a
universities and business schools.     large amount of revenue which
Furthermore, it is home to the         helped turn Hyderabad into a
Telugu film industry, colloquially     major bustling service sector that
known as Tollywood. Additional-        packs quite an economic punch.


24   Business Asia
This change has been one of the       panies operating out of this area.     abad one of the best cities to work
quickest the region has ever seen     The IT/ITES corporates combined        with, proving that Indians have
before.	                              with better infrastructure, excel-     what it takes to meet the demands
	        Hyderabad has undergone      lent connectivity to the remaining     of the Western world. During the
a 48% increase in the price for of-   parts of the city, express access to   2008-2009 year, the IT exports
fice space rental. There is a large   the airport, reputed schools in the    surmounted to 4.7 billion dollars.
increase and demand because           vicinity, network of hospitals, en-    These numbers have been project-
businesses are booming and try-       tertainment zones has made this        ed by statistical experts to increase
ing to get as much space as they      location a hot spot for investment,”   each and every year by as much as
can. In Gachibowli, prices range      chimes Pochendar Shenigarapu a         3-5%. The development of a town-
around 3500 rupees per square         CEO of a business in the area.         ship called HITEC has helped
foot per month. This is an incred-    	       It is evident that the IT      build new relationships that have
ible increase from the 35 rupees it   transformation has shocked all of      brought even more companies to
cost a few years ago.                 Hyderabad and revolutionized the       the area, like Facebook. It is no
	        “Gachibowli, in turn, Hy-    city by catapulting it into a strong   wonder Hyderabad is referred to
derabad has been put on the global    place in the world economy. The        as the Silicon Valley of India.
map because of the IT/ ITES com-      World Bank Group rated Hyder-




	       “The World Bank Group rated
     Hyderabad one of the best cities
    to work with, proving that Indians
      have what it takes to meet the
     demands of the Western world.”




                                                                                                    Fall 2012    25
1961 JAGUAR E-TYPE


BY: ADVAI PATHAK

CORNELL UNIVERSITY ‘15, INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS




 REVIVAL OF THE BIG CAT
 “Tata’s purchase of Jag-
 uar is just one example    D     escribed at its launch by Enzo Ferrari as “the most beautiful car
                                  ever made”, the 1961 Jaguar E-type is widely acknowledged to
                            this day as Jaguar’s greatest creation. 51 years later, the iconic British
 of a growing number        brand has finally released a successor, the 2013 F-type. The release of
 of cross-border M&A        this long anticipated follow up epitomizes Jaguar’s current revival and
 deals involving com-       serves as a major coup for Tata Motors who were chastised globally fol-
 panies from the devel-     lowing their acquisition of Jaguar Land Rover in 2008. Tata’s purchase
 oping world acquiring      of Jaguar is just one example of a growing number of cross-border
                            M&A deals involving companies from the developing world acquir-
 established western
                            ing established western brands. Despite the initial fears of knowledge
 brands.
                       “    and technology drain (which ultimately proved entirely unfounded),



26   Business Asia
Ratan Tata’s plan was
                                                                                 ludicrously simple and
                                                                                 remains so.”


the immense success of Jaguar            ny record. This represents a major     from British Business Secretary,
under Tata’s ownership suggests          turnaround for a company that          Lord Mandelson, and in spite of
this trend is mutually beneficial to     never once earned an operating         widespread criticism that he had
both foreign and domestic brands         profit in its 19 years under Ford      overcommitted to a dying brand,
and that, certain variables permit-      ownership. Tata should, and has        Tata raised half a million pounds
ting, it is one that is set to contin-   been, lauded as the main driver        of commercial finance to maintain
ue.                                      of this success. Calamity struck       production facilities and poured
	        Lumped with another             directly after the deal for JLR was    £1 billion of Tata’s cash into JLR’s
marquee British brand, Land Rov-         concluded in the wake of the 2008      R&D. In the wake of a drastic and
er, and packed together for a rel-       financial crisis. Ratan Tata, chair-   global drop in demand for luxury
atively paltry $2.8 billion, Jaguar      man of the Tata Group, was forced      vehicles, it seemed a suicidal gam-
is estimated today to be worth           to seek financial assistance from      ble.
around $14 billion. Its last annu-       the British government to keep         	       Yet Ratan Tata’s plan was
al report stated Jaguar Land Rov-        the brand afloat and maintain its      ludicrously simple and remains
er earned £1.51 billion profit on        three British factories. After re-     so. He is much admired for build-
£13.5 billion of revenue, a compa-       jecting a condition-laden proposal     ing and exploiting brands as val-
GENERAL BUSINESS

       ue. Aware of the brand value of           automaker Chery Intl will open
       JLR, a factor he described as “ir-        JLR’s first production plant in
       resistible”, and of the quality of        the Chinese mainland, helping to
       employees he would gain, from             cope with the excessive domestic
       high-value factory workers in             Chinese market.
       its British plants to senior work-        	        That the new Jaguar
       ers like famed Head of Design             F-type will be the first model re-
       Ian McCallum, Tata has made               leased by Jaguar to be conceived
       few changes in JLR’s corporate            and designed entirely under Tata
       structure. His only major ap-             ownership makes it extremely
       pointments have been Carl-Peter           significant. In 2011, Tata Motors
       Forster, the former boss of GM            pledged £5 billion over the course
       Europe, as Tata Motors’ CEO, and          of 5 years to Jaguar for R&D in an
       Ralf Speth, formerly of BMW, as           attempt to bridge the chasm be-
       JLR’s chief executive. Tata Motors        tween itself and the German lux-
       has therefore successfully trod a         ury trio of BMW, Mercedes-Benz,
       thin line between publicizing its         and Audi. Up till now Tata Motors’
       association with JLR for prestige         share prices have risen 80%, mak-
       purposes and avoiding encroach-           ing it the top-performing stock of
       ing upon Jaguar or Land Rover’s           any global automaker. Now, as the
       established brand image.                  excitement of major investment
       	        Maintaining the quintes-         and well-received new mod-
       sential “Britishness” of the two          els settles, investors are waiting
       brands has been of primary im-            for clear indicators of long-term
       portance - all three production           growth and stable development.
       centers in England have contin-           Showcased in September 2011 as
       ued to run and Jaguar has actually        the prototype CX-16, the F-type
       managed to increase its workforce,        represents the first of what Tata
       in spite of the current economic          hopes will be a number of excit-
       malaise, to a total of 23,000. This       ing and ground-breaking new
       is a statistic that is likely to please   products.
                                                                                       Jaguar will position the F-type in
       the British government. Projects          	        The augmentation of Jag-
                                                                                       competition with currently pop-
       that were indefinitely postponed          uar’s fleet of vehicles will be the
                                                                                       ular and powerful brands like
       under Ford due to cash restric-           most crucial step in attempting
                                                                                       Porsche, Maserati, and Aston
       tions have finally seen the light         to seize market share from their
                                                                                       Martin. Given that Jaguar already
       of day. Both the Jaguar XF and XJ         German rivals. As speculators
Nam saloons as well as the Land Rov-             press for a lower-market car to
                                                                                       has a well-performing sports GT
                                                                                       in the XK, it does not represent a
ut     er Evoque have been met with an           compete with the popular BMW
                                                                                       diversification in its range either.
       enormously positive reception             3-series, Jaguar seems, initially,
                                                                                       However, Ratan Tata has made no
massa from both critics and consumers            to have taken a step in the wrong
                                                                                       secret of his desire for Jaguar to
       alike. Most importantly, Tata has         direction. The release of the
turp- sought to project the JLR brand            F-type, an expensive two-seat-
                                                                                       recreate its sporty image in keep-
                                                                                       ing with the era of the E-type. This
is, ac into growing markets like China           er sports coupe, is not going to
                                                                                       release is widely acknowledged
       and Russia and this more than             boost Jaguar’s bottom line fig-
                                                                                       to be an attempt to embellish
blan- anything has explained the enor-           ures. The market for sports cars
                                                                                       Jaguar’s range as a whole with a
       mous growth in sales. A recently          is about 0.1% of global car sales
dit    concluded tie-up with Chinese             and it is enormously competitive.
                                                                                       sportier feel, overturning current
                                                                                       beliefs that it is geared towards
justo.
       28    Business Asia
eign direct investment in the de-      in workforce cuts at all levels.
                                     veloped west by the third world.       	        Public perception of these
                                     The reasons for this are varied.       deals is mixed. Most westerners
                                     For one, most developed coun-          fear losing their biggest assets
                                     tries are running current account      to foreigners that might seek to
                                     deficits, whereas many develop-        move production away from the
                                     ing economies have surpluses.          home country, draining knowl-
                                     Cross border investment is just        edge and technology while allow-
                                     one method of utilizing these vast     ing the purchaser to add jobs in
                                     sums of money. The fact that the       its own domestic economy. There
                                     three nations with the most M&A        is almost certainly also an un-
                                     activity in the developed world        derlying fear of anti-colonialism
                                     are China, United Arab Emirates,       that the emerging market media
                                     and Singapore correlates with this     has gleefully exploited. Ratan
                                     logic. Just like firms from the rich   Tata himself has acknowledged
                                     world, foreign MNC’s like Tata         the value of increasing national
                                     are seeking to continue growth         prestige with these cross-border
                                     through access to new markets          acquisitions. Despite his enor-
                                     and production techniques. Un-         mous outlay and the subsequent
                                     like American corporations that        disappointment of Corus, he pos-
                                     seek a more ‘organic’ method           its that losing that bid would have
                                     of accessing local market share        left India disappointed as a whole.
                                     through establishment of lo-           Despite these undercurrents of
                                     cal factories and offices, MNC’s       distrust, the British Government
                                     from abroad prefer acquiring           too has been very grateful and
                                     well-known western companies.          supportive of Tata’s involvement.
                                     This offers the quickest method        Jaguar has added over 8,000 jobs
                                     of gaining a foothold in a foreign     to its British workforce and is
                                     market, exploitation of the ac-        considering opening a new en-
                                     quired brand, and other benefits       gine factory at a time when most
                                     like technology sharing. Western       other industries are struggling.
an older generation. The Tata
                                     firms also usually benefit from        The harmony between Indian
Group is renowned as a company
                                     increased investment that they         finance and British engineer-
for taking a long-term view of its
                                     might otherwise have lacked un-        ing that Ratan Tata has been so
investments. With deep pockets
                                     der a frugal western boardroom,        careful to create and nurture has
and one of the best management
                                     as Jaguar did. The biggest issue       proved bountiful and could well
teams in the world, it is prepared
                                     for emerging market companies          prove a successful model for fu-
to help Jaguar surpass its 1960’s
                                     is that they often pay excessive       ture cross-border M&A’s.	
zenith and establish itself as a
                                     sums for western firms (a premi-
major global automaker. To this
                                     um for market entry) - Tata Steel’s
end, a smaller saloon car and a
                                     purchase of Anglo-Dutch giant,
crossover are currently in design
                                     Corus, is an example in which
to widen Jaguar’s appeal and are
                                     emerging market FDI has thus
expected to be unveiled later this
                                     far proved unsuccessful. Corus,
decade.
                                     now known as Tata Steel Europe,
	       In attaining Jaguar, Tata
                                     has seen profits drop substantially
has continued a recently bur-
                                     and it has been forced to engage
geoning trend of strategic for-


                                                                                                    Fall 2012     29
Super-Sized
China: T                       he modern fast food industry in China began to
                               take off in the 1990s, some twenty years after the

Burgeoning Chinese        country’s reforms and opening up in 1978. The cur-
                          rent lifestyles of white and blue collar workers de-

Fast Food Industry        mand not only cost effective and on-the-go foods,
                          but also the luxury of choosing from a wide variety
                          of cuisines. Although China’s food service indus-
                          try is roughly half the size of the U.S. market, it has
Kevin Hua                 experienced tremendous growth over the new mil-
                          lennium. The industry is estimated to be about $300
Cornell University ‘15,   billion in 2009 by economist estimates and is expect-
College of Engineering    ed to grow 12% a year to over $500 billion by 2014.
                          	       Although two fast food giants, KFC and Mc-
                          Donald’s, dominate the western fast food market in
                                  China, 70% of the overall fast food market
                                      share is still occupied by Chinese fast food
                                        enterprises. KFC and McDonald’s at-
                                          tempt to assimilate to the local culture
                                           and cater to Chinese taste buds with
                                             traditional dishes; KFC includes thou-
                                             sand year egg with pork congee in its
                                             morning menu and McDonald’s has a
                                             dim sum menu. On the other hand, the
                                            local fast food chain scene usually has
                                           a repertoire of dim sum, steamed buns,
                                         Cantonese barbecued food, and various
                                        meat dishes with rice. According to a KFC
                                              Consumer survey, up to 44% of Chi-
                                                    nese consumers plan to spend
                                                         more on fast food rather
                                                           than traditional restau-
                                                            rants due to their added
                                                            convenience, taste, and
                                                            cost.
                                                            		       C onsumers’
                                                            steady move towards
                                                            higher calorie diets and
                                                            excess consumption of
                                                             sugar, salt, and fats cor-
LIFESTYLE

relate with increasing risks of obe-
sity and other health conditions.
A study led by researcher Janet
Currie in 2009 found correla-
tion between a fast food restau-
rant within 0.1 miles of a school
and the probability of obesity in-
creasing by 5%. Interestingly, the
number of restaurants within 0.1
miles of a school does not affect
the probability of obesity. The re-
sults of the study are significant
enough to suggest that fast food
establishments such as KFC and
McDonald’s as well as new ur-
banization where people migrate
from the countryside to the city,
together contribute to the China’s
growing obesity rate. The mass
industrialization efforts in Chi-
na after 1978 spurred a need for
young workers and brought many
people from the rural countryside
closer to the city. In only two de-
cades, the urban population of the
total population rose from 25% to
50% in 2011. In Beijing, which
has one of the highest fast food
chain densities per capita, 27.8%      cuisine that is familiar to Ameri-   major contribution to the obesity
of children are heavier than stan-     can taste buds, such as hamburg-     rate in metropolitan cities in Chi-
dard weight guidelines set by the      ers, fries, fried chicken, and ice   na.
Chinese Health Ministry. Official      cream. Furthermore, the U.S. has     	       How is this different from
Chinese government statistics es-      had a fairly long history of using   the lifestyle and diet choices in
timate that more than 100 million      automobiles and mass transport       the U.S? China’s booming econo-
people were obese in 2011, a five      systems which both reduce the        my and never-before experienced
fold increase from 2005.               necessary daily exercise from        massive spending power allows
                                       walking. Not long ago in Chi-        consumers to buy fried foods,
                                       na, the streets of big cities were   western hamburgers, snacks,
Catching Up with the Unit-             streaming with cyclists and pe-      take outs, and many other cal-
ed States?                             destrians. However, more people      orie-dense foods. Major metro-
	       Although it is tempting to     now have access to the luxury of     politan areas in China have also
compare the trend between fast         taxis, cars, and motorbikes. Only    recently adopted mass transit
food and obesity in China to that      in the past recent decades has       systems with increased automo-
of the U.S, PBS journalist Ray Su-     work in China has shifted from a     bile sales, completion of subway
arez asserts that obesity problems     manual labor economy to a ser-       and train systems, and mass bus
and their solutions are unique         vice and institution-based one. A    transit systems. All of these new
to both countries. The fast food       majority of people are employed      changes contribute to a terrify-
menus in the United States offer       in sedentary work in the office—a    ing reality: an increasing obesity


                                                                                                 Fall 2012    31
months. The Chinese government
                                                                               finds these methods promising
                                                                               and is collecting more data such as
                                                                               weight, height, and waistline mea-
                                                                               surements from patients undergo-
                                                                               ing current weight loss treatment.
                                                                               Furthermore, private and public
                                                                               fat camps are available for teen-
                                                                               agers and young adults in China,
                                                                               where they are sent for months at
                                                                               a time to a recreational center to
                                                                               exercise and follow a proper diet.
                                                                               They lift weights and do aerobics
                                                                               for months, as well as train and eat
                                                                               like an athlete to lose weight.

rate at 30 to 50 percent annually.      come more readily available on
This is very different from the U.S’s   the table. Weight Watchers China
slow adaptation to an obesity-con-      director Shan Jin suggested that
tributing environment. The large        Chinese meals should adopt more
influx of calories and low amounts      of a Western style, with one plate
of physical exercise in the Chinese     per person portioned out to pre-
population are recent and fast,         vent overeating, and with smaller
requiring more immediate regu-          portions for individuals on a diet.
lations and changes to tackle the       With a communal eating habit
problem.                                where everyone shares from dish-
	        Another major factor           es in the middle, it is much easier
that makes china’s obesity prob-        for individuals to overeat.
lem unique is the cultural factor.
Over the past century, China has        Slimming Solutions
suffered from droughts and polit-       	         Given how quickly the
ical overturns that led to periodic     obesity epidemic has infected
famines. But with modern living         China’s population young and old,      	       Though China has no sig-
conditions people can afford more       controlling obesity for health ben-    nificant regulation that cuts down
food and eat more generously.           efits is a major issue at hand. Some   on calorie-dense fast food con-
Children in China have a unique         of the current remedies for fight-     sumption or manufacturing, the
case of a “six-pocket syndrome”-        ing obesity are prescribing tra-       government is launching cam-
they do not have siblings and were      ditional Chinese medicine, such        paigns in high schools aimed at
born at the very beginning of the       as “huang quin” (Baical skullcap       raising awareness about health
one-child policy. Therefore they        root) and “shanzha” (hawthorn          risks associated with obesity.
have two parents and four grand-        fruit) to reduce patients’ weight      Though drugs, treatments, and
parents who have nothing really to      and fat buildup. Other methods         raising awareness may be effec-
spend on besides that single child.     include acupuncture and medi-          tive in controlling obesity, it still
Furthermore, it is a common prac-       tation. Chinese researchers claim      requires a big part of every indi-
tice in Chinese culture that most       that treatments can result in          vidual’s self discipline in order to
meals are shared from dishes in         weight loss of more than 5.8 ki-       achieve their desired goals of los-
the middle of the table. Over the       lograms over the course of four        ing weight.
past decade, more food has be-


32   Business Asia
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7
Business Asia Journal Issue 7

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Business Asia Journal Issue 7

  • 1. BUSINESS ASIA ISSUE NO.7, Fall 2012 ASIA In Reform
  • 2. THE BAJ TEAM EXECUTIVE BOARD EDITORIAL Editor-in-Chief Zhi-Yen Low Erica Boorstein Director of Design Yanbin Feng Jonathan Dawson Co-Presidents Jill Seong Kevin Hua Stella Zhang Denis Hurley Director of Marketing Mingxia Zhu Ajay Kailas Director of Finance Madeline Culkin Mingming Koh Ken-Ji Low University of Indonesia Maria Marcia DESIGN ASSOCIATES Advai Pathak An-Chi Dai Jiting Wang Arthur Teng Cover Photo Source: CONTACT US: http://www.catholicbridge.com/ BusinessAsia.Journal@gmail.com http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/ www.cubusinessasia.com 2 Business Asia
  • 3. EDITOR’S LETTER 2 012 has been a year brimming with uncertainty- with European leaders struggling with mounting national debt, the recent U.S. Presidential Elections, and China’s leadership transition. Our previous issue welcomed the Year of the Dragon, bearing bright hopes and expectations for the future of Asian economies. Today, the seventh issue of the Business Asia Journal welcomes the new leaders that aspire to guide us there. These are challenging times to be a leader. The growth of powerhouse economies China and India is beginning to falter, exposing deep structural fault lines within their governments. For all their newfound wealth, these economic giants are now experiencing acute growing pains. Our writers touch on current reform efforts in India, and the effects of technological development in Indian cities. China grew at breakneck speed for a decade, but growing dissent and an urgent need for financial reforms threatens future stability. China partly owes its economic decline to its One Child Policy-inflicted demographic imbalances and rapidly aging populace. The burgeoning Chinese fast- food industry is set to perpetrate widespread socio-cultural changes and increased obesity rates throughout the country, whereas the recent Sino-Japan territorial dispute has also cast dark clouds over an already fragile global economy. The future is not all gloomy, however. Our writers point to South East Asia as an alternative investment destination, with Indonesia leading the region’s growth with its high domestic demand. Also of huge growth potential is the field of microinsurance in Asia, of which large regions still remain untapped. Both of these articles highlight the potential to translate economic growth into the alleviation of poverty. Additionally, Tata Motors’ acquisition of Jaguar continues the trend of strategic direct We would like to investment in the developed west by emerging third world markets. thank the following Western fashion capitals are looking eastward, with influential Asian designers taking center stage at major global fashion weeks. Developed sponsors for their countries now face a changing landscape in their smartphone markets generous support: due to the recent onslaught of intellectual property battles. Business Asia has matured as a publication since its inception four years ago. I would like to express my deep gratitude to the Editorial, Design and Marketing teams for investing so much time and effort in the production of this publication. Also, a very special thank you goes to our former Editor-in-Chief, Yun Qi Mok, for all of her dedication, mentorship, and for believing in me. Finally, thank you to you, dear readers, for your continued support. We value your opinion greatly, and would like to hear your thoughts. If you have any comments, suggestions, or would like to contribute to future issues of our magazine, please contact us at BusinessAsia.Journal@gmail.com. Sincerely, Zhi-Yen Low Editor-in-Chief Fall 2012 3
  • 4. TABLE OF CONTENTS India: Going Forward 12 2 The BAJ Team in Reform 3 Editor’s Letter POLITICAL ECONOMY 6 The Microinsurance Revolution by Maria Marcia Tj. A brief history and education 18 on the field of micro finance and Hu’s out, Xi’s In: its significant role in reducing poverty Times Ahead for Xi Jinping 9 A Case for Structural Reform by Advai Pathak China’s demographic imbalances and rapidly aging population has serious repercussions for its economic growth 12 India: Going Forward in Reform by Mingming Koh An overview of the Indian Congress Party’s proposed 9 economic reforms A Case 16 Sino-Japan Islands Dispute: A Potential Threat to Economies for by Jiting Wang Territorial conflict over the Structural Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands creates protests and friction between Reform China & Japan 4 Business Asia
  • 5. TABLE OF CONTENTS 18 Hu’s out, Xi’s In: Tough Times Ahead for Xi Jinping 33 Asian Designers are the Future of Fashion by Zhi-Yen Low by Erica Boorstein As newly anointed chief of China’s Western fashion capitals looking Communist Party, Xi Jinping has tough eastward for up and coming Asian reform challenges ahead designers GENERAL BUSINESS TECHNOLOGY 21 Looking Beyond Chinese 35 iLitigate by Denis Hurley Borders: A G.E.M. Within Samsung, Apple, and the Southeast Asia Wave of IP Suits Changing the by Ken-Ji Low Smartphone Market Landscape Exploring South East Asia as an alternative strategic investment destination INTERVIEW 24 Cyberabad by Ajay Kailas 38 Interview with Sean Hu by Stella Zhang An inside look into the growth and Sitting down with Sean Hu, Managing flourishing of India’s Silicon Valley Partner of Bionest Partners to hear his insights on U.S. healthcare consulting 26 Revival of the Big Cat by Advai Pathak Exploring cross-border M&A’s through Tata Motor’s acquisition of Jaguar LIFESTYLE 30 Super-Sized China: Burgeoning Chinese Fast Food Industry by Kevin Hua Socio-cultural changes and the growing fast-food industry are major contributors to Chinese obesity rates Fall 2012 5
  • 6. POLITICAL ECONOMY The Microinsurance by Maria Marcia Tj. | University of Indonesia Revolution I magine this. You’re a farmer in Rajasthan, a northern Indian state near the Thar desert. You We all have heard the term What is microinsurance? microfinance – especially after ance serves as a safety net. With microinsurance, they don’t have to worry about falling into abject have been taught a new technique Muhammad Yunus and Grameen poverty when they try new tech- of irrigation that can conserve wa- Bank received Nobel Peace Prize niques to increase their income. ter and boost crop yield. Would you in 2006 for their efforts to cre- The International Asso- implement the new technique? ate economic and social develop- ciation of Insurance Supervisors As an undergraduate busi- ment by pioneering microfinance (IAIS) defines microinsurance as ness school student, I thought in India. Lasting peace can be “protection of low income people the answer to be simple and log- achieved through the eradication against specific perils in exchange ical: Yes –since increased yield of poverty and microfinance is for regular premium payments would also mean increased in- one of the many ways to do that. proportionate to the likelihood come. On the other hand, that For the Rajasthan farm- and the cost of the risk involved.” may not be the logical answer ers, microfinance is a helping The main challenge here for low income individuals. Why? hand for them to buy new seeds is low income individuals. How Farmers are risk averse – crop or equipment. But what about do we sell insurance to someone failures for them would mean the crop failures? This is where who has never heard of the con- a disaster that could push their microinsurance comes in. For the cept? How do we convince them families into abject poverty. Rajasthan farmers, microinsur- to pay for something they cannot 6 Business Asia
  • 7. see, touch, or feel? More impor- claims handling processes that in the world, cover 80% of the tantly, how do we make money can prevent misunderstandings. global microinsurance market, out of policies with the premi- sixty percent of which is in In- um at just a few dollars a year? dia. However, the growth of cov- Low income individuals do ered risk in Asia is not limited to The reach of microinsurance manage their risk. They save, re- Approximately 83% of these two countries. In The Phil- in areas of Asia duce expenses (sometimes even by withdrawing their children from school), borrow emergency cred- it from relative or money-lenders, Approximately 83% of people and sell whatever assets they have. l ­iving in Asia are classified as low These existing risk management practices work, but they make low i ­ncome, making Asia the center of income people very risk averse and thus, may halter development. m ­ icroinsurance development. Insurance is not high on their list of risk management artil- lery, but that may be because of the people living in Asia are classified ippines, 14.2 million low income underdeveloped state of insurance as low income1, making Asia the individuals have microinsurance. culture. Nevertheless, supplying center of microinsurance devel- Bangladesh and Pakistan are also something that is new and perhaps opment. In 2011, there were 350 showing significant growth, while not trusted requires investments to 400 million insurance holders Cambodia, Indonesia, and Sri Lan- in market education about wheth- covered in Asia.2 China and India, ka are beginning their journey. er such a product is necessary. the two most populous countries According to Microin- To make money out of mi- surance Compendium Report, croinsurance, simplicity is a must. there are several reasons why The small premiums and claims Asia is ahead on the microin- surance trend: large and dense 1 World Research Institute – The require low transaction costs for populations, interest from pub- Next Billion (2007) both the insured and the insur- ers. Low transaction costs means lic and private insurers, proper 2 Microinsurance Compendium, efficient products, policies, and distribution channels and active government support, for example Protecting the Poor Volume 2. through subsidies. The countries Published by ILO and Munich Re in Asia that offer the greatest im- Foundation (2012) mediate potential for microinsur- The World Economic Pyramid (2006) ance are India, Indonesia, China, The Philippines, and Vietnam. India has well-developed microfinance institutions, so mi- crofinance and microinsurance are often sold as a one package deal. In Indonesia, there are state restric- tions that impede market develop- ment for microinsurance, but pilot schemes are already underway. There is also potential for Takaful (Islamic) insurance in the country. Microtakaful, also called Sharia microinsurance, can increase the reach of insurance to low income groups, who may hesitate to buy conventional insurance out of re- Source: Thematic Research Highlights by Generation Investment Management, 2007 Fall 2012 7
  • 8. nels. These new products are helping microinsurance to reach Estimated Outreach of Microinsurance in the World more people than ever before. Microinsurance coverage is growing substantially over the years and the demand is too. To- tal demand is growing more than 10% every year, with premium increases outstripping those in developed markets. Commercial insurers have also seen the mas- sive opportunity of microinsur- ance and entered the low-income market, creating economies of scale. At least 33 of the 50 largest commercial insurance companies in the world now offer microin- surance, up from only seven in Source: Microinsurance Compendium, Protecting the poor Volume 2005. The MicroInsurance Centre 2. Published by ILO and Munich Re ligious considerations. China, like ance. In 2009, the number grew estimates there will be one bil- Indonesia, has state restrictions to 135 million people. As of this lion policyholders in the world by that may hinder the market devel- year, nearly 500 million people 2019. With the number currently opment of microinsurance – but are covered by microinsurance. at 500 million policyholders, that in the short term. In The Philip- Technology develop- number looks quite achievable. pines, there are concessions in ment is one of the factors that The goal of microinsur- place for microinsurance. Compa- support the growth of microin- ance is to end the poverty cycle, nies are also lobbying government surance. Cell-phone providers but it cannot possibly lift poverty to exempt microinsurance from and local minimarket chains, by itself. However, it is a valuable taxes. In Vietnam, income distri- despite being non-traditional, tool to break the cycle and the po- bution is weighted to the urban can be intermediaries for mi- tential growth of microinsurance poor rather than the rural poor. croinsurance, making it easy to business is massive. This may just For microinsurance to reach by low income individuals. be that one area of promising busi- grow, it needs to be tailored to Climate change, popula- ness to get into without having to the countries’ specific needs, tion growth, and rapid urbaniza- choose between charity and profit. situations, and opportunities. tions have the greatest impact on the lives of low income peo- ple, who have the least ability to adapt. These increased un- Potential Growth of In 2007, four billion peo- certainties have positive im- Microinsurance ple in the world are classified as pact on insurance culture in low income. They have combined developing countries, helping annual purchasing power of USD microinsurance market to grow. 5 trillion. They are eligible for mi- According to the Micro- croinsurance and severely under- insurance Compendium Report, served. According to Lloyds Mi- there have been many innovations croinsurance Report in 2009, 1.5 in the field of microinsurance billion of low income individuals over the past years. New prod- want and are able to pay; but are ucts covering a variety of risks without access to microinsurance. have been piloted and distribut- In 2007, there were 78 million ed to poor households through people covered by microinsur- an increasing diversity of chan- 8 Business Asia
  • 9. POLITICAL ECONOMY A CASE FOR CHINA’S UNSTOPPABLE STRUCTURAL REFORM ECONOMIC GROWTH Advai Pathak, Cornell University ‘15, School of Industrial and Labor Relations A merican hysteria regard- lem China must confront is its facing neighbouring BRIC India), ing her seemingly irre- rapidly changing demography. China’s demographic changes are versible decline seems to Introduced in 1979 under now having widespread secondary inevitably reach fever-pitch when Deng Xioaping after years of offi- effects. China is introduced into conver- cial policy waffling by the Chinese The population structure sation. China’s unstoppable eco- government, the One Child Poli- has drastically become extremely nomic growth over the past two cy has had significant and drastic top heavy as a result of the unnat- decades has led to almost univer- effects. It was instituted to steady ural and sudden changes in birth sal acceptance of its assured path China’s ballooning population in rates imposed by the One Child towards hegemonic status. Yet, un- an age of concern over its ability to Policy. Whereas the American derlying China’s sparkling growth effectively feed itself and has been fertility rate remains around 2.1 figures are significant structural estimated to have reduced China’s (considered an acceptable replace- issues that threaten its future suc- population by 300 million people ment rate to maintain a stable cess. Aside from its shocking level over its first two decades. Though population), China’s has dropped of state debt and the sheer number in general it has been considered to a national average of 1.56. At of political demonstrations na- successful (bearing in mind the this level, China’s babies are failing tionwide, the most serious prob- enormous population challenges to replace their parents, leading to Fall 2012 9
  • 10. POLITICAL ECONOMY a steady decline in population. By a comprehensive pension plan and 2060, China’s population is pro- the incomplete program currently jected to drop below 1 billion. in place has an unfunded liability The most obvious issue worth about 150% of its GDP al- China’s growth over raised by these statistics is that ready. In keeping with traditional China’s population is ageing and Confucian values of filial piety, the past half century is it is doing so at an unprecedented China’s younger generations will rate. Its current median age is 34.5, be expected to save and provide certainly remarkable. close to America’s 37 and that of for their elders but this will place How it manages that other wealthy countries in general. them under enormous pressure. However, because of their contrast- China’s youth is facing what has growth and whether ing fertility rates, China is ageing become known as the “4-2-1 Phe- much more rapidly than America. nomenon” - 4 grandparents and it is able to sustain By 2050, China’s median age will 2 parents being provided for by its growth will be the be 49 compared to America’s 40, a just a single worker. The level of level of demographic change that support afforded by the state in story of the next 50 is entirely unprecedented. An age- support of pensioners will rapid- ing population isn’t dangerous in ly become a very serious issue for years. and of itself. Many countries that young Chinese in years to come. es, currently appreciating between are currently in the post-industri- China’s second major con- 10-20%. Employers are finding al stage of demographic transition cern is that its workforce is pro- the labor market an increasingly also face the same issues. However, jected to shrink drastically over competitive arena and are being China’s issues arise from the fact the next half century. Having re- forced to respond to higher wage that it hasn’t the resources to sup- lied on mass urbanization to pro- demands. In addition, the gov- port its ageing population in the vide for its enormous labor force ernment has increased minimum same way that Germany and Japan over past decades, China will now wage restrictions but workers re- do. The biggest fear demographers have to deal with a decreasing re- main restless and discontented. have regarding China is that it will serve of able bodies to call upon. Labor strikes and violence have age before it has the wealth to sup- One consequence of this decreas- increased over the past decade as port its old. China currently lacks ing labor supply is increasing wag- workers have sought higher-pay- 10 Business Asia
  • 11. ing and less monotonous work. costs of labor, fierce competition conductors, will require an ex- The Chinese youth have far high- amongst employers, and the threat tremely high level of precision and er aspirations than their parents of a discontented workforce, ro- intelligence. They will also need did; jobs in the service industry botic production is an increas- to be flexible - the electronics in- are seen as far more desirable than ingly attractive option. Although dustry is constantly evolving and those in manufacturing. These the upfront costs of robots are changing. Unlike in car manufac- calls for progression to better, daunting to many Chinese man- ture, robots used in the electronics more advanced jobs will only in- ufacturers, their performance has industry will need to be as highly crease as social pressures to pro- been proven in Europe and the advanced as their creations. Chi- vide for ageing families continue Americas over the past decades na faces significant challenges if it to increase. and their initial capital outlaw is is to continue on its path towards With a future consisting of usually repaid within 3-5 years. economic hegemonic power. Im- fewer, better-paid workers, China Managers who have already ad- plementation of automated man- will need to provide an infrastruc- opted automated production are ufacturing across industries is one ture for greater productivity per now reaping the rewards. Auto- strategy that might prove fruitful. worker. This will come into con- mated plants need far fewer work- However, to effectively address its flict with its current growth model ers whose work is mostly to su- demographic concerns the gov- driven by low-wage manufacture, pervise the machines. By driving ernment will need to implement investment, and exports. Due to down labor costs so dramatically, strong national measures. One rising labor costs, outsourcing these factories have boosted prof- would be the loosening of the One manufacturing has already begun it margins spectacularly. By tak- Child Policy’s strict enforcement. shifting to lower cost countries ing on some of the more tedious Creating exemptions like allowing like Vietnam and Cambodia. Al- and unappealing tasks Chinese rural families a second child would though China has acknowledged workers have been complaining increase the national fertility rate that it seeks to shift towards an about, robots also certainly alle- by a reasonable margin. The gov- economy based on greater domes- viate some work-related pressure. ernment also needs to formulate a tic consumption, it is still far from Greater productivity afforded by plan to care for pensioners within attaining that goal. Average in- robotic manufacturing will also its budgetary means. To succeed, come per head remains far lower allow greater numbers of Chinese this plan will also have to take into than in developed countries and, to seek jobs in other pressing sec- consideration the future strain short of drastic wage increases, tors like nursing and healthcare. on a smaller workforce facing the this seems set to remain the case The main area of concern dual pressure of having to pro- for some time. that leads most analysts to favor vide for ageing parents while also As a result of these fac- the irreplaceability of the Chinese being encouraged by the national tors, Chinese manufacturers are worker is in the electronics indus- government to increase domestic beginning to seriously consider try, a key area of Chinese manu- consumption. China’s growth over automated manufacturing plants. facturing. Unlike industrial robots the past half century is certainly Employers are struggling to re- used in say, Detroit for automobile remarkable. How it manages that cruit workers and exports remain manufacture, those building and growth and whether it is able to slow in the current state of glob- assembling precise components of sustain its growth will be the story al economy. In the midst of rising cell phones, computers, and semi- of the next 50 years. Fall 2012 11
  • 12. Activists protest over a government decision to open up India’s retail market to foreign companies. India: Going Forw
  • 13. By Mingming Koh, Cornell University ‘15, College of Arts and Sciences T he myth of India’s seemingly inexhaustible economic potential has begun to wane. As the Indian economy faces its most severe slowdown, fear and uncertainty has abounded amongst foreign investors in India as well as within Indian corporations. Accustomed to an annual growth rate of 10%, today’s rate of 5% seems meager in comparison – even though 5% already represents an extremely impressive achievement, especially in present circumstances – and those with vested interests in the Indian economy are beginning to fear for their future prospects. Such sentiments have reverberated all the way to the upper echelons of the Indian political machine, as the Indian Congress Party revealed its latest – and most drastic – series of economic reforms aimed at hauling the Indian economy back on track. This set of reforms touch on previously taboo regions such as opening up the multi-brand retail sector to foreign investment, slashing diesel subsidies by a huge margin, and finally permitting foreigners to hold a stake in key Indian corporations and industries. Experts widely agree that such reform measures are long overdue, but anyone familiar with the economic history of the Indian growth machine should be familiar with the process of achieving reform in the world’s largest democratic system: reform is never considered – let alone carried out – until a crisis arises and the situation begs it. The boom of the Indian economy has allowed its policy makers to remain in a voluntary state of oblivion with regards to the loopholes within the economy. However, the current slowdown Source: latimes.com has forced India’s leaders out of their denial as the economy struggles to meet the huge expectations that have been thrust upon it. Unfortunately, not everyone agrees with the extent of the reform measures – some even question the fundamental need for reform. A key ally of the Indian Congress party, the Trinamool Congress headed by Sonia Gandhi, withdrew its support from the government in protest against the proposed reforms. Although this move does not threaten the power or stability of the Indian government, it highlights ward in Reform Fall 2012 13
  • 14. POLITICAL ECONOMY that plague the economy from within, India has been and still is embroiled in deep societal conflicts that continuously threaten to disrupt her economy. Racial and religious conflicts are still an extremely potent fault line within the Indian society, as evidenced by an exodus of tens of thousands of northeastern immigrants working in major cities. This exodus was sparked by an ongoing conflict between Muslims and the indigenous Bobo tribe in the northeastern state of Assam. This incident of mass hysteria only begins to underline the complicated and sensitive issue of ethnic tensions in Indian society. Up to this point, the Manmohan Singh, India’s Prime Minister and key advocate of reform Indian government has managed to suppress and quell – often only the existence of key forces within abruptly captured the full and temporarily and superficially – the Indian politics and society that panicked attention of the now such conflicts, but it has become oppose the much-needed reform. disillusioned government. increasingly difficult to forcefully Such opposition forces are far separate Indian society and from novel in the Indian political economy to avoid the negative arena. Previous attempts at Apart from structural spillover effects of an ethnically economic reforms have often been divided society. problems that plague compromised, and in some cases While the economic even completely derailed by forces the economy from reforms that have been proposed deeply interested in preserving within, India has been are certainly welcome, more the status quo. Manmohan Singh, and still is embroiled in needs to be done in order to India’s Prime Minister and key deep societal conflicts truly guarantee the continued advocate of economic reform, that continuously upsurge of the Indian economy. has often been criticized as weak- Fundamental and structural threaten to disrupt her willed and overly compromising. issues need to be resolved in As a result, his earlier attempts economy. order to clear the path for the at reform, though well-meaning, economy to reach its full potential. have had little success as he gave Fortunately, most of these larger way to said forces. This time, These reforms are certainly problems are concentrated however, it seems unlikely the promising and steer the Indian within the Indian society. Indian opposition forces are going to economy toward in a lauded politics have actually achieved get their way. Sonia Gandhi has direction. However, some are a remarkable level of modernity thrown the weight of the ruling doubtful of their effectiveness given its status as a developing party behind these economic in guaranteeing the continued country. As the world’s largest reforms as incontestable signs of growth of the Indian economy. democracy, the Indian political serious economic slowdown have Apart from structural problems system is believed by many to be 14 Business Asia
  • 15. capable of supporting a much more advanced and sophisticated economy. The giant head start of Indian politics on her economy is an important factor in the analysis of India’s economic potential, but India’s social problems constantly impede this gap from being bridged. Solving India’s social problems is a Herculean task and nobody expects a simple set of reform measures to become a panacea. Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi are definitely Solving India’s social problems is a Herculean task and nobody expects a simple set of reform measures to become a panacea. moving in the correct direction, with the correct understanding of the necessary chronological chain of policy events for improving India’s situation in general: reforming the economy first, then tackling wider social issues later with the enhanced resources A Walmart Retail store in India from stable economic growth. The validity and effectiveness of this At this point in time, economic reforms is the correct path has similarly been recognized we applaud Manmohan Singh thing to do. Whilst we undertake by the Chinese leadership, who for taking on a tougher attitude that task, it is important not to are funneling the majority of the in pushing through economic conveniently forget that successful nation’s resources into economic reforms. It is certainly not easy, economic reform is by no means growth for the ultimate goal of especially with a population the ultimate goal – there is much improving the Chinese society. of 1.2 billion and the very real more to be done to push India into This step-by-step approach to worry of severe stagflation. But the class of developed nations. national advancement requires, going forward, adopting genuine above all, time and patience. Fall 2012 15
  • 16. POLITICAL ECONOMY Sino-Japan Islands Dispute: A Potential Threat to Economies Jiting Wang, Cornell University ‘16, College of Engineering T he recent territorial dispute between China and Japan over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Is- tween China and Japan is hurt- ing the Japanese economy. Last month, large scaled anti-Japanese affected by the recent anti-Jap- anese sentiment. Japanese auto brands have long taken a consid- lands in the East China Sea has protests broke out in several ma- erable share of the Chinese auto drawn the world’s attention to jor Chinese cities, causing prop- market because of their low prices East Asia. Since the 1970s, both erty damage and closure of many in comparison to their European countries have made bold sov- Japanese-owned businesses. Ac- and American competitors. How- ereignty claims over the islands, cording to Bloomberg, Fast Re- ever, Toyota, Honda and Nissan located equidistant from Taiwan tailing has closed 42 of its Uniqlo have recently reported decreasing and Ryukyus. With Japan’s most stores in China, and Aeon shut numbers of dealerships in some recent attempt to “buy over the 30 of its 35 outlets in Guangdong provinces and have consequent- islands”, it was no surprise that a and Shandong. Electronic man- ly closed their plants in these re- huge uproar was triggered across ufacturers Panasonic and Sony gions. China. While most agree that an shut down several of their pro- Scholars and experts imminent war is unlikely to break duction plants in China as the around the world are now voic- out between the two Asian giants, recent strikes have damaged their ing concerns regarding the pos- there have been concerns that the facilities. The auto manufacturing sible economic consequences of Sino-Japan tension, if aggravated, industry is another sector of the the dispute between China and could cause irrevocable damage Japanese economy that is hugely Japan. One widely debated ques- to the already fragile global econ- omy. Meanwhile, top Japanese automakers including Toyota, Honda and Mazda have already seen a 2% drop in their car sales in China because of the recent boycott against Japanese prod- ucts by the Chinese. As China’s Vice Minister of Commerce Jiang puts it, “the battle over the own- ership of the island chain will inevitably have a negative im- pact on the Sino-Japan economic ties,” it seems that the possibility of a potential damage on the two countries’ economies is real. In the mean time, signs Two Japanese activists landed on an island at the centre of a bitter dispute with are showing that the conflict be- China on September 18. 16 Business Asia
  • 17. tion is that whether the impact on put themselves at a disadvantage the implication on their econo- two of the world’s largest econo- on the global stage as their close mies will be short-lived. Despite mies will be destructive and long rivals in Europe will take the drawing wide international atten- lasting. Assessing the current sit- chance to catch up very soon. As tion, the recent boycott that hap- uation, I think the answer is no. the Japanese car sales decreased pened in China is more a reflec- in the past few months, Europe- tion of public anger rather than Severing Trade Hurts Both Na- an automakers have quickly tak- an attitude adopted by the state. tions en up larger shares of the Chinese The impact of such movement First of all, as China and auto market. Based on market driven by public sentiment is sel- Japan are both obtaining mutu- research conducted by the China dom long lasting. Similar boy- al benefits from their economic Association of Automobile Man- cotts have previously taken place relationship, it is unlikely that ufacturers, sales of car brands in China in 2005, when disputes either party will choose to hurt from other foreign countries such over the content in a Japanese his- its opponent at its own expense. as Germany, US, South Korea and tory textbook led to a nationwide With the global economy still in France are up 25%, 19%, 12%, 4% demonstration in China. Never- gloom, China and Japan now rely respectively in the same period. It theless, China’s imports from Ja- on each other for their economic is logical to deduce that the same pan surged over 15%, almost tri- One widely debated question is that growths more than ever before. whether the impact on two of the world’s Currently, China is Japan’s largest largest economies will be destructive and long export market while Japan is Chi- na’s largest importer. The value lasting. of the bilateral trade between the two countries amounts to $350 billion, accounting for almost 5% of each country’s annual GDP. Jeopardizing their economic ties, especially given the current eco- situation is likely to happen in pling the previous growth rates. nomic situation, is unsound for other sectors of exports if China Public sentiment will eventually both countries. As demand in and Japan decide to restrict trade calm down and commercial ac- Europe drops due to the present with each other. tivities between countries will ul- debt crisis, China and Japan need timately return to normal in the each other to sustain their devel- Limited Effect on the Economy end. opment. As China and Japan are Although the current Furthermore, by sever- not likely to really play out “the territorial dispute between Chi- ing trades China and Japan will economic card” on each other, na and Japan may not cause any serious threat on the countries’ economies, the world is still wait- ing for leaders from both sides to come up with an agreement as soon as possible. With the Euro- pean debt crisis and the downfall of the global economy as a whole, the world needs the Asian pow- ers to help us out of the econom- ic quagmire the world is stuck in right now. Fall 2012 17
  • 18. POLITICAL ECONOMY Hu’s out, Xi’s In: Tough Times Ahead for Xi Jinping By Zhi-Yen Low, Cornell University ‘14, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences 18 Business Asia
  • 19. T o echoing applause and ac- clamation in the Great Hall of the People, the world’s second-largest economy was handed over to seven dark-suit- ed men upon a red carpet before a 2200-strong crowd of delegates. Now at the helm of China’s ruling Communist Party and economic reforms is Mr Xi Jinping, who will head the new Politburo Standing Committee, the nation’s peak deci- sion-making body, for the next five years. The moment inked a mile- stone in the party’s history, being only the second peaceful transi- tion to take place since it came to power more than fifty years ago. The November 15th de- cision announced that on top of stepping down as the Communist Party’s general secretary, Mr Hu reform are pressing him to reduce down to them, despite a decade Jintao would also be relinquish- the privileges of state-owned en- long spurt of economic growth. ing his role as the head of China’s terprises, which include meager China has prospered greatly under army in favor of Mr Xi. Despite interest rates on loans from state Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao’s pursuit holding China’s two most signifi- banks and government-directed of prosperity, but the disparity be- cant positions of power, ironically, investments. With the capital fire- tween the rich and the poor has it seems likely that Mr Xi may not power of government safes behind dramatically widened under what wield much in the way of control them, state-owned enterprises some see as a paternalistic leader- at all. His two predecessors, Mr dominate China’s economic land- ship approach. Ordinary Chinese Hu and Mr Jiang, still maintain a scape by taking over private com- watch frustrated as the authori- significant clout over the remain- panies that can no longer put up a tarian governance fill the pockets ing six members of the Politburo fight. As a result, the hard-earned of the country’s party members, committee. The selection process savings of citizens are being fun- 2.7 million millionaires, and 251 of China’s incoming leaders still nelled into a massively inefficient billionaires, while 13 percent of remains shrouded in mystery, but public sector. Extensive financial China’s 1.3 billion population still ultimately, it is Mr Xi that faces the reforms will be needed to cor- lives on below $1.25 USD a day. uprising of angry voices calling for rect these social inefficiencies for Land should be given out to farm- change from below. a more competitive playing field ers in order to empower to boost among public and private sector productivity. Calls for Reform firms. The issues surrounding Deng Xiaoping first led Land grabs by local offi- wealth are especially sensitive China on the path to prosperi- cials are also fuelling discontent now, due to the scandal and po- ty when he ascended to power in among throngs of farmers and an litical purge of former Chongqing 1978 with his vision for economic expanding middle class, who feel party head and Politburo member, reform. Today, Mr Xi’s term begins that too little of the country’s new- Bo Xilai, who has been accused in tumultuous times- advocates of found wealth has been trickling of corruption, abuse of power, Fall 2012 19
  • 20. and abetment in the cover-up of a of microblogs, blocking search tainable growth, Mr Xi needs to murder. More recently, media re- terms, and monitoring users’ ac- cope with these challenges he in- ports put together by foreign and counts to bottle up public dissent. herited from his predecessors. Chinese journalists from public Today, dissatisfaction and com- China is no longer the same blaz- sources suggest that the families plaints proliferate across the coun- ing economic powerhouse it was of Xi and Wen have amassed vast try via China’s relatively new social in the past- its stellar growth is amounts of wealth, sparking a na- media pipelines. Reports and im- starting to lose steam. Implement- tional uproar. In his speech afterages are shared instantly. To cope ing any broad changes to the po- being appointed, Mr Xi only al- with these public protests, party litical system will require a very luded very briefly to corruption as leaders have taken to respond- bold leadership and strong back- one of challenges that the countrying to public discourse without ing from his Politburo Commit- faces, apart from becoming “di- the connotations that come with tee members. For starters, Mr Xi vorced from the people”. The latter traditional propaganda, in or- should start loosening the Com- challenge is certainly true, as mi- der to steer online conversations munist Party’s vise-like grip on croblogs, such as Sina Weibo, haveand opinions to safer waters. Zhu the economy. Its state capitalism been mushrooming across the na- Huaxin, the managing editor of model, at the heart of the Chinese tion, spouting cynicism about the Online Public Sentiment journal, economy, may have propelled the government’s concerted propa- asserts that each member of the country to unprecedented growth ganda surrounding the leadership Communist Party understands under Deng Xiaoping’s rule. How- transition. the magnitude of consequences ever, for China to continue thriv- that result from social change, yet ing, Mr Xi needs to gain the sup- “The Emperor Wears on official occasions, media only reports good news. “Ordinary port of his people, and to do that, he has to begin his own reforms No Clothes” people like us all know the emper- from the ground up. In the past, Chinese gov- or is not wearing any clothes”. ernment officials used censorship Given the current unsus- 20 Business Asia
  • 21. GENERAL BUSINESS LOOKING BEYOND CHINESE BORDERS KEN-JI LOW ‘14, COLLEGE OF ARTS A G.E.M. WITHIN SOUTHEAST ASIA & SCIENCES, CORNELL UNIVERSITY An Overview of the Southeast Asian Looking beyond China and into Its Economy ‘Backyard’ S outheast Asia, with a population of 610 mil- Slowing economic growth and inflationary pressures lion, makes up one of the fastest growing Global in China have created difficulties for its policymakers. Emerging Markets (G.E.M.) today. The region is Inflationary pressures in China’s real estate market a collection of 10 countries - Malaysia, Singapore, In- have resulted in the implementation of government donesia, Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia, Thailand, restraints. While there has been some success in re- Laos, Myanmar and Brunei, 4 of which are among ducing the rise in housing prices, China’s economy the only 13 countries that have sustained economic has begun to lose momentum. Its GDP growth had growth of over 7% over the last 25 years (including already slowed to 9.2% at the end of last year from China and Brazil). This sustained economic growth its double-digit growth of 10.1% in 2011, as exports has raised countries like Malaysia from an agricul- continued to slump amid weaker demand from both tural and commodity-based low-income economy to Europe and the US. a successful middle-income economy. Rising local wages have also made it harder Like many emerging economies, strong eco- for Chinese exporters to compete with cheap labor nomic performances have helped support advances in other emerging economies. China’s continued fix- in education, healthcare, infrastructure etc. Some ations on control over some of its largest enterprises countries have been very successful in translating have received much criticism as strikes among work- rapid economic growth into meaningful reductions ers become increasingly common. It is a well known in poverty. For example, in countries like Malay- fact in economic theory that a state capitalist system sia, economic growth has been accompanied by a does little to encourage innovation. While govern- near-eradication of hardcore poverty, which fell from ment directed investments can be vital for research 6.9% in 1984 to 0.9% in 2010. In human development and development, it is very difficult for state officials terms, there are no countries in Southeast Asia where to value assets and allocate resources efficiently. Con- the development picture is as poor as that found in stant support from the government will inevitably Sub-Saharan Africa. All these collectively are strong debilitate firms’ innovation. indicators of growing political and economic stability China’s current growth figures fell to 7.4% within the region. in the third quarter and are now at its lowest levels since the beginning of 2009. Analysts have forecast- ed slowing growth in China down to 7.7% this year Fall 2012 21
  • 22. GENERAL BUSINESS (from 8.2% in May). Furthermore, the risks to China ture are already taking measures to strengthen do- from Europe are large. Given China’s exposure to Eu- mestic demand. rope, its growth rate could experience an abrupt drop The overall outlook for the region remains if the Euro area experiences a sharp recession. The largely positive. Economies like Indonesia are like- channels of contagion would be felt mainly through ly to lead the region’s growth to maintain its strong trade with knock-on effects to domestic demand. It is momentum owing to Indonesia’s high domestic de- estimated that China’s growth would fall by 4%. mand. Malaysia is also set to face robust growth pros- China’s signs of economic slowdown and in- pects in the medium term due to its positive start and flationary pressure may work well in Southeast Asia’s its government’s persistence of its Economic Trans- favor. Investors have been turning towards the re- formation Program (ETP). gion, once dubbed as ‘China’s backyard’. Growth of the 6 major Southeast Asian economies, Indonesia, S.E.A. FOCUS: MALAYSIA’S ETP Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam is projected to be about 5.6% through 2016, AND INDONESIA’S MP3EI which is a solid growth performance in comparison Malaysia has achieved significant econom- to other sluggish economies. ic progress since its independence in 1957. Amid a Traditionally, the region has been heavily constantly changing global economy, the Malaysian reliant on external demand. However, we are likely government has realized the need for a fundamental- to see a change as the regional economy moves to- ly new economic model in order to achieve its goal to wards more balanced growth. The regional economy become a high income nation by World Bank stan- will rely more on domestic demand which should in- dards. It founded the Economic Transformation Pro- crease economic resilience to external shocks. Coun- gram as an initiative to turn its economy into a high tries like Indonesia and Philippines that are making income economy by the year 2020. Consistent with significant investments in transport and infrastruc- the regions’ need to move towards balanced growth and greater reliance on domestic demand, the ETP is 22 Business Asia
  • 23. designed to focus on key growth engines which cap- formation at every stage from the agriculture indus- italize on some of Malaysia’s competitive advantages. try to knowledge based and science based sectors. The model will rely heavily on the private sector-led Acceleration of economic growth will be driven by growth. Successful implementation of the ETP will all the nation’s components i.e. State Owned Enter- see Malaysia’s economy undergo significant changes prises, local, and foreign companies. to resemble other developed nations. The ETP has been regarded as a bold approach EVALUATION to grow the economy. The model will essentially be While the outlook for the region appears to be led by the private sector with the government pri- very positive, investors should still be mindful of sev- marily playing the role of facilitator. Approximately eral factors. The economic disparities between each 92% of the funding will come from the private sector country within Southeast Asia remain very wide, with the public sector serving as a catalyst to spark each with vastly different political structures, making private sector participation. Progress of the ETP is it difficult to integrate as a trading bloc. At this stage, closely monitored by the Performance Management it is still questionable whether the region can truly Delivery Unit (PEMANDU), an agency under the rival an economic powerhouse like China in terms Prime Minister Department of Malaysia. of size and importance. However, government initia- The Indonesian government is not far behind tives like Malaysia’s ETP and Indonesia’s MP3EI sug- with its MP3EI program. The central idea behind the gest that potential growth within the Southeast Asian MP3EI is to accelerate economic transformation and region is imminent. With China’s stellar growth start- expand growth to all regions as well as to ensure that ing to dwindle, perhaps investors should begin to set Indonesia is locally integrated and globally connect- their sights further southeast of familiar Chinese ter- ed. Additionally, innovation and technology are set ritory. to be developed in an effort to push economic trans- Fall 2012 23
  • 24. GENERAL BUSINESS Ajay Kailas, Cornell University ‘13, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences Cyberabad I ndia has been primarily recog- nized as a third world country by various development indexes. ly, since it is located at the inter- section of North and South India, it has a host of different cultures Even the formerly qui- et Gachibowli district has been transformed entirely-Gachibowli However, for the past few decades and food, with Hyderabadi Biry- is now a central business district India has been trying to change ani being one of the most famous as it is home to ICICI’s headquar- this label and has been developing dishes in the city. Hyderabad has ters (the country’s largest office at an alarming rate. Greater focus many places of interest such as building), UBS, Bank of Ameri- on infrastructure and proper uti- Chowmahalla Palace, Charminar, ca, and Wells Fargo. Rent in the lization of the country’s educated museums, gorgeous malls, and area used to be 25-30 rupees per labor force has helped steer the multiples galleries. square foot. Now, current residen- country in the right direction. No- It was during the 2000s tial prices have reached as high as ticing this drive, many large infor- when Hyderabad underwent a 3000-4000 rupees per square foot. mation technology firms such as drastic change: the Information have made their way to heart of a Technology revolution. Countless Above: the Buddha Monolith stands in few Indian cities. companies streamed in to set up the center of Hussain Sagar, the city lake. One example of such a their operations in the city. Names city is Hyderabad--the capital of such as Microsoft, Oracle, Yahoo!, Below: Hyderabad Information Tech- the state of Andhra Pradesh. Hy- Dell, and IBM have established nology Engineering Consultancy City in derabad is a sprawling area which call centers, business processing Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India. houses 6.8 million people, making outsourcing firms, and central it India’s 4th most populous city. corporations. By providing stable Hyderabad is a major hub for ed- jobs for the highly educated pop- ucation as it is home to thirteen ulation, the economy received a universities and business schools. large amount of revenue which Furthermore, it is home to the helped turn Hyderabad into a Telugu film industry, colloquially major bustling service sector that known as Tollywood. Additional- packs quite an economic punch. 24 Business Asia
  • 25. This change has been one of the panies operating out of this area. abad one of the best cities to work quickest the region has ever seen The IT/ITES corporates combined with, proving that Indians have before. with better infrastructure, excel- what it takes to meet the demands Hyderabad has undergone lent connectivity to the remaining of the Western world. During the a 48% increase in the price for of- parts of the city, express access to 2008-2009 year, the IT exports fice space rental. There is a large the airport, reputed schools in the surmounted to 4.7 billion dollars. increase and demand because vicinity, network of hospitals, en- These numbers have been project- businesses are booming and try- tertainment zones has made this ed by statistical experts to increase ing to get as much space as they location a hot spot for investment,” each and every year by as much as can. In Gachibowli, prices range chimes Pochendar Shenigarapu a 3-5%. The development of a town- around 3500 rupees per square CEO of a business in the area. ship called HITEC has helped foot per month. This is an incred- It is evident that the IT build new relationships that have ible increase from the 35 rupees it transformation has shocked all of brought even more companies to cost a few years ago. Hyderabad and revolutionized the the area, like Facebook. It is no “Gachibowli, in turn, Hy- city by catapulting it into a strong wonder Hyderabad is referred to derabad has been put on the global place in the world economy. The as the Silicon Valley of India. map because of the IT/ ITES com- World Bank Group rated Hyder- “The World Bank Group rated Hyderabad one of the best cities to work with, proving that Indians have what it takes to meet the demands of the Western world.” Fall 2012 25
  • 26. 1961 JAGUAR E-TYPE BY: ADVAI PATHAK CORNELL UNIVERSITY ‘15, INDUSTRIAL AND LABOR RELATIONS REVIVAL OF THE BIG CAT “Tata’s purchase of Jag- uar is just one example D escribed at its launch by Enzo Ferrari as “the most beautiful car ever made”, the 1961 Jaguar E-type is widely acknowledged to this day as Jaguar’s greatest creation. 51 years later, the iconic British of a growing number brand has finally released a successor, the 2013 F-type. The release of of cross-border M&A this long anticipated follow up epitomizes Jaguar’s current revival and deals involving com- serves as a major coup for Tata Motors who were chastised globally fol- panies from the devel- lowing their acquisition of Jaguar Land Rover in 2008. Tata’s purchase oping world acquiring of Jaguar is just one example of a growing number of cross-border M&A deals involving companies from the developing world acquir- established western ing established western brands. Despite the initial fears of knowledge brands. “ and technology drain (which ultimately proved entirely unfounded), 26 Business Asia
  • 27. Ratan Tata’s plan was ludicrously simple and remains so.” the immense success of Jaguar ny record. This represents a major from British Business Secretary, under Tata’s ownership suggests turnaround for a company that Lord Mandelson, and in spite of this trend is mutually beneficial to never once earned an operating widespread criticism that he had both foreign and domestic brands profit in its 19 years under Ford overcommitted to a dying brand, and that, certain variables permit- ownership. Tata should, and has Tata raised half a million pounds ting, it is one that is set to contin- been, lauded as the main driver of commercial finance to maintain ue. of this success. Calamity struck production facilities and poured Lumped with another directly after the deal for JLR was £1 billion of Tata’s cash into JLR’s marquee British brand, Land Rov- concluded in the wake of the 2008 R&D. In the wake of a drastic and er, and packed together for a rel- financial crisis. Ratan Tata, chair- global drop in demand for luxury atively paltry $2.8 billion, Jaguar man of the Tata Group, was forced vehicles, it seemed a suicidal gam- is estimated today to be worth to seek financial assistance from ble. around $14 billion. Its last annu- the British government to keep Yet Ratan Tata’s plan was al report stated Jaguar Land Rov- the brand afloat and maintain its ludicrously simple and remains er earned £1.51 billion profit on three British factories. After re- so. He is much admired for build- £13.5 billion of revenue, a compa- jecting a condition-laden proposal ing and exploiting brands as val-
  • 28. GENERAL BUSINESS ue. Aware of the brand value of automaker Chery Intl will open JLR, a factor he described as “ir- JLR’s first production plant in resistible”, and of the quality of the Chinese mainland, helping to employees he would gain, from cope with the excessive domestic high-value factory workers in Chinese market. its British plants to senior work- That the new Jaguar ers like famed Head of Design F-type will be the first model re- Ian McCallum, Tata has made leased by Jaguar to be conceived few changes in JLR’s corporate and designed entirely under Tata structure. His only major ap- ownership makes it extremely pointments have been Carl-Peter significant. In 2011, Tata Motors Forster, the former boss of GM pledged £5 billion over the course Europe, as Tata Motors’ CEO, and of 5 years to Jaguar for R&D in an Ralf Speth, formerly of BMW, as attempt to bridge the chasm be- JLR’s chief executive. Tata Motors tween itself and the German lux- has therefore successfully trod a ury trio of BMW, Mercedes-Benz, thin line between publicizing its and Audi. Up till now Tata Motors’ association with JLR for prestige share prices have risen 80%, mak- purposes and avoiding encroach- ing it the top-performing stock of ing upon Jaguar or Land Rover’s any global automaker. Now, as the established brand image. excitement of major investment Maintaining the quintes- and well-received new mod- sential “Britishness” of the two els settles, investors are waiting brands has been of primary im- for clear indicators of long-term portance - all three production growth and stable development. centers in England have contin- Showcased in September 2011 as ued to run and Jaguar has actually the prototype CX-16, the F-type managed to increase its workforce, represents the first of what Tata in spite of the current economic hopes will be a number of excit- malaise, to a total of 23,000. This ing and ground-breaking new is a statistic that is likely to please products. Jaguar will position the F-type in the British government. Projects The augmentation of Jag- competition with currently pop- that were indefinitely postponed uar’s fleet of vehicles will be the ular and powerful brands like under Ford due to cash restric- most crucial step in attempting Porsche, Maserati, and Aston tions have finally seen the light to seize market share from their Martin. Given that Jaguar already of day. Both the Jaguar XF and XJ German rivals. As speculators Nam saloons as well as the Land Rov- press for a lower-market car to has a well-performing sports GT in the XK, it does not represent a ut er Evoque have been met with an compete with the popular BMW diversification in its range either. enormously positive reception 3-series, Jaguar seems, initially, However, Ratan Tata has made no massa from both critics and consumers to have taken a step in the wrong secret of his desire for Jaguar to alike. Most importantly, Tata has direction. The release of the turp- sought to project the JLR brand F-type, an expensive two-seat- recreate its sporty image in keep- ing with the era of the E-type. This is, ac into growing markets like China er sports coupe, is not going to release is widely acknowledged and Russia and this more than boost Jaguar’s bottom line fig- to be an attempt to embellish blan- anything has explained the enor- ures. The market for sports cars Jaguar’s range as a whole with a mous growth in sales. A recently is about 0.1% of global car sales dit concluded tie-up with Chinese and it is enormously competitive. sportier feel, overturning current beliefs that it is geared towards justo. 28 Business Asia
  • 29. eign direct investment in the de- in workforce cuts at all levels. veloped west by the third world. Public perception of these The reasons for this are varied. deals is mixed. Most westerners For one, most developed coun- fear losing their biggest assets tries are running current account to foreigners that might seek to deficits, whereas many develop- move production away from the ing economies have surpluses. home country, draining knowl- Cross border investment is just edge and technology while allow- one method of utilizing these vast ing the purchaser to add jobs in sums of money. The fact that the its own domestic economy. There three nations with the most M&A is almost certainly also an un- activity in the developed world derlying fear of anti-colonialism are China, United Arab Emirates, that the emerging market media and Singapore correlates with this has gleefully exploited. Ratan logic. Just like firms from the rich Tata himself has acknowledged world, foreign MNC’s like Tata the value of increasing national are seeking to continue growth prestige with these cross-border through access to new markets acquisitions. Despite his enor- and production techniques. Un- mous outlay and the subsequent like American corporations that disappointment of Corus, he pos- seek a more ‘organic’ method its that losing that bid would have of accessing local market share left India disappointed as a whole. through establishment of lo- Despite these undercurrents of cal factories and offices, MNC’s distrust, the British Government from abroad prefer acquiring too has been very grateful and well-known western companies. supportive of Tata’s involvement. This offers the quickest method Jaguar has added over 8,000 jobs of gaining a foothold in a foreign to its British workforce and is market, exploitation of the ac- considering opening a new en- quired brand, and other benefits gine factory at a time when most like technology sharing. Western other industries are struggling. an older generation. The Tata firms also usually benefit from The harmony between Indian Group is renowned as a company increased investment that they finance and British engineer- for taking a long-term view of its might otherwise have lacked un- ing that Ratan Tata has been so investments. With deep pockets der a frugal western boardroom, careful to create and nurture has and one of the best management as Jaguar did. The biggest issue proved bountiful and could well teams in the world, it is prepared for emerging market companies prove a successful model for fu- to help Jaguar surpass its 1960’s is that they often pay excessive ture cross-border M&A’s. zenith and establish itself as a sums for western firms (a premi- major global automaker. To this um for market entry) - Tata Steel’s end, a smaller saloon car and a purchase of Anglo-Dutch giant, crossover are currently in design Corus, is an example in which to widen Jaguar’s appeal and are emerging market FDI has thus expected to be unveiled later this far proved unsuccessful. Corus, decade. now known as Tata Steel Europe, In attaining Jaguar, Tata has seen profits drop substantially has continued a recently bur- and it has been forced to engage geoning trend of strategic for- Fall 2012 29
  • 30. Super-Sized China: T he modern fast food industry in China began to take off in the 1990s, some twenty years after the Burgeoning Chinese country’s reforms and opening up in 1978. The cur- rent lifestyles of white and blue collar workers de- Fast Food Industry mand not only cost effective and on-the-go foods, but also the luxury of choosing from a wide variety of cuisines. Although China’s food service indus- try is roughly half the size of the U.S. market, it has Kevin Hua experienced tremendous growth over the new mil- lennium. The industry is estimated to be about $300 Cornell University ‘15, billion in 2009 by economist estimates and is expect- College of Engineering ed to grow 12% a year to over $500 billion by 2014. Although two fast food giants, KFC and Mc- Donald’s, dominate the western fast food market in China, 70% of the overall fast food market share is still occupied by Chinese fast food enterprises. KFC and McDonald’s at- tempt to assimilate to the local culture and cater to Chinese taste buds with traditional dishes; KFC includes thou- sand year egg with pork congee in its morning menu and McDonald’s has a dim sum menu. On the other hand, the local fast food chain scene usually has a repertoire of dim sum, steamed buns, Cantonese barbecued food, and various meat dishes with rice. According to a KFC Consumer survey, up to 44% of Chi- nese consumers plan to spend more on fast food rather than traditional restau- rants due to their added convenience, taste, and cost. C onsumers’ steady move towards higher calorie diets and excess consumption of sugar, salt, and fats cor-
  • 31. LIFESTYLE relate with increasing risks of obe- sity and other health conditions. A study led by researcher Janet Currie in 2009 found correla- tion between a fast food restau- rant within 0.1 miles of a school and the probability of obesity in- creasing by 5%. Interestingly, the number of restaurants within 0.1 miles of a school does not affect the probability of obesity. The re- sults of the study are significant enough to suggest that fast food establishments such as KFC and McDonald’s as well as new ur- banization where people migrate from the countryside to the city, together contribute to the China’s growing obesity rate. The mass industrialization efforts in Chi- na after 1978 spurred a need for young workers and brought many people from the rural countryside closer to the city. In only two de- cades, the urban population of the total population rose from 25% to 50% in 2011. In Beijing, which has one of the highest fast food chain densities per capita, 27.8% cuisine that is familiar to Ameri- major contribution to the obesity of children are heavier than stan- can taste buds, such as hamburg- rate in metropolitan cities in Chi- dard weight guidelines set by the ers, fries, fried chicken, and ice na. Chinese Health Ministry. Official cream. Furthermore, the U.S. has How is this different from Chinese government statistics es- had a fairly long history of using the lifestyle and diet choices in timate that more than 100 million automobiles and mass transport the U.S? China’s booming econo- people were obese in 2011, a five systems which both reduce the my and never-before experienced fold increase from 2005. necessary daily exercise from massive spending power allows walking. Not long ago in Chi- consumers to buy fried foods, na, the streets of big cities were western hamburgers, snacks, Catching Up with the Unit- streaming with cyclists and pe- take outs, and many other cal- ed States? destrians. However, more people orie-dense foods. Major metro- Although it is tempting to now have access to the luxury of politan areas in China have also compare the trend between fast taxis, cars, and motorbikes. Only recently adopted mass transit food and obesity in China to that in the past recent decades has systems with increased automo- of the U.S, PBS journalist Ray Su- work in China has shifted from a bile sales, completion of subway arez asserts that obesity problems manual labor economy to a ser- and train systems, and mass bus and their solutions are unique vice and institution-based one. A transit systems. All of these new to both countries. The fast food majority of people are employed changes contribute to a terrify- menus in the United States offer in sedentary work in the office—a ing reality: an increasing obesity Fall 2012 31
  • 32. months. The Chinese government finds these methods promising and is collecting more data such as weight, height, and waistline mea- surements from patients undergo- ing current weight loss treatment. Furthermore, private and public fat camps are available for teen- agers and young adults in China, where they are sent for months at a time to a recreational center to exercise and follow a proper diet. They lift weights and do aerobics for months, as well as train and eat like an athlete to lose weight. rate at 30 to 50 percent annually. come more readily available on This is very different from the U.S’s the table. Weight Watchers China slow adaptation to an obesity-con- director Shan Jin suggested that tributing environment. The large Chinese meals should adopt more influx of calories and low amounts of a Western style, with one plate of physical exercise in the Chinese per person portioned out to pre- population are recent and fast, vent overeating, and with smaller requiring more immediate regu- portions for individuals on a diet. lations and changes to tackle the With a communal eating habit problem. where everyone shares from dish- Another major factor es in the middle, it is much easier that makes china’s obesity prob- for individuals to overeat. lem unique is the cultural factor. Over the past century, China has Slimming Solutions suffered from droughts and polit- Given how quickly the ical overturns that led to periodic obesity epidemic has infected famines. But with modern living China’s population young and old, Though China has no sig- conditions people can afford more controlling obesity for health ben- nificant regulation that cuts down food and eat more generously. efits is a major issue at hand. Some on calorie-dense fast food con- Children in China have a unique of the current remedies for fight- sumption or manufacturing, the case of a “six-pocket syndrome”- ing obesity are prescribing tra- government is launching cam- they do not have siblings and were ditional Chinese medicine, such paigns in high schools aimed at born at the very beginning of the as “huang quin” (Baical skullcap raising awareness about health one-child policy. Therefore they root) and “shanzha” (hawthorn risks associated with obesity. have two parents and four grand- fruit) to reduce patients’ weight Though drugs, treatments, and parents who have nothing really to and fat buildup. Other methods raising awareness may be effec- spend on besides that single child. include acupuncture and medi- tive in controlling obesity, it still Furthermore, it is a common prac- tation. Chinese researchers claim requires a big part of every indi- tice in Chinese culture that most that treatments can result in vidual’s self discipline in order to meals are shared from dishes in weight loss of more than 5.8 ki- achieve their desired goals of los- the middle of the table. Over the lograms over the course of four ing weight. past decade, more food has be- 32 Business Asia