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Strategic Planning Responses to City Vulnerability 3rd International Urban Design Conference August 2010 - National Convention Centre, Canberra Darren Bilsborough, Director of Sustainability A-P Adjunct Professor of Sustainability, Curtin University
More potential problems than you can poke a stick at relating to:- City Vulnerability Identifying the issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Future Health Liability Future Health Liability – Unfunded Health Budgets
PB-CUSP Alliance Research Costs to government $86 million (or approximately $80,000 per block) – or the cost to provide power, water, sewerage, schools, hospitals and local government services for fringe developments. Road infrastructure is the most significant cost. Cost to people $250 million in transport costs over 50 years – people in fringe developments drive more frequently and own more cars $ 4.23 million in health costs – people in fringe developments have higher risk of obesity related to lower levels of physical activity for people. Cost to the planet 4,400 tons of greenhouse gas is saved for 1,000 urban dwellings, which is roughly equal to the amount emitted from 200 homes – an estimated dollar value of approximately $19.32 million. Productivity Opportunity A 6% improvement in productivity due to active travel Lifestyle. PB-CUSP Alliance Research
Status Quo Melbourne @ 5 million ,[object Object],PB-CUSP Alliance Research
New Ways Needed – A Change in Direction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Planning Responses
The Elephant in the Room Climate Change Adaptation Why isn’t there more public discussion....?
Planning Responses New Ways Needed – A Change in Direction ,[object Object],[object Object]
240 persons travel to work in: 177 cars    3 buses  1 tram Land Use and Transport Modes
Green Transport infrastructure? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Green Transport infrastructure?
Cheonggyecheon area  before  restoration (Seoul) Source: http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/ Cheonggyecheon area  before  restoration (Seoul)
Cheonggyecheon area after restoration Source: http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/ Cheonggyecheon area  after  restoration
“ If you’re looking for a big opportunity look for a big problem”  ANON
Where do Australian emissions come from? 48% 14% Stationary energy (power plants, etc) Transport (vehicles) AGO, figures for 1999 6% 3% 2% Garbage tips Industrial processes Gases escaping (during mining, from pipes) 17% 10% Land use change and forestry (clearing ,  etc) Agriculture  (mostly ex-animals)
Where do Australian emissions come from? Stationary energy (power plants, etc) Transport (vehicles) AGO, figures for 1999 62%   of all emissions from  Transport   and   Energy
Smart Grids:  An Alternative Renewables Enabler
EVs, Distributed Energy and Smart Grids Courtesy of EPRI
A Tipping Point? What do we require to institute change? A transport system tipping point
Tipping elements and thresholds! In and out of ice ages – last couple of millions of years oscillating every 70,000 years or so! Cold Warm Hot
Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot Loss of each “tipping element” increases the risk of passing thresholds
Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot Loss of each “tipping element” increases the risk of passing thresholds
Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot Loss of each “tipping element” increases the risk of passing thresholds
Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot At some point we trigger runaway global warming Overshoot and collapse to a new stable state?
Peak Oil – Is this our Tipping Point  (if it isn’t Climate Change) Some future scenarios have petrol prices at up to  $8/litre  in Australia. Even modest scenarios foresee $2 a litre within a few years Surveys by Budget Direct suggest  30% of motorists  in Australian cities  will stop using their car to commute if petrol reaches $1.75 a litre
Destiny of all life lies within technology
 
What is Biophilia?  Biophilia   Edward O. Wilson, a Harvard University entomologist, coined the term "biophilia", referring to humans' "love of living things" - our innate affinity with nature
The Biophilic City Concept  ,[object Object]
Deforestation
Biodiverse Cities
 
The Biophilic City Concept  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mole Hill Vancouver Edible Cities Cuba
Vertical Farms
The Biophilic City Concept  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions  New Ways Needed – A Change in Direction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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3rd Int Urban Design Conf

  • 1. Strategic Planning Responses to City Vulnerability 3rd International Urban Design Conference August 2010 - National Convention Centre, Canberra Darren Bilsborough, Director of Sustainability A-P Adjunct Professor of Sustainability, Curtin University
  • 2.
  • 3. Future Health Liability Future Health Liability – Unfunded Health Budgets
  • 4. PB-CUSP Alliance Research Costs to government $86 million (or approximately $80,000 per block) – or the cost to provide power, water, sewerage, schools, hospitals and local government services for fringe developments. Road infrastructure is the most significant cost. Cost to people $250 million in transport costs over 50 years – people in fringe developments drive more frequently and own more cars $ 4.23 million in health costs – people in fringe developments have higher risk of obesity related to lower levels of physical activity for people. Cost to the planet 4,400 tons of greenhouse gas is saved for 1,000 urban dwellings, which is roughly equal to the amount emitted from 200 homes – an estimated dollar value of approximately $19.32 million. Productivity Opportunity A 6% improvement in productivity due to active travel Lifestyle. PB-CUSP Alliance Research
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. The Elephant in the Room Climate Change Adaptation Why isn’t there more public discussion....?
  • 8.
  • 9. 240 persons travel to work in: 177 cars 3 buses 1 tram Land Use and Transport Modes
  • 10.
  • 11. Cheonggyecheon area before restoration (Seoul) Source: http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/ Cheonggyecheon area before restoration (Seoul)
  • 12. Cheonggyecheon area after restoration Source: http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/ Cheonggyecheon area after restoration
  • 13. “ If you’re looking for a big opportunity look for a big problem” ANON
  • 14. Where do Australian emissions come from? 48% 14% Stationary energy (power plants, etc) Transport (vehicles) AGO, figures for 1999 6% 3% 2% Garbage tips Industrial processes Gases escaping (during mining, from pipes) 17% 10% Land use change and forestry (clearing , etc) Agriculture (mostly ex-animals)
  • 15. Where do Australian emissions come from? Stationary energy (power plants, etc) Transport (vehicles) AGO, figures for 1999 62% of all emissions from Transport and Energy
  • 16. Smart Grids: An Alternative Renewables Enabler
  • 17. EVs, Distributed Energy and Smart Grids Courtesy of EPRI
  • 18. A Tipping Point? What do we require to institute change? A transport system tipping point
  • 19. Tipping elements and thresholds! In and out of ice ages – last couple of millions of years oscillating every 70,000 years or so! Cold Warm Hot
  • 20. Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot Loss of each “tipping element” increases the risk of passing thresholds
  • 21. Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot Loss of each “tipping element” increases the risk of passing thresholds
  • 22. Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot Loss of each “tipping element” increases the risk of passing thresholds
  • 23. Tipping elements and thresholds! Cold Warm Hot At some point we trigger runaway global warming Overshoot and collapse to a new stable state?
  • 24. Peak Oil – Is this our Tipping Point (if it isn’t Climate Change) Some future scenarios have petrol prices at up to $8/litre in Australia. Even modest scenarios foresee $2 a litre within a few years Surveys by Budget Direct suggest 30% of motorists in Australian cities will stop using their car to commute if petrol reaches $1.75 a litre
  • 25. Destiny of all life lies within technology
  • 26.  
  • 27. What is Biophilia? Biophilia Edward O. Wilson, a Harvard University entomologist, coined the term "biophilia", referring to humans' "love of living things" - our innate affinity with nature
  • 28.
  • 31.  
  • 32.
  • 33. Mole Hill Vancouver Edible Cities Cuba
  • 35.
  • 36.