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Ind ii2 national roads program proposal to dgh 09jul12 plus concepts
1. IndII Support to DGH on National Roads –
- Road sector achievements and future program
DGH, 9 July 2012
2. IndII Support under Phase 1 - summary
• MTEF, budgeting and sector performance:
– Budgeting process, strategy linkage to long-term plan, KPI, action plan
• Road network development and planning (Bipran-AECOM):
– NR Masterplan, road corridor plans for E Sumatra & N Java
– BPJT capacity, institutional options and toll road program
• Road program delivery (Bintek-Cardno):
– Extending design life, life-cycle costs, axle load limits, performance-based
contracts, project management, routine maintenance delivery
• Road sector policy issues:
– South Africa visit: SANRAL MTEF, road management, business model
• Sub-national roads:
– Pilot on road management surveys, programming and routine maintenance
• Road safety:
– Blackspot program prepared, design manual produced
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3. Challenges for the road sector - MTEF
• Infrastructure is a critical constraint to growth
– low competitiveness ranking for road infrastructure provision
• Poor connectivity
– Main corridor times 60-100 percent longer than neighbours
• Low cost effectiveness of road asset management
– while condition is fairly good, deterioration is rapid
– high annual costs, equivalent to new road every 5 years
– fragmented contracts; weak construction industry.
• Changed resource environment
– 6-fold increase in funding in 6 years, 95+% budget execution
– Value for money?? - average cost up, but output flat
• Weak linkages to national development plan
– lacks targets on connectivity, efficiency and effectiveness
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4. Phase 1 – Road Program implementation
• Strong direction & interaction with Bintek and Balai
• Revision to Pavement Design Guide:
• Long-life designs (low maintenance)
• Catalog approach for greater reliability
(based on detailed analysis and life-cycle costs)
• Strong foundation and drainage for long life
• Overloading incorporated in design
• Flexible, rigid, reconstructed and recycled pavements
• Larger package size improves cost and quality
• Balai want automated road surveys for better data
• Options for management of routine maintenance
• Economic justification for raising legal axle load limit
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5. Phase 1 – Road Network Development
Connectivity:
• low connectivity compared to regional neighbours, but no target
• how do we measure performance and set targets?
• need to measure, report and forecast travel times
• link RENSTRA workplan to connectivity target and
national long-term plan Normalized Trip Times on Economic Corridor Arterial
Roads – 2011 Estimates
Trip time hr/100 km*
High land transport costs – low 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0
connectivity of economic centres Trans-Sumatra
1
Target Service level
Trans-Java 1-1.5 hr/100 km
2
Vietnam
Indonesia Kalimantan
3
China
Sulawesi
4
Thailand
Malaysia Bali-NTT
5
Papua-Maluku
6
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00
Trip time (hr/100 km) * Corridor distance shorter
Road Trip Time Nautical Add-on than Arterial road distance
Source: IndII estimates from bus schedules and DGH data, April 2012
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6. DGH Masterplan for Road Infrastructure 2010-14
Road Length, km
- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Road development program -
Sumatra
Incremental widening to 3,690
minimum width standard Java 1,430
• Budget IDR 7 trillion/yr Kalimantan 2,780
• Covers 47% of network in 5 yr
Sulawesi 3,160
Total Length
• Increments to 4.5, 6 or 7 m width
NTT 987 Improved
But comes at high cost: length
Maluku-Papua 1,905
• No distance saving, little speed
Width standard of national arterial roads,
improvement after DGH road development program 2010-14
• Investment repeated in 5-10 yrs
7m
• High cost = 30-40% of full width
14%
construction for 20-yr life
6 m width 4.5 m width
• Defers achieving modern asset 33% 53%
• Compounds land issues
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7. Corridor planning approach for long-term
development
Nunukan
Malinau
Corridor plan evaluates options when
generating project pipeline and Tj. Selor
investment profile for Economic
Aruk
Corridor:
Ng Badau
staged over 5, 10, Enttikong
Putusibau
15 & 20 year periods
Pontianak Tayan
Samarinda
Balikpapan
Palangkaraya
Strategic Options
(1) Widen existing road Banjarmasin
(2) Realign & rebuild – “road renewal”; digambarkan dengan garis putus-putus
Jalan yang belum terbangun
Road standard
(3) Highway on future expressway Expressway
location >= 7 m
6m
(4) Expressway in new location 4.5 – 6 m
Not Connected
Sea Port
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9. Corridor plan – strip map presentation:
Trans-Sumatra - Corridor Plan for Staged Development of
Capacity in Parallel Facilities over long-term 20-yr period
ARTERIAL NATIONAL ROAD WIDTH
Width m 14 2019
Road Width
10 2024
2014
7
6
5 2010
101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113
B Aceh
B Aceh Medan
Medan Pekanbaru
Pekanba Lampung
Palembg Lampung
Length km 644 694 754 443 0
Total distance 2536 1892 1198 443
EXPRESSWAY
Dual C'way
Renstra period color code
Baseline
2010-2014
2015-2019
2020-2024
2025-2029
101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113
B Aceh Medan Pekanba Palembg Lampung
2029 2019 2024 2019
Length km 460 564 610 380 0
Distance km 2014 1554 990 380
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10. Corridor Plan Output - Trans-Sumatra Example:
Linkage of Development Outcomes and Financing Plan
– Long-term 20-yr Period
Connectivity: 80 Financing Plan
5-Year Spending estimate (IDR T)
Travel Time from South to 70
1,5
North 60
7
50
70
60 40
58,6
TRAVEL TIME (hr)
50 30 47,9
0
40 20
20,2
30 B Aceh 10
2,6 1,7 3 3,6
3 3 3 0
20 Medan 0 1,8
Pekanb
10 R1 R2 R3 R4
Palem RENSTRA PERIOD
0 Boukh
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Rd Presv Rd Widening Exwy GOI Exwy PrivSec
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11. Forecast of Forward Funding Requirements
(demonstration only, from study data)
• Public funding of IDR 42-56 trillion/yr required 2015-29
• Only IDR 4 trillion/yr (16%) attractive to private sector
• Road development requires IDR 19 trillion/yr – in renewal
• Road preservation 20-30% less due to stronger roads
70
Forecast Funding Requirements
60
Annual Funding Requirement,
IDR trillion (2011 prices)
50
40
Expressway - private funding
30
Expressway - public funding
20 Arterial road development
10 Road preservation
Road management
0
2005-09 2010-14 2015-19 2020-24 2025-29
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12. Priorities for Phase 2 support
Based on DGH priorities and Phase 1 findings, key areas include:
• Preparation of long-term national road master-plan:
– Connectivity in main economic corridors
– Expressway development, project pipeline and financing
– Modernisation of arterial road network
• Better road performance and lower annual costs
– extend life of road assets – expected and actual
• Better budget allocation and accountability
– Improved asset management and systems
• Strategic priorities for RENSTRA and funding requirement
• Staff performance, capability and accountability
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14. 1. Advisory support on road sector policy
- DG, Directors
Aims
• Improving sector and institutional performance
• Effective legal, regulatory & financing provisions
• Effectiveness of IndII support to DGH & road sector
Sub-activities:
• Dialog with GOI – MPW, MOF, Bappenas, CMEA, MoT
• Revisions to Road Law
• Expressway financing and issues
• Institutional structure and organizational performance
• Management and financing
• Sub-national road role, road preservation fund
• IndII road program effectiveness
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15. 2. Support on Planning Road Development
- Bipran, BPJT
Aims:
• Plan road development to meet connectivity goals
• Strategy for modernising arterial road network
• Improve delivery & financing of expressway network
Main outputs:
• Long-term development strategy for road infrastructure
• 20-yr pipeline of investment projects in economic corridors
• Expressway masterplan and PPP-VGF demonstration
• Road renewal policy to modernise arterial road network
Performance measures:
• Connectivity (travel time) in main corridors
• Accessibility in eastern region (km/km2)
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16. 2. Support on Planning Road Development:
Sub-activities
• Procedures for planning development of road network
– Advisory support in Bipran: long-term planning of connectivity &
capacity in corridors, road renewal policy, medium-term pipeline, KPI
for network, staff competencies and training
• Planning & capacity for developing expressway network
– Update expressway master-plan, include staging
– BPJT advisory support, VGF financing mechanisms, capacity-building,
review of packages, institutional options
• Preparation of corridor plans for Java and Sumatra
– Refine corridor plans & extend to arterial corridors, prepare 2015-19
project pipeline, guidance on expressway packages
• Preparation of corridor plans & pipeline for east region
– Survey, analyse and prepare plans for 4 main corridors in Kal, Sul,
Bali-NTT, M-Papua; 2015-19 pipeline; review needs for other NAR
• Preparation of medium- and long-term plans
– Assist preparation of 2015-19 RENSTRA and 2015-24 long-term plan
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17. 3. Improving performance of national road
program implementation (Bintek, balai)
Aims:
• To extend asset life through improved design
• To build capacity for asset management in balai
implementation offices
• To improve delivery and quality of construction and
maintenance
Performance measures:
• Expected life and actual life of major works
• Contract package length
• Average preservation costs/km/yr
• Road and bridge condition
• Percentage of arterial road renewed
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18. 3. Improving the performance of national
road program implementation (cont)
• Implementation of new design code
– Longer life, better foundation & drainage, concrete
• Application of road renewal policy
– Programming, design & implementation of road renewal along
arterial corridors coordinated with long-term network plan
• Development of improved asset management tools
– Automated surveys, practical life-cycle programming tool with
strip-map report to replace IRMS, performance indicator reports
• Improved project management, skills & performance
– Satker and PPK strengthened in contract packaging, procurement
and supervision
– Further use of performance-based and maintenance contracts
• Piloting of asset management & project management
– 2 balai in 2013, then progressively to other balai 2014-15.
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19. 3. Improving the performance of national
road program implementation (cont)
• Improved public participation
– Use of program reports in local consultation, public disclosure of
program and project information (perhaps through CoST)
• Improved performance and incentives for contractors
– Support for action plan of Bp Konstruksi to improve certification
and performance evaluation, strengthen LPJK and accountability
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20. Interim activities – July-December 2012
• Bintek support:
– Training of balai on new pavement design manual, calibration of
structural tests, preparation of drainage design manual, baseline
survey of KPI
• DG, Bipran support:
– Preparing & convening national symposium on road network
development and financing, with GOI & international participants
• Bipran support:
– Baseline surveys of connectivity in main trunk routes; review
status of new toll road packages; preparation for main activity
• Detailed preparation and procurement of IndII DGH
activities
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21. IndII-2 in DGH:
Key concepts to note
• Expressway as class of public road, not toll road
• New public financing model (VGF) in PPP
– Availability- or performance-based, quarterly payment, toll optional
• Long-term corridor plan selects road standard and timing
of renewal
• Road renewal policy
– Defers betterment until full realignment & construction planned
– Gains long life, safe, modern highway
• Asset management and programming function for
preservation transferred to balai, with graphical tool
• Costs reduced by extending expected and actual life
• Independence between supervision and contractor
• Monitor outcomes – KPI on travel time, age, costs
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22. Timeline for Phase 2 on national roads
Month Activity
Jan-12 DGH workshop on future direction,
Ongoing IndII-DGH discussions
Apr-12 IndII consultation on strategy with
AusAID
Jul-12 - Activity proposals drafted
- Activities discussed with DGH
- Policy adviser (John Lee) arrives
Aug-12 - Activity designs finalised,
procurement starts;
- Interim activities start
Oct-12 Symposium on road development
planning and financing
Jan-13 Expected start of main Planning
and Implementation activities
Jan-14 Mid-term review
Dec-14 Main activities end
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23. Conclusion
• The activities are designed to support DGH in delivering
its program
• Core support will be provided through individual advisers
working as partner to Directorate staff in DGH offices
• Consultant teams will be coordinated by the advisers and
work closely with DGH staff in central and balai offices
• The teams will be most effective if working space can be
made available in DGH offices
• Your input to the activity design is important – especially
in the next two months Jul-Aug
Terima kasih
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24. 4. Sub-national roads:
Incentivising road management
Objectives Implementation and Outcomes
Strengthening central Component 1: Preparation of Grant Design and Interim
and provincial Support for Critical Elements to expedite program,
agencies on asset (implemented second half of 2012)
management for sub- Component 2: Consultants for project management and
national roads (SNR) implementation of grant program over 5 years, 2014-2018;
Improving participation Creation of SNR project management unit in DGH
by private sector and
Establishment of transport forums
the public – to improve
communication and TA and training in planning and implementation of
agency performance maintenance & rehabilitation, and PBC
Implementation of pilot Incentives for increased budget allocation, for
output-based road contracting out works and performance-based contracts
maintenance and
rehabilitation program Staged pilot, starting with one province (NTT) increasing
to up to other jurisdictions, based on demonstrated
Effective delivery of capability and commitment.
IndII support for sub-
national roads
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25. 5. Improving Road Safety Blackspots and
Program Management
Objectives Implementation and Outcomes
Building capability of Component 1: Interim support: international road safety
central and regional specialist supporting RSEU 3 p-months to Jul-12;
offices for managing Component 2. Implementation support by Consultant firm for
24 months to Jun-14 (2-stage);
blackspot improvement
Component 3. Program management support by International
programs specialist (50% of 30 months).
Implementation of Strategic Plan for Road Safety in DGH
blackspot
improvements to meet RSEU, DGH balai and local police trained in managing
RENSTRA targets road safety programs,
Developing and Support to achieve 150 blackspot improvements to
monitoring road safety achieve RENSTRA objectives
programs in national Three fact-finding missions provide overseas training and
police and sub-national experience to 60 officials
road agencies
Performance and results publicised and build GOI donor
Effective delivery of & public support for road safety programs
IndII support for road
safety• Further road safety programs ready in DGH, INTP and
sub-national DGLT agencies.
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