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Unlocking Agriculture's Past
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Jacob van Etten
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A presentation given at the National Geographic store in Madrid on July 28, 2011.
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Unlocking Agriculture's Past
1.
Unlocking agriculture’s past
to feed the future world Jacob van Etten
2.
1 Feedingthefutureworld
3.
IPCC, 2007
4.
% change -95
to -31 -30 to -11 -10 to -1 0 1 to 29 30 to 47 48 to 98 Change in suitabilityduetoclimatechange 50 crops, to 2050 Andrew Jarvis, CIAT/CCAFS
5.
D. Lobell et
al. 2011
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
2 Thepastisthekeytothefuture
12.
13.
14.
15.
China, 6000 years
before present
16.
17.
18.
?
19.
?
20.
?
21.
Geneticchange earlyfarmersselect
22.
3 Thescience of
agriculturalorigins
23.
24.
Nikolai I. Vavilov
(1887-1943) Centres of origin
25.
26.
Flotation
27.
Rice spikelet bases
Which is the domesticated one?
28.
14C radiocarbon dating
accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS)
29.
Phytoliths scanning electron
microscope (SEM)
30.
Experimental archaeology
31.
Bones Was agriculture
such a good idea after all?
32.
DNA analysis “Old”
DNA recovery
33.
Current patterns of
genetic diversity
34.
4 Heritage of
thepast: agriculturaldiversity
35.
36.
37.
38.
Transfer of genes
from CWR tocrops “Scuba rice” Flood-tolerance gene from landrace
39.
40.
Photo: J. Cherfas,
Bioversity International
41.
Photo: J. Cherfas,
Bioversity International
42.
43.
44.
45.
5 Geography:
thepower of maps and models
46.
Seed samples available
from the multilateral system
47.
Gaps in the
collections example for sorghum
48.
49.
Archaeological data Maize
origin in Mexico
50.
Overlappingpart of thedispersalroute
Divergentpart of thedispersalroute Origin of dispersal
51.
R2 = 0.44
measuredgeneticdistance predictedgeneticdistance
52.
53.
54.
Interactive online mapping
+
55.
www.ie.edu/mgec
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