1. The Sea Grant Challenge
Coastal Communities
& Climate Change
Mayor Jeremy Harris
New Orleans
October 19th, 2010
Sea Grant Week 2010
2. The Sea Grant Challenge
Four decades of exceptional work largely
unrecognized and under-appreciated.
Sea Grant’s full potential has never been
realized.
3. The Sea Grant Challenge
How does Sea Grant realize its true
potential and play a more significant
role in meeting the severe challenges
facing our nation?
4. The Sea Grant Challenge
Sea Grant is in a unique position to
play a critical role in our nation’s
confrontation with climate change.
This is where the puck is going to be!
6. Coastal Population Growth
• US Population Projected to Reach 400 million by 2043
• 53% of Population Now Lives in Coastal Counties
• 27 Million to Move into Coast in the Next 15 YearsSource: Peopleandplanet.net
7. Along With That Growth - Environmental Decay
Water Pollution
Each year 450 cubic kilometers of wastewater
are discharged into rivers, streams and lakes.Source: Peopleandplanet.net
8. Along With That Growth - Environmental Decay
Increased Pressure on Resources
Source: Peopleandplanet.net
9. Along With That Growth - Environmental Decay
Habitat Destruction
Source: Peopleandplanet.net
66. Question-
What has Sea Grant done to meet
the climate change challenge and
what more can it do?
67. Sea Grant & Climate Change
A Record of Accomplishment
Alaska Sea Grant- Coastal Erosion/Bering Sea
New Jersey SG- International Workshop Sea Level Rise
Maine SG- Edited “Maine’s Climate Future”
Washington SG- Climate Change Adaptation Workshop
Oregon/Maine SG- Research & Engagement Coastal CC
California SG- Global Warming “trophic equivalency”/forecasting
Florida SG- Coastal Primer for Florida Legislature
Delaware SG- Predicting Coastal Inundation Mid Atlantic Region
Georgia SG- Software/Visualize & Analyze Shoreline Change
Mississippi/Alabama SG-Climate/Resiliency Panel
New York SG-East Coast Winter Storms Forecasting Website
Maryland SG- Visualizing Sea Level Rise
Rhode Island SG- Sea Level Rise Policy
Puerto Rico SG- Governor’s Climate Commission
Hawaii SG- Center of Excellence in Climate Adaptation & Policy
71. Sea Grant Extension
Ideally positioned to take a
leadership role in this multi-
jurisdictional extension effort,
extending NOAA-wide
information and expertise
72. Sea Grant Climate Extension
The work Sea Grant is doing now
just scratches the surface of
national need. To effectively deal
with the climate challenge Sea
Grant Extension will need a
substantial increase in resources
and funding.
74. Utilize NOAA Sea Grant and other NOAA expertise to
facilitate coastal urban planning that integrates land
use, transportation, energy, natural resource, economic,
and climate change mitigation and adaptation
components.
Proposal - NOAA Sea Grant
Sustainable Coastal Community
Climate Change Initiative
75. Proposal
NOAA Climate Service should
contract with Sea Grant to provide
coastal climate extension services
and carry out that initiative
76. The Sea Grant Goal
Every Coastal Local Government to
Develop a Comprehensive Sustainability
Plan to include Climate Change….
Mitigation Plans
Adaptation Plans
Resiliency Plans
77. What would this Sea Grant
Sustainable Coastal Community
Climate Change Initiative involve?
78. Sea Grant Coastal Community Sustainability Initiative
Public Education & Capacity Building
Sustainability must be grassroots based.
We have failed as educators.
Only 40% of US citizens “believe” in global warming.
79. The U.S. – Leader or Obstacle ?
U.S. Senator on TV telling the public that
global warming is a hoax.
Barrier to Action – Ignorance
80. The disinformation campaign waged by special interests
about global warming is the major stumbling block to
sustainable energy policies and program funding.
Barrier to Action- Disinformation
81. Sea Grant Coastal Community Sustainability Initiative
Leadership Education and Training
82. Sea Grant Coastal Community Sustainability Initiative
Creating the Plans
Mitigating & Adapting to Climate Change
What should the planning encompass?
83. Land use planningLand use planning
TransportationTransportation
Energy policyEnergy policy
Econ. DevelopmentEcon. Development
Natural resourceNatural resource
managementmanagement
Social factorsSocial factors
• UnderstandingUnderstanding
interrelationshipsinterrelationships
• Enterprise-wideEnterprise-wide
approachapproach
• End stovepipeEnd stovepipe
management structuremanagement structure
• Lifecycle costing-Lifecycle costing-
Internalizing “external” costsInternalizing “external” costs
Key Concepts
A Systems Approach
Waste handlingWaste handling
The Sustainable, Resilient, Coastal City
Systems – Scientists understand them, politicians do not.
84. Climate Change - Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Land Use - Mitigation
Build Cities for People Not Cars
85. Climate Change - Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Land Use - Mitigation
Utilize “Smart Growth” Design
93. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Land Use - Mitigation
Preserve Habitat & Open Space
Protect Watersheds, Habitats & View Planes
Reduce GHGs
94. Cities – the Sustainable Prescription
Land Use - Mitigation
Sustainable Building Design
New Green Codes
95. Adapting to Climate Change
Land Use – 1st
Step To Adaptation
Evaluate Potential Impacts
96. Adapting to Climate Change
Land Use – Adaptation Decisions
Retreat from Potential Inundation Zones or
Attempt to Harden Coastal Urban Areas
97. Adapting to Climate Change
Land Use – Adaptation
Developing New Comprehensive Plans &
Zoning Maps
98. Adapting to Climate Change
Land Use – Adaptation
Relocate Population Centers
Develop New Public Facilities Plans
Phase & Redesign New Urban Infrastructure
Re-plan & Redesign City in a Sustainable Way
99. Adapting to Climate Change
Land Use – Adaptation
Developing New Building Codes for Higher
Temperatures & Storm Intensity, Coastal Setbacks
100. Adapting to Climate Change
Land Use – Adaptation Legal Issues
Property Rights - TDR
101. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation – Mitigation
Incentives to Shift to Public Transit
Higher Gas Taxes
Transit Subsidies – Employer Benefit Plans
Improved Service
102. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation - Mitigation
Multi-modal Alternatives
Bike Racks on Buses and Sidewalks
Modify Roadway Specifications
Bikeways
Shower & Locker Facilities
103. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation – Mitigation
“Smart” Transportation Systems
Computerized Traffic Signals & “Smart” Buses
105. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation – Adaption
Expand Transit to Replace Coastal Arterials
106. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation – Mitigation
Public Transit with Renewable Energy
Hybrid Electric Buses
E Vehicles
Fuel Cell Buses
BRT Systems
107. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation – Adaption
Raise or Relocate Bridges
108. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Transportation – Adaption
Retrofit or Relocate Harbors
109. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Energy Efficiency
Retrofit Public Facilities
110. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Energy Efficiency
Retrofit Utilities – LEDs & CFLs
111. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Distributed Energy Systems
SNG-Fuel Cogeneration
112. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Distributed Energy Systems
STP Methane Cogeneration
113. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Distributed Energy Systems
Landfill Methane Cogeneration
114. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Distributed Energy Systems
Ocean Cooling/ District Heating
115. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Distributed Energy Systems
OTEC Spinoff Technology
116. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Employ New Technologies
OTEC Spinoff Applications
Condensate irrigation, air conditioning, cold water aquaculture
117. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Diversified Primary Energy Production
Photovoltaic
118. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Diversified Primary Energy Production
Geothermal
119. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Diversified Primary Energy Production
Biomass
120. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Diversified Primary Energy Production
Wind
121. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Diversified Primary Energy Production
Ocean
Wind, Biomass, Wave, OTEC, Tidal, Current
122. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Lighting – Wind & Solar
123. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Mitigation
Renewable Energy
Bio-Diesel Recycled Cooking Oil
124. Climate Change – Building Sustainability & Resiliency
Energy – Adaptation
Sea Level Rise
Relocate Energy Systems in Inundation Zones
Convert to Sustainable Technology
174. NOAA Sea Grant
Goals & Strategies - Comments
Sustainable Coastal Development
*Expanded focus on climate change and
sustainable coastal community planning
Hazard Resilient Coastal Communities
*Incorporate “Climate Change”
in focus title to reflect NOAA Strategic Plan
And its coastal cities that face the greatest challenge.*
Cities are facing a population explosion.
Half the world’s population is now urban – adding 60 million a year.
Like adding a new Canberra every 2.1 days. *
With that population explosion has come urban environmental decay….. With water pollution…..*
With that population explosion has come urban environmental decay….. With water pollution…..*
With that population explosion has come urban environmental decay….. With water pollution…..*
Many cities are choked with air pollution from industry and coal fired power plants..*….and
Emissions from fossil fuel powered automobiles.*
But the greatest existential threat cities face………*
Sea level rise has the potential to displace tens and perhaps hundreds of millions of people……*..
Inundate infrastructure…………..*
create drought………..*
And in many cases severe water stress.*
And worsen coastal flooding. *
And intensity of coastal storms………and *
Create economic catastrophe for local governments and their economies. *
Let me take a moment to make a virtual fly-thru of my city of Honolulu to look at just a few of the potential impacts of sea level rise. The City of Honolulu is the entire island of Oahu, some 680 sq. miles and a population of about a million.
If you watch closely, I’ll show you how our coast will change with 1 meter of sea level rise.
Until you look carefully at the areas that will be inundated. *
The populations *………..
Of coastal towns like this Ewa Beach community*……
Will be displaced.*
And some of the more remote rural neighborhoods…..*
Will have their one road access cutoff and become completely isolated. *
Will have their one road access cutoff and become completely isolated. *
Lets go back and look closely at how urban Honolulu will fair with 1 meter of sea level rise. As you can see, most of the island’s population is squeezed between the mountains and the ocean. In fact this entire coastal plain is an old coral reef that was formed during an earlier global warming.*
Lets zero in to this urban core……. *
AND SEE THE EFFECTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE.*
AS YOU CAN SEE, THE IMPACT HERE IS QUITE DRAMATIC. *
Lets look at satellite imagery of that area…… *
And the effects of 1 meter of rise. *
Along with……*
The City’s main, downtown, 70 million gallon/day, sewage treatment plant is inundated. *
critical pump stations and the island’s main computerized wastewater operations center. *
The Reef Runway….*
a critical portion of the international airport is flooded…… *
as well as the adjoining……*
Hickam Air Force base. *
As an island, almost everything comes in on ship…..*
With 1 meter of rise Honolulu’s cargo operations are also inundated. *
In fact, large portions of the downtown itself……*
will be lost with sea level rise…displacing residents, business centers, commerce, and waterfront shopping complexes. *
Energy systems will be affected as well…….*
Including the central downtown electrical substation. *
Critical transportation links will be cut…*
such as key east-west arterials . *
Let’s continue the virtual fly-thru of the urban core. The coastal inundation from sea level rise will also impact the city’s light industry, its retail centers and its civic facilities. *
As you can see…….*
the change in shoreline will be quite extreme. *
Probably the largest impact will come in the heart of our tourist center. *
This is the Waikiki Peninsula, the core of the State’s tourism industry and the destination of 5 to 6 million visitors each year. *
And as you can see, the projected sea level rise completely inundates the entire area. *
And as you can see, the projected sea level rise completely inundates the entire area. *
The bulk of the State’s hotel rooms will be lost. … *
Let me high-light some of the impacts…..*
The bulk of the State’s hotel rooms will be lost. … *
And the 30,000 local residents who live in Waikiki would be displaced. *
And of course, enormous amounts of infrastructure…..sewers, storm water systems, utilities, pump stations….would all be destroyed. *
Now all of this is going to have a devastating financial impact on local governments. As coastal areas are inundated the city’s most valuable real estate will become worthless and property tax revenues will plummet. At the same time cities will be facing enormous cost increases as they attempt to rebuild and relocate coastal infrastructure, schools, and other public facilities. This will probably mean dramatic cuts in city services….and many cities will probably go bankrupt.
The fundamental problem is that cities aren’t designed or managed to be sustainable or resilient!
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
Last year I asked Gordon Grau to compile a synopsis of the climate work that Sea Grant was already doing. It was both surprising and impressive. Here are just a few of initiatives….
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
Our challenge is to redesign cities to be more sustainable and resilient in the face of climate change.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
Our challenge is to redesign cities to be more sustainable and resilient in the face of climate change.
So what is this new paradigm we need in order to navigate to a sustainable future???
Perhaps most importantly, to bring about these changes in local governance we need leadership………informed and committed local government leadership.
That sustainability plan must include mitigating and adapting to climate change and building resiliency.
First of all we need to realize that cities are actually complex interactive systems and they need to be managed as complex systems. We need to understand all the inter-relationships between all the functions in the city and take an enterprise-wide approach to planning and management.
We need new green building codes mandating energy efficient design……
Any climate change adaptation plan needs to begin by evaluating the potential impacts of climate change on land use.
Adapting to climate change gives us the opportunity to re-plan and re-design our cities in a sustainable way.
We are going to have to re-do our building codes to take into consideration more severe storms, higher temperatures, more rain, etc.
Adaptation brings with it a rats nest of legal problems. (Hotel vested rights issue, apartment owner example)
In many cases, to adapt to sea level rise, we may have to relocate coastal arterials.
And we need to get away from the inefficient and polluting large coal fired plant and instead focus on distributed energy systems. (Honolulu City Hall – waste syn-gas co-gen plant, cut energy needed from grid by 80%)
We need to diversify our primary energy production into a portfolio of renewable technologies.
In many communities, climate change is going to severely disrupt local water systems thru drought and saltwater intrusion into freshwater aquifers.
A major program is the GIS support for City emergency response operations. Even before 9/11, we have been providing GIS capabilities to the City’s EOC. Now we are integrating GIS data with other products that would be used in the event of hurricanes or other emergency situations.
We should note that Police, Fire, and EMS all are all using GIS for a variety of public safety and health programs. Supporting these programs has been a priority of the City’s GIS.
One of the ways we inspect our sewer lines is by the use of special TV cameras.
3 crews are out every day to inspect laterals upto the main line
Big trunk lines inspected by large “dune buggy” camera
These inspections have helped cut sewer spills by 86 %
The Traffic Control Center can monitor roads and freeways with 90 live cameras.
Within 6 months the number will grow to 140 – throughout the urban core.
Residents can watch these same cameras on TV or the Internet.
Some cab drivers in town are doing this from their cars so they can pick the fastest route
The Traffic Control Center can monitor roads and freeways with 90 live cameras.
Within 6 months the number will grow to 140 – throughout the urban core.
Residents can watch these same cameras on TV or the Internet.
Some cab drivers in town are doing this from their cars so they can pick the fastest route
Global Positioning Satellites are used to travel the locations of all ambulances
The computer than recommends the closet unit to an emergency and calculates the travel time
This is also tied into the GIS system and a map of the location is displayed and quickest route to the emergency
Also displays information like access codes for gated communities and condominiums
Scripted pre-arrival medical advice shows on a split screen to assist the dispatcher give critical medical to the caller
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.
In fact, we would be wise to model cities after natural ecosystems, where all components are interconnected into a stable system . In our urban ecosystems we need to integrate land use, transportation, energy systems, urban infrastructure, resource recovery and the economy with comprehensive planning and management.