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Collaboration: The Key to
Success
Martin McKie
Director, EMEA Supply Chain
ARRIS
The new ARRIS transforms how service providers deliver
entertainment and communications without boundaries
2
New ARRIS (Motorola & ARRIS)
Direct presence in over
25 countries
Channel presence
in over 85 countries
~7,000 employees
Customers Worldwide
85+
3
25+
Combining for New ARRIS Segments
Home Devices
Modems, EMTAs, Gateways,
Set-top Boxes
BCS
Modems, EMTAs, Gateways
ATS
HE Optics, Fiber Nodes
RF Amplifiers
MCS
Assurance, Analytics
Workforce Management
Video on Demand
Ad Insertion & Management
Network Infrastructure
CMTS, Edge QAMs, HE Optics
Fiber Nodes, RF Amplifiers
Encoders/Decoders/Transcoders
Convergence Experiences
Assurance, Asset
Management, Content Security
, Ad Insertion, Video on
Demand, User
Experience
BCS
CMTS, CCAP, Edge QAMs
Encoder/Decoder/Transcoder
NOWBefore
Roadmap is subject to change. June 2013
4
An Industry Leader with Commitment to
Innovations and Transformative Solutions
▪ World Leader in IP Gateways, Modems and Video Devices
▪ First whole-home headless gateway
▪ First all-digital HDTV standard
▪ First cable telephony system
▪ First wireless cable modem gateway
▪ First DOCSIS® 3.0 certified E-MTA on Wideband
▪ DOCSIS 3.0 broadband speed record with
Kabel Deutschland-4.7Gig/s
▪ Designed market-leading ad insertion solutions
▪ 14 Technical Emmy® Awards
~ 2,000 Patents Approved
or Pending
plus a license to a wide array of
Motorola Mobility patents
Roadmap is subject to change. June 2013
5
6
▪ Defining our strategy
▪ Supply Chain Business Operations
▪ Business unit alignment
Supply Chain Strategy & Organization
ARRIS – Supply Chain Model Strategy
Simplify
Continuous improvement
Customer focused
Execution excellence
Obsess over product
superiority
Supply Chain Simplification
Supply Chain Velocity
Deep Supplier Relationships
Operational Excellence
Customer Quality Renewal
Customer:
On Time Delivery
On Quality
Cash:
Inventory Turns
Cost:
Total Supply Chain Cost
Cycle Time:
New Product Introduction
Supply Chain
Responsiveness
PLAN SOURCE BUILD DELIVER
Focused to win Our strategy Our key measures
7
NPI
Supply Chain Business Operations
Supply Chain
Business Ops
Supply Chain
Product
Marketing
Sales&
Marketing
Customer
Finance / Pricing
Demand
Management
Supply
Management
Demand &
Supply
Balancing
Consensus
Planning
Our functions:
Customer operations | Sales & Operations planning
Inventory Management | Excess & Obsolescence
Our focus:
Customers | Cost
Cash | Cycle time & Service level
Demand Supply
8
Motorola Mobility
Supply Chain Business Cycles & Challenges
9
▪ Typical activities and business cycle: Medium term
▪ Bullwhip affect: Short term
▪ Product mix matrix
▪ Value chain
Shrink
Sell facilities
Reduce resources
Decrease prices
Hold onto share
Grow?
Buy facilities
Make new deals
Chase parts
Business Cycle &Typical Activities: Medium Term
10
Bullwhip Affect (the textbook way): short term
Cancel orders
Stop shipments
Negotiate SOI
Reduce prices
Expedite orders
Expedite shipments
Open the floodgates
Increase prices?
11
Competitive Environment
2008
2013
Development Time to market
pressure pressure
12
A challenge for Consumer facing Enterprises and any Businesses
supporting them.
Motorola Mobility 13
▪ Defining it for supply chain
▪ Multi-enterprise collaboration
▪ Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR)
- S&OP overview
- Demand change
- S&OP summary
- Supplier S&OP range forecasting
- How collaboration impacts results
Collaboration
13
Motorola Mobility Internal XX-Month-2012© 2012 Motorola Mobility, Inc. 14
Verb 1. To work jointly with others
2. To cooperate with or willingly assist another
Tactical / short term
 Replenishment
 Forecasting
 Business process mapping
 Logistics sharing
 Merge in transit
Strategic
 Business planning
 Joint product design
 Joint supply chain design
 Vendor managed inventory
 Joint warehouse space
14
Collaborate ke-’la-be-rāt
Collaborative planning, forecasting and
replenishment (CPFR)
CPFR is a structured, inter-enterprise, business planning
methodology with three key elements:
2 3Plan Forecast Replenish
15
Motorola Mobility
CPFR
Collaborative Plan
▪ Business plan between
purchasing of the the customer
and the supplier
▪ Contract terms
▪ New product transitions
▪ Align planning windows
▪ Mutual goals
16
Motorola Mobility
CPFR
Collaborative Forecast
▪ Developed monthly
▪ Cross-functional inputs
▪ Cross-enterprise inputs
▪ Inputs from collaborative
planning team
- Inventory
- Sell-through
- Forecast
- Refurbs
2
17
Motorola Mobility
CPFR
Replenishment Plans
▪ Support forecast and inventory plans
▪ Reserve fulfillment capacity
▪ Freight space for customer
▪ Inventory for customer
▪ Observe the constraints of Collaborative
Plan
▪ Measure & Refine performance
- On Time Delivery
- Stock-out
- Inventory
- Sell-out / Through
18
3
Customer
Market
Planning
ARRIS
Product
Roadmap
Customer
Sales
Forecast
Joint
Collaborative
Order
Forecast
ARRIS
Replenish
Customer
Customer
Sell-through
Measure
Performance
Joint
Business Plan
CPFR: The Customer Collaborative overview
19
Simple system supported by
real time data to determine
performance
Motorola Mobility Internal XX-Month-2012© 2012 Motorola Mobility, Inc. 20
At ARRIS:
A key enabler for successful downturns and upturns
Deeper integration = higher performance (Pagell, 2004)
Integration inside an organization is difficult
Integration across enterprises is even more difficult
Commercial terms often constrain more strategic collaboration
Collaborate ke-’la-be-rāt
20
Multi-enterprise Collaboration
INTERNAL
CUSTOMER
SUPPLIER
Integrating these ends and adding significant customer value
are the essence of our deliverable
21
Time | Demand Change to Suppliers?
How long does it take for a change in demand to reach the
farthest point in your supply chain?
Tier
1
Tier
2
Tier
3
Demand
Change
22
S&OP summary
Customer > Internal > Supplier
? ?
Now
2009
23
Face-to-face
Connected by procurement team
Decision makers on both sides
Weekly to monthly
Range forecasting
Material / capacity
Inventory
Systems
Excess
parts
Alignment
Long lead-time
suppliers
Constrained
industry
Single sourced
components
Supplier S&OP
24
4 months
3 months
2 months
I month
Actual
25
Flexible Range Forecasting
__ weeks before
supplier ships
Supplier ship date“Inflection
point”
Long Lead Time
60% of BOM
Short Lead Time
40% of BOM
NPI PLAN SOURCE BUILD DELIVER
Raw materials are inexpensive and common across many manufacturers and products
Processed WIP is expensive and is often unique to a specific manufacturer or product
PLANNING | SUPPLIER S&OP
26
Range Based Forecasting
0k
100k
200k
300k
400k
500k
600k
700k
800k
prior Q1prior Q2prior Q3prior Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Actual Fcst Lock Buffer Avg
Drive Range Based Forecast material to:
•YQA - 100% of the average of the prior Y quarters for
the next 3 quarters, or the consensus forecast, if
greater.
•RGP (Rolling) - % of the average of the prior Y quarters
for the current quarter, or % of the next quarter’s
forecast, if less.
Right Goal
Post
X%
Forecast
Floating
RGP
Rolling
Range Based Forecast
YQA
Y Qtr Avg.
Component Lead
Time
• PO for Lock + Buffer
• PO aligns to supply plan
• RGP scheduled to sea
freight cut-off
Weekly - Tracking
• PO support for entire
RBF
• Track supply cover of
RBF
RBF Response
time
• Final build schedule
• Cover final build
quantity with supply
commit
Excess RBF Supply
• Deliver supply to
inventory /SOI /Buffer
• Push PO delivery into
next quarter
• Cancel PO
27
Motorola Mobility
CPFR and Supplier S&OP
GET STARTED
Supplier
S&OP
GET
STARTED
▪ Start at the top
▪ Confidentiality
▪ The good, the bad, the ugly
▪ Find decision makers
▪ Commit without fear
▪ Immediately communicate breaking news
28
Motorola Mobility
Supplier
S&OP
CHALLENGE
S
CPFR and Supplier S&OP
CHALLENGES
▪ Measurable?
▪ News isn’t always positive
▪ Communicate up and out
▪ Building relationships takes time
▪ Avoid short-term issues
29
Motorola Mobility
▪ Time commitment
▪ Critical expertise
▪ Level in the organizations
▪ Relationship builder
CPFR & Supplier S&OP
RESOURCE
30
June 2012© 2012 Motorola Mobility, Inc. 31
Customer
 Improved supplier
flexibility
 Improved lead-times
and better on-time
delivery
 Supply chain ability to
deal with demand shifts
 Increased Sales
Inventory optimisation
– confidence to “lower
the water levels without
exposing the rocks”
Supplier
 Better demand visibility
 Improved
responsiveness
 Optimisation of
inventory, cash (capacity
planning)
 Improved customer
satisfaction
 Improved sales
Sub-tier suppliers
 Better demand
visibility
 Great potential to
support upsides
Range-based planning
 Potential to increase
sales
31
Results of Cross Enterprise Collaboration
Thank you for listening
Any questions?

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Martin McKie, Director EMEA Supply Chain at Arris - Collaboration: The key to success

  • 1. Collaboration: The Key to Success Martin McKie Director, EMEA Supply Chain ARRIS
  • 2. The new ARRIS transforms how service providers deliver entertainment and communications without boundaries 2
  • 3. New ARRIS (Motorola & ARRIS) Direct presence in over 25 countries Channel presence in over 85 countries ~7,000 employees Customers Worldwide 85+ 3 25+
  • 4. Combining for New ARRIS Segments Home Devices Modems, EMTAs, Gateways, Set-top Boxes BCS Modems, EMTAs, Gateways ATS HE Optics, Fiber Nodes RF Amplifiers MCS Assurance, Analytics Workforce Management Video on Demand Ad Insertion & Management Network Infrastructure CMTS, Edge QAMs, HE Optics Fiber Nodes, RF Amplifiers Encoders/Decoders/Transcoders Convergence Experiences Assurance, Asset Management, Content Security , Ad Insertion, Video on Demand, User Experience BCS CMTS, CCAP, Edge QAMs Encoder/Decoder/Transcoder NOWBefore Roadmap is subject to change. June 2013 4
  • 5. An Industry Leader with Commitment to Innovations and Transformative Solutions ▪ World Leader in IP Gateways, Modems and Video Devices ▪ First whole-home headless gateway ▪ First all-digital HDTV standard ▪ First cable telephony system ▪ First wireless cable modem gateway ▪ First DOCSIS® 3.0 certified E-MTA on Wideband ▪ DOCSIS 3.0 broadband speed record with Kabel Deutschland-4.7Gig/s ▪ Designed market-leading ad insertion solutions ▪ 14 Technical Emmy® Awards ~ 2,000 Patents Approved or Pending plus a license to a wide array of Motorola Mobility patents Roadmap is subject to change. June 2013 5
  • 6. 6 ▪ Defining our strategy ▪ Supply Chain Business Operations ▪ Business unit alignment Supply Chain Strategy & Organization
  • 7. ARRIS – Supply Chain Model Strategy Simplify Continuous improvement Customer focused Execution excellence Obsess over product superiority Supply Chain Simplification Supply Chain Velocity Deep Supplier Relationships Operational Excellence Customer Quality Renewal Customer: On Time Delivery On Quality Cash: Inventory Turns Cost: Total Supply Chain Cost Cycle Time: New Product Introduction Supply Chain Responsiveness PLAN SOURCE BUILD DELIVER Focused to win Our strategy Our key measures 7 NPI
  • 8. Supply Chain Business Operations Supply Chain Business Ops Supply Chain Product Marketing Sales& Marketing Customer Finance / Pricing Demand Management Supply Management Demand & Supply Balancing Consensus Planning Our functions: Customer operations | Sales & Operations planning Inventory Management | Excess & Obsolescence Our focus: Customers | Cost Cash | Cycle time & Service level Demand Supply 8
  • 9. Motorola Mobility Supply Chain Business Cycles & Challenges 9 ▪ Typical activities and business cycle: Medium term ▪ Bullwhip affect: Short term ▪ Product mix matrix ▪ Value chain
  • 10. Shrink Sell facilities Reduce resources Decrease prices Hold onto share Grow? Buy facilities Make new deals Chase parts Business Cycle &Typical Activities: Medium Term 10
  • 11. Bullwhip Affect (the textbook way): short term Cancel orders Stop shipments Negotiate SOI Reduce prices Expedite orders Expedite shipments Open the floodgates Increase prices? 11
  • 12. Competitive Environment 2008 2013 Development Time to market pressure pressure 12 A challenge for Consumer facing Enterprises and any Businesses supporting them.
  • 13. Motorola Mobility 13 ▪ Defining it for supply chain ▪ Multi-enterprise collaboration ▪ Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR) - S&OP overview - Demand change - S&OP summary - Supplier S&OP range forecasting - How collaboration impacts results Collaboration 13
  • 14. Motorola Mobility Internal XX-Month-2012© 2012 Motorola Mobility, Inc. 14 Verb 1. To work jointly with others 2. To cooperate with or willingly assist another Tactical / short term  Replenishment  Forecasting  Business process mapping  Logistics sharing  Merge in transit Strategic  Business planning  Joint product design  Joint supply chain design  Vendor managed inventory  Joint warehouse space 14 Collaborate ke-’la-be-rāt
  • 15. Collaborative planning, forecasting and replenishment (CPFR) CPFR is a structured, inter-enterprise, business planning methodology with three key elements: 2 3Plan Forecast Replenish 15
  • 16. Motorola Mobility CPFR Collaborative Plan ▪ Business plan between purchasing of the the customer and the supplier ▪ Contract terms ▪ New product transitions ▪ Align planning windows ▪ Mutual goals 16
  • 17. Motorola Mobility CPFR Collaborative Forecast ▪ Developed monthly ▪ Cross-functional inputs ▪ Cross-enterprise inputs ▪ Inputs from collaborative planning team - Inventory - Sell-through - Forecast - Refurbs 2 17
  • 18. Motorola Mobility CPFR Replenishment Plans ▪ Support forecast and inventory plans ▪ Reserve fulfillment capacity ▪ Freight space for customer ▪ Inventory for customer ▪ Observe the constraints of Collaborative Plan ▪ Measure & Refine performance - On Time Delivery - Stock-out - Inventory - Sell-out / Through 18 3
  • 20. Motorola Mobility Internal XX-Month-2012© 2012 Motorola Mobility, Inc. 20 At ARRIS: A key enabler for successful downturns and upturns Deeper integration = higher performance (Pagell, 2004) Integration inside an organization is difficult Integration across enterprises is even more difficult Commercial terms often constrain more strategic collaboration Collaborate ke-’la-be-rāt 20
  • 21. Multi-enterprise Collaboration INTERNAL CUSTOMER SUPPLIER Integrating these ends and adding significant customer value are the essence of our deliverable 21
  • 22. Time | Demand Change to Suppliers? How long does it take for a change in demand to reach the farthest point in your supply chain? Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Demand Change 22
  • 23. S&OP summary Customer > Internal > Supplier ? ? Now 2009 23
  • 24. Face-to-face Connected by procurement team Decision makers on both sides Weekly to monthly Range forecasting Material / capacity Inventory Systems Excess parts Alignment Long lead-time suppliers Constrained industry Single sourced components Supplier S&OP 24
  • 25. 4 months 3 months 2 months I month Actual 25 Flexible Range Forecasting
  • 26. __ weeks before supplier ships Supplier ship date“Inflection point” Long Lead Time 60% of BOM Short Lead Time 40% of BOM NPI PLAN SOURCE BUILD DELIVER Raw materials are inexpensive and common across many manufacturers and products Processed WIP is expensive and is often unique to a specific manufacturer or product PLANNING | SUPPLIER S&OP 26
  • 27. Range Based Forecasting 0k 100k 200k 300k 400k 500k 600k 700k 800k prior Q1prior Q2prior Q3prior Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Actual Fcst Lock Buffer Avg Drive Range Based Forecast material to: •YQA - 100% of the average of the prior Y quarters for the next 3 quarters, or the consensus forecast, if greater. •RGP (Rolling) - % of the average of the prior Y quarters for the current quarter, or % of the next quarter’s forecast, if less. Right Goal Post X% Forecast Floating RGP Rolling Range Based Forecast YQA Y Qtr Avg. Component Lead Time • PO for Lock + Buffer • PO aligns to supply plan • RGP scheduled to sea freight cut-off Weekly - Tracking • PO support for entire RBF • Track supply cover of RBF RBF Response time • Final build schedule • Cover final build quantity with supply commit Excess RBF Supply • Deliver supply to inventory /SOI /Buffer • Push PO delivery into next quarter • Cancel PO 27
  • 28. Motorola Mobility CPFR and Supplier S&OP GET STARTED Supplier S&OP GET STARTED ▪ Start at the top ▪ Confidentiality ▪ The good, the bad, the ugly ▪ Find decision makers ▪ Commit without fear ▪ Immediately communicate breaking news 28
  • 29. Motorola Mobility Supplier S&OP CHALLENGE S CPFR and Supplier S&OP CHALLENGES ▪ Measurable? ▪ News isn’t always positive ▪ Communicate up and out ▪ Building relationships takes time ▪ Avoid short-term issues 29
  • 30. Motorola Mobility ▪ Time commitment ▪ Critical expertise ▪ Level in the organizations ▪ Relationship builder CPFR & Supplier S&OP RESOURCE 30
  • 31. June 2012© 2012 Motorola Mobility, Inc. 31 Customer  Improved supplier flexibility  Improved lead-times and better on-time delivery  Supply chain ability to deal with demand shifts  Increased Sales Inventory optimisation – confidence to “lower the water levels without exposing the rocks” Supplier  Better demand visibility  Improved responsiveness  Optimisation of inventory, cash (capacity planning)  Improved customer satisfaction  Improved sales Sub-tier suppliers  Better demand visibility  Great potential to support upsides Range-based planning  Potential to increase sales 31 Results of Cross Enterprise Collaboration
  • 32. Thank you for listening Any questions?

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. The introduction of range based forecasting is one of the key successes of the supplier S&OP process. I worked in the Europe, Middle-East, Africa and Asia regions so I experienced this process first hand as the owner of the forecast and the results of that forecast accuracy good or bad.Range based forecasting gave me the ability to lock down a baseline forecast and then provide low cost lever to flex that forecast up or down with extremely low and highly predictable risk. For example, say we have three different smartphones each with forecasts of 200K for the quarter shown here at 4 months out. Range based forecasting would allow me to baseline the 600K units but then provide upside flexibility to the hot seller or newest product while providing downside cushion for the mature product reaching end of life.